XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is holding above the $3,369 level after rejecting from the $3,387 resistance zone. Price action remains bullish for now, with structure supported by the rising 50MA, which is acting as dynamic support.
To extend higher, bulls need a clean break and hold above $3,387, which would open the path toward $3,422 next.
If price fails to hold above $3,369, we could see a pullback into the $3,358–$3,344 zone, which remains the first key support. Below that, the next area of interest is the Pullback Zone at $3,329–$3,313 — a former resistance turned support, and a likely area for dip-buying interest.
A break below that would shift focus to the Secondary Support Zone at $3,295–$3,281, where price last launched its breakout.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,387 ‣ $3,422
Support:
‣ $3,369 ‣ $3,358‣ $3,344‣ $3,329–$3,313‣ $3,295–$3,281
🔎Fundamental Focus:
No high-impact data today, but markets may remain reactive.
Xauusdanalysis
Gold is waiting to break through near the dense pressure rangeGold (XAU/USD) prices fell slightly during Wednesday's Asian trading session, retreating to around $3,370, snapping a four-day winning streak. Previously, gold prices had hit a nearly two-week high on Tuesday.
Gold's recent rally was driven by the Federal Reserve's policy outlook and safe-haven flows, but a recent shift in market sentiment toward optimism and a slight rebound in the US dollar index have put downward pressure on gold prices.
Risk assets generally rose, including a rebound in Nasdaq futures, temporarily cooling demand for safe-haven assets. Furthermore, the dollar's slight rebound also put pressure on non-interest-bearing gold.
Weak US data heightened economic concerns, supporting expectations of a rate cut this year.
Last Friday's weaker-than-expected US non-farm payroll data, coupled with Tuesday's release of the July ISM Services PMI, which fell to a multi-month low of 50.1, have fueled market concerns about the US economic outlook.
"Both the weak employment index and new orders suggest weakening momentum in the services sector, further strengthening the likelihood of a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve," analysts noted.
The market currently expects the Federal Reserve to implement a 25 basis point interest rate cut at its September policy meeting, with the possibility of a total rate cut exceeding 50 basis points this year. While this expectation has dampened dollar bullish sentiment and provided support for gold, the optimistic stock market sentiment has weakened gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
In trade-related news, the US President announced a new round of tariffs on imported semiconductors and pharmaceuticals, accelerating the pace of tariffs on areas such as automobiles, steel, and aluminum.
This move has heightened market concerns about global supply chain risks, maintaining cautious investor sentiment and potentially providing safe-haven support for gold in the medium term.
From a technical perspective, gold prices encountered clear resistance before reaching the $3,400 mark and failed to break through, shifting into a short-term consolidation pattern.
The 4-hour chart shows that gold found support at the 100-period simple moving average (around $3,350) and rebounded, indicating that bulls are still trying to maintain the initiative.
"Currently, hourly and daily oscillators remain positive, but if gold fails to hold above $3,400, it is likely to remain volatile in the short term," market participants noted.
Upward resistance lies at the key resistance zones of $3,400 and $3,430, respectively. A break above this would open an upward trend, targeting the all-time high of $3,500 reached in April.
Initial support lies at $3,350. A break below this would target the intermediate support of $3,322 and the $3,300 mark. A further break below this level could test the one-month low of $3,268.
Although gold prices are currently under short-term pressure, they remain supported in the medium term amidst a slowing US economy, rising expectations of interest rate cuts, and ongoing potential trade frictions. In the short term, the price is expected to fluctuate around the $3,400 level. Focus on speeches by Federal Reserve officials and next week's US CPI data, which may provide new direction for gold. OANDA:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD FX:XAUUSD
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 6, 2025📊
________________________________________
🔍 Momentum Analysis
• D1 Timeframe:
Daily momentum is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal. However, we need to wait for today’s candle to close to confirm the signal. While waiting for confirmation, price may still experience a minor upward move on lower timeframes, but the current bullish momentum is weak and unlikely to extend far.
• H4 Timeframe:
Momentum is also preparing to reverse. We need to observe the current H4 candle for confirmation. Notably, the reversal signal is forming just below the overbought zone, suggesting there may be one more upward push before a potential decline.
• H1 Timeframe:
Momentum is approaching the oversold zone. It may take 1–2 more bearish candles before a short-term bullish rebound occurs.
________________________________________
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update
Yesterday’s bullish move was disappointing — instead of pushing directly to the 3402 or 3419 target zones to complete Wave 5, price only broke slightly above 3385 before reversing. This behavior complicates wave analysis by introducing conflicting possibilities.
We currently consider two main scenarios:
Scenario 1: Wave 5 is not yet complete
• Given that D1 momentum is preparing to reverse downward, it’s unlikely that the current move is Wave 1 of Wave 5. A more likely scenario is that Wave 3 of Wave 5 has completed and price is currently in Wave 4.
• The current corrective structure has stopped at the 0.382 Fibonacci level. As long as price remains above 3370 (the 0.5 Fib level), this strengthens the case for a Wave 4 retracement before another leg up in Wave 5.
• Since bullish strength appears limited, we now focus on two main target zones for Wave 5: 3395 and 3402, instead of the previous high at 3419.
Scenario 2: Full 5-wave structure is complete – now in correction
• If the 5-wave pattern has already finished, the current decline marks the beginning of a corrective phase.
• With current momentum conditions, this is still a viable scenario. However, due to the remaining upside possibility, we recommend waiting for today’s D1 candle to confirm momentum before taking any trade.
________________________________________
📌 Trade Plan
For experienced traders:
• Wait for price to reach the 3395–3402 zones.
• Look for reversal signals in those areas to enter short positions.
Suggested trade plan for newer traders:
• Sell Zone: 3395 – 3398
• Stop Loss: 3408
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3385
o TP2: 3370
o TP3: 3349
________________________________________
✅ Note:
This trade plan should be reassessed after today’s D1 candle closes for confirmation of the momentum shift.
8/6: Watch for a Potential Double Top FormationGood morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold experienced its first significant supply pressure around the 3386 level, but with support near 3350—helped by positive data—prices rebounded and climbed back toward 3390, resulting in solid overall gains.
From the 1-day chart (1D) perspective, the technical structure remains bullish, with MA20 providing firm support. Although short-term moving averages are currently converging, the overall bias remains towards a bullish divergence, suggesting further upside potential. There's a possibility for price to test the 3400–3420 zone in today’s session.
That said, the 3386–3398 region may still pose minor selling pressure, although it is not expected to be particularly strong. Key intraday support is seen in the 3378/3372–3362 range. If the market encounters another wave of heavy selling that damages the daily bullish setup, then the 3343–3348 area will become a critical battleground between bulls and bears.
📌 Trading Strategy for Today:
Maintain a sell-on-strength approach, especially if prices approach the 3418–3438 resistance area, where short opportunities become more attractive;
If a pullback occurs, monitor the aforementioned support zones for potential buy-on-dip opportunities, contingent on stability.
⚠️ Market Risk Reminder:
There will be key economic speeches during the US session, which could trigger heightened volatility. Ensure proper risk management and stop-loss settings are in place.
"Gold on Fire! Smart Money Bulls Aiming for Final Target🟡 "Gold on Fire! Smart Money Bulls Aiming for Final Target
Overview:
The XAUUSD chart presents a clear smart money structure, showing a bullish recovery from a strong demand zone and a current move toward a significant supply (resistance) area.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Strong Support Zone
The price reacted powerfully from the well-marked strong support zone (~3,260), aligned with a previous Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and BOS (Break of Structure), confirming bullish intent.
Bullish Market Structure
A clean CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed the end of the previous bearish leg.
Multiple BOS followed, solidifying the bullish shift in momentum.
Liquidity Grab & Price Expansion
Price swept equal lows (EQL) and mitigated bullish FVG, collecting sell-side liquidity before reversing.
The breakout pushed toward the current level of ~3,380, targeting the Buy-Side Liquidity zone and resistance.
Resistance & Fair Value Gap
The final target is aligned at 3,427.83, situated inside a high-probability bearish FVG and resistance zone.
This area previously rejected price (noted with the red circle), making it a critical supply zone.
Partial Target Hit
Price has already achieved half of the projected move, indicating bullish strength and proper SMC execution.
The current consolidation near the mid-level suggests accumulation or re-accumulation before a final push toward the target.
📈 Educational Notes:
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) highlight inefficiencies in price delivery. These zones often act as magnets for price and reversal points, as seen here.
Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) are crucial for identifying trend shifts. This chart reflects a textbook bullish transition.
Liquidity concepts (EQL, Buy-Side) emphasize institutional behavior. Price often hunts liquidity before moving to new highs or lows.
✅ Conclusion:
XAUUSD is playing out a well-structured bullish smart money setup, with price currently in mid-path toward the final target. Traders should monitor reactions at the 3,427 resistance zone, which will be critical for potential reversal or continuation scenarios.
XAUUSD The beginning of large-scale growthCurrent picture and structure
The instrument is trading in a narrow range of $3,360-3,375, demonstrating low volatility - ADX is at the low of 2025, which confirms consolidation
The price is held inside a long-term ascending channel, with an increase of about 27% since the beginning of 2024
Indicators and signals
RSI (14): around 58-59, indicates moderate overbought, but remains in the bullish momentum zone
Stochastic (%K ~61%) and MACD (value ~3.8): Buy signals - short-term upward momentum is confirmed
ADX (14): around 23-24 - range, weak trend without a clear direction
Moving averages on different timeframes give a common signal indicator "Strong Buy" in daily and weekly frames
Support and resistance levels
Key support:
$3,360 — current lower stop range
$3,330–3,293 — swing low zone, critical for short-term sales
Main resistance:
$3,400–3,415 — profit acceptance zone and possible reversal pressure
$3,450 — psychological and technical barrier upon breakout of current zone
Gold rebounded near the key support level of $3,350.Spot gold edged higher during the US trading session after finding strong support near $3,350, reversing an earlier pullback. During the European trading session, gold prices briefly dipped due to improved risk appetite and a slight rise in US Treasury yields, failing to extend Monday's rebound. However, buyers stepped in near the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), pushing prices back from the day's low. The continued weakness of the US dollar, fueled by market confidence in a September Federal Reserve rate cut, supported gold's rebound.
Spot gold struggled to extend last week's rebound and is currently hovering around $3,350.
Last week, gold broke below an ascending triangle pattern, briefly hitting a one-month low, before finding support above the 100-day simple moving average (SMA), suggesting continued bearishness.
Currently, gold is trading slightly above the 50-day SMA, providing immediate support, followed by the 100-day SMA. Further declines could lead to targets near $3,275 and $3,200.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is in neutral territory around 55, indicating a lack of clear momentum. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator shows a golden cross with the DIFF crossing the DEA, and the MACD-histogram is positive, indicating accumulating bullish momentum. However, the overall reading is low, and further upward momentum is needed. A sustained golden cross and a larger candlestick pattern would be bullish.
On the upside, if bulls can reclaim the bottom of the broken triangle and decisively push above $3,380, the market could potentially move towards $3,450, or even revisit the all-time high. PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
XAUUSD 4H – Massive Sell Setup: Gold Crash Incoming? Gold (XAUUSD) just tapped into a key liquidity zone near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $3,364, followed by a sharp rejection. This aligns with the upper channel resistance and a bearish confluence from previous supply zones.
Price has failed to break above the dynamic EMA cluster and is showing signs of exhaustion after a relief rally. If momentum follows through, this could mark the beginning of a deeper selloff targeting major downside levels.
