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Xauusdsetup

XAUUSD: Bullish Continuation from Support Towards $4,402Instrument and Timeframe: The asset is Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD). The timeframe is 4-hour (H4), which provides a view of short to medium-term price action. Current Price Action: The price has recently experienced a strong rally, followed by a minor pullback and consolidation. Support Zone: A horizontal zone, labeled "Support" (approximately between $4,280 and $4,320, although the price scale isn't fully visible on the left), has been identified. The projected price path shows the price testing this zone before potentially moving higher. This area likely represents a previous resistance level that has turned into support, or a strong area of buying interest. Projected Move (Pattern): The chart illustrates a projected "pullback and continuation" pattern, often referred to as a "buy the dip" or "flag" pattern in a strong uptrend. The green arrow and subsequent curved line indicate an expectation for the price to drop slightly to the support zone, find buyers, and then reverse to continue the climb. Target: A specific price level, labeled "Target" at $4,402.15, is marked by a blue dotted line. This is the projected price objective for the move following the bounce off the support.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
Gold has now broken through the resistance level at 4280As our mentioned before, Gold has now broken through the resistance level at 4280 and continues to rise,It may form a short-term bottom structure and further test the 4362 level. A break above the previous high of 4379 would open the door to further upside. Buy 4280 - 4285 TP 4300 - 4310 - 4320 SL 4270 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
Short-term volatility, how to plan for the next market trendGold is currently continuing its upward momentum. In the short term, we will first focus on whether gold can break through 4266. The intraday market has rebounded to this point many times and encountered resistance and fell back. If it is difficult to break through in the short term, the gold price will continue to fluctuate widely. On the contrary, if it can effectively break through 4266, continue to pay attention to the upper resistance range of 4280-4300. When the first rebound touches this resistance range, consider shorting gold in batches with light positions. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Perfect_Allen
XAUUSD analysis – 1H OB SetupThe overall market structure remains bullish, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows. Currently, price is showing signs of a controlled pullback after a strong impulsive leg, and the most probable scenario is a retest of the 1H Order Block around 4110–4130. That zone holds unmitigated buy orders and sits right below local equal lows — a perfect liquidity pocket before continuation. We’ll wait for price to sweep that area and confirm a new bullish leg through a lower timeframe confirmation (BOS + FVG + OB alignment) before entering longs. If the zone reacts cleanly, the next target will be the recent highs (around 4270–4300). Only a clean break below 4100 would invalidate the bullish scenario for now. 📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD 📚 Daily setups & educational trades
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProfitaminFX
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (20/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)Gold is currently trading around 4,228 after failing to sustain above 4,260 in the previous session. The pair has entered a corrective phase, forming a near-term lower high structure on intraday charts. Despite the pullback, the broader bullish trend remains intact, but momentum has temporarily shifted bearish. The upcoming London session will determine whether buyers step in from key retracement zones or if a deeper retracement develops. ⸻ 📊 2. Technical Breakdown ✅ Daily (D1) • Overall trend remains bullish with a corrective dip. • Last candle shows a bearish wick from the 4,260 rejection zone. • RSI cooling from overbought territory → indicating controlled correction. ✅ Bias: Bullish long-term, corrective near-term. ✅ 1H Chart (H1) • Price broke minor intraday support and is currently consolidating near 4,228. • Trading below 50 EMA, indicating reduced short-term momentum. • Minor lower highs forming → sellers in control short-term until a bullish reclaim occurs. 📉 Bias: Neutral to bearish below 4,241, bullish above 4,241. ✅ 15M–5M • Price structure shows intraday descending sequence. • Small bullish attempts seen near 4,220–4,230, but no confirmed reversal yet. • Momentum (MACD) still bearish but stabilizing. 📌 Bias: Waiting for either rejection or continuation signal around key zones. ⸻ 📐 3. Fibonacci Analysis Swing Low: 4,197 Swing High: 4,260 Level Price Confluence 38.2% 4,241 Minor intraday resistance & EMA zone 50% 4,229 Current consolidation price 61.8% 4,220 Trendline + previous demand 78.6% 4,209 Liquidity sweep zone ✅ Golden Zone: 4,229 – 4,220 → key reaction area for bullish continuation. ⸻ 🎯 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios ✅ A) Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias if Golden Zone holds) ✔ Entry Trigger: Bullish confirmation inside 4,229–4,220 🎯 TP1 → 4,241 | TP2 → 4,250 | TP3 → 4,260 🛑 SL: Below 4,209 ⸻ ✅ B) Momentum Buy (Break & Retest) ✔ Trigger: Break & retest above 4,241 (Fib + EMA reclaim) 🎯 TP1 → 4,250 | TP2 → 4,260 | TP3 → 4,279 🛑 SL: Below 4,229 ⸻ ⚠️ C) Bearish Continuation (Countertrend) ✔ Trigger: Break & retest below 4,220 🎯 TP1 → 4,209 | TP2 → 4,197 | TP3 → 4,180 🛑 SL: Above 4,236 ⸻ 📰 5. Fundamental Watch Time Event Impact All day Middle East sentiment risk Supports gold if tensions rise London open DXY reaction Strong USD = pressure on gold Later US session PMI data expected Can shift intraday direction DXY currently weak near 104.50 → supports possible rebound in gold if structure holds. ⸻ 📌 6. Key Technical Levels Resistance Support 4,241 4,229 4,250 4,220 4,260 4,209 4,279 4,197 📍Trendline support aligns strongest around 4,220. ⸻ 📣 7. Analyst Summary Gold is in a corrective pullback phase inside a long-term uptrend. The Golden Zone (4,229–4,220) is the key battleground between bulls and bears. If price reacts positively and H1 structure shifts bullish above 4,241, continuation toward 4,260 is likely. However, failure to hold above 4,220 could extend the retracement toward 4,197. ⸻ 🎯 8. Final Bias Summary Condition Outlook ✅ Holds 4,229–4,220 Expect bullish continuation 📈 Breaks & retests above 4,241 Momentum reversal confirmed ❌ Breaks below 4,220 Bears take control toward 4,197 ⚠️ Break above 4,260 Bull run continuation resumes 📌 Awaiting London confirmation from Golden Zone for bullish re-entry.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (20/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) closed the previous US session with a rebound from the lower H1 liquidity sweep around 4,186 and is currently pushing back toward the intraday structure resistance near 4,252–4,263. The broader uptrend remains intact but momentum has weakened, suggesting the market is deciding between bullish continuation or deeper retracement. The daily timeframe printed a bearish rejection wick from the previous high at 4,379, showing potential exhaustion but not yet a confirmed reversal. ⸻ 🧭 2. Technical Breakdown ✅ D1 (Daily) • Strong bullish structure remains intact. • Last candle shows rejection from 4,379 high with moderate selling pressure. • RSI cooling from extreme (77 → mid 70s), still bullish but losing momentum. ✅ Bias: Bullish unless 4,186 is broken. ✅ H1 (1-Hour) • Price rebounded strongly after sweeping 4,186. • Currently consolidating under 4,263 intraday resistance. • MACD shows early bullish cross but lacks strong histogram expansion (watch momentum). ✅ Bias: Neutral to bullish above 4,216. ✅ 15M–5M (Intra-session) • Short-term bullish structure forming higher lows. • Clear break/retest setup forming around 4,252–4,263. • If bulls fail here, next liquidity target is lower at 4,216–4,200. ✅ Bias: Reactive — breakout or rejection zone incoming. ⸻ 📐 3. Fibonacci Analysis (Last swing move) Swing Low: 4,186 Swing High: 4,252 🎯 Golden Zone (61.8–50%) = 4,216 – 4,225 ✅ This aligns with EMA50 H1 zone & previous liquidity rejection → highly reactive zone. ⸻ 🎯 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios ✅ A) Bullish Continuation (Main Setup) 📍 Break & Retest Buy Above: 4,263 🔁 Retest Zone: 4,252–4,256 🎯 TP1 4,279 | TP2 4,300 | TP3 4,320 🛑 SL Below: 4,240 📉 B) Pullback Buy (Golden Zone) 📍 Wait for pullback into 4,216–4,225 (Fib + EMA + demand zone) 🎯 TP1 4,252 | TP2 4,263 | TP3 4,279 🛑 SL Below: 4,200 ⚠️ C) Bearish Intraday Sell (Countertrend / only if confirmed) 📍 Break & Close Below: 4,216 🔁 Retest Zone: 4,216–4,225 🎯 TP1 4,200 | TP2 4,186 | TP3 4,171 🛑 SL Above: 4,235 ⸻ 📰 5. Fundamental Watch (Asia Session) Factor Impact DXY sideways Neutral Yields cooling Supports gold No major Asian news Technical flow will dominate Market awaiting US session catalysts Potential low volatility early ⸻ 📍 6. Key Technical Levels Level Type 4,379 Major High 4,263 Intraday Resistance 4,252 Current intraday cap 4,225 Fib support 4,216 Fib confluence 4,200 Key psychological support 4,186 Last liquidity sweep low ⸻ 📘 7. Analyst Summary Gold is stabilizing after a retracement from 4,379 and currently retesting mid-range liquidity. The bias remains bullish, but continuation requires a clean break above 4,263. A healthy corrective entry lies at 4,216–4,225 if price dips first. A strong bearish case only activates if price breaks and sustains beneath 4,216. ⸻ ✅ 8. Final Bias Summary Bias Why ✅ Bullish above 4,225 Aligned with Fib + trend structure ⚠️ Neutral between 4,225–4,263 Waiting for breakout or pullback ❌ Bearish only below 4,216 Would trigger deeper retracement 📌 Game Plan → Buy Break At 4,263 or Wait For Golden Zone 4,216–4,225. 📌 Only sell below 4,216 with confirmation. ---------------------- 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 📱 📆 WEEKLY PERFORMANCE: 13/10/2025 → 17/10/2025 --- ✅ MONDAY 13/10/2025 🔻 SELL +30 pips 🟢 BUY +210 pips 🟢 BUY +360 pips --- ✅ TUESDAY 14/10/2025 🟢 BUY (Swing) +2,970 pips 🟢 BUY +50 pips 🟢 BUY +210 pips 🔻 SELL +20 pips 🔻 SELL LIMIT +160 pips 🟢 BUY +20 pips ❌ BUY –40 pips (SL) 🟢 BUY LIMIT +40 pips 🔻 SELL +110 pips 🔻 SELL +60 pips --- ✅ WEDNESDAY 15/10/2025 🔻 SELL +60 pips 🟢 BUY +60 pips ❌ SELL –40 pips (SL) 🟢 BUY +60 pips 🟢 BUY +50 pips 🟢 BUY (Swing) +1,970 pips 🔻 SELL +20 pips 🔻 SELL +110 pips --- ✅ THURSDAY 16/10/2025 🟢 BUY +210 pips 🟢 BUY +75 pips 🟢 BUY +230 pips 🟢 BUY LIMIT +210 pips 🔻 SELL LIMIT +210 pips --- ✅ FRIDAY 17/10/2025 🔻 SELL +20 pips 🟢 BUY +20 pips 🟢 BUY +210 pips 🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 pips 🔻 SELL LIMIT +110 pips 🟢 BUY +50 pips ❌ BUY –30 pips (SL) 🟢 BUY +200 pips 🟢 BUY +100 pips 🟢 BUY +400 pips --- 🤑 BTC/USD WEEKEND TRADES 🟢 BUY +2,400 pips 🔻 SELL +400 pips --- 📊 WEEKLY TOTALS 🏆 GOLD NET PIPS +8,565 pips 💰 BTC/USD NET PIPS: ✅ +2,800 pips 🚀 TOTAL GAIN +11,365 pips 📈 TOTAL SIGNALS: 38 ✅ WINS: 35 ❌ SLs: 3 🎯 WIN RATE: ✅ 92% --- 🔥 Massive GOLD swing wins + strong intraday consistency + BTC power = another high-performance week! If you stayed disciplined and followed our strategy — you banked big 📈💎 👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
