Wave Analysis
SPX ready for the correctionhi traders,
This is probably not what most traders want to see but we must be realistic.
The monthly close is upon us and it's not gonna be a bullish close.
A lot of selling pressure and it may be just the beginning.
A 13 % correction on SPX is more than likely in my opinion.
If the price loses the upsloping support, we will see the mark-down pretty soon.
Stoch RSI suggests that the bears are taking control.
My target for SPX is between 5200 and 5000.
Get ready to buy cheap stocks and cheap crypto!
HBAR I Monthly CLS , Model 1 Continuation trade, Target highsHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
GOLD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,217.01
Target Level: 3,287.27
Stop Loss: 3,170.16
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUD/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
AUD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 92.152
Target Level: 91.545
Stop Loss: 92.554
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBP/NZD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on GBP/NZD, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 2.209.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAUUSD H2 Idea, Aligned with weekly view XAUUSD& SILVER—Risk-On Mood Pressures Prices, Fed Easing Eyed
- Gold and silver prices experienced downward pressure during Friday’s Asian trading session, as a resurgence in risk appetite prompted investors to move away from safe-haven assets. Gold (XAU/USD) fell from an early high of $3,370 to $3,316, while silver (XAG/USD) dipped near $33.44, though it maintained support above $33.18.
- This shift in sentiment was influenced by positive developments in U.S.–China trade relations. Reports indicated that Beijing is considering suspending its 125% tariff on select U.S. goods, and President Trump confirmed ongoing negotiations, with the White House noting progress.
- Additionally, stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data contributed to the decline in precious metal prices. Durable goods orders surged 9.2% in March, surpassing expectations and bolstering the U.S. dollar, which in turn weighed on gold.
Despite these factors, the outlook for gold and silver remains influenced by expectations of Federal Reserve monetary policy. Investors are closely monitoring upcoming U.S. economic indicators, such as the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, for further clues on potential Fed easing.
GBP/AUD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
GBP/AUD is trending down which is evident from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 2.045.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USOIL BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 63.13
Target Level: 61.78
Stop Loss: 64.03
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
LOTCHEM PROBABLY IN WAVE ' X ' OR ' Y ' OF A CORRECTIONAs per our preferred wave count LOTCHEM is in wave Y which should take prices further down toward the 13 level and if bearish trend stays strong then even 9.50 is on the cards, however prices need to break below 15.53 level first.
Alternately prices can still be in X wave and will take prices further up towards 25.40 - 27.40 range and if the bullish trend stays strong 31 level is also at hand, however prices will have to break above 20.20 level first.
As the overall momentum of the PSX is bearish and our preferred wave count is bearish, We will activate short sell trade once price close below the red trendline on the daily chart.
Incase prices never close below the red trendline and starts rising, We will enter long position at 20.20 targeting 25.40 range. I will share stop loss for the trade setup once our trade gets actived
Let see how this plays, Good Luck!
Disclaimer: The information presented in this wave analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial or trading advice, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.
Bitcoin: Weekly Bullish Continuation🟠 The weekly divergence between the March 2024 and January 2025 peaks has driven the recent 3-month decline.
🔴 BTC is expected to make a weekly move higher, creating another divergence in the way.
🔵 BTC held above the 2024 peak range 73K without overlap, while the Stock RSI has completed a full reset, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
🟢 Outlook: Over the next 6 months, Bitcoin CRYPTO:BTCUSD is expected to rally into new ATH, with a potential target around 127K by October 2025.
GOLD → Trend reversal, downward distribution, and new targetsFX:XAUUSD breaks through 3270 and enters a distribution phase amid a rising dollar. We are most likely at the beginning of a trend reversal...
On Thursday, gold remains under pressure, trading at a two-week low, as the market reacts to Trump's statements about potential trade agreements with a number of countries, including China. Optimism surrounding the negotiations is boosting risk appetite, reducing interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. Even weak US GDP and inflation data failed to halt the rise in gold prices, as traders' attention is focused on the trade agenda and upcoming labour market statistics.
Gold is changing its trend due to the rise of the dollar and a shift in the fundamental background. A breakout of the local low could reinforce the decline. The first target is 3190. There is a possibility of a retest of the previously broken consolidation support at 3268 before the decline continues.
Resistance levels: 3245, 3270
Support levels: 3190, 3186, 3167
A breakout of the local low of 3221 could trigger a further decline. The first stop could be around 3190. From this level, a small correction or consolidation may follow before the decline continues.
I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 3245-3270 before the decline continues.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold 3213 and 3272 are space switching points
📌 Gold information
The US non-farm payrolls report released this Friday (May 3) will become a market vane. If the employment data deteriorates significantly (such as the sharp drop in private employment growth shown by ADP), it may strengthen the expectation of interest rate cuts and promote the rebound of gold; on the contrary, if the data is stable, the US dollar may further suppress the price of gold.
The intraday decline in gold prices seems to be partly driven by technical selling pressure, after gold prices decisively fell below the key support level of $3,265-3,260. However, due to the unexpected contraction of US GDP and the intensification of signs of slowing inflation, the market's expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased, and the US dollar (USD) has found it difficult to maintain any significant rebound.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold price rose strongly by $544 in April. It entered the mode of space sweeping and adjustment from the confirmation of 3500. The next move is to sweep the range of the large range, starting at at least $40, and the range is $100, sweeping back and forth
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell gold area: 3270-3272 SL 3277
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3240
🔥Buy gold area: $3178 - $3176 SL $3171
TP1: $3185
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3210
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Navigating the Next Trend MoveOverall Trend:
The price shows a clear uptrend, as indicated by the ascending channel (sloping yellow lines). The price has been respecting this channel, with higher lows and higher highs.
Support and Resistance:
Support: The 19,734.2 level (marked on the chart) has acted as a key support. The price bounced from this level after a correction.
Resistance: The 19,849.6 level (also marked) appears to be a resistance zone, as the price has shown difficulty breaking above it on a sustained basis.
Projection: The price is approaching potential resistance at 20,072.9, which could be a target if the uptrend continues.
Indicators:
200-period EMA (blue line): The price is above the 200-period EMA, confirming the uptrend on this timeframe. The EMA is around 19,889.4, acting as dynamic support.
Patterns and Structure:
The price has broken out after consolidating near the 200 EMA and the support at 19,734.2, suggesting that buyers are in control.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks the resistance at 19,849.6 with increasing volume, it could head toward the target at 20,072.9. This would confirm the continuation of the uptrend within the channel.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break above the resistance at 19,849.6 and confirms the pin bar with a downward movement, it could correct toward the support at 19,734.2 or even the 200 EMA at 19,889.4.
Trader Recommendation:
Long Entry (Buy): Wait for a breakout and close above 19,849.6 with confirmation (e.g., a strong bullish candle or increased volume). The target would be 20,072.9, with a stop loss below 19,734.2.
Short Entry (Sell): If a rejection at 19,849.6 is confirmed (e.g., with a bearish candle following the Pin Bar), consider a sell entry with a target at 19,734.2 or the 200 EMA, placing a stop loss above 19,849.6.
Conclusion:
The US 100 is in an uptrend, but the resistance at 19,849.6 and the Pin Bar suggest caution. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering positions, either to take advantage of the bullish continuation or a possible correction. Managing risk is key, especially on a 15-minute time frame, where volatility can be high.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Uptrend with Key Support at 1.3131 Based on Elliott Wave analysis, GBP/USD is currently in an upward trend 📊.
The critical support is at 1.3131 🛡️ — as long as the price holds above this level, the path remains open toward 1.3777 and 1.4151 🎯.
This zone is crucial for maintaining the bullish structure, so keep a close eye on it! 👀
Possible reversal of this bullish wave...(LOG)Orange circles highlight repeated price rejection and the formed doji that suggests a slowdown in a bullish wave and potential reversal. The confluence of the descending trendline and horizontal supply/resistance zone creates a high-probability reversal or breakout from this triangle.
If the price rejects again from the current supply zone and triangle, short setup toward the Fibonacci retracements or demand zones (18300 and below).
If the price breaks above the descending trendline, bullish continuation will likely target 20,000+ (Swing H).
Trend remains down.
Entry 19300
TP 18300 below
Target 14k.