Market Analysis: Gold Pulls BackMarket Analysis: Gold Pulls Back
Gold price started a fresh decline below $3,380.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price climbed higher toward the $3,410 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar.
- A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $3,355 on the hourly chart of gold.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price climbed above the $3,380 resistance. The price even spiked above $3,400 before the bears appeared.
A high was formed near $3,409 before there was a fresh decline. There was a move below the $3,380 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below the $3,350 support and the 50-hour simple moving average.
It tested the $3,330 zone. A low has formed near $3,331 and the price is now consolidating losses near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,409 swing high to the $3,331 low.
Immediate resistance on the upside is near a bearish trend line at $3,355 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The next major hurdle is near the 50% Fib retracement level.
The main barrier for the bulls could be near the $3,380 level, above which the price could test the $3,400 zone. Any more gains might call for a move toward $3,410. An upside break above $3,410 could send Gold price toward $3,425.
Initial support on the downside is near $3,330. The next key level is $3,320. If there is a downside break below $3,320, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $3,300 zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Xauusdtrade
Gold Price Declines Amid Easing Geopolitical TensionsGold Price Declines Amid Easing Geopolitical Tensions
It has been announced that a meeting between the Presidents of the United States and Russia will take place this week. Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin are expected to meet in Alaska. This will mark the first face-to-face talks between the leaders of the two major powers since 2021, when Putin met with Biden in Geneva.
The upcoming meeting is widely seen as a potential step towards ending the full-scale military conflict in Ukraine, which began in 2022. Anticipation of the talks is easing geopolitical tensions, which is reflected in today’s downward movement of the gold price, visible on the XAU/USD chart.
XAU/USD Technical Analysis
Today, gold prices have fallen to the $3,360 area, with several bearish signals apparent on the chart:
→ The decline occurred on long bearish candles (as shown by the arrow). From a price action perspective, this suggests mounting selling pressure.
→ The MACD histogram has moved below zero, with the indicator lines pointing downward.
→ Gold has broken the upward trendline support from above (marked in blue). The breakout level, around $3,380, may now act as resistance, as sellers have asserted their dominance here.
→ From a broader perspective, the price appears to be reversing from the resistance line drawn through this summer’s highs.
Given these factors,we could assume that gold is heading towards the lower black trendline, which runs through the notable July lows and forms a channel with the upper line. However, along the way, sellers will need to overcome a key support zone in the form of a bullish Fair Value Gap (marked in purple). The upper boundary of this zone is reinforced by the 50% Fibonacci retracement level plotted from the bullish impulse points A→B.
Whether the bears can push the price through the FVG zone will largely depend on gold’s reaction to tomorrow’s US inflation data (CPI release scheduled for 15:30 GMT+3).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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🔑 ENTRY POINTS
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🛑 STOP LOSS: THE ALARM SYSTEM
Set SL just above the nearest swing high (4H timeframe preferred).
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Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Institutional Outlook — August 8, 2025Overview
As of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,392.30 in the 4-hour session, holding firmly above the $3,370–$3,380 support shelf. The recent price action reflects ongoing bullish momentum, driven by escalating geopolitical risks, weak U.S. labor market data, and renewed safe-haven flows after the announcement of U.S. tariffs on gold bars.
This analysis outlines the primary institutional Buy and Sell Zones for the day, based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC), ICT methodology, Order Block/FVG confluence, and 4H price structure. All zones presented are execution-ready and supported by multi-layered validation from institutional frameworks.
✅ Current Price Context
Live Price (XAU/USD): $3,392.30 (as of ~03:00 UTC)
Structure: Bullish (Higher Highs and Higher Lows)
Bias: Bullish, with continuation toward $3,420+ likely if key support holds
Recent High: ~$3,410
Key Support Base: $3,375–$3,385
The bullish market structure remains intact with strong institutional displacement legs to the upside and well-defined liquidity targets still in play above $3,420.
🔍 Institutional Trade Zones (4H)
🟩 Primary Buy Zone (Execution-Ready Long Setup)
Entry Range: $3,375 – $3,385
Stop Loss: Below $3,370 (beneath liquidity shelf and unmitigated OB)
Target 1: $3,420 (1.272 Fib extension)
Target 2: $3,450 (1.618 Fib extension)
Confluence Factors:
Unmitigated Demand Order Block (RBR)
Embedded Fair Value Gap following impulsive buy-side displacement
0.705–0.79 OTE retracement zone from latest swing
Liquidity sweep under equal lows at ~$3,370
Volume imbalance supports continuation from this zone
Located within Discount territory of internal swing
Overlaps with Asia–London Kill Zone
➡️ This zone offers the highest confluence of institutional logic today and is nominated as the Golden Zone.
🟥 Primary Sell Zone (Countertrend Reversal Setup)
Entry Range: $3,415 – $3,425
Stop Loss: Above $3,430
Target 1: $3,380
Target 2: $3,350
Confluence Factors:
Fresh Supply Order Block (DBD) at premium pricing
Presence of FVG following sell-side displacement
0.705–0.79 OTE retracement from bearish leg
EQH liquidity resting just above entry
Strong rejection wicks during NY session
Volume imbalance confirms sell-side aggression
New York Kill Zone alignment
⚠️ Consider only if price cleanly enters the upper premium zone and shows rejection or sweep behavior.
🟨 Fallback Buy Zone (Contingency Setup)
Entry Range: $3,365 – $3,370
Stop Loss: Below $3,360
Target: $3,385 → $3,395
Confluences:
Secondary Demand OB
Partial FVG
In Discount territory
Liquidity resting just below $3,365
Volume tapering indicates absorption
Use only if Primary Buy Zone is invalidated via strong stop-run or displacement.
🟥 Fallback Sell Zone (Contingency Setup)
Entry Range: $3,430 – $3,435
Stop Loss: Above $3,440
Target: $3,400 → $3,380
Confluences:
Lower timeframe mitigation zone
FVG within premium zone
Above EQH liquidity
Fulfills repricing logic after overextension
Valid only if the primary sell zone is invalidated by sweep and reversal pattern confirmation.
🌐 Institutional Sentiment Confirmation
Reuters confirms gold reached multi-month highs due to tariff-induced safe-haven flows
FXStreet reports gold holds above the 20-day EMA with a bullish intraday structure
FXEmpire technicals target $3,450–$3,500 extension zones if bullish pressure sustains
COT positioning and fund flows show continued institutional interest in gold longs
🔔 Final Notes for Execution
Allow price to retest and react within the zone before entering.
Prefer entries during Asia-London or London-NY Kill Zones
Avoid market chasing — wait for confirmations such as sweep → displacement → mitigation
Don’t Blink — Gold Charging Toward 3400!Overnight, we entered a long trade at 3365 and successfully closed the trade by hitting TP: 3395, locking in nearly 300pips of profit. This was a very successful and accurate trading strategy.
Just now, gold became very crazy after rising, and plunged directly from around 3397 to around 3372. It was a very scary and crazy diving action. In fact, I am not worried about it. On the contrary, I am very happy that it provides me with another opportunity to enter the market and go long on gold. I've already entered a long position in gold again, as planned, in the 3375-3365 area.
Regarding the recent plunge in gold, I think it was intended to scare off the long positions that were somewhat loose in their intentions. Although gold has fallen sharply, it is still in a recent volatile upward structure. The volatile upward structure has not been destroyed in the short term, so I believe that gold will not have much room for retracement for the time being under the support of the bullish structure. On the contrary, I believe that after gold touches around 3397, even if it is weak, it will try to hit the 3400 mark, and it is even expected to continue the bullish trend to the 3420-3430 area.
There may be many friends in the market waiting for the opportunity to enter the long market at 3350 or even 3340, but what I want to say is that under the support of the gold bull structure, the downward space has been greatly limited. In the short term, gold may not go to such a low position at all, so relatively speaking, I prefer to go long on gold in the 3375-3365 area, and I have indeed done so!
XAUUSD - 3400Technical picture
Bullish momentum is strengthening: US jobs shortage has caused an influx into safe havens, which has contributed to gold's growth
A reversal signal is forming: a bounce from the lower line of Bollinger Bands is observed, and a bullish cross of EMA-8 and EMA-21 is also forming, plus a moderately positive MACD - a classic "buy on dip" entry pattern
Key levels:
Support: around $3,330 - a support zone coinciding with the 21- and 50-day SMAs. Below — potential for decline to $3,297-$3,283
Resistance: $3,380 — resistance, breakout of which could open the way to $3,440-$3,450
Structural pattern: breakout from triangle to the downside could signal a deeper correction
Industry consensus: Citi has revised its target range up to $3,300-$3,600 in the next three months, based on a weak US economy and rising geo-risk
Meanwhile, HSBC warns of possible weakness — forecast for 2025-2026 from $3,215 to $2,350 in a more bearish scenario
Institutional Gold Strategy Note – August 7, 2025🔍 Executive Summary
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to hold firm above the $3,370 handle, supported by a bullish macro narrative and confirmed technical structure on the 4-hour chart. Amid dovish expectations from the Fed and soft labor market data out of the U.S., bullion maintains its premium as a hedge, attracting institutional flow in line with the rate-cut narrative for Q3–Q4.
Today’s market profile suggests a high-probability long setup, anchored in a fresh demand structure just below current price, supported by unmitigated institutional order flow, premium discount levels, and clear liquidity sweeps.
🎯 Directional Bias: Bullish–Transitional
While price is consolidating around $3,378, the underlying structure favors a bullish continuation. A Change of Character (CHoCH) has been confirmed on the 4H chart, suggesting a shift from corrective to impulsive intent. Liquidity remains stacked below recent equal lows, and the premium-to-discount array strongly favors buy-side execution.
🟩 Primary Buy Zone (GOLDEN ZONE)
Entry: $3,350–$3,355 | Stop-Loss: < $3,340 | Targets: $3,400 / $3,430
This zone represents the highest institutional quality setup of the day. It aligns with:
A fresh unmitigated Rally-Base-Rally Demand Zone
A refined Bullish Order Block within optimal trade entry (OTE) discount range
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) aligned with internal BOS leg
Equal Lows (EQL) sweep below $3,355, targeting liquidity
Overlap with volume imbalance, suggesting a clean institutional leg
Clear CHoCH confirming bullish structure
Kill Zone Alignment: Asia–London overlap, pre-London accumulation
This zone is statistically favored for execution by both Smart Money and legacy institutions, given its confluence density and asymmetrical risk profile.
🟥 Primary Sell Zone
Entry: $3,385–$3,390 | Stop-Loss: > $3,400 | Targets: $3,350 / $3,320
A valid counter-trend liquidity sweep opportunity, located above short-term equal highs near the psychological $3,400 level. Key confluences include:
Drop-Base-Drop Supply Zone
Overlapping FVG + OB in premium zone
Alignment with OTE premium retracement
Liquidity cluster near recent EQH
Structural resistance + round-number magnetism
Execution window during London–NY overlap
This zone is valid only for short-duration scalps or short-term reversal positioning.
🟢 Fallback Buy Zone (If Primary is invalidated)
Entry: $3,320–$3,325 | SL: < $3,310 | TPs: $3,400 / $3,430
A deeper mitigation zone with reduced confluence but adequate historical support. This zone captures:
A mitigated OB inside Demand
0.618 Fib retracement from internal BOS
Liquidity sweep potential of a broader EQL stack
Minor structure support
Use only if the market sweeps the primary zone and rebalances deeper.
🔻 Fallback Sell Zone (If Primary Sell fails)
Entry: $3,410–$3,415 | SL: > $3,420 | TP: $3,350
Set well above prior resistance, this extended zone aligns with:
Extended Supply + Unmitigated OB
FVG inside premium OTE zone
Recent accumulation liquidity trap (potential fakeout zone)
Session mispricing during NY–Asia rollover
Use only if price impulsively breaches the $3,400 psychological barrier and stalls near the top of an exhaustion leg.
🌐 Institutional Cross-Validation
Citi Group has upgraded its 3-month Gold forecast to $3,500, citing weakening U.S. macro data and elevated inflation expectations as bullish catalysts.
Reuters and FXStreet confirm Gold's hold near 1-week highs with sentiment strongly skewed toward continued demand amid Fed rate-cut odds exceeding 90%.
TradingView pro charts show confluence with OB/FVG zones at both $3,355 and $3,390, validating both primary zones technically.
📌 Final Notes
Action Bias:
Aggressively long from $3,350–$3,355 with tight structure-defined invalidation.
Hold shorts only from $3,385–$3,390 under strict reversal logic.
Risk Reminder:
All zones are built from 4H structural flow only. Intraday volatility outside kill zones may distort price behavior — wait for displacements and internal breaks before entering. Manage partials at 1.272 extension and hold runners toward 1.618 only if structure confirms.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour performance of the Gold Spot price against the U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) from late July to early August 2025. The current price is 3,362.895, reflecting a +72.775 (+2.21%) increase. Key levels include a sell price of 3,362.200 and a buy price of 3,363.590. The chart highlights a recent upward trend with a notable resistance zone around 3,395.716 and a support level near 3,336.129, as indicated by the shaded areas.
XAUUSD 1H AnalysisGold experienced a strong selloff, breaking multiple key S&R levels and forming a clear bearish structure. Currently, price is reacting from the PD Low + 1H demand zone (~3265) and pulling back.
🔍 Key Zones:
PD High – 3335: Major resistance / Supply
Supply Zone – 3295–3305: Key area to watch for bearish reaction
Current Resistance – 3285: Price testing this minor S&R level now
PD Low – 3265: Strong bullish reaction zone
📌 Potential Setups:
Sell Setup: If price enters 3295–3305 (Supply Zone) and forms rejection on 15M/1H → short toward 3265.
Buy Setup: If price breaks and holds above 3305, look for retest and continuation toward 3335.
Scalp Long: Small pullback toward 3275–3270 could offer intraday long up to 3295–3300.
📈 Bias: Still bearish unless price reclaims and sustains above 3305.
Patience is key — let price come to zone and wait for confirmation.
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 29 July 2025Hello Traders, Welcome to new day
we have US JOLTS high impact news today, for market sustains above 3300 psychological level
if market successfully break 3280 level then it will move towards 3280 or even 3270
if market crosses 3330 level successfully then it will move towards 3345 or even 3360
All eyes on FOMC & NFP news for the week
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
"GOLD Bandit Strategy: Loot Pips Like a Pro!🏆 GOLD HEIST ALERT! 🏆 XAU/USD Bandit Strategy (Swing/Day Trade)
Steal Pips Like a Pro! 💰🔓 Bull vs. Bear Raid Plan
🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates! 🌟
"The trend is your accomplice—time to loot!"
🔮 Thief’s Technical & Fundamental Intel:
XAU/USD (The Gold Vault) is flashing BEARISH signals, but we’re ready to raid both sides! Follow the heist blueprint below 👇
🎯 ENRY POINTS (Where to Strike!)
🏴☠️ LONG RAID (Bullish Thieves):
Break & Grab: Enter above 3450.00 (Pullback Zone)
"Wait for the breakout, then ambush!"
🐻 SHORT RAID (Bearish Bandits):
Sneak Attack 1: Sell below 3300.00
Sneak Attack 2: Sell below 3260.00 (Support Wall Cracked!)
🛑 STOP-LOSS (Escape Routes)
Bullish Trade: SL at 3230.00 (Guard your loot!)
Bearish Trade 1: SL at 3360.00 (Don’t get caught!)
Bearish Trade 2: SL at 3280.00 (Risk = Reward!)
(Adjust SL based on your risk appetite & lot size!)
💰 TAKE-PROFIT (Cash Out & Flee!)
Bullish Thieves: TP at 3270.00 (Or escape early!)
Bearish Bandits (1): TP at 3270.00
Bearish Bandits (2): TP at 3210.00 (Big score!)
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News = Danger Zone! 📢 Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
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Gold (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Technical Analysis Report - 25 July 2025 📌 Market Context & Sentiment Overview
The gold market is currently trading in a state of technical compression, with the price hovering just beneath the mid-3360s. After a significant rally earlier in the month, the recent sessions have seen price action coiling within a tight ascending triangle—a classic pattern known to precede breakouts.
According to recent publications by FXEmpire, FXStreet, and Investing.com, sentiment remains moderately bullish. Analysts point to strong institutional demand near the 3320–3330 zone, while also warning of resistance pressures near the 3380–3390 zone. These insights align with our technical findings, which suggest a developing structure with increasing breakout potential.
📊 Technical Structure Analysis (4-Hour Timeframe)
🔹 Price Action & Structural Patterns
The prevailing structure is a rising triangle anchored between support at 3320 and resistance near 3380–3390. Price has been forming higher lows, indicative of underlying buying pressure, while simultaneously facing resistance at increasingly frequent tests of the upper band. The contraction of candlestick bodies and volume confirms the presence of a coiling market—hinting at an imminent directional move.
The presence of upper-wick rejections near 3380 signals seller interest, while long-tailed candles at 3330 underscore buyer defense of the rising trendline. This dynamic equilibrium is the hallmark of a triangle formation nearing completion.
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels
Our analysis identifies the following zones as technically significant:
Key Support (Buy Zones):
3320–3330: This zone hosts a major bullish order block, 8/21 EMAs, and the lower trendline of the rising triangle. It is further supported by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement drawn from the 3300 low to the 3390 swing high.
3300–3310: A psychological level and previous 4-hour swing low. Acts as a secondary defense level.
Key Resistance (Sell Zones):
3380–3390: Triangle resistance, aligned with the 50 EMA and a bearish order block.
3440–3450: An upper extension zone if breakout materializes, noted in external institutional outlooks.
🔹 Volume, VWAP & Institutional Concepts
Volume has notably contracted, a classical feature of triangle formations, with most trading volume aggregating at the mid-point (~3345–3355). VWAP sits just below the current price, reflecting mean reversion tendencies. Furthermore, liquidity pockets are observed just beneath 3320, suggesting potential for liquidity grabs before a bullish reversal.
From a Smart Money lens:
A bullish order block has formed near 3320–3330.
A bearish OB and resistance cap prices around 3380.
A small Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies around 3340–3350, acting as a potential price magnet.
🔹 Indicators & Oscillators
Moving Averages: The 8/21 EMA cluster lies just below current price, offering dynamic support.
MACD: Negative but converging—suggesting bearish momentum may be waning.
ADX: Reading ~40, indicating a trending market, though momentum has slightly slowed.
RSI: Hovering near 35–40, close to oversold; signals potential bounce.
Stochastics & CCI: Both deeply negative—supporting the case for a mean-reverting move.
🎯 Strategic Buying & Selling Zones
✅ High-Probability Buy Zones
3320–3330:
Rationale: Confluence of bullish OB, rising trendline, EMAs, and Fib 61.8%.
Confidence: High (★ ★ ★)
3300–3310 (buffer zone):
Rationale: Psychological and historical swing low support.
Confidence: Moderate
❌ High-Probability Sell Zones
3380–3390:
Rationale: Triangle resistance, prior highs, and bearish OB presence.
Confidence: High
3440–3450:
Rationale: Post-breakout measured move target and potential take-profit zone.
Confidence: Moderate
🏆 The Golden Setup: High-Conviction Trade Idea
Direction: Long
Entry: 3325
Stop Loss: 3300
Take Profit: 3390
Confidence Level: ★ ★ ★ (High)
🔍 Justification
This setup takes advantage of the strongest structural support within the triangle—centered around 3325. This level is reinforced by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, bullish order block activity, and EMA compression, all coalescing with the triangle’s rising support line.
Indicators are turning from oversold, and the volume profile suggests that institutional players may look to engineer a liquidity sweep under 3330 before a continuation push to test the 3380 resistance. The reward-to-risk ratio is favorable, and the setup offers clear invalidation with a tight stop at 3300.
Should momentum continue post-breakout, a secondary TP could be explored at 3440. However, for the purpose of tactical execution, 3390 is a strategically sound exit point.
🧠 Sentiment Cross-Check & Market Alignment
External sentiment and professional forecasts support the underlying thesis of a bullish breakout, pending confirmation. TradingView’s top technical authors emphasize the breakout of this ascending triangle toward 3440+, while Investing.com’s shorter-term signals reflect bearish pressure that aligns with our buy-the-dip strategy.
This synthesis of internal and external analysis increases our conviction in a long-biased tactical approach from the current support zone.
✅ Summary Table
Buy Zones Sell Zones Golden Setup
3320–3330 (primary) 3380–3390 (primary) Direction: Long
3300–3310 (buffer) 3440–3450 (extension) Entry: 3325
Stop Loss: 3300
Take Profit: 3390
Confidence Level: ★ ★ ★ (High)
🔚 Final Thoughts
Gold’s current price structure presents a rare opportunity—one defined by tight consolidation, structural clarity, and institutional footprints. As the market coils within a classic triangle, the 3320–3330 zone emerges as a high-probability springboard for long positions. With precise risk management and a disciplined approach, this setup offers traders a compelling entry with defined technical boundaries.
The golden rule now: Respect structure. React to confluence. Trade with conviction.
XAU/USD Chart Analysis: Bulls Break Important ResistanceXAU/USD Chart Analysis: Bulls Break Important Resistance
When analysing the XAU/USD chart last week, we:
→ noted that the ADX indicator had reached its lowest level since the beginning of 2025 – a clear sign of declining gold price volatility;
→ highlighted the formation of a large-scale triangle with its axis around the $3,333 level, bounded by a resistance line (marked in red) and the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
Since then, the price has climbed above $3,400 – reaching its highest level since mid-June. According to media reports, the uptick in demand may be driven by escalating geopolitical risks, renewed optimism regarding potential monetary policy easing in the US, and consistent gold buying from central banks.
This suggests that the balance has shifted in favour of the bulls, who have made an attempt to break through the resistance line – an attempt that, so far, appears promising and points towards a potential resumption of the upward trend.
However, today's XAU/USD chart shows that the bulls are now facing a key resistance level at $3,440 – a level that has reversed gold prices downward both in May and June. What will happen in July?
It is possible that, following a prolonged consolidation near the lower boundary of the channel, the bulls have built up sufficient momentum to finally break through this critical level and push gold prices towards line Q, which divides the lower half of the long-term channel into two quarters.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) - 4 Hour Chart (OANDA)4-hour chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) from late July to early August 2025. The current price is 3,426.260, with a recent decrease of 5.185 (-0.15%). The chart shows a buy price of 3,426.580 and a sell price of 3,425.950, with a resistance level around 3,460.530 and support near 3,410.282. The data reflects trading activity as of 01:54:22 on July 23, 2025.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4‑Hour Technical Analysis: July 23, 2025Gold continues to trade in a bullish structure on the 4‑hour timeframe, holding above $3,420 after a steady advance from early July lows. At the time of writing, XAU/USD stands at $3,423.8, confirmed by Investing.com. This analysis employs a comprehensive blend of globally‑recognized technical tools — ranging from price action and classical indicators to institutional concepts — to identify the most probable trading zones and a high‑conviction setup.
Current Price Structure and Trend
On the 4‑hour chart, gold maintains a clear bullish market structure, consistently printing higher highs and higher lows since early July. The current price action unfolds within a well‑defined rising channel, bounded approximately between $3,400 on the lower side and $3,450 on the upper. Twice in the past week, price has tested and respected the channel’s lower boundary, confirming its validity.
Support and resistance levels are evident: immediate support lies at $3,410, coinciding with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the July impulse wave. Below that, $3,390–$3,395 offers secondary support at the channel’s base and a longer‑term Fibonacci cluster. Resistance is concentrated at $3,445–$3,450, aligning with the channel top, upper Bollinger Band, and prior swing highs, while a secondary ceiling may emerge near $3,468–$3,470, corresponding to an Elliott Wave 3 extension target.
Candlestick, Volume, and Momentum
Recent price action has been supported by bullish candlestick formations. Notably, a strong bullish engulfing bar formed at $3,410 earlier this week, affirming institutional demand at that level. Volume profile analysis shows the heaviest transaction cluster between $3,410–$3,420, confirming this area as a smart money accumulation zone.
Volume‑weighted average price (VWAP ) currently runs near $3,418, with price holding above it, reflecting institutional positioning in favor of the bulls. Momentum indicators support the trend: MACD on the 4‑hour has just crossed bullish, RSI prints at 60 — strong but not overbought — and ADX climbs to 24, indicating a trend strengthening phase.
Indicators, Patterns, and Institutional Concepts
Trend indicators reinforce the bullish view. The 50‑ and 100‑period exponential moving averages converge around $3,415–$3,420, providing dynamic support. Ichimoku analysis shows price well above the Kumo (cloud), with a bullish Tenkan‑Kijun configuration. Bollinger Bands are widening, and price is leaning toward the upper band — a classic signal of volatility expansion in trend direction.
Classical and harmonic patterns offer further evidence. The current consolidation resembles a bull flag, suggesting continuation. Elliott Wave analysis points to a third wave in progress, with an upside projection into the $3,448–$3,468 area. Smart money concepts confirm that the recent break above $3,420 constituted a bullish break of structure (BOS), with price now retracing into a favorable gap (FVG) and a 4‑hour bullish order block anchored around $3,410–$3,415.
Liquidity and stop‑clusters likely sit above $3,445 and $3,468, making these logical targets for bullish campaigns.
Market Context and Sentiment
Gold is benefiting from a softening US dollar and a drop in volatility indexes. Seasonal tendencies also lean bullish into late summer. Sentiment on professional platforms aligns with this view: TradingView top authors and FXStreet analysts favor buying pullbacks into $3,410–$3,415 and targeting $3,450–$3,468, which harmonizes with this analysis. No major divergence from consensus is noted, adding to confidence.
Identified Trading Zones
Two strong buy zones emerge on the 4‑hour chart. The most immediate and highest‑confidence zone is $3,410–$3,415, supported by channel support, Fibonacci retracement, VWAP, moving averages, and an order block. Below this lies a secondary buy zone at $3,390–$3,395, tied to deeper Fibonacci support and the rising channel’s lower boundary.
On the other hand, clear sell zones are defined at $3,445–$3,450, where upper channel resistance, Bollinger bands, and prior highs converge, and a secondary zone at $3,468–$3,470, aligned with wave targets and round‑number psychological resistance. These areas are likely to attract profit‑taking and potential reversals.
The Golden Setup
Among the findings, one trade stands out as the highest‑conviction setup:
A long position at $3,415, with a stop loss at $3,405 and a take profit at $3,450.
This trade is backed by strong confluence: price pulling back into a well‑defined demand zone ($3,410–$3,415) that features order block support, Fibonacci retracement, VWAP alignment, EMA cluster support, and a rising channel boundary. The target sits just below the first significant resistance band ($3,445–$3,450), offering a favorable risk‑to‑reward ratio. The confidence level on this setup is rated at 8/10, given the multi‑method alignment and consistent sentiment from professional sources.
Summary Table
Category Levels / Details
Buy Zones $3,410–$3,415, $3,390–$3,395
Sell Zones $3,445–$3,450, $3,468–$3,470
Golden Setup Long @ $3,415 / SL $3,405 / TP $3,450 (Confidence: 8/10)
In conclusion, gold maintains a constructive technical outlook on the 4‑hour timeframe. The prevailing bullish structure, reinforced by classical and institutional methodologies, supports a continuation toward the $3,450–$3,468 region. The suggested Golden Setup provides a disciplined, high‑probability entry at a key inflection zone, consistent with both technical evidence and prevailing market sentiment.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 2-Hour Chart - OANDA2-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) from OANDA, covering the period up to July 22, 2025. The current price is 3,395.285, reflecting a 1.775 (-0.05%) decrease. The chart includes buy/sell indicators (3,395.780 buy, 3,394.890 sell), a highlighted resistance zone around 3,400-3,425, and a support zone around 3,370-3,386. The chart also features technical analysis tools and annotations indicating potential price trends.
