Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil TumblesMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Tumbles
WTI Crude oil is down over 10% and remains at risk of more losses.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices extended downsides below the $60.00 support zone.
- A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $57.25 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price struggled to continue higher above $60.00 against the US Dollar. The price formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline below $58.00.
There was a steady decline below the $57.75 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $56.20 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the price tested the $55.00 zone. The recent swing low was formed near $55.01, and the price is now consolidating losses.
There was a minor move above the $55.50 level. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $56.10 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $59.49 swing high to the $55.01 low.
The next resistance is near the $57.25 level. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $57.25. The trend line is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $59.49 swing high to the $55.01 low.
The main resistance is near a trend line at $57.75. A clear move above the $57.75 zone could send the price toward $59.45. The next key resistance is near $62.25. If the price climbs further higher, it could face resistance near $63.20. Any more gains might send the price toward the $65.00 level.
Immediate support is near the $55.00 level. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near $53.00. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $52.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $50.00 support zone.
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Crude Oil WTI
Crude Oil Outlook and Trading Tips for Next WeekThe expected production increase by OPEC+, trade concerns triggered by Trump, and the risk aversion sentiment in the global economy dominate the price trend of crude oil. On Saturday, OPEC+ confirmed a production increase of 411,000 barrels per day in June, intensifying concerns about oversupply. Technically, the bearish trend dominates the crude oil market. Due to the low liquidity in the Asian market caused by holidays next Monday, the oil price is likely to fluctuate significantly.
Last week, crude oil continued to decline and closed with a large bearish candlestick on the weekly chart. Next week, the focus is on whether the oil price will break below the previous double-bottom support. In the short term, the oil price has been fluctuating within a range. Currently, it is under pressure and adjusting around $64.88 per barrel, and there are signs of it encountering resistance for the second time around the $60.2 resistance level.
In conclusion, it is highly probable that crude oil will continue to be under pressure. On Monday, it is advisable to mainly consider shorting on rebounds and supplement with going long at low levels. Pay attention to the resistance levels of $59.3 - $60.3 per barrel on the upside and the support levels of $57.7 - $56.3 per barrel on the downside.
USOIL
sell@59.5-59.20
tp:58.00-57.50
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A Preliminary Double Bottom Support Pattern May Be FormingCurrently, factors such as geopolitics, OPEC+ policies, and the trend of the US dollar all have a two-sided impact on USOIL. Only the technical aspect reveals directional signals.
This week, the crude oil price rebounded rapidly after hitting a low of $56. It has formed the embryonic form of a double bottom with the previous low point, and this pattern may become a turning point in the market trend. According to the theory we proposed earlier, "A deep correction breeds a strong rebound," the price of $56 has become a key support level. If the oil price stabilizes at this level next week, the double bottom pattern is expected to be confirmed, which will in turn trigger a technical rebound. Conversely, once this key level is effectively broken, it is likely to trigger a concentrated sell-off of stop-loss orders, intensifying the downward pressure on the price.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
USOIL Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 57.535.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 61.620 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USOIL:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyThis week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!👉👉👉
This week, crude oil prices have consecutively closed with bearish candles and declined. On the 4-hour chart, there are four consecutive bearish candles exerting pressure. On Saturday, the OPEC+ convened a meeting ahead of schedule and confirmed the decision to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in June, which further intensifies the market's concerns about oversupply. It is recommended that for crude oil trading next Monday, short positions should be mainly taken at the resistance level during rebounds.
Trading Strategy:
sell@59.5-58.5
TP:57-55
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
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USOIL Today's strategyFrom a technical perspective, if USOIL can take advantage of the weakening of the DXY, stabilize and rebound near the current price, and break through the key resistance level, it may be able to form an upward trend. However, if it fails to effectively withstand the impact of the production increase by OPEC+, and breaks below the key support level, the price is likely to decline further.
Currently, it is necessary to closely monitor the competition around the price level of $55. If this level can be held, the probability of a rebound will increase. Once it is broken, the next support level may be around the $53 area. At the same time, continuously tracking the trend of the DXY and the subsequent policy dynamics of OPEC+ is of vital importance for judging the future trend of USOIL.
USOIL
buy@55-56
tp:57.5-58.5
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Can it hit the bottom and rebound?Fundamental Analysis: Driven by the trade concerns sparked by Trump and the risk aversion sentiment arising from the global economic slowdown, the trajectory of oil prices has been shaped. Additionally, OPEC+ convened an early meeting on Saturday and confirmed an increase in production of 411,000 barrels per day in June. This decision has indubitably intensified the market's apprehensions regarding the oversupply of crude oil 📉.
Technical Analysis: Technically speaking, the price of crude oil has persistently lingered below the midline of the Bollinger Bands, distinctly indicating that the bearish trend is in the ascendancy 📉. Last week, on the weekly chart, it closed with a substantial bearish candlestick, exhibiting a downward tail pattern, and in the short term, the price has been fluctuating within a trading range 📊. As for the upcoming week's trend, whether the support level established by the previous double doji bottoming formation will be broken through effectively will be the focal point of market attention 👀. Nevertheless, once the price reaches the crucial support level, there exists the potential for a technical rebound. Investors should closely monitor the variations in trading volume and the response of the moving average system 📈.
Market Situation: It is crucial to note that due to the holiday factor in the Asian market next Monday, market liquidity is anticipated to decline significantly. Under such circumstances, the oil price is likely to encounter a higher risk of more pronounced volatility, further escalating the uncertainty of the market situation ⚠️.
⚡⚡⚡ USOIL ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@56.0 - 57.0
🚀 TP 59.0 - 60.0
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
WTI Oil H4 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 59.71 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 62.30 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 55.10 which is a swing-low support.
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Oil on high time frame
"Regarding WTI oil, the price trend on high time frames is bearish, especially on the daily chart. After completing its pullback on the 4-hour chart, there are indications of further downside potential.
The market's volatility may be influenced by geopolitical tensions and political factors between Iran and the USA, as well as tariff issues. Despite these fluctuations, candle formations suggest the potential for prices to drop towards the $58 zone."
If you require more assistance or have any specific questions, feel free to ask!
USOIL:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next Week This week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!
Currently, the crude oil market is affected by factors such as the economic data of the United States and the expectations of production increases by OPEC+ and is generally showing weakness, with prices fluctuating. Pay attention to the resistance level at 60 above. If the price fails to effectively break through this resistance level, considering taking a short position with a light position can be an option.
Trading Strategy:
sell@60-59
TP:57-55
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
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Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 55.204.Colleagues, I believe that the price will continue its downward movement. At the moment we are observing a combined correction. I expect the completion of wave “Y”. Even if it is already completed, the price is still waiting for a downward correction to the support area of 55.204. Therefore, I think that 55.204 is the 1st minimum target.
There are two possible ways to enter the position:
1) Market entry
2) Pending Limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
What adjustments will be made to oil prices?If traders don’t know how to trade, they can refer to the strategy of the Swing Trading Center. Earlier, it was announced to sell at 57.24. The lowest price reached around 56.3, and now the oil price has returned to 57.24. How to trade? If you are also confused, you can refer to the views of the Swing Trading Center.
At present, the supply of oil prices exceeds the demand, and some oil-producing countries will continue to increase the production of oil prices. The market has never recognized that oil will become a slow-selling product. Oil prices can be allowed to fall. But oil is not allowed to have no production capacity. I like this sentence.
Oil prices are expected to be mainly adjusted in the short term. The clear trading instructions have been announced in the Swing Trading Center. Stay tuned. Prevent missing good trading opportunities.
Crude oil, still bearishAs global supply increases and macro risks rise, the price downside range reappears. If tensions in the Middle East escalate further, it may cause market volatility. The original trend of rising first and then falling today, after the downhill new low, the rise continued, and there was pressure at 57.7. It is expected that there will be shocks and then declines. The original trend is still in a bearish trend, so we consider shorting as the main. Pay attention to the 57.7 resistance and 55.5 support.
After a period of fluctuation, it will continue to decline.WTI crude oil has recouped part of the decline from the sharp drop at the start of this week. It was quoted at $57.55 per barrel during intraday trading. OPEC+ has unexpectedly increased production again, and WTI crude oil has continued the bearish trend that has gradually taken shape since March. With the increase in global supply and the rise in macro risks, the downward price range has emerged once again. If the tensions in the Middle East escalate further, it may trigger market volatility. The eight core member states of the organization, led by Saudi Arabia, have agreed to increase daily production by 411,000 barrels in June, which is the same as the unexpected production increase in May. The cumulative production increase now exceeds 800,000 barrels per day, marking an important step towards canceling the target of the voluntary production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day that has been promised since 2022. Crude oil showed a trend of rising first and then falling today. After breaking through a new low, the upward movement continued. It faced resistance after reaching
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Crude Oil's Bearish Trend Continues: Intraday Trading StrategiesDuring the US trading session on Monday, crude oil recovered part of the losses from the sharp decline at the opening of this week. Previously, OPEC+ unexpectedly increased production again, causing crude oil to continue the bearish trend that has been gradually taking shape since March.
Today, the price of crude oil first rose and then fell. After hitting a new low, the upward trend continued, but when it reached around $57.7, it encountered significant resistance. Looking ahead, it is expected that crude oil will experience an oscillation phase first, and then continue its downward trend.
Currently, crude oil is still in a bear - dominated trend. For intraday trading strategies, it is recommended to focus on short - selling on rallies and use buying on dips as a secondary approach. Pay close attention to the resistance range of $57.7 - $58.5 on the upside and the support range of $55.5 - $54.0 on the downside.
USOIL
sell@57.30-57.50
tp:56.50-56.00
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
WTI TRADE IDEAhello everyone
From the previous oil movement, the entry at 58.52 moved up by 80 pips before hitting breakeven. For the upcoming open market, if the trendline and support or resistance break out as shown on the M30 chart, it could signal an opportunity to enter the market.
Ensure strong confirmation before acting, and keep an eye on shifts in market structure.
Thanks a lot for your support & best of luck
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Analysis and Layout of Crude Oil at the Opening of the MarketThe international crude oil market has experienced intense fluctuations. Both Brent crude oil and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil have recorded significant declines, dropping by 8.31% and 7.58% respectively. The expectations of OPEC+ production increase, the trade concerns triggered by Trump, and the market's risk aversion sentiment due to the global economic slowdown have become the key factors dominating the trend of oil prices.
The crude oil has corrected and broken below the support line, and there is a high probability that the bearish trend will enter a further acceleration stage. After the initial rise followed by a fall, the demarcation line between the bulls and the bears is around 59.4. If it comes under pressure again, it will indicate the continuation of the future trend. The moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, and it is suppressed by the 30-day moving average. Objectively, the short-term trend direction remains downward. Next week, consider taking short positions around 59.4 and expect further decline.
Analysis of the Market Trend for Next WeekThe price of crude oil futures declined on Friday, falling by approximately 1% during the session, giving back the gains brought about by a brief technical rebound. Bearish demand signals continued to dominate traders' sentiment. The price of crude oil is likely to drop by more than 7% this week, which reflects the growing concerns in the market about the weakening of global demand. Traders remain cautious ahead of the crucial OPEC+ meeting scheduled for May 5th. It is expected that some member states will push for an acceleration of production increases before June. There are reports that Saudi Arabia has hinted that it has no intention of supporting oil prices through a new round of production cuts, which has further intensified the downward pressure on oil prices.
In terms of demand, the market remains skeptical about potential trade negotiations. The Ministry of Commerce of China stated that it is evaluating the proposal put forward by the United States to resume tariff negotiations. Analysts said that the trade environment remains unstable and fraught with uncertainties.
Crude oil showed a trend of rising first and then falling today. At the same time, the oil price correction broke below the support line, and the bearish trend of oil prices is expected to enter a further acceleration stage. After the rise first and then the fall, the demarcation line between the bulls and bears of oil prices is around $59.3. If it is under pressure again, it will indicate the continuation of the future trend.
USOIL What Next? BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on USOIL and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 58.35 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 60.83
Safe Stop Loss - 57.06
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 58.463 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 59.265 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USOIL SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 64.59
Target Level: 60.50
Stop Loss: 67.30
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Summary of the Crude Oil Market This WeekThis week, the crude oil market witnessed a significant decline. Brent crude oil dropped by a cumulative 8.3%, and WTI crude oil fell by 7.5%. Both recorded their largest single-week declines since the end of March.👉👉👉
OPEC+ convened a production meeting ahead of schedule and planned to discuss the production increase plan for June. The market bets that the probability of a production increase is as high as 70%. Previously, OPEC+ unexpectedly announced in April that it would increase daily production by 411,000 barrels starting from May, which is three times the original planned increase. This move aimed to punish member states that had overproduced oil. If production is further increased in June, it will further intensify the supply pressure on the market.
Although the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East region have intensified, such as the postponement of the fourth round of nuclear negotiations between the United States and Iran, which has, to a certain extent, provided support for oil prices, judging from the overall market situation this week, this supporting effect has failed to offset the impact of increased supply and decreased demand.
Overall, this week, under the intertwined influence of factors such as increased supply, uncertain demand prospects, and changes in the geopolitical situation, the crude oil market showed a significant downward trend. The market's expectations for crude oil prices are rather pessimistic, and it is expected that crude oil prices will still face certain downward pressure in the coming period. However, if OPEC+ changes its production increase plan, or if there is an unexpected improvement in the global economy, crude oil prices may rebound.