Market Analysis: USD/JPY Extends Sharp UpsideMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Extends Sharp Upside
USD/JPY managed to reclaim 156.00 and might aim for more gains.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY climbed higher above 155.50 and 156.00.
- There is a bullish trend line forming with support near 156.30 on the hourly chart.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY, the pair started a decent increase from 154.35. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 155.00 against the Japanese Yen.
It settled above the 50-hour simple moving average and 156.00. The upward move was such that the pair even tested 156.90. A high was formed at 156.93 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a minor pullback below 156.75.
The current price action is positive, and the pair seems to be aiming for more gains. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support near 156.30 and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 154.34 swing low to the 156.93 high.
Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 156.90. The first key hurdle sits at 157.00. If there is a close above 157.00 and the RSI moves above 60, the pair could rise toward 157.50. The next stop for the bulls might be 157.80, above which the pair could test 158.40 in the coming days.
On the downside, the first major support is near the trend line at 156.30. The next area of interest could be near 155.65, below which the pair could test the 61.8% Fib retracement at 155.35. Any more losses could open the doors for a move toward 154.35.
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Usdjpyanalysis
DeGRAM | USDJPY is holding a strong support line📊 Technical Analysis
● USD/JPY broke above the long-term descending resistance line and established a clean series of higher lows along the rising trendline. The retest zone at 156.30–156.60 is holding as support, signalling continuation potential.
● Projection suggests a climb toward 157.75 as long as the ascending structure remains intact.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Yen weakness persists as BoJ maintains ultra-loose policy, while stronger U.S. yields support further USD appreciation.
✨ Summary
● Long bias: holding 156.30 → targets 156.95 and 157.75.
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USDJPY - buy nowUSDJPY has been in a very clear uptrend for the last few weeks and has been for a while! It is currently inside an upward channel and has recently broken the last major resistance zone which means it is extremely likely to keep heading to the upside for much longer (just a very minor resistance level which is causing slight delays for its bullish movements). The next target will be the fibonacci extension zone which is shown on the chart. USDJPY has struggled to break below support but has constantly been breaking through resistance levels. Time to buy USDJPY.
Selena | USDJPY 2H – Demand Retest + Structural Long SetupFX:USDJPY
If price reacts bullishly from the marked OB zone, upside liquidity lies toward 156.30 → 157.20 → 158.00, which aligns with prior rejection highs. A deeper sweep toward 153.40–152.70 remains secondary buy interest if first zone fails.
📈 Bullish Case 🚀 (Primary Idea)
Hold above demand zone 154.40–154.80 → breakout expected.
🎯 Target 1 → 156.30
🎯 Target 2 → 157.20
🎯 Final Target → 158.00 (liquidity + premium zone)
📉 Bearish Case (Invalidation)
Close below 153.40 shifts structure downward
Strong reversal below 152.70 only.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 155.50 / 156.30 / 158.00
Support 🟢: 154.40 / 153.40 / 152.70
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational analysis only — not financial advice.
DeGRAM | USDJPY has the potential to rise by more than 65 pips📊 Technical Analysis
● USD/JPY broke out of the descending channel and is now climbing within a rising structure, repeatedly holding support near 155.74 and forming higher lows.
● The bullish channel points toward a continuation toward 156.56 and potentially 156.98, with pullbacks showing shallow corrections consistent with trend strength.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● FXStreet notes renewed USD demand as U.S. yields stabilize and BoJ tightening expectations ease, supporting short-term upside.
✨ Summary
● Long bias: targets 156.56 → 156.98 while above 155.74.
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Elite | USD/JPY – Neutral Structure | Breakdown or FakedownFX:USDJPY
Price is currently ranging between rejection supply and lower support. We have BOS confirmations both ways, which keeps structure neutral. A decision will come only when market confirms either direction.
🔹If Buyers Take Control
• Break + retest above 156.00–156.450 supply activates bullish continuation.
• Clean bullish structure toward liquidity.
🎯 Upside Target: 157.800 (major liquidity sweep zone)
🔸If Sellers Take Control
• Breakdown + candle close below 155.00/154.500 confirms bearish continuation.
• Momentum should accelerate once structure fails.
🎯 Final Downside Target: 152.100
⚠️ Wait for confirmation candle — no premature directional bias.
Disclaimer: Market analysis only — not financial advice.
The gain phase before the pulse USDJPY continues to develop its structure following recent strengthening. The pair shows confident upward impulses, while corrective pullbacks remain limited, indicating buyer dominance.
The current dynamics are forming a foundation for further growth: the market holds above key levels and is gradually accumulating energy for continued movement. Within the structure, a sequence of advances is visible, confirming sustained interest in the asset from market participants.
An additional factor is demand for the dollar, supported by expectations of steady Federal Reserve policy. This increases the likelihood that USDJPY will consolidate in the upward direction and develop a new impulse.
USDJPY FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W50 | D9 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | D9 | Y25 |
📊 USDJPY FRGNT DAILY FORECAST
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:USDJPY
FX:USDJPY
DeGRAM | USDJPY held the support line📊 Technical Analysis
● Price rebounded sharply from the confluence of the ascending support line and the 155.60 zone, confirming buyer strength. A break back above the red resistance area opens room toward 156.90, supported by rising swing lows and a recovering intraday structure.
● Retests of the broken resistance line now acting as support reinforce a bullish continuation setup.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● USD gains momentum as traders price in a higher-for-longer Fed stance, while JPY remains pressured by weak wage data.
✨ Summary
● Long bias: support rebound → continuation toward 156.40 and 156.90.
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USDJPY → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone
USDJPY moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level..
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
USDJPY DELIVERED EXCELLENT TP HIT As I discussed my TODAY'S USDJPY SETUP
What was my stance & Postions:
I took Sell trade in my early trade on London session My trade strats from and target was 155.800 which USDJPY delivered
I want to take this moment to congratulate the traders who followed my calls and patiently held their orders. Great job — enjoy the profits and have a great weekend.
Follow us for more forex Setups and Detailed analysis
Strengthening and moving upwards: a new impulseUSDJPY continues to form an upward structure after breaking out of consolidation. The upward movement is becoming more confident, while pullbacks remain limited, confirming buyer interest and strengthening the trend.
On the four-hour chart, a sequence of advances is visible, pointing to the development of an impulse. The market holds above key levels, creating a foundation for further growth and consolidation in the bullish direction.
The fundamental backdrop also supports the asset: demand for the dollar remains steady, and interest in risk assets reinforces the movement. This increases the likelihood of continued strengthening and the achievement of new targets.
Thus, USDJPY is in a growth phase, where the market’s next steps will determine the scale of the upcoming impulse.
USD/JPY - Interest Rate Ahead! (08.12.2025) 📝 Description FX:USDJPY
USD/JPY continues to respect the Bearish Channel Pattern, with price rejecting the upper boundary and failing to break the resistance zone. Combined with strong fundamentals—expected Fed rate cut and potential BoJ tightening—the setup favors downside movement.
A break and retest of intraday support confirms continuation toward lower channel targets.
📌 Trading Plan📉 Bearish Continuation
Entry Idea: Look for sells below 155.00 after confirmation
Target 1: 154.28 (1st Support)
Target 2: 153.94 (2nd Support / Channel Bottom)
Bearish Confirmation: Clean rejection from resistance zone + break below small retracement support
⚠️ Fundamental Updates (Today)
1️⃣ Federal Reserve Meeting
→ Markets widely expect a rate cut, weakening the USD.
2️⃣ Bank of Japan Rate Outlook
→ BoJ may increase interest rates, a JPY-strengthening factor.
Combined effect:
🔻 USD weak + 🔺 JPY strong → Bearish USD/JPY bias
⚠️ Disclaimer
This idea is for educational analysis only.
Not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
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#USDJPY #ForexTrading #BearishSetup #ChannelPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #JPY #USD #FXMarket #TradingView #PriceAction #Kabhi_TA_Trading
USDJPY possible buy zone on spike!Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY USDJPY – Short-Term Bullish Bias with Key Support Levels
📌 Overall Outlook
In the short term, USDJPY has shifted into a bullish trend.
I expect the market to continue upward as long as key intraday supports hold.
⸻
📥 Important Support Zones
I am watching two major demand levels:
• 155.60
• 154.70
These zones align with recent liquidity sweeps and potential reaction points for bullish continuation.
⸻
🔍 Entry Criteria
I do not place limit orders.
For each support zone, I will wait for:
✔ CHoCH (Change of Character)
✔ Break of Structure (BOS)
on the 5-minute or 15-minute timeframe
Only after a confirmed structure shift will I take entries.
This approach helps avoid ignored levels and increases overall win rate.
⸻
🎯 Trade Plan Summary
• Bias: Short-term bullish
• Key supports: 155.60, 154.70
• Entry only with 5m–15m CHoCH + BOS
• No confirmation → no trade
USDJPY is bullish - buy nowUSDJPY has been in a very clear uptrend for the last few weeks and has been for a while! It is currently inside an upward channel and has recently broken the last major resistance zone which means it is extremely likely to keep heading to the upside for much longer (just a very minor resistance level which is causing slight delays for its bullish movements). The next target will be the fibonacci extension zone which is shown on the chart. USDJPY has struggled to break below support but has constantly been breaking through resistance levels. Time to buy USDJPY now.
USD/JPY — Next Bullish Wave? Entry Layers & Target Roadmap📌 Asset: USD/JPY — “THE NINJA”
📊 Market Type: Forex | Swing / Day Trade Opportunity Guide
📈 Trade Thesis — Bullish Structure With MA Pullback Confirmation
USD/JPY continues to hold a clean bullish structure, with price respecting the moving averages and maintaining upward momentum. The recent pullback into dynamic support offers a favorable zone for layered accumulation using the Thief-style entry map. This setup focuses on capturing continuation while managing exposure through structured limit layering.
Thief Strategy Layered Entry Zones (Multiple Buy Limits)
To maintain precision and reduce risk concentration, the plan utilizes multiple staggered limit orders:
Buy Limit Layer 1: 154.500
Buy Limit Layer 2: 155.000
Buy Limit Layer 3: 155.500
(📌 You may increase or reduce the number of layers depending on your own system.)
This layered method helps in catching deeper pullbacks while keeping average entry efficient.
🛡️ Risk Management — Adjust to Your Framework
Stop Loss:
🔐 Thief Protective Zone: 154.000
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this is simply my personal protective line.
You are encouraged to adjust your SL to fit your own strategy, volatility tolerance, and trade model.
🎯 Target Zone — Take Profit With Discipline
The upside is approaching a strong resistance region aligned with overbought metrics + potential trap behavior.
To avoid getting caught at the top, consider managing profits into:
🎯 Take-Profit Target: 157.800
Again, take profits according to your own structure — you make the money, you decide how to secure it.
🌐 Correlated Pairs to Watch ($) — Key Notes & Insights
1. TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
Strong USD strength supports bullish USD/JPY continuation.
If DXY pulls back sharply, USD/JPY may stall or dip into deeper layers.
2. NASDAQ:JPY Basket / Yen Weakness Indicators
Continued BoJ dovish tone = structural weakness in JPY.
Any sudden BoJ comments can create sharp volatility — monitor news carefully.
3. OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold vs USD)
Gold ↘️ usually supports USD strength → often correlates with bullish USD/JPY flows.
If gold spikes aggressively, USD might weaken temporarily.
4. FOREXCOM:SPX500 / US Indices
Risk-on sentiment → often weakens JPY (safe-haven outflows), creating USD/JPY upside pressure.
Risk-off can create temporary JPY strength.
5. TVC:US10Y / Bond Yields
Rising US yields → strong bullish driver for USD/JPY.
Always track yield momentum during major USD transitions.
📝 Final Thoughts
This plan blends structured Thief layering with a clean technical continuation setup. Manage position size, follow your own rules, and adapt based on live momentum.
Trade safe & stay sharp, Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s).
The Ninja moves fast — be prepared, be disciplined, and take profits with confidence.
USD/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY – 1H SMC Outlook
1. Market Context – Bearish Framework
Price is trading inside a descending channel, creating:
Lower highs
Lower lows
This indicates a macro bearish trend and a high probability that rallies into premium areas will be sold.
Your trendlines confirm:
Market respecting upper trendline as dynamic supply.
Lower boundary acting as long-term liquidity pool.
---
2. Current Price Action – Corrective Rally
Recent bullish push looks corrective, not impulsive:
Pullback into imbalance (FVG)
Respecting 50 EMA / under 200 EMA
Weak momentum compared to prior sell legs
This supports the idea of reaction + continuation lower.
---
3. Supply + FVG Confluence (Main POI)
The blue box marks a strong supply/FVG zone around:
155.45 – 155.65
Confluences:
Imbalance fill
Previous supply zone
Structure mitigation level
Upper trendline touch
200 EMA overhead
This is a premium zone for shorts.
---
4. Liquidity Perspective
There is resting liquidity:
Above POI
Enough liquidity to fuel a sharp rejection
Expect a wick into supply (sweep)
Below price
Equal lows / clean structure at 154.08
Major liquidity magnet
This supports a sell-side target.
---
5. Expected Price Behavior (Base Case)
Ideal flow (as drawn on chart):
1. Price taps into FVG + supply
2. Rejection with displacement
3. Lower high forms
4. Expansion sell-off
5. Sweep of downside liquidity
Primary target:
154.087
Extended target (channel low):
153.60 – 153.30
---
6. Entry Plan (If Trading This)
Entry:
155.45 – 155.65 (FVG/Supply zone)
Stop:
Above rejection wick
155.90 – 156.05 depending on aggressiveness
Targets:
1. 154.70 (partial)
2. 154.08 (model target)
3. 153.60 (runner)
R:R potential: 1:3 to 1:6
---
7. Validations & Confirmations
Lower time frame confirmation (5–15m):
Look for:
CHoCH / BOS bearish
Rejection wick at POI
FVG left behind
Market structure shift
This will filter weak entries.
---
8. What Can Invalidate the Setup?
Bullish continuation invalidates if:
Price breaks and holds above 156.00
Strong bullish displacement closes above trendline
FVG fails to reject
This would imply accumulation, not distribution.
Until then, bearish bias remains valid.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Overall Thesis
This is a textbook corrective pullback into premium prices inside a downtrend:
Trend: bearish
Structure: lower highs
Context: corrective rally
POI: supply + FVG + trendline
Target: liquidity below
Bias: Short from premium → sell-side liquidity
Very clean setup.
---
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
USD/JPY 4H Analysis — Potential Breakout SetupUSD/JPY has been trending inside a descending channel since late November, making consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Current price is testing the upper channel resistance near 155.35–155.50, and the SMA (9) is flattening toward SMA (20) — indicating weakening bearish momentum.
🔥 Trade Bias: Neutral → Bullish Above 156.00
🔍 Key Levels:
Resistance: 156.00 – 156.20 (Breakout Zone)
Minor Support: 155.00
Major Support: 154.60 – 154.40 (Channel Bottom)
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Break & candle close above 156.00 triggers bullish momentum.
Upside Targets:
156.50
157.20
158.00
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Price rejection from the channel top may push price lower toward:
155.00
154.60
154.40 (Bounce Zone)
📊 Indicators:
Price stuck at upper trendline → decision zone
SMA 9 approaching SMA 20 → momentum shift
Volume likely to spike on breakout
🧭 Trade Plan (Clear & Simple):
Buy Only Above: 156.00 (confirmation candle)
Sell Only Below: 154.60 (channel break)
⚠️ Risk Note:
Upcoming U.S. economic events may trigger volatility — trade with SL.
Is USD/JPY Ready for the Next Leg Higher?🔥 USD/JPY "THE NINJA" - LAYERED BULLISH SWING SETUP 🔥
Hey Traders! 👋 The King of Forex is showing strength, and I'm plotting a strategic bullish swing trade on USD/JPY "THE NINJA". This isn't a chase; it's a patient, layered entry plan for the next leg up! 📈
🎯 TRADE PLAN: "THE THIEF" LAYERED STRATEGY
This method uses multiple limit orders to "steal" good prices on dips, averaging into a position without FOMO.
Direction: Bullish 🐂
Style: Swing Trade
⚡ ENTRY ZONE (LAYERED LIMITS):
I am setting buy limit orders at these key support layers:
1st Layer: 153.600 🟢
2nd Layer: 154.000 🟢
3rd Layer: 154.400 🟢
Pro Tip: You can increase or adjust these layers based on your capital and risk appetite. The goal is to scale in!
🚨 STOP LOSS (MANAGE YOUR RISK!):
My hard stop is placed below a key support level at 153.300.
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: This is MY stop loss. You MUST adjust your position size and SL based on YOUR own risk tolerance and strategy. Protect your capital! 🛡️
🎯 PROFIT TARGET:
Primary Target: 156.000 ✅
Why Here? This zone converges with a strong moving average resistance, potential overbought conditions, and could be a "trap" for late buyers. Let's escape with profits before the crowd! 💰
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: This is MY target. You are free to take partial profits earlier or trail your stop. "Make money, then take money" at your own discretion!
🔍 MARKET CONTEXT & KEY DRIVERS
Trend: The broader trend remains bullish, driven by interest rate differentials between the hawkish Fed and the dovish BoJ.
Key Level: We are respecting the psychological 155.00 level. A break and close above could accelerate the move.
Caution: The market is watching for any potential FX intervention from Japanese authorities, which can cause violent, short-term reversals.
🌐 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH
Diversify your view! Don't trade USD/JPY in a vacuum.
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): 📊
Correlation: Positive. A strong DXY typically means a strong USD/JPY. If the dollar is rallying broadly, this trade has a stronger tailwind.
EUR/USD ( FX:EURUSD ): 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Correlation: Negative (Inverse). Often, if USD/JPY is going up, EUR/USD is going down. Watch this for overall USD strength/weakness.
GBP/JPY ( OANDA:GBPJPY ): 🇬🇧🇯🇵
Correlation: Positive. This is a "risk-on" JPY pair. If both USD/JPY and GBP/JPY are rising, it confirms a broad-based sell-off in the Japanese Yen.
USD/CHF ( OANDA:USDCHF ): 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Correlation: Positive. Both are often traded as "USD-strength" pairs, though CHF can have its own safe-haven flows.
✅ SUMMARY
Asset: USD/JPY (The Ninja)
Bias: Bullish Swing
Strategy: Layered "Thief" Entries
Target: 156.000
Stop Loss: 153.300
Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 👇
What's your target? Did you layer your entries?
Like & Follow if you found this guide useful! 🚀 Good luck, and trade safe!
#Forex #Trading #USDJPY #NINJA #SwingTrading #Bullish #TradingStrategy #DXY #EURUSD #GBPJPY
USDJPY 30m – Rejection Zone Formed, Bearish Reaction Expected📌 USDJPY 30 Mins Detailed Analysis
1️⃣ Market Structure Overview
On the USDJPY 30-minute timeframe, the price has pushed into a major supply zone, highlighted in green. This area represents a strong historical reaction zone where sellers previously stepped in aggressively.
The recent bullish move attempted to break above this zone but failed, showing exhaustion.
2️⃣ Volume Burst – Strong Clue of Seller Activity
Inside the green zone, we can clearly see a Volume Burst label.
This indicates:
Sudden increase in volatility
Aggressive orders hitting the market
Smart money activity (institutional selling pressure)
Volume spikes in a supply zone typically signal the beginning of a potential reversal.
3️⃣ Retesting Confirmed (Weak Buyers)
The blue line inside the zone shows a retesting area.
Price tapped this level again, forming:
Small-bodied candles
Wick rejections
Slow upward momentum
This behaviour suggests buyers are losing strength, while sellers are preparing to dominate.
4️⃣ Pattern Must Zone – Key Reversal Trigger
The “Pattern Must” label indicates the exact point where structure must break to confirm a bearish move.
If price:
Fails to close above this area
Shows rejection wicks
Forms a bearish engulfing
➡️ A downward continuation becomes highly probable.
5️⃣ Expected Move (Bearish Projection)
The arrow drawn on your chart suggests the next likely scenario:
Price retests the supply zone
Bears regain control
Market starts pushing downward toward lower demand zones
This aligns with the weak retest and heavy selling momentum detected earlier.
6️⃣ Trade Idea (For Educational Purposes Only)
Bias: Bearish
Reason:
✔ Major Supply Zone
✔ Volume Burst
✔ Failed bullish continuation
✔ Retest rejection
Confirmation:
Wait for bearish candle patterns or break of minor structure.
📌 Conclusion
USDJPY is showing strong signs of a potential short reversal from a high-volume supply zone. The market lost bullish strength after retesting the zone, hinting a bearish continuation move on the 30-minute chart.
This is a high-probability setup for traders following:
Smart Money Concepts
Supply & Demand
Volume-Based Reversals
Intraday Trend Setups






