GOLD AND WAR NEXT TO 4K$Hello traders as i can see gold is trading in a Decending Triangle zone and it had tested Fibo 0.61 ratio in month of may dip as we can see gold close monthly candle above 3280 zone which is a clear sign that big players and banks are still prefer Safe haven we can see US econmey in a bad recession zone unemployment and higher inflation is a big problrm for $ and on all these things Mr. Trump Tariffs is a game changer in commodities markets if we see Geopolitical issues around the world it esculating more war in diffrent regions of the world.. Now Israiel & US have a new biggest problem Iran which is showing us a attack on Iran can be happen incoming days as we can see 6 meetings was unsucessful in Oman for a Deal to Stop Iran's Nucler Enrichment Program which is not good... other then fundamental Charts are crystal clear and showing us a clear view for a New ATH on Gold our Risk reward ratio is prefect for us have a proper research before taking any trade its just an trade idea share your thoughts with us it will help many other traders Comments are open we love your comments and support the channel so it can diliver to many other new traders Stay Tuned for new updates ..
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by apextradingacadmey
Gold Performance Recap for the week📝This week, the price of Gold first rose and then fell. The specific trend is as follows: Monday: Gold broke through the 4059 mark in the Asian trading session, setting a new historical record Tuesday- Wednesday: The price continued to rise. Thursday: Gold reached a maximum of 4298.64. Friday: First, the price surged after the opening, reaching a high of 4379.44, followed by a sharp decline, touching a low of 4186.17. As of now, the price of Gold is 4247.02, continuing to fall compared to the previous day's closing price. 💎The driving factors are as follows: 💡Upward factors in the early stage 1-Impact of Federal Reserve's loose policy expectations: The Federal Reserve launched a new round of interest - rate - cutting cycle in September. The market anticipates that there may be two consecutive interest - rate cuts in October and December. The expected decline in both nominal and real interest rates has increased the attractiveness of holding non - interest - bearing assets such as gold. 2-Surge in geopolitical risks and safe - haven demand: Factors such as the escalation of the China-US trade war and the US's containment of China's chip sector have intensified market panic, and funds have accelerated their inflow into gold as a safe haven. 3-Drive from global central banks’ gold purchase demand: According to data from the World Gold Council, global central banks’ gold reserves increased by 166 tons in the second quarter of 2025. The People’s Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 11 consecutive months, which has strengthened market confidence in gold. 💡Downward factors in the later stage: 1-Technical level: The 4280 - 4330 area is a key monthly - level resistance zone. On Friday, Gold broke through the important support level of 4280, triggering a large number of stop-loss orders for long positions. Program based trading triggered SL selling, forming a vicious cycle of "breakdown - SL - further decline". 2-Change in risk appetite: On Friday, US President Trump made moderate remarks on trade issues. Market safe-haven sentiment cooled rapidly, leading to a sharp sell-off of gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
5
GOLD BEARISH CORRECTION TOWARDS SUPPORT ZONEChart Overview: Timeframe: 15-minute Price Range: 4,170 – 4,360 USD (visual scale) Current Price: 4,240 USD Trend Channel: Uptrend channel (yellow) with a recent breakdown from the midline. 🧠 Technical Analysis: 1. Previous Move: Gold experienced a strong bullish run within an ascending channel, reaching the resistance zone near 4,360. The momentum formed a rounded top pattern, signaling potential exhaustion of buyers. 2. Pattern Development: A head-and-shoulders–like formation is visible at the top of the structure. Price broke below the neckline and tested lower support near 4,215 before rebounding slightly. 3. Current Structure: Price is retesting the broken support (now resistance) area near 4,260. The black curve projection shows a potential lower high forming — a bearish continuation setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Zickey_11
1
Gold: Today's predictions and operations have been verified👏Today, our predictions and operations for gold have been verified by the market. We accurately predicted key price levels and risks, and avoided potential losses from the decline in advance: ✔1-Trend Direction Prediction: We clearly stated that "if gold breaks below $4,280 today, it will trigger a further decline". The subsequent market trend was consistent with this judgment—after touching the key support level, gold fluctuated downward as expected. ✔2-Risk Factor Prediction: We took into account the market characteristic of "traders closing positions early to exit on Fridays" in advance, and predicted that the superposition of multiple factors would make the downward trend uncontrollable. The subsequent market sentiment and fluctuation rhythm confirmed this risk. ✔3-Effectiveness of Operational Decisions: We reminded everyone early to "take profits in advance around $4,350 and stop trading", which successfully helped avoid the potential margin call losses caused by the subsequent uncontrolled trend. This decision was fully in line with the market trend. 🎉Today, we have successfully concluded this week’s trading and work. Next week, we will continue to provide you with more accurate market interpretations and operation references from a professional analytical perspective. Finally, we wish you all a relaxing and pleasant weekend in advance!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (17/10/2025, US SESSION)Prepared by: ElDoradoFx Premium 2.0 Analyst Team ⸻ 🧭 Market Overview Gold has entered a corrective phase after failing to break and sustain above 4,379, the current weekly high. During the London session, price fell sharply to 4,305–4,313, testing the ascending trendline support and the Fibonacci Golden Zone from the latest bullish swing. The daily chart remains bullish in structure, but intraday momentum has shifted bearish short-term, suggesting a potential retest deeper into support before a continuation to the upside. ⸻ 📊 Technical Breakdown 1️⃣ Daily Chart (D1) • Structure: Uptrend intact — higher highs & higher lows. • RSI: 85.0 → Overbought, signaling possible cooling phase. • Support Zone: 4,290–4,273 (near 38.2% retracement). • Bias: Medium-term bullish; short-term correction. 2️⃣ 1-Hour Chart (H1) • Price broke minor structure at 4,336 and tapped the lower channel. • Currently consolidating around 4,313, forming potential base support. • 50EMA flattening; momentum slowing. • Bias: Neutral to bearish short-term until 4,336 is reclaimed. 3️⃣ 15M–5M Chart • MACD bearish, histogram red — short-term selling pressure. • RSI rebounding from oversold (33) — early signs of intraday support reaction. • Liquidity below 4,300 remains uncollected — could attract a final sweep before reversal. ⸻ 📐 FIBONACCI ANALYSIS (Last Swing: 4,273 → 4,379) Level Price Confluence 38.2% 4,336 EMA50 / previous structure 50.0% 4,326 Key mid-range 61.8% 4,318 Trendline & intraday liquidity 📊 Fibonacci Golden Zone → 4,318–4,336 This remains the key reaction zone for re-entry confirmation or next leg down if broken. ⸻ 🎯 HIGH-PROBABILITY TRADE SCENARIOS ✅ BUY SETUP (Primary Bias – After Confirmation) • Break & Retest: Above 4,336, confirming buyers reclaim control. • Retest Zone: 4,330–4,336 • Targets: • TP1 → 4,350 • TP2 → 4,363 • TP3 → 4,379 • Stop-Loss: Below 4,318 (Re-entry within Golden Zone only if we see bullish engulfing / strong volume candle.) ⸻ ⚠️ SELL SETUP (Active Short-Term Bias) • Break & Retest: Below 4,305, confirming downside continuation. • Retest Zone: 4,305–4,313 • Targets: • TP1 → 4,290 • TP2 → 4,273 • TP3 → 4,250 • Stop-Loss: Above 4,336 (This would confirm Golden Zone break and shift momentum bearish toward 4,273.) ⸻ 🚀 BREAKOUT BUY (Aggressive) • Trigger: Break & retest above 4,379 (previous high). • Retest Zone: 4,372–4,379 • Targets: 4,395 → 4,410 → 4,428 • Stop-Loss: Below 4,355 ⸻ 🕐 FUNDAMENTAL WATCH • DXY: Hovering around 104.90 — slight rebound causing gold weakness. • Bond Yields: Stable; no risk-off catalyst for new gold strength yet. • Upcoming US Data: Michigan Consumer Sentiment — could add volatility later. • Institutional Flow: Still net-long on gold, suggesting corrections are accumulation phases. ⸻ ⚙️ KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS Type Levels Resistance 4,336 / 4,363 / 4,379 Support 4,318 / 4,305 / 4,273 Trendline Support 4,305 (critical for maintaining bullish structure) ⸻ 🧾 Analyst Summary Gold remains bullish overall, but short-term momentum has shifted bearish following repeated rejections from 4,379. Current retracement into 4,318–4,305 is a critical decision zone — if this holds, expect recovery toward 4,350–4,379. However, a clean break below 4,305 confirms a deeper pullback toward 4,273–4,250 before the next major wave higher. ⸻ 📈 Bias: Bullish above 4,318 – Watch for re-entry confirmation. 📉 Alternative Bias: Bearish below 4,305 – Short toward 4,273.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
GOLD (XAU/USD) BULLISH CONTINUATION SETUP AFTER RETESTChart Overview Timeframe: 1H (Hourly) Current Price: Around $4,338 Trend: Strong bullish trend within a rising channel Structure: Price broke slightly above the channel top and is now retesting the resistance level as potential new support 🔍 Detailed Analysis 1. Trend Structure Gold has been moving in a strong upward channel, showing consistent higher highs and higher lows. The breakout above the resistance channel suggests bullish continuation, but a short-term pullback or retest is expected before another leg up. 2. Key Levels Resistance Level: Around $4,350 – $4,370, now acting as support. Entry Zone: Around $4,313 – $4,338 (highlighted region). Stop Loss: Below $4,274 – $4,268 zone to protect against false breakouts. Target Point: Around $4,509 – $4,513, which aligns with the projected move from the breakout zone. 💹 Trade Plan (Bullish Setup) Entry: Wait for price to test and hold above $4,313 (confirmation candle or bullish rejection). Stop Loss: $4,274 – $4,268 (below recent swing low). Take Profit: $4,509 – $4,513. Risk/Reward Ratio: Roughly 1:4, which is excellent for a continuation trade. ⚠️ Market Sentiment Notes If gold fails to hold above $4,313, the move could turn into a deeper correction toward $4,250 – $4,200. Watch for strong bullish candles near the entry zone for confirmation. The setup remains bullish-biased, but patience for a clean entry is key. ✅ Summary: Bias: Bullish Setup Type: Pullback continuation Buy Zone: $4,313 – $4,338 Target: $4,509 – $4,513 Stop: $4,268
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues its historic rally, printing new all-time highs almost daily. Price is currently hovering around 4,356, consolidating just below the 4,385 resistance after a steep vertical move higher. Momentum remains strong, with price holding well above both the MA50 and MA200, confirming that buyers remain firmly in control. Immediate resistance sits at 4,385, followed by 4,406, 4,425, and 4,445. If price fails to break above 4,356, watch the First Reaction Zone (4,329–4,307) for a potential minor pullback. Failure to hold this zone could open the way for a deeper correction toward lower support areas in line with the moving averages. 📌Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4356 4385 4406 4425 4445 Support: 4329 4307 4280 4257 4235 4205 🔎 Fundamental focus: The U.S. government shutdown and ongoing U.S.–China trade tensions continue to cloud market sentiment, driving investors toward safe-haven assets. The uncertainty has created a “no-ceiling” environment for gold, where every dip is quickly absorbed and traders keep chasing fresh all-time highs amid strong momentum and risk aversion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (17/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)Prepared by: ElDoradoFx Premium Analyst Team ⸻ 🧭 Market Overview Gold remains in a strong bullish cycle, printing higher highs and higher lows across all major timeframes. However, after multiple rejections near $4,379–$4,380, the market is showing temporary exhaustion, hinting at a possible short-term retracement before continuation. RSI readings above 85 on the daily chart suggest the metal is overbought, yet momentum structure remains intact. ⸻ 📊 Technical Breakdown 1️⃣ Daily Chart (D1) • Structure: Clear bullish trend continuation. • RSI: 86.0, signaling potential short-term correction. • Key Support: 4,316 – 4,273 (previous resistance now turned support). • Bias: Bullish but extended — watch for retracement into 38.2%–61.8% Fib zone. 2️⃣ 1H Chart (H1) • Price rejected resistance at 4,379, forming a lower high with weakening MACD histogram. • 50EMA and 200EMA both sloping upward — overall momentum remains long-term bullish. • Support Zone: 4,336–4,318 (Fibonacci confluence). • Bias: Short-term corrective retracement expected before new buying momentum resumes. 3️⃣ 15M–5M Charts • Consolidation within a tight intraday channel. • Liquidity above 4,379 remains uncollected — likely target after correction. • MACD turning flat, confirming short-term pause. ⸻ 📐 Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing: 4,273 → 4,379) Level Price Confluence 38.2% 4,336 Near EMA50 & intraday support 50.0% 4,326 Mid-channel support 61.8% 4,318 Trendline intersection / re-entry zone 📊 Fibonacci Golden Zone: 4,318–4,336 → Optimal area to look for bullish confirmation patterns before re-entry. ⸻ 🎯 High-Probability Trade Scenarios ✅ BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias) • Break & Retest: Above 4,364, confirming short-term bullish continuation. • Retest Zone: 4,350–4,355 • Targets: • TP1 → 4,379 • TP2 → 4,395 • TP3 → 4,410 • Stop-Loss: Below 4,338 ⚠️ SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend Opportunity) • Break & Retest: Below 4,336, signaling potential correction phase. • Retest Zone: 4,336–4,345 • Targets: • TP1 → 4,318 • TP2 → 4,300 • TP3 → 4,273 • Stop-Loss: Above 4,355 🚀 AGGRESSIVE BREAKOUT BUY • Trigger: Clean breakout above 4,379 and candle closure. • Retest Zone: 4,372–4,379 • Targets: 4,395 → 4,410 → 4,428 • Stop-Loss: Below 4,355 ⸻ 📰 Fundamental Outlook • US Data: Light calendar until NY session; traders watching inflation expectations. • DXY: Below 104.80, maintaining downward bias, supportive for gold. • Yields: Neutral; no fresh upside momentum observed. • Global Sentiment: Slightly risk-off, benefiting gold as a hedge. ⸻ ⚙️ Key Technical Levels Type Levels Resistance 4,379 / 4,395 / 4,410 Support 4,336 / 4,318 / 4,273 Pivot Zone 4,350–4,355 (London liquidity area) ⸻ 🧾 Analyst Summary Gold remains structurally bullish while holding above 4,336, though an intraday pullback into the Fibonacci Golden Zone (4,318–4,336) would offer better long entry opportunities. A confirmed break above 4,379 can open a clean path toward 4,410–4,428. If 4,336 fails to hold, expect a healthy retracement toward 4,300–4,273 before the next bullish impulse. ⸻ 📈 Bias: Bullish above 4,336 — Corrective phase expected before continuation. 📉 Alternative Bias: Bearish short-term below 4,336 (retracement only).
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX