S&P500 sideways consolidation resistance at 6520Summary:
The S&P 500 (-0.01%) slipped for a second consecutive session, dragged by weakness in tech.
The Magnificent 7 (-0.16%) edged lower, with Intel (-3.66%) among the worst performers on reports of a potential 10% US government stake, partly offset by news that SoftBank will buy $2bn in Intel shares.
Broader sentiment was weighed down by a hawkish rates re-pricing and a weaker-than-expected NAHB housing market index (32 vs. 34 expected).
There were some bright spots: the Russell 2000 (+0.35%) outperformed, and Europe’s STOXX 600 (+0.08%) inched up to a 3-month high.
Geopolitics remained in focus as Trump pushed for a summit between Putin and Zelenskiy, with US and EU officials moving on security guarantees for Ukraine.
Conclusion for S&P 500 trading:
The index remains under mild pressure, reflecting rate concerns and housing weakness, while Intel headlines added volatility to tech. Broader market resilience—highlighted by small-cap outperformance—suggests downside is limited in the near term, but the S&P 500 may stay range-bound until clearer signals emerge on rates and housing momentum.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6520
Resistance Level 2: 6580
Resistance Level 3: 6637
Support Level 1: 6400
Support Level 2: 6372
Support Level 3: 6340
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Us500
Nasdaq100, DJIA & S&P500 - Quick technical analysisThe top three US indices are near their all-time highs. Will we see new all-time highs?
Let's take a look.
MARKETSCOM:US100
MARKETSCOM:US30
MARKETSCOM:US500
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
"US500 BREAKOUT – TIME TO LOAD LIMIT ORDERS FOR THE PUMP?"🔥🦹♂️ "SPX500 BANK HEIST – LAYERED BULL RAID IN PROGRESS!" 💰📈
(Thief Trader’s Multi-Limit Order Bullish Ambush – No Weak Hands Allowed)
📍 ASSET: US500 / SPX500 (S&P 500 INDEX)
🎯 HEIST PLAN: BULLISH BREAKOUT
💣 ENTRY: ANY PRICE LEVEL (Thieves use Layered Limit Orders – adapt like a pro!)
🔫 SAMPLE LAYERS: (Scale in like a boss!)
BUY LIMIT LAYER 1: 6475.00
BUY LIMIT LAYER 2: 6460.00
BUY LIMIT LAYER 3: 6440.00
(Add more layers if needed – flexibility is key!)
🛑 STOP LOSS: 6400.00 (Thief’s Emergency Exit – adjust based on your risk!)
🎯 TARGET: 6600.00 (First profit zone – trail or take gains!)
🦹♂️ THIEF TRADER’S MASTER PLAN:
"We don’t ask for permission – we take profits."
🔹 ENTRY TACTICS:
Use multiple limit orders (LAYERED STRATEGY) – like planting timed explosives at key levels.
No panic entries – thieves strike with precision, not emotion.
DCA if needed – but keep bullets for the real move.
🔹 STOP LOSS RULES:
6400 = Danger Zone – if price breaks, abort mission & regroup.
SL too tight? You’ll get stopped out by market noise. SL too wide? You’ll bleed. Find balance.
🔹 TAKE PROFIT STRATEGY:
First TP @ 6600 – secure partial profits.
Let runners ride with trailing stop – or full exit if momentum fades.
🚨 THIEF’S GOLDEN RULES:
✅ Only LONG – no revenge shorts, no greed traps.
✅ Trade in SILENCE – avoid high-impact news (CPI, NFP, Fed).
✅ Risk management = Survival – don’t blow your account on one play.
✅ BOOST & SHARE – if this plan helps, spread the word!
📢 FINAL WARNING:
"This is not financial advice – it’s a thief’s blueprint.
Plan your escape before entry. Market heists require discipline."
💬 COMMENT "ROBBING SPX" if you’re in!
🔥 LIKE & BOOST if you ride with the Thief Trader crew!
