USOIL:A long trading strategy
Oil prices also fell sharply under the stimulus of the news, and then completed the correction rebound in the sub-session, and now back to around 71 again. The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will be mainly in the form of shock consolidation.
Trading ideas than yesterday did not change too much, adjust the appropriate profit point.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@70.5-70.8
TP: 71.8-72.3
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Usoilanalysis
USOIL 1 - Hour Chart AnalysisUSOIL 1 - Hour Chart Analysis
Key Levels
Support: ~69.50 (short - term), 67.70 (critical backup).
Resistance: 73.50 (major hurdle, tested before).
Trend, Pattern & Middle East Conflict
Price oscillates between support/resistance, with a potential “V - shaped reversal”. Middle East conflicts add high uncertainty:
Escalation: Fears of supply cuts could push price above 73.50 rapidly.
De - escalation: May pressure price down, but 67.70/69.50 still get support from lingering supply - risk worries.
Trading Strategies
Bullish: If 69.50 holds (e.g., long lower shadows/bullish candles), small - size long. Target 73.50; stop - loss ~69.20. Watch for sudden conflict news.
Bearish: If 69.50 breaks (consecutive closes below), short. Target 67.70; stop - loss ~69.80. Stay alert to conflict updates.
Note: Oil prices hinge on supply - demand, Middle East tensions, and the USD. Combine tech/fundamental analysis; manage risk strictly.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ USOil ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 70.50 - 71.00
🚀 TP 73.00 - 74.00
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
The latest long - short trading recommendations for crude oil.On Monday, the two benchmark oil prices fell by more than 1% due to media reports that Iran might seek to ease the situation. However, the market's short-term optimism proved unsustainable. Currently, oil price movements are driven primarily by geopolitics rather than fundamentals. Market sensitivity to the Middle East situation has surged to an extremely high level, with even the slightest development triggering violent volatility. The possibility of supply disruptions remains high in the short term, and close attention should be paid to Iran's oil export trends and the actual execution of OPEC+ after its meeting. Meanwhile, be wary of the risk of sharp consolidation amid mixed geopolitical and negotiation news.
In terms of momentum, the fast and slow lines of the MACD indicator have crossed below the zero axis, forming a golden cross with an upward divergence, indicating a stalemate between bullish and bearish momentum. In terms of patterns, a flag continuation pattern has emerged, with penetration of the upper edge of the flag, and the overall trend is in a secondary rhythm. It is expected that crude oil prices will mainly fluctuate and consolidate within the pattern.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@70.0-71.0
TP:74.0-75.0
Crude oil continues to decline - latest market trend analysisThe international oil market is currently experiencing a classic upward cycle of "geopolitical risk premium". In the short term, oil prices will be highly sensitive to any news regarding the security of the Strait of Hormuz. Crude oil has continued its volatile upward trend in the short term, surging to test the price near $74. The moving average system is bullishly aligned with oil prices, and the objective short-term trend direction remains upward.
In early trading, oil prices hit a new high near $75.30, but then surged and fell, closing with a bearish real body K-line. The short-term momentum still favors the bulls, and it is expected that the intraday trend of crude oil will continue to maintain a high-level volatile upward rhythm.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@68.5.0-69.5
TP:73.0-74.0
Maintain high-level volatility.In early trading on Wednesday in the Asian market, international oil prices fell slightly, mainly affected by the easing of supply-demand balance and the drag on the global economic outlook from trade concerns. Brent crude oil futures fell 0.1% to $65.58 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude oil fell 0.1% to $63.32. This decline came after both rose about 2% in the previous trading day, hitting two-week highs. Tuesday's rally was driven by two main factors: first, large-scale wildfires in Canada since early May, which caused thousands of people to evacuate and disrupted part of crude oil production; second, markets expected Asian countries to reject the nuclear agreement draft proposed by the United States, thereby maintaining sanctions on the major oil-producing country and reducing crude oil supply. The current international oil market is in a game of multiple forces. On the one hand, geopolitical factors and natural disasters have increased short-term supply risks; on the other hand, OPEC+ production expansion and trade concerns have constrained the sustainability of price rebounds. In the absence of clear policy directions and confirmation from inventory data, oil prices may remain volatile at high levels.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: epeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@62.0-62.5
TP:63.5-64.0
Crude Oil to Continue Breaking Higher HighsMiddle East Tensions Escalate Sharply: Israel Launches Preemptive Strike on Iran, Targeting Nuclear-related Facilities
Iran's state media confirmed that senior Revolutionary Guard leaders were killed in the attack, with nuclear scientists and facilities also suffering heavy damage. In the short term, geopolitical risks will continue to dominate market sentiment. Oil prices are likely to oscillate at high levels or even edge higher. From a daily chart perspective, crude oil's moving average system forms a bullish arrangement, confirming the unchanged short-term objective uptrend. The morning session K-line closes as a large bullish candlestick, aligning with the primary upward trend. The MACD indicator is bullishly diverging above the zero axis, with bullish momentum prevailing. Intraday crude oil is expected to continue breaking higher.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@70.0-71.0
TP:74.0-75.0
USOIL:Go long
USOIL:Crude oil rose sharply under the tension in the Middle East, the early repeatedly suggested that the continuous low shock after the upward breakthrough, the time of storage force is long enough, especially the watershed 64.8 break after the rising space has been opened, the trading idea is still to step back and do long.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@66.9-67.2
TP: 68.6-69
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Bullish momentum remains robust.International oil prices surged then pulled back. Brent crude oil futures fell 47 cents to $69.40 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) dropped 33 cents to $67.84. In the previous session, both Brent and WTI recorded over 4% gains, hitting their highest levels since early April.
On Wednesday, U.S. President Trump stated that the U.S. is withdrawing some personnel from the Middle East due to the region's potential danger, reiterating that Iran will not be allowed to develop nuclear weapons. Meanwhile, market surveys showed the U.S. is preparing partial evacuations of personnel from its embassy in Iraq and allowing family members in Bahrain and other areas to leave. U.S. and Iraqi sources revealed the move primarily stems from heightened security risks in the region.
Current upward momentum in the oil market is driven by dual factors: geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and unexpected declines in U.S. inventories. In the short term, as long as tensions between Iran and the U.S. show no signs of easing, the market will continue to monitor potential supply disruption risks. Additionally, the alleviation of trade concerns and global economic recovery expectations will provide strong long-term support for oil prices. However, risks of sharp volatility from sudden deterioration in geopolitical situations should be vigilantly monitored.
With moving averages diverging upward, the short-term objective trend is clearly established as bullish. It is expected that crude oil prices will continue to rise and hit new highs.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@65.5.0-66.0
TP:67.5-68.0
WTI Crude Oil 4H Chart – Bullish Setup from Demand Zone📈 Current Price: $61.74
🔵 Key Zones & Levels
🔹 Demand Zone (Buy Area):
🟦 $59.48 – $61.39
→ Price expected to bounce here
→ 🔄 Potential reversal zone
🔹 Entry Point:
🎯 $61.39
→ Ideal level to enter LONG
→ Just above demand zone
🔹 Stop Loss:
🛑 Below $59.48
→ Exit if price drops here
→ Protects capital
🔹 Target Point:
🚀 $67.00
→ Profit-taking zone
→ Strong resistance zone nearby:
* 66.63
* 66.75
* 67.60
📊 Indicators
📍 EMA (70): 🔴 61.40
→ Price trading above = bullish signal
→ EMA acting as support
📏 Trendline Channel:
🔼 Higher highs & higher lows
→ Supports uptrend continuation
📌 Trade Plan Summary
* Bias: 📈 Bullish
* Buy: At 61.39
* Stop: Below 59.48 🛑
* Target: 67.00 🎯
* Risk-Reward: ✔️ Favorable (~1:3)
🔍 What to Watch
* ✅ Bullish candles in demand zone
* 🔁 Retest of EMA or lower channel
* ❌ Avoid if it breaks below $59.48
USOUL:Go long near 65.5
USOIL:Crude oil broke through the watershed 64.85 after the emergence of strong unilateral bulls, daily cycle relying on short-term average to go even Yang form, rising space has opened, pay attention to the strong will continue at least a few trading days, short-term relying on 65 defense needs to be more, pay attention to 65.5 near the long, see 66.7-67
Trading Strategy:
BUY@65.5
TP: 66.7-67
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"Go long on crude oil with strong unilateral pullback"The market is weighing the impact of global trade tensions on the global crude oil demand outlook. After two days of intense consultations in London, the Asian giant and the U.S. have reached a framework agreement on restarting trade talks. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said after the negotiations that the framework still needs review and approval from President Trump. Crude oil continued to rise after a pullback correction, showing a single bearish candlestick retracement pattern on the daily chart. With price supported at the MA5 level, it continues to make new highs, and this rally could target the 67.0 level.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@64.0-64.5
TP:66.5-67.0
USOIL:Go short before you go long
USOIL:Crude oil trend in line with expectations to break 65, hourly level to see adjustment, trading can be done first short and then long. Here are my range trading ideas.
Trading Strategy:
SELL@65.4-65.5
TP:64.5-64.
BUY@64.5-64
TP: 65.3-65.5
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Crude Oil Surges StronglyAs market participants await positive outcomes from negotiations between a major Asian economy and the U.S., crude oil prices edge higher modestly. During Tuesday's Asian session, Brent crude oil futures rose by $0.12 to $67.16 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude oil gained $0.13 to $65.42, briefly hitting a new high since April 4th intraday. In the previous trading day, Brent surged to $67.19, the highest level since April 28th, primarily driven by market expectations of a potential deal between the U.S. and China.
Current oil prices stand at a crossroads of multiple factors. In the short term, the global trade landscape dictates the main thread of market sentiment. If a mitigation plan is reached, it will boost demand expectations. However, the resumption of Iranian exports and OPEC's production increase strategy may lead to a potential supply glut in the second half of the year, emerging as the primary risk suppressing oil prices.
Technically, the K-line has pierced below the moving average system, indicating a shift in the short-term objective upward trend. The formation of a large-bodied bearish candle in the subsequent session establishes the main rhythm, suggesting that oil prices may further decline to around $63.50 today before seeking new support.
Overall, today's trading strategy for crude oil is recommended to focus on rebound shorting as the primary approach and pullback long positions as a supplement. In the short term, monitor resistance at the $67.5-68.0 range, while support lies at the $65.0-64.5 level.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
USOIL Trade Setup: Watching for a Bullish Break After Pullback 📈 US OIL Trade Plan
Currently, USOIL is in a strong bullish trend 🔥 — price action has pushed into overextended territory, which opens the door for a potential pullback 🌀.
I'm watching for a WTI retracement into equilibrium, ideally aligning with the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci levels from the previous swing low to high 🔍📉. If price corrects into that zone and we find support, followed by a bullish break in market structure 💥 — that would be the confirmation I’m waiting for to consider a long position 🚀.
⚠️ Key Level to Watch: That structure break is the trigger — no confirmation, no trade 🧠.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis and consult a professional before making trading decisions. Trade responsibly.
Crude oil breaks through strongly.On the daily chart of crude oil, the upper Bollinger Band is opening upward, and the 64.85 level is basically unable to hold. Once this level is broken, it will open up upward space, and the rally will just be beginning. After the breakout, the market will shift from the previous sustained oscillation to a strong unilateral trend, and the rally will at least continue with a wave of strength. Focus on going long at 63.50/64, or if there is a strong rally in the European session, pullbacks in the US session are also buying opportunities. Now it is about whether there will be a strong breakout.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@63.5-64.0
TP:65.5-66.0
$USOIL & $XLE: Sustainable bull run or short-term bounce?Recently the commodities and the commodity stocks are having a bull run. Oil being one of the largest categories within the Bloomberg Commodity Index Futures is late to the party after the AMEX:GLD rally. In my recent posts I made the case that the TVC:USOIL will remain range bound, and we will see 55 $ in $USOIL. But since then, TVC:USOIL has gone through a small rally with price currently @ 65 $ which has taken it closer to the 0.5 Fib retracement level. AMEX:XLE , which represents the S&P500 energy sector stocks, is also attempting to post a rally.
In the short-term markets have diverged from our last predictions. Let’s be honest in the short term such rallies might be accompanied by short covering and the weakness in TVC:DXY is also helping the Energy rally. But now the question comes where do we go from here?
TVC:USOIL and AMEX:XLE can have a bull rally due to short covering and momentum pushing it across the 0.5 Fib level. If TVC:USOIL breaks above 0.5 then the next stop 0.618 will take us 80 $ indicating a 25% upside form here. And a similar upside in the AMEX:XLE will take us 131 $, which is also 25% up from its current value and the upper range of the upward slopping channel indicative from the chart.
Verdict: Short term probable bounce in TVC:USOIL and $XLE. Long term bearish on TVC:USOIL with target 55 - 60 $.
USOIL:Wait 63.6-64 to go long
Affected by last week's data, crude oil directly broke through the short-term pressure 64, technical point of view of the daily track upward opening, 64.8 position basically can not hold, and once the break open the space for rise, the rise has just begun;
After breaking from the early continuous shock to a strong unilateral, the market will at least continue a wave of strength, pay attention to 63.6-64 range to do more, or the European market force to rise, the United States is also more, now is to see a strong break.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@63.6-64
TP: 65-65.2
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Analysis of Upward/Downward Trends in Monday's Opening MarketBoosted by the telephone conversation between leaders of the world's two largest economies, oil prices maintained their upward momentum on Friday. Brent crude stabilized at around $65 per barrel, notching its first weekly rebound since mid-May; WTI crude also held near $63. "Against the backdrop of gradually easing macro uncertainties, the risk of panic selling in the market has significantly diminished," analysts said. "With the arrival of the summer peak demand season and the superimposition of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Russia, the downside for oil prices has been notably constrained."
The recent steady rebound in oil prices indicates that the market has gradually digested macro uncertainties, though the underlying supporting factors remain fragile. While trade concerns have temporarily subsided, whether OPEC+ will continue to release capacity as expected by the market will be key to determining whether oil prices can sustain their rebound. Meanwhile, the options market reflects expectations of a year-end supply glut, which will test the coordination capabilities of oil-producing countries.
Overall, for next week's crude oil trading strategy, it is recommended to prioritize buying on dips and supplement with shorting on rebounds. In the short term, monitor resistance at the $66.0-$67.0 level, while short-term support lies at the $63.5-$62.5 level.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@62.0-62.5
TP:64.5-65.0
USOIL:The strategy of going short
USOIL: Same thinking, still maintain the short strategy. Friends with short orders at 63.3-63.5 continue to wait, can increase short orders near 63.8, the target is 62.5-62.3 unchanged
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Crude Oil is Building Momentum for a BreakoutDuring the U.S. trading session on Thursday, international oil prices fluctuated higher, with U.S. crude oil currently trading near $63.55 per barrel. Despite the intraday volatility, international oil prices remain under downward pressure, primarily influenced by two key factors.
First, data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed that as of last week, U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories increased more than expected, signaling weakening refined product demand in the world’s largest economy. This development has sparked investor concerns about whether the U.S. summer driving season can sustain demand growth, leading to a ~1% decline in oil prices on Wednesday.
The current crude oil market is caught between supply and demand headwinds:
Supply-side pressures: OPEC+’s production increase plan and Saudi Arabia’s strategic price cuts have created short-term bearish sentiment.
Demand-side uncertainties: The unexpected rise in U.S. refined product inventories has amplified market doubts about the vigor of global consumption recovery.
Additionally, the escalation of international trade frictions has further dampened risk appetite, exacerbating downward pressure on prices.
In the short term, oil prices are likely to continue oscillating within the $60–$65 per barrel range. Market participants should closely monitor U.S. macroeconomic data and OPEC+’s compliance with its production policies for directional cues.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@61.5-62.0
TP:63.0-63.5
USOIL:tay long
USOIL: The short-term objective trend is oscillating. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator is above the zero axis, showing a top divergence, indicating that the upward momentum is weakening. In the first two trading days, the overall rhythm trend was alternating between primary and secondary, and it is expected that the intraday crude oil trend will still maintain the probability of shock upward, so maintain the long idea.
Trading can wait for the retracement after the long.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@62.8-63
TP: 63.8-64
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