GOLD → Fading out before the news. Possible long-squeezeFX:XAUUSD continues its bullish trend, but locally, the movement is in a very narrow channel (wedge). To form a potential for further movement, the price may form a long-squeeze before or at the time of news...
Fundamentally, gold remains a bullish asset due to the Fed's rate cut forecasts and economic risks associated with Trump's tariff policy. Gold hit a new high on Wednesday after the Fed reiterated plans to cut rates twice this year, raised its inflation forecast and worsened growth and employment estimates.The price is further supported by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with Israel announcing the resumption of ground operations in Gaza.
Gold is forming a bull market. Before further growth (before the news) the price may enter the liquidity zone (fvg, 3028, 3024), after which it will continue to grow. Dollar enters local correction before the news, which creates pressure on gold
Resistance levels: 3046, 3051, 3056
Support levels: 3038, 3030, 3024
Price is forming a retest of the wedge support, which increases the chances of a breakdown. If the support fails to hold, the price may go down to the above support before rising further.
But! If gold bounces from 3038 and consolidates above 3044, the growth will continue without a deep pullback
Regards R. Linda!
Wedge
BTCUSD | Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish SetupChart Overview:
This chart represents Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe and showcases a Rising Wedge pattern. The price action has reached a key resistance level, and a potential breakdown scenario is unfolding.
1️⃣ Pattern Identification: Rising Wedge Formation
A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price moves within two converging upward-sloping trendlines. The narrowing price range indicates a weakening trend, and a breakdown usually leads to a significant price drop.
Upper Trendline (Resistance): Marked in blue, this trendline connects the higher highs.
Lower Trendline (Support): Also in blue, connecting the higher lows.
Breakdown Confirmation: The price has already moved below the wedge support, confirming the bearish bias.
2️⃣ Key Price Levels & Zones
🔹 Resistance Zone (Blue Box)
This strong resistance level has repeatedly rejected the price.
The final rejection led to a breakout failure and potential trend reversal.
🔹 Support Zone (Blue Box)
A strong demand zone, but a breakdown below it triggers a bearish trend.
This level is now acting as potential resistance after the breakdown.
🔹 ATH (All-Time High) – $87,566
This marks the highest price level reached in the given timeframe.
3️⃣ Market Structure Breakdown
🔻 Bearish Momentum & Breakdown
After touching the resistance, BTC failed to sustain upward movement.
A breakout of the wedge's lower trendline confirms a trend reversal.
Price action suggests a lower-high, lower-low structure, indicating a bearish market shift.
📉 Expected Price Movement (Wave Structure)
The breakout retest could result in a small pullback to previous support (now resistance).
After confirmation, price is likely to continue downward in a wave-like structure.
Fibonacci levels or key support zones will act as profit-taking targets.
4️⃣ Trade Setup & Targets
🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Trade Idea)
Entry: On a successful retest of the broken support zone.
Stop-Loss (SL): Above the previous resistance zone for risk management.
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP 1: $81,638
TP 2: $77,897
Final Target: $74,990
5️⃣ Summary & Conclusion
📌 BTC/USD has broken out of a Rising Wedge pattern, confirming a bearish trend.
📌 A pullback and retest may occur before further downside continuation.
📌 The chart suggests a short opportunity, targeting lower support zones for potential profit-taking.
📌 Traders should manage risk with a well-placed stop-loss above key resistance.
This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, confirming a high-probability short trade for BTC. 🚀
Charting the Path Forward: Key Levels to WatchPrevious Analysis: Successful Bullish Breakout
In our previous analysis, we identified a Falling Wedge pattern accompanied by bullish divergence, forecasting a breakout above 147.807. The price hit our target, confirming the bullish momentum and reaching key Fibonacci levels.
What’s Next:
Upon analyzing the chart, we observe that price has found support at 147.535 after a pullback during the American session. We anticipate the price to reach our first target, and after consolidation and a possible pullback, we expect to hit our second target near the upper line of the channel.
However, if the price declines from the first target and breaches support at 147.535, the next key support level is at 146.306.
Remember to follow your risk management strategies to protect your capital.
USDJPY → Resistance retest (wedge) before the Fed meetingFX:USDJPY is forming a correction to trend resistance as part of the dollar index consolidation. An interesting situation is forming which could be a continuation of the downtrend.
Fundamentally, today is an important day. The FED interest rate meeting is ahead. Traders are waiting, the dollar is consolidating at this time. Most likely the rate will remain unchanged, but in this key everyone is interested in Powell's comments on monetary policy and their future actions.
USDJPY at this time is forming a correction to the bearish trend resistance, before the news the currency pair may test the resistance conglomerate: a wedge, 0.79 fibo, or an orderblock located outside the channel
Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95
Support levels: 148.92
False breakout of the resistance zone can provoke a fall, as well as breakdown of the support of the “wedge” with the subsequent consolidation of the price in the selling zone. The price may test the zone of interest at 147.6, 146.54.
Regards R. Linda!
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish ContinuationTechnical Analysis & Market Outlook
The Silver (XAG/USD) 1-hour chart presents a clear rising wedge formation, a well-recognized bearish reversal pattern. This formation develops when price action creates higher highs and higher lows within a contracting range, signaling a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum.
Currently, Silver has broken below the lower trendline of the wedge, confirming a bearish breakout. This move suggests that the recent uptrend is weakening, and sellers are beginning to take control. A retest of the broken support level as new resistance could provide an ideal entry for a short position.
Key Technical Levels & Trading Plan
1️⃣ Resistance & Supply Zone: 34.00 - 34.20
Price has struggled to break above this region multiple times, confirming strong selling pressure.
The market rejected this level sharply, leading to the current downside movement.
A stop-loss can be placed slightly above this zone to protect against unexpected reversals.
2️⃣ Support Level & Retest Zone: 33.50
Previously, this level acted as a strong support, but the breakdown confirms a shift in market structure.
If price retests this level and faces rejection, it could serve as an optimal entry point for short trades.
3️⃣ Short Entry Confirmation
Traders should look for price rejection from the 33.50 zone before entering a short position.
A bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar, or a lower high formation) would further validate the entry.
4️⃣ Bearish Target: 31.90 - 32.00
The projected downside move aligns with the measured move of the wedge breakdown and previous support zones.
If price maintains bearish momentum, further downside potential exists beyond this target.
5️⃣ Stop-Loss Placement: Above 34.20
Setting a stop-loss above the recent resistance ensures protection against invalidation of the bearish setup.
This placement accounts for potential price spikes or false breakouts.
Trade Execution Strategy:
📌 Entry: Short on a retest of the 33.50 level, ensuring confirmation via price rejection.
📌 Stop-Loss: Above 34.20 to avoid premature stop-outs.
📌 Take-Profit: Targeting the 31.90 - 32.00 zone for an optimal risk-to-reward ratio.
Conclusion & Risk Management:
The breakdown from the rising wedge signals a shift in market sentiment, favoring a bearish move. Traders should remain patient for a retest of broken support to confirm the validity of the trade. Proper risk management with a well-placed stop-loss and a defined target ensures controlled exposure to market fluctuations.
📊 Overall Bias: Bearish 📉
🔍 Key Watch Areas: Retest of 33.50 for Short Confirmation
The Bitcoin Google trends wedge pattern. Good day traders & investors,
Is the Google trends search for Bitcoin about to explode ?! The chart pattern is a bullish one. The Google trend search topped out back in 2017 and has been in a wedge pattern since then. The search/interest recently broke out of this 8 year wedge pattern and this month retested the breakout. This is typically a bullish pattern and shows the interest and search volume is picking up and could very soon explode again.
The settings for this search was world wide , bitcoin and a custom time interval set from Jan 1st 2009 to Mar 19th 2025
Since inception the interest for Bitcoin gained volume/growth until it peaked in 2017. Ever since then the interest and searches has been making lower lower highs until very recently (last Oct) where it made a higher high as it broke out of this wedge. Also, since 2017 while making lower highs the google trend has been making higher lows, thus forming this wedge pattern. The break out and retest of this pattern is what shows the signs of strength and a possible explosion of interest in the near future.
I have underlaid both timelines of the price and the Google trend to match, and we can clearly see that when the search trend rises, so does the price which shows a strong correlation.
All of my other cycle analysis shows that May/June time could see higher prices, so you could say this is a sneak peak or confluence to other indicators.
Let me know what you think in the comments below what you think. Does Google trend holds any weight? Do you think this wedge pattern and break out could lead to anything big?
Please like and share. My socials are listed in the bio
Kind regards,
WeAreSatoshi
USD/JPY: Bear Wedge and Pin Candle Flash Warning SignsThe ducks may be lining up for a resumption of the USD/JPY downtrend.
Firstly, it remains in a defined falling channel. Secondly, Tuesday’s reversal delivered a bearish pin candle, often seen around market tops. Thirdly, the rebound from last week’s lows resembles a bear wedge pattern, warning of a potential downside break and resumption of the bear trend.
Momentum indicators aren’t fully on board, with RSI (14) and MACD trending higher, so the case for initiating shorts is not yet a slam dunk. But it should be on the watchlist.
A break of the bear wedge would put a retest of 148.65 on the radar, with a move beyond that level opening the door for a possible flush towards 147.10, where buyers were lurking last week. If the price were to keep pushing higher and break channel resistance, the bearish bias would be invalidated.
As covered in the attached analysis, when it comes to risks around rates guidance from the Fed and BOJ later today, this scribe sees those for the former skewed towards a slightly more dovish outcome than market pricing, and a more hawkish tone from the BOJ.
Good luck!
DS
USOIL BREAKOUT FROM THE WEDGE|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL is trading in a
Downtrend and the price broke
Out of the bearish wedge pattern
And the breakout is confirmed
Because the 4H candle closed
Way below the wedge's support
So we are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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EUR_CHF BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅EUR_CHF broke out
Of the bearish wedge pattern
So we are locally bearish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further
Bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Direct Line Insurance Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Direct Line Insurance Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* ((Wedge Structure)) | Completed Survey
* (Uptrend Argument)) | Entry Area | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 0.5 & 0618 Retracement & Gap Feature | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 120.00 USD
* Entry At 133.00 USD
* Take Profit At 150.00 USD
* (Uptrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
Another look at the wedge/pennant I just postedI decided to do a second chart idea on the pennant I posted in the last chart, this tme including the super pivotal support trendline and moving the emasured move line to the point that support line crosses over the top trendline of the wedge. Will be interesting to see if either of these measured move line projections from this dea and the last one play out. *not financial advice*
Falling Wedge/Pennant on BitcoinThe full wedge extends all the way into August. I certainly hope we break up from it well before then. I place the measured move line around where I think we old break upward from if we can flip the 200ma back to solidified support. It of course could actually take much longer to break up from the wedge but even if it did the lowest price of the wedge is really not that terrifying in my opinion and would instead just be a phenomenal buying opportunity if we were allowed to accumulate mote that cheap. Because of other major supports not shown here however going below 70k for anything but an extremely brief wick seems an incredibly low probability. *not financial advice*
Scenario Analysis of EUR/CHF 4H Chart1. Market Structure
The market was previously in a downtrend but experienced a strong bullish breakout around early March.
Price surged upwards, breaking a key resistance zone (now acting as support).
The current price action appears to be forming a rising wedge, a potential reversal pattern.
2. Key Levels
Support Zone: Around 0.9500, which was previously resistance and now turned into a strong support.
Resistance Zone: Around 0.9650, where price is facing difficulty breaking above.
Current Price: 0.95986.
3. Chart Pattern - Rising Wedge
A rising wedge is visible, which is often a bearish reversal pattern.
Price is consolidating near the upper boundary of the wedge, showing signs of exhaustion.
If price breaks below the wedge, a bearish move towards the 0.9500 level is likely.
4. Confirmation Factors
EMA 50: The price is currently hovering around the 50-period EMA, indicating a possible shift in momentum.
Bearish Rejection Wicks: There are multiple rejection candles at the resistance zone, showing seller strength.
Breakout Zone: If the price breaks below the wedge and the gray support zone, it will confirm a bearish move.
5. Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario: If price breaks above the wedge and sustains above 0.9650, it could push towards 0.9700+.
Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below the wedge and the support zone, a drop towards 0.9500 or lower is expected.
Best Approach: Wait for a breakout confirmation before entering a trade.
EURO - Price can bounce from support line of wedge to $1.1045Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, the price declined to the $1.0475 level and broke it, after which it declined to $1.0360 points.
Then price turned around and started to grow inside the wedge, where it soon reached $1.0475 level and broke it again.
Next, Euro made a retest, after breakout and then continued to move up, and later it reached $1.0835 level.
Price has some time traded below this level, and then it broke it and reached the resistance line of wedge.
After this, EUR long time traded near $1.0835 level and not long time ago it bounced and started to grow.
In my mind, Euro can bounce from the support line and then rise to $1.1045 resistance line of the wedge pattern.
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HelenP. I Bitcoin can drop of resistance line of wedge to $77800Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A few days ago, the price surged to 99000 before pulling back to the resistance level, which aligned with the resistance zone. Then, BTC broke through the 89500 level, traded below it for a while, and continued its decline toward the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Following this move, Bitcoin started trading inside a wedge pattern and quickly made a strong upward impulse from the support zone, reaching 94900 and breaking the resistance level once again. However, it soon corrected, dropping back below this level, and after attempting to recover, it failed. BTC then began to decline and, in a short time, fell to the support zone, where it reached the trend line. After bouncing off this level, it started to rise again, eventually making a correction to the support level before continuing its upward movement inside the wedge. At this point, I expect BTCUSDT to reach the resistance line of the wedge before reversing and dropping to the trend line, breaking the support level. Based on this, my goal is set at 77800, which coincides with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
PIUSDT : Head & Shoulders Signals a Major Drop Incoming!Yello, Paradisers! PIUSDT is flashing strong bearish signals! The price has formed a Head & Shoulders pattern right on the resistance trendline of a descending channel—this combination significantly increases the probability of a sharp move to the downside.
💎PIUSDT breaks below the neckline and closed a candle which validates the bearish setup, increasing the likelihood of further downside.
💎However, We have to wait for the proper retest of the neckline, patience is key for the right entry.
💎On the flip side, if PIUSDT breaks above the resistance zone and closes candle above it, the bearish setup will be invalidated.
Stay disciplined and wait for confirmation, Paradisers. A fakeout could trap impatient traders—don’t be one of them! 🎖
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bullish Continuation Ahead
Silver formed a strong bullish pattern on a 4H.
I see a bullish flag with a candle close above its resistance line.
I think that the market is going to continue rising.
Next resistance 34.2
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