04.07.2025 #XAGUSDSELL 36.9000 | STOP 38.5000 | TAKE 34.7000 - 33.9500 | Medium-term investment forecast on silver deal for the next 2-3 months. On the D1 chart we observe the technical structure of the completion of the ascending wedge. Formation of double top of highs. We also consider a probable potential for the output of volumes in this instrument and a gradual decline to a pronounced support range on the background of growing interest and the potential of the US dollar until the end of summer.
XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)
SILVER Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on SILVER and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 36.935 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 36.582
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Silver approaching key resistance barrierLooking at MARKETSCOM:SILVER , we can see that the price action is approaching the highest point of June. If that gets cleared, the next target might be the highest point of 2012. Let's dig in.
TVC:SILVER
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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XAGUSD Analysis : Consolidation & FMFR Setup + Target🧭 Technical Overview:
Silver has had a strong bullish rally that started after the breakout of a long-term symmetrical triangle pattern. This breakout marked a Major Break of Structure (BOS) and shifted the overall market sentiment toward the bulls. Since then, price has been consolidating under a major resistance zone, forming a compression range, which is now shown as a blue elliptical zone in the chart.
This ellipse is not just a consolidation area — it represents a neutral compression zone where price can explode in either direction. The price action inside this area has been choppy and manipulative, sweeping both local highs and lows without real follow-through — a perfect environment for a Fake Move – then Reversal (FMFR) strategy.
🔍 Key Chart Components:
🔹 1. Ellipse (Dual Directional Zone)
This region shows indecision. Price is coiling inside, creating higher lows and lower highs — a volatility squeeze. A breakout from this ellipse is likely, but the first breakout move may be fake, followed by a quick reversal.
🔹 2. Major BOS (Break of Structure)
Price broke out of a long-term descending structure and pushed strongly upward, which marked a significant bullish shift. The pullback after that BOS was shallow — a sign of continued strength — but now we’re at a decision point.
🔹 3. Resistance Zone (Previous Target Area)
The price is now retesting a strong historical resistance around $37.00–$38.00, where we’ve seen rejections before. This is the liquidity zone where breakout traders enter long, but institutions may sweep them for liquidity before reversing.
🔹 4. Minor and Major CHoCH Levels
Minor CHoCH: Around $35.00–$35.50
Major CHoCH: Near $33.80–$34.00
These are reversal zones to watch if a fake move to the upside occurs and price rolls over.
📉 FMFR Setup Explained:
FMFR (First Move Fake Reversal) is a market behavior pattern where:
Price fakes a breakout in one direction (e.g., above resistance).
Attracts liquidity (traders’ orders).
Reverses rapidly in the opposite direction, trapping those who entered late.
In your chart, the blue notes say:
“In This Case, XAGUSD Have to Gave FMFR From Anyside”
“First Move Fake Then Reversal”
This highlights that no matter which direction the market initially breaks, it’s likely to reverse shortly afterward. This pattern is often seen before major moves when the market seeks to clear liquidity.
🔄 Scenarios to Watch:
🅰️ Bull Trap (Fake Breakout)
Price spikes above $37.80–$38.00.
Sweeps the highs and rejects sharply.
Reversal triggers below the ellipse, heading toward minor/major CHoCH.
🅱️ Bear Trap (Fake Breakdown)
Price dips below $35.00 (minor CHoCH).
Triggers panic sells.
Then rebounds quickly into the previous high zone or beyond.
⚙️ Trading Strategy Ideas:
Wait for Confirmation: Enter only after a confirmed breakout and retest OR a fakeout with reversal candles (e.g., engulfing, pin bar).
Use Tight Risk Management: Place stops outside sweep zones. This setup is volatile and can trap undisciplined trades.
Watch Volume & Wicks: Spikes with wicks and no close beyond the level usually confirm FMFR setups.
🔐 Key Levels to Watch:
Zone Price Level Action
Major Resistance $37.00–$38.00 Watch for fakeouts
Minor CHoCH ~$35.00–$35.50 Reversal entry zone
Major CHoCH ~$33.80 Last line of bullish defense
📝 Final Thoughts:
This is a textbook FMFR compression setup, where volatility is building inside a symmetrical price zone. The first aggressive move from this region is likely to be deceptive. Smart money traders look for trap setups, not the obvious direction. Silver is approaching a high-risk, high-reward decision zone, and staying patient will be key.
📊 Wait. Observe. React — don’t predict blindly.
SILVER: Bulls Will Push
The price of SILVER will most likely increase soon enough, due to the demand beginning to exceed supply which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SILVER RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅SILVER has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a
Horizontal resistance of 3730$
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SILVER Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in an
Uptrend but the price will
Soon hit a horizontal resistance
Area around 37,32$ from
Where we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAGUSD Strong accumulation waiting for a break-out. Silver (XAGUSD) has been trading within a 3-month Channel Up pattern and since the June 18 Higher High, it has entered a Descending Triangle.
This has previous been an Accumulation pattern, which after broken to the upside, it led to June's High. Similarly, we expect a bullish break-out once the 4H RSI breaks above its MA, and as long as the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, we expect a +15.50% minimum rise (like the first Bullish Leg of the Channel Up), with our Target se at 40.500.
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Gold Market Update: Stuck in summer time range / SeasonalityGold is stuck so far last 4-6 weeks in tight range trading conditions
due to summer time seasonality also strong gains previously
expecting range locked conditions in July as well here's an
overview of 5 years and 10 years of seasonality data by month
until at least August expecting dead market conditions it's best
to focus on trading the range or trading with automated algo instead.
Here are the two tables showing month-over-month percent changes in gold prices (London PM fix USD/oz) for June, July, and August:
| Year | June Close | July Close | August Close | June % | July % | August % |
| ---- | ---------: | ---------: | -----------: | -----: | ------: | -------: |
| 2023 | 1,942.90 | 1,951.02 | 1,918.70 | –0.04% | +0.42% | –1.68% |
| 2022 | 1,836.57 | 1,732.74 | 1,764.56 | –5.65% | +1.80% | +1.80% |
| 2021 | 1,834.57 | 1,807.84 | 1,785.28 | –1.47% | –1.48% | –1.22% |
| 2020 | 1,761.04\* | 1,771.65\* | 1,968.16\* | +8.66% | +11.19% | +10.99% |
| 2019 | 1,342.66\* | 1,413.39\* | 1,523.00\* | +5.29% | +7.95% | +7.74% |
| Year | June Close | July Close | August Close | June % | July % | August % |
| ---- | ---------: | ---------: | -----------: | -----: | ------: | -------: |
| 2023 | 1,942.90 | 1,951.02 | 1,918.70 | –0.04% | +0.42% | –1.68% |
| 2022 | 1,836.57 | 1,732.74 | 1,764.56 | –5.65% | +1.80% | +1.80% |
| 2021 | 1,834.57 | 1,807.84 | 1,785.28 | –1.47% | –1.48% | –1.22% |
| 2020 | 1,761.04\* | 1,771.65\* | 1,968.16\* | +8.66% | +11.19% | +10.99% |
| 2019 | 1,342.66\* | 1,413.39\* | 1,523.00\* | +5.29% | +7.95% | +7.74% |
| 2018 | 1,270.00\* | 1,230.00\* | 1,194.00\* | –1.09% | –3.15% | –3.02% |
| 2017 | 1,257.00\* | 1,243.00\* | 1,280.00\* | +0.72% | –1.10% | +2.93% |
| 2016 | 1,255.00\* | 1,364.00\* | 1,322.00\* | +3.24% | +8.67% | –3.11% |
| 2015 | 1,180.00\* | 1,172.00\* | 1,116.00\* | –2.06% | –0.68% | –4.69% |
| 2014 | 1,320.00\* | 1,311.00\* | 1,312.00\* | –0.65% | –0.68% | +0.08% |
🔍 Summary Highlights
June has been weak more often than not—negative in 6 of the past 10 years.
July shows modest gains overall—positive in 7 of the last 10.
August is the strongest summer month—positive 6 times out of the past 10, with several double-digit y/y gains (like +10.99% in 2020).
Silver Extends Gains to $36.70Silver hovered near $36.70 on Thursday after rising 1.4% in the previous session, supported by easing trade tensions and stronger expectations of Fed rate cuts.
Markets are now watching key US economic releases to see whether silver can sustain its upward momentum.
Resistance is at 37.50, while support holds at 35.40.
XAGUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 36.24, an overlap resistance close to the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 35.89, an overlap support.
The stop loss will be placed at 36.57, which is a swing-high resistance.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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“Can This XAG/USD Setup Make You the Next Market Thief?”🏴☠️ Operation Silver Swipe — Thief Trading Heist Plan for XAG/USD
🚨 Target Locked: The Silver Vault 🧳🎯
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Market Hustlers & Chart Whisperers, 🕵️♂️💼📉💰
Step into the shadows with our stealth plan based on our signature Thief Trading Style—a mix of smart technicals and crafty fundamentals. Today, we’re eyeing XAG/USD (Silver) for a clean sweep. Here's how to gear up for the breakout job:
🎯 Entry Zone — “The Heist Is On!” 💥
📍Key Level: Break & Retest above 37.000 – that's your cue to act.
🔑Strategy:
Buy Stop Orders: Set above the breakout level
Buy Limit Orders: Use recent 15/30M swings for a sneaky pullback entry 🎯
🛑 Stop Loss — “Every Thief Has a Backup Plan” 🎭
Place your SL like a pro, not a panic button!
📌Recommended: Around 35.660 using the 4H nearest candle wick swing low place after the breakout entry.
⚠️Tip: Adjust based on your risk appetite, lot size, and number of entries. You’re the mastermind, not a minion.
🎯 Target — “Escape Route” 🏃♂️💸
📌 First checkpoint: 38.800
📌 Or take your loot early if the heat rises! (Overbought zones, trend traps, or reversal zones)
💡 Scalper's Shortcut 💡
Go only long for safety. If you’ve got the cash stack, jump in fast. If you’re more of a sneaky swing trader, follow the roadmap and trail your SL to secure that bag 🧳📈
🔍 Market Status
Silver’s in a Neutral Phase – but signs point to an upward getaway 🚀
Fueling this momentum:
Macro & Fundamental trends
COT Positioning
Intermarket Clues
Sentimental Signals
🔗 Read the full breakdown check there 👉🔗🔗🌏🌎!
📢 Trading Alert — News Release Caution ⚠️
Don’t get caught mid-escape during news bombs! 💣
✅ Avoid fresh entries during high-impact events
✅ Use trailing SL to lock in your gains and cover your tracks
💖 Smash the Boost Button if you vibe with this plan 💥
Support the crew and help keep the charts hot and the loot flowing. Your boost powers up our next big heist 🚁🔥
📡 Stay tuned for more street-smart setups... we rob the charts, not the rules! 🐱👤💸📊💎
XAGUSD H1 I Bearish Drop Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is approaching our sell entry at 36.05, a pullback resistance
Our take profit will be at 34.77, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 37.00, a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?XAG/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take proft.
Entry: 36.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resitance.
Stop loss: 37.24
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 34.78
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Silver sideways consolidation support at 3500Silver – Technical Analysis
The Silver price action continues to exhibit a bullish sentiment, underpinned by a prevailing rising trend. However, recent intraday moves indicate a corrective pullback, reflecting short-term consolidation within the broader uptrend.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
3,500 – Primary support and previous consolidation zone; critical for maintaining bullish structure.
3,450 – Secondary support; potential downside target if 3,500 fails.
3,390 – Key lower support; aligns with a broader demand area.
Resistance:
3,720 – Immediate upside resistance; first target on a bullish bounce.
3,790 – Intermediate resistance; aligns with recent swing highs.
3,850 – Long-term resistance target; marks the upper boundary of the current bullish channel.
Scenario Analysis:
Bullish Continuation (Base Case):
A bounce from the 3,500 level would affirm the corrective pullback as temporary, with potential for a bullish continuation targeting 3,720, followed by 3,790 and 3,850 over a longer timeframe.
Bearish Reversal (Alternative Scenario):
A daily close below 3,500 would undermine the current bullish outlook and signal a deeper retracement, with downside risk toward 3,450 and potentially 3,390, where structural support may stabilize price.
Conclusion:
Silver remains structurally bullish, with the current pullback offering a potential entry point within the trend. The 3,500 level is the key pivot—holding above it supports further upside continuation, while a breakdown below would raise the risk of a deeper correction. Traders should watch for price action confirmation at this level to validate the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAGUSD – Bullish Setup for a Move Toward 40 1. What happened recently
After the massive selloff in early April, Silver (XAGUSD) reversed aggressively — gaining nearly 10,000 pips and breaking into multi-decade highs near 38. That kind of move is not noise. It’s power.
The month of June brought consolidation, with price slowly correcting and stabilizing. But this doesn’t look like distribution — it looks like new accumulation.
2. The key question
Is Silver building a base for the next breakout, or has the rally run out of steam?
3. Why I expect another leg up
- 35.00 is now acting as a solid support — tested, respected
- The correction has been shallow, typical for a bull rectangle structure
- Momentum remains on the buyers’ side — no major breakdown signs
- If buyers step in strongly, the next target is clearly the 40.00 psychological level
- This is a textbook bullish continuation setup.
4. Trading plan
Swing traders should watch the 35.00–35.20 zone for buying opportunities.
The risk/reward is attractive — with a potential for +5000 pips on a move toward 40, while keeping stops under the base.
Buy the dips — not the breakouts.
5. Final thoughts 🚀
Silver is shining again. The trend is up, the structure supports further gains, and the chart is offering a clean setup. Until 35 fails, the bias remains bullish.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
"SILVER (XAGUSD) July Breakdown = Trend Reversal SetupSilver’s explosive rally may be running out of steam — the July setup is screaming SELL.
📌 Using Vinnie’s Trading Cheat Code System, here’s the case:
✅ CC SELL confirmed near the 37.30 zone
✅ RSI Overbought printed — classic blow-off top conditions
✅ MACD rolling over + weakening momentum
✅ Price rejected cleanly from the top of trend channel
🎯 Bearish targets:
34.60 – first reaction zone / channel midpoint
32.80 – channel base and high-volume node
This is a prime setup for a mean reversion trade or trend reversal, depending on how July opens. Looking to build shorts into rallies.
🧠 Powered by:
Confirm Alerts
CC MACD Screener
RSI OB/OS Zones
Cheat Code Trend Indicator
Watch for continued weakness below 35.80 to confirm momentum shift.
"The Vault is Open!" - Time to Steal Silver Pips🔥 XAG/USD SILVER HEIST: Bearish Raid in Progress! (Short Setup) 🔥
🦹♂️ ATTENTION SILVER BANDITS!
To the Metals Mercenaries & Risk-Takers! 💰🔪
Using our 🔥Thief Trading Tactics🔥, we're executing a bearish raid on XAG/USD - this is not advice, just a strategic robbery plan for traders who play to win.
📉 THE SILVER VAULT BREAK-IN (SHORT ENTRY PLAN)
🎯 Loot Zone: 34.500 (or escape earlier if bulls fight back)
💣 High-Stakes Play: Perfect pullback to steal pips
👮♂️ Cop Trap: Where bulls get liquidated
🔪 ENTRY RULES:
"Vault Breach Confirmed!" - Strike at pullback to nearest swing high/low (15-30min TF)
Sell Limit Orders for optimal risk/reward
Aggressive? Enter at market but watch gold correlation
📌 SET ALERTS! Don't miss the rejection
🚨 STOP LOSS (Escape Plan):
Thief SL at 36.400 (Key swing level)
⚠️ Warning: "Ignore this SL? Enjoy donating to bulls."
🎯 TARGETS:
Main Take-Profit: 34.500
Scalpers: Ride the NY session momentum
🔍 WHY THIS HEIST WORKS
✅ Industrial demand slowing
✅ Dollar strength crushing metals
✅ ETF outflows accelerating
✅ Technical rejection at key level
🚨 RISK WARNING
Avoid FOMC/NFP periods (Silver loves volatility)
Trailing stops = your escape plan
💎 BOOST THIS HEIST!
👍 Smash Like to fund our next raid!
🔁 Share to build our thief army!
🤑 See you at 34.500, bandits!
⚖️ DISCLAIMER: Hypothetical scenario. Trade at your own risk.
#XAGUSD #SilverTrading #Commodities #ThiefTrading
💬 COMMENT: "Short already - or waiting for better entry?"* 👇🔥
SILVER Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 35.993
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 36.378
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Is the Uptrend Over? Critical Break on the Silver 1-Hour ChartHey everyone,
After the upward trend structure on XAGUSD broke down, the support level was breached, followed by a pullback. Because of this, my target level is 35.286.💬
Also, keep a close eye on key economic data releases on the fundamental side, as they could significantly influence your strategy.
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