Get started

Xauusdidea

ATH $3871: Shutdown Fear & 97% Fed Cut Fuel Gold SurgeHello, investors and traders! Gold continues to show phenomenal strength, setting a new ATH at $3,871.45/oz (on Sept 30), and closing at $3,843.43/oz. This gain confirms the strongest September since 2011, solidifying the explosive growth trend for the precious metal. Fundamental Analysis: Politics and the Fed Drive Buying Wave Two core drivers are pushing gold prices higher, making any attempt to call the top extremely risky: Political Instability: The risk of a looming US Government shutdown increases uncertainty, strongly boosting safe-haven demand. Low-Rate Expectations: Weakening jobs data has almost certainly cemented the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates in October. The market is currently pricing in a 97% chance of a Fed rate cut. Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy After a recent shock drop of 70 points, Gold quickly recovered and created a new ATH, proving that buying pressure is overwhelming any profit-taking efforts. The strong upward bias continues. Outlook: Continue to Prioritize Buy given the powerful upward trend and supportive fundamentals. Only attempt a Sell Scalp (short-term short) near psychological resistance levels with an extremely tight Stop Loss (SL). Key Resistance: $3894, $3904, $3914 Key Support: $3869, $3843, $3834 Suggested Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY SCALP Zone: $3870 - $3868 / SL: $3864 TP: $3875 - $3885 - $3900 BUY ZONE Zone: $3834 - $3832 / SL: $3824 TP: $3842 - $3862 - $3892 SELL SCALP (High Risk) Zone: $3904 - $3906 / SL: $3910 TP: $3901 - $3891 - $3876 The market is running on fear and rate-cut anticipation. Are you betting on the $3900 mark this week? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #GovernmentShutdown #TradingView #InterestRates #FinancialMarkets
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAU/USD – Bullish Trendline Support Targeting 3,910–3,950Analysis: The chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe shows a clear upward trajectory supported by a strong ascending trendline. Support Trendline: Price recently retested the rising support line, confirming buyers are still defending this level. Short-Term Pullback: After a sharp drop from the recent high around 3,820–3,830, price has stabilized near the trendline, signaling healthy retracement within a bullish structure. Bullish Scenarios: If price respects the support line, a rebound towards 3,870 and then 3,910 levels is expected. A successful break above 3,910 may open the door toward the next resistance near 3,950. Risk Factor: A sustained break below the support trendline would invalidate the bullish scenario, potentially dragging the price back towards 3,790 or lower. Conclusion: Gold remains in a bullish trend as long as it holds above the support line. Traders may look for buying opportunities on dips, targeting 3,870 → 3,910 → 3,950 in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Gold Going Up Hard , Can We Get 250 Pips From This Wave ?Here is My 15 Min Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move with it and we have a 4H Candle closure above our Res 3872.00 And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3872.00 , and we can be targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore . Reasons To Enter : 1- Perfect Touch For The Area . 2- Clear Bullish Price Action . 3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A . 4- The Price Take The Last High . 5- Perfect 4H Closure .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Elite_Club
Is This the Start of Gold’s Next Major Upside Trend?✨ GOLD vs USD Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing Trade) ✨ 🟡 Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar) 📈 Plan: Bullish Outlook The Thief Strategy 🥷 is in action — using a layering style of limit orders (multiple staged entries). Instead of a single "all-in" shot, we scale in like a smart thief sneaking layer by layer. 🔑 Entry (Layered Style): Possible levels: 3720 / 3730 / 3740 / 3750 (you can increase layers depending on your own plan). The idea: Build positions gradually instead of chasing the candle. 🔒 Stop-Loss Zone (Protect Capital): 3680 (nicknamed the “Thief SL” 🚨). ⚠️ Note: This is just my reference level. Please adjust to your own risk style — don’t just follow blindly. 🎯 Target (Profit-Taking Zone): 3860 (Trend Flip Alert ⚡ – High Voltage Zone). Why? This area aligns with resistance + potential overbought conditions + trap vibes. That’s where I expect smart thieves to escape with their bags 💼. 💡 Reminder for the Thief OGs: I’m not recommending you copy my SL/TP blindly. The market is your playground — grab your profits your way, manage your risk your way. 🔎 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Radar) TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) → Strong inverse correlation with Gold. If DXY weakens, XAU/USD often rallies. TVC:SILVER (XAG/USD) → Precious metals move in packs. Silver strength can be a leading indicator for Gold. BLACKBULL:WTI (USOIL/USD) → Energy inflation links can push Gold higher as a safe haven. SP:SPX (S&P 500 Index) → Risk-on/off sentiment. Equity weakness often boosts safe-haven demand for Gold. 📌 Key Takeaways: Thief Strategy = Layered limit order entries (smart scaling). 🚨 Protect your capital with personalized SL — don’t just copy mine. ⚡ Watch for resistance traps near 3860. 📊 Always monitor correlated assets like DXY, Silver, Oil, S&P 500. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Strategy shared just for fun & educational vibes. Not financial advice. Trade responsibly and manage your own risk. #XAUUSD #GOLD #SwingTrading #TradingStrategy #LayeringStrategy #ThiefStyle #Forex #Commodities #TradingView
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
Gold Hits Record High: US Shutdown Looms - Buy the Dip?Gold just hit a record high of $3,833.37/oz (Sept 29), driven by a surge in safe-haven demand over the potential US Government shutdown (Oct 1) and expectations for FED rate cuts (PCE data confirmed). A slight decline in the USD (0.2%) also offered support. The sharp drop to $3,794 is viewed as likely end-of-month profit-taking, not a fundamental shift. This keeps the Buy opportunity open if US budget tensions escalate. 📈 Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy Gold saw a big shake-out, flushing out FOMO buyers early in the European session. Selling pressure remains, but don't rush to SELL immediately. Watch for a technical bounce to fill the FVG before any potential continuation lower. Key Levels: Resistance: $3827 / $3846 / $3870 Support: $3787 / $3778 / $3763 Detailed Trading Strategy (US Session): 1. BUY Zone (Counter-Trade/Dip Buy): Price Zone: $3784 - $3782 SL (Stop Loss): $3774 TP (Target): $3792 / $3812 / $3832 2. SELL Scalp (Quick Short): Price Zone: $3827 - $3829 SL (Stop Loss): $3833 TP (Target): $3824 / $3814 / $3804 3. SELL Zone (Main Short Entry): Price Zone: $3866 - $3868 SL (Stop Loss): $3876 TP (Target): $3858 / $3838 / $3818 ⚠️ Warning: The US Government shutdown is the core focus. If budget negotiations succeed, Gold could retreat sharply. Use tight SL and manage risk carefully! Will you be buying the dip at $378x or selling the rally at $382x? 👇 #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingStrategy #USShutdown #FED #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #MarketUpdate
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
1
3930 on Mark!!XAUUSD is still intact on bullish rising wedge channel trend towards 3930!! My stance on XAUUSD? I'm buying gold on every DIP ✅️ First point of buying will be 3855-3850 area - if the market drops and for retest on structure support for liquidity sweeps my second buying area will be 3822-3828. -My target will be 3890 then In extension 3930!! - Secondly if H4 candle closes below 3820 then our buying will be compromised & I will wait till the bottom supply zone at 3780 for buying. Additional TIP: Buy the dips
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 01/10/2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still rising but already entering the overbought zone → buying power is weakening. Price may continue to rise or move sideways in the short term, but the risk of reversal is increasing. • H4: Momentum is still pushing upward. Until it reaches the overbought zone and reverses, price can continue to rise or consolidate sideways. • H1: Momentum is moving into oversold territory and preparing to turn upward. This aligns with H4, suggesting another short-term push higher. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1 Wave: Price is still within Wave 5. Yesterday it reached the second target zone – a strong resistance area and potential top. Once D1 momentum reverses in overbought territory, a major correction will be confirmed. Note: If a correction occurs on D1, it will likely last longer than Wave 2 and Wave 4 → avoid catching swing bottoms too early. • H4 Wave: A strong drop yesterday gave sellers momentum, but price quickly recovered and is now testing highs. With both D1 and H4 momentum showing more room to rise, price may still push higher. → Use the H4 price channel as a key observation tool. • H1 Wave: A 5-wave structure (12345 black) is forming. Wave 5 is usually the hardest to predict due to FOMO-driven buying. As warned yesterday, long swing trades are risky. After a sharp drop, price rebounded but momentum signals weakness. Multiple Wave 5 structures are converging near 3885, making this a high-probability reversal zone. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Plan • Sell Zone: 3885 – 3887 • Stop Loss: 3895 • Take Profit: o TP1: 3830 📌 Notes: • This is a sensitive potential top zone → volatility is usually unpredictable. • If selling at 3885, use small position size and strict SL discipline. • Best approach: wait for further confirmation before committing heavily.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAU/USD – Bullish Trendline Support Targeting 3,910–3,950Analysis: The chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe shows a clear upward trajectory supported by a strong ascending trendline. Support Trendline: Price recently retested the rising support line, confirming buyers are still defending this level. Short-Term Pullback: After a sharp drop from the recent high around 3,820–3,830, price has stabilized near the trendline, signaling healthy retracement within a bullish structure. Bullish Scenarios: If price respects the support line, a rebound towards 3,870 and then 3,910 levels is expected. A successful break above 3,910 may open the door toward the next resistance near 3,950. Risk Factor: A sustained break below the support trendline would invalidate the bullish scenario, potentially dragging the price back towards 3,790 or lower. Conclusion: Gold remains in a bullish trend as long as it holds above the support line. Traders may look for buying opportunities on dips, targeting 3,870 → 3,910 → 3,950 in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
The Unstoppable Rise of Gold**Technical Analysis (XAU/USD):** Gold is trading around **$3,816**, showing continued bullish strength along the upward trend line. Price has respected higher lows, confirming buyers remain in control. Key short-term support levels are visible at **$3,797**, **$3,759**, and **$3,718**. As long as price stays above the **$3,718 zone** (major support), the bullish structure remains intact. The chart indicates two bullish scenarios: 1. A direct continuation higher from current levels. 2. A potential retest of the **$3,797 – $3,759 zone** before another push upward. Upside targets in the coming sessions stand between **$3,860 – $3,900**, with further momentum potentially extending beyond **$3,925**. **Fundamental Analysis:** * **Safe-Haven Demand:** Persistent geopolitical uncertainties and global economic slowdown fears are keeping gold attractive as a safe-haven asset. * **Central Bank Policies:** If the Fed maintains a dovish stance or signals rate cuts, real yields may decline, further boosting gold. * **Inflation Hedge:** Despite cooling in some regions, sticky inflation supports long-term gold demand. * **Central Bank Purchases:** Record gold buying by global central banks continues to provide a solid floor under prices. **Conclusion:** Gold remains in a strong bullish phase, with technicals showing steady upward momentum and fundamentals reinforcing demand. Any dips toward **$3,759–$3,718** may offer buying opportunities as long as the trendline holds, while the broader outlook points toward further gains.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
XAUUSD is following the 3930 path !!!XAUUSD is still intact on bullish rising wedge channel trend towards 3930!! In our previous commantary we are expecting 3845 within the next session which gold delivered during Tokyo session. My stance on XAUUSD? I'm expecting bit retracement for again pump. ✅️ First point of buying will be 3785-3795 area , -H4 candle should closes above it for healthy buyingtrade. -My target will be 3830 then 3845. In extension 3930!! - Secondly if H4 candle closes below 3780 then our buying will be compromised & I will wait till the bottom major supply zone at 3745-3735 for buying. Additional TIP: Buy the dips
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 30, 2025 ________________________________________ 🔥 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently bullish. We have 3 consecutive bullish candles so far, meaning there may be only 1–2 more daily candles before momentum reaches the overbought zone → risk of reversal. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is stuck in the overbought zone with 4 consecutive bullish candles. This signals that the bullish force is weakening. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is reversing inside the overbought zone. This shows the bullish force is fading, and price may reverse downward within 1–2 hours. ________________________________________ 🌊 Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Price is moving inside the Elliott channel drawn from wave 2 – wave 4 and wave 3 (yellow). There is not much room left before hitting the upper channel. This matches D1 momentum and the second target zone of wave 5 (yellow). • H4 timeframe: As mentioned in the previous plan, price broke the old high at 3793, confirming wave 5 (purple). However, H4 momentum has been overbought for 4 consecutive candles, signaling that wave 5 (purple) is nearing its end. • H1 timeframe: Currently forming a 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) in black inside wave 5 (purple). All timeframes are showing signals that price is approaching a major top. Although the trend is still bullish, sharp pullbacks of over 100 pips happen frequently, making it very difficult to trade with tight stop-losses. ________________________________________ 🎯 Key Price Levels • Price is now testing the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of wave 1 (black) at 3865. • Upper channels from D1, H4, and H1 converge around 3885. 👉 This is the critical area to look for reversal signals and consider a Sell entry. ________________________________________ 📌 Trading Plan • Swing trades: Be patient, wait for clear signals before entering. • Scalp trades: Possible, but avoid holding positions too long. • Risk management: Strictly apply safe trade management as price is at a potential top zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - The week's last day, I'm bullish over $3800Hi guys, Anfibo's here! OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Strategy Overall Picture: At present, gold (XAUUSD) continues to hold steadily within the H4 bullish channel, without any unusual volatility. The dominant uptrend remains intact, and the market structure still favors buyers. Personally, I remain optimistic that gold will soon head toward a new ATH above $3,800/oz in the medium term. However, in the short term, the market may continue to fluctuate around key support and resistance levels before confirming its next move. Technical Outlook: Short-term trend: Solidly bullish, though momentum is slowing; accumulation may form before the next breakout. > SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES : 3740 - 3723 - 3713 - 3703 > RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES : 3770 - 3777- 3788 - 3799 - 3836 Here's my Trading Plan today: >>> SELL ZONE: ENTRY: 3769 - 3775 SL: 3780 TP: 3740 - 3723 >>> BUY ZONE: ENTRY: 3700 - 3705 SL: 3695 TP: 3760 - 3800 - 3836 Risk Management: - Prioritize buy trades in line with the dominant trend, limit countertrend shorts. - Maintain a R:R ratio of at least 1:2 on all setups. - Manage capital strictly, avoid overtrading during sideways phases before breakout. ✅ Conclusion: Gold is maintaining a stable uptrend on H4, with market structure still supporting buyers. Main scenarios: Buy on dip around 3700 – 3705. A clear move beyond 3780 would likely pave the way toward a new ATH above $3,800. HAVE A NICE WEEKEND, GUYS!!!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ANFIBO_
Gold weekly setup for new athThis chart shows a 1-hour analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar). Price is currently around $3,759, slightly above the key support trend line. Important support levels are marked near $3,755, $3,735, and $3,723, where buyers may step in. The short-term bullish scenario points to a possible rebound from support toward the $3,800 target, with a continuation higher to a new all-time high at $3,817. If the price fails to hold above the support zone, it could retest lower levels before resuming an upward move. Overall, the outlook suggests bullish momentum remains strong, with buyers targeting $3,800–$3,817, but the market may experience pullbacks before continuing higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
16
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 28/09/2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still declining → next week we may continue to see sideways movement or further downside following D1 momentum. • H4: Momentum is also decreasing → on Monday, we expect a continuation of the downtrend. • H1: Momentum is oversold and preparing to rise → during the Asian session on Monday, a short-term upward move is likely. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: o Price is still within wave 5 (yellow). o If D1 momentum enters the oversold zone and then turns upward, but price remains sideways without reaching 3632, then wave 5 (yellow) may still extend toward the second target at 3887. • H4 timeframe: o A corrective WXY structure is forming. o With H4 momentum turning down, it is likely that wave Y is unfolding. • H1 timeframe: o A declining ABC (blue) structure appeared, followed by a rising ABC (blue) structure toward 3784. o Within this, wave B formed a triangle abcde (red). o This shows two ABC (blue) corrective structures developing within the adjustment, suggesting multiple possibilities for wave Y: 1️⃣ Flat 3-3-5: Wave Y may unfold as a 5-wave sharp decline, with an ideal target around 3713 → this is the expected Buy zone. 2️⃣ Triangle: Price may consolidate sideways above 3718 → patience is required to wait for the pattern to complete. 3️⃣ Large-scale Triangle: If the entire correction is a triangle, price will also sideway above 3718 → wait for completion before acting. • Note: If price breaks above 3792, it may confirm that the corrective structure is complete → next upside target would be 3810. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Plan • Buy Zone: 3714 – 3711 • SL: 3703 • TP: 3733 ________________________________________ 👉 Conclusion: The optimal approach is to wait for confirmation: • Either the triangle structure completes, • Or price declines into the 3713 – 3711 zone to set up a Buy entry.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX