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Usdcadlong

USD/CAD: Inverse Head & Shoulders Playing OutHello guys. The chart is showing a clear inverse head & shoulders pattern, which often signals a potential bullish reversal. Price is now pushing above the neckline, suggesting momentum is shifting to the upside. As long as buyers hold this breakout, there’s room for continuation toward the 1.3853 and 1.3868 resistance levels. Key Levels: Support: 1.3720 (pattern invalidation if broken) Breakout Zone: 1.3800–1.3820 (neckline retest area) Targets: 1.3853 → 1.3868
Long
by melikatrader94
9
Is the USDCAD Rally Overextended Into Key Resistance Levels?The USDCAD is currently testing a formidable resistance zone following a period of strong bullish momentum. The primary catalyst for this upward repricing has been a clear divergence in monetary policy. The Federal Reserve is maintaining its hawkish bias, supported by persistent U.S. inflation data, which provides underlying strength to the dollar. 🦅 Conversely, moderating CPI in Canada has allowed the Bank of Canada to adopt a more dovish tone, creating a fundamental headwind for the loonie. 🍁 From a technical standpoint, the rally appears overextended, with momentum indicators suggesting the pair is now in overbought territory. 🛑 We're observing signs of price exhaustion as it challenges this key multi-month resistance level. Institutional sentiment is consequently shifting towards caution. The key strategic question now is whether we see a confirmed breakout on significant volume or a mean reversion scenario. At these levels, the risk-reward profile for new long positions is becoming unfavorable without further confirmation. I'm monitoring for either a decisive close above this zone or for signs of a corrective pullback. Stay sharp.
by fxtraderanthony
USD/CAD Bullish Bias Supported by COT Data and Seasonal Trends🗓 Monthly Chart Overview • Price Inefficiency Zone: There's a clear imbalance between 1.40165 and 1.41248, suggesting a potential magnet for price. A retracement to at least the 50% level of this inefficiency could be expected. • Bullish Structure: Price has formed a bullish order block and is currently retracing, which often precedes a continuation move upward. • This setup hints at accumulation before a bullish expansion. 📆 Weekly Chart Insights • Inefficiency Filled: Price has filled previous inefficiencies, showing healthy market structure. • Liquidity Behavior: We've seen price sweep lows, then begin sweeping highs, while respecting bullish blocks—a strong indication of a shift in directional intent. • This behavior supports the idea that USD/CAD is preparing for a bullish continuation. 📅 Daily Chart Momentum • Aggressive Breakout: After a period of consolidation, price broke out aggressively to the upside, confirming bullish momentum. • Structure: The daily chart maintains a bullish structure, reinforcing the higher timeframe bias. 💹 Commitment of Traders (COT) Data • USD Positioning: The U.S. Dollar is showing net buying interest, supporting strength. • CAD Positioning: The Canadian Dollar is net bearish on average when compared to last year’s data. • This divergence in sentiment adds confluence to a bullish USD/CAD bias. 📊 Seasonal Trends • Historically, USD/CAD tends to rise from August through November, with September, October, and especially November being the most bullish months. • This seasonal tendency aligns with the current technical and fundamental setup. 🏦 Macro Considerations • Interest Rates: Keep a close eye on central bank rate decisions and forward guidance, as they can significantly impact USD/CAD volatility and direction. 🔍 Summary USD/CAD shows strong bullish potential across monthly, weekly, and daily timeframes. Technical structure, COT data, and seasonal trends all point toward a continuation to the upside. A revisit to the inefficiency zone around 1.4060–1.4120 could be a key target in the coming months.
Long
by Wiiso
USDCAD 4-Hour Analysis – Bulls and Bears Battle for ControlCurrent Price: 1.37706 Timeframe: 4 Hours Technical Indicators Overview SMA (9-period): Price is hovering around the short-term moving average, signaling indecision in momentum. RSI (14): Currently near the 50 level, showing a neutral momentum—neither overbought nor oversold. Key Resistance: 1.3800 – A psychological and technical barrier tested multiple times. Key Support: 1.3700 – A level where buyers previously stepped in to prevent further decline. Price Action Summary USDCAD recently saw a strong bullish move towards the 1.3900 area but quickly reversed, pulling back below the 1.3800 mark. Since then, price action has been choppy, suggesting a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. On the 4H chart, the SMA 9 is acting as a dynamic pivot, with candles frequently crossing above and below it. This behavior often precedes a breakout, but direction confirmation is still lacking. RSI Insights The RSI remains neutral, around 50, indicating a balance between buying and selling pressures. A move above 60 could invite bullish momentum, while a drop below 40 may trigger further selling. Potential Scenarios Bullish Breakout: If price breaks and closes above 1.3800, the next upside target could be 1.3850–1.3900, where previous highs lie. Bearish Reversal: Failure to hold above 1.3750 could open the door for a move towards 1.3700, and below that, 1.3650. Conclusion USDCAD is in a consolidation phase, awaiting a catalyst for a decisive breakout. Traders should watch the 1.3800 resistance and 1.3750 support for clues on the next directional move.
