Swing Trade Plan for TSLA (as of $285)TSLA has rallied from its previous consolidation zone and is approaching a potential resistance area between $290–$295. Momentum is solid, but RSI and volume trends may suggest we’re nearing short-term exhaustion.
✅ Strategy 1: Wait for the Pullback (Safer Play)
Entry zone:
• $240 – Ideal level near former resistance turned support
• $215 – Strong support with higher reward potential
Stop-loss:
• Below $200 (to protect against deeper trend reversal)
Profit targets:
• $265 – Conservative
• $290 – Re-test zone
• $355 – Bullish breakout continuation (if sentiment remains strong)
This setup gives room for the price to breathe and positions you after a healthy correction.
⚡️ Strategy 2: Momentum Breakout Trade (Aggressive)
Entry:
• On breakout above $295 with volume confirmation
Stop-loss:
• Below $280 (tight, breakout failure protection)
Target:
• $320, $340+, depending on follow-through
This is higher risk, higher reward — you’re betting on bulls continuing the charge without a pullback.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always do your own analysis and trade with proper risk management.
Tslaforecast
$TSLA : The road to 400 $In this space we have discussed about NASDAQ:TSLA multiple times. In one of our very recent blogs on 21 April 2025, we flipped bullish for the first time and presented a case to accumulate NASDAQ:TSLA between 214 $ – 250 $. Congrats to everyone who did it. On Friday’s close the stock is above 250 $ and its currently sitting above its 20-Day and 50-Day SMA. This can be taken as a first bullish sign and maybe the start of a primary reversal trend towards up. After some turbulent time and more than a 50% dip the stock is holding up very well.
As Elon will be back on the helm of the NASDAQ:TSLA we can expect some more macro tailwind for the stock itself. In the daily chart below, we see that the RSI chart has flipped bullish and on the Fib retracement levels we are well above the 0.382 Fib retracement levels which is at 272 $. The next stop as per the chart is 310 $ @ 0.5 Fib level. My assessment is that once the momentum is flipped bullish the stock can end above 400 $ once this is all said and done.
Verdict: Go Long $TSLA. 400 $ see you there $TSLA.
Tesla Suspends Guidance: Why Its Forecasts Were Often WrongTesla Pulls the Plug on Guidance: Why Its Forecasts Weren't Worth Much Anyway
Tesla, the electric vehicle behemoth that has captivated and often confounded investors for over a decade, has made another move guaranteed to stir debate: it's suspending its forward-looking guidance. For many companies, withdrawing financial forecasts signals significant uncertainty or a major strategic shift, often sending shares tumbling. While Tesla's stock undoubtedly reacts to such news, a deeper look reveals a compelling argument: Tesla's official guidance, particularly in recent years, had become such a moving target, so frequently untethered from eventual reality, that its predictive value was already deeply questionable. Suspending it might simply be acknowledging the obvious.
For years, Tesla's earnings calls and investor communications were punctuated by ambitious, often audacious, targets set by CEO Elon Musk and the company. These weren't just vague aspirations; they were often specific numbers for vehicle deliveries, production ramps, timelines for new technologies like Full Self-Driving (FSD), and launch dates for anticipated models like the Cybertruck or the Semi. The market, enthralled by Tesla's disruptive potential and Musk's charismatic pronouncements, frequently hung on these words, baking them into valuation models and trading strategies.
However, the history of Tesla meeting these self-imposed targets is, charitably speaking, inconsistent. The guidance often veered into the quixotic, reflecting a potent blend of extreme optimism, engineering ambition, and perhaps a dash of Musk's famed "reality distortion field."
Consider the infamous "production hell" of the Model 3 ramp-up. Initial targets were wildly optimistic, projecting volumes that the company struggled immensely to achieve, facing bottlenecks in battery production and assembly line automation. While Tesla eventually overcame these hurdles, the timeline and cost deviated significantly from early guidance. Similarly, the promise of Full Self-Driving has been a perennial "next year" phenomenon. While the capabilities of Tesla's Autopilot and FSD Beta have advanced significantly, the arrival of true Level 4 or 5 autonomy, capable of operating without driver supervision under virtually all conditions – as often implied by the timelines suggested in guidance – remains elusive, years behind schedules hinted at in past forecasts.
The Cybertruck provides another stark example. Unveiled in 2019 with a projected start date that came and went multiple times, its eventual, limited launch in late 2023 was years behind schedule, and scaling its unique manufacturing process remains a challenge. Guidance around its ramp-up has been adjusted repeatedly.
This pattern isn't necessarily born from deliberate deception, but rather from a confluence of factors inherent to Tesla's DNA and the volatile industries it operates in:
1. Aggressive Goal Setting: Musk is known for setting incredibly ambitious "stretch goals" intended to motivate teams to achieve breakthroughs. While effective internally, translating these aspirational targets directly into public financial guidance is fraught with risk.
2. Underestimation of Complexity: Bringing revolutionary products to mass market – whether it's a new vehicle platform, a complex software suite like FSD, or novel battery technology – involves navigating unforeseen engineering, manufacturing, supply chain, and regulatory hurdles. Initial guidance often seemed to underestimate these complexities.
3. Market Volatility: The EV market itself is dynamic. Consumer demand shifts, government incentives change, raw material costs fluctuate, and competition intensifies – all factors that can derail even well-laid plans and render guidance obsolete.
4. The "Musk Factor": Elon Musk's public statements, sometimes made spontaneously on social media or during earnings calls, often became de facto guidance, even if not formally enshrined. His optimism could inflate expectations beyond what the operational side of the business could reliably deliver on a set schedule.
Given this history, why did the market continue to pay such close attention? Part of it was the sheer scale of Tesla's ambition and its undeniable success in revolutionizing the automotive industry. Investors betting on disruption were often willing to overlook missed targets, focusing instead on the long-term vision. Past stock performance also created a feedback loop; as the stock soared despite missed guidance, it reinforced the idea that the specific numbers mattered less than the overall trajectory and narrative. Guidance served as a signal of intent and ambition, even if the execution timeline slipped.
However, the context has shifted dramatically. Tesla is no longer the lone wolf in a nascent EV market. Competition is fierce, particularly from Chinese automakers like BYD, but also from legacy manufacturers finally hitting their stride with compelling EV offerings. Global EV demand growth, while still present, has slowed from its previously exponential pace. Tesla itself has engaged in significant price cuts globally to maintain volume, putting pressure on its once-stellar automotive margins.
In this more challenging environment, the luxury of consistently missing ambitious targets wears thin. The decision to suspend guidance now can be interpreted in several ways:
• Pragmatic Realism: Management may genuinely lack visibility into near-term demand, production capabilities (especially with new models or processes), or the impact of macroeconomic factors. Suspending guidance is arguably more responsible than issuing forecasts they have low confidence in.
• Strategic Pivot: Tesla is increasingly emphasizing its future potential in AI, robotics (Optimus), and autonomous ride-sharing (Robotaxi). These ventures have even longer and more uncertain development timelines than vehicle production. Focusing investor attention away from quarterly delivery numbers might be part of a strategy to reframe the company's narrative around these future bets.
• Avoiding Accountability: A more cynical take is that suspending guidance removes a key benchmark against which management's performance can be judged, particularly during a period of slowing growth and heightened competition.
Regardless of the primary motivation, the practical implication for investors is clear: the already thin reed of Tesla's official guidance is now gone entirely. This forces a greater reliance on analyzing tangible results – actual deliveries, reported margins, cash flow generation, progress on FSD adoption rates, and demonstrable advancements in new ventures – rather than promises of future performance.
