XAUUSD Play: Buy the Dip, Sell the Rip Gold (XAUUSD) Tactical Play: Intraday Long into 4H Premium, Then Position for Higher Timeframe Short
Higher Timeframe (4H + Daily Context) :
1. Daily Chart Bias :
Long-term bullish trend, but now expecting a mean reversion (correction) toward long-term averages (discount area).
2. Current Behaviour :
Price has aggressively rallied over the past weeks, but now it's likely moving into a larger correction phase.
3. 4H Structure :
- 4H Demand Zone (around 3,250–3,300) is still holding — price showed strong reactions after tapping it.
- 4H overall flow shifted bearish after a BOS, but internal structure inside 4H suggests a pullback toward premium levels.
Key Supply Zones Above:
• First Supply : 3,380.962 (4H + 15M alignment)
• Second Supply : 3,410.365 (strong 4H supply)
Internal Structure (15M) :
Current Observations:
1. 15M structure showed a CHoCH to the upside after tapping into the 4H demand — clear internal strength.
2. Entry zone marked in 15M purple zone (small demand refinement).
Expectation:
Price will retrace a little, tap the 15M purple zone, then push upward toward higher liquidity pools.
Targets for the Long Trade:
• First TP : The recent liquidity highs around 3,380.962 (first 4H supply).
• Second TP : 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) closer to 3,410.365.
Thanks for your Time..
Xauusdanalysis
The relationship between gold, copper and the US10YFirst, can you tell me what you think the relationship between these two curves is? Clearly, these two curves have a strong negative correlation, meaning they move exactly opposite to each other. You can see in the image that their behavior is like a mirror image (from 2007 to before 2022).
You are familiar with the gold-to-copper ratio, right? Now, when this gold-to-copper ratio curve rises, it means that gold is giving better returns compared to copper. This indicates that the global economy is moving away from growth and heading toward a recession. Investors, instead of investing in production (where copper symbolizes production), choose to invest in a safe haven like gold. The opposite happens when this curve goes down.
The lower curve represents the yield on long-term U.S. bonds. When this curve is rising, it means that the supply of bonds is greater than the demand. People are selling bonds, which causes the bond yield to rise. When the curve is falling, it means people are buying bonds, which causes the bond yield to drop.
Why do these two curves move in opposite directions?
Now, let’s get to the main question. The answer to this question is simple: bonds, like gold, serve as a safe haven for investors. When the economy moves toward a recession (when gold offers better returns than copper, and the gold-to-copper ratio is rising), some investors shift towards bonds, and the yield curve drops. That’s why these two curves move in opposite directions.
To summarize the entire story: Movement toward recession = investors moving toward gold and bonds = rise in the gold-to-copper ratio and drop in bond yield curve.
Now it’s clear why these two curves move opposite to each other. The big surprise is coming👇
Since the beginning of 2022, the historical trend has changed. These two curves have started to show a positive correlation! Meaning, everything I mentioned above has gone out the window! Now, the question is: What suddenly happened? There are several analyses, but I believe what changed is that U.S. bonds are no longer a safe haven for investors, as they once were (the same fear signal I mentioned earlier). In fact, after the pandemic, the world has never been the same. This is an important development and it affects many things. I’ve addressed this topic from various perspectives before, and here’s a new angle on it.
For the past two to three years, contrary to the historical trend, investors have been buying gold but selling bonds, and these two curves have been rising together.
As you can see, the analytical situation has changed drastically compared to, say, 10 years ago, and many fundamental facts have shifted. For instance, many people expect the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates and gold to go up again, but after an initial short shock, the story will probably reverse.
#Gold #XAUUSD #HG1!
XAU/USD 28 April - 02 May 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025.
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line.
The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Since my last weekly analysis price has printed a
further bullish iBOS.
Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high.
CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue horizontal dotted line.
First indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation is for price to print bearish CHoCH.
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and the repricing of Gold.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
Gold in April is worthy of being written into history!!!The gold price trend in April can only be described as extreme and crazy, with a single day's volatility equivalent to half a month or even a month in the past.
At the beginning of April, gold started at $3,130 and fell to a low of $2,957. With the outbreak of the tariff war, gold prices rose all the way, with frenzied weekly gains. Finally, after hitting a peak of $3,500 last week, it began to plummet sharply, dropping to the current $3,318.
After the tariffs between the United States and China were gradually escalated, there was once news of a relaxation this week. However, Trump threatened over the weekend that he would not lift the tariffs on China unless China made substantial concessions, which may support the gold bulls.
In the constantly fluctuating market trading, we need to have enough patience to wait for suitable entry points and avoid chasing rises or cutting losses in panic.
Oscillatory tradingA conflict has broken out between India and Pakistan in the Kashmir region, and attention should be paid to whether the situation will escalate. This is a geopolitical event with a greater influence than the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The combined total population of Russia and Ukraine is less than 200 million, while the total population of India and Pakistan exceeds 1.6 billion! At the same time, pay attention to the dynamics of the Federal Reserve, the peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, the negotiations between the United States and Iran, as well as the situations involving Israel and Palestine, and Syria, etc. There was a large explosion at a port in Iran, leaving hundreds of people injured and dozens dead.
In view of the tariff remarks made by Trump on our country over the weekend, it has provided support for the gold bulls. The conflict between India and Pakistan and the explosion at the Iranian port have also provided support for gold. Therefore, there is a pattern that the gold price in the Boya market is likely to rise on next Monday. As for whether the decline pattern can continue after the rise, before this pattern is broken, we should assume the continuation, and adjust our thinking once it is broken. After this week's large-scale fluctuations in the gold market, next week the price is inclined to rise sharply at first and then fall back. However, considering the fundamental news, the gold bulls have a greater advantage. In fact, there is some contradiction between the fundamentals and the technical aspects! Therefore, in terms of operation, with such large-scale fluctuations, there are opportunities for both long and short positions, but neither long nor short positions should be chased blindly.
If the gold market opens normally on Monday morning, we can first take a long position. If it gaps up, do not chase the rise. Pay attention to the resistance level and consider taking a short position. If the price falls, as long as the support level between 3260 and 3270 is not broken, a long position can still be taken. Once this support level is broken, implement risk control and consider following the short position in the direction of the trend!
If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
GOLD WEEKLY - Key Events to Watch: ADP, Core PCE, Non-Farm📌 Weekly Gold Outlook – Key Events to Watch: ADP, Core PCE, Non-Farm Payrolls 📉📈
🌍 Fundamental Overview
Last week, gold faced heavy selling pressure after failing to sustain its rally above the $3,450 level. Easing concerns over the US–China trade tensions and a stronger US Dollar — supported by stronger-than-expected Durable Goods Orders — triggered a sharp correction in Price.
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to adopt a cautious stance, awaiting clearer economic data before adjusting its monetary policy. Meanwhile, recent figures from both the US and China show signs of economic resilience, reducing safe-haven demand for gold in the short term.
Key Events This Week:
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Core PCE Price Index m/m
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
Volatility is expected to rise sharply as these major economic indicators are released.
📊 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD 2H Chart
Gold is currently undergoing a corrective phase after its strong rally earlier this month. Price is forming a descending channel and consolidating around critical support and resistance zones.
Immediate Resistance: 3,325 – 3,377
Immediate Support: 3,275 – 3,235
As long as Price remains capped below 3,325, the bearish bias will remain dominant.
🧩 Main Scenarios for This Week
Short-Term Rebound:
Price may retest the 3,275–3,277 area before sellers regain control.
Medium-Term Bearish Pressure:
If Price fails to reclaim the 3,325 resistance zone, it could break lower toward 3,235, 3,197, and potentially deeper into the 3,108 or 3,066 liquidity zones.
Bullish Reversal Scenario:
A sustained breakout and close above 3,377 would invalidate the bearish outlook and suggest a move toward the 3,420 target.
🔍 Key Price Zones for This Week
Resistance: 3,325 → 3,377 → 3,420
Support: 3,275 → 3,235 → 3,197 → 3,108 → 3,066
🧠 Suggested Trading Strategy
Prefer short positions when Price retraces toward the 3,275 – 3,325 resistance zone, aiming for downside targets at 3,235 and 3,197.
Be cautious with long positions: only consider buying if Price drops deeply into 3,108 or 3,066 and shows strong support reaction.
⚡ Note:
Given the upcoming releases of ADP, Core PCE, and Non-Farm Payrolls, the market is expected to experience significant volatility.
Stay disciplined and await detailed intra-week updates around key event times.
Trump's remarks may cause a stir in gold
💲Let's comment on the price of gold next week from April 28, 2025 to May 2, 2025
🌐World situation
Earlier, it was reported that China has exempted some US goods from tariffs, a development that has suppressed the safe-haven appeal of gold.
But on the 25th, US President Trump told reporters on Air Force One that unless China makes substantial concessions, it will not cancel the tariffs imposed on China. Over the past week, the US has continued to send confusing and even contradictory signals on the issue of tariffs on China, and market sentiment has deteriorated.
On the 26th, after a brief meeting between US President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelensky in the Vatican, both sides also sent "positive" signals.
Will the Russian-Ukrainian conflict usher in a turning point?
The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces reported later that day that fighting in the Kursk region was still ongoing. The Ukrainian army held its ground and used a variety of weapons to carry out effective firepower strikes on the enemy, causing losses to the Russian army. The Ukrainian General Staff stressed that the Ukrainian troops were not surrounded and that Russia's statement on the end of hostilities in the region was "purely propaganda in nature." The Ukrainian General Staff also said that fighting by the Ukrainian army in local areas of Belgorod Oblast is still ongoing.
The escalation of the India-Pakistan conflict may also increase safe-haven buying of gold.
📊Comment Analysis
Earlier this week, investors withdrew $1.27 billion from the SPDR Gold Shares ETF, the largest single-day outflow since 2011. At the same time, gold prices hit an all-time high above $3,500, suggesting that there may be some profit-taking factors. In 2011, similar outflows coincided with the peak of gold's last super cycle, marking the beginning of a long period of consolidation for gold, which was not broken until 2020. But this does not guarantee that this will be a turning point, and there are still many positive factors at work, including trade uncertainty, safe-haven demand, central bank demand, and Wall Street's calls for further increases in spot gold prices.
Next week, the gold market will welcome the release of the World Gold Council's first quarter "Gold Demand Trends" report. In addition, US President Trump's 100th day rally on Tuesday may become an important window for gold prices to choose to test the 3,500 mark again or continue to fall from 3,300.
🔷Technical aspect:
Based on the resistance and support levels of gold prices in the H4 framework, Labaron has identified the following important key areas:
Resistance: $3357, $3498
Support: $3228, $3155
✔Operational suggestions
Short-term trading:
Bearish strategy:
If the gold price rebounds to the range of $3,330-3,350, you can try to short, with a target of $3,250 and a stop loss of $3,355.
Bullish strategy:
If the gold price holds the support of $3,260, you can go long with a light position, with a target of $3,330 and a stop loss of $3,240.
Long-term investors: Pay attention to the Fed's policy trends and geopolitical situation. If the gold price falls back to below $3,200, consider investing in batches.
💥Risk Warning
Liquidity risk: Market trading may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified.
Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly announce tariff policies or personnel changes at the Fed, triggering violent market fluctuations.
Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near $3,350, so be wary of reversals after inducing more.
Summary:
Next week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, Fed policies and the trend of the US dollar, and the expected fluctuation range is $3,250-3,350. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust strategies flexibly.
XAUUSD is ready to FALL below ? 3100through my weekly Episode multitime frame analysis , you will get deep insights .
Market in on rising channel since last year and did not respect the 2900 milestone after breaking it.
is it the time to retracement?
our eyes will be at 2980 milestone on this next 2weekly candles.
if market again surpass 3360 then ready for the next new ATH above 3500.
secondly if any h4,D1 close below 3360 stay bearish side and our setup
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Tariffs have not eased. How will gold trend in the future?Spot gold fell nearly 1% on Friday to close at 3316.26. Earlier this week, gold rose to a record high of 3500. After Trump's statement on tariffs eased, the market rose to 3500 and investors chose to close their long positions. The lowest gold price this week fell to around 3260.
At the moment when tariffs are deadlocked, any remarks made by Trump on tariffs have not reduced the risk of the market, but increased the uncertainty of the market. Next week, the gold market will usher in the World Gold Council's first quarter "Gold Demand Trends" report. In addition, next week's gathering of Trump's 100th day in office may become an important window for gold prices to choose to test the 3500 mark again or continue to fall from 3300.
This week, the international gold price as a whole showed a high and then fell, with the opening price at $3332.96, the highest price at $3499.92, the lowest price at $3260.2, and the closing price at $3316.2. After such a pattern appears, it indicates that the gold cycle will face violent fluctuations.
Quide's analysis:
If international news helps short selling, it is possible for gold to fall to 3100 or fall below 3000. Therefore, we should remain vigilant next week and pay close attention to the geopolitical situation and news such as tariffs, so as to make a buying or selling decision for next week.
At present, the Bollinger Bands continue to close, and the short-term market continues to maintain a range consolidation until the Bollinger Bands reopen and choose a new direction.
Before the upward and downward ranges are broken, the intraday short-term operation adopts the range high-altitude low-multiple operation.
There is currently no international news and comments that can analyze the trading signals for next week; Quide will pay attention to news and comments that may affect the trend of the gold market at any time, so as to bring analysis and strategies to everyone at any time.
Every calm analysis by Quaid is a step towards success. In the gold market, please trust Quaid's professional analysis. It can help you stand at the top of the gold trading market.
Golden three-game winning streak, next week’s market?Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to be short, but after gold bottomed out at first-line support near 3265, gold rebounded to more than 50 US dollars. So is this rebound a reversal? Not sure yet, because the fluctuations are basically around 100 US dollars every day, and a rebound of 50 US dollars can hardly be called a reversal. The strength of next week is the key.
If gold does not rebound very strongly next week, then gold will still fluctuate and be bearish. The resistance of the 1-hour moving average above gold is near 3354, and the top of the negative line of gold on Friday is near 3352. If there is no effective breakthrough of these two positions next week, it will still be a fluctuating and bearish trend.
Gold Uptrend ContinuesThe higher degree diametric wave-(E) is expanding and we can consider the recent price correction that started at $3167 as a small X-wave, as a result, gold can grow as a combination pattern to the range of 3600-3800 and even gold can touch $4000.
The second triangle pattern will probably be a neutral triangle or a reverse contracting triangle, where the wave-(a) triangle can end at 3500 or 3600.
The factor that caused the expansion of the wave-(E) is the US-China trade war, which caused investors to rush to buy gold.
Gold Trend Weekly Review Operation strategy layout for next weekWhat news has recently affected the trend of gold and crude oil? How to judge the future market of gold bulls and bears?
Spot gold fell nearly 1% on Friday, closing at 3316.26. Although the price of gold finally closed above 3300 this week, the trend of gold prices this week can be described as ups and downs. The intraday transactions fluctuated by nearly $100 many times. Under the situation of trade tensions, the market was risk-averse, pushing the price of gold above 3500. After Trump's unilateral statement on tariffs eased, coupled with the 3500 mark, investors closed their long positions, and the lowest price of gold fell to around 3260 during the week. At the moment when tariffs were deadlocked, any remarks made by Trump on tariffs did not reduce the risk of the market, but increased the uncertainty of the market and the volatility of gold prices. So far this year, gold has risen by more than 25%. Trump's repeated changes in his criticism of Powell this week are also a major factor driving the sharp fluctuations in gold prices. U.S. President Trump said on Monday that the U.S. economy may slow down unless interest rates are lowered immediately, and criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell again. Powell said that interest rates should not be cut until it is clearer that Trump's tariff plan will not lead to a sustained surge in inflation.
The ADP employment report, known as the "small non-farm", will also be released next Wednesday, along with the latest PCE inflation and consumption data. The crucial core PCE price index is expected to rise 0.1% month-on-month in March, and the year-on-year growth rate will slow from the previous value of 2.8% to 2.5%; personal consumption is expected to maintain a month-on-month increase of 0.4%, indicating that US household consumption remains strong. However, the real focus will be the non-farm payrolls report scheduled for release next Friday, and speculation is currently very intense about when the Fed will cut interest rates. Non-farm payrolls growth is expected to slow from 228,000 in March to 130,000 in April, and the unemployment rate remains unchanged at 4.2%. Average wages may increase by 0.3% month-on-month in April. The disappointing non-farm payrolls, coupled with weak core PCE data, may reinforce expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in June rather than July, but for May, the market generally expects the Fed to remain on hold. From a macro-trend perspective, gold is still in an upward trend, as real yields may continue to fall against the backdrop of the Fed's accommodative policy. But in the short term, if positive news about tariffs continues to come, gold prices may fall further as the market is re-adjusting expectations. In the long run, structural positive factors still exist, and emerging markets have further room for adjustment in the composition of foreign exchange reserves, and may gradually move closer to the reserve structure of developed countries in the future. Fed officials said they are not in a hurry to adjust monetary policy, and further observation is still needed to determine how the Trump administration's tariff policy affects the US economy.
Analysis of gold market trends next Monday:
Gold technical analysis: From the performance of the daily chart, the recent trend of gold prices has shown a high consolidation trend, with a significant correction from the high point near $3,500. After hitting the low point of the week, the gold price rebounded to a certain extent, but the rebound strength was blocked near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (about 3368-3370 US dollars), which has now become an important short-term resistance. The opening trend of the gold market on Friday was like yesterday. The upward mode started in the Asian session, rising all the way to around 3370 US dollars. However, it encountered strong resistance here and then turned downward and started to fall. It is worth noting that on Friday, the gold price not only failed to break through this key resistance level, but also fell below the low point hit by the European and American sessions yesterday, and rebounded after reaching the lowest point of 3265 US dollars.
From the current market structure, the position of 3260 US dollars has become the focus of the market. Investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it effectively falls below, the short trend will be further strengthened, and the market may usher in a deeper adjustment. From the current situation, there are two Yins enclosing Yangs, so the adjustment will continue at the beginning of next week; of course, this adjustment can be replaced by sideways trading, which means that it is not ruled out that it will run back and forth in the 3260-3370 range. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold next Monday is to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3368-3370 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3265-3260 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operations. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market conditions.
> "Gold (XAU/USD) - Demand Zone Bounce Targeting 3500 "Current Price: $3,319.59
Indicator: 70 EMA at $3,324.95 ➡️ 📈 (still slightly above price = bearish pressure)
---
Main Observations:
🔵 Demand Zone (📦 Buyers' Area):
Between $3,253 - $3,280
Every time price dips here ➡️ buyers react!
✏️ Descending Trendline:
⬇️ Short-term trend is bearish
Price is trying to break above it now (watch closely!)
🎯 Target Point:
$3,500 🏹 (Big upside if breakout succeeds!)
🛡️ Stop-Loss:
$3,253 🔥 (just below the demand zone = good protection)
Trade Idea:
✅ Buy near demand zone 🔵 after breakout confirmation 📈
✅ Target: $3,500 🎯
✅ Stop-Loss: $3,253 🛡️
Quick Dots Summary:
🔵 Demand zone is strong (buyers defending)
🔻 Still under 70 EMA (bearish until breakout)
✏️ Watching for breakout of trendline = key signal
🎯 Massive Risk:Reward ratio if it works
⚡ If no breakout and price falls, stop-loss saves capital.
Will the gold market cool down after the easing of tariffs betweIf you want to use one word to describe the performance of the global financial market in the 2025 quarter, then in addition to the roller coaster, there is another word that will be particularly applicable: "safe haven is king".
After Trump launched the tariff storm, this directly pushed the gold price to a historical high, setting the strongest quarterly performance since 1986; and the increase in tariffs led to frequent surges in gold, and after the tariffs were eased, gold also experienced a sharp correction, and this week's gold market was very lively. The price of gold is like a roller coaster ride, making countless investors love and hate it.
Quaid's analysis:
Gold is adjusted in the short term, and it is still bullish in the long term.
In the short term, the US has a high voice for trade negotiations, the market risk appetite has rebounded, and Trump has forced the Federal Reserve to slow down. The independence of the Federal Reserve has been temporarily maintained. The short-term upward trend of gold prices may be weak, and the medium- and long-term bullish trend has not changed. The price adjustment space is also limited. In the short term, it is expected that the gold price will be mainly volatile and consolidated. Continue to pay attention to the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations and Trump's policy trends.
The long-term bullish view remains unchanged; the expectation of stagflation in the United States and the increase in the probability of recession if the Federal Reserve continues not to cut interest rates are the logic of medium-term bullish gold, and the continued cycle of US dollar credit contraction is the core support for long-term bullish gold.
There is no international explosive news for the weekend, and Donald Trump has not made any radical remarks for the time being. Quaid has no operational suggestions for the time being, and can only analyze based on the market trading situation this week. I hope to help everyone understand the current market situation and long-term analysis.
Quaid will continue to pay attention to international news and Mr. President's remarks in order to bring you real-time market analysis and suggestions at any time.
#XAUUSD: We are up 1040+ pips from our previous setup! Gold has risen from 3268 to 3364, helping us make substantial positive gains. However, after reaching the $3364 region, the price dropped around 3310 and has since been fluctuating between 3310 and 3340, making it challenging to trade. There’s a possibility that the price might touch 3400 once again before it drops.
Good luck and trade safely.
Thanks for your support! 😊
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Gold (XAUUSD) 4H Chart AnalysisGold (XAUUSD) 4H Chart Analysis – Textbook Reversal Setup Unfolding 📈✨
Traders, let's break down what's happening on the Gold 4-hour chart right now because this is a very high-probability setup you’ll want on your radar.
🧠 What We're Seeing:
After a strong bullish rally, Gold topped around $3,500, followed by a sharp corrective move downward.
Price retraced back into a key demand zone (highlighted by the big black rectangle), where we are seeing repeated price rejections and buying pressure coming back in.
Notice how price respected this demand zone multiple times, forming a double-bottom-like structure — this indicates that bulls are actively defending this area.
We are also seeing a minor break of structure on lower timeframes (small bullish impulse inside the box), which is an early sign that momentum might be shifting back to the upside.
🛡 Key Levels:
Demand Zone: $3,260 – $3,280
Immediate Support: $3,280
Current Price: Around $3,319
Next Major Resistance: The previous highs near $3,500
📈 Trading Outlook:
As long as the price holds above the $3,260–$3,280 zone, the bias remains bullish.
We are looking for a breakout confirmation (higher highs and higher lows) to confirm momentum before loading up heavier.
Targeting a full recovery back towards $3,500 in the coming sessions.
🎯 Trading Plan:
Entry Area: Dips near the $3,280 support zone.
Stop-Loss: Below the demand zone (around $3,250 for safety).
Take-Profits: TP1: $3,400 TP2: $3,460 TP3: $3,500 (full recovery)
🔥 Key Takeaway:
This is a classic buy-the-dip setup inside a major bullish structure.
The risk-reward is extremely attractive at these levels — the market is offering an opportunity for those who are prepared.
Stay patient, wait for confirmations, and execute the plan smartly.
Let’s get ready to capitalize on this move! 🚀
And follow me for more analysis
Gold ended successfully, Where will the market go next week?The idea of keeping gold short at a high level is that after the winning streak of gold ended, gold continued to fluctuate in a narrow range. If there is no opportunity, then it will end early and rest. After all, it is Friday. After a hard week, it is time to rest. The news on the weekend has changed a lot, and it is full of uncertainty. Gold rebounded again in the second half of the night, which seems to be strong, but has gold reversed? It is too early to say now.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to be short, but after gold bottomed out at the first-line support near 3265, gold rebounded by more than 50 US dollars. Is this rebound a reversal? Not necessarily, because now it basically fluctuates by about 100 US dollars every day, and it is hard to say that a rebound of 50 US dollars is a reversal. The strength of next week is the key. If the rebound of gold next week is not very strong, then gold will still fluctuate and be short. The resistance of the 1-hour moving average above gold is near 3354, and the top of the negative line of gold on Friday is near 3352. If there is no effective breakthrough of these two positions next week, it will still be a fluctuating and short trend.
The weekly line of gold is also a shooting star with a long upper shadow at a high level. If there is no big bullish news to support gold in the short term, gold will be under pressure at a high level in the short term, and the daily line is also down from a high level without a strong counterattack. On the whole, there is still room for adjustment in the short term for gold.
The market is changing rapidly and confusing. Sometimes we cannot be confused by the illusion in front of us. Only by not being afraid of the clouds blocking our eyes can we see clearly behind the market. Before gold reverses, it is still bearish in the short term. It is light to follow the trend and messy to go against the trend. The market is always right. Going against the market will eventually be taught a lesson by the market. Don't have any fluke mentality in the face of the trend. The market will not forgive your mistakes again and again.
Next week's operation ideas: short gold 3350-60, target 3310-3300;
Gold fluctuates in a range and corrects sideways! Trend AnalysisAnalysis of gold market trends next Monday:
Technical analysis of gold: From the performance of the daily chart, the recent trend of gold prices has shown a high consolidation trend, and there has been a significant correction from the high point near $3,500. After hitting the low point of the week, the gold price rebounded to a certain extent, but the rebound strength was blocked near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (about $3,368-3,370), which has now become an important short-term resistance. The opening trend of the gold market on Friday was like Thursday, and the Asian session started to pull up and rise all the way to around $3,370. However, it encountered strong resistance here, and then turned downward and started to fall. It is worth noting that today's gold price not only failed to break through this key resistance level, but also fell below the low point hit by yesterday's European and American sessions, and rebounded after reaching a minimum of $3,265.
From the current market structure, the position of $3,260 has become the focus of the market, and investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it effectively breaks, the bearish trend will be further strengthened, and the market may usher in a deeper adjustment. From the current form, there are two Yins enveloping Yangs, so the adjustment will continue at the beginning of next week; of course, this adjustment can be replaced by sideways trading, which means that it is not ruled out that it will run back and forth in the 3260-3380 range. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold next Monday is recommended to be mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3368-3370, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3265-3260. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market conditions.
Reference for gold operation strategy next Monday: Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3368-3370, target near 3300-3285, and look at the 3260 line when it breaks.
Strategy 2: Go long on gold when it pulls back to around 3265-3270, target around 3290-3330, and look at the 3370 line if it breaks.
4/25 Gold Trading StrategyYesterday’s long position strategy performed well—whether you closed your trades or continue to hold, the returns have been solid. Gold has now risen to the 3370 level, and technically, there's still room for further upside.
There is some selling pressure near 3370. If price breaks through decisively, we should watch for further resistance in the 3380–3400 zone. If bullish strength weakens, a pullback to 3368–3352 could occur.
If the market dips first, the 3345–3328 range is a key support area. A slow, corrective pullback to this zone could offer another buying opportunity. However, if the decline is sharp, we must monitor whether 3306–3288 can hold as a firm bottom.
From a trend perspective, I personally lean toward the possibility of gold pushing above 3400 today. Stay long-biased, but be flexible with high-level adjustments.
🔁Trading Recommendations:
Sell in the 3410–3440 range
Buy in the 3306–3288 range
Use 3380–3348 / 3328–3368 for flexible, intraday swing trades
GOLD → Gold Market Forecast and AnalysisFor most of the period from 2025 to now, gold prices have risen almost continuously, hitting new all-time highs. Since October 2022, gold prices have almost doubled, rising by more than 25% in 2025 alone, reaching a new all-time high of $3,500 per ounce on April 22. The $4,000 price level, once considered untouchable, is now openly discussed in trading halls around the world.
The easing of global tensions, especially between the United States and China or in Eastern Europe, could significantly reduce safe-haven demand.
While this is not the base case for 2025, it is still an unexpected risk that traders must consider. In fact, gold prices have retreated from recent highs after US President Trump hinted that tariffs on China might be reduced.
The sharp rise in gold prices increases the possibility of a correction. If the upward momentum slows, profit-taking could trigger a rapid and violent sell-off. As with any parabolic rise, volatility is inevitable; prices often experience a short-term downward trend before setting new all-time highs. Traders with short-term strategies should be aware of such price declines and practice risk management: avoid large trades, set stop-losses, and diversify their portfolios.
Quaid wants to say:
Opportunities always come to those who dare to act. Be bold in the gold market, and the next winner will be you, my friend.
Gold ended it cycle or not from elliote wave prspective?Hello traders
Alot of Elliote advisor see the curent move of gold as 5 wave and ending of big cycle
While other specially the neowave one donot agree with them and they pointing 4700 as target!
My oponion is close to old school elliotisian who see the market should rest for while before its next movement.
What do you think about it?