Short Setup
Entry: Around $3,349–$3,364 (rejection zone)
SL: Above $3,379
🚨Strong bearish engulfing candle confirms seller pressure
🎯 Take Profit Targets (Fibonacci):
TP1: $3,305 (38.2%)
TP2: $3,275 (61.8%)
TP3: $3,241 (Full move – 100% Fibonacci extension)
This setup offers high risk-reward if the rejection holds and price breaks below the mid-zone structure at $3,330. A drop below $3,305 could accelerate the move as liquidity gets swept.
Gold Price Analysis August 5#XAUUSD – Gold continues to increase in wave 3, BUY strategy continues to be prioritized
The D1 candle continued to close with strong increase, confirming that the uptrend is dominant and there are no clear signs of correction. Gold is currently moving in wave 3 - a period with strong amplitude and few recovery beats, so the main trading strategy is still to wait to buy at important support zones.
In the Asian session this morning, the price is reacting at the 3385 zone - an area that can act as a confirmation point for the next recovery. If the buyers maintain their position in this zone, the price will likely continue to move towards higher resistance zones.
🔹 Support zone to watch: 3363 – 3346 – 3332
🔹 Potential resistance zone: 3385 – 3407
👉 Strategy: Prioritize waiting for confirmation signals at support zones to open BUY orders in the direction of the trend. Need to carefully observe the price reaction at the 3385 zone to assess the strength of the buying force during the day.
Wait for a pullback and then test the previous high#XAUUSD
The gold market closed positively on the daily chart, with strong support near 3345-3340 below. The market trend is still dominated by bulls,🐂 but the daily moving average support is too far from the high point. It is not ruled out that it may retreat to the moving average support near 3345-3340,📊 and then rise again.🚀
From the monthly chart, 🌙although the monthly chart closed positive, the market is generally converging at a high level. Upper resistance remains, and a breakout is unlikely without breaking through this resistance level (no further discussion will be given).📉
Judging from the weekly chart, the Bollinger Bands have shrunk, and the MACD indicator has formed a death cross with large volume, indicating weak fluctuations at the weekly level.😩
Judging from the daily chart, 📊the current technical indicators are tending to the zero axis, and the rapid upward correction of the smart indicator indicates that the price fluctuation tends to rebound. The current focus is on yesterday's high around 3385. It is expected to break through 3430. The lower support Bollinger band middle track and moving average tend to stick together around 3346-3340.🌈
Judging from the hourly chart and 4H chart, 📊the overall rhythm tends to fluctuate and fall. The short-term pressure from above is around 3375-3385, and a break above will definitely lead to an increase.📈
On the whole, pay attention to yesterday's NY starting point near 3365-3360, and the strong support below is 3346-3340. The hourly and 4H charts tend to fluctuate and fall, so for short-term trading we need to short on rallies. 📉
Intraday trading suggestions are as follows:
1. Consider going long currently around 3365-3360📈, targeting 3374-3380🎯. If it breaks through, look for 3400.
2. Go long if it retraces below 3355-3340, targeting 3375-3385. Wait for further adjustments.🐂
3. If the price first reaches the resistance level of 3375-3385 and holds, consider going short with a small position and anticipate a pullback towards 3365-3355.🐻
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 150 Pips !Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3350.00 and we have a 30 Mins Candle closure above it And Perfect Breakout , so i`m waiting the price to go back and retest this res and new support and give me a good bullish price action to can enter a buy trade and we can targeting 100 to 150 pips .
Reasons To Enter :
1- New Support Created .
2- Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- Clean Breakout .
Gold Eyes QML Resistance: Ready for a PullbackHelloooo!
Gold, after gapping up strongly, has now entered the green QML (Quasimodo Level) supply zone at roughly 3,380–3,390. This zone has acted as resistance before, so a reaction here makes perfect sense.
What I see:
Engulfed Level (3,315.66): Earlier support that got taken out. This is our logical pullback target once the QML zone does its job.
Hurricane Move: The big up-spike looks exhausted now that it’s hit the QML.
Bearish Reversal Odds: if sellers step in around current levels, expect a drop back toward 3,315.
Plan: Watch for bearish candles or a failed rally inside the 3,380–3,390 area. If we see clear rejection, target a swift move down to 3,315, with a further slide possible to the 3,260 demand zone if momentum holds.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD – Is This a Short-Term Top?1. What happened yesterday
After dipping to 3340 in early trading—just shy of the key 3335 support where I was looking to buy—Gold resumed its bullish momentum that began on Friday. During the New York session, price spiked to a new intraday high near 3385. However, the final hour brought a pullback, and since then, Gold has entered a tight consolidation range.
2. Key question: Is Gold forming a short-term top?
The 1H chart shows a new failed breakout attempt above 3380 during the Asian session. This left behind a minor double top, with the neckline sitting around 3370. That level is especially important—it aligns with a short-term rising trendline.
3. Why a correction might follow
• Price rejected above 3380 twice
• Small double top visible on LTF
• 3370 is a make-or-break level (neckline + trendline)
• A break below could trigger a correction of the +1000 pips rally from Friday’s lows
4. Trade plan
While there is some evidence of a potential top, this remains a high-risk and aggressive short.
Any attempt to trade against the trend should be done with tight stops and small size .
5. Final thoughts
A short-term top could indeed be in place, but Gold must break below 3370 to unlock deeper downside. Until then, the bulls are still in control—just taking a breather. ⚖️
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Can technical factors boost gold? (Must-read for traders)After three consecutive days of strong rebounds, spot gold has entered a period of sideways trading, trading around $3,370 in the European session, with a short-term seesaw pattern. A slight rebound in the US dollar index has weighed on gold prices, but market expectations of a September Fed rate cut remain supportive. Furthermore, lingering global trade uncertainty has prevented a significant decline in safe-haven demand.
Fundamentals:
Gold's recent upward momentum has been driven by weak US economic data and rising expectations of rate cuts. Last week's non-farm payroll data showed a significant weakening in the labor market, reinforcing market bets that the Fed will begin another round of rate cuts in September. The CME FedWatch tool shows that the market's expectation of a September rate cut has exceeded 90%. Meanwhile, US factory orders plummeted 4.8% in June, further highlighting economic weakness.
On the other hand, US President Trump signed an executive order last week raising tariffs on imports from dozens of countries, with the minimum tariff rate reaching 15% for countries with trade deficits with the US. With these measures about to take effect, this uncertainty continues to weigh on global market sentiment and supports gold's safe-haven properties.
However, a slight rebound in the US dollar partially offset gold's upward momentum. Traders will be watching the upcoming US ISM Services PMI data to determine whether the economic slowdown has spread to the services sector.
Technical Analysis:
On the daily chart, gold prices have recently traded between the middle and upper Bollinger Bands (3343.59) and 3411.09, failing to break through key resistance. The overall trend remains within the medium-term range, with no clear trend emerging.
The recent candlestick chart pattern forms a typical "sideways fluctuation" pattern, indicating significant pressure near the previous high of 3438.80, while the lower Bollinger Band (3276.09) provides support, suggesting a short-term "box consolidation" pattern.
On the MACD indicator, the fast and slow lines are near the zero axis, while the DIFF and DEA lines have formed a slight golden cross, but the angle is gentle. The red bar has limited momentum, indicating insufficient upward momentum and a lack of a strong rebound.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained at 54.81, within the neutral to strong range, indicating a lack of clear short-term price direction. Market sentiment remains cautious. Further attention will be paid to whether the price stabilizes above the middle Bollinger Band or retreats to test previous support levels.
Market Sentiment Observation:
Current gold market sentiment is cautiously optimistic. Traders are pricing in a high level of interest in the Federal Reserve's rate cut, driving a short-term rebound in gold prices. However, the dollar's resilience remains, limiting gold's upside potential. Indicators show a lack of significant inflows into gold ETFs, suggesting the market has not yet fully shifted to a defensive position.
The technical chart shows a typical "consolidation platform," indicating that the market is awaiting clearer policy or data guidance. Investors remain interested in safe-haven assets, but their willingness to chase higher prices is weak. In the short term, market sentiment may continue to be constrained by fluctuations in external macroeconomic data and shifting policy expectations.
Market Outlook:
Bull Perspective:
Analysts believe that if gold prices break through the upper Bollinger Band at 3411.09 and the MACD indicator expands, further upside potential is expected, with the previous high of $3450 in sight. If the Federal Reserve signals a clear interest rate cut or if the US economy continues to weaken, gold could see a mid-term trend reversal and resume its upward trend.
Bear Perspective:
Analysts believe that if gold prices remain constrained in the 3400-3411 range and fall below the middle Bollinger Band and moving average support, a short-term pullback could occur, testing the lower support band at $3276. If the ISM Services PMI exceeds expectations and the US dollar strengthens again, gold could return to bearish momentum. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLDZ2025 CMCMARKETS:GOLD
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-Hour Chart Analysis – Potential Upside TowThis 1-hour chart for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from FXOPEN shows a key support level at $3,360.96 and a potential target at $3,400.31. The current price is hovering around $3,372.04, just below the minor resistance of $3,373.78. A bullish breakout from this zone could initiate a move toward the target, as illustrated by the projected upward path. The support zone marked in blue suggests a strong buying interest that could act as a rebound area if prices dip. Watch for price action confirmation near support for potential long entries.
Bullish Rejection from Support, Upside in FocusMarket Overview: On the M15 timeframe, XAUUSD shows signs of a short-term bullish reversal after a prolonged sideways range around the key support zone of 3,286 – 3,289 USD. Price faked out below this support but quickly recovered, forming a V-shape reversal, suggesting strong buying interest has returned.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zones:
- 3,286 – 3,289: Strong intraday support, tested multiple times with sharp rejections
- 3,274: Next significant support if the above zone fails
Resistance Zones:
- 3,300 – 3,304: First resistance target aligned with the recent high
- 3,308 – 3,312: Higher resistance area where supply may emerge
Technical Indicators:
EMA: Price has reclaimed the short-term EMAs, indicating bullish momentum on lower timeframes
RSI: Rising above 50 but not yet overbought – there’s room for further upside
Volume: Increasing volume during the bounce confirms buying strength
Trading Strategy:
- Bullish Scenario (Preferred): Entry Zone: Watch for pullback toward 3,290 – 3,292
Stop Loss: Below 3,285
Take Profit 1: 3,300
Take Profit 2: 3,304
Extended Target: 3,308 – 3,312 (if bullish momentum continues beyond breakout zone)
- Bearish Scenario (Alternate): Only valid if price breaks and closes strongly below 3,286
Short Target: 3,274 – 3,270
Note: Counter-trend strategy – higher risk, requires strong confirmation
Conclusion: Gold is showing a bullish price structure on the 15-minute chart. As long as price holds above the 3,286 – 3,289 support zone, the path of least resistance appears to be upward, with 3,300 and 3,304 as the next logical targets. Monitor price action closely during the U.S. session for a potential long setup.
- Follow for more real-time gold trading strategies and save this idea if you find it helpful!
Technical indicators are bullish across the boardInfluenced by the NFP data, gold prices rose strongly, fully recovering last week's losses. The current gold market has broken the previous bull-bear equilibrium and remains in a strong upward trend. We are currently bullish but will not chase the rise. We will wait for gold to fall back and stabilize before trying to go long. Gold is currently in a sideways consolidation. If gold touches the upper short-term resistance of 3365-3370 again in the European session and encounters resistance and pressure, you can consider shorting with a light position and waiting for a pullback. If the gold price breaks up strongly, pay attention to the key suppression level above 3375-3385.
As the price of gold continues to rise, the support has moved up. Pay attention to the short-term support of 3345-3330 below. If it retreats and stabilizes, you can consider going long. Independent traders must strictly implement trading plans, and those who are not sure about the market must set stop-loss orders.
OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD shows bearish divergence. Minor correction or sign of a rXAUUSD shows bearish divergence. Minor correction or sign of a reversal?
On August 4 gold continued bullish momentum, started on August 1 after disappointing nonfarm payrolls report came out that heightened fears about the U.S. economy’s health. Investors now see a 94.4% likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September. Gold gained further support due to doubts about the Fed’s autonomy after Governor Adriana Kugler resigned on August 1, opening the door for President Trump to appoint a successor who may support his push for lower interest rates. The metal’s safe-haven status was also bolstered by trade tensions, as Trump’s new tariffs on exports from numerous trading partners are scheduled to begin on August 7.
Despite this, in short term gold looks bearish. The price has failed to break through the intermediate level of 3,380.00 and currently trades slightly below this level, showing bearish divergence. The decline towards the SMA50 with further rise towards 3,440.00 is expected here. Second option (less probable) is the price comes back to a level of 3,300.00.
XAUUSD Smart Money Concept (SMC) Setup – 15min We had a clear break of structure (BOS) to the downside after price formed a lower high around the 3,430 level. Price then swept liquidity below the 3,290 area before aggressively rallying.
🔸 Liquidity Grab + Return to Premium:
That strong bullish move was likely engineered to grab liquidity from trapped sellers and induce breakout buyers. Now price is approaching a premium zone (the red supply zone), which aligns with a previous demand turned supply area – a perfect spot for institutional order blocks.
🔸 Order Block:
The red zone (around 3,375–3,385) represents a bearish order block, which caused the previous drop. Price is now retracing into it.
🔸 Internal Structure:
While approaching this zone, price is showing signs of bullish exhaustion. If we get a change of character (CHOCH) inside that zone, it confirms redistribution and signals entry.
📌 Trade Idea (SMC-Based Plan):
POI (Point of Interest): 3,375 – 3,385 (Supply / Order Block)
Confirmation: CHOCH / Rejection wick / Bearish engulfing
Entry: On confirmation inside red zone
SL: Just above the order block (~3,392)
TP1: 3,320 (first internal liquidity pool)
TP2: 3,290 (external liquidity sweep area)
🔽 Expectation:
Price to react to the supply zone, break internal structure, and begin a bearish move back to the demand zone, filling the imbalance left during the previous pump.
🛑 Risk Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Use proper risk management and wait for confirmation before entering.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold remains in a bullish structure after breaking above the $3,348 level late last week. Price has since advanced into the $3,368–$3,387 resistance zone and is currently consolidating just beneath $3,387.
A clean break and hold above $3,387 would open the path toward the next upside level at $3,422, with $3,445 as the higher target above.
If price rejects here, watch for a pullback into the $3,358–$3,344 zone. This area is now acting as the first support, backed by the rising 50MA which may act as dynamic support. If buyers fail to hold that zone, focus shifts to the $3,329–$3,313 pullback zone — a deeper support where the 200MA is also positioned, adding confluence.
Failure to hold that area would open the door to a drop into the Secondary Support Zone around $3,295–$3,281, followed by the HTF Support Zone at $3,229–$3,208 if bearish pressure accelerates.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,387 ‣ $3,422 ‣ $3,445
Support:
‣ $3,358 ‣ $3,344 ‣ $3,329 ‣ $3,313 ‣ $3,295 ‣ $3,281 ‣ $3,254
🔎Fundamental Focus:
Today’s key event: ISM Services PMI (4:00pm) – high-impact for USD and gold volatility.
Earlier data (Trade Balance, PMI) may cause intraday spikes.
⚠️ Risk Reminder:
Avoid chasing. Let price react, then confirm. Stay sharp around news.