🦹♂️ THIEF TRADER OUT.
💸 STEAL SMART. GET RICH. REPEAT.
S&P500 bullish on rate cut betsS&P 500 hits new high on rate cut bets – The index rose +0.32% to another record as markets priced in further Fed easing. Gains were broad-based, with 421 constituents higher, while small-caps outperformed sharply (Russell 2000 +1.98%, best two-day run since April). The Magnificent 7 lagged (-0.31%), easing from Tuesday’s record.
Macro backdrop – Optimism was supported by rate cut expectations despite geopolitical tensions. Trump warned of “very severe consequences” for Russia without a ceasefire, while US Treasury Secretary Bessent urged Europe to toughen energy sanctions.
Risk appetite – Bitcoin hit a fresh record above $124,500, underscoring investor appetite for risk assets.
Takeaway for traders – Breadth-driven rally suggests underlying market strength beyond mega-caps, with small-cap momentum potentially spilling over into the broader index.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6520
Resistance Level 2: 6580
Resistance Level 3: 6637
Support Level 1: 6400
Support Level 2: 6372
Support Level 3: 6340
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P500 INDEX (US500): Bullish Rally Continues
S&P500 is going to continue rising at least to 6500 level.
A confirmed break of structure BoS on a daily indicates
a clear dominance of the buyers.
With the absence of high impact US news today, the market will
remain strongly bullish.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
US500 Short Setup: Bearish Momentum Toward 6205Currently holding a short position on the US500 from the 6358 level, based on Smart Money Concepts. Price has tapped into a premium zone within a higher time frame supply area, showing clear signs of distribution. Liquidity has been swept above recent highs, and a shift in market structure confirms bearish intent. I’m targeting the 6205 level, expecting a rapid downside move in the very short term as smart money drives price toward discounted levels.
S&P500 awaits US CPI data capped by 6437US equities were little changed Monday. Nvidia (-0.35%) and AMD (-0.28%) slipped after agreeing to pay 15% of Chinese AI chip sales revenue to the US government in exchange for export licenses — a deal Trump confirmed, adding he may allow a scaled-down Blackwell chip to be sold in China. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell -0.13%, cushioned by Intel (+3.51%) after its CEO met with Trump. The Mag-7 (-0.09%) saw slight outperformance, led by Tesla (+2.85%).
Trump extended the US–China tariff truce by 90 days to November 10, keeping additional tariffs at 30%. China matched the extension.
The Fed chair search now includes vice chairs Bowman and Jefferson, plus Dallas Fed President Logan. Trump appointed EJ Antoni (Heritage Foundation) to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Markets await today’s US CPI, which could influence Fed rate-cut bets, while gold traders look for clarity after Trump said gold imports won’t be tariffed.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6437
Resistance Level 2: 6480
Resistance Level 3: 6520
Support Level 1: 6340
Support Level 2: 6295
Support Level 3: 6256
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P500 Channel Up going straight to 6670.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a 3-month Channel Up since the May 12 candle. All of this time, it has been supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and as long as it holds, the new Bullish Leg is expected.
The last two rose by +7.06%, and ahead of a new 1D MACD Bullish Cross, that gives us a medium-term Target of 6670.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Big CorrectionThe S&P index.
The chart shows the potential end of the final rally from the 2009 low.
Currently, with this rally from the recent 4,800 low, we are still in a correction period that will end in late October (highs and lows are irrelevant), & We have a date coming up in August so let's see what happens there.
After this period, we will have a rally combined with uncertainty and unjustified speculative movements (bubble) that could take us to the final peak, which I expect in 2026.
This remains a possibility, but don't base your trades on it. However, caution is often good.
S&P 500 extends drop - can dip buyers come to rescue again?After a decent rally earlier in the day, the major indices and futures started to ease off around mid-morning London trade, before easing further lower in the last couple of hours.
At the time of writing, the S&P was testing its session lows. Here it was probing support and a short-term bullish trend line in the 6319-6331 range. This area needs to hold to keep the bulls happy and in charge. Break this and we could see a bigger correction in the days ahead.
Resistance now comes in at 6372 followed by 6,400.
By Fawad Razaqzada, markets analyst with FOREX>com
US500: Rebound Setup After Sharp Pullback – Key Support HoldingUS500 has experienced a strong corrective move after an extended bullish run but is now showing signs of stabilizing near a key support area. This zone aligns with both technical retracement levels and the market's reaction to fundamental shifts—particularly the dovish repricing of the Fed following weak US jobs data.
Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
Pattern: After a strong uptrend, price faced a steep correction, forming a potential short-term reversal setup.
Current Level: 6,235, holding above the 6,217 support zone.
Key Support Levels:
6,217 (immediate support; key defense zone for bulls).
6,171 (38.2% retracement, secondary support if deeper pullback occurs).
Resistance Levels:
6,272 (23.6% retracement and initial resistance).
6,360 (upper resistance zone and retest of recent breakdown).
6,429/6,436 (recent high and target if bullish momentum resumes).
Projection: A rebound from current levels could push US500 back toward 6,360–6,430 if support holds.
Fundamental Analysis
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish as macro drivers favor a recovery from pullback.
Key Fundamentals:
Fed Policy: Weak US jobs (+73K) and downward revisions have solidified rate cut expectations (~75% probability in September), boosting equity sentiment.
Inflation: Market awaits US CPI; softer data would further support equities.
Tariffs: While Trump’s tariffs create a medium-term risk for earnings, immediate Fed easing bets outweigh these concerns.
Risk Sentiment: Global risk remains supported by lower yields and optimism about Fed easing.
Risks:
Hot US CPI could reverse cut expectations, pressuring equities.
Geopolitical risks or tariff escalation could trigger renewed selling.
Key Events:
US CPI and PPI.
Fed speeches and rate expectations.
Earnings reports from key US companies.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
US500 is a leader, driving global risk sentiment and influencing risk-sensitive assets like AUD/USD, NZD/USD, and JPY crosses.
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
US500 is neutral-to-bullish, stabilizing at key support (6,217) after a sharp correction. Fed cut expectations and risk-on sentiment support the upside scenario, targeting 6,360–6,430 if US CPI aligns with softer inflation. However, a hot CPI print could invalidate this rebound and trigger another leg lower.
S&P bullish continuation supported at 6340Tariff Turmoil and Geopolitical Shifts – Implications for S&P 500 Trading
Donald Trump's sweeping new tariffs officially took effect, hitting nearly all U.S. trading partners. Switzerland, facing the steepest rates among developed nations, may retaliate by cancelling a major fighter jet purchase, signaling potential defense-sector implications.
Key developments:
Semiconductor imports to face 100% tariffs, unless production is moved onshore – a bullish signal for domestic chipmakers (e.g., Intel, GlobalFoundries) but negative for firms reliant on overseas fabs.
Additional tariffs floated on China over purchases of Russian oil, echoing similar penalties on India – suggesting growing fragmentation in global trade.
Market impact:
S&P 500 sectors likely affected:
Tech (Semis): Tariff pressure may weigh on multinationals like Nvidia or AMD short term, but benefit domestic fabs and U.S.-based supply chains.
Industrials/Defense: Swiss retaliation could ripple through defense contractors if deals are halted.
Energy/Commodities: Any China-Russia oil tensions could lead to energy volatility, affecting names like ExxonMobil or ConocoPhillips.
Meanwhile, China’s exports unexpectedly rose, softening the blow from the U.S. tariff crackdown. Chinese equity gains could calm broader EM sentiment, helping mitigate global risk-off contagion.
Finally, Trump signaled potential peace talks with Putin and Zelenskiy, with the Kremlin confirming a Putin meeting soon. A diplomatic breakthrough could ease geopolitical risk, supporting investor sentiment and equities globally.
Bottom Line for S&P 500:
Expect sector rotation as traders digest tariff fallout. Watch for:
Strength in domestically focused tech and defense stocks
Caution around globally exposed industrials and semis
Short-term volatility tied to trade rhetoric and geopolitical headlines
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6437
Resistance Level 2: 6480
Resistance Level 3: 6520
Support Level 1: 6340
Support Level 2: 6295
Support Level 3: 6256
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P 500 extends rally despite macro concernsThe 5% Apple rally aside, it is all about rate cut bets vs. strong earnings. So far, the latter has helped to keep US markets supported near all-time highs. But if macro concerns increase further, investors' perception about future earnings growth will weaken. And with that, we could see some cracks in expensive stocks.
Looking at the hourly chart of the SPX500, the US benchmark was testing a potential resistance zone in the shaded region between 6345 to 6367, an area which was previously support. Above this zone, 6392 is the next level of potential resistance and then the all-time high of 6436 comes into focus next.
earlier, the index bounced after a failed breakdown below the trend line shown on the chart. Another potential test of the trendline could see the index break lower. Short-term support is seen around 6319 then 6277.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Potential bearish drop?S&P500 is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 6,362.20
1st Support: 6,214.78
1st Resistance: 6,436.72
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
S&P500 at pivot zone Stocks are climbing higher, with S&P 500 futures up on hopes for interest rate cuts and solid company earnings. The outlook is positive, especially in the finance world—bankers, hedge funds, and asset managers are expected to get higher bonuses this year, reflecting stronger market conditions.
On the global front, the US is looking to tighten control over chip exports to China by adding better tracking in semiconductors. At the same time, Taiwan’s TSMC reported a possible leak of trade secrets, which led to arrests.
Trade talks are also heating up. Japan and Switzerland are sending officials to the US to push for lower tariffs, while India’s government is heading to Moscow just after criticism from the US over its Russian oil purchases.
Conclusion for S&P 500:
The rally has strong backing from earnings and rate-cut hopes, but investors should be alert. Rotation into small-cap stocks could continue, while tech and chip sectors may face headwinds from new trade and security pressures.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6380
Resistance Level 2: 6400
Resistance Level 3: 6436
Support Level 1: 6295
Support Level 2: 6256
Support Level 3: 6214
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US500 Bearish Idea: Waiting for Structure Break ConfirmationWatching the SPX US500 right now 📈 — it’s rallied hard with strong momentum and is pushing into a key resistance level ⚠️. Since price is overextended, I’m expecting a pullback towards equilibrium on the current move 🔄. My bias is bearish from this level 🔻, with entry dependent on a break in structure on the 30-min timeframe ⏳.
All is explained in the video 🎥 (not financial advice).
Rob the Rally SPX500: Enter Before Resistance Catches You🦹♂️💎 “SPX500 Vault Breach – Layered Robbery in Progress!” 💼📈
(Thief Trader's Multi-Limit Entry Bullish Blueprint – No Mercy, Just Money)
📍Asset: SPX500 / US500
🎯Plan: Bullish Heist
🧠Style: Layered Limit Orders | Thief Strategy Entry | Zero Mercy Execution
📈Target: 6600.00
🛑Stop Loss: 6200.00
💣Entry: Any level — thieves adapt, not wait!
🌍 Welcome to the Global Robbery Room, Traders!
It’s your boy Thief Trader, back in the vault with another plan to crack the SPX500 like a safe on Wall Street. This one’s for the bold bulls who like to rob with precision, not permission. 🎯💰
💼 The Setup – High Stakes, High Floors
SPX500 is lining up for a classic breakout breach. This isn’t just technical — it’s tactical warfare. Market noise? Ignore it. We operate on strategy and steel nerves. 🧠🔫
🔥 Entry Protocol – Layer Up or Miss Out
🧱 Multiple limit orders across price zones — like planting C4 charges on every door.
🎯 Enter wherever price dips — don’t wait for permission from retail traders.
🎯 No fixed entry — this is Thief Layering: get in where you fit in.
🚪 Escape Plan – Stop Loss Strategy
📍 SL: 6200.00
Why? That’s where the guards start showing up. If price drops below, we vanish.
💡 Be flexible — smart robbers don’t get caught, they regroup.
💎 Target Loot – The Golden Zone
📍 Primary TP: 6600.00
Once we breach the 6500+ resistance, it's a moonwalk. Lock gains or trail with confidence.
📢 Warning for Scalpers & Swing Thieves Alike:
Only play Long-side. Don’t try to rob both ends — that’s suicide.
Big wallet? Scale heavy. Small bag? Layer light but tight.
Always use trailing stops — never trust the market with your escape bag. 🎒💸
📊 Thief Intel – Why We’re Bullish
✅ Index rotation favors large-cap strength
✅ Macro sentiment + institutional bias points UP
✅ No bearish COT signals in sight
✅ Fed tone & economic backdrop: neutral to supportive
This isn’t hopium. It’s strategy.
🚨 NEWS FLASH – Stay Stealthy!
Do NOT enter during economic bombs 💣 (NFP, CPI, Fed minutes, etc.)
Market noise kills precision. We only move in silence and with SLs trailing tight.
💬 Smash that BOOST 💖 if you’re riding with the Thief Army.
Share this plan, spread the word, and let’s rob the markets the smart way.
📢 Tag your crew, stack your layers, and let’s hit 6600 like pros.
📌Disclaimer: Not financial advice — this is a market operation plan for educational use. Trade at your own risk. Smart thieves plan exits before entries. 💼📉📈
🦹♂️ Thief Trader out.
💸 Rob smart. Rob clean. Rob global.
ES | SP500 - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context:
Traders are currently anticipating a possible 0.25% rate cut during the upcoming September FOMC meeting, which continues to support the broader bullish framework.
Although the market pulled back after the Non-Farm Employment Change data came in below expectations, overall optimism remains.
Sentiment has now cooled off from last week's greed and shifted to a more neutral stance. Historically, August tends to bring some chop and pullbacks, but the structural bias still leans bullish.
🧾 Weekly Recap:
• ES kicked off the week with strong upward momentum, climbing steadily into Thursday.
• Along the way, price swept a key 4H swing high, breaking into new highs before initiating a retracement.
• This price action hinted at a short-term distribution and possible liquidity grab ahead of a correction.
📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan:
→ I'm anticipating a move into the Monthly Fair Value Gap — a high-probability liquidity zone on my radar.
→ That area could act as a springboard for bullish continuation or at least provide a strong reaction.
→ Until that happens, I remain short-biased targeting the 6226$ zone, which I've marked as a major level.
🎯 Setup Trigger:
Once price taps 6226$, I'll monitor for:
• Clear break of structure on the 4H and 1H timeframes
• Formation of new demand zones indicating potential reversal
→ On confirmation from the lower timeframes, I’ll shift my focus toward long setups, potentially targeting new highs.
📋 Trade Management:
• Stoploss: Below the demand zone formed on 1H–4H
• Target: I’ll trail my stop to lock in profits as price moves higher
• Note: Although I’ll be watching for ATH retests, I plan to manage risk actively and book profits along the way
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! I’ll be sharing more detailed setups and educational posts — stay connected!
S&P500 corrective pullback key support at 6200Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6316
Resistance Level 2: 6374
Resistance Level 3: 6430
Support Level 1: 6200
Support Level 2: 6112
Support Level 3: 6073
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Correction Ahead? SP500 Prints Reversal Signal at Key Resistance📘 This market moves like a textbook chart
SP500 is acting like a perfect case study from a trading manual. Back in early April, the index dipped just below 5,000, right into a confluence support zone ( I had spoken about this at the time ) – formed by the long-term ascending trendline and the 2022 all-time high. Just like other U.S. indices, the market reversed aggressively from that area.
🚀 A 30% rally in 4 months
From that low, SP500 rallied around 30% in just four months. An incredible move that brought the index straight to the upper boundary of the yearly rising channel.
🕯️ Bearish signal at the top
And just like in NAS100’s case , the index printed a strong Bearish Engulfing candle exactly at that resistance level. This kind of signal, after such a rise, shouldn’t be ignored.
📉 A correction is not only probable – it’s needed
A pullback from here is not just likely, but in my opinion, healthy and necessary . Short-term speculators could look for a move toward the 6,150 zone, which would already offer decent room for profit.
🔍 What if it goes deeper?
I wouldn’t be surprised to see a correction down to 5,750–5,800. That’s about a 10% decline, which wouldn't even classify as a bear market, just a normal reset after a euphoric rally.
🧠 Perspective matters
In a market that gained 30% in four months, a 10% correction is not a crash — it’s discipline being restored.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
S&P500 uptrend pause supported at 6355The S&P 500 slipped -0.12% after initially rising +0.3%, as Fed Chair Powell’s cautious “wait-and-see” stance on rate cuts dampened sentiment. The metals and mining sector dragged the index lower, falling nearly -4% after the U.S. announced surprise copper tariff details—excluding refined metal until 2027—leading to a sharp -20% drop in COMEX copper futures.
However, market sentiment rebounded overnight, driven by strong tech earnings. Meta surged +11.5% post-market on upbeat Q3 guidance and rising AI-driven ad revenues, while Microsoft rose over +8% thanks to better-than-expected Azure cloud growth and a $30 billion AI infrastructure investment.
Conclusion:
Despite short-term pressure from the Fed’s tone and commodity weakness, strong AI-driven earnings from major tech firms are likely to support a positive bias for the S&P 500 in the near term, especially in the tech-heavy growth segments. Broader gains may depend on upcoming inflation data and Fed clarity.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6470
Resistance Level 2: 6500
Resistance Level 3: 6545
Support Level 1: 6355
Support Level 2: 6315
Support Level 3: 6282
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bullish continuation?S&P500 is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 6,334.93
1st Support: 6,292.36
1st Resistance: 6,420.86
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
S&P500 uptrend pause supported at 6355US equities were largely subdued, with the S&P 500 inching up +0.02%, marking its sixth straight record high, the longest streak since July 2023. Despite the headline gain, over 70% of S&P 500 stocks declined, revealing weak breadth and suggesting index gains are being driven by a narrow group of large-cap tech names.
Tech led the way, with the information technology sector +0.77% and the Mag-7 rising +0.79%.
Semiconductors outperformed, as the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index climbed +1.62%, driven by AMD’s +4.32% surge.
Momentum is building ahead of key Big Tech earnings: Microsoft and Meta report tomorrow; Apple and Amazon follow Thursday.
Meanwhile, traders are staying cautious ahead of a busy macro week:
FOMC decision (Wednesday),
Core PCE, Q2 GDP, ISM, and nonfarm payrolls still to come.
Geopolitical developments include a possible 90-day US-China trade truce extension and Taiwan cancelling overseas travel, which may help de-escalate tensions.
On the corporate front:
Apple's India strategy sees it surpass China as the top smartphone source for US buyers.
Harley-Davidson may sell its finance unit in a $5B deal with Pimco and KKR.
Vitol rewarded top staff with $10.6B in share buybacks—a record.
Conclusion for S&P 500 Trading
The S&P 500 continues to post record highs, but narrow leadership and weak breadth raise red flags. With tech doing the heavy lifting, near-term direction hinges on earnings from Microsoft, Meta, Apple, and Amazon. Broader market upside looks fragile ahead of critical Fed and economic data, suggesting that any disappointment could trigger a pullback. Stay cautious and watch for rotation or retracement if macro or earnings catalysts falter.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6430
Resistance Level 2: 6470
Resistance Level 3: 6500
Support Level 1: 6355
Support Level 2: 6315
Support Level 3: 6280
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