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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 3, November) 1. Momentum W1 Timeframe W1 momentum is preparing to turn upward. This suggests that within 1–2 weeks, weekly momentum may reverse, potentially starting a medium-term bullish phase lasting 4–5 weeks. It also signals that the current bearish trend may weaken next week. D1 Timeframe D1 momentum has already turned downward, so the primary expectation for next week remains bearish. H4 Timeframe H4 momentum is turning upward, meaning that on Monday we may see a corrective bounce or sideways movement before the downtrend resumes. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure – W1 Price is still in a corrective phase, likely forming wave 4 of the larger cycle. This wave count remains valid as long as price closes above 3746. If price closes below 3746, the entire structure must be reassessed. ________________________________________ 3. Wave Structure – D1 Wave 4 is unfolding as a W–X–Y (purple) combination. Friday’s strong decline confirms that D1 momentum has reversed downward, suggesting that purple wave X is complete and price is now developing purple wave Y. Targets for Wave Y (purple): • Target 1: Equal to wave W → 3746 • Target 2: 1.618 × W, a very deep zone o If price reaches this deeper zone, the structure may no longer represent yellow wave 4, and the count must be re-evaluated. ________________________________________ 4. Wave Structure – H4 With Friday’s sharp decline, waves (1) and (2) in blue are temporarily labeled. The decline is steep, clean, and non-overlapping — all characteristics of a 5-wave impulsive structure, supporting the expectation that purple wave Y will also unfold as a 5-wave decline rather than a triangle. Further confirmation is needed next week. Given the target at 3746, wave (3) is expected to extend. The current pullback remains valid as long as price does not exceed 4211, which still fits as wave 2 within wave (3). ________________________________________ 5. Monday Pullback Zones H4 momentum indicates a likely bullish correction early next week. Two key resistance zones: Zone 1 – 4096 “This zone aligns with the 0.382 retracement from blue wave (2) to the current low at 4046. It is also an ideal wave (4) zone if price peaks here before continuing downward.” Zone 2 – 4145 “This level corresponds to the previous wave (1) in blue. If price reaches this zone, the pullback may represent wave 2 within wave (3). I will update this scenario in more detail on Monday.” ________________________________________ 6. Conclusion The main trend remains bearish. I expect price to reach the 3746 target for purple wave Y next week, aligning with the projected timing shown by the two vertical blue lines on the H4 chart, while D1 momentum moves into oversold territory. When price reaches this zone and W1 momentum fully turns upward, it may signal the beginning of a new medium-term bullish trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
2
XAU/USD Market Outlook — Bullish Move From 4,058.36 ZoneGold has retraced into a major demand zone around 4,058.36, where price has shown the first signs of bullish reaction after clearing liquidity below previous lows. This zone aligns with a prior accumulation block and serves as the origin of the last major bullish swing. As long as price holds above this level, I expect a bullish continuation toward the upper liquidity region, with targets around 4,244.86, and ultimately the major high at 4,381.73. My stop loss is positioned at 3,887.60, below the deeper demand zone and previous structural low, ensuring safety from intraday volatility while maintaining the bullish structure.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Actualjustice
BTCUSD 45m – Pennant Breakout Setup Toward 100k Target1. Pattern Formation: Bullish Pennant The chart shows a pennant, formed after a sharp downward move followed by price compression. The upper trendline is descending, the lower trendline ascending, converging into a tightening triangle. This is typically a continuation pattern, but because the preceding move was downward, traders will often wait for confirmation from the breakout direction. 2. Breakout Attempt The price is breaking slightly above the upper trendline, marked as ENTRY. This suggests a potential bullish breakout, but: The breakout candle is still small. Ideally, you’d want volume confirmation (not shown in the image). 3. Stop-Loss Placement The STOP LOSS is placed safely under: The lower pennant trendline Recent consolidation lows This gives a logical invalidation level—if price drops below this, the breakout has failed. 4. Target Projection The target of $100,006 is consistent with a measured move calculation: Height of the initial impulse (the pole) Added to the breakout point On your chart, the projected move equals about +10%, also labeled on the right. 5. Risk–Reward The setup shows good R:R, since: Stop-loss is close Target is distant However, pennants can generate fakeouts, so caution is warranted. 6. Market Context (from the chart only) Current price around $95,984. The overall trend in the 45-minute view appears mixed: Strong drop earlier Stabilization Compression The breakout direction will determine the next phase.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
XAU/USD Key Support Test & Probable Trend ReversalTrend Duration Analysis From the Trend Duration markings: Recent Trend Durations Noted Previous uptrend: 21 candles Prior downtrend: 10 candles Earlier uptrend: 37 candles Your indicator suggests the probable length of the current downtrend may also approximate 21 candles, similar to the previous major cycle. Right now, the downtrend is in early stages and may continue slightly lower into your SUPPORT LEVEL before reversing. 3. Key Levels (from chart) Support Zone 4,035 – 4,000 (largest highlighted accumulation zone) This is the critical support on the chart. Price has touched the upper area already. Secondary Demand Zones 3,980 3,950 3,900 These represent deeper liquidity pockets if the support breaks. Upside Targets After Reversal Based on your projection lines: 4,150 4,200 4,300 4,350+ (max extension on dotted projections) These levels match the Fibonacci-style structure visible on the right side. 4. Price Structure Analysis ✔ Bullish structure before drop Price formed a strong 37-candle trend up, creating a higher high. ✔ Sharp correction now The drop into support appears to be a classic liquidity sweep before a trend continuation. ✔ Support Reaction Expected Your chart clearly shows the expected bounce path marked with a blue dotted diagonal. If the support holds, we are likely to see: A higher low formation Trend reversal back into the projected targets 5. Probable Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Scenario (High probability) If price holds above 4,035 – 4,000, expect: Trend reversal up Recovery into 4,150 → 4,200 → 4,300 A full potential extension toward 4,350 – 4,400 This matches the indicator’s “Probable Length” of the next uptrend. 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Low probability but possible) If price breaks below 3,980, then: Market will target 3,950 and 3,900 demand Trend duration may extend beyond the predicted cycle But the chart suggests this is a less likely path. 6. Final Summary Gold is now in a bullish accumulation zone. Current downtrend is likely near completion (based on the 21-candle forecast). Support at 4,035 – 4,000 is the critical pivot zone. A bullish reversal toward 4,200–4,350 is the most probable move if support holds. Your chart essentially forecasts a buy-the-dip setup with upward continuation. CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! NYMEX:CL1! CME:BTC1! COMEX:SI1! CME_MINI:RTY1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! CBOT_MINI:MYM1!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
XAUUSD started bull move on ending shutdown!with US G.shutdown ending GOLD dropped to weekly support int his long term uptrending market structure, with multiple liquidity sweep on this support, XAUUSD gain new momentum for new higher high? As currently weekly price action is just potential beginnign of a new impulse after back to 3 weeks of pullback giving GOLD a very high probability of continue to rise up to current weekly high. Running GOLD buy up 400 pip looking at closing 820 pip or beyond!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ForexWizard01
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 14/11/20251. Momentum D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is showing clearer signs of reversal. We need to wait for today’s close for confirmation. If D1 momentum truly reverses, I expect a strong bearish move next week. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum is preparing to turn upward, so a short-term bullish move may appear on this timeframe. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is getting ready to reverse downward, so I expect a decline from the current H1 structure. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1 Wave Structure Price is still forming wave X. Yesterday’s D1 candle was bearish but not very strong. Today, we want to see another strong bearish candle to further confirm the possibility of a new decline on the daily timeframe. For now, we continue to observe today’s market reaction. ________________________________________ H4 Wave Structure On the H4 chart, we’re seeing two strong bullish candles, which is not what we want to see if the market is forming a top. A proper top should show strong downward momentum, while the pullback should appear as short-bodied candles. We now wait for the upward reversal of H4 momentum: • If price breaks above the high, it suggests the current high is not the real top but only a temporary corrective move, and the market may form a new higher high. • If price does not break the high, then once H4 momentum reverses downward, we can expect a stronger and deeper decline. (This section keeps your original meaning exactly, with smoother wording.) ________________________________________ H1 Wave Structure The recent decline resembles a clear 3-wave structure, creating three possible scenarios: 3 Possible Scenarios Scenario 1 – Correction Completed If the recent decline is a completed 3-wave structure, the correction may already be over. Combined with H4 momentum preparing to rise, price may form a new high once H4 enters overbought territory. ________________________________________ Scenario 2 – Wave A of a Flat or Triangle If the decline is only wave A, then a larger Flat or Triangle correction may be forming. • Price may revisit 4248 when H4 momentum reaches overbought. • After that, price may decline again but not deeply: o Flat: drop toward 4145 (wave A low). o Triangle: a shallower drop. • After completing this correction, price will begin a new upward swing. ________________________________________ Scenario 3 – Beginning of a 5-Wave Decline If the previous drop was wave 1 of a 5-wave bearish sequence: • The current rise is wave 2, meaning price must not break 4248. • When H4 reaches overbought and consolidates below the peak, price may drop sharply into wave 3. • Another possibility: H4 and H1 momentum “stick together”; once H1 reverses downward, price may fall aggressively — a typical wave 3 characteristic. ________________________________________ 4. Overall Bias While multiple scenarios are listed for monitoring, our primary expectation remains bearish, based on signals observed over the past several days. ________________________________________ 🎯 5. Trading Plan Sell Zone: 4211 – 4213 SL: 4231 TP1: 4145 TP2: 4096 TP3: 4046
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD Potential Reversal Zone & Bullish Channel Projection (45-1. Price Action Context Gold (XAUUSD) has been in a short-term downtrend, shown by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently trading around 4113 after a sharp drop. 2. Key Zone: RESISTANCE Turned SUPPORT The highlighted red zone around 4081 – 4103 is marked as a major support / demand zone. This appears to be a level where buyers are expected to step in. The squiggly black arrows indicate a possible liquidity grab or fake breakout before the true move begins. 3. Projected Bullish Recovery The gray vertical projection box and upward channel lines suggest the author expects: A bounce from the 4081–4103 support A move up through the channel A potential target around 4220, which aligns with the upper boundary of the projected ascending channel. 4. Trend Channel A rising channel has been plotted, projecting the potential direction over the next sessions. Price bouncing inside the lower area of the channel suggests: The down move might be ending Momentum could shift toward a bullish correction or even a trend reversal 5. Key Levels Highlighted Support zone: 4,081.888 4,103.142 Bullish target: 4,220.041 These levels are visually marked and consistent with a reversal strategy. 🧭 Overall Interpretation This chart proposes a bullish reversal setup, with traders watching for: A potential liquidity sweep at the support zone A bounce and consolidation A climb toward the upper channel area, with 4220 as a projected target This is a counter-trend reversal idea, so confirmation would be crucial (rejection wicks, bullish candle structures, RSI turning up, etc.).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
XAUUSD: 4H Order Block Re-test for LongKey Zone Identified: The 4H / OB (4-Hour Order Block): An Order Block (OB) is a specific candlestick or candle group that market participants use to identify where large institutional orders were likely placed before a significant move. In this case, it appears to be a bullish order block identified on the 4-hour timeframe, which suggests strong institutional demand in that price range. The price is currently re-entering this identified grey rectangular zone (the 4H / OB) near the 4,120.00 to 4,145.00 area (based on the price scale). 'X' Label: The label 'X' likely denotes a previous Swing High or a Break of Structure (BOS) point that the initial upward move surpassed, confirming bullish momentum. The Trading Idea (Indicated by Arrows): The setup anticipates a buy (long) trade to be initiated from within or around the 4H / OB zone. The price is expected to bounce off this strong support area. The projected move is an upward rally targeting the level marked as Target around the 4,180.00 price level.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
Gold Faces Rejection at Resistance Zone – Potential Bearish CorrAnalysis: The gold price (XAU/USD) is currently testing a strong resistance zone near $4,235–$4,240, where previous bullish momentum appears to be slowing down. Sellers are showing interest in this area, suggesting a potential bearish reversal or correction phase. A clear support zone lies around $4,140–$4,150, which serves as the target for the expected downward move. If price breaks below this support, further declines could extend toward the next demand zone. However, if gold breaks and closes above the resistance zone with strong volume, it could invalidate this bearish setup and open the path to new highs. Key Points: Resistance Zone: $4,235 – $4,240 Support Zone: $4,140 – $4,150 Short-term Bias: Bearish correction expected Target: Support zone near $4,145
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
ANFIBO | Gold XAUUSD - BUY until Uptrend breaks [11.14.2025]Hi guys, Anfibo's here! GOLD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Overall Picture: Yesterday’s buy plan at 4185 worked perfectly, giving us a clean 250 pips almost immediately. With this momentum, our weekly target of 2000 pips is clearly achievable — as long as we stay disciplined and follow the plan without letting market noise disrupt our strategy. At the moment, price action shows gold holding firmly above a strong support at 4130, while the nearest resistance zones are forming at 4240 and 4255. These levels will define today’s trading opportunities as the market prepares for its next move within the ongoing bullish structure. Trading Plan for Today: >>> BUY ZONE: (1) ENTRY: 4130 – 4145 SL: 4120 TP: 4205 – 4240 (2) ENTRY: 4180 – 4165 (Trend continuation entry) SL: 4155 TP: 4235 – 4255 >>> SELL ZONE (Scalp Only): ENTRY: 4255 – 4265 SL: 4270 TP: 4200 – 4130 Risk Management: - Stick to small–medium positions while gold remains in a compression phase. - Buy setups should be prioritized as long as 4130 holds. - Keep Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 and avoid chasing candles near resistance. - Reassess bias only if price breaks and closes below 4130 with strong momentum. Conclusion: Gold continues to respect our levels beautifully, and the bullish structure remains intact above 4130 support. As long as this area holds, we maintain the bias of buying dips and targeting the upper resistance zones at 4240–4255. Stay patient, follow the plan, and let the setups come to you — consistency is what delivers weekly gains. HAVE A NICE DAY, GUYS!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
2
ANFIBO | GOLD/XAUUSD - Keep BUYING bro [11.13.2025]I am ANFIBO! GOLD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Overall Picture: Once again, the market moved exactly as planned — our Buy entry at 4115 has delivered an impressive 1,300 pips in profit! This further reinforces the importance of trusting the strategy and following the trend. OANDA:XAUUSD continues to show strong bullish momentum, though it’s now entering a consolidation phase, with price likely to accumulate sideways between 4185 and 4220 on the H1 timeframe. As long as the price holds above 4170, the bullish channel structure remains intact. Today’s plan will be to buy near support within this consolidation range and ride the next upward impulse once momentum resumes. Trading Plan for Today: >>> BUY ZONE: ENTRY: 4180 – 4195 SL: 4170 TP: 4240 – 4280 - ... >>> SELL ZONE (Short-term scalp only): ENTRY: 4235 – 4245 SL: 4250 TP: 4220 Risk Management: - Continue to prioritize Buy positions in alignment with the dominant H1 uptrend. - Avoid overleveraging near resistance, as volatility may spike during consolidation. - Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 on every setup. - Only shift to a bearish bias if price breaks and closes below 4170 with strong momentum. Conclusion: Gold remains firmly bullish, and our previous buy setup has paid off handsomely. For today, the market is likely to move sideways between 4185 and 4220, forming a healthy accumulation zone before its next leg up. As long as 4170 holds, the trend is still our friend — we continue to buy the dips and aim for the 4240–4280 targets. Stay disciplined, trust the plan, and let the market reward your patience. WISH YOU THE BEST PROFIT!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 13/11/2025🔸 1. Momentum D1 Timeframe • D1 momentum continues to close inside the overbought zone, signaling weakening buying pressure. • A bearish reversal may occur at any moment. H4 Timeframe • H4 momentum is also in the overbought zone and starting to contract → a potential signal that H4 may soon turn downward. H1 Timeframe • H1 momentum is currently oversold, so a short-term bounce is likely to push momentum back toward the overbought area. ________________________________________ 🔸 2. Wave Structure D1 Structure • No significant change compared to yesterday; price is still heading toward the completion zone of wave X. H4 Structure • Price is inside wave X and currently reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of wave W (purple). • This area aligns with both D1 and H4 momentum, creating a strong reversal confluence. • We wait for an H4 bearish close to confirm the potential top of wave X. • Note: The current H4 candle is compressing tightly, so one more upward spike is still possible before reversal. H1 Structure • Within the red 5-wave sequence, a smaller 5-wave black structure is developing. • RSI showed a bearish divergence at the top of wave 3 (black) → early signal of a wave 5 top forming. • Based on wave projections, wave 5 black (which also completes wave 5 red and wave X) may extend into: o 4223 (0.382 Fibo of wave 1–3) o 4248 (0.618 Fibo of wave 1–3) Confluence for wave-top formation: • RSI divergence between wave 3 and wave 5 • H1 momentum rising into overbought then reversing → This supports the expectation of wave X topping around these zones. ________________________________________ 🔸 3. Trading Plan You have three entry options, depending on your trading style: ✅ 1. Sell Limit: 4223 – 4225 • SL: 4233 • TP1: 4181 • TP2: 4145 • TP3: 4046 ✅ 2. Sell Limit: 4248 – 4250 • SL: 4260 • TP1: 4181 • TP2: 4145 • TP3: 4046 ✅ 3. Sell Stop at 4181 • Trigger only when the candle closes below 4181 (wave 4 black low). • This method offers stronger confirmation, since structure breaks down before entry. ________________________________________ 📌 Summary • Wave X is approaching its final target area and multiple signals support a potential top. • H1 may still push higher toward 4223–4248 before reversing. • These two zones are strong sell areas with momentum and divergence confluence. • All three entry methods (limit – limit – breakout) provide strategic options depending on risk preference.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Bullish Continuation Setup from Ascending Channel Support✅ Analysis – XAUUSD (Gold) 1. Market Structure Price is moving inside a clean ascending channel, showing a sustained uptrend. The lower boundary (rejection line) is acting as strong support, where buyers have entered repeatedly. The current price action is showing a pullback toward this support area, which is typical before a continuation move higher. 2. Current Price Action Price has retraced back into the buy zone near the channel support. Candlesticks show slowing bearish momentum, suggesting buyers may soon take control. Your chart projection indicates a possible bullish bounce. 3. Trade Setup ✅ Buy Zone: Near the rejection line / lower channel ✅ SL (Stop-Loss): Below the support line — smart placement to protect against channel breakdown ✅ Target: Upper resistance of the channel (around 4230 – 4260 zone) This gives a good risk-to-reward ratio, based on trend continuation. 4. Bullish Expectation As long as price stays above the rejection line, the uptrend remains valid. A bounce from this zone is likely to push price toward the target box.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
XAUUSD: Potential Bearish Reversal from 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG)Key Observations and Analysis Recent Market Structure: The price action showed signs of accumulation near the lows (indicated by the (SMT) or Smart Money Trap/Swing point) and then broke a previous swing high (marked as MSS or Market Structure Shift), confirming a strong shift to a bullish trend recently. Impulsive Rally and Break of Structure (BOS): The strong upward movement created new highs and broke a previous resistance level (marked as BOS or Break of Structure), confirming the continuation of the short-term bullish momentum. The 4H Fair Value Gap (4H / FVG): The large gray shaded rectangle is labeled as a 4H / FVG (Fair Value Gap), also sometimes referred to as an Imbalance. This is an area where the market moved very quickly, leaving a price inefficiency (a gap between the high/low of specific candles). These gaps are often viewed as magnets that the price will return to in order to "fill" or "mitigate" the inefficiency before continuing its trend or reversing. Bearish Scenario (The Setup): The price has aggressively moved up and is currently near the lower boundary of the 4H / FVG. The setup suggests a Contraction (CRT) phase. The high of this potential contraction is labeled CRT-L (Contraction Low, but likely indicating the upper boundary of the trade range). The large green arrow shows the anticipated move: a reversal upon entering or touching the FVG/Supply Zone, leading to a move down to target the recent low of the strong rally (labeled CRT-H, indicating the high of the previous move/target low). The target for the potential retracement is the area around the previous BOS level and the swing low that initiated the final push, around $4,120.00. Interpretation: The chart suggests that the recent strong rally might be due for a deep retracement or even a short-term reversal, as the price is entering a potential supply/distribution zone created by the Fair Value Gap. Conclusion The chart presents a trade idea based on the mitigation of the 4H Fair Value Gap. A bearish entry is anticipated once the price fully enters the FVG, with the aim of capturing the move back down to the recent structure low (CRT-H). This is a common setup in SMC analysis, expecting the market to re-balance before the next major move.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9