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Xauusdidea

Gold: a strengthening impulse in actionGold continues to hold within the framework of a short-term uptrend. After a correction, prices have returned to growth and are striving to consolidate above local highs. The wave structure indicates the sequential development of upward impulses, where pullbacks appear more like temporary pauses than full-fledged reversals. The chart shows that the price remains above key support zones, while buyers are gradually increasing pressure. Fundamentally, gold is supported by expectations of dovish Federal Reserve policy and demand for safe-haven assets amid global uncertainty. The decline in U.S. bond yields also enhances the attractiveness of XAUUSD. As a result, the market is showing signs of forming a new upward wave, where the next stage will depend on buyers’ ability to maintain initiative and consolidate above current levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
1
XAUUSD needs correction for swing H4 -H1 TIMEFRAME SETUP 🙌 As I'm expecting that market will retest the POI of 4245 at least for next bullish momentum. POC-VAl -VAH also indicates market has to drop for further Upside trend. What will be my stance? If H4 -H1 candle closes below 4345 and rejected then we'll have again drop Towards 4280 then 4245-50. We have D1 FVG Pending as well at 4245. Caution ⚠️: If H1 candle closed above 4350-4355 then our setup will gets Invalid #XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Forexmaestro121
6
XAUUSD | 1H | Market Structure UpdateGold remains in a high-timeframe bullish structure, but price is currently pausing within a key consolidation range after the impulsive move higher. This consolidation is forming just below the all-time high (ATH), suggesting the market is building orders rather than reversing. Price has already swept prior sell-side liquidity, and the current range appears to be a re-accumulation phase. As long as price holds above the previous breakout base, bullish continuation remains the higher-probability scenario. A clean breakout and close above the consolidation high is required to confirm strength and open the path toward a ATH expansion. Without that confirmation, price may continue ranging or perform a deeper retracement into demand before the next leg higher. Bias: Bullish continuation Confirmation: Strong close above consolidation resistance Target: All-Time High and potential price discovery Invalidation: Sustained acceptance below the consolidation support Patience is key here — let the market show its hand before committing.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Actualjustice
Chumtrades XAUUSD Trading PlanMarket Context During Friday’s session, after the previous range breakout, the market saw strong profit-taking pressure from buyers. Large capital exits triggered a sharp sell-off of ~96 prices, while the 426X base zone supported price very well. Overall structure remains bullish. Session Expectation Price is likely to move in a sideways range, with the upper–lower boundary around 423X – 428X (personal expectation). Key Support Zones • 4280 – 4282 • 4264 – 4266 • 4255 – 4257 • Deeper support: 424X Key Resistance Zones • 4330 – 4336 • 4347 – 4351 (±4353) Good day, traders
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
5
price-action setup based on SMC / ICT concepts.Price has formed a clear BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside, confirming bullish market intent. After BOS, price dipped to take liquidity, marked as Turtle Soup (false breakdown / stop hunt), then strongly reversed. A strong impulsive bullish displacement candle confirms buyers’ control. The FVG (Fair Value Gap) highlighted in blue acts as a bullish imbalance zone, indicating a high-probability area for continuation or mitigation. Price is currently trading above the FVG, showing strength and acceptance higher. Overall structure favors bullish continuation, with pullbacks into FVG offering potential buy opportunities. Bias: 📈 Bullish – continuation expected as long as price holds above the FVG and BOS level.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NghienX3
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – Week 3 of December 2025 1. Momentum Weekly (W1): Weekly momentum is approaching the overbought zone. There is a high probability that in the coming week, W1 momentum will enter the overbought area and start showing signs of a bearish reversal. Daily (D1): D1 momentum is currently in the overbought zone and preparing to turn down. We need confirmation from a clear bearish D1 candle. Once confirmed, the market is likely to enter a corrective move lasting approximately 4–5 days. H4: H4 momentum has already turned bearish. However, it still needs around 2–3 more H4 candles to reach the oversold zone, indicating that short-term downside momentum remains intact. 