GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,270.07
Target Level: 3,197.87
Stop Loss: 3,317.86
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Wave Analysis
AUDUSD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
AUDUSD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short AUDUSD
Entry - 0.6477
Sl - 0.6503
Tp - 0.6429
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUDJPY Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
AUDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 93.104 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 94.128
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 91.339
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD: Short Signal Explained
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3311.9
Stop - 3324.4
Take - 3287.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NATGAS Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3.667
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3.408
Recommended Stop Loss - 3.818
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BITCOIN Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is trading in an
Uptrend but is making a
Local bearish correction
However, a horizontal
Support level is ahead
Around 92,191$ so after
The retest we will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
And a move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC hovers around $95,000 as Trump hints at mixed signals on theBitcoin (BTC) price is hovering around $95,000 at the time of writing on Monday after facing a pullback of nearly 3% over the weekend. US President Donald Trump acknowledged a possible recession but aims to announce at least one trade deal this week, the Wall Street Journal reports. On-chain data shows that BTC holders are realizing profits, increasing the downward pressure on price.
USOIL Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 57.535.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 61.620 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Crude Oil Macro Setup Structural Bottoming cascadeWTI Crude Oil has completed a prolonged complex correction from its historical high of $146.68, forming a structurally mature accumulation base between the $33.06–$42.80 demand zone. This zone aligns with multi-year support and marks the potential terminal point of a corrective macro structure positioning the asset for a major impulsive phase within either Wave 3 or Wave 5 of the broader cycle.
Recent price behavior near $33.06 reflects a critical inflection, signaling strong institutional absorption and suggesting exhaustion of the long-term bearish momentum. The projected bullish scenario envisions a reversal targeting $114.63 as the primary technical pivot, corresponding with significant resistance and the neckline of the long-term structural setup. A confirmed breakout above this level would unlock higher targets toward $129.23 and potentially a full retracement to the $146.68 high, contingent on macroeconomic alignment.
Fundamentally, this scenario is underpinned by key catalysts including OPEC+ production adjustments, U.S. inventory dynamics, geopolitical instability across major oil-exporting nations, and global macro data such as GDP trends, inflation prints, and energy demand forecasts. These elements are poised to fuel volatility but also support a sustained recovery phase, provided demand fundamentals remain intact.
Correction Within the Trend — Silver Update📉 Silver — Correction in Wave (ii)
After a strong impulse from April 7 to 25, silver is now in a wave (ii) correction. These second waves are often sharp, but we’re entering a promising long zone between 30.7–31.7.
🔍 A potential reaction may come from the vWap, VAL, or the 0.38 Fib imbalance area.
🧭 This setup fits perfectly into my broader outlook on silver — read the full breakdown here:
👉
📈 The target for the third wave remains around $35+.
NFLX: Bearish Reversal Setup - Macro Pressure & Volume Gap Risk🕒 15 min & Daily Charts | 📅 May 5, 2025
Ticker: NASDAQ:NFLX
Netflix (NFLX) is flashing warning signs after a steep rally from the April lows. Price action has now rejected the $1,150–$1,155 zone, confirming a local top with divergence and bearish engulfing on the daily. On the 15-minute chart, we see clear Fibonacci levels being respected with a break below 0.382 followed by a rejection of the 0.236 zone.
🧠 Confluence of Bearish Factors:
Macro Headwind: Trump's proposed 100% tariff on foreign film production hits Netflix's cost model hard. This geopolitical risk could reduce margins (source: The Guardian, May 2025).
Volume Profile Analysis: Price is above a thin volume node with little support until the $1,000–$1,030 zone, increasing vulnerability to sharp drops.
Fibonacci Targets: Measured move from $1,151.68 → $1,107.08 gives downside Fibonacci extensions to:
🔻 1.236 – $1,094.76
🔻 1.382 – $1,087.13
🔻 1.786 – $1,066.04
🔻 2.0 – $1,054.85
Daily Rejection Candle: Today's -1.74% bearish candle completes a rising wedge breakdown.
🎯 30-Day Probabilistic Outlook:
🟢 Bull Case: $1,290 (20% probability, if tariffs fail or are watered down)
🟡 Base Case: $1,066.58 (50% probability – Fib target + volume support)
🔴 Bear Case: $979.59 or lower (30% probability – volume gap fill and macro fear)
💡 Playbook:
Intraday scalpers can short retests of $1,143–$1,146 (golden pocket).
Swing traders can target $1,066 and trail with 3-bar structure.
Add-on confirmation with VIX > 18 and Fed staying hawkish on May 7th.
📌 Not financial advice. For institutional and strategic educational use under the Wavervanir DSS framework.
#NFLX #ShortSetup #Fibonacci #MacroTrading #VolumeProfile #BearishReversal #WavervanirDSS #TradingView #AITrading
GBP/JPY Short, GBP/USD Short, AUD/CAD Short and AUD/USD ShortGBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
QQQ Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the QQQ next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 488.86
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 463.87
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Analysis of the latest gold trend on May 5:
Core logic analysis
Impact of non-farm data:
The 177,000 new jobs in April exceeded expectations, but the downward revision of historical data (revised from 228,000 to 185,000 in March) weakened the absolute positive of the data, showing that the resilience of the labor market contains implicit fluctuations.
The slowdown in hourly wage growth (0.2% lower than expected month-on-month) eased inflationary pressure, and the market continued to play the game on the Fed's expectations of rate cuts. Gold rebounded after short-term pressure, reflecting the long-short tug-of-war.
Key technical signals:
The shock range is established: 3240-3270 US dollars is the short-term long-short balance range, and the breakthrough direction determines the medium-term trend.
Signs of momentum conversion: 1-hour moving average dead cross but turn, if it stands firm at 3265-3270 resistance, it may trigger short covering to promote the rise; on the contrary, if it falls below 3220-3215 support, it will open up space for continued decline.
Closing price guidance: On Friday (May 2), the market bottomed out and rebounded to close at around 3240, showing buying support below, but the trend is still unclear before the resistance is effectively broken.
Trading strategy suggestions
1. Short-term shock market (not breaking through the range)
High: 3260-3265 light position short test, stop loss 3272, target 3240-3230.
Low long: 3225-3220 batch long orders, stop loss 3215, target 3245-3255.
Reason: The market sentiment is cautious after the non-agricultural data, and the high-selling and low-buying within the range need to strictly stop losses.
2. Breakthrough market response
Break above 3270: follow up long orders at 3260-3255, stop loss 3250, target 3280-3300.
Logic: After the breakthrough, confirm that the bulls are dominant, or test the previous high pressure level.
Breaking below 3215: short near rebound 3225, stop loss 3232, target 3200-3180.
Logic: Open the downward channel, may test the support of the April low.
Key risk reminder
Fed policy expectations: Before the June interest rate decision, economic data (especially inflation) may cause sharp fluctuations.
Geopolitics: The escalation or easing of the situation in the Middle East will directly impact the safe-haven properties of gold.
Dollar linkage: If the US dollar index returns to above 101, it will suppress the rebound space of gold.
XAUUSD Bearish Setup: Rising Wedge Breakdown Towards 3,166 Targe Overview
This chart illustrates a high-probability bearish setup for XAUUSD based on the breakdown of a rising wedge pattern. Rising wedges typically signal a potential reversal or correction, especially when they occur near a resistance zone and are followed by lower highs and diminishing bullish momentum.
🔍 Technical Breakdown
📐 Rising Wedge Pattern
The price of gold has been rising within a narrowing wedge, forming higher highs and higher lows but within converging trendlines.
This structure generally suggests weakening bullish momentum, and a breakdown is often followed by sharp bearish movement.
The breakdown from the wedge is already starting to form, as price struggles to make new highs near resistance.
🟥 Resistance Level (~3,280 – 3,300)
This area has historically acted as a supply zone.
Recent candlestick wicks show clear rejection in this area, confirming the presence of strong selling pressure.
Price failed to break above this level convincingly, indicating buyers are losing control.
🟩 Support Level (~3,200 – 3,215)
This zone provided a short-term base before the wedge formation.
If the wedge breaks, price may retest this zone on the way down.
If broken, this support could flip into resistance during a pullback.
🎯 Trade Setup
Bias: Bearish
Pattern: Rising Wedge
Timeframe: Suitable for short-term to swing trades (1H – 4H)
✅ Entry Point
Enter short on confirmation of a wedge breakdown (strong bearish candle close below the lower trendline).
Conservative traders can wait for a retest of the broken trendline for additional confirmation.
📉 Target
Primary Target: 3,166.10 – Measured move from wedge height and also aligns with a previous support area.
This area could act as a profit-taking zone as it represents both technical and psychological support.
🛑 Stop Loss
Place SL above the wedge resistance, around 3,313.69.
This protects against false breakouts or unexpected bullish reversals.
⚠️ Risk Management
Only risk a small percentage of capital (1–2%) per trade.
Ensure confirmation before entry – avoid entering early on low-volume breakdowns.
Consider scaling out partial profits near the support zone before the full target is hit.
🔧 Confluence & Validation
The setup aligns with basic price action principles: lower highs at resistance and exhaustion of bullish momentum.
Volume tends to drop during wedge formation and pick up during breakout – monitor volume for confirmation.
RSI or MACD divergence may further validate the bearish momentum.
🏷️ Conclusion
This rising wedge on XAUUSD presents a textbook short setup with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The structure, resistance zone, and loss of momentum indicate a potential shift to the downside. Traders should watch for confirmation before entering and use disciplined stop-loss management.
SPX Running Into Important Resistance At 5780Last week we saw a weaker-than-expected Advance GDP in the first release, which led some to believe Powell might consider cutting rates. But Friday’s NFP came in better than expected. Expectations are no change for the Fed, and I honestly don’t believe they’ll move either.
Despite Trump putting pressure on them, inflation is still not at their 2% target, and the job market remains solid—so there may be no real reason to cut yet.
They’re watching markets too, and we've seen a pretty strong rebound, so there’s likely no urgency to act now.
Also, if they were to cut, it could appear politically motivated due to Trump, and that could seriously damage investor trust in the Fed’s independence.
So with that being said, we are wondering if the SPX can find some resistance if FED does not deliver a dovish view at this moment. Well, looking at the price action, it certainly looks overlaping recovery from April low, that can face limited upside near 5780, at April 2nd high.
If by Friday, we close above the 78.6% Fib then we may look at wave 3, alt sceario.
Grega
CHFJPY Analysis – Bearish Rejection at ResistanceCHFJPY pair is showing signs of exhaustion near a strong resistance zone just under 176.00. With price action printing multiple rejections and forming lower highs, the setup favors a bearish bias heading into mid-Q2 2025. With Japanese yen sentiment strengthening despite market doubts and Swiss inflation data showing stagnation, the technical picture is aligning with macro fundamentals for a potential drop.
📊 Technical Outlook (Daily Chart)
Key Resistance Rejected:
Price failed to sustain above 175.75–176.15 area, a strong historical resistance.
Multiple rejection wicks highlight bearish pressure at this level.
Bearish Structure:
Rising wedge and flag breakdowns have preceded the current move.
The chart shows a projected bearish leg forming, with three potential targets marked by green support zones.
Support Levels to Watch:
172.61 – Minor structure and neckline support.
171.00 – Key horizontal zone; likely the first major test.
168.50–166.50 – Final bearish targets based on previous structure and price consolidation.
Bearish Trade Plan (as indicated):
Entry zone: ~174.80–175.50 (after a confirmed lower high or breakdown).
Stop: Above 176.15 (structure invalidation).
TP1: 172.60
TP2: 171.00
TP3: 168.50
Final TP: 166.50
🌐 Fundamental Drivers
Swiss Inflation (April 2025):
Swiss CPI was flat MoM and YoY (0.0%), reflecting weak price momentum
Core inflation remained modest (+0.1%), reducing pressure on SNB to tighten policy.
JPY Sentiment & Positioning:
COT data shows record net-long JPY positions, suggesting strong speculative interest
Analysts warn of overbought sentiment, but dovish BoJ policy continues to suppress JPY bears for now.
Macro Context:
Risk-off sentiment or yield curve steepening could favor the yen further.
CHF may weaken if Swiss data continues to underwhelm.
✅ Summary
CHFJPY has rejected strong resistance, and both technical and macro indicators suggest a pullback is likely. A break below 172.60 could open the door to deeper declines toward 168.50–166.50 in the coming weeks.
NZD/USD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD is trending down which is obvious from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 0.592.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTCUSDT - Black Monday ? What's next??#BTCUSDT.. market perfect holds our resistance area as we discussed in our perveious idea regarding #btc
now market is going to close below our supporting area.
Keep close guys because eif market hold his current high then a drop expected below that.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Don't Miss this: Mastering Wave 3 Targets in Elliott Wave TheoryHello friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Today we'll analyze WOCKHARDT LTD's chart using the Elliott Wave theory for educational purposes.
In this educational series, we'll explore how to assume the target of wave three. Today's topic is specifically focused on understanding the measurements and projections for wave three.
We can see that wave one on the monthly chart is complete, and wave two has also ended. Currently, we're likely in wave three.
Generally, wave three's target is 161.8% of wave one. If wave one is 100 points, wave three's target would be around 162 points. If extended, it can reach 261 points, 361 points, or even 423% in rare cases.
However, a key rule is that wave three will never be the shortest. If it's not extended, we expect it to be at least equal to wave one. Typically, wave three reaches 161.8% in general cases.
We've shared this analysis in a video format for educational purposes only. Please note that this is not a tip or advisory. Watch the video carefully to understand how the Elliott Wave theory helps us analyze the chart and set targets.
Thanks for joining and watching the video! If you like this series, please like and comment below. Your feedback will encourage us to create more content.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
EURCHF Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on EURCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.9315 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.9351
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK