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XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchYesterday, we noted the need for a confirmed break above 4046 to sustain bullish momentum. However, gold failed to hold above the level, leading to a sharp pullback into lower support zones. Price is now trading below 4000 and under the 50MA, showing short-term bearish pressure. A clean break above 4000/MA50 could reignite bullish momentum toward 4020 → 4046 → 4,064. Failure to reclaim 4000 risks a deeper retracement toward 3937 (Secondary Support Zone) and 3909–3881 (Deeper Support Zone) where the MA200 may provide dynamic support. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4000 4020 4046 4064 Support: 3970 3,937 3,909 3,881 🔎 Fundamental Focus | Fri, Oct 10 Today’s key data includes Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations, alongside multiple FOMC speeches (Daly, Goolsbee, and Musalem) — all of which could provide fresh policy clues and volatility for gold. ⚠️ Note: The US government shutdown continues to impact economic data releases, causing uncertainty around timing, revisions, and overall market reliability.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
GOLD PRICE ANALYSIS – SUPPORT RETEST BEFORE NEXT BULLISH MOVEChart Overview Current Price: $3,973 Support Zone: $3,882 – $3,942 Target Level: $4,189 Channel Type: Ascending channel pattern (bullish structure) 📊 Technical Insights Trend Structure Gold is trading within a rising parallel channel, showing higher highs and higher lows. The current pullback is approaching the lower boundary of the channel, a potential buy zone. Support Area The marked support zone ($3,882 – $3,942) aligns with both: Channel support trendline Previous structure lows (confluence support) This makes it a strong potential reversal zone. Possible Scenarios Scenario A (Bullish Continuation) Price bounces from the support zone and resumes upward momentum toward the target level at $4,189, representing a +6.23% move. Scenario B (Deeper Correction) Price briefly dips below the lower boundary before reclaiming it — forming a false breakout and then rallying higher. Momentum Context Short-term retracement is normal within an uptrend. If candles show rejection wicks or bullish engulfing patterns around $3,900–$3,940,** it could confirm bullish continuation. ⚙️ Trading Plan Idea (Educational) Buy Zone: $3,885 – $3,940 Target: $4,180 – $4,190 Stop-Loss (suggested): Below $3,870 (to protect against breakdown) Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:3 📈 Summary Gold remains bullish within its rising channel. A short-term dip toward the support zone could offer a strong buy opportunity before the next push toward the $4,189 target.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
Gold Daily Bullish FVG Reaction with Upside Targetsa bullish setup on Gold (XAU/USD) in the daily timeframe. After a sharp decline, price has entered a highlighted “Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG)” zone, suggesting a potential area of demand or price imbalance. From this zone, a possible bullish reaction is indicated with an upward arrow, projecting a retracement toward three target levels: Target 1 at 3,970, Target 2 at 3,980, and Target 3 at 3,990. The chart implies that if the price maintains support within the FVG area, a move toward these targets could follow, signaling a short-term bullish correction in the broader market structure.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
After the Double Top — What’s Next for Gold Trading?Hello everyone! Gold has now formed a clear double-top pattern, and the current price zone is crucial — it will determine whether the market continues its downward move or starts building a potential double-bottom formation. The key levels to watch are: resistance at 4036 and support between 4011–4000. Before a decisive breakout occurs, traders can focus on range trading between 4005–4025. If the price breaks below support, the next downside targets are 3992, followed by 3986–3972/64. Conversely, if gold breaks above 4036 and stabilizes above it, the price could extend upward toward 4046–4058. From a technical standpoint, the current structure remains bearish-biased, so long positions should be approached with caution. A quick in-and-out trading style is recommended for safety. For those who prefer a more conservative approach, it’s better to wait for a clearer breakout signal before entering the market.