XAU/USD 15-19 Jan 2024 Weekly Analysis This is my weekly analysis for XAU/USD:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
-> Did not reach EQ.
As price has not yet reached 50% EQ and price is still in pullback phase in the premium swing/internal, therefore, I would be looking to short.
Price has rejected the Weekly weak Swing High but respected the weekly strong internal high.
Price wicked in excess of Weekly Swing high but failed to close above. This presumably was to sweep liquidity above the strong internal high.
Bullish pullback following bearish iBOS now most likely complete and will target weak internal low.
Bearish CHoCH will be the first indication that sweep of liquidity of internal high is confirmed bearish swing pullback has initiated.
As mentioned last week, request to LTF's would be to shift bearish.
Xau-usd
Gold - 4H bullish signalsHey everyone! Let's dive into what's going on with gold after the CPI news.
We saw a spike, followed by a channel formation. But after losing channel support, I'm expecting gold to enter a trading range, starting with the first pullback post-spike.
Notice how gold experienced three bearish pushes, each weaker and shallower than the last, barely breaking the previous lows.
So, what's next? I'm predicting a rise. This could be further fueled by the delay in rate cuts amid ongoing inflation and the looming recession.
XAUUSD H4 Triangle PatternEconomic Data:
US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP): Released on Friday, January 6th, the NFP report showed stronger-than-expected job growth, potentially raising concerns about inflation and future interest rate hikes. This could push investors towards the safe-haven gold, providing it with some support.
US Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Jan 11, 2024): Inflation remains a key concern, and a higher-than-expected CPI could boost the dollar and put downward pressure on gold.
Geopolitical Events:
Tensions between Russia and Ukraine: The ongoing conflict in Eastern Europe continues to be a source of uncertainty for financial markets. Any escalation in tensions could lead to a flight to safety and boost gold prices.
Weekly Forecast (Jan 8 to Jan 12) :
XAU/USD - H4 Chart - Triangle Formation
Price must need to break Triangle and Retest, then only able to take Entry.
Always wait for strong Conformation in Short term for entry. 👈👈👈
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Sell XAUUSD Bearish ChannelGold prices fell on Tuesday as the US dollar rebounded on renewed uncertainty about the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path.
The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of major currencies, rose 0.3%, making gold more expensive for international investors.
Some analysts believe that the Fed could take a more hawkish stance than previously expected, which would put downward pressure on gold prices.
thank you
GOLD breakout buy setupGold has been on a steep rise for the last weeks and I believe it is ready to break out the big resistance zone that is has been holding on to for a while now. I will be looking for a retest of this big zone and only then I will be looking for buy entries.
Let me know what you think!
Sell XAUUSD Bearish ChannelInvestors are awaiting key data releases like the upcoming U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report scheduled for Friday, which could influence both gold and the dollar.
NFP Report Key for Direction: The upcoming US NFP report on Friday is the main event for gold traders this week. A strong jobs report could boost the dollar and weigh on gold, while a weak reading could weaken the dollar and support gold prices.
Thank you.
Gold - 1H ascending channelAfter a bullish spike, I look for the formation of a channel to gauge the market's next move. It's a strategy that often reveals whether the initial surge is sustainable or just a temporary blip. In this chart, we see Gold forming an ascending channel post-spike, suggesting the uptrend may continue.
Gold | Short ideaGold is in a fierce downtrend and I am looking for more movement down. If gold gets rejected in this zone one more time I expect a reversal and a new low today! If that happens I will be looking for short positions! Their will be news coming out so watch out!
Let me know what you think!
SELL TRADE SETUP ON XAUUSDHey Traders,
Check out this technical analysis on XAUUSD.
XAUUSD is currently trading with bearish momentum, after breaking below the bullish trend line.
So anticipate a retest of the broken support level and consider entering SELL positions.
Keep a close eye on this; it could play out in either direction.
GOLD possible analysisPrice had previously formed liquidity above monthly and weekly resistance that held for quite some time. It was only until last week that price finally took the liquidity out with a massive wick, further failing to close above the last high on the higher time frame. It preceded reverse and broke structure on lower time frames, bringing about a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish trend. Price has just recently broke a third structure with momentum, leaving behind a beautiful 2h POI that lines up perfectly with the golden zone for extra confirmation. What i expect to see next is for price to retrace back into this supply zone, forming some form of liquidity in the process, to then use take out this liquidity and tap into our supply zone before pushing further down to take out internal range liquidity that was left behind during the previous push upwards.
XAUUSD D1 - Neutral XAUUSD D1
Last night, XAUUSD experienced a remarkable surge of +720 points as the markets unfolded, driven by a confluence of factors, previously mentioned above.
Notably, the XAUUSD markets are steadily advancing toward historic highs, and the market opening triggered a substantial influx of buying pressure, low volume causing such aggressive spikes, since we have corrected below market open price.
It’s going to be a tame day I imagine given such wild moves witnessed.