Xauusdidea
Gold Trade Set Up Aug 27 2025OANDA:XAUUSD
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In asai session gold swept PDH and in london session gold made LH/LL so for sells i will want to test LH and close below then make internal structure to go lower towards SSL. But if price closes above LH i will look for a continuation higher to BSL
Watch Resistance at 3391–3398, Avoid Chasing HighsGold rebounded strongly from 3352 support today, breaking through the 3358–3366 resistance and rallying to 3386 before consolidating. During this phase, multiple tests of the 3368 support held firm, and price has now returned above 3380, keeping the overall bias bullish.
⚠️ However, caution is warranted: resistance is not only near 3386 but also at the 3391–3398 zone, where fresh selling pressure is likely. The upside looks limited, making blind chasing risky.
📌 Suggestion: Focus on sell opportunities around resistance. For larger accounts with proper position sizing, chasing a short-term rally may be manageable; but for smaller accounts, chasing highs carries significant risk and is not recommended.
These are my personal views for reference only. Please evaluate carefully based on your own situation. If you’d like more tailored guidance, feel free to reach out.
XAUUSD Analysis Today Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold (XAU/USD) 27 August 2025Gold continues to trade in a well-defined structure, with buyers defending higher-lows while sellers attempt to cap upside momentum near the $3400 handle. Today’s analysis blends the Daily → 4H → 1H confluences to outline execution-ready trading zones with clear invalidation and profit objectives.
🔵 Demand Zones – Where Buyers Are Positioned
📍 Primary Buy Zone: $3368 – $3373
This zone carries the strongest institutional weight for the day:
Daily higher-low structure remains intact above $3365.
4H bullish order block + fresh BOS confirmation.
ICT’s Optimal Trade Entry discount (0.618–0.705 retracement).
RSI bullish divergence on 1H; MACD slope turning positive.
Strong absorption wick confirmed at $3370 on the last sweep.
📌 Trade Plan:
Entry: $3368 – $3373
SL: Below $3360
Targets: $3395 → $3410
📍 Secondary Buy Zone: $3350 – $3355
A deeper liquidity-driven fallback demand level:
Untested 4H demand block from breakout leg.
Daily demand base aligning with sell-side liquidity resting below $3355.
MACD crossover and ATR volatility expansion on 1H support demand.
📌 Trade Plan:
Entry: $3350 – $3355
SL: Below $3345
Targets: $3380 → $3400
🔴 Supply Zones – Where Sellers Are Positioned
📍 Primary Sell Zone: $3402 – $3408
The first line of resistance for intraday traders:
4H lower-high structure aligning with Daily resistance.
Fresh bearish order block and FVG imbalance inside zone.
RSI divergence (bearish) on both 4H & 1H timeframes.
Thin volume node above $3400 → prone to rejection.
📌 Trade Plan:
Entry: $3402 – $3408
SL: Above $3415
Targets: $3388 → $3370
📍 Secondary Sell Zone: $3420 – $3426
A liquidity sweep zone with higher timeframe supply:
Daily supply block remains unmitigated.
Buy-side liquidity pool resting above $3420.
ATR extension = capped intraday volatility.
VWAP overextension favors mean reversion.
📌 Trade Plan:
Entry: $3420 – $3426
SL: Above $3435
Targets: $3400 → $3385
🟡 Executive Summary – The Golden Zone
Today’s Golden Zone is the Primary Buy Zone ($3368 – $3373).
It aligns across Daily (higher-low support), 4H (fresh bullish OB), and 1H (execution refinement). Backed by 6+ confluences, this zone offers the highest-probability continuation trade, targeting the $3410 region.
✅ Bias: Maintain bullish stance above $3365. Look for dip buys around $3368–$3373, while fading exhaustion only at defined sell zones above $3402.
Gold (XAUUSD) Set to Hit Resistance | Sell on Rise SetupGold (XAUUSD) is approaching a critical resistance zone between 3492 and 3494, where sellers have previously stepped in to push prices lower. We anticipate a similar reaction this time, presenting an opportunity to enter a short position on any upward move into this prime supply area.
🔻 Short Trade Setup – Fade the Rally
Entry: Sell Gold (XAUUSD) at 3392
Add-On: Sell more Gold (XAUUSD) if price rises to 3399
Targets: Refer to chart for detailed target zones
Invalidation: If daily closes above 3406, consider the setup invalid
📉 Risk-Reward Profile
This setup offers an attractive risk-reward ratio, particularly for short-term traders looking to capitalize on a potential rejection at resistance. Maintain tight stops and disciplined position sizing to manage risk effectively.
Gold (XAUUSD) has enjoyed a strong rally, but the odds now appear to favor a pullback. Watch price action and momentum closely within the resistance zone for confirmation.
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"Gold 08/27/2025: Will It Correct Deeply or Continue to Surge?"Market Overview
Gold surged on August 26, 2025: Spot gold up 0.5% to $3,382.19/oz (highest since August 11), futures up 0.5% to $3,433/oz.
Driver: President Trump's firing of Fed Governor Lisa Cook over mortgage fraud allegations creates uncertainty, boosting gold as a safe-haven. Bob Haberkorn (RJO Futures): “The Fed is the main driver of gold's price action.”
Fundamental Factors
Fed: Chair Powell signals 0.25% rate cut in September 2025 (87% probability, CME FedWatch).
Economic Data: US durable goods orders down 2.8% (July), better than forecast. Await GDP (Aug 28) & PCE (Aug 29).
Gold Appeal: Attractive in low rates and economic uncertainty.
Technical Analysis
Gold hit Order Block (OB) at 339x, retraced to 337x. Bullish above 337x; break below with bad news triggers Bearish.
Key Levels:
Support: 337x, 3353-3357
Resistance: 339x, 3400-3402
Trading Plan (ICT)
BUY Setups
Scalp Buy:
Entry: 3370-3368
SL: 3365
TP: 3378 / 3388 / 3394
Zone Buy:
Entry: 3357-3353
SL: 3346
TP: 3364 / 3373 / 3381 / 3394 / 3402
SELL Setups
Scalp Sell:
Entry: 3387-3389
SL: 3393
TP: 3379 / 3369
Zone Sell:
Entry: 3400-3402
SL: 3410
TP: 3394 / 3384 / 3371 / 3362 / 3350
FOMO Buying Still Strong, Waiting for a Clean Pullback to BUY MMFLOW TRADING PLAN XAUUSD
Gold continues to hold its bullish momentum in the Asian session today, testing the 9x zone before pulling back towards the 7x level. Buyers remain in control, driven by strong FOMO sentiment as the USD shows signs of weakness.
👉 MMF’s outlook:
We remain bullish long-term – looking for cleaner pullbacks to secure safer BUY entries and hold positions towards higher targets.
🔎 Short-Term Outlook (1–2 days)
If price breaks the 337x structure, we may see a quick drop towards 335x – 334x liquidity zones before resuming the upside and potentially heading into NEW ATH territory.
Watch key support and resistance zones closely to identify high-probability entries.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Support: 3363 – 3356 – 3349 – 3335
Resistance: 3385 – 3391 – 3402 – 3425
🎯 Today’s Trading Plan
🔵 BUY Scalp
Entry: 3356 – 3354
SL: 3350
TP: 3360 – 3365 – 3370 – 3375 – 3380 – 3390 – 3400 – ???
🔵 BUY Zone (Swing/Position)
Entry: 3336 – 3334
SL: 3330
TP: 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 – 3400 – ????
🔴 SELL Scalp
Entry: 3385 – 3387
SL: 3390
TP: 3380 – 3375 – 3370 – 3365 – 3360 – 3350
🔴 SELL Zone
Entry: 3401 – 3403
SL: 3407
TP: 3396 – 3390 – 3380 – 3370
📌 Summary:
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, but the best opportunities may come from waiting for deeper pullbacks to BUY. Traders can either scalp within today’s ranges or aim for long-term positions from the lower buy zones.
Unlocking Gold’s $3,600 Rally Before the Crowd /Best Entry Point1️⃣ General Overview
Gold remains in a corrective phase. Unless we see a clear 4H close above 372, bearish corrective pressure will stay stronger. However, certain zones may trigger bullish reactions if respected.
2️⃣ Key Levels
353 → First potential reversal area.
364 – 373 → Upside targets if 353 closes above this price on the 4H timeframe.
378 → Breakout level; above it price opens the way to higher targets.
382 – 392 – 402 → Next resistance levels if price closes above 378 on 4H timeframe.
335 → Strongest potential weekly buy zone if tested.
329 – 335 (ideal 35–29 range) → Ideal buy zone, though less likely to be visited this week.
3️⃣ Trade Scenarios & Setups
🔹Bullish Setup:
4H close above 353 → look for a move toward 364 → 373 → swing/open target.
4H close above 378 → momentum extends to 382 → 392 → 402.
Above 402 → new analysis will be required.
🔺 Bearish Setup:
4H close below 353 → decline toward 335 (strong weekly buy zone).
An extended drop into the 35–29 range = an ideal buy setup, but the probability is low.
XAU/USD M15 Update – Breakout or Fakeout?Gold has been consolidating in a tight 336x – 337x range throughout the day. Now, price is showing signs of pushing back towards the short-term high at 3377 – 3382.
👉 Two possible scenarios are on the table:
1️⃣ Liquidity Grab (Fake Breakout): Price retests the high → triggers FOMO buys → sharp rejection back down towards 3363 – 3355 liquidity zones.
2️⃣ Clean Breakout: If buyers hold control and break above 3382 – 3384, momentum could accelerate into the 3400 – 3402 resistance zone.
📌 Key Levels on M15:
Resistance: 3377 – 3384 | Major: 3400
Support: 3363 – 3354 – 3341
⚡ Trading Notes:
Don’t chase price into resistance.
Wait for clear confirmation around 3382 – 3384 before committing.
Scalpers can look for quick plays at 3363 – 3355 (buy zone) or fade rejection at 3382 – 3384 if breakout fails.
🔥 Gold is at a decision point – will it break higher into 3400 or trap longs before a deeper correction?
What’s your take? Drop your view below 👇
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3367.50 and we have a 4H Candle closure above it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3367.50 , and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
XAUUSD 3400:
👉Related Information:!!
🔴 Breaking News: Trump Dismisses Fed Governor Cook
U.S. President Donald Trump has signed an executive order dismissing Federal Reserve Governor Cook, sparking concerns over the central bank’s independence. The move has weakened the U.S. dollar and sent gold prices surging. If Trump succeeds in replacing Cook with a more “compliant” appointee, the balance of power within the Fed could tilt firmly in Trump’s favor — potentially increasing pressure for interest rate cuts.
🔰 U.S. Dollar Rebounds – Gold’s “Silent Killer”
The U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.49% to 98.32, marking its strongest gain since late July, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
👉Personal opinion:!!!
Gold price recovered to break through 3378 to gain liquidity and continue the uptrend
👉Important price zone to consider : !!
🎯Resistance zone point: 3370 zone
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 26/08/2025
1. Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Price is currently in the overbought zone. The ongoing bullish cycle has already produced 5 daily candles. Combined with the overbought condition, this suggests that upside momentum is weakening. If no strong breakout occurs within the next 1–2 days, it is likely that the market is still in a larger corrective phase on the daily chart.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum has turned bearish, with strong selling pressure emerging right after wave 2 was considered complete. This is an unusual sign and raises caution for the bullish scenario.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is also about to turn bearish, which implies an incoming corrective pullback. This is not an encouraging signal at a stage where wave 3 is expected to develop.
2. Wave Structure
• D1: The main scenario still follows the larger corrective triangle. Price is unfolding waves 1–2 (green), and the current bullish leg is expected to be wave 3 (green). However, the strength so far has not been convincing. Having already completed 5 D1 candles without a decisive breakout suggests weakness in the rally.
• H4: The Asian session opened with a strong rally, but this momentum quickly faded and was followed by aggressive selling. Momentum reversed sharply, highlighting abnormal behavior for the expected uptrend.
• H1: At the 3387 level, strong selling pressure appeared, whereas this should have been the breakout zone for wave 3 (black) after surpassing wave 1 (black). Ideally, price should have pushed straight toward 3403 to confirm the impulsive strength of wave 3. This unusual behavior suggests that wave 1 (black) actually completed at 3387, and the market is now in wave 2 (black).
On the lower timeframe (M15), the current decline is forming an ABC structure, with the measured target for wave C at 3364 – a potential buy zone.
If price falls back to 3350 and breaks below, the 1–2–3–4–5 (yellow) count will be invalidated. In that case, the market may be unfolding a larger corrective structure, and the wave count plan will need to be updated.
3. Trading Plan
• Buy Zone: 3365 – 3363
• Stop Loss: 3349
• Take Profit 1: 3387
• Take Profit 2: 3403
⚠️ Note: The stop-loss range is relatively wide, and momentum does not fully support the bullish wave scenario yet. Traders should consider carefully before entering directly.
Conservative Role Reversal Setup - Resistance Becomes Support
Sharing my straightforward approach to Gold's next potential move. 📊
**🎯 The Setup:**
I'm waiting for a role reversal play at the yellow line - this represents the zone where recent resistance should now act as support. Classic technical analysis at work. 🔄
**📍 Target and Risk:**
My minimum target is the second white line from the top - the August 8th high. For risk management, I'll use the August 22nd low as my stop loss, giving me a **2:1 risk-to-reward ratio**. This is a very conservative entry approach. 🛡️
**⚡ Higher R/R Alternative:**
If I wanted to improve the risk-reward ratio, I'd need to watch for real-time price action after any break below this morning's low. The key would be catching the actual reversal behavior as it happens, rather than using these wider structural levels. 📈
**🧠 Why Conservative Works:**
Sometimes the best trades aren't the flashiest ones. A 2:1 setup with clear levels and high probability might not be exciting, but it builds consistent profits over time. Risk management trumps home runs. ✅
**⚠️ Risk Management:**
Clean structural levels for both entry and exit. If the August 22nd low breaks, the role reversal thesis is invalidated and it's time to exit. 🚨
📈 **This trade setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2:1.** Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 33.33%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. 🧠
💡 **Pro Tip**: If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. ✅
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**Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates.
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*Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 24/8/2025Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is still rising → High probability that price will continue its bullish move on Monday.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum remains bullish → Price is expected to keep rising early in the week to complete wave (3) in yellow.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is heading into the oversold zone → The short-term correction is nearing its end, we look for buy opportunities.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: Friday’s strong bullish candle reinforces the scenario that wave (1) and (2) in blue are complete, and wave (3) in blue may already be forming. We need price to break above the top of wave (1) in blue to confirm the development of wave (3).
• H4 timeframe: Price rallied sharply and broke above the top of wave (1) in yellow → This confirms price is currently in wave (3) in yellow. With momentum on H4 still rising, wave (3) likely has more room to continue.
• H1 timeframe: The corrective ABC structure has completed, followed by a sharp and steep rally (as projected in Friday’s plan). Price broke above 3350 – the top of wave (1) in yellow → Confirming the scenario that price is in wave (3) in yellow.
o Minimum target for wave (3) in yellow: 3387.
o Principle: Do not counter-trade wave (3); instead, wait for wave (4) correction to look for buy entries in wave (5).
Trading Strategy
With H1 approaching the oversold zone and showing a mild correction, we have two options for entries:
1. Breakout: Wait for price to break above the small descending trendline as shown on the chart → Enter breakout buy.
2. Pullback entry: Wait for price to retrace to the 3362 area → Buy from there.
Trade Plan:
• Buy Zone: 3364 – 3361
• Stop Loss: 3354
• Take Profit:
o TP1: 3378
o TP2: 3387
o TP3: 3403
8/26: Double Top Pattern, Focus on ShortsGood morning, everyone!
Gold rebounded from around 3359 yesterday, but the current pattern shows signs of a double top — suggesting the risk of a larger pullback today.
📌 Support: First watch 3352–3348, then 3343–3337.
📌 Resistance: 3358–3366. If price fails to break above this zone, a second leg lower is likely, with potential tests of the secondary support.
When trading, avoid greed — especially near key support and resistance levels. If your account is under pressure, it’s safer to stay patient and wait for clearer signals before entering, reducing risk and improving success rates.
If you need guidance, feel free to reach out.
Gold (XAU/USD) – 25-August-2025Live Price (UTC Anchor): $3364.00
Gold continues to trade within a tightly coiled range, but today’s structure across Daily → 4H → 1H timeframes highlights key execution-ready zones. Institutional footprints are clear — liquidity sweeps, unmitigated order blocks, and premium/discount imbalances are guiding the flow.
Buy-Side Liquidity Zones
🔹 Primary Buy Zone: $3348 – $3352
Fresh 4H bullish order block, unmitigated since last push.
Daily structure still showing higher-lows above $3330.
1H BOS with hidden bullish divergence (RSI).
Best confluence zone for long entries.
🎯 Targets: $3378 → $3395
🛡️ Stop: Below $3340
🔹 Secondary Buy Zone: $3328 – $3332
Daily demand base from prior accumulation.
Liquidity sweep expected below $3335.
4H fair value gap aligns with engineered liquidity.
🎯 Targets: $3350 → $3375
🛡️ Stop: Below $3320
📉 Sell-Side Liquidity Zones
🔻 Primary Sell Zone: $3388 – $3395
Daily resistance supply untouched since last rejection.
4H bearish OB marks origin of sell-off.
1H CHoCH with overhead imbalance.
ATR resistance at $3390–$3395 zone.
🎯 Targets: $3370 → $3350
🛡️ Stop: Above $3402
🔻 Secondary Sell Zone: $3410 – $3416
Daily premium zone at range extreme.
Liquidity highs resting around $3412.
1H displacement cluster with VWAP extension.
🎯 Targets: $3390 → $3365
🛡️ Stop: Above $3420
⚡ Executive Outlook – Golden Zone
The Golden Zone for today is $3348 – $3352 (Primary Buy Zone).
Supported by 5+ confluences across Daily, 4H, and 1H.
Aligns with macro bullish bias and engineered liquidity setup.
High-probability long with clear SL/TP levels, offering the cleanest risk-reward of the day.
Trading Plan:
Patience is key. Wait for price to revisit the Golden Buy Zone ($3348 – $3352). Execute with conviction only if order flow confirms (1H rejection wicks / volume spike). Upside targets remain $3378 → $3395.






















