Wave Analysis
Dow Jones Correction in May 2025: Key DriversDow Jones Correction in May 2025: Key Drivers
Summary: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) is under pressure and likely headed for a correction due to the Federal Reserve’s tight monetary policy, trade uncertainty from Trump’s tariffs, and weak economic data.
Key Drivers:
➖ Federal Reserve Policy: At the May 6–7 meeting, the Fed is expected to maintain the 4.25–4.5% interest rate due to persistent inflation (2.7% forecast for 2025) and a robust labor market (+177K jobs in April). This dampens hopes for rate cuts, pressuring stocks.
➖ Trump’s Tariffs: New tariffs raise inflation risks and recession fears, reducing the appeal of Dow Jones constituents like Caterpillar and Walmart.
➖ Weak GDP and Global Volatility: A 0.3% GDP contraction in Q1 2025 and declines in Asian markets (1.6–1.8%) signal global instability.
➖ Technical Indicators: DIA trades below its 200-day moving average (~420 USD), with fewer stocks above this level (down from 76% to 55% since January), indicating market weakness.
➖ Outlook: Analysts (Long Forecast) predict volatility, with a potential drop to 38,958 in May, despite an average forecast of 43,370 by month-end. Historically, corrections occur every 1.88 years, and current conditions (tariffs, inflation, GDP) heighten the likelihood of a 10–15% decline.
Target: My downside target for the Dow Jones is 38,555.00.
Current factors and historical trends strongly suggest a near-term correction.
Idea for S&P 500:
FINNIFYIf the price breaks above the upper trendline, it could be a bullish signal. On the other hand, if the price breaks below the lower trendline, it could be a bearish signal.
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"XAU/USD Analysis (H4)Observations
- Current price approaching a Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone
Trade Idea:
- Expecting an upward push from the FVG zone
- Buy opportunity in Gold
Target:
- 3494
This setup suggests a potential buy signal, with the FVG zone acting as a support level. Let's see how the market reacts."
#ZRO/USDT#ZRO
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 2.38.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 2.46
First target: 2.533
Second target: 2.636
Third target: 2.75
#DYM/USDT#DYM
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 1.76.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.276
First target: 0.288
Second target: 0.303
Third target: 0.318
#DEGO/USDT#DEGO
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 1.76.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 1.79
First target: 1.83
Second target: 1.92
Third target: 2.02
#WLD/USDT#WLD
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.878
First target: 0.946
Second target: 0.984
Third target: 1.03
Monday high for XAU according to the last weekend analysis In my weekly analysis shared before markets opened, the 3235–3240 USD area was highlighted as a critical support zone. The price broke out of the falling channel, confirmed by bullish price action in the 2-hour timeframe, leading to a significant upward move.
As of writing this post, the target zone (a 90 USD move, over 2.8% gain) has been successfully reached.
The analysis was based on market structure, breakout validation, and CME Holder/Customer position data.
Stay tuned for further updates.
Analyst: Mohsen Mozaffari-Nejad
@mmozafari1357
Hindustan aeronautics Here is the English version, ready to copy:
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This chart is of Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL). It shows a technical pattern known as the "Cup and Handle" pattern.
The chart shows a resistance zone around 4600–4700, which the stock has recently tested.
If the breakout is successful, an upward rally can be expected.
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Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful?
How can we improve?)
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Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week
DISCLAIMER: I am NOT a SEBI registered advisor or a financial adviser. All the views are for educational purpose only
BTCUSD Daily Trend Analysis from May 05, 2025Based on my analysis, BTCUSD is likely to experience a bearish trend over the next four trading days. A sell signal has been confirmed, with a stop-loss set at 97,939. Key support levels to watch are 83,974 and 80,491 — the latter becoming relevant only if the price breaks and closes below 83,974.
Please note: this is a personal market outlook and not a trading recommendation. Traders should rely on real-time technical analysis and implement appropriate risk management practices before making any trading decisions.
Weekly trading plan for NEAR, ATOM & PolygonIn this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
GBPCHF: Market of Buyers
The price of GBPCHF will most likely increase soon enough, due to the demand beginning to exceed supply which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPUSD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The analysis of the GBPUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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OTEUM EXPERT CALL: SP500 – Pre‑FED Crumb‑ChaseOTEUM EXPERT CALL: SP500 – Pre‑FED Crumb‑Chase 🍞🚀
Market’s in grind‑up mode ahead of the FED 💹, squeezing what’s left toward those major swing targets & looming resistance walls 🧱. Only a few tasty crumbs remain on the upside—grab ‘em quick, trail tight, and don’t overstay the party 🎉⚠️.
Weekly trading plan for DOGEIn this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
The price is already under the Pivot points closer to the local bottom, so when the local bottom is broken, the further decline to the support areas is expected
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
Weekly trading plan for XRP In this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Right now the price is updating the local bottom, so there are more chances to see a decline to the support zone
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
OTEUM EXPERT CALL: SP500 – Catch-the-Bounce EditionOTEUM EXPERT CALL: SP500 – Catch-the-Bounce Edition 🪙🚀
We’re fishing LONG for a quick, tactical bounce LONG as price aims to poke into a major resistance zones ⚙️📈 Once the dust settles and the bounce plays out, we still expect the macro down-draft to take over, so keep your suitcase packed for a swift exit 🎢✂️.
Main risk? A stray White House tweet or (not so much) surprise policy grenade? 💬💥—impossible to time, so size down and run a tight leash on risk 🦺⚖️.
#SP500 #Dailymap #BouncePlay #RiskOn #OTEUM
BTCUSD BUY SETUP The $94,340 BTCUSD buy zone is likely due to several factors influencing market sentiment and trading decisions. Here are some possible reasons:
- *Support Level*: $94,340 might be acting as a support level, where Bitcoin's price finds buying interest or bounces back. This level is close to the current price, and traders might be looking to buy the dip.
Is $130 next target for Solana ?In this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
At the moment the price is under Pivot Points, the longer the price will be lower the more chances to see a breakdown of the local bottom
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
Bull market ends gold's declineHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago, the price traded inside a little flat, where it declined to the bottom part and then started to grow.
In a short time, it reached the $2955 level, broke it and started to trades inside a big flat, exiting from a small range.
After this movement, the price reached the top part of the flat and then corrected, after which it entered to pennant.
In the pennant pattern, Gold exited from a flat and rose to the resistance line from the support line, breaking the $3205 level.
Also recently, price made a correction, but then it turned around and bounced up, thereby exiting from pennant.
Now, I think that Gold can rise a little and then start to decline to $3205 support level.
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I know many people's accounts have been burned or are about to be burned due to the rapid decline and rise of gold. If you are a novice or you need some advice, you can contact me and I will give you free advice.