2. Elliott Wave Structure Weekly Timeframe (W1) On the weekly chart, wave X (purple) appears to be in its final phase. Price is currently trading near the base of wave W, suggesting a high probability that this structure is forming a flat correction. Key characteristics of a flat pattern: - Price can retrace back to the origin of wave W. - It may even exceed the W low/high and create a marginal new extreme. - However, this breakout is typically limited before price reverses to complete wave Y. In the current context, weekly momentum has not yet confirmed a bearish reversal. Therefore, the possibility of one final upward push in wave X cannot be ruled out before a larger decline begins. Daily Timeframe (D1) On the daily chart, wave X (purple) is developing as an ABC structure. At present: - The red wave C has already completed a 5-wave internal structure. - Price is now trading within the green wave 5 of wave C. With D1 momentum already in the overbought zone, there is a high probability that green wave 5 is nearing completion. Once this wave ends, price is expected to decline to form wave Y. However, an important caution remains: - D1 momentum has not yet confirmed a bearish reversal. - Therefore, attempting to catch the exact top of wave X carries risk. - As discussed on the weekly timeframe, flat corrections can allow price to equal or slightly exceed the wave W level before reversing. H4 Timeframe Looking more closely at the H4 structure: - The 5-wave sequence (1–2–3–4–5 in green) within the red wave C has completed. - Wave 5 reached its projected target near 4334, after which price started to decline sharply. H4 momentum still requires 2–3 candles to reach oversold conditions, suggesting: - The current bearish leg still has room to extend. - The most probable scenario is a continuation lower toward the POC zone (green line) around 4215 – 4187, followed by a corrective bounce. If this scenario unfolds: - The current decline is likely forming wave 1 down of a new 5-wave structure for wave Y. - The subsequent recovery would be wave 2, typically unfolding as an ABC corrective move. - This wave 2 rally would provide a high-probability sell opportunity, especially if H4 momentum rebounds into the overbought zone again. 3. Key Notes & Risk Awareness One critical point to emphasize: - Weekly momentum is preparing to enter the overbought zone and potentially reverse. - Daily momentum is already overbought. - This momentum confluence suggests that the coming decline could be more extended, aiming to push weekly momentum back toward oversold conditions. In practice, weekly momentum often requires multiple oscillations (commonly around three reversals) to complete a full corrective cycle. Therefore: - Patience is essential during this phase. - Avoid prematurely adopting a long-term bullish bias. - Always wait for price action confirmation. This analysis represents a directional warning and scenario planning only. All expectations must be confirmed by real-time price behavior. 4. Conclusion For the upcoming week, the primary bias favors a bearish corrective phase. Detailed trading plans (entries, stop loss, and targets) will be updated daily as new price data becomes available.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold price movements following the NF report on December 17th.1️⃣ Trend Structure & Trendline 🔹 Main Trend The market is currently in a medium-term uptrend: Higher Lows are being formed Highs are approaching or exceeding previous highs (potential Higher High) The ascending trendline (below) is still intact → acting as the backbone of the current trend 👉 Only a decisive break below this rising trendline would invalidate the medium-term uptrend. 🔹 Short-term Descending Trendline (Upper) The descending trendline above is pressuring price in the short term It acts as a dynamic resistance, where selling pressure appears on rallies Price is currently compressing between the descending trendline (above) and support (below) → a consolidation phase before a strong move 📌 A clear breakout above the descending trendline = confirmation of trend continuation to the upside. 2️⃣ Key Resistance 🔴 Major Resistance Zone: 4,380 This zone represents: A previous high A clear supply zone If price breaks into this area: Strong profit-taking and volatility are likely Confirmation is required (strong close, good volume) for continuation 👉 A sustainable bullish move is only confirmed when price breaks and holds above 4,379. 3️⃣ Key Support 🟢 Near-term Support: 4,277 This zone includes: Confluence with moving averages A price level with multiple reactions Role: Healthy pullback support 👉 Holding above this level keeps the short-term uptrend intact. 🟢 Deeper Support: 4,258 A structural support level If price breaks below 4,277: A retest of 4,258 is highly likely This is a trend-decision zone 📌 A breakdown below 4,258 significantly increases the probability of price returning to the major ascending trendline below. 4️⃣ Trading Plan 🟢 BUY GOLD: 4258 – 4256 Stop Loss: 4246 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips 🔴 SELL GOLD: 4379 – 4381 Stop Loss: 4391 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AstronautPioneer
XAUUSD – Watching for a Bullish Continuation From Retest ZoneGold has returned to a mid‑range support zone around 4,302–4,312, an area that previously acted as demand during the last impulsive move. Price is holding above this zone after retesting it, and the reaction here is important for continuation. If buyers maintain control, the next resistance sits near 4,325, where the market has shown repeated reactions earlier in the session. A break and hold above that region opens the way for further upside structure. The invalidation level remains around 4,277, as a move below this support would shift the current bullish bias and break the recent accumulation base. Levels Marked on Chart: Buy Interest Zone: 4,302 – 4,312 Resistance: 4,325 Invalidation: 4,277 DISCLAIMER : This is an educational chart and for market structure discussion only.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Revan_Dynasty_Trades
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – December 16, 2025 1. Momentum D1 (Daily): Daily momentum is showing signs of a bearish reversal. However, we must wait for today’s D1 candle to close to confirm this signal. This is a critical confirmation, as it will determine whether the market has formed a medium-term top. H4: H4 momentum is currently in the oversold zone and is preparing for a bullish reversal. Once confirmed, we can expect a technical rebound lasting approximately 4–5 H4 candles. H1: H1 momentum remains bearish and is moving toward the oversold area. We will wait for price to reach oversold conditions and for momentum to confirm a bullish reversal, which would signal a short-term H1 corrective rally. --- 2. Elliott Wave Structure D1: With D1 momentum turning down, if today’s daily candle confirms the reversal, price is likely forming the top of the purple wave X. After wave X completes, the market may enter purple wave Y, which is most likely developing as a Flat correction. → The projected target for wave Y is near the 3888 zone. H4: Price is currently trading within green wave 5. Once this wave 5 completes, it will also mark the completion of wave C and wave X on the higher timeframe. Given that H4 momentum is oversold, a short-term upward move is expected before the broader structure completes. H1: The current decline is likely forming a red 1–2–3–4–5 structure within green wave 5. At this stage, price is developing red wave 4. This red wave 4 is unfolding as a Flat corrective structure, consistent with the scenario outlined in yesterday’s plan. Target for red wave C: around 4260 Above this level, 4274 represents a high-liquidity / low-liquidity boundary Therefore, when price reaches the 4260–4274 zone, we will combine this area with H1 momentum bullish confirmation to look for long entries. Expected targets for red wave 5: Target 1: 4365 Target 2: 4393 3. Key Notes As discussed in previous plans, the recent rebound did not reach the 4353 level. This does not invalidate the scenario in which green wave 5 completes near this area (refer to the weekly plan). Therefore, if: D1 momentum confirms a bearish reversal at today’s close, and The upcoming H4 rebound fails to break above 4353, → We must be prepared for the scenario in which purple wave Y on the D1 timeframe has already begun. 4. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4261 – 4259 Stop Loss: 4240 Take Profit 1: 4286 Take Profit 2: 4319 Take Profit 3: 4365
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD CHART H1 TARGET POINT 4320 BUYING CONTINUE42801. Price Action: The candlestick chart shows a price movement that has broken out of a previous range, indicating a potential shift in momentum. A red moving average line smooths the price trend. 2. Sell & Buy Levels: - A Sell signal is marked at 4,197.835, suggesting a prior bearish trigger. - A Buy signal appears at 4,198.425, indicating a reversal or entry point for a long position. 3. Target Point: The green box highlights an upside target at 4,221.876, representing the expected profit zone if the bullish move continues. 4. Support Zone: A red shaded area shows a demand/support range between 4,182.214 and 4,174.145. This zone acts as a safety level where buyers might step in if the price drops. 5. Trading Strategy Implication: The setup suggests entering a long position once the price confirms above the buy level (~4,198.425), aiming for the target at 4,221.876. The stop‑loss could be placed below the support zone (near 4,174.145) to manage risk. 6. Additional Note: The “1?” marker likely indicates a potential reversal or breakout point that traders should watch for confirmation before acting. In short, the chart guides a bullish trade with a defined entry (4,198.425), target (4,221.876), and support‑risk zone (4,174–4,182).
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Moriss365
How will gold prices fluctuate before major news is released? 1️⃣ Trend & Trendline Price is moving within a medium-term ascending channel (two black trendlines). After a strong breakout, price is pulling back toward the upper trendline of the channel → this is a key decision zone for the short-term trend. The overall structure remains Higher High – Higher Low, indicating that the main trend is still intact. 2️⃣ Key Support 4,257: Confluence support zone (trendline + previous price structure). → Holding above this level: favor a recovery in line with the bullish trend. → Losing this level: price may slide toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel. 3️⃣ Resistance / Targets 4,352: Near-term resistance – previous high; a clear breakout is needed to confirm continuation. 4,379: Higher resistance at the previous ATH – next target if 4,352 is broken successfully. 4️⃣ Main Scenarios Bullish scenario: Hold above 4,257 → rebound toward 4,352 → extend to 4,379. Short-term bearish scenario: Break below 4,257 → deeper correction toward the lower trendline of the ascending channel before new buying interest appears. Trading Plan BUY GOLD: 4,257 – 4,255 Stop Loss: 4,245 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips SELL GOLD: 4,379 – 4,381 Stop Loss: 4,391 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
XAUUSD Bullish Channel Continuation – Buy Zone to 4,370 TargetMarket Structure Clear bullish structure: Price is making higher highs and higher lows inside an ascending channel. Momentum remains constructive despite a short consolidation near the top of the channel. --- Key Zones Identified 🔵 Support / Buy Zone (Demand) 4,314 – 4,332 This zone aligns with: Previous breakout area Mid-to-lower channel support Likely area for bullish reaction on pullbacks As long as price holds above ~4,314, bullish bias remains valid. --- 🔴 Invalidation / Risk Level Below ~4,315 A clean breakdown below this level would: Break the channel structure Signal short-term trend weakness Open downside toward deeper support --- 🟢 Target / Resistance Primary target: ~4,368 – 4,371 This level represents: Channel top resistance Marked “TARGET POINT” on the chart Logical take-profit area for longs Expect profit-taking or rejection on first test. --- Trade Idea Logic (Based on Chart) Bias: Bullish continuation Entry: Pullback into 4,314–4,332 Stop: Below 4,315 (or below channel support) Target: 4,368–4,371 Risk–Reward: Favorable (roughly 1:2+ depending on entry) --- What to Watch Next Bullish confirmation in the buy zone (strong wicks, bullish engulfing, momentum candles) Volume expansion on the push toward the target Failure to hold channel support = setup invalid --- Summary 📈 Trend: Bullish 🧭 Strategy: Buy the dip within the channel ⚠️ Risk: Channel breakdown below 4,315 🎯 Reward: Retest of 4,370 resistance
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Moriss365
XAU/USD Bullish Breakout | Trend Continuation SetupPrice has respected the bullish trendline and recently broke above the key resistance zone. After the breakout, we are observing a potential retest near the entry level around 4,297. If the trend holds, the next target area is 4,366, aligning with the previous structure and momentum. Invalidation remains below 4,193, where the bullish bias would weaken. This analysis is based on trend structure and EMA alignment, suggesting continuation if price sustains above the breakout zone. This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Revan_Dynasty_Trades
2
Gold Reaches Range High: Liquidity Play Before the Real MoveGold is currently trading within a broad range. Friday’s price action suggests that sellers have stepped in, indicating potential distribution at these levels. My base scenario is a move higher toward the range high / ATH to draw in breakout buyers, followed by a downside reaction. I will not act on bias alone — confirmation is required. I’ll be looking for a lower-timeframe market structure shift before considering any short exposure. If this scenario plays out, we could see a deviation above the range high and an aggressive sell-off targeting the ~3900 area. I’ll share updates as the setup develops — follow for further analysis.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Almenio
XAUUSD – Short-Term Distribution, Pullback LikelyBuy-Side Liquidity: Cleared above ~4330–4350 Premium Zone: Current price region Expected Draw on Liquidity: Lower Key HTF PD Array: H4–D1 Demand / Discount Zone: 4180 – 4160 ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects a probabilistic market scenario, not a trading signal. Markets can invalidate any bias at any time. Always manage risk appropriately and confirm entries with your own model.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by setrader33
XAUUSD 1H – Bullish Continuation Setup (Buy the Pullback to Dema Market Structure Overall bias: Bullish Price previously made a strong impulsive move up, breaking out of consolidation. The sharp bearish candle looks like a liquidity sweep / stop hunt, not a trend reversal. Price is now consolidating above the demand zone, suggesting accumulation. --- 📦 Key Zones 🔴 Demand / Buy Zone 4263.16 – 4282.56 This zone acted as previous consolidation + bullish base Long lower wicks indicate strong buying pressure 🟢 Resistance / Target Zone 4331 – 4335 Clearly marked as TARGET POINT Previous high / supply area → logical TP --- 📈 Trade Idea (As the chart suggests) Primary Setup: Buy the pullback Entry: Inside 4263 – 4282 Stop Loss: Below 4260 Target: 4331 – 4335 Risk–Reward: Very favorable (≈ 1:3 or better) --- 🧠 Confirmation to Watch Before entry, look for: Bullish engulfing or strong bullish close on 1H / 30M Long lower wicks rejecting the red zone No strong bearish close below 4260 --- ⚠️ Invalidation Hourly close below 4260 → setup fails Would signal deeper correction instead of continuation --- 📌 Summary Trend: Bullish continuation Zone: Healthy pullback into demand Target: Clear and logical This is a classic buy-the-dip structure, not a breakout chase
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDLong
by Moriss365
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD 12 12 2025 Momentum D1: Daily momentum has already entered the overbought zone, indicating that the strength of the current upward cycle is weakening. If D1 momentum confirms a bearish reversal, it may signal the completion of this entire upward phase. H4: H4 momentum has converged tightly, which also reflects a loss of bullish strength. We need to wait for a bearish candle to confirm a momentum reversal on this timeframe. H1: H1 momentum is preparing to turn upward from the oversold zone, suggesting a short-term upward swing may appear first on the H1 timeframe. Wave Structure D1: With D1 momentum now in the overbought zone and price approaching our projected targets, the green wave C is likely nearing completion. Once wave C finishes, the purple wave X will also complete. When D1 momentum confirms a reversal, that level will likely become the wave X top, followed by a decline into the purple wave Y. H4: Price broke above yesterday’s high, which increases the probability that wave 4 has already completed. After wave 4 completes, the market continues higher into wave 5 (green). The projected target for wave 5 is around 4334. H1: The corrective structure appears to have formed a triangle (abcde) for the green wave 4. In the current advance, price is developing a 5-wave sequence in red, and we are currently in red wave 3. Inside red wave 3, a smaller 5-wave black structure is unfolding, and the market is now correcting within black wave 4. Red wave 3 target: around 4311 Black wave 4 shows characteristics of a flat correction, with a target near 4260 However, H4 momentum is tightly compressed — something I do not prefer, because this condition often carries the risk of a momentum reversal. If H4 confirms a bearish momentum turn, the market could produce a decline lasting roughly 4–5 H4 candles, pushing price deeper. For now, the upward momentum from H1 is still supportive. Trading Plan I select the 4260 area as the preferred buy zone to trade upward into black wave 5, targeting 4311. One important note: if green wave 4 is indeed a triangle as labeled, then green wave 5 can accelerate very quickly. After that, a reversal is likely, because triangles typically appear right before the end of a larger trend. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4261 – 4259 SL: 4248 TP1: 4292 TP2: 4311
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX