UK100 H4 | Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci supportUK100 is falling towards the buy entry 9,259.83, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 9,259.83, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 9,200.44, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 9,358.19, which is a multi swing high resistance.
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Ukforexsignals
EURGBP shorts due to higher than expected UK CPI y/y readingThe most recent UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July 2025 indicates an annual inflation rate of 3.8%, an increase from 3.6% in June 2025, marking the highest level in 18 months. Key drivers include rising transport costs and food inflation hitting a 16-month peak. Core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, climbed to 3.7% from 3.5% in May 2025. The CPI index stood at 138.90 points in June 2025, up from 138.40 points in May.
As a result of the above date, we expect the EUR to weaken against GBP.
XAU/USD Outlook: Gold's Bullish Momentum Strengthens 📌 XAU/USD Analysis: Gold on a Strong Bullish Momentum Amid Economic Optimism 📈💰
✨ Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently demonstrating significant bullish momentum, driven by improved global economic sentiment. The recent 90-day tariff suspension among major global economies and hints from the recent FOMC meeting about potential rate cuts later this year are fueling investor optimism.
📊 Technical Analysis:
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
3,146
3,162
3,168
🔸 Key Support Levels:
3,096
3,078
3,066
3,052
📈 Moving Averages Analysis:
MA 13 (Short-term): Clearly supports bullish momentum, offering buy signals as price sustains above this MA.
MA 34 (Medium-term): Supporting bullish sentiment with prices comfortably above.
MA 200 (Long-term): Reinforces the robust long-term bullish outlook with price consistently trading above this level.
🚀 Trading Strategy & Recommendations:
BUY Strategy (Preferred Scenario):
Entry Zone: 3,094 – 3,096
Stop Loss: 3,090
Take Profit Levels: 3,100 | 3,104 | 3,108 | 3,112 | 3,116 | 3,120
SELL Strategy (Cautious Approach):
Entry Zone: 3,164 – 3,166
Stop Loss: 3,170
Take Profit Levels: 3,160 | 3,156 | 3,152 | 3,148 | 3,144 | 3,140
🌍 Fundamental Context:
Positive Market Sentiment: The global economic outlook has turned favorable due to tariff suspensions and strong performance in equity markets.
Interest Rate Outlook: Recent signals from the FOMC regarding possible interest rate cuts are providing further support for gold’s upward trajectory.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Emphasize caution when engaging in short positions, given the prevailing bullish conditions.
Always implement strict stop-loss measures and maintain risk-to-reward ratios of at least 1:2.
Avoid over-leverage and ensure trades are sized appropriately.
💡 Conclusion & Final Thoughts:
Gold remains strongly bullish, backed by both technical indicators and a positive fundamental backdrop. Traders are encouraged to focus primarily on buy opportunities near significant support levels and remain alert to potential trend reversals at key resistance zones.
🗨️ Engage with Us:
What are your current strategies for gold? Share your insights and views in the comments section below! 💬👇
RUSSELL 2000 TRADE IDEA: LONG | BUY (06/01/25)We have seen a recent sweep on the previous day - and equal lows of the overall structure. These signal to me a potential trend reversal. I expect price to do so after the confirmation of a break of structure to the upside.
RR: 2.45 or you can take the higher TP @ 2339 with almost double RR of 4.
NOTE: This isn’t financial advice. Trade safely and at your by own risk.
UK100/FTSE: Two Corrections Complete, Time for Upward Wave!After enduring two corrections, the UK100/FTSE index appears poised for a significant upward wave, potentially leading to a new all-time high.
Market analysts anticipate a resurgence in bullish momentum as previous downward corrections conclude. With these setbacks behind it, the index is primed for renewed optimism and potential record-breaking performance. Investors are closely monitoring for signs of this anticipated upward surge, ready to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the UK stock market.
The UK Needs MORE Homes - So Construction Stocks Breakout ?We all know the UK needs more houses, and that the ones already built are waaay unaffordable.
The scramble to move house in 2021 corresponded with a big rally for building and construction stocks in 2021, admittedly alongside a lot of other parts of the UK stock market.
That rally retraced by exactly 61.8% (Fibonacci) in 2022 and STOPPED FALLING.
Since then its been meandering sideways about 100p from 680 to 780.
This hasn't bee all that interesting - it's a consolidation period.
BUT.. potentially, big players are quietly stepping in - it's what we call accumulation.
We think that if UB320 The FTSE 350 Construction and Materials sector closes over 785, then we want to own the top names in that index for a new period of more obvious strength.
This sector holds these 7 stocks, ordered by 1 year performance.
Kier Group (+67%)
CRH (+60%)
Genuit Group (+28%)
Keller (+4.5%)
Ibstock PLC (-1.7%)
Balfour Beatty (-9.43%)
Marshalls (-12.69%)
We like to buy strength. What do you think?
UK300GBPThere is a head and shoulder pattern likely to form. I am waiting for the price to break out at the support zone, then retest it so that we can have a go ahead to place our position.
I anticipate that the price might continue with the bearish momentum.
My intended entry point is 7600, SL at 7630 and TP at 7500, thus R:R is 1:3.
GBPJPY H8 - Pending Short SignalsGBPJPY H8
Probably the cleanest setup out of it's peers that were analysed on Sunday, GBPJPY resistance/support price of 183 looks very clean. We are coming up for a test of that 183.00 handle, it could certainly be an opportunity to grab shorts.
As markets opened on Sunday we saw the bearish gap, I wonder if this is something that will pin and dump towards the liquidity lows of 178 from last week.
USDJPY INDUCED SWING SHORTOn our HTF we have a clear bearish bias after liquidity pool has been swept and retraction trend coming to end with a supply rejection zone giving us a confirmation for the short... in addition, fundamental view, we have a weaker USD giving us a sure entry assurance for our swing short position.
Short GBP/USD this pail will go lower again especially the fed reserve will continue to raise rates to 4.5% and index will go lower from the highest resistance at 114 then the index will go higher again as the recession will continue so the strongest Resistance here at 1.2444 after fed continue raise rate the pair decline almost 319 pips almost 2.5% in only 2 days, we will continue to decline to the first support at level between (1.1400-1.1600) then after breaking the pervious support we will go to the strongest support at level between (1.0430-1.0700)
hargreaves landowns stock, long term down trendLSE:HL.
1d candle chart, 4 year downtrend, short for me, maybe 2026 this thing will turn around,
support and resistance marked, for sensible entry and exits.
JET2 1HOUR LSE UK chart looking ok for swing trades, support and resistance lines drawn. apply stop losses to your trades, good risk management.
jet 2 is great long term stock to hold, but if your want to trade it, they're is plenty opportunities to make money, with good trade setups.
Previous Close 882. 40
Open 895.80
Bid 880.20 x N/A
Ask 883.80 x N/A
Day's Range 874.60 - 910.00
52 Week Range 739.55 - 1,434.19
Volume 101,634
Avg . Volume 663,853
Jet2 has a market capitalization of UK£1.96b,
March 2022, Jet2 had UK £991.7m of debt, up from UK £756.2m a year ago.
balance sheet data, we can see that Jet2 had liabilities of UK£1.68b due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£1.42b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£2.23b and UK£185.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling UK£682.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Why Is The BoE Interest Rate Decision On A Knife’s Edge?The Bank of England (BoE) has a difficult decision ahead of it. Next week, on December 16, 2021, it must release its decision regarding its benchmark interest rate.
The two options on the table are for the Bank to increase its interest rate or leave it as is.
Why is the BoE interest rate decision on a knife’s edge?
Inflation in the UK is at a 10-year high
Consumer prices in the UK have increased YoY by 4.2% up to October. Prices increased most in energy commodities such as gas and liquid fuels.
The BoE is tasked to keep inflation ~2% per annum. However, the BoE view is that inflation will return below 3% on average by the second quarter of 2022, and further downside movement in Q3 and Q4. This all means any intervention right now could turn out to be unnecessary or heavy-handed.
As it stands, the BoE’s benchmark interest rate is a historically low, 0.1%.
How long will ‘transitory’ UK inflation last?
The US Federal Reserve and the US Treasury figureheads have recently dumped the categorisation of inflation as “transitory”. However, the BoE hasn’t been pressured as much as the US institutions to drop the transitory line.
The BoE continues to hold out hope that the major drivers of inflation, such as energy prices, will subside by mid next year. The transitory nature of inflation, as the BoE see it, is concerning, as it means they run the risk of hiking interest rate before it is necessary.
Yet, no matter how transitory the high price of energy may turn out to be, the Bank of England’s hand may be forced by other matters, such as UK workers demanding much higher wages in response to the prolonged transitory inflation.
How possible is a wage-price spiral?
UK workers are feeling the pinch of rising energy and consumer product and have been asking for wage increases to help mitigate the decrease in their disposable income.
Average weekly wages (including bonuses) in the UK have risen 5.8% YoY to September. The BoE has graded the wage growth for the UK as moderate and has dismissed the possibility of a “wage-price spiral”. Yet, if the major drivers of inflation do not abate in a reasonable amount of time, the BoE run the risk of inflation becoming entrenched as UK workers demand further pay rises.
Further exacerbating the issue is the tight labour market in the UK, with unemployment and under-employment currently at pre-pandemic lows, helping driving wage growth.
GBPUSD Weekly Outlook Ahead of the UK Brexit NegotiationsThe GBPUSD pair has been on the decline over the past few weeks. This is as a result of the rise in UK inflation and the Bank of England’s (BoE) decision on interest rates. The pair is now trading at 1.33ish which was a 3.68% decline from its highest level at 1.37949.
We highlight 3 main fundamental drivers for a possible downfall of GBPUSD
- Inflation rose above the 2% target
- UK post-Brexit / Ireland negotiations
- Strong US data, Jerome Powell kept as a FED chair
forexezy.com Learn more about fundamentals of this trade idea
The pair is moving below the 20-day and 50-day MAs, forming 1 level bearish signal. The relative strength index (RSI) is also below 50 and moving close to 30, confirming the signal at the 2 level.
The pair also appears to have formed an inverted cup and handle. This indicates a bearish continuation, and 3 level confirmation for our technical analysis.
Therefore, the pair will likely keep falling, so the next psychological level to watch is 1.30000, which has on several occasions been a support level for the pair.
UK100 BUY NOW.......
💹UK100 ⏬BUY @ 7289.5
✅TP # 7344.0
⛔️SL 7240.0
N.B- If have small balance to trade. Plz avoid SILVER trade now.
Because market highly volatile.
📊 Trade Accuracy 80% 📊
📊 Risk Ratio 1:1 📊
📊 Follow Proper M.M & Use S.L 📊
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