Gold(XAUUSD) Buy prediction for December 2025I took gold dollar long trade after price of it reaches bottom /Supply level and bounced toward demand zone. Also it formed Valley shape which show that it may result to a inverted head and shoulder which end result led to bullish movement. So i took a buy.
Xauusdidea
XAU/USD Bullish Setup | Smart Money Still Supporting Gold🟡 Asset
XAU/USD — GOLD vs U.S. DOLLAR
Metals Market Opportunity Blueprint (Day Trade)
📈 Market Plan
🟢 Bullish Bias Active
Gold continues to show strong bullish structure, supported by sustained buying pressure and safe-haven demand. Momentum remains intact until major resistance is reached.
🎯 Entry Strategy
🛒 Buy at any price level
(Traders may scale entries based on personal strategy, confirmation, or risk model.)
🛑 Stop Loss
⚠️ This is thief SL @ 4250
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s),
I am not recommending you to use only my SL.
Risk management is your responsibility — trade based on your own plan.
🏁 Target Zone
🎯 Target @ 4450
Strong resistance zone
Overbought conditions likely
Bull trap & correction risk increases here
📌 Kindly secure profits near this zone if price shows rejection.
⚠️ Important Risk Note
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s),
I am not recommending you to use only my TP.
Market behavior decides — protect capital and manage profits wisely.
🔗 RELATED PAIRS & CORRELATION TO WATCH ($-Based)
💵 USD Index (DXY)
Inverse correlation with Gold
Weak USD = bullish fuel for XAU/USD
Strong USD rallies may slow gold upside
🟡 XAG/USD (Silver)
Strong positive correlation with Gold
Silver strength often confirms gold continuation
Divergence may warn of short-term exhaustion
🇺🇸 US10Y / US Treasury Yields
Rising yields = pressure on gold
Falling yields = supportive for bullish gold flows
📊 SPX / NAS100 (US Indices)
Risk-off sentiment boosts gold demand
Equity pullbacks often coincide with gold strength
💱 EUR/USD
Dollar-driven pair
EUR/USD strength often aligns with XAU/USD upside due to USD weakness
🧠 Key Takeaway
Gold remains bullish until proven otherwise, but 4450 is not a buy zone — it’s a decision zone.
Trade smart, protect profits, and let price confirm the next move.
💬 If this idea adds value, drop a like 👍, comment your view, and follow for consistent market blueprints.
XAUUSD – Bullish Continuation Structure Above Range SupportThe chart shows a constructive bullish structure forming above the 4,331–4,334 support band. After breaking through the mid‑range resistance earlier, price has continued to hold above previous consolidation. The recent retest of the highlighted zone suggests that buyers are still defending structure.
The upper zones around 4,347 and 4,360 remain the next areas of interest. If price maintains strength above support, the chart illustrates how continuation toward the upper marked region around 4,380 could develop. This setup reflects a steady bullish bias based purely on structural behavior and repeated higher‑level rejections turning into support.
Key chart zones:
Support Holding: 4,331–4,334
Bullish Continuation Zone: 4,347–4,360
Upside Expansion Area: ~4,380
DISCLAIMER: EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
Looking forward to the important news releases on December 181️⃣ Trend & Trendline
Main trend: Medium-term uptrend remains intact.
Rising trendline (solid): Price is holding above it → a key dynamic support.
Rising trendline (dashed): Secondary support below, used to confirm a breakdown if the main trendline is lost.
Price structure: Higher Lows are still being maintained → no trend reversal signal yet.
2️⃣ Key Support Levels
4,305: Dynamic support + EMA → losing this level would weaken bullish momentum.
4,260: Strong confluence zone (Fibo + demand zone) → critical support.
3️⃣ Key Resistance Levels
4,350: Short-term resistance – price is reacting strongly here.
4,373 (Fibo 3.618): Intermediate technical barrier.
4,400: Major resistance / extension target – strong profit-taking zone.
🎯 Scenarios
Holding above the trendline + 4,300:
→ Favor BUY following the trend, targets at 4,350 → 4,400.
Trendline break & loss of 4,260:
→ Trend weakens → look for SELL on pullbacks, targets 4,220 – 4,200.
📌 Trade Setup
BUY GOLD: 4260 – 4258
Stop Loss: 4248
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4400 – 4402
Stop Loss: 4412
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
XAUUSD – Watching for a Bullish Continuation From Retest ZoneGold has returned to a mid‑range support zone around 4,302–4,312, an area that previously acted as demand during the last impulsive move. Price is holding above this zone after retesting it, and the reaction here is important for continuation.
If buyers maintain control, the next resistance sits near 4,325, where the market has shown repeated reactions earlier in the session. A break and hold above that region opens the way for further upside structure.
The invalidation level remains around 4,277, as a move below this support would shift the current bullish bias and break the recent accumulation base.
Levels Marked on Chart:
Buy Interest Zone: 4,302 – 4,312
Resistance: 4,325
Invalidation: 4,277
DISCLAIMER : This is an educational chart and for market structure discussion only.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 17/12/2025
1. Momentum
D1 (Daily)
After the D1 candle closed, the daily momentum is currently compressed. This condition does not invalidate the ongoing bullish move, but it also does not confirm a reversal yet. We still need to wait for a clear momentum confirmation on D1.
H4
H4 momentum is also compressing and showing early signs of a potential reversal. At this stage, there is no confirmed bearish H4 candle, so the correct approach is to remain patient and observe.
H1
H1 momentum is weakening, suggesting that a short-term pullback or sideways movement may be developing on the H1 timeframe.
2. Elliott Wave Structure
D1 Wave Structure
The D1 wave count remains largely unchanged. With daily momentum still compressed, it is possible that price may produce one to two more bullish D1 candles.
The upside target near 4396 is still valid to complete wave X.
H4 Wave Structure
Although H4 momentum has reached the overbought zone, price failed to break the previous high at 4354. This is an early warning signal that bullish momentum is weakening.
While the signal is not yet strong enough to confirm a reversal, it supports the potential development of a bearish wave Y, as discussed in previous plans.
H1 Wave Structure
The failure of price to break the H4 high while momentum reached overbought creates two main scenarios on H1:
Scenario 1 – Corrective triangle (abcde – blue):
+ Price may be in the final phase of a triangle correction.
+ If price drops below the lower boundary to complete wave e, the expected termination zone is around 4284.
+Currently, price is still trading above the POC (green area), so it is possible that wave e has already completed.
+ In that case, a break above the b–d trendline would confirm a breakout entry.
Scenario 2 – Impulsive 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5 – black):
+Price is currently forming wave 2 (black).
+The projected target for wave 2 is also near 4284.
👉 Key Confluence Zone:
Both scenarios converge around 4284, making this area a high-probability Buy zone.
⚠️ Risk Note:
If price closes below 4274, we must be prepared for a deeper downside scenario, and the current Buy plan should be reconsidered.
3. Trading Plan
Buy Zone: 4285 – 4283
Stop Loss: 4273
Take Profit 1: 4329
Take Profit 2: 4353
Take Profit 3: 4365
Gold (XAU/USD) – 2H Bullish SetupPrice has respected the rising channel and recently broke above the entry zone, signaling potential continuation toward the marked target.
Entry Zone: 4,215
Target: 4,251
Invalidation: 4,169
This analysis is based on trend structure and price action. For educational purposes only, not financial advice.
DISCLAIMER : THIS IS JUST FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSRE I AM NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR
Gold: a strengthening impulse in actionGold continues to hold within the framework of a short-term uptrend. After a correction, prices have returned to growth and are striving to consolidate above local highs. The wave structure indicates the sequential development of upward impulses, where pullbacks appear more like temporary pauses than full-fledged reversals.
The chart shows that the price remains above key support zones, while buyers are gradually increasing pressure.
Fundamentally, gold is supported by expectations of dovish Federal Reserve policy and demand for safe-haven assets amid global uncertainty. The decline in U.S. bond yields also enhances the attractiveness of XAUUSD.
As a result, the market is showing signs of forming a new upward wave, where the next stage will depend on buyers’ ability to maintain initiative and consolidate above current levels.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD December 18, 2025
1. Momentum Analysis
Daily (D1)
Daily momentum is showing early signs of a bearish reversal. However, confirmation is still required by waiting for today’s D1 candle close.
If the reversal is confirmed, this would suggest that Wave X is topping, and price is likely to move lower following D1 momentum to complete Wave Y.
H4
H4 momentum is currently declining. In the near term, this suggests:
- A corrective decline on H4, or
- Sideway consolidation until H4 momentum reverses back to the upside
H1
H1 momentum is showing signs of a bullish reversal, indicating:
- A potential short-term upward move, or
- Continued sideways movement within a tightening range
2. Elliott Wave Structure
Daily (D1)
The D1 wave structure remains largely unchanged from the previous plan.
However, with D1 momentum weakening and starting to reverse, the probability of a Wave X top forming within today or the next few sessions is increasing.
H4
On H4, price may still be developing Wave 5 (blue) of Wave C (red) within the larger Wave X structure.
Given that the D1 structure resembles a Flat pattern, a move toward or equal to Wave 3 high near 4396 remains a realistic scenario.
H1
Within Wave 5 (blue), we can observe an internal 5-wave structure (red).
At this stage, price may be forming:
- Wave 4 (red), or
- Wave 5 (red), depending on upcoming price behavior
Current advances are:
- Overlapping
- Lacking clear impulsive strength
When combined with declining H4 momentum, this leads to two primary scenarios.
3. Main Scenarios
🔹 Scenario 1: Wave 4 Triangle
Price remains in Wave 4, developing a triangle structure.
In this case:
- Wave d is likely complete
- Price is currently forming Wave e
📌 The expected termination zone for Wave e:
- Aligns with a bullish reversal in H4 momentum
- Converges with the lower boundary of the triangle
From Volume Profile analysis:
- Price is currently trading around the POC (Point of Control), which also aligns with the Wave 3 top
- Below, the 4301 zone represents a key liquidity boundary → this is the primary expectation for Wave e completion
- Further below, 4271 marks a strong High–Low volume boundary
⚠️ A daily close below 4271 would significantly increase the probability of a deeper bearish scenario.
🔹 Scenario 2: Wave 5 (Red) – Ending Triangle
Another high-probability scenario is that price is currently within Wave 5 (red).
This Wave 5 may be forming an Ending Triangle with an internal 5-wave black structure.
Key characteristics:
- Gradually rising price
- Strong overlap
- Weakening momentum
In this scenario:
- Price should remain supported above the current POC
- A final push higher toward 4365 is expected
- Completion of Wave 5 would likely be followed by a sharp and steep bearish move, which is typical after an ending triangle
📌 This scenario requires additional price confirmation, and updates will be provided as structure becomes clearer.
4. Trading Plan
Buy Zone: 4302 – 4300
Stop Loss: 4290
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 4332
TP2: 4365
TP3: 4393
Gold (XAUUSD) Long Setup Toward 4,360 Resistance”Structure & Trend
The price is moving within a rising channel, shown by the two upward-sloping blue trendlines.
Recent candles are near the lower support line of the channel, indicating a possible bounce if the trend holds.
2️⃣ Support Zone
The red highlighted area around 4,270 – 4,292 looks like the key demand/support zone.
This is also the proposed stop-loss region on the chart.
If price dips into this zone and holds, it aligns with a long (buy) setup.
3️⃣ Target / Resistance
The horizontal blue line near 4,356 – 4,360 is labeled as the target point, representing:
channel resistance
previous swing highs
This is the take-profit zone for the depicted long setup.
4️⃣ Trade Idea the Chart Illustrates
The chart is visualizing this plan:
Wait for price to test or approach the lower channel/support zone.
Enter long around that reaction area.
Stop-loss just below red zone (below ~4,270).
Target near upper channel boundary (~4,360).
5️⃣ Risk–Reward
The green rectangle suggests a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Reward (approx. +40 points) is larger than risk (~−30 points).
6️⃣ Scenarios
Bullish case
Price respects lower trendline support.
Bounces toward 4,350+.
Bearish invalidation
A break and close below the red zone
would indicate channel breakdown
invalidating long bias.
Gold price movements following the NF report on December 17th.1️⃣ Trend Structure & Trendline
🔹 Main Trend
The market is currently in a medium-term uptrend:
Higher Lows are being formed
Highs are approaching or exceeding previous highs (potential Higher High)
The ascending trendline (below) is still intact → acting as the backbone of the current trend
👉 Only a decisive break below this rising trendline would invalidate the medium-term uptrend.
🔹 Short-term Descending Trendline (Upper)
The descending trendline above is pressuring price in the short term
It acts as a dynamic resistance, where selling pressure appears on rallies
Price is currently compressing between the descending trendline (above) and support (below) → a consolidation phase before a strong move
📌 A clear breakout above the descending trendline = confirmation of trend continuation to the upside.
2️⃣ Key Resistance
🔴 Major Resistance Zone: 4,380
This zone represents:
A previous high
A clear supply zone
If price breaks into this area:
Strong profit-taking and volatility are likely
Confirmation is required (strong close, good volume) for continuation
👉 A sustainable bullish move is only confirmed when price breaks and holds above 4,379.
3️⃣ Key Support
🟢 Near-term Support: 4,277
This zone includes:
Confluence with moving averages
A price level with multiple reactions
Role: Healthy pullback support
👉 Holding above this level keeps the short-term uptrend intact.
🟢 Deeper Support: 4,258
A structural support level
If price breaks below 4,277:
A retest of 4,258 is highly likely
This is a trend-decision zone
📌 A breakdown below 4,258 significantly increases the probability of price returning to the major ascending trendline below.
4️⃣ Trading Plan
🟢 BUY GOLD: 4258 – 4256
Stop Loss: 4246
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
🔴 SELL GOLD: 4379 – 4381
Stop Loss: 4391
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
XAUUSD | 1H | Market Structure UpdateGold remains in a high-timeframe bullish structure, but price is currently pausing within a key consolidation range after the impulsive move higher. This consolidation is forming just below the all-time high (ATH), suggesting the market is building orders rather than reversing.
Price has already swept prior sell-side liquidity, and the current range appears to be a re-accumulation phase. As long as price holds above the previous breakout base, bullish continuation remains the higher-probability scenario.
A clean breakout and close above the consolidation high is required to confirm strength and open the path toward a ATH expansion. Without that confirmation, price may continue ranging or perform a deeper retracement into demand before the next leg higher.
Bias: Bullish continuation
Confirmation: Strong close above consolidation resistance
Target: All-Time High and potential price discovery
Invalidation: Sustained acceptance below the consolidation support
Patience is key here — let the market show its hand before committing.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – December 16, 2025
1. Momentum
D1 (Daily):
Daily momentum is showing signs of a bearish reversal. However, we must wait for today’s D1 candle to close to confirm this signal. This is a critical confirmation, as it will determine whether the market has formed a medium-term top.
H4:
H4 momentum is currently in the oversold zone and is preparing for a bullish reversal. Once confirmed, we can expect a technical rebound lasting approximately 4–5 H4 candles.
H1:
H1 momentum remains bearish and is moving toward the oversold area. We will wait for price to reach oversold conditions and for momentum to confirm a bullish reversal, which would signal a short-term H1 corrective rally.
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2. Elliott Wave Structure
D1:
With D1 momentum turning down, if today’s daily candle confirms the reversal, price is likely forming the top of the purple wave X. After wave X completes, the market may enter purple wave Y, which is most likely developing as a Flat correction.
→ The projected target for wave Y is near the 3888 zone.
H4:
Price is currently trading within green wave 5. Once this wave 5 completes, it will also mark the completion of wave C and wave X on the higher timeframe.
Given that H4 momentum is oversold, a short-term upward move is expected before the broader structure completes.
H1:
The current decline is likely forming a red 1–2–3–4–5 structure within green wave 5. At this stage, price is developing red wave 4.
This red wave 4 is unfolding as a Flat corrective structure, consistent with the scenario outlined in yesterday’s plan.
Target for red wave C: around 4260
Above this level, 4274 represents a high-liquidity / low-liquidity boundary
Therefore, when price reaches the 4260–4274 zone, we will combine this area with H1 momentum bullish confirmation to look for long entries.
Expected targets for red wave 5:
Target 1: 4365
Target 2: 4393
3. Key Notes
As discussed in previous plans, the recent rebound did not reach the 4353 level. This does not invalidate the scenario in which green wave 5 completes near this area (refer to the weekly plan).
Therefore, if:
D1 momentum confirms a bearish reversal at today’s close, and
The upcoming H4 rebound fails to break above 4353,
→ We must be prepared for the scenario in which purple wave Y on the D1 timeframe has already begun.
4. Trading Plan
Buy Zone: 4261 – 4259
Stop Loss: 4240
Take Profit 1: 4286
Take Profit 2: 4319
Take Profit 3: 4365
XAUUSD CHART H1 TARGET POINT 4320 BUYING CONTINUE42801. Price Action: The candlestick chart shows a price movement that has broken out of a previous range, indicating a potential shift in momentum. A red moving average line smooths the price trend.
2. Sell & Buy Levels:
- A Sell signal is marked at 4,197.835, suggesting a prior bearish trigger.
- A Buy signal appears at 4,198.425, indicating a reversal or entry point for a long position.
3. Target Point: The green box highlights an upside target at 4,221.876, representing the expected profit zone if the bullish move continues.
4. Support Zone: A red shaded area shows a demand/support range between 4,182.214 and 4,174.145. This zone acts as a safety level where buyers might step in if the price drops.
5. Trading Strategy Implication: The setup suggests entering a long position once the price confirms above the buy level (~4,198.425), aiming for the target at 4,221.876. The stop‑loss could be placed below the support zone (near 4,174.145) to manage risk.
6. Additional Note: The “1?” marker likely indicates a potential reversal or breakout point that traders should watch for confirmation before acting.
In short, the chart guides a bullish trade with a defined entry (4,198.425), target (4,221.876), and support‑risk zone (4,174–4,182).
How will gold prices fluctuate before major news is released? 1️⃣ Trend & Trendline
Price is moving within a medium-term ascending channel (two black trendlines).
After a strong breakout, price is pulling back toward the upper trendline of the channel → this is a key decision zone for the short-term trend.
The overall structure remains Higher High – Higher Low, indicating that the main trend is still intact.
2️⃣ Key Support
4,257: Confluence support zone (trendline + previous price structure).
→ Holding above this level: favor a recovery in line with the bullish trend.
→ Losing this level: price may slide toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
3️⃣ Resistance / Targets
4,352: Near-term resistance – previous high; a clear breakout is needed to confirm continuation.
4,379: Higher resistance at the previous ATH – next target if 4,352 is broken successfully.
4️⃣ Main Scenarios
Bullish scenario: Hold above 4,257 → rebound toward 4,352 → extend to 4,379.
Short-term bearish scenario: Break below 4,257 → deeper correction toward the lower trendline of the ascending channel before new buying interest appears.
Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4,257 – 4,255
Stop Loss: 4,245
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,379 – 4,381
Stop Loss: 4,391
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
Buy Gold Now... (Xau/usdXAUUSD (GOLD) was recently in a short term downtrend for a few weeks but has now shown some clear bullish movements ahead. XAUUSD (Gold) has broken out of a downward trend channel that was acting as strong resistance, The price is very likely to head to the next strong resistance level which is marked as the take profit zone (green line). Time to buy gold XAUUSD now.






