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold (XAU/USD) Rebound Setup – Support Holding StrongAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of bullish strength after testing the $4,000–$3,970 support zone, where buyers are stepping back in. The recent consolidation above support suggests a potential reversal and continuation of the uptrend. The setup highlights: Support Zone: Around $3,970 – $4,000, acting as a key accumulation area. Bullish Trigger: A breakout above minor resistance could drive momentum higher. Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $4,101 🎯 Target 2: $4,150 🎯 Target 3: $4,200 Stop Loss: Below $3,970 to protect against a downside breakout. 📈 Outlook: As long as price sustains above support, Gold remains bullish, aiming for a breakout towards $4,150 and $4,200 levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Gold XAUUSD Breakout Setup | VWAP and Market Structure Explained📊 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis Gold remains in a bullish trend overall 💪. On the 30-minute timeframe, price is approaching a key level of resistance near the previous swing high. 📈 The VWAP bands show price pressing up toward the first deviation, suggesting momentum remains strong — but this is also where we often see short-term reactions. 💡 Trade idea: If price can break above the previous high and the first VWAP deviation, then a retrace and retest of that level could offer a potential long opportunity for continuation 🏹. However, if this setup fails to materialize and price rejects from the current zone, we abandon the long idea and wait for clearer confirmation. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
XAU/USD 09 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued with it's bullish trajectory, printing further ATH's, breaching the $4000 mark for the first time. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a horizontal blue dotted line Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price continued bullish, printing further ATH's. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH, however, as mentioned in yesterday's analysis, I will be monitoring depth of pullback. Pullback is insignificant, therefore, I will again apply discretion and not classify as such. I have however marked this in red. Price has since printed a further bearish CHOCH which means that price is now trading within an established internal range. However, I shall, again, be monitoring depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,059.350. Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – (09/10/2025, London Session)Market Bias: Neutral–Bullish (possible upside recovery if 4,030 holds) Overall Trend: Still bullish on the higher timeframes, though intraday correction continues from 4,059 high. ⸻ 🔍 Daily (D1) Outlook • Gold is in a strong uptrend, supported by 20 EMA (3,998) and 50 EMA (3,867). • Yesterday’s candle printed a small rejection wick from 4,059 – signaling exhaustion but not reversal yet. • RSI at 78 → near overbought, indicating limited room for immediate upside before a pullback. • MACD still positive and widening → medium-term bullish trend intact. 📈 Daily Bias: Trend bullish unless price closes below 3,998 support. ⸻ ⏱ 1H (H1) Outlook • Gold is consolidating between 4,018 – 4,045 inside a minor descending channel within the broader uptrend. • A bounce from the ascending green trendline aligns with the 20 EMA support (4,030). • MACD histogram showing smaller red bars → bearish momentum fading. • RSI ~49 → neutral, showing indecision before London volatility. • Structure still forming higher lows, maintaining bullish pressure. 🟢 If gold holds above 4,030, a recovery toward 4,045–4,059 is likely. 🔴 Break below 4,018 would confirm short-term bearish continuation to 4,010–3,995. ⸻ ⏱ 15M (M15) Outlook • Gold is coiling between 4,018–4,038 forming a symmetrical triangle, often a precursor to breakout volatility. • EMA alignment remains positive (20 > 50 > 200). • MACD turning flat → early consolidation before possible breakout. • RSI hovering near 50, indicating balanced market. 📍 Key observation: This compression phase will likely break during London — direction will depend on whether 4,045 (upper boundary) or 4,018 (lower boundary) gives way first. ⸻ ⏱ 5M (M5) Scalping View • Range-bound structure within 4,030–4,038. • Minor liquidity sweeps above and below confirm low-volume accumulation. • Short-term EMAs crossing upward → micro bullish hint. 💡 Scalpers may watch for breakout candle closes with volume confirmation. ⸻ ✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone Using the latest swing from 3,984 → 4,059, the retracement levels are: • 38.2% → 4,032 • 50% → 4,021 • 61.8% → 4,010 ➡️ Golden Zone: 4,032 – 4,010 (buy interest area if retested with confirmation). ✅ Confluence: aligns with ascending trendline + 1H EMA + psychological support 4,030. ⸻ ⚡ Breakout & Retest Levels Direction Breakout Zone Retest Confirmation Target Zones Bullish Above 4,045–4,051 Retest 4,041–4,043 4,059 → 4,072 → 4,085 Bearish Below 4,018–4,010 Retest 4,014–4,016 3,995 → 3,984 → 3,970 ⸻ 📊 Indicators Summary Indicator Reading Bias RSI (H1) 49 ⚪ Neutral MACD (H1) Fading red histogram 🟢 Bullish recovery building EMAs (20/50/200) Upward aligned 🟢 Bullish structure Parabolic SAR Below price 🟢 Supportive trend Volume Decreasing ⚠️ Low volatility before London open ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Outlook – London Session • No major UK data early session. • Focus on US CPI (tomorrow) → traders may stay cautious. • DXY stabilizing near 104.70, showing slight weakness, giving gold potential upside room. • US yields steady; sentiment neutral-to-slightly risk-on. ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold remains inside consolidation but still bullish on structure. Price is testing a key support zone (4,030–4,018) within the golden zone, where buyers may re-enter. 📈 Buy Scenario (High Probability): Hold above 4,030 → possible rally to 4,045 → 4,059 → 4,072. Confirmation: breakout and retest above 4,045. 📉 Sell Scenario (Alternative): Break and retest below 4,018 → 4,010, opens deeper correction to 3,995–3,984. 🎯 Fibonacci Golden Zone: 4,032 – 4,010 (buy interest area). ⚠️ Invalidation: Close below 4,010 = short-term bearish shift.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
$4070 Gold: New Record! Was the Recent Dip a Sell Trap?Hello, traders! Gold just set a New Record at $4,070.5/oz (Futures). Up 54% YTD, this rally is strongly fueled by two core factors: 1) Confirmed Fed rate cut momentum (backed by FOMC Minutes) and 2) Overwhelming safe-haven demand due to global instability (US Shutdown, Middle East conflict). Technical Analysis & BUY Dips Strategy Confirmed The sharp pullback from $405x to $4000 (the Fib 0.5 zone) led many to suspect a reversal. However, buying pressure overwhelmed sellers and broke resistance at $402x. Technical Conclusion: The dip was a Sell Trap and merely a Consolidation phase. The primary bias is confirmed: BUY on Dips is the absolute priority. Risk Warning: Only if $4000 is cleanly broken on heavy volume does the risk shift heavily against long positions. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $4049, $4057, $4064, $4074, $4084, $4094 Support: $4021, $4009, $3992, $3978 Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY at Support) BUY SCALP: $4019 - $4017 SL: $4013 TPs: $4023, $4028, $4033, $4038 BUY ZONE (Strong Demand): $3992 - $3990 SL: $3982 TPs: $4000, $4010, $4020, $4030, $4040 SELL SCALP: $4056 - $4058 SL: $4062 TPs: $4053, $4048, $4043, $4038 SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4084 - $4086 SL: $4094 TPs: $4076, $4066, $4056, $4046, $4036 Can this momentum push Gold past $4100 this week? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #4070USD #ATH #Fed #BUYDIPS #SellTrap #TradingView
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchYesterday, we noted that gold was extended and due for a retracement. Price failed to hold above 4046 and sharply pulled back, testing the upper edge of the First Reaction Zone, which also aligns with the MA50, now acting as dynamic support. For bullish momentum to continue toward 4064 and 4080, price needs to reclaim and hold above 4046. Failure to do so could trigger another retest of the reaction zone and potentially a deeper pullback toward the lower support levels before buyers step back in. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4046 4064 4080 Support: 4020 4000 3970 3937 3909 🔎Fundamental Focus | October 9, 2025 Today’s spotlight is on Fed Chair Powell’s speech, which is expected to set the tone for the day. Markets will be watching closely for any hints on rate-cut timing or comments addressing economic risks amid the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Additional Fed officials — Bowman and Barr — are also scheduled to speak throughout the day, which could add layers of volatility if their remarks differ in tone from Powell’s. With U.S. data releases still limited by the shutdown, today’s Fed communications will be the key market driver.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Gold: Long-short divergence is emergingGold exhibited a consolidative trend today, with the 4000-4050 range providing significant support. After touching an intraday low of 4001, prices rebounded sharply—indicating robust buying interest in this interval. Resistance is concentrated between 4045-4050. While gold remains in a strong zone above 4000 in the short term, the rate of increase has narrowed compared to previous sessions. Long-short divergence is emerging, warranting caution against pullback risks following rallies. Market expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November remain uncertain, and this ambiguity has led to the oscillating trend in Gold. If subsequent economic data (e.g., inflation and employment figures) reinforce rate cut expectations, the U.S. Dollar Index may weaken further, potentially allowing gold to break through the 4050 resistance level and advance toward the 4070-4100 range. Conversely, if rate cut hopes fade, prices may retrace to the psychological 4000 level to seek support. Buy 4000 - 4010 TP 4020 - 4030 - 4040 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
1
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) remains firmly supported above the $4,000 psychological level, holding gains despite overbought conditions. The chart shows price respecting the ascending trendline support and consolidating near the mid-channel zone. Immediate resistance lies at $4,121 – $4,135, while the support base is aligned around $3,988 – $4,001. As long as the price maintains above the trendline, the bullish structure remains intact. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $4,002 – $3,988 (buy on dips near support) Stop Loss: $3,977 Take Profit 1: $4,121 Take Profit 2: $4,133 Risk-Reward (R:R): ~1 : 5.35 🌍 Macro Background The US government shutdown continues into its ninth day, weighing on confidence in the US economy and weakening the Dollar. At the same time, the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance—with September’s rate cut already delivered and further cuts projected in October and December—reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding Gold. This has fuelled demand for the safe-haven asset. Meanwhile, Middle East risks have eased slightly after Israel and Hamas signed the first phase of the Trump peace plan, but broader uncertainty in global politics (US, EU fiscal tensions, Japan’s leadership changes) keeps safe-haven flows active. Thus, any dips are likely to attract strong buyers. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,121 / $4,133 Support: $4,002 / $3,988 📌 Trade Summary Gold continues to ride strong bullish momentum, supported by dovish Fed expectations and political uncertainties. Buying near support levels remains favoured, with targets set at $4,121 and $4,135. Pullbacks should be seen as opportunities to rejoin the uptrend. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 - (09/10/2025, Asia Session)Current Price: 4,041 Session Bias: Neutral-to-bullish (possible continuation if 4,031 holds) Market Structure: Gold consolidating after major rally, forming a potential re-accumulation phase inside an ascending channel. ⸻ 🕐 1️⃣ DAILY TIMEFRAME (D1) • The daily candle closed bullish but with a long upper wick, showing rejection near 4,059. • Structure remains firmly bullish, with price holding well above both EMAs: • 20 EMA: 3,978 • 50 EMA: 3,867 • MACD still positive, histogram extended but flattening → momentum slowing. • RSI at 78, signaling overbought conditions. • Parabolic SAR remains below price → trend intact. Summary: The daily trend remains bullish, but a short-term consolidation or correction is likely before a new leg higher toward 4,070–4,090. ⸻ ⏱ 2️⃣ H1 TIMEFRAME • Gold is moving inside an ascending channel, currently holding mid-range. • Support area between 4,033–4,018; resistance around 4,047–4,059. • The latest candles show lower highs forming, signaling potential temporary compression before breakout. • MACD histogram slightly negative, confirming minor correction mode. • RSI at 54 → neutral, suggesting possible bounce from support if buyers defend structure. • The 20 EMA (4,039) and 50 EMA (3,985) remain bullishly aligned → trend still intact. Observation: Asia could open with consolidation between 4,030–4,050 before a breakout. Bulls will likely defend the 4,033–4,018 zone for a re-entry attempt. ⸻ 📉 3️⃣ M15 TIMEFRAME • Price building a descending wedge structure — typically a bullish continuation pattern. • Immediate support: 4,033–4,030 • Resistance: 4,047–4,051 (weak high) • Fibonacci retracement from 3,984 → 4,059: • 38.2% = 4,032 • 50% = 4,021 • 61.8% = 4,010 ➤ Golden Zone = 4,032 – 4,010 • MACD histogram red but contracting — bears losing pressure. • RSI at 47, near mid-level → awaiting a confirmed impulse. Summary: The wedge plus golden zone suggest a potential bullish rebound if Asia session liquidity sweeps below 4,030–4,018 and reclaims above 4,033. ⸻ ⚡ 4️⃣ M5 TIMEFRAME (SCALPING STRUCTURE) • Market is ranging 4,032–4,046, inside compression. • Minor CHoCH and BOS signals visible between candles, confirming short-term equilibrium. • MACD showing convergence → early sign of potential breakout build-up. • RSI around 48 → balanced. Scalping Areas: • Buy scalp: from 4,033–4,028, confirmation candle close above 4,035, SL ≤ 60 pips. • Sell scalp: only if clean break below 4,018, retest, and rejection candle appears. ⸻ ✨ FIBONACCI GOLDEN ZONE (Current Swing: 3,984 → 4,059) Retracement Level Price 38.2% 4,032 50% 4,021 61.8% 4,010 ➡️ Golden Zone = 4,032 – 4,010 → Primary buy interest area if retested with bullish confirmation. ⸻ 🚨 BREAKOUT & RETEST LEVELS TO WATCH Direction Breakout Zone Retest Confirmation Target Zones Bullish Above 4,051–4,059 Retest 4,047–4,050 4,066 → 4,072 → 4,085 Bearish Below 4,018–4,010 Retest 4,014–4,016 4,000 → 3,990 → 3,970 ⸻ 🧭 ASIA SESSION OUTLOOK • Base Case (65% probability): Gold remains in consolidation early Asia, possibly sweeping 4,030–4,018 (Golden Zone) before resuming upward movement to 4,060–4,072. • Alternative (25% probability): Extended sideways compression 4,030–4,050 until London. • Low Probability (10%): Strong bearish break below 4,010 leading to deeper correction 3,990–3,970. ⸻ ✅ SUMMARY Gold remains bullish overall, but currently accumulating near intraday support after rejection at 4,059. Asia is expected to be range-bound with a bullish bias, focusing on: • Buy interest zone: 4,032–4,010 (Golden Zone) • Breakout confirmation: above 4,051 for 4,060–4,072 extension. • Invalidation: below 4,010 structure. Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 4,018 ⚪ Neutral 4,018–4,010 🔴 Bearish below 4,010 ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 08/10/2025 📱 📊 DAILY MARKET RESULTS ✅ SELL +60 pips ✅ BUY +20 pips ✅ BUY +40 pips 💸 BTC/USD +1,700 pips ✅ SELL +110 pips ✅ BUY +20 pips ❌ SELL –40 pips (SL) ✅ BUY +210 pips ❌ SELL –40 pips (SL) ✅ BUY LIMIT +40 pips --- 🏆 GOLD TOTAL PIPS WON: +420 pips 📱 BTC/USD TOTAL: +1,700 pips 📈 COMBINED GAIN: +2,120 pips 📊 RESULT: 10 Signals → 8 Wins | 2 SL 🎯 ACCURACY: 80 % --- 🔥 Solid day of profits with powerful BTC moves and consistent gold trades! Another step toward closing the week in style 💪📈 👏 Congratulations if you profited ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
1
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – US FORECAST (08/10/2025)Session Bias: Bullish continuation with controlled pullback probability Market Structure: Still within ascending channel; bulls defending structure after rejection at 4,049 ⸻ 🕐 1️⃣ DAILY TIMEFRAME (D1) • Gold continues its aggressive uptrend, with another bullish daily candle extending from 3,983 to 4,049. • Price remains above 20 EMA (3,975) and 50 EMA (3,867) → strong bullish trend confirmation. • RSI at 79 → extremely overbought, suggesting limited room before a short-term correction. • MACD histogram still expanding positively, showing momentum remains active despite exhaustion risk. • Parabolic SAR stays below price → trend intact. Summary: Gold is overextended but structurally bullish. As long as daily candle holds above 4,000, buyers remain in control aiming for 4,060–4,078. ⸻ ⏱ 2️⃣ H1 TIMEFRAME • Gold hit 4,049 (Weak High) and is now consolidating around 4,040–4,043, holding above short-term structure support at 4,031. • Price remains above 20 EMA (4,031) and 50 EMA (3,984) — EMAs sharply aligned upward. • MACD: histogram showing fading bullish momentum, though still above zero → healthy pullback possible. • RSI (70) hovering near overbought → suggests cooling off before potential continuation. • Channel Structure: price rejected top trendline (red), possibly retracing toward midline support 4,031–4,020. Observation: If 4,031–4,020 holds, we may see a continuation leg toward 4,060–4,078. A break below 4,018 would shift short-term momentum bearish toward 4,004. ⸻ 📉 3️⃣ M15 TIMEFRAME • The intraday structure remains bullish; however, candles are printing smaller bodies → indicating exhaustion. • Fibonacci retracement from 3,984 → 4,049: • 38.2% = 4,024 • 50% = 4,017 • 61.8% = 4,010 → forming a Golden Zone (4,024–4,010) — ideal pullback area for re-entry if the bullish trend resumes. • MACD showing a flattening histogram → potential retrace before next impulse. • RSI at 61 → mid-range, ready for either a dip or rebound depending on 4,031 support reaction. Summary: A healthy retracement toward 4,024–4,010 is expected. As long as the golden zone holds, trend continuation remains the main scenario. ⸻ ⚡ 4️⃣ M5 TIMEFRAME (SCALPING VIEW) • Price formed a minor double top at 4,049 and retraced to 4,033, currently ranging between 4,030–4,044. • 20 EMA starting to flatten, while 50 EMA remains below → short-term correction developing. • MACD histogram in red but narrowing → bears weakening as we approach support. • RSI 48 → neutral, suggesting accumulation zone forming for next move. Scalping Summary: • Buy scalp zone: 4,031–4,024 (confirmation required) • Sell scalp zone: below 4,018 (breakout and retest) → potential drop to 4,004–3,992 ⸻ ✨ FIBONACCI GOLDEN ZONE (Current Swing: 3,984 → 4,049) Retracement Level Price 38.2% 4,024 50% 4,017 61.8% 4,010 Golden Zone = 4,024 – 4,010 → key support & re-entry area. ⸻ 🚨 BREAKOUT LEVELS TO WATCH Direction Breakout Zone Retest Confirmation Target Zones Bullish Above 4,049–4,050 Retest 4,045–4,047 4,060 → 4,072 → 4,085 Bearish Below 4,018–4,010 Retest 4,015–4,012 4,004 → 3,992 → 3,970 ⸻ 📊 INDICATORS SUMMARY Indicator Reading Bias RSI (H1) 70 (Overbought) ⚠ Cooling phase MACD (H1) Positive, flattening ✅ Still bullish EMAs (20/50) Rising, wide gap ✅ Trend intact Volume Normalizing ⚠ Pre-news pause Parabolic SAR Below price ✅ Trend supportive ⸻ 🧭 SESSION OUTLOOK (US SESSION) • Base Case (60% probability): Controlled pullback toward 4,024–4,010 (Golden Zone) before continuation to 4,060–4,078. • Alternative (30% probability): Extended range between 4,030–4,049 with sideways consolidation. • Low Probability (10%): Breakdown below 4,010 → deeper correction to 3,990–3,970. ⸻ ✅ SUMMARY Gold remains bullish overall, but short-term momentum is softening after reaching 4,049 resistance. A pullback into 4,024–4,010 (Golden Zone) is the ideal setup for bullish continuation. As long as price holds above 4,018, trend bias stays upward; only a confirmed breakdown below 4,010 would signal short-term bearish correction. Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 4,018 ⚪ Neutral 4,018–4,010 🔴 Bearish below 4,010 ⸻
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
XAU/USD 08 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has again printed a bearish CHoCH. However, I will apply discretion and not classify as such due to insignificant depth of pullback, relative to recent price action. I have however marked this in red once again. Intraday Expectation: Allow price to continue with it bullish trajectory and to show signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. This would typically be the printing of a bearish CHoCH, which would indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price continued bullish, printing further ATH's. Price has printed several bearish CHoCH's, however, as mentioned in yesterday's analysis, I would be watching depth of pullback. Pullback on all bearish CHoCH's was insignificant, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify as such. I have however marked them in red. Intraday expectation: Allow price to show more definitive signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. This would be for price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone. Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Analysis (XAUUSD) | 1H Timeframe 🔹 Current Status: Gold is aggressively breaking new highs and showing strong bullish moves. This suggests that we might be experiencing the best year for gold in several decades. 🔹 Scenario 1: If the price reaches 3,840 and 3,860 levels, there’s a possibility of a pullback to lower green areas (around 3,700 or 3,680). These green zones can be ideal for entering long positions with lower risk. 🔹 Scenario 2: If the price swiftly breaks through the higher levels and moves further up, it might indicate the continuation of the bullish trend. In this case, look for long positions on lower timeframes (such as 5 minutes) with confirmation from candlestick patterns and price action. 🔹 Key Points: The price is breaking new highs and continuing the bullish trend. Look for long positions in lower timeframes in the green zones for confirmation. Enter long near 3,700 and 3,680 with low risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProfitaminFX
2