Get started

Usoilanalysis

Oil needs to stay below 95-100USD for disinflation to continueHello friends. Theres a lot of stuff going on in the crypto space but we keep our head clear. We flipped net long on our portfolio after BTC's last drop to 15K as we believe this is the 5th wave of the impulse down. If you are interested to see our portfolio, please refer to the links below. We expect a rough ride till at least the end of November but we see a lot of positive signs for a market recovery. The most important one is inflation coming down. In order to keep this trend of prices coming down, we need to have a close look at the oil price. We dont know what the sanctions on Russian oil will imply for the market, so we need to wait and see. So we keep it simple: for disinflation to continue we need to keep the oil price roughly below 93 USD, where the POC resides (wicks to 100 USD excluded). If oil breaks out above 100 USD we have a big problem. Yet as shown on the chart, we believe the oil bull run has calmed down and believe price will stay in the range between 93 and 56 USD. Hopefully we can continue our impulse waves down to land on 56 USD volume support. Yet, in the current macro and geopolitical environment we need to be careful with projections as any event can invalidate it immediately. Oil is leading for inflation and we hope consumers, businesses and the market will find relief with a lower oil price. I wish everyone good luck!
TVC:USOILShort
by cryptobullethbtcxlm
2
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailWe have been on a profit spree since taking advantage of the breakout of the most anticipated key level at the $86.00 zone. On Friday, we witnessed a 5% rally in the price of oil, and this is not unconnected to China's decision to ease the COVID-Zero policy and the market overreacted accordingly. Remember, China is the largest importer of Oil hence the ability to drive volatility. From a technical standpoint, as the price edges towards the $93.50 level, I am of the opinion that we wait and see how the price reacts to this level before either making a decision of adding to the existing buy position or hedh=ging out of the position. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
TVC:USOIL
by darcsherry
2
Crude Oil Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022 Crude Oil Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022 We can see that this week our volatility is at 6.63% which declined from 6.88% last week. Currently according to ATR we are on 61th percentile, and according to OVX we are on 85th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is volatile market. Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details. We can see that currently there is 29.1% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channel TOP: 97.25 BOT: 84.73 This can also be translated as a 70.9% chance that the market is going to move within this established range. At the same, looking at the previous high/low values of the candle, and taking into account the entire history available of data, we can expect that there is going to be a 71% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of 93.05 30% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of 85.5
NYMEX:CL1!
by exlux
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailThis is a follow-up detail to my previous analysis of this commodity where we closed the week with approximately 200pips profit. Oil prices plunged about 1% on Friday after top crude oil importer China widened its COVID-19 curbs, though the price of oil rose during the course of last week's trading session after a significant breakout of the much anticipated $86.00 level to set the tone for a bullish momentum in the coming week(s). Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by darcsherry
1
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailFollowing the OPEC+ decision to cut oil production 2 weeks; we have witnessed an increase in the price of crude oil. However, during last week's trading session, there was a drop in oil prices which could be a s a result of "take profit" activities and we still do not know how far the retracement move will go. It appears that the fears of recession and weak oil demand, especially in China, is outweighing the move to cut oil production at the moment, but from a technical standpoint, this video explains where to look out for buying opportunities that is likely going to be inciting the second phase of the bullish momentum that started two weeks ago. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
TVC:USOILLong
by darcsherry
4