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Gold on the Rise – Will It Break New Highs?Hey traders! What’s your view on XAUUSD? Yesterday, gold surged over 400 pips and the rally hasn't slowed down. Price is now hovering around $3,428, right below a key resistance above the all-time high. Why the spike? US CPI came in lower than expected, boosting hopes for a Fed rate cut. The dollar weakened, tensions in the Middle East grew, and central banks are buying gold aggressively. Personally, I expect a breakout. What about you – will gold pull back or continue its climb? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
3
Gold Takes the Throne as Safe Haven AgainThe recent escalation in the Middle East — particularly Israel’s surprise strike on Iran — has stirred up significant volatility in global financial markets. Oil prices surged, stock markets around the world turned red, just as many had predicted. However, in a surprising twist, capital did not rush into the usual safe havens like the US dollar or Treasury bonds. Instead, it flowed decisively into gold. In fact, US Treasury yields have soared from 3.98% in April to around 4.42% now. This surge doesn’t signal growing confidence — it reflects investor demand for higher returns to compensate for the rising risk of holding dollar-denominated assets. Against this backdrop, gold is emerging as an “unshackled safe haven” — immune to political instability tied to fiat-currency-issuing nations. The precious metal is once again proving its value in times of global uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
23
June 16, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitiesSummary: Ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran remains the key driver. Until new fundamental developments emerge, I’ll maintain the strategy: buy on dips to support. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3500 – Bullish target • 3485 – Resistance • 3468 – Resistance • 3450 – Bullish breakout level • 3435 – Support • 3415 – Major support • 3400 – Psychological level & intraday key support • 3392 – Support • 3380 – Support 📉 Macro Strategy: SELL if price breaks below 3415 → watch 3412, then 3408, 3404, 3400 BUY if price holds above 3450 → watch 3455, then 3468, 3475, 3485 👉 If you find this helpful and want to learn how I enter and set stop-losses, hit like — I may write a detailed post soon! Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ombabibi
Watch for price action near the upper resistance and trendline.XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) 1H chart analysis: 📊 XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Overview: The chart shows a clear ascending channel pattern, indicating a short-term bullish trend. Price action is currently respecting the channel boundaries well. 🔹 Key Highlights: Support Zone: The green horizontal zone around 3,310 – 3,330 represents a strong demand area where price previously reversed. Resistance Zone: The upper green box near 3,460 – 3,470 marks a significant supply area where potential selling pressure could emerge. Current Position: Price is trading near the mid-to-upper range of the ascending channel, showing bullish momentum. 🔀 Projection: Two potential scenarios are outlined: Bullish Continuation: Price may continue to respect the channel and push towards the resistance zone before reacting. Bearish Reversal: If price fails to break higher and shows weakness, a breakdown below the channel could lead to a sharp move toward the lower demand zone (3,310 area). 📌 Outlook: Watch for price action near the upper resistance and trendline. A break above may lead to further gains, while rejection or bearish candlestick patterns could confirm a potential reversal setup.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by King_Maker_FX
1
Aerousdt trading opportunityAEROUSDT has completed a 5-wave decline into a Strong Demand Zone around $0.40, followed by a classic liquidity sweep below the swing low, this move suggesting potential exhaustion of the bearish momentum. The subsequent recovery and structure shift have validated a bullish reversal, as price reclaims above the strong demand zone and now trading towards $0.718. Price currently forming potential bullish formation with base zone around the provided Buy Back zone towards $0.57, A break above this bullish formation could trigger a wave-based impulsive rally toward $0.916, then $1.635, and ultimately the External Supply Zone near $2.351–$2.372. Failure to maintain the ascending trendline support or a breakdown back into the demand region would invalidate the bullish projection and call for reassessment of underlying demand strength.
Long
by weslad
2
US30 (Dow Jones) Analysis – June 2025 Outlook📊 US30 (Dow Jones) Analysis – June 2025 Outlook 🔍 1. Fundamental Analysis The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently navigating a complex environment shaped by macroeconomic shifts and geopolitical tensions. Below is an in-depth review of current factors influencing its price action: 🏦 Monetary Policy & Economic Indicators Federal Reserve Stance: After a series of rate hikes between 2022 and 2024, the Fed has adopted a more dovish tone in 2025. Market consensus now expects the Fed to cut rates by Q3–Q4 2025 as inflation cools and growth moderates. Inflation: The May 2025 CPI came in lower than expected at 2.7% YoY, signaling disinflation. Core CPI and PCE data also reflect a slowing pace of price increases, strengthening the case for easing. Labor Market: Non-farm payrolls have stabilized, but wage growth is slowing. Unemployment remains low at 3.8%, but job creation is skewed toward lower-paying service sectors. Growth Metrics: ISM Manufacturing PMI remains below 50 (contraction), but Services PMI is resilient. Consumer confidence dipped recently, reflecting uncertainty, yet consumer spending remains robust. 🌍 Geopolitical Climate Iran–Israel Conflict Escalation (Mid 2025): The recent Iran-Israel military clashes have rattled markets, briefly triggering risk-off flows. The conflict has led to spikes in crude oil prices, pushing energy stocks higher but raising concerns about inflation re-acceleration. US–China Relations: Ongoing trade tensions over semiconductors and AI have led to sanctions on key Chinese tech firms. Despite this, tech-heavy indices remain resilient due to domestic demand and AI sector optimism. Global Monetary Policy Divergence: While the Fed is dovish, the ECB has already started cutting rates, boosting global liquidity. This divergence supports capital inflows into US equities, especially defensive and industrial sectors represented in the Dow. 📉 2. Technical Analysis (Smart Money Concepts) The daily chart of US30, as annotated, reflects a clear transition from a bearish structure to a bullish regime, validated by Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology: 🔄 Market Structure Shift Bearish Trend: Price was forming Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) into early 2025. Change of Character (ChoCH): A significant bullish shift occurred with a closure above 42842, invalidating the prior LH and suggesting institutional buying. Break of Structure (BOS): Followed by a clean higher high, reinforcing the bullish momentum. 🧱 Key SMC Levels & Zones Buy Zone (Demand): Between 41,600 and 41,800, this region aligns with: A previous Higher Low (HL) A visible Fair Value Gap (FVG)/Imbalance Psychological support zone Expected to be a strong institutional demand zone for a long setup. IDM (Intermediate Demand Mitigation): Minor liquidity grab possible before retest of buy zone. An early sign of bullish intent may appear here. Bearish Invalidation Level: 41,179 is the key structural level. A daily closure below 41,179 would invalidate bullish bias and trigger a bearish BOS. 📈 Trend & Liquidity Outlook Liquidity Pools: Sell-side liquidity rests below recent HLs, particularly near IDM and the Buy Zone. Buy-side liquidity above recent HH (~43,800) is the next target if price rebounds. Trendline Support: Ascending trendline from April continues to hold. Acts as dynamic support intersecting the Buy Zone in late June. Targets: TP1: 43,000 (recent swing high) TP2: 43,800–44,000 (liquidity magnet zone) Final Supply Zone: 45,078 (historical resistance, visible on chart) 📌 Scenario Planning (SMC-Based) Primary (Bullish) Scenario: Price retraces into Buy Zone (41,600–41,800). Forms bullish engulfing or displacement candle. Entry long → Target 43,800+, SL below 41,179. Alternate (Bearish) Scenario: Price closes below 41,179 (breaks structure). Bias flips to bearish. Next support zone lies around 40,300–40,500. NOTE: ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
FOREXCOM:US30
by Awii_Khan
USDJPY Technical Brief: Structure Points Lower 💴 USDJPY: Structure suggests further downside The upward movement from April 22 to May 12 appears to be corrective — I label it as a double zigzag.
The segment from May 12 to May 27, on the other hand, is highly likely to be an impulse. After that, the price moved into a range, the boundaries of which are gradually narrowing. This gives reason to assume the formation of a contracting triangle (cT). If this scenario plays out, we may see:
 🔸 a break of the 142.108 low
 🔸 a drop toward the 139.883 zone
 🔸 an overall potential decline within the 140.8–138.0 range 📎 Link to my long-term FX:USDJPY OANDA:USDJPY FOREXCOM:USDJPY scenario:
Short
by shakatrade1_618
3
Forex Weekly Portfolio Selection – Top Trade SetupsWeekly Forex Portfolio Selection – H1 Chart Analysis Using the Weekly & Daily Currency Strength Index, we’ve identified the strongest and weakest currencies to build a focused trading portfolio for the week. 📊 Currency Strength Ranking (1 = Weakest, 8 = Strongest): EUR: 8 CHF: 7 CAD: 6 GBP: 5 AUD: 4 NZD: 3 USD: 2 JPY: 1 ➡️ The Euro (EUR) is currently the strongest, while the Japanese Yen (JPY) is the weakest. 🔍 Analysed Pairs (H1 Timeframe): EURJPY EURUSD CADJPY GBPUSD This selection focuses on high-probability setups aligned with trend and strength analysis.
by Charts247TradingAcademy