GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,373.69
Target Level: 3,193.23
Stop Loss: 3,493.66
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
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Wave Analysis
EUR/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
EUR/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 167.194
Target Level: 165.108
Stop Loss: 168.580
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 17h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/GBP BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on EUR/GBP, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 0.846.
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USD/CAD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
USD/CAD is trending down which is evident from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 1.361.
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XAUUSDAnother trade for today is once again from Gold—no surprises there! 😊
My strategy has just signaled a buy opportunity on the precious metal, and I wanted to share this setup with you as well.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3374.92
✔️ Take Profit: 3384.32
✔️ Stop Loss: 3370.21
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
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CRM long positionHi traders,
Let's have a look at 1D Salesforce, Inc chart.
The stock is currently in a short-term downtrend, but it's approaching a previous support zone.
We expect 1 more dip to retest the lows from April 2025. With this dip , the RSI should revisit an oversold condition.
The target is the resistance zone near to 295, while stop-loss is set below the support to maintain a healthy risk/reward ratio.
Good luck
BTC – Bullish bias under review: 102k/103k supports in focus__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Momentum : Dominant on all major timeframes (1D, 12H, 6H, 4H). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator signals STRONG BUY except on 15min (neutral).
Support/Resistance : Structurally key pivot zone 102k–106k; major supports 102k/103k. Potential breakout above 106k (swing target 109k).
Volumes : Normal across all timeframes. No excess signals, no accumulation/capitulation peaks.
Multi-TF Behaviors : Horizontal consolidation with bullish dominance. Short-term bearish divergence on 2H–15min, micro-TF in correction only, no panic.
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Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Global Bias : Solid bullish structure as long as 102k/103k hold. “Risk On” maintained by sector outperformance.
Opportunities : Entries on pullback/main base 103k–104k; breakouts to watch above 106k.
Risk Zones : Clear invalidation <102k, potential rapid flush to 97k–88k; keep strict stop-loss below 102.5k.
Macro Catalysts : FOMC, Fed projections, Middle East geopolitics keep volatility high, but no shock. Price action leads near-term strategy.
Action Plan : Swing buy on confirmed support, dynamic hedge post-news, monitor volumes/closures on key pivots.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D : Bullish momentum, major supports intact (102k/105k). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = STRONG BUY, stable volume, no excess. Healthy structure for long swings.
12H : Positive bias, range 102.6k–106k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = STRONG BUY.
6H : Presumed accumulation 103k–106k, momentum still strong. No volume weakness.
4H : Range oscillation, structural support test at 103k. Sector outperformance, neutral volume.
2H : First sign of short-term weakness. Divergent with higher TFs but no panic.
1H : Technical rebound towards 104.8k possible as long as 103k support holds.
30min : Short-term trend remains bearish (trend 30min = down). Correction/purge ongoing.
15min : Neutral momentum, supports being tested. No panic or melt-down observed.
Summary : Strong bullish confluence on higher TFs, temporary divergence on micro-TFs. “Range with bullish bias” scenario as long as 102k/103k holds the structure.
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Macro and Fundamental Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
FED/FOMC (June 18) : Rates unchanged, “data dependent” guidance. Raised volatility but no risk-off shift.
Market Sentiment : BTC technical structure holds, moderate post-FOMC volatility.
S&P500 : Above all key moving averages. Sector momentum (software, uranium, semis) remains dominant.
Energy Level : Weak oil = little macro pressure against BTC.
Geopolitics : Israel–Iran escalation / US posture reinforced. High FX/oil volatility but BTC resilient (>102k), no panic on record.
Economic Calendar : Closely watching BoE & SNB, but low BTC impact odds.
Implications : Post-news phase = ideal for range trading, no rupture event expected within 48h.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic synthesis & R/R guidance
__________________________________________________________________________________
Long on pullback 103–104k, swing targets 106/109k. Optimal R/R (>2.5) if stop 102.5k (D Pivot Low).
Invalidation area : Clean close <102k or heavy downside volume (capitulation via ISPD/volumes).
Risk Management : Dynamic stops, partial hedge post-FOMC during macro volatility.
Conclusion : Bullish structure preserved. Range trading scenario dominant, no extreme signals or panic. Actions: support watch, technical buy on confirmed pullback.
DOTUSDT Long IdeaPolkadot appears poised for a potential move, having taken liquidity and expanded impulsively. The recent fill of the fair value gap (FVG) at the consequent encroachment level, coupled with holding above the order block, suggests a bullish outlook. Continued accumulation at these levels could potentially lead to higher targets in the coming weeks.
Please note, this is not financial advice; manage your risk accordingly.
