US WALL ST 30
Could we see a drop from here?US30 is reacting off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 48,501.17
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 48,912.89
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 47,943.36
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
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US30: Late-Cycle Pop or Pullback Setup?The 𝐃𝐨𝐰 is pressing fresh highs into a historically soft seasonal window with stretched momentum and limited follow-through. I’m initiating/adding to a daily timeframe short aiming for a retrace back into prior breakout territory. My baseline path is a drift lower toward 44,500–44,000 (T1) and then the broader demand band near 43,000–42,2500 (T2), where I’ll reassess.
This isn’t a “crash” call—just a tactical mean-reversion as macro tailwinds fade, breadth narrows and the first Fed cut shifts the narrative from “rates down” to “why they’re down.”
Technicals:
• Stretched swing: Price has stair-stepped higher with shallow pullbacks; we’re now extended above the 50/100-DMA stack with waning impulse on push days (smaller real bodies, upper wicks).
• Local resistance: Repeated stalls into the same supply shelf. I’m leaning into the most recent failed extension and fading the box.
Structure map:
• Entry: around/into the failed-break zone 46.4k area.
• Invalidation: daily close > recent spike highs around 47.7k-48.0k.
• Targets: T1 45,000–44,500 (prior ATH retest / micro-POC region); T2 44,000–43,000.
• Risk: 0.5–1.0R per add; scale in only on rejection prints or lower-highs.
Fundamentals:
1) The first Fed cut is not automatically bullish.
The Fed delivered a 25 bps cut in September and signaled more easing, which historically can coincide with late-cycle growth scares and choppier equity returns rather than a straight-line melt-up. The cut was framed around cooling activity and inflation progress. 
2) Growth data is mixed—manufacturing still weak.
The ISM Manufacturing PMI remained in contraction in August (48.7)—below the 50 expansion line—signaling ongoing softness in goods demand. That is typically a headwind for the Dow’s cyclical mix. 
3) ES500 (S&P 500) breadth is narrow; concentration risk elevated.
Mega-caps continue to dominate performance and index leadership, while equal-weight underperforms and concentration risk stays high—conditions that historically increase pullback vulnerability. 
4) Valuations are rich versus history.
FactSet’s mid-summer forward 12-month P/E for the S&P 500 hovered well above 5- and 10-year averages (>22x vs. ~19x/17x), leaving less cushion if growth wobbles or margins compress. 
5) Sentiment & seasonality aren’t tailwinds.
September/early Q4 are seasonally tricky—historically the weakest stretch for US equities—just as the market tries to price the path of cuts vs. growth. 
6) Policy & trade headline risk.
Tariff timelines and “reciprocal” duties remain in play (with officials signaling Aug-1 implementation and additional measures possible), a rolling overhang for global cyclicals and exporters tied into the Dow complex. 
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
US30 Momentum Rebuild: Breakout Retest Signals Potential Upside📈 DJI30 / US30 – Dow Jones Industrial Average Trade Opportunity Guide
🏛️ Market Context
The index is showing strong accumulation pressure, with buyers stepping back in as volatility narrows. Momentum tools and trend metrics continue to lean toward the upside, creating a setup where disciplined layering becomes highly effective for precision entries.
🔥 Trade Plan – Bullish Strategy in Play
✅ Technical Confirmation
KIJUN MA accumulation indicates steady buy-side pressure building beneath price.
HULL Moving Average breakout completed with a clean pullback + retest, confirming trend continuation strength.
Market structure remains constructive with higher lows forming consistently.
🎯 Entry Plan (Layering Method Included)
Any price level can be used, but this plan uses Thief Layering Strategy for controlled scaling:
💠 Buy Limit Layers:
47,000
47,250
47,500
47,750
48,000
(Traders can add more layers depending on personal risk and capital allocation style.)
🛡️ Stop Loss (SL)
Thief SL → 46,750
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs): Please adjust according to personal strategy and risk. This SL is an example, not a fixed rule. Trade with your own management principles.
🎯 Target (TP)
Main Target → 49,500
The market is approaching major moving-average resistance + overbought zones + potential trap regions. It’s wise to secure profits as the index reaches upper supply levels.
Again, Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs): TP is flexible. Manage your profit bookings based on your personal approach.
🌍 Related Pairs to Watch & Correlations
1️⃣ SP:SPX / S&P 500
Often moves in high correlation with US30.
Strong bullish momentum here typically supports US30 upside.
Watch for divergence → if SPX stalls while US30 pushes, upside may weaken.
2️⃣ NASDAQ:NDX / NAS100 (Nasdaq 100)
Tracks tech sentiment, which influences overall US risk appetite.
If NAS100 shows weakness while Dow is rising, expect mixed flows → Dow may slow down but still hold structure.
3️⃣ TVC:VIX (Volatility Index)
Inverse correlation to US30.
Falling VIX = stronger risk-on behavior, supporting bullish Dow positions.
Sudden VIX spikes signal caution on existing long positions.
4️⃣ TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
Strong Dollar sometimes suppresses equity momentum.
If DXY drops, US30 tends to gain strength as liquidity flows to equities.
5️⃣ CBOT_MINI:YM1! (Dow Futures)
The closest real-time mirror of US30 price action.
Useful for re-entry timing during pullbacks and session gaps.
🧭 Final Notes
Stay disciplined with your own SL/TP logic, manage exposure through layered entries, and monitor correlation assets for confirmation. This is a flexible play designed for DAY & Swing traders who thrive in momentum-driven environments.
US30 Dow Jones Weekly Open Retest Strategy’m watching US30 (Dow Jones) closely right now, and it’s been in a strong bullish trend over the last two weeks. 📈🔥 We’ve seen two powerful drives to the upside, and there’s a good chance we could get that classic third drive completing a three-drive pattern before the week ends.
As price pushed higher, it’s already dipped back down into sell-side liquidity, clearing out those resting lows. That kind of move often sets the stage for another leg higher, so it’s definitely possible we see US30 continue north from the current levels. ⬆️💰
At the same time, it wouldn’t surprise me to see price pull back a bit more, possibly dipping below the weekly open to rebalance before making its next move.
Either way, my focus is on the weekly open. I want to see price break through it, come back, retest it, and show me that the level is now acting as support. That retest is the zone where I’d be interested in looking for long opportunities. 🟩📊
Stay patient and wait for clean structure.
Not financial advice.
US30 Bullish Plan! Layered Entries + Clean Targets Mapped🔥 DOW JONES (US30) BULLISH PULLBACK - THIEF STRATEGY LAYER ENTRY! 🔥
📈 Asset: CAPITALCOM:US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average CFD)
🎯 Bias: BULLISH - Strong Uptrend, MA Pullback Play
⏰ Timeframe: Day Trade / Swing
🛡️ Strategy: "THIEF LAYERING" - Multi-Level Limit Order Entry for Optimal Risk/Entry
📋 TRADE PLAN: THIEF'S LAYERED BULLISH PULLBACK
✅ CONDITION:
Bullish structure intact ✅
Price pulling back towards key Moving Average support ✅
This is a "Buy the Dip" setup for continuation.
🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY (THIEF LAYER METHOD):
Use MULTIPLE BUY LIMIT ORDERS to scale into the trade.
Suggested Layers (Adjust based on your capital):
➡️ Layer 1: 47,300
➡️ Layer 2: 47,400
➡️ Layer 3: 47,500
You can increase or decrease layers based on your own analysis.
⛔ STOP LOSS (THIEF OG's NOTE):
Initial SL: 47,200 (below key structure)
⚠️ IMPORTANT: Adjust your SL based on YOUR OWN RISK & STRATEGY. I am not responsible for your SL. Trade at your own risk.
🎯 TAKE PROFIT (ESCAPE THE POLICE BARRICADE!):
Primary Target: 48,100
This zone acts as strong resistance + overbought + potential trap.
Escape with profits before the "police" (sellers) arrive!
⚠️ NOTE: You can take partial profits earlier. This is YOUR choice - manage your own trade!
📊 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH:
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): ⚠️ INVERSE CORRELATION
Strong TVC:DXY = Pressure on CAPITALCOM:US30 (typically).
Watch for DXY weakness to confirm bullish CAPITALCOM:US30 momentum.
SP:SPX (S&P 500) / NASDAQ:NDX (Nasdaq 100): ✅ POSITIVE CORRELATION
If SPX/NDX are strong, likely supports CAPITALCOM:US30 rally.
Weakness here may limit CAPITALCOM:US30 upside.
TVC:VIX (Volatility Index): ⚠️ FEAR GAUGE
Rising TVC:VIX = Risk-off mood, may cap equity gains.
Stable/Low TVC:VIX supports bullish move.
EUR/USD & GBP/USD: ⚠️ DOLLAR SENSITIVITY
USD pairs can signal broad USD strength/weakness, impacting PURPLETRADING:US30.
📌 KEY NOTES FOR THIEF OG's:
This is a LAYERED ENTRY strategy - patience is key.
Adjust ALL levels based on your account size & risk tolerance.
Watch related markets for confirmation or warning signs.
YOU are responsible for your trades - manage them actively!
👍 LIKE & FOLLOW if you find this useful!
🔔 TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS for more THIEF STRATEGY setups!
💬 COMMENT below with your adjustments or questions!
#TradingView #US30 #DowJones #TradingStrategy #DayTrade #Bullish #Pullback #StockMarket #TradingIdeas #CFD #IndexTrading #ThiefStrategy #LayerTrading
Can the Dow Jones Continue Its Bullish Momentum This Week?🚀 US30/DJI Dow Jones - Bullish Pullback Opportunity 📈
Professional Market Blueprint | Swing Trade Setup
📊 TRADE OVERVIEW
Asset: US30/DJI - Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Timeframe: Swing Trade (4H-Daily)
Bias: 🟢 BULLISH - Hull MA Pullback Strategy
Confirmation: Heikin Ashi Reversal Candle Pattern
🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY - "LAYERING METHOD" 🎯
Approach: Multiple limit orders (Professional Risk Distribution)
Layer Entry Points:
Layer 1: 46,600 🔵
Layer 2: 46,800 🔵
Layer 3: 47,000 🔵
Layer 4: 47,200 🔵
💡 Tip: Adjust additional layers based on your risk tolerance and account size
🛑 RISK MANAGEMENT
Stop Loss: 46,400
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is a reference level only. You manage your own risk. Adjust SL according to your strategy and risk profile.
Take Profit Target: 48,800
📌 Rationale: Moving Average resistance + Overbought zone + Trap detection
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is a reference level only. You manage your own risk. Take profits at your own discretion.
📈 TECHNICAL CONFLUENCE
✅ Hull Moving Average - Bullish alignment & pullback structure
✅ Heikin Ashi Reversal - Confirmation candle pattern at entry zones
✅ Moving Average Resistance - Strong rejection level near TP
✅ Overbought Divergence - Potential trap for trap traders
✅ Risk/Reward Ratio - Favorable 1:3+ setup potential
🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH - CORRELATION ANALYSIS
📍 AMEX:SPY - S&P 500 ETF (Positive Correlation - 0.92)
US30 follows broad market sentiment. SPY strength = DJI bullish momentum.
📍 NASDAQ:QQQ - Nasdaq-100 ETF (Positive Correlation - 0.85)
Tech sector performance impacts overall market. Monitor for divergence signals.
📍 AMEX:IWM - Russell 2000 (Small Cap) (Positive Correlation - 0.88)
Small-cap rotations precede index moves. Early trend confirmation signal.
📍 AMEX:GLD - Gold Spot Price (Inverse Correlation - -0.45)
Risk-on sentiment (bullish DJI) = weaker gold. Inverse hedge setup.
📍 TVC:VIX - Volatility Index (Inverse Correlation - -0.70)
Rising VIX = market fear = DJI pullback risk. Monitor at entry zones.
📍 TVC:US10Y Yield (Negative Correlation - -0.55)
Rising yields pressure equities. Check yield strength before entries.
📍 TVC:DXY - US Dollar Index (Weak Negative - -0.30)
Stronger dollar = export headwinds. Minor impact, secondary indicator.
⚡ KEY TRADING RULES
🔴 BEFORE ENTRY:
Confirm Hull MA slope is positive
Wait for Heikin Ashi reversal candle close
Check VIX & SPY alignment
Ensure no major economic events
🟢 AT ENTRY:
Use layering strategy (don't chase)
Build position gradually across 4 layers
Scale risk based on account size
Document entry price & time
🟡 DURING TRADE:
Trail stop loss after +1% profit
Monitor related pairs for divergence
Close 50% at +2% for risk-free trade
Let remainder run to target
🔵 EXIT PLAN:
Target: 48,800 (reference level)
Or: Exit on Heikin Ashi reversal signal
Or: Close on MA resistance rejection
Never hold into major news events
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Confirmed BoS
With the yesterday's fundamental US news releases and
Trump's speech, US30 bounced strongly.
The market violated a significant daily resistance cluster
and closed above that.
It opens a potential for more growth to a resistance based
on a current All-Time High.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Is US30 Setting Up a Major Bullish Reversal? Layer Plan Inside🚀 US30 BULLISH SWING LAYER STRATEGY | "The Thief" Entries 🚀
BROTHERS & SISTERS OF THE MARKET! 👋 Welcome back, Thief OG's! 🦸♂️🦸♀️ A powerful Bullish setup is forming on the US30 (DOW JONES), and I'm sharing my layered entry plan to strategically position for the next leg up.
📈 Asset: US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
⚡ Bias: Bullish | Style: Swing Trade
🎯 The Strategic Plan (The "Thief" Method)
This isn't a gamble; it's a calculated siege. We use a "Thief" Layering Strategy to scale into the position, reducing average entry cost and managing risk. We don't chase price; we let price come to us!
⚔️ Trade Execution Details
✅ ENTRIES (Buy Limit Layers):
We are setting multiple buy orders at key support levels. This is the core of the "Thief" method:
▶️ Layer 1: 46,400
▶️ Layer 2: 46,600
▶️ Layer 3: 46,800
▶️ Layer 4: 47,000
💡 Pro Tip: You can INCREASE or ADJUST these layers based on your capital and risk appetite.
❌ STOP LOSS (RISK MANAGEMENT):
A consolidated stop loss is placed below a major support zone to protect our capital.
➡️ SL: 46,200 (or lower based on your personal risk tolerance)
⚠️ Disclaimer (PLEASE READ): I am NOT a financial advisor. This SL is a suggestion. You MUST adjust your Stop Loss based on your own risk management strategy. Protect your capital at all costs!
🎯 PROFIT TARGET:
We are targeting a significant resistance zone where the market might see a pullback.
🎯 TP: 48,800
Rationale: This area aligns with a confluence of factors including Moving Average resistance and a potential overbought trap. The goal is to "escape with profits" before a potential reversal.
🤑 Take Note: You are free to take profits earlier! If you're in profit, you can never be wrong for taking money off the table.
🔍 Market Analysis & Key Drivers
Bullish Structure: The overall trend structure on higher timeframes remains intact.
Layered Advantage: This strategy smooths out the entry, preventing a single, potentially poor, entry point.
Risk Defined: Our maximum risk is clearly defined from the start.
🌐 Related Pairs & Correlations to Watch
Diversify your view! The US30 doesn't move in a vacuum. Keep these key assets on your watchlist:
SP:SPX (S&P 500): 🟢 High Positive Correlation. The SPX is the broader market leader. A strong SPX often pulls the DOW higher. This is your #1 confirmation.
NASDAQ:NDX (Nasdaq 100): 🟢 Positive Correlation. Tech strength can fuel overall market sentiment, but watch for divergence.
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): 🔴 Generally Inverse Correlation. A strengthening dollar can be a headwind for US equities. If DXY rallies sharply, be cautious.
/ES (S&P 500 Futures): 🟢 High Positive Correlation. Tracks the SPX almost tick-for-tick. Great for real-time sentiment.
✅ Conclusion
This "Thief" layered strategy provides a disciplined, low-stress approach to catching a potential US30 upswing. Remember, the market is about probabilities, not certainties.
👑 Your Capital, Your Rules. Trade Safe!
📌 Hashtags for Maximum Visibility:
#TradingView #US30 #DOW #TradingStrategy #SwingTrading #Stocks #Investing #Finance #Bullish #LayerStrategy #RiskManagement #ThiefStrategy #MarketAnalysis #SPX #DXY
👉 LIKE & FOLLOW if you found this idea helpful! Your support keeps the research coming! 💪
US30 DOW JONES at Resistance: Here's My Trade PlanI'm keeping a close eye on US30 right now. The market has pushed into a clean bullish breakout, printing higher highs and higher lows across both the H4 and H1 timeframes. 🚀
At the moment, price is overextended and tapping into a significant resistance zone, suggesting that a retracement is likely. Some aggressive traders may look for a counter-trend short, but that comes with elevated risk. ⚠️
Personally, I’m waiting for a healthy pullback, followed by a bullish break of structure to confirm a trend continuation setup. That’s where the higher-probability opportunity may unfold. ✔️
Not financial advice — for educational purposes only.
US30 H4 | Bullish Reversal SetupMomentum: Bullish
The price is currently retracing toward the buy entry, which aligns with a key pullback support level.
Buy Entry: 46,211.47
Pullback support
Stop Loss: 45,516.00
Multi swing-low support
145% Fibonacci extension
Take Profit: 47,388.08
Pullback resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Could we see a reveral from here?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot, which is an overlap resistance, and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 47,416.67
1st Support: 46,601.64
1st Resistance: 48,048.01
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish continuation setup?The Dow Jones (US30) is declining toward the pivot level, which is an overlap support aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A potential rebound toward the recent swing high resistance could occur from this area.
Pivot: 45,746.42
1st Support: 43,977.09
1st Resistance: 48,012.20
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.






















