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Xauusdanalysis

Gold update 4H 28.03.2025Technical Overview Gold has broken out of a bullish pennant, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. XAU/USD is currently testing resistance around $3,087. A successful breakout could push prices toward $3,108–$3,138 (0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels). Key Levels: Support: $3,066 | $3,040 Resistance: $3,087 | $3,108 | $3,138 Indicators: The oscillator shows overbought conditions, suggesting a possible short-term pullback. A retest of $3,066 could provide a support zone for continuation. Fundamental Factors Fed interest rate decisions and inflation data will impact gold. Market uncertainty continues to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Potential Scenarios Bullish: A strong breakout above $3,087 could lead to a rally toward $3,108 and $3,138. Bearish: Failure to hold above $3,087 may trigger a pullback toward $3,066 and $3,040. A breakout above $3,087 could open the path toward $3,108–$3,138.
TVC:GOLD
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold (XAU/USD) – Triangle Breakout & Bullish Trade Setup Overview This 1-hour Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart showcases a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern, which has successfully broken out to the upside. This breakout indicates strong bullish momentum, setting up a potential rally towards $3,107 and beyond. The analysis below will cover: ✅ Triangle Pattern Formation & Breakout Explanation ✅ Key Technical Levels (Support, Resistance, ATH) ✅ Entry, Stop Loss, & Take Profit Strategies ✅ Risk Management Considerations ✅ Final Trade Setup & Market Sentiment Let’s dive into the details. 1️⃣ Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation What is a Symmetrical Triangle? A symmetrical triangle is a common continuation pattern in technical analysis that forms when price consolidates within two converging trendlines. This structure indicates a period of indecision in the market before a potential breakout occurs. When price breaks above the upper trendline, it signals a bullish continuation. If price breaks below the lower trendline, it suggests a bearish move. In this case, gold has broken above the upper resistance trendline, signaling a continuation of the existing uptrend. Pattern Breakdown (Step by Step): Triangle Formation: The price made higher lows and lower highs, compressing within the pattern. Price Squeeze: As the market approached the apex of the triangle, volatility decreased, indicating an imminent breakout. Breakout Confirmation: A strong bullish candle closed above the resistance trendline, validating the pattern and confirming bullish momentum. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels & Zones 🔹 Support & Resistance Zones: Support Level: $3,012 - $3,020 (Highlighted as a strong demand zone where buyers stepped in). Resistance Level: $3,080 (Previously acted as strong resistance but has now turned into support post-breakout). All-Time High (ATH): Marked just below $3,090, where price previously struggled to break through. 🔸 Breakout Target & Price Projection Breakout Level: The breakout happened above $3,080, confirming an uptrend continuation. Target Calculation: The height of the triangle is projected upwards from the breakout point. This gives us a price target of $3,107 - $3,120 in the short term. 3️⃣ Trading Strategy Based on Breakout ✅ Entry Strategy: Aggressive Entry: Entering immediately after the breakout candle closes above $3,080, riding the momentum. Conservative Entry: Waiting for a potential pullback to $3,080 (now acting as support) before entering a long position. ⛔ Stop Loss Placement: Ideal Stop Loss: Below the previous support zone at $3,012, ensuring protection against fake breakouts. Tighter Stop Loss: Just below the breakout point at $3,065, in case of a minor retracement before moving higher. 🎯 Profit Target Strategy: Short-Term Target: $3,107, based on the triangle’s measured move. Extended Target: If momentum sustains, $3,120+ could be achieved, aligning with previous bullish trends. 4️⃣ Risk Management & Market Considerations Risk Factors to Monitor: 🔸 Volume Confirmation: A breakout with high trading volume is a stronger signal than one with low volume. 🔸 Market Fundamentals: Events like US inflation data, Federal Reserve rate decisions, and geopolitical tensions can impact gold prices. 🔸 False Breakout Risk: If price falls back below $3,080, the breakout might be invalid, signaling a potential reversal. Risk-Reward Ratio: 📌 Entry: $3,080 📌 Stop Loss: $3,012 (Approx. 68 points risk) 📌 Target: $3,107 - $3,120 (Approx. 27-40 points reward) 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 2:1+, making this a favorable trade setup. 5️⃣ Market Sentiment & Final Trade Setup 📈 Bullish Outlook: The successful breakout above the symmetrical triangle signals continued bullish strength. Price is holding above the previous resistance zone at $3,080, now acting as support. The next resistance target is $3,107 - $3,120, aligning with previous swing highs. 🔴 Bearish Scenario (If Invalidated): If price falls back below $3,080, it could indicate a false breakout. A break below $3,065 might lead to a retest of the $3,012 support zone. 📊 Final Trading Plan: ✅ Buy (Long) at: $3,080 - $3,085 🎯 Target 1: $3,107 🎯 Target 2: $3,120+ (Extended Target) ⛔ Stop Loss: $3,012 🔥 Conclusion: Bullish Bias with Caution Gold (XAU/USD) has successfully broken out of the symmetrical triangle, signaling a strong bullish continuation. As long as price holds above $3,080, the bias remains bullish, targeting $3,107 - $3,120. 💡 Key Takeaway: Watch for a pullback and retest of $3,080 before entering, ensuring confirmation before committing to the trade. 🚀 Final Outlook: Bullish – Gold is positioned for further upside if momentum continues!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis and Surge Factors Current Price: Gold is trading around $3,074.31 per ounce, marking a significant rise of 0.6% and reaching a record high of $3,077.44. Technical Analysis Support and Resistance Levels: Support: The psychological level at $3,000 has been a robust support, with prices consistently holding above this mark during recent consolidations. Resistance: The new all-time high at $3,077.44 now serves as the immediate resistance level. Moving Averages: The 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is trending upward, reinforcing the ongoing bullish momentum. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is approaching overbought territory, suggesting that while the bullish trend is strong, a short-term pullback could occur. Key Factors Behind Today's Surge U.S. Tariff Announcements: President Donald Trump's recent implementation of a 25% tariff on auto imports has intensified fears of a global trade war. This uncertainty has driven investors towards safe-haven assets like gold. Market Reactions: The announcement led to a decline in Asian stock markets, with significant losses in South Korea and Japan. The auto industry, vital to these economies, faced substantial impacts, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold. Analyst Forecasts: Financial institutions have revised their gold price forecasts upwards. Citi Research increased its three-month gold price target to $3,200 per ounce, citing robust demand from official sectors and exchange-traded funds. NOTE Gold's ascent to record highs is primarily driven by escalating trade tensions and the resultant market uncertainty. Technical indicators support the bullish trend, though caution is warranted due to potential overbought conditions. Investors should monitor geopolitical developments and market reactions closely, as these will continue to influence gold's trajectory in the near term. Stay Informed & Trade Wisely! 🛡️📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by xxChartWhizxx
Gold Analysis March 27Yesterday's D1 candle is still a contested candle with no clear winner. If it maintains this, there may be a strong sell-off on Friday. The wave structure is expanding in an upward direction after a push into the Asian session. The price is reacting around the 3028 area. If gold cannot break 3028, it is possible to BUY back to the peak of the Asian session in the morning around 3038. If this peak is broken, DCA will add an order towards the target of 3044. On the contrary, if the European session cannot break the peak of 3038, SELL to 3020 and if the US breaks 3020, DCA SELL to 3006. On the contrary, if it does not break, Buy back around 3020 and the gold margin will fluctuate around 3020-3028 until the end of the day.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Recovers After Dip – Is a New ATH Next?After reaching its recent all-time high exactly one week ago, Gold began a correction, dropping to $3,000, where buyers stepped in. This led to a recovery, pushing the price above a key resistance zone at $3,025–$3,030. At the time of writing, the price is sitting at the upper boundary of this support zone. If it stabilizes above this level, a new ATH could be on the horizon. I remain bullish as long as the daily close stays above this zone. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
14
XAUUSD:The price of gold has risen strongly once againYesterday's oscillatory price action for market cleansing and the continuous intensification of recent US tariff policies have once again stoked up the global risk sentiment. Coupled with the continuous increase in gold holdings by global physical gold-invested institutional ETFs, the bullish sentiment has propelled the price of gold to climb steadily. The opening of today's morning session has once again maintained the strong momentum and kept breaking historical records. Currently, in terms of trading strategies, it is advisable to mainly go long on pullbacks. Pay attention to the resistance level near the trend line at around 3080 on the upside. When the price reaches below 3080 for the first time, a short position can be taken. XAUUSD Trading Strategy: buy@3050-3055 TP:3070-3080 sell@3075-3080 TP:3055-3050 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LeoBlackwood
Bollinger Bands Warning: Is Gold Losing Uptrend?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has succeeded in creating a New All-Time High(ATH) as I expected in my previous post . Now, the question is whether Gold can continue its upward trend. Gold is currently moving in the Resistance zone($3,058-$3,045) . The upper and lower lines of the Bollinger Bands indicator also play the role of resistance and support well on the 1-hour time frame . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks( Bollinger Bands indicator and Price ). Educational Note : A divergence forms when the price chart and the indicator behave in contrast to each other. Divergence sell signals mostly form at the end of an upward trend, where the price chart forms a peak above the Bollinger upper band and another peak after, below the upper band. These signals are considered negative Regular Divergences(RD-) , hinting at a potential market reversal and a downward trend. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , I think the main wave 4 is NOT yet complete, and we can expect another corrective wave . I expect Gold to bearish trend in the coming hours and drop to at least $3,036 , with the next target being an attack on the Support zone($3,032-$3,021 ) . Note: If Gold goes above $3068.29, we should expect more Pumps. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
14
GOLD: Short, Target 3041-3036After yesterday's rise, some gold indicators have formed a relatively obvious short position, so in today's trading, I personally recommend focusing on the short position. During the trading process, we need to pay attention to the support points of 3046/3037/3032, the high point of resistance of 3060, and the possible new high of 3067. From the overall situation, it is unlikely to break through 3067 today, but it is more likely to fall to around 3037.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_King_Arthur
XAUUSD – Refined Daily Plan w/ Sniper Entries🔹 HTF Bias (D1 + H4) 🔼 Overall trend: Bullish Price is inside a Premium HTF zone (3065–3090) Daily and H4 structure are bullish, but price is testing a major liquidity zone Reaction expected either: ✅ Bullish continuation on breakout 🔁 Short-term rejection for retracement ➤ sniper setups engage 🧠 Current Setup Situation (M15–H4 Context) 📍 Price is consolidating below 3065, forming equal highs ➤ liquidity sitting above M15 + M30 show clear FVG + OB confluence zones H4 has no CHoCH yet — structure intact Strategy: reactive entries based on smart money reaction 🔻 SNIPER SELL SETUP (Scalp to Retrace) 🎯 Sell Plan: Entry Zone: 3064.5 – 3066 SL: Above 3070 (above wick + LQ) TP1: 3041 → M30 FVG TP2: 3020 → H1 bullish OB TP3: 3008 → large imbalance (LTF) ⚠️ Entry Conditions: Price must: Sweep liquidity above equal highs Show M15 or M5 bearish BOS / engulfing Ideally with shift in order flow (CHoCH) ✅ Confluences: D1 & H4 Premium zone M15 OB + FVG Liquidity resting above 3065 🔺 SNIPER BUY SETUP (Continuation) 🎯 Buy Plan: Entry Zone: 3016–3020 SL: Below 3010 TP1: 3035 TP2: 3055 TP3: 3065 (liquidity revisit) ⚠️ Entry Conditions: Clean rejection from OB zone Bullish candle (M15/M30) or LTF BOS No full break below 3008 – that invalidates buy ✅ Confluences: Clean OB + FVG (M30 / H1) Sits in discount zone after potential rejection H4 demand & D1 continuation zone 🧭 Decision Tree → If price breaks 3065 + holds → wait for retest → long continuation → If price sweeps 3065 + shows rejection → sniper sell → If price drops to 3020 → look for long → If price breaks 3008 → wait for structure to reset 🧼 Summary: HTF = Bullish Active zone = 3065 (reaction zone) Trade reaction, not prediction Let price come to your zone. Then strike like a sniper 🧠⚔️ Sniper setups only execute after LTF confirmation 🧠 Structure > Emotion 🎯 Setup > Impulse 💬 If this breakdown helped you, support the post: 🔁 Boost / Like to help more traders see it ✅ Follow for clean daily plans, sniper setups & SMC flow Let’s grow together, one smart trade at a time 📈
