Master HBAR with Fibonacci: The Golden Pocket BlueprintSince topping out at $0.20151, HBAR has spent the last nine days in a corrective pullback. Digging into a rich confluence of supports that offers a long trade setup. Here’s how to spot the high‑probability entries, manage your risk, and scale out for maximum reward.
Current Context
Two days ago, price was firmly rejected at the weekly open ($0.19029) right alongside the anchored VWAP drawn from the $0.28781 swing high.
HBAR now trades below the monthly open ($0.18210), the weekly open ($0.19029), and the daily open ($0.18024), sitting at about $0.177.
Just beneath today’s level lies the swing low at $0.17543. Breaching this could flush out stops before any meaningful bounce.
The Golden Support Zone
All signals converge between $0.170 and $0.1725:
The anchored VWAP from the $0.12488 low sits at around $0.17.
The 0.618 fib retracement of the $0.15396→$0.20239 move falls at $0.17246. Just under the swing low where the liquidity lies.
The secondary 0.666 fib retracement lands at $0.17014, reinforcing that floor.
Volume‑profile analysis of the past 27 days pins its Point of Control right at $0.17, great confluence with the anchored VWAP.
This “golden pocket” is your pivot for a low‑risk, high‑probability long.
Long Trade Setup
Ladder buy orders between the swing low ($0.17543) and the 0.666 fib at $0.17014.
Aim to average in around $0.1725.
Place a single stop‑loss just below $0.17
Scaling Your Exits
First Partial Exit at the monthly open ($0.18210). This offers roughly a 2:1 R:R.
Second Exit Zone around the weekly open and VWAP resistance (~$0.19) for about a 3:1 R:R.
Final Target at the 0.618 fib retracement of the entire down‑wave (from $0.28781 to $0.12488) near $0.2256. An astounding 10:1 payoff for the patient trader.
Keep in mind a potential false‑break (SFP) at $0.17543: if price briefly dips below then snaps back up, with increased volume.
Short Trade Setup
For traders looking to play the downside from the “golden pocket” flip, here’s a clear short strategy:
Entry Zone: Ladder short entries between the 0.618 fib at $0.22557 and the 0.666 fib at $0.23339.
Confluence: The 0.666 level aligns perfectly with the negative 0.618 fib from the prior swing, creating a resistance zone.
Stop‑Loss: Place your stop just above $0.23339, invalidating the confluence.
Take‑Profit: Target a return to around $0.206, where you can lock in gains as HBAR retests its previous high.
By scaling into shorts across that fib band, you balance your risk and capture the high‑odds reversal offered by stacked Fibonacci confluence. Let the golden pocket guide both your longs and shorts!
Key Takeaways
Confluence is king: VWAPs, Fibonacci retracements, Liquidity and volume‑profile all align in the $0.170–$0.175 zone.
Risk control: One stop‑loss under $0.17 protects the entire laddered entry.
Tiered targets: Small wins at $0.182, larger as you clear $0.19, and a big payoff if HBAR rallies toward $0.225. Trail your SL accordingly.
Patience pays: Wait for price to enter the golden pocket, avoid chasing!
With these confluences lining up and clear levels to work from, HBAR’s next high‑probability long setup is staring you in the face. Trade smart, size appropriately, and let the market reward your discipline.
Happy Trading!
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Volumeprofileanalysis
SOL Analysis Deep Dive: Identifying Optimal Entry and Exit ZonesYesterday, SOL gave a sharp downside shakeout, dropping from the weekly open at $147.98 (perfectly retested) down to the 0.5 Fib retracement of the swing at $140.25. Here’s a structured breakdown of the key levels, trade setups, and R:R profiles for both longs and shorts:
🔑 Key Levels & Confluences
1. Higher-Timeframe Opens
Weekly Open & Retest: $147.98 – pivoted price before the drop
Monthly & Prior-Day Open Cluster: $147.98–$146.31 – strong support confluence zone
2. Fibonacci Support Zones
0.5 Fib at $140.25 – primary mean-reversion entry
0.786 Fib (smaller wave) at $138.78 – secondary, deeper support
3. Order Block
Daily Bullish Order Block at $139.87 – just below 0.5 Fib, adds extra support
4. Volume-Weighted Average Price
Anchored VWAP (from ATH $295.83) at ~$166.45 – key upside resistance
5. Market Profile Value Areas (10-Day Range)
Value Area High (VAH) at ~$153.00 – overhead resistance confluence
Value Area Low (VAL) at ~$145.75 – underpins support
📈 Long Trade Setups
1. 0.5/0.786 Fib + Daily Bullish Order Block
Entry: $141-138.78
Stop-Loss: $137.5
Target: $165 (anchored VWAP / Fib zones)
R:R ≈ 9:1
2. Higher-Timeframe Open Cluster
Entry Zone: $147.98–$146.31(monthly/weekly open)
Stop-Loss: $142.5
Target: $165
R:R ≈ 3:1
• Why these levels? The 0.5 Fib is a classic mean-reversion zone, bolstered by the daily order block. The $147–146 zone ties together multiple opens (weekly, monthly, prior-day), offering a solid demand area if price retraces back up.
📉 Short Trade Setup
Trigger: Rejection / swing-failure around $153.4
Entry: $153.4
Stop-Loss: $154.3
Target: Weekly/Monthly open (~$147)
R:R ≈ 6:1
• Low-risk short: A clean rejection at the recent high lets you define risk tightly above the swing, aiming to capture the retrace back to the opens.
🎯 Summary & Game Plan
Primary bias: Look for long entries at the 0.5 Fib ($140.25) or the open-cluster zone ($147–146), with targets toward the anchored VWAP at ~$166.
Alternate bias: A short on clear rejection from $153.4, targeting the opens as support.
Risk management: Keep stops tight (SL below $137.5 or above $154.3) to maximize R:R on your favored setups.
Volume & Price Action: Confirm entries with an uptick in volume or bullish price structure (for longs) or swift failure patterns (for shorts).
Now it’s a waiting game! Let price revisit these zones, watch for confirmation signals, and then scale into your chosen side. Good luck! Don't chase, let the charts come to you!
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Are getting strong 4 long lol??✅ Summary of Top-Down Analysis:
🟢 Daily (Macro Bias):
Bias: Neutral → Leaning Bullish
Context:
MACD and price both made lower lows (convergence = no divergence, but momentum weakening).
Price hit strong support at 16,457.
Bullish close post-FOMC + macro catalyst (Trump’s tariff changes) = positive sentiment.
Key note: China-specific tariff at 125% could inject volatility, possibly sector-specific.
🟠 4HR:
Bias: Bullish
Confluence:
Higher high in price and MACD = bullish momentum confirmed.
Price reclaimed structure after failed low.
Approaching last week's POC → possible liquidity grab + continuation.
4HR bullish imbalance could be a key reaction zone (support).
🔴 1HR:
Bias: Bullish
Context:
Clear bullish structure + MACD higher high.
Aligned with 4HR bullish flow = continuation potential.
🔵 15min:
Bias: Bullish
Micro Context:
Structure and MACD aligned → price above previous NY POC = showing strength into next session.
May look to use NY POC or VWAP pullbacks for entry.
🎯 Gameplan Suggestions:
Scenario 1 – Continuation Entry:
Look for pullbacks into 4HR imbalance zone or 15m demand + VWAP area.
Use MACD + price action confirmation for entry (e.g., engulfing, break of lower highs).
Targets: swing high above 4HR structure + liquidity zones.
Scenario 2 – Reversal Risk:
If price shows exhaustion near last week’s POC, especially with MACD divergence on lower timeframes → consider a quick short scalp or stay flat until new structure forms.
👀 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 16,457 = macro support
🔹 Last week’s POC = near-term resistance/liquidity
🔹 Bullish 4HR imbalance zone (mark this for entries)
🔹 Previous NY POC / VWAP area = short-term entry pullback zone
Watching For Consolidation, Correction or ContinuationWeekly:
Price took out old swing low after a lower low was printed — confirming bearish intent.
However, price is now inside a new HTF support zone.
MACD remains bearish, signaling potential continuation lower, but watch for possible slowdown or divergence signs in this zone.
Daily:
Structure is firmly bearish — lower low confirmed.
MACD bearish and showing momentum strength — favors continuation lower unless lower timeframes suggest a deeper correction.
4H:
Bearish convergence confirmed — price action aligns with HTF bearish bias.
However, current price action is corrective/bullish — likely a pullback within a bearish trend.
MACD still bearish but weakening — signals caution for late shorts, or potential for deeper retracement.
1H:
Monday's failure to make a new low overnight hinted early market structure shift — bullish correction in play.
MACD turned bullish into Friday's POC, and price rallied into 4H bearish imbalance above it.
Currently:
1H hidden bearish convergence developing — early sign correction may exhaust.
MACD weakening — signals reduced bullish momentum.
Key overnight scenarios:
Consolidation near current highs (distribution?)
Continuation of bullish correction into deeper supply
Bearish continuation if sellers step in aggressively from imbalance zone
we might continue dropping daily hidden divergence, price might want to continue seeking sell side liquidity
4hr is making a new low and taking out old lows (sell side liquidity) to the left MACD is not converging as of yet
1hr hbrsh-div price is dropping ahead of red news this Friday, could head to 1hr old low or weekly low, waiting to see how price reacts to news
m15 price is below POC of previous NY session POC, as well as overnight Asian and London session converging nicely ahead of news I would favor price reacting short-term from m15 bearish imbalance before reaching the lows around the NY open after news but we will see
INTRADAY MOVEMENT EXPECTEDi can see still there is liquidity above at the poc of the weekly volume
but if the price can cross up the level it can visit the next resistance above
so if the price at london session cross down the value area i will expect visit the levels shown on the chart as support and make the rejection
so we have to follow the plan and and use the levels on the chart risk management safe the profit secure the orders after the price move stop at break even
we wish happy trade for all
Sweet Spot To Sell The BTC Pullback In a strong downtrend. Every pullback on the 4hr and Daily chart will be hyped by the bulls & super cycle evangelists as a "WE'RE BACK" moment.
I will continue to take this same setup, selling Major swing highs on 4HR & Daily chart on BTC until the Daily Chart flips bullish. Until then or some news come out, we will remain in the downtrend until we hit the target shown in my last analysis, see link below.
Full Market post NFP Review: Pure Consolidation as expectedEverything seems to be at an inflection point with currencies taking the reigns for profitability 💪🏽 EU/GU are inversing the dollar really well as always with that strong direct correlation. This is why we at Hollywoood Trades believe in market diversity. It is good to understand what should happen and what will be the result of an out of sync indices and metal market vs. the currency direct correlation pairs.
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BTC getting bullish closes on daily after a mean fib retestGet your eyes back to the sky after receiving the double bottom retest using last weeks levels as support 🎯 As we like to keep it simple using previous candle levels as support or resistance, we can expect all levels closed over to act as Break and Retest (BAR Method) points to hold us up.
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EUR GBP & DXY Update--DXY Tanking as expectedFrom pre-new year analysis we expected by the printout that last year's high would be purged for liquidity and then we would fall out of the old imbalanced short range 🔑
Voila, what else could we expect. We are always on point with long term analysis.
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Gold resuming it's usual bullish narrativeAs we always say, after a bullish daily close, we will remain bullish until a bearish daily close. With that being said, there was def a short opportunity today after reaching our buyside goal.
We will continue to track the development here and keep you on point with expectations.
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Gold back to it's normal bullish programAs we always say, after a bullish daily close, we will remain bullish until a bearish daily close. With that being said, there was def a short opportunity today after reaching our buyside goal.
We will continue to track the development here and keep you on point with expectations.
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NAS & Indices are continuing to meltAll the indices are still seeking correction of inefficiencies existing in the sellside. There isn't much else to be said of this current situation until we start receiving bullish closes on higher time frame 4H/Daily.
Be sure to share this with a friend. I assure you this is trustworthy information and levels 🫡
BTC hitting key demand zone as forecast weeks agoIf you've been following the narrative here, you know what we are looking at. This dip is to establish the yearly low in BTC as forecast before the new year's candle started.
Let me know what you're seeing and we'll discuss it in the next video. Be sure to sub & like. Thanks for watching.
#STPTUSDT maintains bullish momentum📈 LONG BYBIT:STPTUSDT.P from $0.10355
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.10226
⏱ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:STPTUSDT.P is showing strong bullish momentum after consolidating at lower levels, indicating buyer presence.
➡️ Volume Profile suggests that the main liquidity (POC) is positioned significantly below the current price, confirming demand dominance.
➡️ A breakout above $0.10355 and holding above this level will validate the bullish continuation.
➡️ The nearest resistance zone is between $0.10540 and $0.10680, where partial profit-taking may occur.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Long entry upon breaking $0.10355, confirming buyer strength.
➡️ Stop-Loss at $0.10226—placed below the nearest support to minimize risk.
➡️ Main target range: $0.10540–$0.10680, where selling pressure might emerge.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.10540
🔥 TP 2: $0.10680
🚀 BYBIT:STPTUSDT.P maintains bullish momentum — expecting further upside!
📢 BYBIT:STPTUSDT.P remains within an uptrend. If the price consolidates above $0.10355, further acceleration is expected.
📢 Volume suggests strong buyer activity, supporting the bullish outlook.
📢 However, the $0.10540–$0.10680 zone could act as a profit-taking level, so monitoring price action and partial profit-taking is advisable.
SOL/USDT Trading Scenario UpdateThe overall negative sentiment in the altcoin market, along with the beginning of the FTX customer repayment process, is putting downward pressure on the price of Solana (SOL). Currently, the asset's value has declined by more than 45% from its local peak and has dropped below the 300-day moving average.
From a volume profile perspective, market participants' interest in SOL remains high within the current broad price range. At its current price level, the asset appears attractive for long-term investments.
HNT/USDT Trading ScenarioThe price chart of the asset shows a significant increase in trading volumes within a broad range from $2.875 to $11.153. From a volume analysis perspective, despite pronounced volatility, market participants continue to accumulate the asset within the current price corridor. At the moment, the asset's price is below the POC (Point of Control) level and has bounced off the support level at $2.875, which marks the lower boundary of the active range.
Given the current dynamics, a gradual price movement toward the upper boundary of the range can be expected, which may lead to a breakout of this level and further development of the upward trend. Such scenarios are supported by the fact that increasing trading volumes in the direction of the current trend typically signal its stability and the likelihood of continuation.
Weekly price prediction: $71.49 (Min) and $77.37 (Max).Projected Price Range
The anticipated weekly price range for Brent Crude Oil is expected to fluctuate between $71.49 (Min) and $77.37 (Max).
Contended Price Levels
$74.50 – Point of Control (POC) – potential support
$73.22 - $71.49 – High Volume Node (HVN) – potential support
$77.32 - $81.62 – Low Volume Node (LVN) – potential resistance
Technical Analysis
Fibonacci Retracement & Price Movement:
The price reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level in mid-January before retracing.
This level has demonstrated consistent horizontal price movement over the past six months, indicating it as a key reference point.
Volume Profile Analysis:
High Volume Node (HVN): Found between $73.22 and $71.49, indicating strong liquidity and potential support.
Low Volume Node (LVN): Between $77.32 and $81.62, which could lead to rapid price spikes if the price enters this zone.
MACD and Stochastic RSI:
Stochastic RSI (Bottom Indicator): Has shown low bearish momentum over the last two weeks and appears poised for an upward crossover, signalling potential price growth.
MACD (Top Indicator): Remains in the negative region, with a few weeks left before a possible crossover, implying continued caution for bullish sentiment.
Additional Factors
Support & Resistance Considerations:
Point of Control (POC) and HVN are close to the current price, reinforcing these as key support zones.
The price is currently resting on a previous resistance level that has now turned into support.
The black rectangle above the price highlights the LVN region, where rapid price movements could occur.
The white rectangle represents a large support zone, which may contribute to horizontal price movement.
Geopolitical & Market Sentiment:
As always, geopolitical events could significantly impact price fluctuations, and traders should remain alert to any market-moving developments.
Conclusion
Brent Crude Oil prices for the upcoming week are likely to remain within the projected range, given the strong support levels in the current price zone. However, any breakout downward could be swift, while an upward breakout could be accelerated due to the LVN region.
APT/USDT Trading Scenario UpdateThe current APT price has dropped significantly, reaching a low of $4.7, which marks a decline of over 69% from its recent peak. This sharp drop could be seen as a buying opportunity for market participants, potentially offering future profit prospects.
From a trading volume perspective, a bullish divergence is forming: despite the price decline, trading volumes are increasing. This suggests growing investor interest, as they perceive the current price levels as favorable entry points. Additionally, volume profile analysis indicates that the asset is trading below the Point of Control (POC), but with higher-than-usual volume, further confirming market participants’ interest in accumulating at these lower levels.
Given these factors, a price rebound toward the POC level and a continuation of the upward trend seem likely. It's also important to monitor Bitcoin dominance, which currently stands at around 60%. A decline in Bitcoin’s dominance could impact the performance of other cryptocurrencies and the overall market sentiment.