Gold BuyAfter breaking the downtrend line and the volume zone and closing above the moving averages, we will start buying.
Volume
XMR: I was there, Gandalf. I was there 3000 years ago...In the crypto space, it's quite difficult to talk about long-term trading because very few coins actually survive for a long time and continue to show cyclical dynamics. But when such coins do appear, their setups can be published in a textbook on technical analysis.
On the weekly chart, we see a formed Wyckoff accumulation structure with almost all the features inherent to this structure on the chart.
We can see how smart money accumulated their positions from mid-2022, conducted a local rally in early 2023, thus forming a range in which we have been for almost 2 years .
This was possible due to the negative sentiment around the coin (tightening regulatory screws, delisting from a number of exchanges, including Binance on February 20, 2024 ) and the lack of speculative hype around XMR.
However, the price has now broken out of the range and confidently consolidated above it, and right now there is a good opportunity in terms of Risk/Reward to go long on XMR.
It should be noted that the trade will be positional, with a horizon of more than 6+ months. However, the wait may be justified because the volume profile on the chart does not illustrate large "walls," i.e., potential seller pressure across the entire price range up to the ATH . KRAKEN:XMRUSD
CHF / JPY After the uptrend line is breached, we will wait for a close below the orange volume area for sell
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H Timeframe
Here’s the detailed breakdown of the NAS100 1H Chart based on Volume Profile, Gann analysis, and custom indicators (CVD + ADX):
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
• Value Area High (VAH): 3,327.1
• Value Area Low (VAL): 3,291.09
• Point of Control (POC): 3,291.09
• High-volume nodes: Between 3,290 and 3,310 (visible dense volume clusters).
• Low-volume gaps: Below 3,270 and above 3,340, price can move fast through these zones.
b) Liquidity Zones:
• Potential stop clusters: Around 3,300 (recent highs), and 3,280 (recent lows).
• Order absorption zones: Strong at 3,291 (POC) and 3,327 (VAH), indicating large player interest.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
• Swing High (Volume Spike): 3,327 (strong rejection noted).
• Swing Low (Volume Spike): 3,283 (buying absorption observed).
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
• Trend Direction: Range-bound
• ADX Strength:
o ADX < 20, confirming a weak trend / ranging market.
• CVD Confirmation:
o CVD mostly falling slightly with weak price response → slight supply dominance but no strong push.
________________________________________
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
• Support:
o 3,291 (POC support zone)
o 3,283 (Volume-based swing low)
• Resistance:
o 3,327 (VAH resistance zone)
o 3,300 (Minor psychological resistance)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
• Recent Gann Swing High: 3,327
• Recent Gann Swing Low: 3,283
• Key retracements:
o 1/2 level: 3,305
o 1/3 level: 3,300
o 2/3 level: 3,315
________________________________________
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
• Range-bound (confirmed by flat ADX and neutral CVD behavior).
b) Notable Patterns:
• Potential descending channel forming between 3,327 resistance and 3,280 support.
• No strong breakout/breakdown yet, price oscillating around mid-volume zones.
• Possible re-tests at POC and VAH regions.
________________________________________
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
• Entry Zone: 3,283 – 3,291 (POC and volume support)
• Targets:
o T1: 3,305 (1/2 retracement and minor resistance)
o T2: 3,327 (VAH and major resistance)
• Stop-Loss (SL): 3,275 (below recent swing low)
• RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
• Entry Zone: 3,327 (VAH resistance)
• Target:
o T1: 3,291 (POC)
• Stop-Loss (SL): 3,335 (above VAH and minor swing highs)
• RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
• Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade.
Technical Breakdown on US100 | 1H TimeframeHere’s the detailed breakdown of the US100 1H Chart based on Volume Profile, Gann analysis, and custom indicators (CVD + ADX):
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 19,383
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,220
Point of Control (POC): 19,291.79
High-volume nodes: Clustered around 19,220 to 19,300 (heavy acceptance).
Low-volume gaps: Above 19,400 and below 19,200 — price can accelerate through these zones.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop clusters likely at: Above 19,400 (recent swing highs). Below 19,200 (recent breakout area).
Order absorption zones: Around 19,291 (POC) and 19,220 (high bid absorption).
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 19,382 (testing resistance with moderate volume).
Swing Low: 19,220 (breakout launch pad).
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Uptrend
ADX Strength: ADX > 20 and DI+ > DI-, confirming strong bullish momentum.
CVD Confirmation: Rising CVD + bullish candles = Strong demand and genuine buying pressure.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support: 19,291.79 (POC) 19,220 (VAL & previous demand zone)
Resistance: 19,382-19,400 (current tested highs and potential breakout point)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Recent Gann Swing High: 19,382
Recent Gann Swing Low: 19,220
Key retracements: 1/2 level: 19,301 1/3 level: 19,274 2/3 level: 19,328
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Strong Bullish (confirmed by rising ADX and CVD).
b) Notable Patterns:
Ascending Channel: Clear uptrend with higher highs and higher lows inside the purple channel.
Breakout retest: POC retest around 19,291 before moving higher.
No major topping signals yet — still holding structure.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 19,290–19,310 (near POC support zone)
Targets: T1: 19,400 (swing high breakout) T2: 19,500 (measured move from channel)
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,220 (below VAL and previous swing low)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 19,380–19,400 (at resistance failure)
Target: T1: 19,290 (POC retest)
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,450 (above resistance breakout trap)
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1-2% of trading capital per trade.
INFY - Infosys Ltd (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long PositionINFY - Infosys Ltd (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume & support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.83
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 1480
Entry limit ~ 1455 to 1435 (Avg. - 1445) on April 28, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 1485 (+2.77%; +40 points)
2. Target limit ~ 1530 (+5.88%; +85 points)
Stop order limit ~ 1415 (-2.08%; -30 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
XLMUSDTHello to all AMKT members, I hope you had a good day.😍
Today we are going to analyze the XLM coin.
On the weekly time frame, we entered a correction after the sharp rise that we were having, and now there are signs of the start of the next upward wave.
On the daily and 4-hour time frame, after the 0.3 break and the volume increase and the rsi enters the overbuy zone, we can take a long position.
For the short position, we can choose another token, but we can enter a short position with a break of 0.2601, but the trading risk is high.
I hope you have a good and profitable day.
DOGE / USD 15 MinWe will monitor the price action and wait for the moving averages and the orange volume zone to break through and close above them to buy.
Gold in a Sideways RangeHello traders and investors!
The 3283 level, which was the sellers’ target on the daily timeframe, was confidently defended by buyers.
The attacking seller’s candle at this level showed high volume but was absorbed by buyers.
On the 1H timeframe, the market is moving sideways, with active buyer initiative.
The boundaries of the range are marked on the chart with black lines.
It is reasonable to expect the price to move toward the upper boundary of the range at 3363–3370.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
BTC / USD 1 HThe uptrend line has been breached and we will wait for a close below the moving average lines and the green zone, which is a high volume area, to start selling.
$3.9 Billion At Support?Long term buy structure forming now.
Large volume sweeps and blocks are being made here. Very large trade at this level happened last week and I think this is going to explode in the coming weeks/months.
Target #1 - $35
Target #2 - $40
Bullish set up is breaking out.... BUT, we have a gap to close.At the very moment we saw big rejection in this golden pocket zone were in right now from the descending channel its been in for a while.
This tells me that the market makers are creating liquidity at this level potentially to revisit at a later date.
We could quickly see this go to $6.35 or $5.40 which I would be a major buyer at.
Still in the longer term bullish trend... for now.
Option contract positions from institutions are primarily short at 5-6 strike. BUT something very interesting to me is that the $8.50 strike has a lot of puts at open interest which might squeeze it over that level if they have to cover.
Most people are saying $50... I think $65 after a little bounceI am seeing put open interest and volume spike for PUTS expiring 04/25 for a strike price of $55 that were opened YESTERDAY...
There is over 60,000 contracts open and rarely do these not play out.
It has been my long term target to hit $65 - $60 even before NVDA split there shares.
Lets see tho, the tape for options expiring in late June look bullish at the moment
Gold to be Bullish - 700 Pips Move Expected 1:7 RRGold Closed with a high momentum Bullish Engulfing Candle on H4 around the support area on Friday failing to break the last swing low/support area around 3260. This indicates the price wants to target the higher price and hunt for some liquidity around 3370 area.
If we more to m15 to refine our entry analysis we can see that price has changed its course from bearish to bullish with "Change of Character" and "Break of Structure" already happened during the Friday session.
keeping in mind the above I am bullish on gold from a confluence area of 3297. and target the resent H4 highs at 3370 area (700 pips). Our Stop loss will be around resent m15 lows at 3286 area giving 1:7 Risk Reward.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as a financial advise.
SPY EARNINGS WEELY AAPL AMZN MSTR METASPY WEELY - Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta will report earnings.
This week we have important earnings from Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, and Meta. We believe there could be a strong move in the SPY driven by the earnings reports, as well as by key economic data like unemployment figures, GDP, and Consumer Confidence. Based on these factors, we expect high volatility and see the potential for the SPY to move within the range of 530–520 on the downside and 560–580 on the upside.
ANGEL ONE - Potential Cup Pattern Breakout!Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Pattern: Cup Formation (shown with arc)
Setup:
Price is forming a classic cup pattern.
The neckline (arc resistance) is near 2538.40.
Price has recently approached but faced resistance around the neckline.
Once the price breaks above the arc line with strong volume, a bullish breakout could be confirmed!
Targets After Breakout:
🎯 Target 1: 2800
🎯 Target 2: 3000
Stop-loss suggestion: As per your risk management.
Notes:
Price is currently below the 200 EMA. For a strong confirmation, look for a close above the arc and the 200 EMA with volume spike.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading involves substantial risk.
$BTC Bull Trap Clear As DayI’m probably the biggest 3-Year perma-bull on this app, and even I can tell this is most likely a bull trap.
This is either the beginning of the long awaited parabola, or else we’ll correct back down to at least the 200DMA in the next week, or the 50DMA within the next month.
Lack of volume on the move and RSI becoming overheated gives me feels for the latter
Remember, never trust a weekend pump 💯
Bookmark this.
Tesla: At a Crossroads – Accumulation or Breakdown?One of the most talked-about stocks right now — Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA . And for good reason. Between the constant media buzz around Elon Musk and the recent surge in vandalism against Tesla vehicles, it’s been getting plenty of attention. But I’m not here to talk politics or headlines — I’m here for the chart.
And honestly? It’s looking better than you’d think. Despite all the noise, price has held steady in the $225 to $270 range, showing signs of a sideways accumulation phase — right at the Point of Control (POC) since 2021. That’s a pretty strong area, technically speaking.
Over the next few weeks, we’re likely to get clarity:
Either we break above $350, which opens up serious upside potential,
Or we break down toward the Volume Area Low — specifically the 2024 VAL at $161.18.
The real danger zone? Below $138. If price breaks that level, we have to assume that Wave 2 isn’t done yet — even though it was originally considered complete in 2023.
Until then, the structure actually looks constructive: we’ve been putting in higher lows and higher highs since 2023, which signals a potential uptrend.
How far that uptrend goes is hard to call. But if we break and hold above $325, then a pullback toward $300–$270 could offer a clean entry opportunity.
On the flip side, yes — if the market collapses and Wave II is still unfolding, we could be staring at $175, $125, or even as low as $75–$50 in an extreme scenario. And that would be wild for a stock that once touched $485.
But that’s why it’s crucial to zoom out. Ask yourself:
What do I want from Tesla — long-term conviction or short-term plays?
Then build your view. If the macro fits, dial into the lower time frames to find your edge. The setup is building — and it’s looking like Tesla is prepping for a big move.
Question is: which direction are you positioned for?
CMI - Cummins Inc. (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long PositionCMI - Cummins Inc. (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {support & market structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~2.53
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 293.45 {pre-market}
Entry limit ~ 288.50 to 285.50 (Avg. - 287) on April 25, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 294.50 (+2.61%; +7.5 points)
2. Target limit ~ 306 (+6.62%; +19 points)
Stop order limit ~ 279.50 (-2.61%; -7.5 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H Timeframe1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,327.65
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,287.37
Point of Control (POC): 3,325.89
High-Volume Nodes: 3,325–3,328 zone (significant consolidation & absorption).
Low-Volume Gaps: 3,280–3,290 zone (potential for fast price movement if re-tested).
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters: Near 3,340 (previous highs), and below 3,280 (recent swing lows).
Order Absorption Zones: Strong absorption around POC (3,325), indicated by multiple rejections and volume stacking.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 3,382 (volume spike + reversal).
Swing Low: 3,275 (volume increase on bullish reversal).
Current Range: Consolidation between 3,280–3,328.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Range-bound (CVD mixed; recent sharp upward CVD move neutralized by selling at resistance).
ADX Strength:
ADX < 20: Suggests weak trend, confirming range-bound environment.
DI+ ≈ DI-: No dominant directional strength.
CVD Confirmation:
Recent Rising CVD + No breakout above resistance = Hidden supply
Earlier bullish CVD divergence at 3,275 led to minor recovery
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 3,287.37
Swing Low Support: 3,275
Resistance:
VAH: 3,327.65
POC: 3,325.89
Swing High: 3,382
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Recent Gann Swing High: 3,382
Recent Gann Swing Low: 3,275
Key Retracement Zones:
1/2 retracement: 3,328
1/3 retracement: ~3,311
2/3 retracement: ~3,345
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Range-bound (confirmed by low ADX & choppy CVD)
b) Notable Patterns:
Potential Bullish Flag within a Rising Channel (purple zone)
Channel Support: Near 3,280
Channel Resistance: 3,360–3,390
Retest of POC (3,325.89) with multiple failed attempts to close above = key resistance validation
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 3,287–3,292
Targets:
T1: 3,325
T2: 3,360
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,275 (below recent swing low)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 3,325–3,328
Target: T1: 3,287
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,340 (above recent rejection zone)
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade.
MCX - Multi Commodity Exchange (Daily chart, NSE) - LongMCX - Multi Commodity Exchange (Daily chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume structure integrity & volatility risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 4.25
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 5930
Entry limit ~ 5925 to 5775 (Avg. - 5850) on April 25, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 6201 (+6%; +351 points)
2. Target limit ~ 6700 (+14.53%; +850 points)
Stop order limit ~ 5650 (-3.42%; -200 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