The suspension underscores that investing in Tesla requires a strong belief in its long-term vision and its ability to execute on extremely complex technological and manufacturing challenges, often without a clear, company-provided roadmap for the immediate future. The focus must shift from parsing guidance to meticulously evaluating performance, competitive positioning, and the plausibility of its next-generation bets.
In conclusion, Tesla's decision to stop issuing formal guidance is less of a shockwave and more of a formal acknowledgment of a long-standing reality. Its forecasts were often more aspirational than operational, reflecting a culture of ambitious goal-setting within a highly volatile industry. While the absence of guidance introduces a new layer of uncertainty, savvy investors likely already applied a significant discount factor to Tesla's projections. The company's future success now hinges more transparently than ever not on what it promises for tomorrow, but on what it demonstrably delivers today. The quixotic forecasts may be gone, but the fundamental challenge of execution remains.
Breaking: Tesla Up 6% In Premarket Albeit Q1 Profit Drops 71%Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) stock surged 6% in early premarket trading on Wednesday amidst missing expectation, Q1 profit drops 71%.
Tesla investors breathed a sigh of relief after CEO Elon Musk said he would refocus his attention on the electric automaker, but that promise did not entirely dispel worries that his right-wing shift had irrevocably damaged the company's image.
The automaker's shares (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ), rose about 6.5% in premarket trading on Wednesday after Musk said he would cut back, opens new tab his work for U.S. President Donald Trump to a day or two per week from sometime next month after the automaker posted a 71% slump in net income and a sharp drop in automotive revenue.
Since hitting a record high in December, Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) have lost about half its value reducing its market capitalization by more than $500 billion, largely on concerns that brand damage could hurt sales for a second straight year.
Tesla said it will a review of its full-year delivery forecast amid shifting global trade policies in the second quarter earnings update, which is expected in July.
While Tesla is less likely to be affected by global tariffs than legacy automakers, it still expects an outsized impact on the fast-growing energy storage business that uses battery cells from China.
Technical Outlook
As of the time of writing, NASDAQ:TSLA shares are up 6.5% in premarket trading. The asset is undergoing a bullish reversal pattern after bouncing off from the critical support point of $218.
TSLA shares are aiming for a 118% surge should the asset break the key Fibonacci levels highlighted on the chart. With the last trading session's RSI at 46, NASDAQ:TSLA is well primed for a bullish campaign since consolidating late December, 2024 losing almost 56% of value, TSLA shares are looking to capitalize on that.
Tesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Nearly 6% Ahead of Quarterly ReportTesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Nearly 6% Ahead of Quarterly Report
On Monday, Tesla’s share price fell by almost 6%, dipping below $230 and hovering near its yearly low. Since the beginning of 2025, Tesla shares have lost approximately 44% in value, marking their worst quarter since 2022.
Why Is TSLA Falling?
There is no shortage of investor concerns, including (as reported by various media outlets):
→ Elon Musk’s involvement with the Trump administration, which is said to be distracting him from focusing on Tesla, particularly as signs emerge of slowing progress in the development of robotaxis and autonomous driving technology.
→ A decline in demand — both for the Cybertruck model specifically and the product line in general — especially amid protests and boycotts across the US and Europe. Tesla previously reported 336,681 vehicle deliveries in Q1, down 13% compared to the same period last year.
→ Increased competition from Chinese carmakers, uncertainty around international trade tariffs, and other contributing factors.
According to The Wall Street Journal, analysts at Barclays and Oppenheimer have voiced concerns about “brand dilution” and weakness in China, while Dan Ives of Wedbush is hopeful for an “inspirational vision” from Elon Musk.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock
We previously noted the importance of the $220 support level, which prevented the price from falling further during the first half of April (as indicated by the arrow), at a time when broader stock indices showed much more bearish trends.
That level still appears relevant for now, but it’s likely that the upcoming quarterly earnings report will trigger a sharp increase in volatility. Should investors find the results underwhelming, TSLA’s share price could fall to the lower boundary of the current descending channel (highlighted in red), potentially breaching the psychological $200-per-share mark.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TSLA Setting Up for the Next Big Move?🚘Tesla's been cooking up some serious price action — and now it’s getting interesting. After holding above key supports, bulls might be eyeing their next shot. Here’s the plan I’m watching:
📥 Entry zones:
• 240 (aggressive)
• 215 (ideal support zone)
• 195 (deep discount territory)
🎯 Profit targets:
• 265
• 290
• 355+ (if momentum takes off)
TSLA has been showing signs of accumulation — and if buyers step in near 215–195, we could be looking at the early stages of a powerful move. Of course, nothing is guaranteed. The EV space is competitive, and macro volatility can flip the script fast.
🔍 Keep an eye on volume, trend confirmations, and news that could push sentiment one way or the other.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my personal analysis and trade idea. Always do your own research and manage risk according to your own strategy.
Tesla (TSLA) Shares Jump Approximately 22% in a Single DayTesla (TSLA) Shares Jump Approximately 22% in a Single Day
Tesla was among the standout performers in the stock market rally that followed President Trump’s decision to delay, by 90 days, the implementation of new international trade tariffs — with the notable exception of China. According to the charts, Tesla (TSLA) shares surged by approximately 22%.
Why Did TSLA Shares Soar?
Some insight comes from Cathie Wood, CEO of asset management firm ARK Invest.
In an interview with Barron’s on Wednesday, she noted the following:
→ Tesla plans to launch a new, more affordable vehicle this quarter, likely priced at around $30,000 — roughly half the cost of the base Model Y.
→ The upcoming release of Tesla’s robotaxi service could also lower the need for large upfront vehicle purchases, offering consumers a more economical alternative.
→ Tesla sources more components from North America than most other US carmakers, meaning it is less exposed to tariff-related costs.
And there’s another reason TSLA may have jumped — one that can be found in the chart.
Technical Analysis of TSLA
Take note: the March and April lows (marked with arrows) are both around the $220 level. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) posted a significantly lower low in April compared to March. This suggests that, in early April, TSLA was outperforming the broader market. Why?
One possible explanation is that there has been — and perhaps still is — a strong accumulation interest in TSLA. Buyers may have been quietly scooping up available shares amid recession fears. When yesterday’s news suddenly shifted market sentiment, the “spring” uncoiled, catapulting TSLA’s share price upward.
However, the overall downtrend remains intact. If bullish momentum continues, the price may encounter resistance around the psychologically significant $300 level — which coincides with the upper boundary of the downward channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Tsla Lesson Tesla Stock Always Pay YOURSELFI say this time and time again and this is a PRIME EXAMPLE SO FAR.
🌍Now I suggested THAT IF YOU WERE A TESLA BULL that you might want to start to PAY ATTENTION TO THE STOCK TWO WEEKS AGO.
❓️"OK SO WHAT'S THE LESSON"❓️
I emphasise ALWAYS that TIME TRUMPS PRICE...
TESLA has been rather docile since its initial POP.
But take a look at the HIGHER TIMEFRAME WEEKLY CHART❗️
Whats clear to see is that although the PRICE RANGE hasn't been MASSIVE there has been plenty OF ⏳️TIME TO CAPITALISE AND PAY YOURSELF. £$€¥ 💰
Two 📈HIGHER CLOSES ON THE WEEKLY and the call made whilst the weekly looked EXTREMELY BEARISH📉
EVEN RIGHT NOW we are currently UP ON THE WEEK UNTIL NOW.
ℹ️ If you WERE UNABLE to STRUCTURE A TRADE TO TAKE advantage of this PRICE RANGE whilst DAY TRADING you may need to LOOK BACK and STUDY WHY NOT.
⚠️You could have paid yourself several times over already and even if TESLA was to seek lower prices from here you SHOULD HAVE BACKED SOMETHING ALREADY.
✅️AS ALWAYS TRADE YOUR PLAN & WAIT FOR YOU SIGNAL✅️
Tesla Stock Continues to Trade Within a Bearish ChannelThe monthly movements of Tesla's stock continue to reflect persistent downward pressure, with a decline of just over 10% since the beginning of March, showing steady selling interest. The bearish sentiment has remained in place as growing discontent over Elon Musk's political positioning has damaged the brand's image, while concerns over a potential trade war have raised fears that Tesla’s international sales may be negatively affected.
Bearish Channel:
Currently, the most important formation on the chart is a strong bearish channel that has remained intact since the final days of December 2024. So far, recent bullish attempts have failed to break out of this structure, reinforcing the broader bearish bias in the long-term outlook.
MACD Indicator:
The latest movements in the MACD histogram have started to show a notable decline, indicating that momentum in the moving average trend may be fading in the short term. This is likely due to the price reaching the upper boundary of the bearish channel, where resistance remains strong.
ADX Indicator:
The ADX line is currently trending downward, hovering just above the neutral 20 level. As this pattern continues, it reflects a lack of strength in recent price movements, pointing to growing indecision, which in turn reinforces the current resistance zone where the price is consolidating.
Key Levels to Watch:
$290: A significant resistance zone, aligning with the top of the bearish channel and the 200-period moving average. Sustained buying above this level could threaten the current bearish structure and signal the start of stronger bullish pressure.
$220: A key support level, representing the recent lows in the stock. A clean break below this zone could confirm a stronger bearish trend, opening the door for more aggressive selling in the sessions ahead.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
SeekingPips sees TSLS Tesla GAIN $60 ! What's Next?It's hard for many traders to do. 🤔
⭐️ I still see it today with traders and investors alike. Even with some who have been at it for many years...
BUT some of the BEST ENTRIES & EXITS for me have been when the OPEN CANDLE IS COMPLETELY AGAINST ME.
The LAST WEEKLY TESLA chart that I shared is another prime example of this.
🟢SeekingPips🟢 shared a BULLISH BIAS when the WEEKLY CHART was looking as BEARISH as hell. 🔥
ℹ️ Now it really is not a method that works for everyone.
Trading against momentum always looks SCARY BUT the SECRET is MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS and also being able to...
VISUALISE DIFFERENT OBSCURE TIMEFRAMES IN REAL-TIME USING THE CURRENT OPEN CHART.
⚠️I plan on going DEEPER INTO this rabbit hole with some information and examples in the TUTORIAL SECTIONS soon.⚠️
🚥 In it's simplest terms an example would be beaing able to note where price is on a 20 or 10 min chart just only by having a 5 minute chart in front of you.
By being able to do so in REAL-TIME KEY LEVELS POP OUT that you may not have noticed from the 5 minute chart perspective only.💡💡💡
Now 🟢SeekingPips🟢 has to wait for a TRIGGER for a NEW ENTRY & SO SHOULD YOU.👍👌👍
Tesla (TSLA) Shares Among the Biggest Losers AgainTesla (TSLA) Shares Among the Biggest Losers Again
As the chart shows, Tesla (TSLA) shares opened yesterday’s trading session with a bearish gap and closed more than 5% lower than the previous day’s close. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) also declined, but by only around 1%.
Why Tesla (TSLA) Shares Fell
The recent two-day decline may be part of a broader downtrend. As we noted earlier in March, one of the key bearish factors could be Elon Musk’s political involvement in the Trump administration. For investors, this may imply that:
→ A significant number of potential Tesla customers may be put off by Musk’s political stance, slowing sales.
→ The CEO may not be paying enough attention to the company at a time of intense competition. Notably, Chinese EV manufacturer BYD Co. (CN:002594) has announced the launch of its Super e-Platform, which can charge a vehicle with a 400-kilometre range in just five minutes.
This sentiment is reflected in analysts’ decisions, as they continue to lower their target prices for TSLA shares, further fuelling negative sentiment.
TSLA Price Forecast
According to MarketWatch, RBC Capital Markets has cut Tesla’s target price from $440 to $320 due to a worsening outlook for the company’s robotaxi programme and autonomous driving software.
However, RBC analyst Tom Narayan maintained a “Buy” rating on Tesla (TSLA) shares, stating that concerns over a sharp sales drop in Europe and China are “overblown.”
Technical Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) Chart
The previously identified downward channel (marked in red) remains relevant. However, price action suggests that selling pressure may be easing:
→ The decline on 10 March (marked by arrow One) was much more aggressive, but the downward momentum has since slowed (also marked by arrow One).
→ During yesterday’s session, the price closed only slightly below the opening level, suggesting that bears are hesitating near the yearly low.
This could potentially lead to a bullish Double Bottom pattern, increasing the likelihood of an attempt to break above the current resistance around the psychological level of $250.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TSLA Trade Outlook – Watching Key LevelsTSLA is currently trading around market price levels, with notable entry points at 222, 199, and 165. Given the recent volatility and broader market sentiment, these levels could serve as potential accumulation zones if momentum aligns.
On the upside, profit targets are eyed at 235, 275, and 295, contingent on sustained buying pressure and macroeconomic factors supporting growth stocks. However, given the unpredictable nature of the market, adjustments may be necessary.
For now, keeping an eye on volume trends and overall market sentiment will be key in confirming potential movements. Flexibility remains essential.
Trade cautiously. 🚀⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly! 💡
Tesla is About to Collapse… or Skyrocket—Are You In?Tesla is all over the news with boycotts, drama, and market chaos, but the real action is on the charts. If we break below 222, things could get ugly fast with a drop toward 197, 186, and even 176. But if we hold above 223, momentum could send us flying past 232, 237, and potentially 256 or even 264.
Big money is watching, and the next move could be massive. The question is—are you trading this or just watching from the sidelines?
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Tesla at a Crossroads: $257 or a Dive to $242? Alright, Tesla fam—big decision point ahead. Do we hold $257 and drop to $242, or are we about to rip to $280 and start pushing for higher highs? Either way, something big is brewing. How are you playing this?
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trader Smarter Live Better
$TSLA Technical Analysis... 2/28/2025!
After reaching the expected target for wave (c), which was predicted to match wave (a), the current decline likely represents wave (d). This decline could continue to 61.8% of wave (a) at $262. If a rebound occurs at this level, it may signal the beginning of a new upward trend, with wave (e) potentially equaling wave (a) at $539
Let's see how it plays out!
NASDAQ:TSLA #TSLA
TSLA’s Next Big Move: Collapse or Skyrocket? Key Levels to WatchTesla (TSLA) is approaching key price levels that will determine its next move.
Potential Downside:
-If TSLA drops below $297, the next level to watch is $292.
-A break below $292 could lead to $283.
-If $283 fails, the price may drop significantly toward $222.
Potential Upside:
-If TSLA reverses, it could rise back to $384.
-A breakout above $384 could push it to $431 and beyond.
If this analysis added value to you, please like and share!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Quick 4-Min Tesla Analysis: Deeper Pullback or Ready for LiftoffJust wrapped up a quick Tesla analysis (under 4 min)! Right now, we could see a dip to the $289 zone before pushing higher, or a deeper move down to $250 before driving up toward $475.
Where do you think Tesla is headed next? Let me know your thoughts!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Are you a TESLA bull? If so check this out!NASDAQ:TSLA
and just like that Tesla has most likely bottomed...
- Bull Flag
- Volume shelf with GAP
- Wr% downtrend breakout
A bullish cross and green H5 indicator means we will more than likely breakout and head higher!
Short term we retest $400 🎯
Breakout = 🎯$488 🎯 $581
Not financial advice