Volatility
General Electric Still Has Battery. GEThere is a constellation of factors to lay a foundation for a bullish bias. MIDAS and US curves are both crossed, plus upgoing stochastic/volatility combo. Right now we are of the view that this is an evolving ABC zigzag or flat, with view to reverse position should the red line be crossed and pattern effectively evolves to a downward triple drive or something similar.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green or purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line.
Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis.
Professionally, we are big fans of any indicators from Jurik, De Mark and Ehlers, which we use in addendum in analysis prior to putting down positions.
We prefer a combination of at least four technical factors to favor a particular stance. A stance is never decided by this constellation, rather the constellation merely confirms the stance.
Trading is a true one man sport. No single confluence of indicators is truly good enough, and a professional trader's sense must be developed through a lot of hard work and over a significant period of time. Good luck out there and stay safe.
Union Pacific Corporation to Gain Some Traction. UNPA nice cross of MIDAS, Smoother lines on the daily, post something choppy that we are not entirely sure what is. Oscillators are supporting. Weekly chart is in favor of some kind of a recovery in the interim.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green or purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line.
Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis.
Professionally, we are big fans of any indicators from Jurik, De Mark and Ehlers, which we use in addendum in analysis prior to putting down positions.
We prefer a combination of at least four technical factors to favor a particular stance. A stance is never decided by this constellation, rather the constellation merely confirms the stance.
Trading is a true one man sport. No single confluence of indicators is truly good enough, and a professional trader's sense must be developed through a lot of hard work and over a significant period of time. Good luck out there and stay safe.
Drop on ServiceNow Inc on the Radar. NOWA five wave Elliott impulse appearing to be reaching conclusion. There is a cross of Ehler's Smoother, and Stochastic and volatility zone indicators have already turned. This is a less reliable picture, as the momentum only appears to be growing. It is prudent to stay mindful of the fact that no confirmatory levels have been crossed.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green or purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line.
Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis.
Professionally, we are big fans of any indicators from Jurik, De Mark and Ehlers, which we use in addendum in analysis prior to putting down positions.
We prefer a combination of at least four technical factors to favor a particular stance. A stance is never decided by this constellation, rather the constellation merely confirms the stance.
Trading is a true one man sport. No single confluence of indicators is truly good enough, and a professional trader's sense must be developed through a lot of hard work and over a significant period of time. Good luck out there and stay safe.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/10/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21309.00
- PR Low: 21211.25
- NZ Spread: 218.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings
- Nonfarm Payrolls
- Unemployment Rate
AMP raised margin requirements for pre-RTH jobs news
- Additional expectation of high volatility due to Friday following a closed market holiday
- Abnormally wide first hour range for session open
- Daily print advertising potential rotation above 21400
- Holding auction below Wednesday's close, above the low
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 1/10)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 378.31
- Volume: 33K
- Open Int: 239K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -5.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Bullish on UnitedHealth Group. UNHMajor confluence of factors here to suggest a bullish bias. MIDAS curve cross shortly after Ehrler's Smoother cross. Suspect B Wave start in a flat zigzag. Ehrler's stochastic and VZO remain bullish, yet less convincingly.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green or purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line.
Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis.
Professionally, we are big fans of any indicators from Jurik, De Mark and Ehlers, which we use in addendum in analysis prior to putting down positions.
We prefer a combination of at least four technical factors to favor a particular stance. A stance is never decided by this constellation, rather the constellation merely confirms the stance.
Trading is a true one man sport. No single confluence of indicators is truly good enough, and a professional trader's sense must be developed through a lot of hard work and over a significant period of time. Good luck out there and stay safe.
ICICIBANK Option Buy Trade (January 2025)I plan to buy the ICICIBANK 1290 Put Option (January Contract)
CMP: 25.90 | Best buy below 15.00
STOPLOSS: 7.50
TARGET: 1260 January future level.
Validity: Till 27th January 2025 Trading session.
Disclaimer: This is not a trade recommendation, for educational purposes only.
$NVDA NVIDIA AFTER CES: REALITY KICKS IN AFTER ATH | JAN08'25NASDAQ:NVDA NVIDIA AFTER CES: REALITY KICKS IN AFTER ATH | JAN08'25
NASDAQ:NVDA BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $140.00 - $153.00
NASDAQ:NVDA DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $136.00 - $140.00
NASDAQ:NVDA SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $127.00 - $136.00
NASDAQ:NVDA Trends:
NASDAQ:NVDA Weekly Trend: Bullish
NASDAQ:NVDA Daily Trend: Bullish
NASDAQ:NVDA 4H Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:NVDA 1H Trend: Bearish
At CES 2025, NASDAQ:NVDA unveiled a series of groundbreaking announcements, including the RTX 50 series GPUs and the Cosmos AI platform, aimed at robotics and autonomous vehicles. This led to an immediate surge in NASDAQ:NVDA 's stock price, hitting new all-time highs and reaching the top of my previous bullish zone. However, the excitement didn't last, with the stock experiencing a significant pullback shortly after.
I will link below my previous NASDAQ:NVDA analyses, along with my NASDAQ:SMCI analysis and NASDAQ:AMD analysis!
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/8/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21395.75
- PR Low: 21344.50
- NZ Spread: 114.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes
Rotation short off 21900 inventory
- Holding auction at previous session close
- Back below daily Keltner average cloud
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 1/8)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 382.42
- Volume: 26K
- Open Int: 240K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -4.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Big Bets Coming In, Negative Gamma Clusters Here We Come!I have been waiting to call this one for months. Predicted the downfall of MSTR and now I want a dead cat bounce or short term rally again.
After large positions and option contract plays are placed/bought, it can take time for the bottom to form and the price to move. I can see potential downside to $290-$289 and then we bounce ORRRRRR if we break through 290-289 with strong downside, next target is $262.
IF WE LOSE 290, its very very bad for the stock longer term.
First target is $320
Second target is $340
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/7/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21796.25
- PR Low: 21768.75
- NZ Spread: 61.5
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
- JOLTs Job Openings
Previous session run to 21900 inventory
- Rotating inside daily Keltner average cloud below previous session close
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 1/7)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 376.77
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 243K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -4.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Technical Report: Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Looking DownwardTechnical Report: Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Looking Downward
H ello!
The current technical picture and the recent market activity points to the Bearish perspective of Bitcoin (BTC-USD). Having passed the powerful psychological support at $100,000, many signals suggest we’re on the verge of correction, with target support in the $92,000 area.
Weak RSI Signals Overbought Conditions
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the primary indicators hinting at a potential decline. Currently, the RSI hovers around the 60 mark, resistance, reflecting weak momentum and failing to indicate a robust buying trend. While an RSI above 70 typically signals overbought conditions, the lack of a strong rally and an RSI below 50 often signal bearish sentiment. This suggests Bitcoin’s earlier bullish momentum may be fading, increasing the likelihood of a near-term price correction.
Rising Bitcoin Dominance
Another key factor is the rising Bitcoin dominance within the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin’s growing market capitalization relative to other cryptocurrencies may signify a shift in investor sentiment, positioning Bitcoin as a safe haven amid altcoin volatility. However, this trend could also indicate fear-driven behavior rather than confidence, with investors hedging against broader market instability.
If Bitcoin dominance continues to rise without a corresponding price increase, it might signal an impending sell-off. Investors could be looking to liquidate their positions amid market uncertainty, potentially driving Bitcoin’s price downward.
Regulatory and Macroeconomic Pressures
Recent regulatory developments and macroeconomic factors also threaten Bitcoin’s upward trajectory. Heightened scrutiny from financial regulators worldwide has created uncertainty in the market. Proposals for stricter regulations on cryptocurrency exchanges and potential tax implications could dampen trading volumes and dissuade new investors. This regulatory pressure may contribute to bearish sentiment.
Macroeconomic factors, including rising interest rates and inflation concerns, further complicate Bitcoin’s position. Traditional investments offering higher yields may become more attractive, reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as an alternative asset. In this environment, the $100,000 resistance level becomes a critical barrier. Failure to breach this level could trigger significant selling pressure.
Price Projection: $92,000 Support
With a weak RSI, potential for increasing Bitcoin strength, and the latest regulation headlines, a strong reversal below $100,000 seems foreseeable. If it doesn’t have support above $100,000, then it could sink right back into the $92,000. This has been a level that has been resistant in the past, but an attack would open the door for more losses.
Currently technical analysis and overall market picture shows Bitcoin (BTC-USD) in bearish direction. The low RSI also signals lost upward momentum, rising dominance and regulatory issues mean that there could be instability. When Bitcoin reaches the important $100,000 resistance, traders should be patient and prepare for a drop towards $92,000 resistance. Conditions are not set in stone, so stay on top of what’s to come as Bitcoin’s price action shifts.
Regards,
Elysian Signals
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/6/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21544.75
- PR Low: 21501.75
- NZ Spread: 96.0
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI
Holding value at Friday's close
- Sellers at 21000 zone feeling pressure if stops have not already been hit
- Buy excitement over 21600 making higher highs with aforementioned failed break short
- Daily print advertising rotation back inside Keltner average cloud
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 1/6)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 370.71
- Volume: 24K
- Open Int: 251K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -4.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Key Support / Resistance Breakout - Swing TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
Key Support & Resistance Breakout. Stock has give Breakout of Resistance level. Keep in watch list. Buy above the high. Suitable for Swing Trade. Stop loss & Target Shown on Chart.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think.
Next Big Move: Weekly GEX & Key LevelsWeekly GEX & Key Levels – Options Recap
Chop Zone (5850–6055)
This range is likely the short-term “parking” area for sideways price action.
Expect the market to oscillate here unless a stronger directional catalyst emerges.
Gamma ‘Deny Zone’ (Below 5850)
Dropping below 5850 can amplify negative gamma effects, potentially fueling a stronger downside move.
Watch for increased volatility and momentum if this area is breached.
Gamma-Squeeze Breakout Zone (Above 6055)
A break above 6055 neutralizes the call gamma wall, potentially triggering a rapid rally (gamma squeeze).
Consider bullish option plays if this level is reclaimed and confirmed.
Options Perspective
IVRank 23.8: Moderately elevated implied volatility (~1–2% potential daily moves).
Puts 87%: Significant open interest in PUT positions, especially around 5800–5900 strikes, often acting as a strong support zone.
Gamma Flip (~5923): A critical pivot where market maker positioning flips, potentially creating intraday turning points.
Practical Strategies
Range Trading in the Chop Zone
Iron condors, short strangles, or other neutral strategies.
Stay alert for any breakout that can quickly move the market beyond this range.
Bullish Breakout Above 6055
Consider call debit spreads or bull call spreads to capture a swift upside move.
Look for a confirmed break (ideally on higher volume).
Bearish Breakdown Below 5850
Hedge with protective puts or put debit spreads if you hold existing long exposure.
Negative gamma could accelerate downside momentum.
Summary
Base Case: Likely consolidation between 5850 and 6055.
Upside: Above 6055, a gamma-driven squeeze could rapidly push prices higher.
Downside: Below 5850, stronger selling pressure may emerge.
Manage risk according to your plan and remain vigilant for any surprise catalysts.
Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Always use proper risk management based on your own trading objectives.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/3/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21188.75
- PR Low: 21144.00
- NZ Spread: 100.25
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Manufacturing Prices
Inventory response of 21000 daily pivot zone
- Holding auction at 50% of previous session range
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 1/3)
- Weekend Gap: +0.07% (filled)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 372.20
- Volume: 25K
- Open Int: 254K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -5.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Crude Oil January Futures: Bullish Option Trade SetupBuilding upon my prior analysis, where I held a bearish outlook on Crude Oil January Futures , I now present a contrasting bullish perspective. While I had previously emphasized the confidentiality of the stop-loss level for short trades, this setup focuses on a call option strategy aligned with my expectations of upward momentum in the market.
For this trade, I have chosen the 6000 strike call option . The optimal entry point for this position is below ₹234.20 , providing a favorable risk-reward ratio. As of this writing, the current market quote (best offer) stands at ₹186.00 , offering an attractive entry opportunity for bullish traders.
My target for this position is set at ₹468.40 , which I anticipate achieving by the contract's expiry on 15th January 2025.
Key Notes:
This trade is based on my personal analysis and market perspective.
It is important to emphasize that this is not a trade recommendation for the public.
The stop-loss level remains confidential and forms an integral part of my risk management approach.
Disclaimer:
Trading in options and futures involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. This analysis is solely my personal view and is shared for informational purposes. Perform your own due diligence or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/2/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21320.50
- PR Low: 21243.75
- NZ Spread: 171.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
09:45 | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI
11:00 | Crude Oil Inventories
Lift back near Tuesday's open
- Possible NYSE vol spikes with economic events to start the year
Session Open Stats (As of 2:15 AM 1/2)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 375.49
- Volume: 55K
- Open Int: 251K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -4.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
People sold for taxes. NOW, back to 100K before Jan 21stMy orange support lines held firmly, MSTR closed at my exact support yesterday and we are set up for a push higher before our new Pres takes office on the 21st.
Price target is 100K before 01/21/2025 and then an argument for a potential bearish head and shoulders is on the table. Which plays out perfectly because all of retail will be so hyped for trumps pro crypto administration, that bullish retail buying could trigger another pull back down.
Be ready for A LOT of whip saws and volatility. Buy the rumor and SELL THE NEWS.