Xauusdforecast
GOLD, raid for liqudity! Ver thik, her ek kom!Gold just took liquidity from the previous day's low (PDL) and previous week's low (PWL). It had the first market structure (MS) shift on the 15-minute chart, and now, after some consolidation and testing of the 15-minute order block (OB), it will most likely continue higher to take out liquidity from the equal highs (EQH) in the 2528-2531 area (which also includes the previous month's high (PMH) and previous week's high (PWH)). This aligns with the monthly theory that suggests price manipulation at the beginning of the month, followed by the real move during the 2nd and 3rd weeks of the month.
I would wait until the price moves higher to the 2507 area, breaks above it, and closes on the 15-minute chart with the candle body above the London open high (LOH). Only then would I open a long position targeting the previous week's high (PWH).
Always follow risk management: after a 1:1 risk-to-reward (RR) move, adjust the stop-loss to the entry point. At 1:2 RR, either take full profit (TP) or trim 80% of the position.
XAU/USD (GOLD) Longs from 2,480.000 back upMy analysis for gold this week remains focused on identifying long opportunities to capitalize on the bullish pressure we've been seeing. The plan is to follow the trend as it develops. Last week's consolidation and the current slowdown suggest that the bullish momentum is waning and a retracement might be due.
I've identified a 2-hour supply zone where the price might react and trigger a downward move. If this does not happen, I'll look for the price to decline towards the 17-hour demand zone, where I anticipate price accumulation and a potential rally continuation.
Confluences for gold buy opportunities include:
- Price has shown strong bullish behavior and recently took out the all-time highs.
- A clear 17-hour demand zone remains, which caused a break of structure to the upside.
-There's trendline liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken.
- This move aligns with the higher time frame trend, which is currently very bullish.
P.S. I particularly expect the price to sweep the Asian session low around 2484, where we might then see a slowdown. Additionally, there's also a significant 19-hour demand zone below to consider.
XAUUSD: Today will be the last chance to set a new highYesterday we sold at 2525 and closed at 2515. Just now, the gold price rebounded to 2525 again. I notified in the channel that I had done such a transaction again, and now it has been closed with profit. I believe that friends who have followed my trading strategies have made huge profits. Congratulations to everyone.
The 2525-2530 area has not broken for 5 consecutive times, which will obviously have a negative impact on the strength of the bulls.
However, I observed that in the 1H chart, the recent lows of gold prices are constantly moving up, which shows that gold prices are moving upward. Although the highs have been stuck in the 2525-2530 area, the upward movement of the lows indicates that there is already an idea of breaking through the resistance range.
In addition, there are multiple data to be released today, among which the important data PCE price index will be the top priority of the market. Once several of these data are bullish, coupled with the current high global risk aversion, I think gold is likely to break through the resistance.
Therefore, based on the above information, I give the following trading strategy:
Buy bullish when the price falls back to the 2500-2510 area
Or wait for the PCE data to be released and make other plans based on the data performance
I prefer the former because I have a feeling that the gold price will hit a new high today
XAUUSD: Price will likely to continue rising up towards 2558$! Dear Traders,
Price is likely to continue rising up towards 2558$ as price has been consolidating since last few days. Sellers tried to take the price down but they failed to do it so and it reversed back from our previous buying entry point. We will having big news in coming days which will likely to shape the market and trend. Good luck.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD: Today I waited until 2530 before tradingAs can be seen from the figure, my two trend prediction lines were drawn very accurately. It is a pity that we were in the 2500-2505 buying range, and the two buying orders were all profit-taking before the market closed. The best performance of these two rises was in the Asian session of the next day. During that period, I was still sleeping in Europe, which was quite regrettable.
But think about it the other way around. You should be content if you can make money, because you can't make money in all trends. It's always better to make money than to lose money, isn't it?
Yesterday before I took a break, I said that if the historical high cannot be refreshed today, then gold may start to fall. This high point has been attacked many times. After many unsuccessful attacks, the bullish force will weaken. Therefore, whether this attack can be refreshed is a key point. Please keep an eye on it.
How should I trade today? To be honest, I am not sure for the time being, because the current position is in the middle of support and resistance. If I continue to be bullish, it is too far away from the lower support. I feel that there is a risk. If I am bearish, it is still more than ten dollars away from the upper resistance, which is also risky.
Therefore, I think it is better to wait and see. Today, three US data will be released. When the data comes out, I think the direction of the market will be much clearer.
Trading strategy:
If it can break through the historical high today, I think it can chase the rise, with a target of 2550-2570
If it encounters resistance near 2530 today, you can consider selling at a high level, with a target of 2505-2500
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailGold prices surged on Friday as the US Dollar and Treasury bond yields tumbled, driven by dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. With the Fed signalling a policy shift and acknowledging that inflation is nearing the 2% target, the focus has turned towards achieving maximum employment. This backdrop has sparked renewed interest in gold among Western investors, especially as expected interest rate cuts could reduce the opportunity cost of holding the precious metal.
In this video, we analyze the current market dynamics, showing why gold may not be overbought and why there’s potential for continued upward momentum. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 25 bps rate cut is fully priced in, with rising odds for a larger cut. We’ll dive into both the technical charts and fundamental factors that favor higher gold prices in the coming week.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we're focusing on the $2,495 zone. This could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone then Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel in the process. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights!
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Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU/USD 29 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in previous analysis whereby we needed to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. This is exactly what price printed, printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ with strong high remaining protected. Price to target weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
GOLD (XAUUSD): Consolidation Continues
Quick update for Gold.
The market is currently stuck within a wide horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
After a test of the resistance of the range, we see a strong bearish reaction to that:
the price formed a double top pattern and broke its neckline.
I think that the price may drop to the support of the range.
Goal - 2484
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XAUUSD: Bullish move has not yet finished! More Growth to come! OANDA:XAUUSD
Our last idea is going well and we still expect price to continue growing until it reaches our final; take profit area. However, we think that price is likely to do a small correction in two hours timeframe, after that we can see a continuous bullish move which will likely to take the price to another record high .
goodluck and trade safe!
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 28th AugLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!