Get started

Usdcadanalysis

USDCAD - Big Picture and MomentumBig Picture and Momentum USD/CAD is trading comfortably above the 50-day EMA (~1.3728) and above the 9-day EMA, indicating continued bullish momentum. The 14-day RSI is above the 50 level, confirming the positive market sentiment. Key Support and Resistance Resistance: 1.3770–1.3798 range is the current target, a break of which could open the way to the January high around 1.4016. Support: 50-day EMA (~1.3728) is the first line of defense. Next is the 9-day EMA (~1.3679). A further weakening could see a decline to 1.3560, and a strong correction could see a decline to the February 2024 lows (~1.3420). Market Behavior Scenarios Bullish scenario: holding above EMA with RSI > 50 creates good conditions for a move up to 1.3770-1.3800, and then to 1.4016, with increasing momentum. Bearish scenario: falling below EMA, especially below 1.3679, can lead to a deeper decline - to 1.3560 and then to 1.3420. Recommendations for traders Long position: can be considered for entry when holding above 1.3728, with a target of 1.3770-1.3800, and a stop just below the EMA. Short position: justified when falling below 1.3728-1.3679, with a target of 1.3560, and a stop just above the EMA level.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
USD/CAD(20250806)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The US non-manufacturing PMI fell to 50.1 in July from 50.8 in June, below the expected 51.5. The ISM New Orders Index fell to 50.3 in July from 51.3 in June, with export orders contracting for the fourth time in five months. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 1.3781 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.3828 1.3810 1.3799 1.3763 1.3751 1.3734 Trading Strategy: On a breakout above 1.3781, consider a buy entry, with the first target at 1.3799. On a breakout above 1.3763, consider a sell entry, with the first target at 1.3751.
Short
by NicolaZhu
USDCAD Daily AnalysisUSDCAD has recently completed a clean 5-wave Elliott Wave decline, reaching a significant low at 1.3540 on June 16, 2025. This low marks the end of the bearish cycle, followed by an accumulation phase. During this phase, price formed a triple bottom pattern, confirming strong demand around the 1.3540–1.3560 zone. The breakout above the neckline confirms this reversal pattern, and price is now retesting the previous resistance zone (1.3750–1.3770), which has turned into support. The pair is also trading above the 21-period EMA, reinforcing the bullish momentum. Elliott Wave & Structure Outlook Elliott Wave count shows a completed 1–5 bearish wave, followed by a corrective bullish structure in progress. Wave A of the corrective move has likely completed, and Wave B retracement is underway. A continuation toward Wave C is expected, targeting the 1.4180–1.4300 resistance area, aligning with prior major supply zones. Trade Plan Buy Entry Zone: 1.3750 – 1.3700 Stop Loss: 1.3560 (below structure support and trendline) Take Profit Targets: 🎯 TP1: 1.4000 🎯 TP2: 1.4180 🎯 TP3: 1.4300 USDCAD has shifted from a prolonged bearish trend into a bullish corrective phase. A successful retest of the breakout zone offers a high-probability long trade setup. Breakout and continuation toward 1.4180–1.4300 aligns with wave theory and technical resistance zones.
Long
by SaklainManzoor
USD/CAD Daily - Triple Bottom Breakout PatternUSD/CAD Daily – Triple Bottom Breakout The USD/CAD pair on the 1D chart has formed a Triple Bottom pattern, a classic bullish reversal setup after a downtrend. This pattern suggests that sellers were unable to push the price below the established support zone on three separate occasions, signaling strong buying interest. 🔍 Chart Highlights: Three distinct lows at a consistent support level Strong bounce after each test of support, confirming bullish defense Neckline (resistance line) successfully broken, indicating a breakout Price target projected from the height of the pattern added to the breakout level 📈 Pattern: Triple Bottom 📍 Breakout Level (Neckline): Around 1.37800 🎯 Target: Approx. 1.42000 🛑 Invalidation: A daily close back below the neckline This breakout may indicate the beginning of a bullish trend continuation, with momentum favoring the bulls as long as price holds above the neckline.
Long
by Pips_Hunter_Forex
USD/CAD Rises to 2-Month HighUSD/CAD Rises to 2-Month High Today, the USD/CAD exchange rate briefly exceeded the 1.3870 mark – the highest level seen this summer. In less than ten days, the US dollar has strengthened by over 2% against the Canadian dollar. Why Is USD/CAD Rising? Given that both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday (as expected), the primary driver behind the pair’s recent rally appears to be US President Donald Trump's decision to impose tariffs on several countries – including Canada: → Despite efforts by Prime Minister of Canada Mark Carney to reach an agreement with Trump, no deal was achieved; → Canadian goods exported to the US will now be subject to a 35% tariff; → The tariffs take effect from 1 August; → Goods compliant with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) are exempt. Media analysts note that the tariffs are likely to increase pressure on the Canadian economy, as approximately 75% of the country's exports are destined for the United States. USD/CAD Technical Analysis At the end of July, the price formed a steep ascending channel (A-B), with bullish momentum confirmed by a decisive breakout above the 1.3790 resistance level, as illustrated by the arrow: → the pullback before the breakout was relatively shallow; → the bullish breakout was marked by a long bullish candlestick with a close near the session high; → following the breakout, the price confidently consolidated above 1.3790. Provided that the fundamental backdrop does not undergo a major shift, bulls might attempt to maintain control in the market. However, the likelihood of a correction is also increasing, as the RSI indicator has entered extreme overbought territory. Should USD/CAD show signs of a correction after its steep ascent, support might be found at: → line C, drawn parallel to the A-B channel at a distance of its width; → the previously mentioned 1.3790 level, which now acts as a support following the breakout. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
USDCAD SELLUSD/CAD rallies further, approaches 1.3900 on higher levies to Canada The US Dollar keeps marching higher, as the Canadian Dollar struggles after Trump decided to increase tariffs to Canada to 35% from the previous 25%, escalating the trading tension with one of its main trading partners. The US President justified his decision on Canada’s alleged reluctance to cooperate on curbing the traffic of fentanyl and other drugs across the US border The year will be politically marked by Trump’s return to the White House. A Republican government is seen as positive for financial markets, but Trump’s pledge to cut taxes and impose tariffs on foreign goods and services may introduce uncertainty to both the political and economic landscape. Canada’s political crisis peaked in late 2024 with a no-confidence vote against Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, leading to snap elections and a weakened Liberal minority government. Policy uncertainty and economic challenges dominate 2025’s outlook, raising concerns over market stability and investor confidence. The BoC is set to continue easing interest rates through 2025, at least at a faster pace than the Fed is expected to, which could apply pressure on CAD’s already-rising rate differential. SUPPORT 1.38444 SUPPORT 1.38039 SUPPORT 1.37621 RESISTANCE 1.38889 RESISTANCE 1.39049
Short
by Mark804
USD/CAD Breaks Triangle: Bullish Target in SightHello guys! USD/CAD has broken out of a clear triangle formation, signaling strong bullish momentum. The breakout above the top line of the triangle, supported by earlier bullish divergence, confirms that buyers are now in control. Triangle breakout confirmed Strong bullish impulse post-breakout Retest of the broken trendline expected Target: 1.38791 A clean retest of the breakout level could provide another entry opportunity before price reaches the target zone highlighted in blue.
Long
by melikatrader94
7
Trade deal thread could pump USDCAD?USDCAD as with the bounce off the monthly support level, current is a strong uptrend.4H perspective, price is trading above 10ema since the cross over of 20ema and 10ema price is pushing back to the upside. With trade deal thread, including upcoming GDP on CAD could pump this price back to the resistance ? As 10ema has not been tested since cross over, we may see the price to back to the upside with respecting the 10ema. Buying on EMA is a high probability trade setup.
Long
by ForexWizard01
Uptrend is coming. Opportunity for buyers✏️ OANDA:USDCAD is trading close to the upper boundary of the triangle pattern. There is a high possibility that the current bullish momentum will break the upper boundary and form an uptrend for the USDCAD pair. The important price zone for the sellers at the moment is 1.075. If the buyers are strong enough to push the price above 1.075, the sellers will only be really interested in the price zone of 1.340, the high of the pair in May. 📉 Key Levels Buy trigger: Reject and Trading above 1.365 BUY DCA Break 1.375 Target: 1.400 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Long
by VHT_Trader
4
USD/CAD(20250730)Today's AnalysisMarket News: According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, Trump's approval rating has fallen to 40%, the lowest level since his second term. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 1.3762 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.3820 1.3798 1.3784 1.3739 1.3725 1.3704 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 1.3784, consider a buy entry, with the first target price at 1.3798. If the price breaks below 1.3762, consider a sell entry, with the first target price at 1.3739.
Short
by NicolaZhu
USD/CAD Institutional Buy Zone – Thief Trading Alert!🔥 USD/CAD "LOONIE BANK HEIST" 🔥 – THIEF TRADING STYLE (BULLISH SNIPER PLAN) 💸 ATTENTION: Market Robbers & Profit Pirates! "Steal Like a Pro – Escape Before the Cops Arrive!" 🎯 MASTER TRADE PLAN (Based on Thief Trading Tactics): Entry Zone (Pullback Heist): 📌 Pullback-1: Market Maker Trap Zone (1.35400+) – Wait for retest! 📌 Pullback-2: Institutional Buy Zone (1.33500+) – Confirm bullish momentum! "Patience = Perfect Heist Timing. Don’t rush—ambush the trend!" 🎯 Profit Target: 1.38100 (or escape earlier if momentum fades). 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route): Nearest 4H Swing Low (wick/close) – Adjust based on risk & lot size! 🚨 SCALPERS’ WARNING: "Only snipe LONG! Big pockets? Strike now. Small stack? Join swing robbers & trail your SL!" 📉 WHY THIS HEIST? (Bullish Triggers): Technical + Fundamental alignment (COT, Macro, Sentiment). Overbought but institutional demand holding strong. "Bears are trapped—time to rob their stops!" ⚠️ CRITICAL ALERT: News = Volatility = Police Ambush! Avoid new trades during high-impact news. Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! Lock profits before reversals. 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! "Hit 👍, 🔔 Follow, and 🚀 Boost to fuel our next robbery! Let’s drain the banks together!" 🔮 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… Stay tuned, partner! 🎭💰
by The-Thief
USDCAD SELLUSD/CAD rallies to 1.3680 as the market focuses on a hawkish Fed The US Dollar extends its recovery for the second consecutive day, supported by strong US data. Upbeat US business activity and Jobless Claims support the Fed's "wait and see" rhetoric. In Canada, the weak Retail Sales data keep hopes for a BoC rate cut alive. The year will be politically marked by Trump’s return to the White House. A Republican government is seen as positive for financial markets, but Trump’s pledge to cut taxes and impose tariffs on foreign goods and services may introduce uncertainty to both the political and economic landscape. Canada’s political crisis peaked in late 2024 with a no-confidence vote against Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, leading to snap elections and a weakened Liberal minority government. Policy uncertainty and economic challenges dominate 2025’s outlook, raising concerns over market stability and investor confidence. The BoC is set to continue easing interest rates through 2025, at least at a faster pace than the Fed is expected to, which could apply pressure on CAD’s already-rising rate differential. SUPPORT 1.36991 SUPPORT 1.36739 SUPPORT 1.36495 RESISTANCE 1.37346 RESISTANCE 1.37455
Short
by Mark804
USD/CAD(20250725)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The European Central Bank announced that it would maintain the three key interest rates unchanged, reiterated data dependence, warned that the external environment is highly uncertain, and President Lagarde did not rule out the possibility of future rate hikes. Traders reduced their bets on ECB rate cuts. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3626 Support and resistance levels: 1.3689 1.3666 1.3651 1.3602 1.3587 1.3563 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3651, consider buying, with the first target price of 1.3666 If the price breaks through 1.3626, consider selling, with the first target price of 1.3602
Long
by NicolaZhu
USDCAD(20250721)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Waller refused to comment on whether he would dissent at the July meeting, saying that the private sector was not performing as well as people thought, and said that if the president asked him to be the chairman of the Federal Reserve, he would agree. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3725 Support and resistance levels: 1.3785 1.3763 1.3748 1.3702 1.3687 1.3665 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3725, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.3748 If the price breaks through 1.3702, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.3687
Long
by NicolaZhu
Market Analysis: USD/CAD Consolidates GainsMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Consolidates Gains USD/CAD declined and now consolidates below the 1.3750 level. Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today - USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the 1.3775 resistance. - There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 1.3715 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/CAD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair climbed toward the 1.3775 resistance zone before the bears appeared. The US Dollar formed a swing high near 1.3774 and recently declined below the 1.3750 support against the Canadian Dollar. There was also a close below the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3735. The pair is now consolidating losses below the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3774 swing high to the 1.3695 low. But the bulls are active near the 1.3700 level. If there is a fresh increase, the pair could face resistance near the 1.3735 level. The next key resistance on the USD/CAD chart is near the 1.3755 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level. If there is an upside break above 1.3755, the pair could rise toward 1.3775. The next major resistance is near the 1.3800 zone, above which it could rise steadily toward 1.3880. Immediate support is near the 1.3715 level and a key bullish trend line. The first major support is near 1.3675. A close below the 1.3675 level might trigger a strong decline. In the stated case, USD/CAD might test 1.3650. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a drop toward the 1.3620 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/CAD(20250718)Today's AnalysisMarket news: ① Kugler: It is appropriate to keep the interest rate policy stable for "a while". ② Daly: Whether to cut interest rates in July or September is not the most critical. ③ Bostic: It may be difficult to cut interest rates in the short term. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3735 Support and resistance levels: 1.3827 1.3792 1.3770 1.3700 1.3678 1.3644 Trading strategy: If it breaks through 1.3770, consider buying in, the first target price is 1.3792 If it breaks through 1.3735, consider selling in, the first target price is 1.3700
Short
by NicolaZhu