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Xauusdsetup

Gold stood above the 4000 level againNon-Farm Payrolls data was once again suspended on Friday, and the market traded in a range-bound manner throughout the day. It hit a high around 4027 and a low around 3975, which aligned with the range I had indicated. Judging from the closing price, gold stood above the 4000 level again. Bulls should continue to focus on the 4040-4055 zone, as the battle for this level will remain a key focus next week. If the rebound fails to break through this range, we can still enter short positions. Recently, I have repeatedly provided the strategy of shorting in the 4010-4020 range, and all have been verified by the market. Let’s wait and see how the market develops next week.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KingArthur_
XAU/USD Gold analysis week 2 of NovGOLD Weekly Outlook This week, I’ll be going through two possible directional biases for gold and how price could play out from current levels. - Scenario (A): Price could continue pushing upwards to mitigate the 2hr supply zone, where we may then see a Wyckoff distribution form before a potential move down to set a bearish trend. This aligns with the liquidity resting below and the unmitigated demand zone beneath. - Scenario (B): Alternatively, price could tap into the 7hr demand zone, where a Wyckoff accumulation could take place — giving us a buying opportunity to target the liquidity above. P.S. Always stay adaptable and avoid marrying your analysis. Let the market show its hand, then make your move accordingly — the trend is your friend!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Hassan_fx
XAUUSD (Gold) H1 Chart Analysis: Short-Term Bearish SetupKey Observations & Market Structure Break of Structure (BOS): An upward Break of Structure (BOS) occurred recently around the $4,020 level, indicating a shift toward a bullish trend on this timeframe. The high at $4,020 marked the top of the current range. Failed Highs (Potential Manipulation): The price made two subsequent attempts (labeled 'X' and another subsequent high) to break the BOS high, but both failed and resulted in wicks above the previous highs. This pattern often suggests liquidity grabbing or a sweep of buy-side liquidity (BSL) above the previous swing high before a move in the opposite direction. Current Price Action: The current candle shows a sharp rejection and a move lower from the high, as indicated by the downward arrow. Swing Low Liquidity (SSL): A significant Swing Low Liquidity (SSL) level has been created around $3,965, which is likely a target for a short-term bearish move as sell stops accumulate below it. Fair Value Gap (FVG) / 1H Order Block: Below the SSL target, there is a clear 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG) or a potential Order Block zone identified between approximately $3,950 and $3,955. This area represents a potential support zone where smart money may look to enter long positions, expecting the price to fill the inefficiency (FVG) or react to the order block before continuing the overall bullish move.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
Gold (XAU/USD) – 4H Market OutlookFOREXCOM:XAUUSD Bias: Short-term bullish retracement toward prior high Price is currently reacting from a well-defined support zone around the 4,000 region, where buyers have shown repeated willingness to step in. The market has consolidated within this zone, forming a series of higher lows, which signals accumulation and potential exhaustion of the previous bearish leg. My entry aligns with the structural demand. The rejection wick at the base of the zone suggests failure to break lower, strengthening the case for a bullish move. As long as price holds above the marked support, the market maintains a realistic path toward the previous swing high above 4,360, which is the projected target. The bullish target area also aligns with the broad imbalance / inefficiency zone created during the earlier sell-off. Markets commonly retrace to rebalance these areas before deciding on the next major directional move. Your stop-loss placement below 3,886, under the structural low and beneath the liquidity sweep, is logical. If price violates this level, it would invalidate the bullish thesis and confirm continuation to the downside. In summary: • Market is respecting a valid demand zone. • Accumulation structure favors a bullish corrective leg. • First major liquidity pool sits above 4,360 (your target area). • Stop-loss below 3,886 protects the trade idea while honoring market structure. ⸻ Devil’s Advocate — What Could Break This Plan? To strengthen your thinking, here are the strongest counter-arguments: 1. The “demand zone” may actually be redistribution. If this is a bearish continuation, the sideways movement could simply be sellers reloading before pushing price to new lows. 2. Liquidity above 4,360 might NOT get hit yet. Price could rally halfway into the inefficiency and reject aggressively without filling the entire imbalance. ⸻ Three Clarifying Questions you should ask(to tighten your analysis) 1. What confirms for you that this is accumulation and not redistribution? 2. If price only retraces to the midpoint of the imbalance (around 4,260), do you still hold full TP at 4,360? 3. What invalidation level—besides the SL—would signal loss of bullish momentum?