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD – H4 Trading Plan📍 Structure ✅ Market structure: Bullish 🔼 Recent BOS confirms continuation 📈 Price is pushing into resistance zone @ 3065 ⚠️ No CHoCH yet = no shift, but signs of potential slowing momentum 🧩 Zones of Interest 🔵 3065–3090 → Supply / Premium zone – Major liquidity draw – Inside weekly imbalance → potential reversal zone 🔵 2955 → Prior range high + FVG – Ideal first mitigation target 🔵 2790–2800 → OB zone + consolidation base – Swing target if breakdown continues 🎯 Trade Scenarios 🔼 Bullish Breakout Break & retest of 3065 (clean H4 close above) LTF entry (M15–H1) on pullback 🎯 Target: ATH sweep (3100+) 🛡️ SL: Below HL or valid OB 🔽 Bearish Rejection Strong reaction from 3065–3090 zone Wait for H4 CHoCH → then Lower High 🎯 TP1: 2955 🎯 TP2: 2800 🛡️ SL: Above rejection wick 📌 Notes ✋ No short without H4 CHoCH confirmation 🧠 Structure is king – reaction first, entry second Premium zone = decision zone → be reactive, not predictive
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD – Weekly (W1) Trading Plan🧱 Market Structure Clear bullish structure with sustained Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). Strong impulsive candles show aggressive bullish momentum, no signs of exhaustion yet. Order flow remains bullish until proven otherwise. 🔍 Key Zones (S&D, FVGs, Gaps) 🔝 Premium Zone Current price is within this premium area, which contains a weekly FVG / imbalance. Price is reacting inside this inefficiency (3064–3094) → draw on liquidity. This is not a demand zone, but rather a sell-side trap area for late buyers. Possibilities: Price fully fills the gap to ~3094 → then reverses (bearish reaction). Or, price continues pushing up for ATH sweep (liquidity above all-time-high). 🧩 Below Current Price – Mitigation Zones 🔵 2900–2950: Minor imbalance, could be used as short-term retracement target. 🔵 2750–2800: OB + structural retest zone → high-interest mitigation area. 🔵 ~2480–2550: Deep retracement zone – valid only if major structure breaks. 📈 EMA Overview (Assuming standard 5/21/50/200 EMA stack) Price is far above all EMAs → strong bullish sentiment. A revisit to the 21 or 50 EMA (weekly) would represent healthy retracement. ⚖️ Bias Term Direction Reason Long-term ✅ Bullish Strong structure, unmitigated imbalances above Medium-term ⚠️ Neutral-to-bullish Depends on reaction from 3064–3094 Short-term 🔄 Await reaction LTF confirmation needed for short setups 🎯 Trade Scenarios 🟩 Bullish Continuation If price uses 3064–3094 as support (mitigation → continuation) Targets: New ATH above 3100+ Strategy: Wait for bullish PA confirmation (engulfing / BOS on D1/H4) 🟥 Bearish Rejection If price shows strong bearish reaction from 3064–3094 zone Ideal confirmation: bearish engulfing / CHoCH on H4/H1 Targets: TP1: 2950 TP2: 2800 SL above the high (once structure confirms) ⏳ What to Watch Next Weekly close relative to the 3064–3094 zone Daily/H4 candlestick behavior: rejection vs continuation Look for divergence between price and momentum, or exhaustion candles
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold breaks out for new highs. Ideal for shorting!Today, major funds in the gold market are rapidly covering their short positions, triggering a short - term technical rebound. Despite the bearish outlook remaining solid from a fundamental perspective, investors should prioritize prudent position sizing and effective risk management. Notably, once this corrective upward movement concludes, the market may face a more pronounced downward trend. XAUUSD sell@3050-3055-3060 tp:3035-3025 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by JohnGonzalez7
1
How do you view the market?Market Sentiment Aspect During sideways consolidation and oscillation with limited price swings, bullish sentiment may quietly build. When the XAUUSD price breaks through the resistance, this sentiment is unleashed, sparking more buying. Moreover, large institutional investors and professional traders may use technical analysis to establish long positions early. As the price breaks through, their profitable long positions draw in more buyers, solidifying the bulls’ dominance. Presently, within the XAUUSD market, the 3060 level has emerged as a highly significant resistance zone, effectively impeding upward price momentum. In light of this persistent and robust resistance at current elevated price levels, we intend to sustain a steadfastly bearish trading stance. 💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎 🎁 Sell@3055 - 3065 🎁 TP 3040 3030 3020 3010 3000 The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by BenGray9
How d'we beat 'em? Sell@3060Energy Accumulation during Sideways Consolidation The consecutive days of sideways consolidation represent a temporary equilibrium between the bulls and the bears. During this period, the bulls are constantly accumulating strength, while the bears' strength is gradually being depleted. Just like a compressed spring, the longer the sideways consolidation lasts, the greater the upward momentum accumulated, which creates conditions for a subsequent breakout. Breakthrough of Key Resistance Level The $3040 level is an important resistance level. When the gold price successfully breaks through this level, it triggers follow - up buying from a technical perspective. According to technical analysis theory, breaking through a key resistance level is an important signal of trend continuation or reversal. Once the resistance level is broken, it will attract a large number of technical investors to follow suit and buy, driving the gold price to rise further. Meanwhile, after the resistance level is broken, the original resistance level will turn into a support level, providing support for the further rise of the gold price. Market Sentiment Aspect During the period of sideways consolidation and oscillation, although the price fluctuations are relatively small, the bullish sentiment in the market may gradually accumulate. Once the gold price breaks through the resistance level, this bullish sentiment will be ignited, triggering more buying behaviors from investors. In addition, some large institutional investors or professional traders may, through means such as technical analysis, lay out long positions in advance. When the gold price breaks through the resistance level, their long positions start to generate profits, thus attracting more investors to follow suit and buy, forming a situation where the bulls take the lead. 💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎 🎁 Sell@3055 - 3065 🎁 TP 3040 3030 3020 3010 3000 The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by BenGray9
1
XAU/USD strategy discussionIn the early stage of gold trading this week, we continued to make profits with a reasonable strategy. But in early trading today, after setting a stop loss according to the established strategy, due to market fluctuations far exceeding expectations, our short order strictly implemented a stop loss after reaching 3045, but when gold tested the 3060 resistance again, I chose to short again and reap profits Today once again highlights the high degree of uncertainty in the market, even in the profitable stage, latent risks cannot be ignored. Reasonable adjustment of trading strategies according to risk tolerance can ensure stable account growth. If you have any questions, you can leave me a message and I will be more than happy to answer them for you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HenryClarke
3
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout & Retest: Next Stop $3,080?🔍 Key Observations: 🔹 Ascending Triangle Breakout: 📈 Price was consolidating in an ascending triangle (🔺) and has broken out above resistance. 🚀 Bullish momentum is in play. 🔹 All-Time High (ATH) Resistance Zone: 🛑 Resistance Area (🔵) is where price has struggled before. 🔵🔵 Rejection signs at this level indicate a possible pullback. 🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG) Retest: 🔽 Price may pull back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) (📦) before moving higher. 🎯 This zone ($3,030 - $3,040) could act as a buying area. 🔹 Target Point at $3,080: 🎯 Main target for bulls is $3,080 (📈). 🔝 Price could retest the ATH zone before a push 🔹 Dynamic Support (DEMA 9): 📊 DEMA 9 (📉) at $3,052.80 is acting as support. 🔮 Expected Price Action: ⚫ Scenario 1 (Bullish) 🚀 ➡️ Pullback into FVG zone (📦) → Buyers step in → Move toward $3,080 🎯 ⚫ Scenario 2 (Bearish) 📉 ❌ If price breaks below FVG → Further downside risk ✅ Conclusion: 🟢 Bullish bias remains strong unless price falls below FVG. 📌 Traders may look for entries in the FVG zone for a move to $3,080 🎯. 🔥🚀 Gold could be setting up for another push!
FX:XAUUSD
by Jameshead007
XAUUSD:End-of-Session Trading StrategyToday, gold experienced a shakeout after a period of volatility and made a strong assault on 3060. The trading idea for the end of the trading session is now extremely clear. We have chosen to enter a short position for the second time below the previous historical high range of 3055-57. The short positions established at 3052-55 have currently retreated to around 3035 at the lowest. Since there has been a pullback from the high level, it indicates that the bullish momentum is not that strong. There has been no decisive breakthrough in one go, and the probability of breaking through 3055 tonight is gradually decreasing. It is highly likely that the gold price will consolidate within the range of 3030-50 at the end of the trading session. When the price pulls back to around 3031-33 at the lower end, one can reverse the position and enter a long position, with a stop-loss set at around 3025. Once there is another rebound to around 50-52, a short position can still be taken. The key focus is on the closing price tonight. XAUUSD Trading Strategy: sell@3055-3060 tp:3040-3030 sell@3031-3033 tp:3045-3055 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LeoBlackwood
1
Gold Breaks Resistances_ Is a New All-Time High(ATH) on the Way?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($3,032-$3,021) and has managed to break the Resistance lines . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is Double Three Correction(WXY) . One of the signs of the completion of the main wave 4 can be the breakdown of the resistance lines and the Resistance zone($3,032-$3,021) . I expect Gold to trend upwards in the coming hours and can even create a New All-Time High(ATH) . Do you think Gold can create a new All-Time High(ATH)? Note: If Gold goes below $3,013, we should expect more dumps. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
10
Gold shocks converge, trading strategy fully analyzedTechnical analysis of gold: Gold has slightly risen and fallen during the day, and the overall trend remains in a volatile trend. Gold is currently maintaining a narrow range of fluctuations on the daily trend, but the short-term moving average has gradually diverged downward, and there are signs of weakening in the short term on the daily line. The 4-hour level trend is temporarily maintained in a volatile state, and the price is temporarily compressed between 3010-3030. The short-term moving average continues to maintain a state close to adhesion and flattening, tending to maintain a volatile trend in the short term. It is necessary to pay attention to the continued downward trend after a small break in the 4-hour level trend. In the small-level cycle trend, after touching the previous support band, there are signs of stabilization again. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment. Gold is about to explode in a big market. The obvious box-shaped oscillation triangle is converging, that is, it has become narrower, and the oscillation has lasted too long. If it can break through 3038 with consecutive positive lines, then today will basically continue a wave of pull-ups, so there is a high probability that the 4-hour middle track or the daily 5-day moving average will break. On the contrary, if the psychological barrier of 3000 is lost, the market may fall back to the support zone of 2971-2997 for correction. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3030-3036, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3010-3012. Friends, you must keep up with the rhythm. Gold operation strategy: short gold rebound near 3028-3035, and go long on the pullback of 3015-3010.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold (XAU/USD) Double Top Pattern – High Probability Trade Setup📌 Overview of the Chart: This 4-hour timeframe chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) highlights a Double Top pattern, one of the most reliable bearish reversal signals in technical analysis. The price has tested a strong resistance zone twice (Top 1 & Top 2) but failed to break above, suggesting that bullish momentum is weakening and a possible trend reversal is imminent. This setup provides an excellent opportunity for a short (sell) trade, provided the price confirms the pattern by breaking below the neckline. The potential downside targets are marked as TP1 ($2,983) and TP2 ($2,938), with a stop loss placed above resistance ($3,056) to manage risk effectively. 📌 Key Chart Patterns & Market Dynamics 1️⃣ Double Top Pattern – The Bearish Reversal Signal The Double Top pattern occurs when: ✅ The price reaches a resistance zone and gets rejected (Top 1). ✅ It then retraces downward to find support at the neckline. ✅ The price makes another attempt to push higher but fails at the same resistance level (Top 2). ✅ A break below the neckline confirms the bearish trend, as buyers lose strength and sellers take control. 🛑 Why is this pattern important? The failure of buyers to push beyond resistance shows that sellers are dominating. This creates a psychological shift in the market, making traders and institutions more likely to sell aggressively once the neckline is broken. 2️⃣ Resistance Level – The Rejection Zone 🔵 Price Level: $3,050 – $3,056 🔵 Role: Key supply area where sellers are strong 🔵 Market Impact: Strong rejections at this level indicate that big players (institutions) are offloading positions, leading to bearish momentum. Why Does This Matter? 📌 If the price breaks above this level, it would invalidate the bearish setup, leading to potential further upside. 📌 This is also why we place our Stop Loss above this level—to protect against unexpected bullish breakouts. 3️⃣ Neckline Support – The Breakout Zone 🔻 Price Level: Around $3,020 🔻 Role: The last line of defense for buyers before a bearish breakout 🔻 Market Impact: If this level is breached, it confirms the Double Top pattern, leading to a sharp decline. 📌 A confirmed break of the neckline is the ideal point for traders to enter a short (sell) position, targeting lower price levels. 4️⃣ Key Take Profit (TP) Targets – Where Price Might Drop 🎯 TP1 – $2,983: This level is a minor support zone where price may temporarily pause before further decline. Conservative traders may choose to secure profits here. 🎯 TP2 – $2,938: A stronger historical support zone, making it a high-probability target for a full bearish move. More aggressive traders may hold positions until this level. 📌 Why These Levels? These targets align with Fibonacci retracement zones and previous market structure, increasing the likelihood of a reaction at these points. 5️⃣ Stop Loss – Managing Risk Like a Pro Placement: Above the resistance zone at $3,056 Reason: If price breaks above resistance, it invalidates the bearish thesis, meaning we need to exit the trade. Risk-Reward Ratio: TP1: ~2:1 TP2: ~3.5:1 A good risk-reward setup, ensuring a profitable edge over multiple trades. 📌 Trading Strategy & Execution Plan 📉 Bearish (Sell) Setup: 1️⃣ Wait for confirmation – Price must break below the neckline ($3,020) before entering a short trade. 2️⃣ Sell Entry: On a confirmed break and retest of the neckline. 3️⃣ Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone ($3,056). 4️⃣ Take Profit Targets: TP1 ($2,983) – First profit level. TP2 ($2,938) – Secondary target for deeper decline. 📌 Optional Confirmation: Look for bearish candlestick formations (e.g., Bearish Engulfing, Shooting Star, or Doji) near resistance or after a neckline breakout. Monitor RSI/MACD for bearish divergence, confirming weakening momentum. 📌 Market Psychology Behind This Pattern 1️⃣ First Peak (Top 1): Buyers push the price up, but sellers step in at resistance and force a pullback. 2️⃣ Pullback to Neckline: Some buyers re-enter, believing the uptrend will continue. 3️⃣ Second Peak (Top 2): Price attempts another rally but fails at the same resistance, showing buyers' exhaustion. 4️⃣ Break of the Neckline: Sellers take full control, leading to a high-momentum sell-off. 📌 Key Takeaway: 💡 The Double Top is a trader’s favorite because it reflects a real psychological shift in market sentiment—from greed (buyers) to fear (sellers). 📌 Final Verdict – High Probability Trade Setup ✅ Double Top formation confirms a bearish trend reversal. ✅ Strong resistance & multiple rejections signal seller dominance. ✅ Clear risk management strategy (Stop Loss & TP Levels). ✅ Waiting for neckline break ensures a high-probability entry. 🚀 Watch this setup carefully! If the neckline breaks, GOLD could experience a sharp decline! 📉🔥 🔍 Pro Tips for Smart Traders 💡 Don’t rush into a trade! Wait for a solid break and retest of the neckline for confirmation. 💡 Monitor volume: A strong breakout should be accompanied by increasing volume for validation. 💡 Use confluence: Combine with other indicators (RSI, MACD, EMA) to increase accuracy. 🔥 What’s Your Take on This Setup? Will You Trade It? Let Me Know in the Comments! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout – Trade Setup & Key Levels🔍 Key Observations: 🔹 Trend Line Breakout: 📉⬇️ A downward trend line was broken, signaling a potential bullish reversal. 📈✅ The price has moved above the trend line, confirming the breakout. 🔹 Support & Resistance Zones: 🟦 Support Area: $3,000 - $3,010 (Buy Zone) 🟥 Resistance Area: $3,030 - $3,040 (Sell Pressure) 📊 Trade Setup: ✅ Buy Plan: 🔄 Wait for a pullback to the support zone (🟦 light blue area) before entering. 🎯 Target: $3,056.97 📈🏁 🛑 Stop Loss: $2,999.02 ❌🚨 📈 Indicators & Confirmation: 📊 DEMA (9-period) = $3,026.48 (near the current price, suggesting a neutral-to-bullish trend). 🔥 Conclusion: 🔵 Bullish Setup Active 🚀 ⚠️ Wait for price reaction at support before entering. ❌ If price drops below $2,999, the setup is invalidated. 📌 Final Tip: Watch for a bullish candlestick pattern 📊 at support before executing the trade! 🎯
FX:XAUUSD
by Jameshead007
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