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GOLD & NONFARM – BREAKOUT OR CORRECTION?📌 Market Overview The global financial markets are closely watching the upcoming U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on March 7. As one of the most anticipated economic releases of the month, it is expected to trigger significant market volatility. 🔥 Geopolitical Uncertainty & The Impact on Gold & USD (DXY) US trade policies toward China and other key economies continue to fuel uncertainty, leading to increased demand for gold as a safe haven. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains highly volatile, directly influencing gold price movements. Investors are waiting for Nonfarm data to determine whether gold will break new all-time highs (ATH) or undergo a correction. ⚡ Expected Price Movements Gold is currently consolidating within a broad range of 2929 - 2892, a level it has held throughout the week. Based on historical Nonfarm Payroll data, today’s price swing is expected to be between 45-50 points, possibly reaching 60 points! This presents a major trading opportunity, with the key being to catch the breakout direction. 📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels – Breakout Watch 🔺 Resistance Levels: 2920 - 2928 - 2943 - 2954 🔻 Support Levels: 2892 - 2884 - 2872 - 2859 - 2838 🚀 Trading Strategy for Today Gold is still trading within a range-bound structure, with no confirmed breakout yet. Wait for a breakout confirmation before entering trades. A market update will be provided before the Nonfarm release to refine the strategy. 🎯 Trading Plan for Today 🟢 BUY ZONE: Entry: 2874 - 2872 ❌ Stop Loss (SL): 2868 🎯 Target (TP): 2878 - 2882 - 2886 - 2890 - 2895 - 2900 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 2952 - 2954 ❌ Stop Loss (SL): 2958 🎯 Target (TP): 2948 - 2944 - 2940 - 2935 - 2930 📌 Key Trading Reminders 💥 Nonfarm data is expected to create high volatility – prepare for sharp moves! ✔ Stick to TP/SL to avoid excessive risk exposure. ✔ Wait for clear breakout confirmation before opening positions. ✔ Manage risk effectively and control emotions – today could be a decisive market moment! 📢 Do you think gold will break to new highs or face a correction? Share your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Moves Back Into an Uptrend ChannelOver the last five trading sessions, the price of the precious metal has recovered more than 3% as uncertainty surrounding the new 25% tariffs on countries like Mexico and Canada remains constant. In the past two sessions, the price has maintained steady neutrality as the market awaits the release of the U.S. NFP data tomorrow. Initially, expectations point to an increase of 159K new jobs compared to the 143K reported in the previous release. Upward Channel: Since late December 2024, gold has attempted to sustain a short-term upward channel, which saw a breakout last week around the $2,850 per ounce price zone. However, in recent sessions, the price has re-entered the bullish formation and continues to show slight buying momentum, keeping the channel intact for now. MACD: Currently, the histogram remains oscillating below the neutral 0 line, but an increasingly bullish outlook has started to emerge. As long as the MACD histogram does not consistently diverge further from the neutral line, the selling pressure from previous sessions could gradually weaken, reinforcing a potential bullish perspective on the chart. Key Levels: $3K: A tentative resistance level, situated in a price zone that gold has never reached in its history. Sustained buying momentum reaching this level could reinforce the bullish bias and further strengthen the current upward channel. $2.9K: A nearby support level, located at the lower boundary of the current bullish channel. Persistent selling pressure below this level could reinforce the bearish bias and pose a threat to the current upward trend. $2.7K: A definitive support level, positioned at the 50-period simple moving average. Price fluctuations reaching this level could trigger a new sideways movement in the short term and eliminate the clarity of the current bullish direction. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Gold shock pulls long and short without continuationTechnical analysis of gold: Gold has been volatile in the past two days, and the bull-bear game is also fierce. Yesterday, the daily cross star, the data released many positive news, gold did not rise sharply, but the gold rebounded in a V-shaped dive at the end of the day, and finally closed at the opening position. Gold hit a new high of 2929 but did not continue the upward trend, and continued to hover at a high level. Today's idea is to seize the opportunity of its hovering and stepping back. At present, the bulls still need to continue to rush up from the daily line. This week is a data week. It is estimated that the bulls will rise repeatedly and will not come so cleanly. The big V bull trend of the daily line has been determined, and we need to follow the trend later. The current gold price has entered a very obvious high-level consolidation stage. Combined with the non-agricultural data to be released tomorrow, it is highly likely that it will continue to consolidate in the 2894-2930 range today. For today's short-term operation strategy for gold, it is recommended to do more on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2930-2932 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2890-2894 line of support. Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2927-2930, stop loss 8 points, target around 2915-2900, break to see 2895 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2893-2895, stop loss 8 points, target around 2910-2920, break to see 2930 line;
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by x7p2x7p2
Gold bulls suffered a Waterloo?Gold's upward surge this morning still failed to break through the suppression of 2930, indicating that the suppression from above is still very strong. In the afternoon, we gave a real-time long order at the current price of 2897-2900. Gold is still oscillating in the large range of 2893-2930 in the hourly period. Gold fluctuated in this range before the release of non-agricultural data. The support below the hourly line is around 2893-97. It is still possible to bet on an increase at present, and more than ten points are no problem. It depends on whether there is a chance to pull up before the US market. The recent rise and fall are very large, and we must strictly take losses in operations. From the current 4-hour analysis, the lower support in the evening will continue to focus on the 2893-2897 line, and the upper pressure will focus on around 2930-35. In the evening, we will continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, we should watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Gold operation strategy: When gold rebounds, go long on the 2893-2897 line, cover long positions on the 2885-88 line, stop loss at 2878, target the 2930-35 line, and continue to hold if the position is broken;
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by x7p2x7p2
Gold shock pulls long and short without continuationTechnical analysis of gold: Gold has been volatile in the past two days, and the bull-bear game is also fierce. Yesterday, the daily cross star, the data released many positive news, gold did not rise sharply, but the gold rebounded in a V-shaped dive at the end of the day, and finally closed at the opening position. Gold hit a new high of 2929 but did not continue the upward trend, and continued to hover at a high level. Today's idea is to seize the opportunity of its hovering and stepping back. At present, the bulls still need to continue to rush up from the daily line. This week is a data week. It is estimated that the bulls will rise repeatedly and will not come so cleanly. The big V bull trend of the daily line has been determined, and we need to follow the trend later. The current gold price has entered a very obvious high-level consolidation stage. Combined with the non-agricultural data to be released tomorrow, it is highly likely that it will continue to consolidate in the 2894-2930 range today. For today's short-term operation strategy for gold, it is recommended to do more on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2930-2932 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2890-2894 line of support. Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2927-2930, stop loss 8 points, target around 2915-2900, break to see 2895 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2893-2895, stop loss 8 points, target around 2910-2920, break to see 2930 line;
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by x7p2x7p2
Has gold risen and fall peaked?Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that it is mainly long for pullbacks and short for rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper short-term focus on the 2950-2954 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the 2918-2910 line support. Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Gold rebounds around 2950-2953 and shorts two-tenths of positions in batches, stop loss at 8 points, target around 2935-2920, break the position and look at the 2915 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Gold pulls back around 2913-2916 and goes long in batches of two-tenths of positions, stop loss at 8 points, target around 2920-2930, break the position and look at the 2940 line;
TVC:GOLDLong
by x7p2x7p2
Gold is waiting to break new highs, and the callback in late traFrom a technical perspective, the current upper 2924-2930 range has become a resistance zone for further increases in gold prices. The stability of the market bottom shape and the overall stronger trend in late trading indicate that gold prices are expected to break through this resistance in the future and set a new intraday high. At the same time, the 2912-2907 area below provides solid support for gold prices and provides a strong guarantee for the continuation of the bullish trend. Therefore, in the late trading operation, we recommend that investors mainly go long on callbacks. Late trading operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go long in the 2918-2913 area, stop loss at 2907, and the target is 2930-2940.
TVC:GOLDLong
by x7p2x7p2
Gold is about to see a waterfallToday's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the 2940-2942 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2906-2910 first-line support. All friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are based on intraday real-time Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2940-2942, stop loss 6 points, target around 2930-2920, break to see 2910 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2908-2910, stop loss 6 points, target around 2920-2930, break to see 2940 line;
TVC:GOLDLong
by x7p2x7p2
2
Will gold fall again after rebounding?Gold is suppressed by the double top structure in the 4-hour period. Gold rebounded to 2905 and then fell back directly. Gold rebounded to 2905 in the afternoon and continued to go short on highs. The gold short position has just begun and there is no fear of rebound. Gold is just rebounding. Gold will go short directly after the rebound to 2905. Gold will fall as expected and be harvested first. Gold is still just a rebound and will continue to go short on the rebound. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that shorting will be the main focus on rebounds, and longs will be supplemented by callbacks. The upper short-term focus will be on the 2903-2905 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus will be on the 2864-2834 first-line support. Friends, you must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operations. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday. Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches near 2903-2905 when gold rebounds, stop loss 6 points, target near 2890-2875, break to see 2865 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches near 2864-2866 when gold pulls back, stop loss 6 points, target near 2875-2885, break to see 2895 line;
TVC:GOLDLong
by x7p2x7p2
1
Can gold break through the high-level fluctuations?Gold technical analysis: Yesterday, the gold price fluctuated and rebounded all the way. Today's early trading is close to the historical high of 2940 again. So can it successfully break through 2940 and set a new historical high again? The more times a position is tested, the greater the probability of breaking. Therefore, the probability of gold prices reaching a new high is very high. At present, the support below is mainly in the 2915-2910 area. In addition, we also know that last year’s market also tested retracements near consecutive historical highs. Then there was a retracement near 2940 on Friday last week. Today’s 2940 retracement. I don’t know if 2940 will continue to suppress the retracement in the future. But you can still try a short-term short near 2940. After all, the cost-effectiveness of the retreat here is very high. The defense is very small. The short-term retreat is considerable. Of course, this is an aggressive approach. If you are prudent, wait for the gold price to rise and then participate in the retreat. At present, the author only sees the pressure of 2955. Therefore, if it hits the 2955 line, you can do a good job of risk control and participate in the retreat. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends mainly shorting on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the 2940-2942 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2905-2900 first-line support. Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2940-2942, stop loss 6 points, target around 2930-2920, break to see 2910 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2906-2910, stop loss 6 points, target around 2920-2930, break to see 2940 line;
TVC:GOLDLong
by x7p2x7p2
1
XAUUSD short term very important trading planXAUUSD technical analysis: 4-hour level, yesterday's K-line rebounded strongly relying on ma5 support, the Bollinger Bands opened upward, and the MACD golden cross diverged upward. The current short-term bullish thinking of gold continues. Pay attention to the breakthrough of the support below 2900-2895. If this position is completely held, it will strongly impact the previous high point. If it breaks, it will fluctuate at a high level. But it is worth noting that the market did not continue to rise after touching the 5-day moving average support last night, but consolidated at a high level, and the MACD red column continued to decrease, suggesting that the pressure from above is gradually increasing. Therefore, short-term operations are mainly bullish, not chasing up. Pay attention to the trend of short-term bulls diving due to insufficient kinetic energy after rushing high. The support below is 2900-2895; the resistance above is 2928-2935. The market is changing rapidly, and the specific operation points are subject to real-time signals. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Cryptocurrency_analystBaker
Still short gold, TP: 2895-2885Bros. good morning!!!To be honest, I still hold my short position. In the past two days, gold has fallen back to around 2902-2901 many times. Although I made a good profit in the process, I think the fall of gold has not reached my target expectation, so I continue to maintain the short position for the time being and have not closed the position. According to the current stage, gold has formed a current high point near 2956, and the 2930-2940 zone has also become an important current resistance area. Therefore, I believe that the current rebound of gold is not enough to support gold to continue to rebound and break through the key resistance level. In addition, the situation between Russia and Ukraine is developing towards peace expectations, and the factors supporting gold have decreased again. After the fermentation and digestion of the market in recent days, the positive impact of the tariff issue will gradually weaken. On the technical level, gold is likely to replicate the trend between February 25th and 27th, and fall again after building a double top structure in the short term. So in terms of short-term trading, if you don’t have any positions, you can still continue to short gold and look forward to gold falling back to the 2895-2885 zone.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
XAU/USD (Gold) Multi-Timeframe Analysis – March 3, 2025 a comprehensive trading strategy. ## **1. Market Structure Overview (Multi-Timeframe)** ### **M30 (30-Minute Chart)** - **Equilibrium Zone (~$2,870 - $2,875)** is being tested. - **Previous Day Low (PDL) ~$2,825 is intact**. - **Minor bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) observed**, suggesting a possible retracement. ### **H1 (1-Hour Chart)** - **Bearish Break of Structure (BOS) confirms continued downside bias**. - **Premium Zone (~$2,920 - $2,950) remains a strong resistance**. - **Retracement to equilibrium ($2,875 - $2,885) is likely before further downside**. ### **H4 (4-Hour Chart)** - **Price rejected from the previous weak low (~$2,825)**. - **Liquidity grab occurred, but market remains bearish**. - **Potential retest of previous support at $2,885 - $2,900 before continuing down**. ### **D1 (Daily Chart)** - **Strong BOS confirmed bearish sentiment**. - **Premium rejection zone ~$2,950 remains strong**. - **If price stays below $2,900, further downside to $2,800 - $2,780 is possible**. --- ## **2. Expected Scenarios & Probability** ### **Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (70% Probability)** - If price **rejects $2,880 - $2,885**, the downtrend is expected to continue. - **Target: $2,840 - $2,825**. - **Confirmation:** A bearish candlestick formation in the **$2,875 - $2,885 zone**. ### **Scenario 2: Short-Term Bullish Retracement (30% Probability)** - If price holds above **$2,860**, a short-term retracement to **$2,900 - $2,920** may occur. - **Target: $2,900 - $2,920** before another decline. - **Confirmation:** A **bullish breakout above $2,875**. --- ## **3. Trading Plan** ### **Sell Setup: (Primary Trade - 70% Probability)** - **Entry:** $2,875 - $2,885. - **SL:** $2,905 (Above resistance). - **TP1:** $2,850 (First liquidity level). - **TP2:** $2,840 (Weak low). - **TP3:** $2,825 (Major demand zone). - **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:4. ### **Buy Setup: (Countertrend - 30% Probability)** - **Entry:** $2,860 - $2,865. - **SL:** $2,850 (Below weak low). - **TP1:** $2,880 (Short-term equilibrium). - **TP2:** $2,900 (Key supply zone). - **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:3. --- ## **4. Final Trade Execution Summary:** | Trade Type | Entry | Stop-Loss | Take-Profit 1 | Take-Profit 2 | Take-Profit 3 | R:R | |------------|------|-----------|---------------|---------------|---------------|-----| | **Sell Setup** | $2,875 - $2,885 | $2,905 | $2,850 | $2,840 | $2,825 | 1:4 | | **Buy Setup** | $2,860 - $2,865 | $2,850 | $2,880 | $2,900 | - | 1:3 | --- ## **📌 Additional Execution Tips:** - **Use M5/M15 for precise entries.** - **Wait for confirmation candles before entering.** - **Avoid entering trades during high-impact news releases.** - **Risk per trade:** 1-2% of capital for optimal drawdown control.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by wizzywise1
Gold Market: Is the Bull Run Over or Just a Healthy Correction?OANDA:XAUUSD has been one of the most talked-about assets in recent months, demonstrating a strong uptrend before experiencing a sharp pullback. Traders and investors are now asking: Is this the end of the bull market, or is it just a healthy correction before another leg up? At FuInvest, we analyze the market from three essential perspectives: technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market psychology to provide a comprehensive view of gold’s price action and the best trading strategies moving forward. 1️⃣ Fundamental Analysis: Macro Trends Driving Gold Prices Gold's recent price movements have been heavily influenced by economic and geopolitical factors: U.S. Interest Rates & Federal Reserve Policy 🏦📉 The Fed’s monetary policy remains a key driver of gold prices. While inflation has shown signs of cooling, recent hawkish statements from the Fed suggest interest rates may remain elevated longer than expected. Higher rates generally weaken gold, as they increase the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset. Global Economic Uncertainty & Recession Fears 📉🌍 Concerns over slowing economic growth in China and the Eurozone have increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold. However, a strengthening U.S. dollar has partially offset gold’s upside potential. Geopolitical Risks & Market Sentiment 🔥⚠️ Ongoing geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East have led to periodic spikes in gold prices. However, without a major escalation, the market seems to be focusing more on macroeconomic trends. 2️⃣ Technical Analysis: Decoding the Price Action Daily Chart (D1) – Long-Term Trend Outlook 📊 🔹 Trend: The long-term trend remains bullish, but the recent drop signals a potential shift in momentum. 🔹 Key Support: $2,800 – A critical psychological and technical support zone. 🔹 Key Resistance: $2,900 – A break above this could signal a continuation of the uptrend. 🔹 RSI: Currently at 49.68, indicating a neutral position but approaching oversold territory. 🔹 MACD: Shows a bearish crossover, suggesting short-term downside pressure. 📌 Verdict: The broader trend is still intact, but a deeper pullback toward the $2,800 support level is possible before the next bullish move. 4-Hour Chart (H4) – Medium-Term Perspective 📉 🔹 Recent Price Action: Gold has seen a steady decline but found temporary support around $2,832. 🔹 Volume Analysis: Increased selling volume indicates strong bearish pressure, but signs of buyer accumulation are emerging. 🔹 RSI: 31.22, entering oversold territory, suggesting a potential reversal soon. 🔹 MACD: Strongly bearish but showing signs of divergence, hinting at an upcoming bounce. 📌 Verdict: A short-term rebound is likely, but sustained upside movement requires confirmation above $2,875. 1-Hour Chart (H1) – Short-Term Trading Setup ⚡ 🔹 Current Price: $2,858 🔹 Immediate Resistance: $2,875 – Short-term traders should watch for a breakout. 🔹 Immediate Support: $2,840 – If broken, expect further declines toward $2,810. 🔹 RSI: 35.25, showing short-term oversold conditions. 🔹 MACD: Weak bearish momentum, indicating potential consolidation before the next move. 📌 Verdict: Short-term traders can look for buying opportunities near $2,840 with a stop loss below $2,820. 3️⃣ Market Psychology: How Traders Are Reacting 🤯 Fear & Greed Index: Traders are exhibiting fear, as reflected in gold’s recent sell-off. Historically, such moments create buying opportunities for smart investors. Retail vs. Institutional Sentiment: Retail traders are panicking, while institutional investors are accumulating gold near strong support levels. Liquidity Zones: High trading volumes near $2,850–$2,860 suggest this area will be a battleground for bulls and bears. 🎯 FuInvest Trading Strategy & Recommendations Based on our multi-faceted analysis, here’s the optimal trading plan: 📌 Scenario 1: Buying the Dip (Recommended Strategy) Entry: Buy near $2,840–$2,850 Stop Loss: Below $2,820 (to avoid deeper declines) Take Profit: $2,875–$2,900 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (highly favorable setup) 📌 Scenario 2: Short-Term Sell (If Breakdown Occurs) Entry: Sell if price breaks below $2,840 Stop Loss: Above $2,860 Take Profit: $2,810–$2,800 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 Conclusion: What’s Next for Gold? 🔥 ✅ The long-term bullish trend remains intact, but short-term corrections are creating volatility. ✅ A potential rebound from support at $2,840–$2,850 is likely, offering a buying opportunity. ✅ A break below $2,840 could lead to further downside pressure toward $2,800. ✅ Institutional investors are eyeing key levels for accumulation, signaling possible upside momentum soon. 📣 Stay tuned to FuInvest for daily updates and strategic insights to stay ahead of the market! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by fuinvest
XAUUSD (GOLD) TRADE PLAN 26/2/20251. XAU/USD presents a promising buy opportunity, targeting the $2,920 level as gold continues its bullish trajectory. 2. Strong fundamental drivers, including economic uncertainty and inflationary pressures, support a sustained rally. 3. Technical indicators confirm bullish momentum, with key support holding near recent lows. 4. Institutional demand and central bank purchases further reinforce the upside potential. 5. A weaker USD and dovish Fed stance create an ideal environment for gold’s appreciation. 6. Geopolitical tensions and global risk factors contribute to safe-haven demand. 7. Breakout above key resistance zones suggests a continuation toward the $2,920 target. 8. Gold remains resilient amid market volatility, attracting long-term investors. 9. Trend-following strategies align with bullish sentiment, favoring buy positions. 10. Risk management remains crucial, with stop-loss placements ensuring optimal trade execution.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by XAUUSD-Trade-ideas
3