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Actualjustice
Gold: Consolidation trend remains unbrokenGold has just tested the 4020-4030 resistance zone, only to pull back under pressure and retrace. This indicates that the resistance zone remains effective today. With the non-farm payroll data not being released, gold prices are expected to continue their sideways trend. From the 4-hour chart perspective, focus on the short-term resistance at 4020-4030. The key pivot point for bull-bear dynamics lies at 4045-4055. For support levels, watch the short-term zone at 3960-3970, with critical attention on the previous low support at 3888-3890. Our trading strategy, which was provided this morning, has already been validated by the market. We still recommend prioritizing short positions on rebounds for now, and caution against chasing the trend.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KingArthur_
XAU/USD Intraday Plan — 3989 Support Holding, Next Stop 4042?Price has broken above 3989 and pulled back to retest the 50MA, which is now holding as support. If bullish momentum continues, the 50MA looks ready to cross above the 200MA, which would strengthen the short-term bullish momentum. The next resistance is at 4042. A clean break above 4042 could open the move toward 4090. If buyers fail to hold above 3989, price may slide back into the First Reaction Zone (3957–3918). Failure to hold that zone could bring the Support Zone and even the HTF Support Zone back into play. 📌Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 4042 4090 4142 Support: 3989 3957 3918 3884 3851 3820 3781 🔎 Fundamental Focus: Not many high-impact releases today. We do have several FOMC members speaking, along with Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations later. As always, keep in mind that geopolitical and broader macro sentiment continue to play a major role here — even with a quiet calendar, gold can still react to headlines.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Market volatility, trade steadily.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD As mentioned last night, gold prices failed to break below the important short-term support level of 3965, so we maintain our bullish view. Although the intraday volatility was not high, the consolidation process can be seen as gold accumulating positions in the short term. Market breakout requires patience. Currently, the daily MA5 and MA10 moving averages are converging around 3980, which is also where the 4-hour middle band is located. The key resistance level in the short term is in the 4015-4030 area. A break above this level could lead to further gains towards 4050-4080. It's important to be cautious given the recent volatile market with poor continuity. Therefore, even if a breakout occurs today, it is not advisable to rush to buy. Instead, wait for a pullback before entering the market to avoid being trapped by blindly chasing highs. The 3980-3965range remains the ideal entry point for bulls. Maintaining patience is always a key element in trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
Maintain the morning's trading strategyDue to the government shutdown, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics failed to issue the October Nonfarm Payrolls report as scheduled, marking the second consecutive "absence" of the report. Therefore, for today's U.S. trading session, we will maintain the morning's trading strategy and continue to treat the market as a volatile trend. We will focus on short-selling on rebounds, adopt a "observe more, trade less" approach, refrain from chasing trades cautiously, and patiently wait for key levels to enter positions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KingArthur_
XAUUSD: Short on rebounds ahead of the Non-Farm PayrollsIt closed around the 3977 level on Thursday, with the lowest touching around 3964.4 before finishing in a range-bound move, which also hit the 3960-3970 zone I indicated yesterday. I also kept emphasizing yesterday not to chase long positions at high levels. Gold faces heavy resistance above. The bulls can only break through if driven by significant bullish news; otherwise, we will continue to stick to shorting on rebounds. With the Non-Farm Payrolls report due this Friday, we will maintain the approach of shorting on rebounds during the morning. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the immediate resistance above is focused on the 4020-4025 zone, with the key bull-bear watershed at 4047-4055. For short-term support, watch the 3960-3970 area, while the key support lies at the previous low around 3888-3890. In terms of operation, I still recommend prioritizing shorting on rebounds. For mid-range levels, we should always adhere to observing more and acting less, be cautious about chasing orders, and patiently wait for entry at key levels. Trading Strategy: Sell 4010 - 4020 SL 4030 TP 3980 - 3970 - 3960 Buy 3920 - 3930 SL 3910 TP 3950 - 3960 - 3970
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KingArthur_
XAUUSD: Bullish Structure Shift Targeting Liquidity Above OB ?Break of Structure (BOS): There's a clear "BOS" labeled, indicating that the price has broken above a previous lower high. This is typically interpreted as a shift from a short-term downtrend (or consolidation) to an uptrend (or a structural move higher). Order Block (OB): An "OB" (Order Block) is highlighted. This is a zone where a significant number of buy orders are believed to have been placed, making it a potential support area where price might retrace before moving higher. Sell-Side Liquidity (BOS/$$$): The areas labeled "$$$" above the recent high represent liquidity. These are points where stop-loss orders from short sellers or pending sell orders are clustered, making them attractive targets for institutional traders to drive the price toward, often causing a quick move through that level. Bearish Divergence (SMT): The "SMT" (Smart Money Technique) is marked, which often refers to a divergence between two correlated assets (like Gold and a US Dollar index) or a specific pattern where the low of one asset failed to reach the low of another, suggesting institutional manipulation or a short-term reversal (in this case, preceding the BOS). Projected Move: The arrows illustrate a common trading hypothesis: the price is expected to retrace to the Order Block (OB), find support there, and then rally to take out the Sell-Side Liquidity ($$$) above the previous highs.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