₿itcoin: Holding steadySince our last update, Bitcoin has traded in a relatively stable range. As expected, there's still a strong case for the crypto leader to climb into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. However, a deeper pullback below the $100,000 mark remains a real possibility before that move unfolds. Regardless of the path it takes, we continue to expect Bitcoin to reach this upper zone, completing green wave B. From there, a corrective wave C—also in green—is likely to follow, driving the price down toward the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. This move would mark the end of the broader orange wave a. For now, we’re watching for a potential b-wave recovery before the final leg lower toward the bottom of blue wave (ii) takes shape. That said, there's still a 30% chance that blue wave (i) isn’t done yet and could extend significantly above $130,891 before any meaningful correction begins.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
USDCADHere we are currently retesting the Impulsive Wave correction that's currently completed on smaller TF there's a Bearish RSI Divergence indicating the sellers to come in, however if the S/R Flip zone is respected and solid, the buyers will come in as on the chart indicated to perform the corrective "A,B,C" wave with bulls hence we looking to ride with those for that correction.
Hanzo / Gold 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3374
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3338
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Geopolitics vs. Technical: Will Oil Correct -7%?Oil ( FX_IDC:USDBRO ) rose more than +20% after the start of tensions between Iran and Israel on Friday . I hope this tension ends as soon as possible because tensions have no winners.
The behavior and price movements of oil will certainly depend on the increase or decrease of tensions in the Middle East , but for the coming hours we can have a technical view .
Oil is currently moving in the Resistance zone($78.70-$74.70) and near the Resistance lines and the Yearly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Oil has completed the second five-impulse waves . So that wave 5 is Truncated .
I expect Oil to decline in the coming hours, this decline could be -7% .
Note: If the USA is added to the Middle East tensions, Oil prices could rise again, so pay more attention to capital management.
Note: Stop Loss: $79.00
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
U.S. Dollar/ BRENT CRUDE OIL (USDBRO), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Dollar's Decline: Global Economic ShiftsYou're probably wondering why I'm talking about the dollar on the Bitcoin chart. It's because I want you to look a few steps ahead.
That's why this post is for people like that.
1. Global Economic Transformations: Collapse of the Jamaican Monetary System
Insights and Logic:
We are witnessing the end of the Jamaican monetary system, established in 1976 following the collapse of the Bretton Woods system.
The Jamaican system's key feature is free (yet conditionally market-driven) exchange rates and the global dominance of the U.S. dollar.
For decades, the U.S. utilized the dollar's reserve currency status to finance budget and trade deficits without equivalent value returns—a beneficial "global tax."
Facts:
Currently, over 60% of global reserves are denominated in dollars (IMF data), but diversification is accelerating.
The U.S. is facing a "liquidity trap": to sustain markets, the Fed must print money, exacerbating inflation and weakening the dollar's global effectiveness.
Analogy:
Just as Nixon abolished the gold standard in 1971, we are now witnessing the abolition of the dollar's global standard—not abandoning the dollar as a reserve currency, but its monopoly.
2. Political Environment in the U.S.: Trump, Tariffs, and Managed Uncertainty
Insights:
Court decisions against Trump's tariffs are political tools, especially prior to congressional elections.
Democrats aren't just fighting for power—they systematically undermine Trump's economic policies in voters' eyes.
Systematic Explanation:
Virtually any presidential decree in the U.S. can be challenged legally. Lower-court decisions rarely withstand appeals, yet they create temporary buffers allowing policy adjustments.
This enables Trump to recalibrate his trade model systematically without losing face.
Conclusion:
The U.S. operates under "managed uncertainty," where seemingly chaotic political behaviors are structured adaptation mechanisms to global changes.
3. Mass Market and Sixth Technological Paradigm: NBIC as Foundation for Future Growth
Insights:
The future mass market will be built around NBIC technologies:
* Nano—new materials and sensors;
* Bio—biotech, genetic engineering, life extension;
* Info—digital platforms, neural networks, blockchain;
* Cogno—cognitive interfaces, AI, neural interfaces.
Historical Analogy:
Just as cars and mobile phones defined the mass market of the 20th century, longevity treatments, AI services, and neural devices will define the 21st century.
Facts:
Examples of current "false starts": Nvidia, Palantir, OpenAI—stock price volatility relates not to technology failures but premature valuation.
Forecast:
The next 20 years will see growth in new sectors, dominated by those capturing mass consumers, not just investors.
4. Digitalization and Geo-economics: Telegram, AI, and Control
Facts:
Telegram plans to integrate Grok neural network—a signal of the digital merger of communication, payment platforms, and behavioral analytics.
Insight:
Telegram as a future super-app: messaging, finance, AI assistance—all-in-one.
This is a media reset: traditional platforms like Bloomberg and CNBC lose influence to those controlling data flows directly.
Conclusion:
Information landscapes become automated—algorithms, not journalists, manage narratives.
5. **Europe: From "Progress Locomotive" to Stagnation and Subcontracting**
Facts:
Germany has been in recession for three consecutive years. The average age is 46.
Pension burdens and social standards make the economic model (Rhineland capitalism) unsustainable.
Ideological Crisis:
Europe is split into "transhumanist" (West) and "neoconservative" (East) factions.
The neoconservative revolution is gaining ground in Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Romania, and even eastern Germany.
Conclusion:
Europe is skipping the sixth technological paradigm, becoming a "comfortable but uncompetitive" zone. Europe's "Japanification"—a path without acute crises but also without growth.
6. Future Growth Centers: Asia and the Global South with Risks
Facts and Locations:
Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand—dynamic economies with high ROI and moderate political risks.
Philippines, Taiwan—potential proxy-conflict zones between the U.S. and China.
Logic:
Global capital moves towards higher returns rather than better living standards.
Asia becomes a new economic and geopolitical battleground similar to 20th-century Europe.
7. Role of Cryptocurrencies and USDT, USDC: Transition to Digital Dollar
Facts:
U.S. authorities view cryptocurrencies, especially USDT, as tools to reboot the dollar model.
USDT effectively integrates the dollar into the crypto economy, maintaining Treasury demand and allowing dollar exports outside the U.S.
Insights:
Unlike CBDCs, the U.S. digital dollar (via stablecoins) enables global expansion rather than local control.
The U.S. aims to lead the new monetary evolution—digital dominance instead of fiat.
8. Prospects in Latin America: Argentina, Mexico, and Risks
Argentina Analysis:
President Milei implements neoliberal reforms akin to Ukraine's: reduced state role and deregulation.
Possible outcomes: deindustrialization, increased poverty, export dependency.
Positives:
No war risks, resource-rich (oil, wine, food), good medicine and education standards (legacy).
Mexico:
High growth yet severe crime levels—excellent for business, risky for life.
9. Global Hybrid War Instead of a Third World War
Concept:
Not a "world war" but a global hybrid war: multiple power centers, proxy conflicts, shifting alliances.
Theaters of conflict: Asia (especially the South China Sea), potentially the Middle East and Africa.
Strategic Conclusion:
Avoid proxy countries; prefer "neutral dynamic" regions like Indonesia, Vietnam.
About DXY
I have been talking about the fall of the dollar index for a very long time.
September is coming soon
Best regards EXCAVO
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC:D) Update - 19.06.2025🚨 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Update – 19.06.2025 🚨
As highlighted in my previous analysis, BTC Dominance has broken its key retracement trendline – a significant move! 📉 But let’s be clear: the breakout hasn't been fully confirmed yet. Market momentum is still uncertain, and we must stay alert as BTC.D could go either way from here.
🔍 Let’s break it down:
📌 Arrow #1: This remains a strong resistance zone. If dominance breaks and closes above this level with strength, expect serious pressure on altcoins. Historically, such moves lead to red across the board for alts. Be cautious! 🩸
📌 Arrow #2 & #3: These are the local resistance and support zones from the past 12 days. They are key in identifying short-term moves and fakeouts.
📌 Arrow #4: A break below this level would give a strong signal to reopen positions on altcoins. We’re closely watching this area.
📌 Arrow #5 & #6: These are the most important support levels. If BTC.D breaks down here, it could mark the beginning of Altseason – the moment we’ve been waiting for! 🚀
💡 Summary:
We’re in a critical phase. Break above resistance = pain for alts. Break below support = altcoin opportunities will explode. Stay disciplined, stay focused. 📊
🔥 Ethereum update coming next… stay tuned, fam!
\#CryptoUpdate #BTC.D #Altseason #BitcoinDominance #Altcoins #TechnicalAnalysis #EthereumIncoming
XAUUSD Hello traders,
There is a great opportunity for a buy trade on the XAUUSD pair, and I wanted to share it with you as well.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3352.68
✔️ Take Profit: 3365.33 / TP 2 / 3369.93
✔️ Stop Loss: 3347.00
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
GBP-USD Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is trading in an
Uptrend along the strong
Long-term rising support
So after the pair falls down
To retest the rising support
We will be expecting a
Bullish rebound and a move up
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Solana: Still bullish about this cryptoHello,
I see the current price is at a great value price for Solana investors. The market has corrected by over 22% over the recent 36 days. The MACD is also showing signs of bullish zero crossover further reinforcing that the price is at a good place for bullish investors to begin coming in.
We urge investors who would like exposure to this coin to consider entering at the current price. Please have your stop loss below the trendline and your short-term target at $191.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ELLIOTT WAVE XAUUUSD H4 update
EW Trade Set Up H4
minuette wave (iv) running?
The upside move from 3120a of 150525 to 3439a of 130625 does not seem a motive (sure not impulsive/leading diagonal maybe) wave , so a sideways (flat) correction of the minuette wave (iv) is more likely
key levels (area)
3462
3402
3317 POC
3270
3238
#XVS/USDT#XVS
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 5.75.
We are seeing a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 5.95
First target: 6.07
Second target: 6.25
Third target: 6.46