Wave Analysis
Technical Pressure, but a Bullish Setup Brewing? Open AI🚀 C3.ai (Ticker: AI) – Technical Pressure, but a Bullish Setup Brewing?
C3.ai has faced a sharp decline in 2025, slipping below key industry benchmarks and triggering technical warning signs. The stock is currently trading under both its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs), signaling short-term weakness.
However, Black Whale's technical team has identified a powerful formation: C3.ai has touched the same support zone four times, creating a solid base around the $17–18 range. This repeated bottoming behavior signals strong demand at lower levels and a potential launchpad for upside movement.
C3.ai Underperforms Sector – But Could Be Undervalued
So far this year, C3.ai shares have dropped 40.8%, significantly underperforming the Black Whale Computer & Technology sector benchmark, which fell just 14.9%, and the Black Whale IT Services industry index, down 17%. The economic slowdown has caused many businesses to reduce spending on advanced tech solutions, impacting demand for C3.ai’s enterprise-focused AI platforms.
The company also faces profitability challenges due to high operational costs from scaling, onboarding partners, and supporting global infrastructure. Still, at current levels, the stock trades at a 54.8% discount to its 52-week high of $45.08 — while sitting nearly 20% above its 52-week low of $17.03, reaffirming the technical floor.
Analysts Turn Slightly More Optimistic
The Black Whale analyst consensus for C3.ai’s FY2025 and FY2026 losses has improved in the last 60 days, with estimates narrowing to a loss of $0.45 (from $0.62) and $0.46 (from $0.55), respectively. Revenue estimates are also encouraging: expected to grow by 29.7% in FY2025 and 22.4% in FY2026.
Partnerships Driving Momentum
Strategic alliances are fueling C3.ai’s global expansion. The partnership with Microsoft continues to deliver, with 28 new joint deals closed across nine industries. Sales cycles with Microsoft have shortened by 20%, thanks to improved go-to-market alignment. Currently, over 600 active enterprise opportunities are being pursued globally under this collaboration.
C3.ai has also deepened partnerships with Amazon Web Services (AWS) and launched a new collaboration with McKinsey’s QuantumBlack. These partnerships are turning into real revenue engines, allowing C3.ai to scale with minimal direct customer acquisition effort — 71% of Q3 deals were partner-driven.
Major new or expanded clients include GSK, Sanofi, ExxonMobil, Shell, Quest Diagnostics, and the New York Power Authority, along with deals in the U.S. federal sector with the Navy, Air Force, and Missile Defense Agency.
Leading the Charge in Generative and Agentic AI
C3.ai is positioning itself at the forefront of Generative and Agentic AI. In Q3, the company launched 20 new Generative AI pilots, including projects with Mars and multiple U.S. government agencies. A new time-series embedding model is accelerating deployment in complex enterprise environments. With over 130 pre-built AI applications, C3.ai is shifting from a model builder to a results-driven AI platform.
Financials – Revenue Growth Despite Headwinds
For fiscal Q3 2025, C3.ai reported $98.8 million in revenue — a 26% year-over-year increase. Subscription revenue made up 87% of that, growing 22% to $85.7 million. Notably, demo licenses used by partners like Microsoft and AWS brought in $28.6 million, showcasing the power of channel-led sales.
Valuation and Investor Outlook
C3.ai is trading at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 5.71, which is slightly above the sector average of 5.39 but still below its historical average. Given the growth, partnership momentum, and strong bottoming structure, the Black Whale research team believes C3.ai may be entering a reversal phase.
Black Whale’s Take – A High-Conviction Watchlist Stock
Despite being under pressure, C3.ai is showing clear technical strength with four confirmed touches at its support base, solid revenue growth, narrowing losses, and a growing global footprint through powerful partnerships.
From our perspective at Black Whale, this is a high-conviction watchlist stock with real upside potential. With the right market sentiment and follow-through from institutional players, AI could be setting up for a strong rebound.
USOIL SPOT CASH ANALYSIS Oil Analysis:
Overall Trend: The general trend remains bearish, moving towards key supportive correction zones aligned with Fibonacci retracement levels.
Technical Signals:
A regular hidden positive divergence has appeared, suggesting a potential upward movement from the corrective Fibonacci levels.
Outlook:
Based on the current setup, there are expectations for a bullish rebound from the corrective zones toward higher target areas, as illustrated in the accompanying chart.
TUT Analysis (2H)From the point marked as "start" on the chart, the TUT correction has begun.
It appears to be an ABC correction, and we are currently in wave B of this ABC.
Wave B seems to be a complex correction, possibly a triangle or a diametric, and we are currently in wave c of B.
Wave c of B itself appears to be forming a symmetrical pattern.
It is expected to move toward the red box while maintaining the green zone.
The targets are indicated on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
HYPER Analysis (4H)From where we placed the red arrow on the chart, the HYPER correction has started.
This corrective pattern might be diametric, with wave E near completion.
By maintaining the green box, it could move toward the targets, which are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
DXY Will Go Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 99.288.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 100.788.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USOIL Will Go Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 61.191.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 56.009 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.641.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.629 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBPAUD Is Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 2.089.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 2.151 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
#IOTA/USDT#IOTA
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.2125.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.2135
First target: 0.2261
Second target: 0.2364
Third target: 0.2483
#CFX/USDT#CFX
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue lower.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the decline with a break below.
We have a support area at the upper limit of the channel at 0.0815.
Entry price: 0.0815
First target: 0.0788
Second target: 0.0763
Third target: 0.0740
NZDCAD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDCAD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.827.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.824 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Virtuals Protocol VIRTUAL price analysisThe price of #Virtual is approaching $1.60, the price at which trading began almost six months ago.
It will be harder and harder to push the price of OKX:VIRTUALUSDT.P upward, because just look at the chart and see how much it was bought earlier and at what trading vol it is now growing.
And what will happen to the #Virtual price if it starts selling off "to zero", those who believed in the "marketing prospects" of #VirtualsProtocol at the time - and as it turned out - bought at highs... ?
The levels shown on the chart are working quite well and can serve as a good guide for making trading decisions.
_____________________
Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more