1
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) trades near $3,996, struggling to gain clear direction after a short-lived rebound. The chart shows price capped by a descending trendline and the Resistance Zone at $4,001–$4,005, while Support lies between $3,977–$3,981. Technically, gold remains under mild downward pressure. Unless the price achieves sustained acceptance above $4,006, rallies are likely to attract sellers. A break below $3,980 could trigger fresh momentum toward $3,965, while holding above $4,000 may allow brief consolidation before another leg lower. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Sell near resistance amid capped bullish momentum. Entry: $4,000 – $4,005 Stop Loss: $4,006 Take Profit 1: $3,981 Take Profit 2: $3,977 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 5.13 If gold decisively closes above $4,010, the short setup becomes invalid, signalling renewed upside toward $4,020. 🌐 Macro Background Gold prices are finding moderate support as safe-haven flows return amid political uncertainty and weak U.S. data, while Fed rate cut expectations underpin sentiment. As FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani reports, “Concerns over the economic fallout from the prolonged U.S. government shutdown and renewed Fed rate cut bets drive safe-haven demand for gold.” 【FXStreet】 Safe-Haven Demand: With the U.S. government shutdown entering its 38th day, investor sentiment remains cautious. The Congressional Budget Office estimates a 1–2% hit to GDP if the impasse continues. Legal and Policy Uncertainty: The U.S. Supreme Court’s review of Trump’s 1977 emergency powers–based tariffs adds legal uncertainty to trade outlook, further boosting gold’s defensive appeal. Labor Market Weakness: Private data from Revelio Labs indicated a net job loss of 9,100 in October, while government payrolls declined by over 22,000, pointing to labor market cooling. Fed Rate Cut Bets: The CME FedWatch Tool now shows a 67% probability of a December rate cut, up from 60% a week earlier. This weighed on the U.S. Dollar, supporting gold despite intermittent profit-taking. However, with gold struggling to break cleanly above $4,000, traders remain cautious—suggesting a “fade-the-rally” approach is still favoured until clear directional confirmation. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,001 – $4,005 Support: $3,977 – $3,981 Psychological Level: $4,000 📌 Trade Summary Gold’s momentum remains mixed—safe-haven flows and Fed cut bets support dips, but strong resistance near $4,000 continues to cap rallies. The short bias remains valid below $4,006, with room for a move toward $3,970 or lower if sellers regain control. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
XAUUSD: The resistance level at 4020 remains strongGold has attempted to break through the 4020 resistance level several times today but failed. Coupled with the fact that the U.S. initial jobless claims data has not yet been released, it has now re-entered a correction phase. The resistance level at 4020 remains strong. For support, the short-term level is still at 3960-3970,and the key previous low support at 3888-3890. The trading strategy can still refer to our analysis from this morning.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KingArthur_
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Stuck in Sideway channel [11.6.2025]Hi guys, Anfibo's here! XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Overall Picture: At present, OANDA:XAUUSD is moving sideways within a well-defined H1 channel, showing signs of short-term consolidation after recent volatility. The market is currently lacking a clear directional bias, as both buyers and sellers are testing the upper and lower bounds of this intraday structure. Such conditions often favor range-trading strategies, where precision and timing become crucial for capturing short bursts of momentum. In this context, our plan today remains straightforward and tactical — trade directly off the trendlines of the channel. In other words, we will look to buy at the lower boundary of the range and sell near the upper boundary, while also being prepared to switch positions if a breakout occurs in either direction. Trading Plan for Today: >>> SELL ZONE: (1) ENTRY: 4015 - 4025 SL: 4030 TP: 4050 (2) ENTRY: 4060 - 4080 SL: 4090 TP: 4000 - 3955 Risk Management: - Stick to small-to-medium positions within the range; increase size only on confirmed breakouts. - Keep stops tight, as sideways phases tend to trigger false signals. - Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 and avoid overtrading in choppy conditions. - Reassess bias once the H1 channel is clearly broken. Conclusion: Gold is currently in a sideways consolidation phase within its H1 channel, awaiting fresh catalysts to determine direction. Until a decisive breakout occurs, the most effective approach is range trading — buying near support, selling near resistance, and reacting dynamically to any confirmed breakout. The plan today is simple yet strategic: Patience and discipline will be key to capitalizing on this quiet yet potentially explosive setup. HAVE A NICE DAY, GUYS!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
4