XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Xauusdforecast
Gold Short Term OutlookGold dipped earlier in the session as the $3,328 support level failed, pushing price into the upper boundary of the broader Support Zone. From there, we’ve seen a strong bounce, with price now trending around the $3,341 minor resistance.
Price has reclaimed both the 50MA and 200MA, suggesting bullish momentum may be returning. A clean break and hold above $3,356 would likely open the path toward higher resistance levels, including $3,370 and $3,383.
However, failure to break and hold above $3,356 could lead to another pullback toward the Support Zone. If that zone fails to hold, we may see a deeper move into the higher timeframe (HTF) support area below $3,300.
📌 Key Levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,356 ‣ $3,383 ‣ $3,400 ‣ $3,416
Support:
$3,328 ‣ $3,300 ‣ $3,267 ‣ $3,241 ‣ $3,208 (HTF Support)
XAU/USD – 45-Minute Chart Breakdown **Date:** July 7, 2025 # 📊 XAU/USD – 45-Minute Chart Breakdown
**Date:** July 7, 2025
**Current Price:** $3,326.97
**Bias:** 📈 Bullish Breakout
---
## 🔹 Key Market Structure:
- **Trendline Breakout**: ✅
Price broke cleanly out of the descending trendline that had held since the $3,362 high.
- **LL → HL Shift**:
The structure is transitioning from Lower Lows to potential Higher Lows (HL) – a strong sign of **reversal**.
- **BOS Zone** (Break of Structure):
BOS has been confirmed; further upside is now **probable**.
---
## 🔸 Trade Zone:
| Type | Level | Description |
|------------|------------|--------------------------|
| **Entry** | ~$3,326 | Breakout confirmation 🔓 |
| **SL** | ~$3,319 | Below recent HL 🛡️ |
| **TP1** | $3,362 | Top of previous range 🎯 |
| **TP2** | $3,385+ | Momentum extension 📈 |
---
## 📌 Indicators & Labels:
- **Structure:** `Bullish` 🟢
- **Efficiency:** `Efficient` ✅
- **MSU:** Bearish (short-term countertrend, being invalidated)
- **VTA:** Active ⚡️
---
## 🧠 Strategy Note:
This breakout is occurring **after a full liquidity sweep** and a **strong bullish reaction** off the $3,290s. Volume is supporting the move and **confluence** builds toward continuation.
> 💬 *"The best trades come when structure, liquidity, and timing converge."* – Let's ride this wave with confidence.
---
### 👑 For Persian Princes of the Market 🇮🇷
We don’t guess. We **track, adapt, and lead**.
---
## 🟢 Potential Breakout from the Descending Channel
As observed in the **45-minute timeframe**, Gold (XAU/USD) has been respecting a classic **descending channel** formed by a sequence of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL), leading to an overall bearish structure.
However, in the latest candles, price has **broken above the upper boundary of the channel**, signaling a potential shift in market structure.
---
### 🔍 Technical Highlights:
- ✅ **Breakout above the channel** = First sign of bullish reversal
- ✅ **Formation of Higher Low (HL)** after a strong rally = Added confirmation
- ✅ **Efficient bullish move** with momentum pushing toward previous Highs
---
### 🎯 Forecast Scenario:
If price holds above the breakout zone (around **$3,327**), we can expect a bullish continuation toward:
- 🥇 **Target 1:** $3,362
- 🥈 **Target 2:** $3,385+
A **successful retest** of the broken channel would serve as a powerful confirmation for this setup.
---
> ⛳️ *This move reflects not just a breakout — but a disciplined journey through structure, liquidity, and price behavior. Pure technical elegance.*
> — *Mohsen Mozafari Nejad*
---
📈 **Structure:** Bullish
⚡️ **Momentum:** Efficient
🕰 **Timeframe:** 45 Min
💰 **Current Price:** ~$3,327
Where will the price of gold go under such strong pressure?From the 4-hour analysis, the support line of 3295-3301 is concerned below, the short-term resistance above is concerned about 3316, and the suppression line of 3345-50 is focused on. The overall main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and maintain the main tone of participation in the trend. Wait patiently for key points to participate.
XAUUSD | 30m | Weekly Open Outlook Published by Mohsen Mozafari## 📍 XAUUSD | 30m | Weekly Open Outlook
⏱️ *Published by Mohsen Mozafarinejad*
---
### 🔍 Market Structure:
The market currently shows a **bearish structure**.
After a recent **BOS (Break of Structure)** near the 3344 zone, price retraced to mitigate unfilled sell orders within the **Extreme Supply OB (TLQ)**.
---
### 🔸 Key Observations:
- Price is reacting from a clear **supply zone (TLQ)** following BOS.
- The move appears to have cleared liquidity from late long entries.
- OB efficiency remains intact, indicating healthy market flow.
---
### 🧭 Scenario A – Short Bias
> If price consolidates or rejects below the 3340 level, a **high-probability short** may form.
🎯 Target: **Demand OB at 3295**
🚫 Invalidation: **Break & close above 3354 (last HH)**
---
### 🧭 Scenario B – Fakeout & V-Shape Reversal
> If price sweeps above TLQ but loses momentum, it could trap buyers and sharply reverse below BOS.
This would signal potential **seller exhaustion**.
---
### ⚙️ Technical Summary:
- **Structure:** Bearish 🔻
- **Efficiency:** Efficient ✅
- **MSU & VTA levels:** Valid for lower timeframe confirmations
- **Momentum:** Controlled pullback detected
---
> 📌 *"Precision beats prediction. Let the chart speak before you act."*
---
#### 🔖 Hashtags:
#XAUUSD #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #OB #BOS #ScalpingGold #ForexAnalysis #MohsenMozafarinejad
XAU/USD Weekly & Daily Outlook | What’s Next for Gold?Gold starts the new trading week still locked in a consolidation range, holding just above the $3,328–$3,327 support zone. Despite multiple attempts, price continues to struggle at the $3,356 resistance.
The 50MA and 200MA are now compressing, suggesting the market is preparing for a breakout. Until then, structure remains neutral and range-bound.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,356 ‣ $3,383 ‣ $3,400 ‣ $3,416 ‣ $3,440
Support:
$3,328 ‣ $3,313‣ $3,300 ‣ $3,267 ‣ $3,241
‣ $3,208 / $3,179 – Deeper downside if bearish pressure builds
🔎 Fundamental Focus
The key risk event this week is Wednesday’s FOMC Meeting Minutes. Markets will be looking for clues on the Fed’s internal stance regarding future rate cuts and inflation expectations.
🔗 Follow for live updates and intraday chart setups.
XAU/USD possible shorts from 3,350 towards 3,290 longsThis week, my focus is on a potential sell setup that could form within the 4-hour supply zone, which is currently near price. I’ll be patiently watching for signs of Wyckoff distribution within this point of interest (POI), which could confirm a short opportunity.
Given that price action has been bearish, this would be a pro-trend setup, especially with the visible liquidity resting below that we can look to target. Additionally, there is an 8-hour demand zone further below, which may provide a potential long opportunity once price reaches that level.
Confluences for GOLD Sells:
- Bearish market structure: Gold has been trending downward and has recently left behind a clean, unmitigated 4-hour supply zone, which could prompt a bearish reaction.
- Liquidity targets below: There's significant liquidity under recent lows, including Asia session lows and the 8-hour demand zone, which can be targeted.
- DXY correlation: The dollar has reacted strongly from a notable demand zone, suggesting potential upside for DXY, which may add bearish pressure on gold.
- Higher timeframe Wyckoff: A Wyckoff distribution pattern has also formed on the higher timeframe, which may indicate temporary bearish order flow.
P.S. If price disrespects the current 4-hour supply zone, I will shift focus to an extreme 3-hour supply zone above. Until price reaches that level, I may look for short-term buy setups to trade the move up.
Wishing everyone a great and profitable trading week! Stay disciplined and manage risk accordingly.
Gold Short Term OutlookIn yesterday’s analysis, we highlighted that the $3,327–$3,328 support zone needed to hold for bulls to maintain momentum. Price respected that level, bouncing off intraday support and is now attempting a recovery.
Currently, the 50MA is acting as dynamic resistance, and we need to see a clean break above the $3,352–$3,356 resistance zone for bulls to challenge higher levels.
However, if price fails to break above this resistance cluster, we may see a pullback toward the $3,327 support once again. A break below that would likely expose price to a deeper retracement toward $3,298.
📌 Key Resistance:
‣ $3,352
‣ $3,356
‣ $3,364
‣ $3,383
📌 Key Support:
‣ $3,328
‣ $3,298
‣ $3,270
🧠 Fundamental Focus:
With U.S. markets partially closed today, expect low liquidity and increased volatility.
I say nothing , you say me any thing about 📌 **Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 30m | 2h | Smart Money Perspective**
🔍 After weeks of precision tracking and structural validation, price has now tapped the **Right Shoulder** of a clean *Reverse Head & Shoulders* formation — with absolute respect to structure, liquidity, and OB zones.
💥 This wasn't just a random bounce.
It was:
- A confirmation of **previous BOS & CHoCH**
- A retest of **TLQ/ILQ liquidity zones**
- A reaction from the *Extreme OB* within a compression channel
- And a final push fueled by **inefficiency fills** on the left
🎯 The bullish intent remains strong, and if momentum follows through, we're looking at:
- **TP1** → 3345–3355 (minor OB & void fill)
- **TP2** → 3375–3390 (liquidity sweep target)
- **TP3** → 3420+ (range expansion goal)
🧠 This analysis has not just been correct.
It’s been **respected by the market.**
I take pride in every reaction the chart gives us when we respect the language of price, structure, and timing.
There’s no shortcut here — just observation, logic, and discipline.
We don’t chase the trend. We wait for it to **bow in confirmation**.
Like it just did.
— *Mohsen Mozafari Nejad* 🧭
#SmartMoney #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #TradingView #MarketStructure #BOS #OB #MSU #ReverseHeadAndShoulders #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we highlighted that gold had reclaimed the 200MA and that the $3,327 support level needed to hold for further upside. Since then, price has steadily climbed and is now testing the $3,364 resistance — a level that also aligns with an unfilled gap.
Price action remains bullish for now, with price holding firmly above both the 50MA and 200MA.
If buyers manage to clear and hold above $3,364, we could see further upside toward $3,383 and $3,400, with possible extension into $3,418.
However, if price fails to break above $3,364, we may see a pullback into the $3,335–$3,327 zone. A break below there could open the door for a deeper drop into $3,298 or even $3,270.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400 • $3,418
Support:
$3,352 •$3,335 - $3,327 • $3,298 • $3,270
🧠 Fundamental Focus:
📌 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
📌 Initial Jobless Claims
📌 ISM Services PMI
📌 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
⚠️ With multiple red folder events on the calendar, expect elevated intraday volatility. Manage risk accordingly.
Mozafari Nejad ### Multi-Timeframe Analysis: 15min + 30min + 2# XAU/USD | Gold Market Outlook by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
### Multi-Timeframe Analysis: 15min + 30min + 2h | July 2–3, 2025
---
## 🔍 Technical Overview:
| Timeframe | Structure | Efficiency | Context |
|-----------|-----------|------------|---------|
| 15min | Bullish ✅ | Efficient ✅ | Reverse H&S complete – price entering neckline zone |
| 30min | Bullish ✅ | Inefficient ❌ | Clean BOS – ready for potential continuation |
| 2H | Bullish ✅ | Inefficient ❌ | HL confirmed – clear bullish delivery range ahead |
---
## 🧠 Key Insights:
- **Left Shoulder - Head - Right Shoulder** clearly visible and now validated with neckline break
- Price is reacting from **last TLQ + ILQ zones** with MSU
- Strong **liquidity gap** above 3,380–3,405 likely to be targeted
- **Highs around 3,420–3,440** may act as liquidity magnet if clean break happens
- **BOS and CHoCH** confirmed across all LTFs — strong bullish intent
- Structure remains **bullish** as long as 3,312–3,320 HL holds
---
## 🎯 Price Zones to Watch:
| Zone | Action |
|--------------|----------------|
| 3,335–3,340 | OB Flip Support / Demand (Retest Possible) |
| 3,368–3,375 | Reaction Zone / Short-Term Take Profit |
| 3,404–3,420 | Major Liquidity Above / SH Grab |
| 3,428–3,440+ | Stop-Hunt Potential for Final Exit |
---
## 📌 Trade Scenarios:
### 🟢 Long Setup
- **Entry:** 3,340–3,348 (OB retest or continuation)
- **SL:** below 3,328
- **TP1:** 3,375
- **TP2:** 3,400
- **TP3:** 3,420+
### 🔴 Caution for Short
Only valid if price shows **CHoCH + strong rejection** from above 3,420–3,440.
Otherwise, trend continuation is dominant.
---
## 🧭 Summary:
> Gold continues its bullish structure in all LTFs.
> Reverse H&S has broken neckline cleanly.
> Momentum + inefficiency zones above = clear drive to liquidity.
> Patience is key – reentry on OB retest = high R/R setup.
---
🖋️ Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
*Smart Money | Liquidity Zones | Order Blocks | MSU/MSD Framework*
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we saw gold reclaim the 200MA and push into the $3,352 resistance. Price remains supported above the $3,327 level, keeping the bullish structure intact for now.
As long as price holds above $3,327, bulls remain in control, and a breakout above $3,352 could open the path toward $3,364 and $3,383.
However, failure to hold above $3,327 may lead to another retest of $3,298, with deeper downside toward $3,270-$3,41 support zone if that level gives out.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,352 • $3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400
Support:
$3,327 • $3,298 • $3,270 • $3,241
Below of last update of reverse head and shoulder post XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
🔸 **Instrument:** Gold / USD (XAU/USD)
🔸 **Timeframe:** 30min
🔸 **Methodology:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Liquidity + OB + Market Structure
🔸 **Focus:** New Monthly Open Setup
🔍 Market Context:
---
## 🧠 Technical Breakdown:
1. **Strong recovery** after clearing deep liquidity sweep (Head zone)
2. **Bullish BOS** structure confirmed on LTF → Multiple HH and HL formed
3. Price now testing **Key Supply/OB zone at 3300–3315**
4. Above this zone lies a **Strong High (SH) around 3,350**, a potential liquidity magnet
5. Overall bias is bullish unless strong rejection appears from upper OB
---
## 📌 Trade Plan:
| Position | Entry Confirmation Zone | Stop Loss (SL) | Take Profit (TP) |
|----------|--------------------------|----------------|------------------|
|
| Short (scalp only) | Bearish reaction from 3,345–3,350 | Above 3,353 | TP1: 3,310 / TP2: 3,290 |
---
## ⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch:
- 🔺 High-impact USD news (July 1st releases: Manufacturing PMI / employment preview)
- 🔺 Overextension above supply zone without support → trap risk
- 🔺 Bull trap risk if price spikes above 3,340 then sharply reverses
---
## ✅ Summary:
> **Start of July** could fuel volatility and directional momentum.
> The structure is clearly bullish short-term, but upper liquidity zones remain **highly reactive**.
> Smart traders will wait for reaction at the 3,340–3,350 SH zone before overcommitting.
**Structure:** 🔴 bearish momentum
**Efficiency:** ✅ Clean
**Liquidity:** 🔺 Above SH & Below recent HL
📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we noted that gold was attempting a recovery from the Support Zone but remained below both the 50 and 200 MAs, meaning bearish pressure was still intact.
Since then, price has broken and held above $3,298, and is now trading around $3,330, just beneath the 200MA.
This marks a shift in short-term momentum — gold has reclaimed the 50MA and is now challenging the 200MA.
If bulls manage to break and hold above the $3,327 resistance, it could open the path toward $3,352 - $3,364 and potentially higher resistance zones.
However, if price rejects the 200MA and fails to hold above $3,327, we may see a pullback toward $3,298 or deeper into $3,270, where bulls could look to reload.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,327 • $3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400
Support:
$3,298 • $3,270 • $3,241
🧠 Fundamental Focus:
📌 Fed Chair Powell speaks today at the ECB Forum in Portugal.
Markets will closely watch for any shift in tone on inflation or rate outlook. His comments may influence USD direction and gold volatility.
📌 ISM Manufacturing PMI – a key gauge of economic activity. A strong print may pressure gold; a weak reading could support it.
📌 JOLTS Job Openings – offers insight into labor market strength. A tighter market could delay rate cuts and weigh on gold.
With multiple risk events packed into today, expect increased volatility across the board.
Gold Market Outlook – 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen # Gold Market Outlook – 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
🔸 **Instrument:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD)
🔸 **Timeframe:** 30min
🔸 **Methodology:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Liquidity + OB + Market Structure
🔸 **Focus:** New Monthly Open Setup
---
## 🔍 Market Context:
- **Structure:** Bullish on LTF (MSU)
- **Efficiency:** ✅ Clean & Efficient Delivery
- **Recent Activity:** Reverse H&S completed + double BOS + CHoCH confirmed
- **Price Level:** Trading near key Supply zone (3300–3315)
- **Monthly Context:** July begins with bullish momentum & previous session showed aggressive buy-side pressure
---
## 🧠 Technical Breakdown:
1. **Strong recovery** after clearing deep liquidity sweep (Head zone)
2. **Bullish BOS** structure confirmed on LTF → Multiple HH and HL formed
3. Price now testing **Key Supply/OB zone at 3300–3315**
4. Above this zone lies a **Strong High (SH) around 3,350**, a potential liquidity magnet
5. Overall bias is bullish unless strong rejection appears from upper OB
---
## 📌 Trade Plan:
| Position | Entry Confirmation Zone | Stop Loss (SL) | Take Profit (TP) |
|----------|--------------------------|----------------|------------------|
| Long | Above 3,303–3,310 (structure hold) | Below 3,294 | TP1: 3,325 / TP2: 3,340 / TP3: 3,348 |
| Short (scalp only) | Bearish reaction from 3,345–3,350 | Above 3,353 | TP1: 3,310 / TP2: 3,290 |
---
## ⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch:
- 🔺 High-impact USD news (July 1st releases: Manufacturing PMI / employment preview)
- 🔺 Overextension above supply zone without support → trap risk
- 🔺 Bull trap risk if price spikes above 3,340 then sharply reverses
---
## ✅ Summary:
> **Start of July** could fuel volatility and directional momentum.
> The structure is clearly bullish short-term, but upper liquidity zones remain **highly reactive**.
> Smart traders will wait for reaction at the 3,340–3,350 SH zone before overcommitting.
**Structure:** 🟢 Bullish
**Trend:** 📈 MSU
**Efficiency:** ✅ Clean
**Liquidity:** 🔺 Above SH & Below recent HL
---
📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
Gold Short To Medium Term OutlookGold bounced from the lower Support Zone after briefly breaching $3,270. Price is now attempting a recovery, currently trading near $3,290, but remains below both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA — confirming bearish pressure is still intact.
For bulls to gain momentum, we need to see a clean break and hold above $3,298–$3,327which would open the path toward $3,352 and possibly higher resistance levels like $3,364 and $3,383.
Until then, this move may simply be a short-term pullback within a broader downtrend. If price fails to reclaim $3,327, watch for a drop back toward $3,270, with a deeper correction targeting the $3,241–$3,211 zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,298 • $3,327 • $3,352 • $3,364 • $3,383
Support:
$3,270 • $3,241 • $3,211 • $3,179
🧠 Fundamental Focus:
This week is packed with high-impact events — including Non-Farm Payrolls on Thursday. These could trigger sharp moves in gold, so stay cautious and manage risk wisely.
Gold Short to Medium Term Outlook
Last week, gold bounced from the lower Support Zone after briefly breaching $3,270. Price is now attempting a recovery, currently trading near $3,290, but remains below both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA — confirming bearish pressure is still intact.
For bulls to gain momentum, we need to see a clean break and hold above $3,298–$3,327which would open the path toward $3,352 and possibly higher resistance levels like $3,364 and $3,383.
Until then, this move may simply be a short-term pullback within a broader downtrend. If price fails to reclaim $3,327, watch for a drop back toward $3,270, with a deeper correction targeting the $3,241–$3,211 zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,298 • $3,327 • $3,352 • $3,364 • $3,383
Support:
$3,270 • $3,241 • $3,211 • $3,179
🧠 Fundamental Focus:
This week is packed with high-impact events — including FOMC minutes on Wednesday and Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday. Both events could trigger sharp moves in gold, so stay cautious and manage risk wisely.
Reverse Head & Shoulders Setup | Gold Spot | 15min | by Mohsen M
🔸 **Chart:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD)
🔸 **Timeframe:** 15min
🔸 **Method:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Pattern Recognition
🔸 **Focus:** Reverse H&S, Order Blocks, TLQ, BOS
---
## 🔍 Market Context:
- **Market Structure:** Bearish on higher TF
- **Short-Term Trend:** MSU (Market Structure Up)
- **Efficiency:** ✅ Confirmed — clean price delivery
- **Key Pattern:** Bullish **Inverse Head & Shoulders**
---
## 🧠 Technical Breakdown:
1. **Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder** perfectly forming within a high-value demand zone
2. Price reacted strongly from **Order Block (OB)** + TLQ marked at the bottom wick (Head zone)
3. BOS confirms bullish attempt to shift structure
4. Anticipating neckline break at ~3345 level for further upside
5. Potential resistance and liquidity resting above 3400 (HH region)
---
## 📌 Trading Plan (Pre-London Open / Monday 1:30 AM UTC+3:30):
- **Entry Idea:**
Watch for bullish confirmation after price stabilizes above Right Shoulder zone (~3300–3320)
Or re-entry on a retest of neckline after breakout
- **Stop Loss:**
Below "Head" and OB zone (~3260)
- **Take Profits:**
- TP1: Neckline break zone (~3345)
- TP2: 3400 – Liquidity pool
- TP3: Final HH sweep (~3420+)
---
## ⚠️ Alternate Bearish Case:
> If price breaks below the "Head" zone and OB fails to hold,
> → Expect bearish continuation to the next liquidity zone near **VTA @ 3200**
---
## ✅ Summary:
This is a clean **bullish reversal setup** using SMC logic and a classic H&S pattern:
**OB + TLQ + BOS + Efficient Market + Clear Pattern ➝ High-Probability Setup**
Structure: 🟥 Bearish (macro)
Trend: 🔼 MSU (micro)
Efficiency: ✅ Efficient
Pattern: 🟩 Inverse Head & Shoulders
---
📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
Scalping Strategy Using BOS & OB | Gold Spot | by Mohsen MozafarDescription:
> This is a 30-minute scalping setup on Gold Spot (XAU/USD), based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) — focusing on Break of Structure (BOS) and Order Blocks (OB).
Analysis and strategy are prepared by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad.
---
📊 Market Context:
Current Structure: Bearish
Short-Term Market Structure: MSU (Market Structure Up)
Efficiency: Confirmed (clean price action & response zones)
---
🧠 Technical Highlights:
1. Double BOS confirms recent shifts in momentum
2. TLQ (Top Liquidity Quest) formed after HH (Higher High) and liquidity sweep
3. Key Demand OB identified (labeled A) — valid based on BOS confirmation
4. Expecting a bounce from OB (A) towards (B) as a reaction to unfilled imbalance
5. Potential drop from TLQ zone (B) to (C) if liquidity is fully absorbed
---
🎯 Scalping Plan:
Entry Zone:
Order Block at (A), waiting for CHoCH or bullish price action confirmation
(preferably on lower timeframe like M5)
Stop Loss:
Just below OB (around 3327)
Take Profits:
TP1: Near TLQ / Extreme zone (B)
TP2: Further liquidity grab or possible continuation above previous HH
---
❗ Alternative Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to hold at OB (A) and breaks below 3327 with BOS,
→ short opportunity opens toward new lows at 3314–3310 (labeled C).
---
✅ Summary:
This is a clean scalping setup following SMC principles:
BOS → OB → Liquidity → Reaction
Focus on structure, precision, and quick confirmation signals.
Prepared by:
📌 Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday’s chart analysis played out well.
Price broke above the MA50 and tested the $3,346 resistance zone. However, this zone failed to hold, and gold dropped aggressively toward the $3,306 support.
Once again, price is trending below both the 50 and 200 moving averages, indicating continued bearish pressure.
For now, the $3,306 support is holding. Bulls need to break above $3,330-$3,346 for higher levels to open up.
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance:
$3,346 • $3,361 • $3,375
Support:
$3,306 • $3,287 • $3,271 • $3,242
Gold Builds Bullish Momentum After $3,294.0 ReboundGold bounced from $3,294.0, forming a double bottom pattern as XAU/USD consolidates near $3,330.0. Stochastic has exited oversold territory, signaling strengthening bullish momentum.
If $3,294.0 holds as support, the uptrend may continue toward the $3,393.0 target.