Short
by forexinworld
USD/CAD Bullish Heist Plan – Will You Join the Crew?💼💸 USD/CAD "The Loonie" – Bullish Vault Heist Plan 🕶️📈 "Layer the Entry. Stack the Cash. Escape Clean." 🧠 Mastermind Setup (Thief Trader Blueprint) 🔍 Asset: USD/CAD – The Loonie (Forex Market) 📜 Plan: Bullish — Thief is moving in with precision layering strategy. 📈 Entry Plan: Thief’s not kicking the door once—he’s picking multiple locks! Layer those buy limits for stealth entries: (1.37700) 🏦 | (1.37500) 💰 | (1.37300) 🔑 | (1.37000) 🚪 💡 Add more layers if the vault’s deeper than expected. 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 🎯 Official Thief SL parked @ 1.37000. But remember—OG thieves adjust SL to match their risk appetite & personal strategy. 🎯 Target: 1.38680 – Grab the loot and vanish! 📢 Heist Intel (Market Context) USD/CAD is eyeing upside momentum, powered by USD strength + oil price plays. Expect pullbacks before the real breakout—perfect for layered infiltration. ⚠️ Thief’s Street Rules: Don’t enter during high-impact news — guards will be on alert. Use trailing stops to protect the loot once in profit. Layer patiently—don’t rush the vault door. 💣 Final Words from the Crew: Every pip is a coin in the bag. Stay disciplined, stay layered, and leave no trace. 🐱‍👤💎 💖 Boost the plan, share with the crew, and let’s make this Loonie Heist legendary. 🚀💼
Long
by The-Thief
USDCAD BEARISH ZONE COMESUP Current Technical Landscape Market Sentiment & Drivers The USD/CAD has risen modestly following Canada’s weak jobs data showing a −40.8 k drop in employment, raising expectations of dovish Bank of Canada policy and fueling a weaker Loonie. Meanwhile, signals of a more dovish Fed—especially after Trump’s appointed governor tone—have added further downward pressure on the USD. Key Levels & Technical Indicators ActionForex (Intraday): 4H MACD has crossed above its signal, neutralizing bias for now. Break below 1.3720 could target a deeper fall back to 1.3538 — the recent corrective low. Break above 1.3809 would invalidate that bearish view and suggest a retest of 1.3878. ActionForex (Weekly): The pair hovered around 1.3720 last week with a neutral weekly bias. A downside break could confirm continuation of the corrective decline toward 1.3538. A bullish breakout beyond 1.3809 could lead to a retest of 1.3878 and possibly higher. StockTA (as of July 28): Overall sentiment remains bearish (score: −0.26), particularly in the short-term (−0.48). Key resistance cluster around 1.47 to 1.45, with multiple levels noted between 1.47 and 1.37. Support appears near 1.36, based on their analysis. Marketscreener (latest in July): Short-term trend: Neutral; Mid-term trend: Bearish; Long-term trend: Neutral. Short-term resistance: 1.3733, support: 1.3571. Mid-term resistance: 1.3978, support: 1.3571. Long-term resistance: 1.4524, support: 1.3490. Interpretation: Bearish Zone “Coming Up” The phrase “bearish zone comes up” likely refers to the pair approaching a key resistance area where bearish reversal pressure is increasing. Currently: 1.3720–1.3809 is a critical near-term range. A failure to break above 1.3809 may invite renewed downside toward 1.3538. Medium-term resistance clusters between 1.37 and 1.40 are also zones where bearish setups may form. Broader resistance around 1.45–1.47 remains the major structural ceiling, although this lies further out unless the bias shifts. Strategy Considerations Bearish setup: Wait for rejection near 1.38, ideally with confirmation (e.g. bearish candle, MACD crossover). A break below 1.3720 could accelerate retest of 1.3538. Bullish invalidation: A sustained move above 1.3809 could negate the immediate bearish bias, opening targets back toward 1.3878 and beyond.
by Mark804
USDCAD - Big Picture and MomentumBig Picture and Momentum USD/CAD is trading comfortably above the 50-day EMA (~1.3728) and above the 9-day EMA, indicating continued bullish momentum. The 14-day RSI is above the 50 level, confirming the positive market sentiment. Key Support and Resistance Resistance: 1.3770–1.3798 range is the current target, a break of which could open the way to the January high around 1.4016. Support: 50-day EMA (~1.3728) is the first line of defense. Next is the 9-day EMA (~1.3679). A further weakening could see a decline to 1.3560, and a strong correction could see a decline to the February 2024 lows (~1.3420). Market Behavior Scenarios Bullish scenario: holding above EMA with RSI > 50 creates good conditions for a move up to 1.3770-1.3800, and then to 1.4016, with increasing momentum. Bearish scenario: falling below EMA, especially below 1.3679, can lead to a deeper decline - to 1.3560 and then to 1.3420. Recommendations for traders Long position: can be considered for entry when holding above 1.3728, with a target of 1.3770-1.3800, and a stop just below the EMA. Short position: justified when falling below 1.3728-1.3679, with a target of 1.3560, and a stop just above the EMA level.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
USDCAD Daily AnalysisUSDCAD has recently completed a clean 5-wave Elliott Wave decline, reaching a significant low at 1.3540 on June 16, 2025. This low marks the end of the bearish cycle, followed by an accumulation phase. During this phase, price formed a triple bottom pattern, confirming strong demand around the 1.3540–1.3560 zone. The breakout above the neckline confirms this reversal pattern, and price is now retesting the previous resistance zone (1.3750–1.3770), which has turned into support. The pair is also trading above the 21-period EMA, reinforcing the bullish momentum. Elliott Wave & Structure Outlook Elliott Wave count shows a completed 1–5 bearish wave, followed by a corrective bullish structure in progress. Wave A of the corrective move has likely completed, and Wave B retracement is underway. A continuation toward Wave C is expected, targeting the 1.4180–1.4300 resistance area, aligning with prior major supply zones. Trade Plan Buy Entry Zone: 1.3750 – 1.3700 Stop Loss: 1.3560 (below structure support and trendline) Take Profit Targets: 🎯 TP1: 1.4000 🎯 TP2: 1.4180 🎯 TP3: 1.4300 USDCAD has shifted from a prolonged bearish trend into a bullish corrective phase. A successful retest of the breakout zone offers a high-probability long trade setup. Breakout and continuation toward 1.4180–1.4300 aligns with wave theory and technical resistance zones.
Long
by SaklainManzoor
USD/CAD Breaks Triangle: Bullish Target in SightHello guys! USD/CAD has broken out of a clear triangle formation, signaling strong bullish momentum. The breakout above the top line of the triangle, supported by earlier bullish divergence, confirms that buyers are now in control. Triangle breakout confirmed Strong bullish impulse post-breakout Retest of the broken trendline expected Target: 1.38791 A clean retest of the breakout level could provide another entry opportunity before price reaches the target zone highlighted in blue.
Long
by melikatrader94
8
Will the Canada-US Trade Tension Continue to Impair CAD?Fundamental approach: - USDCAD advanced this week, supported by broad US dollar strength and renewed trade tensions as the US announced higher tariffs on Canadian imports. - The pair was further buoyed after the BoC left rates unchanged and signaled caution amid persistent core inflation and ongoing trade negotiations. - Meanwhile, US labor data indicated that job openings were moderating growth while tariff-related uncertainty weighed on risk sentiment. - The BoC’s decision to keep its policy rate at 2.75% cited domestic economic resilience and the unpredictable US trade policy outlook. - At the same time, negotiations between Canada and the US over trade terms remained in an “intense” phase, with additional tariffs entering effect 1 Aug, adding to downside risks for the Canadian economy. - USDCAD may remain elevated next week as markets monitor follow-through from new tariffs and assess further data on US jobs and Canadian trade. Potential progress or setbacks in Canada-US trade talks and upcoming economic releases could influence direction, while central bank policy signals and risk appetite will remain key catalysts. Technical approach: - USDCAD formed a Triple-bottom pattern at around 1.3567 and bounced up to break the neckline at 1.3755. The price also broke the descending trendline and closed higher than both EMAs, indicating a potential trend reversal. - If USDCAD remains above the support at 1.3755 and both EMAs, the price may retest the resistance at 1.3980. - On the contrary, closing below the support at 1.3755 and both EMAs may lead USDCAD to retest the key support at 1.3567. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Long
by DatTong
2
USDCAD Update: Don’t Sleep on This Uptrend’s First LegYo traders, Skeptic from Skeptic Lab here! 🚀 USDCAD’s serving a hot long trigger for pattern traders chasing the first leg of a big uptrend! We’ve got an ascending triangle breakout on the daily, with bullish candles stacking up, hinting at a return to the weekly bullish trend. Too early to confirm, but the momentum’s fire. 📈 Today’s FOMC meeting’s got everyone buzzing—will Powell cut, hold, or drop resignation hints? Check the full setup in the video, but with crazy news like Federal Funds Rate , s tick to high-probability trades, keep risk low, and no FOMO or revenge trading! Drop your thoughts, boost if it vibes <3
Long
by SkepticLab
1
Trade deal thread could pump USDCAD?USDCAD as with the bounce off the monthly support level, current is a strong uptrend.4H perspective, price is trading above 10ema since the cross over of 20ema and 10ema price is pushing back to the upside. With trade deal thread, including upcoming GDP on CAD could pump this price back to the resistance ? As 10ema has not been tested since cross over, we may see the price to back to the upside with respecting the 10ema. Buying on EMA is a high probability trade setup.
Long
by ForexWizard01