XAUUSD Bullish Setup | Liquidity Grab to Breakout📊 XAUUSD Bullish Breakout Plan | Price Action + Key Levels Analysis 🔥
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently holding above a strong support-turned-resistance zone around $3,340 - $3,345. After a clear rejection from the support area and a bullish structure forming, price is showing potential for a clean breakout toward higher targets.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
• Support Area: $3,310 - $3,320 held strongly
• Resistance Flip: $3,345 zone acting as new demand
• Target 1: $3,375
• Target 2: $3,390 major liquidity zone
• Structure: Bullish W pattern forming above demand
This setup favors buy on retracement, aiming for breakout above recent highs. Wait for a confirmation candle above resistance before entering.
📈 Watch for liquidity grab and strong bullish impulse.
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XAUUSD 2H | Smart Money Buy from Strong DemandXAUUSD 2H | Support Rejection with Upside Targets 🎯
Price respected the key support zone and is now showing bullish momentum. Two clear target levels are marked above. Ideal buy opportunity after rejection confirmation from demand zone. Watch for clean continuation toward 3370 and 3390.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #Forex #PriceAction #BuySetup
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook: July 17, 2025🔷 Market Context and Current Price
As of July 17, 2025, gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $3,341, slightly above the week’s midpoint. The metal remains range-bound but shows signs of bullish resilience as it tests key structural support zones. Today’s analysis integrates advanced technical methodologies — including Price Action, Fibonacci tools, ICT and Smart Money Concepts — to present a clear directional bias and actionable trade ideas.
📊 4‑Hour Chart Analysis
1️⃣ Price Structure & Trend
Gold has maintained a sideways-to-upward bias, consolidating between $3,320 (support base) and $3,377 (range resistance). Higher lows since early July reinforce the short-term bullish narrative, though price remains capped by supply in the upper 3,370s.
No decisive Break of Structure (BOS) has yet occurred, keeping price within this range. However, minor bullish BOS signals have appeared near $3,332–$3,334, with a confirmed Change of Character (CHOCH) around $3,320–$3,324, as buyers repeatedly defended this level.
2️⃣ Smart Money Concepts & ICT Insights
Demand Zone / Order Block (OB): $3,332–$3,334. This zone aligns with a recent fair value gap and bullish order block.
Supply Zone / OB: $3,355–$3,359, corresponding to prior inefficiencies and institutional selling.
Liquidity Levels: Sell-side liquidity was swept near $3,320 earlier this week, suggesting smart money accumulation below prior lows.
Fair Value Gap (Imbalance): Present at $3,332–$3,333, partially filled and offering a strong risk-reward for long setups.
3️⃣ Fibonacci Levels
Using the recent swing low ($3,320) and swing high ($3,377), Fibonacci retracements show:
38.2%: ~$3,342 — currently being tested.
50%: ~$3,348 — an interim bullish target.
Fibonacci extensions project potential upside toward $3,401 if momentum strengthens beyond the range top.
4️⃣ Key Levels Summary (4H)
Zone Level
Demand / Buy Zone $3,332–$3,334
Structural Support $3,320
Interim Pivot $3,340–$3,342
Supply / Sell Zone $3,355–$3,359
Range Ceiling $3,375–$3,377
🔷 Directional Bias and Strategy
The 4-hour structure remains neutral-to-bullish, favoring upside so long as the $3,332–$3,334 demand zone holds. A confirmed BOS above $3,342–$3,344 could accelerate bullish momentum toward $3,355–$3,360 and even $3,375. Conversely, a breakdown below $3,332 risks revisiting $3,320 and potentially $3,300.
⏳ 1‑Hour Chart – Intraday Trade Setups
The 1-hour timeframe reveals tactical opportunities aligned with the broader bias:
Setup Direction Entry Stop Loss Take Profit
Setup A – Smart Money Long Long $3,334 $3,329 $3,348 / $3,355
Setup B – Breakout Long Long $3,344 (after breakout) $3,340 $3,355 / $3,375
Setup C – Range Short Short $3,355–$3,359 $3,362 $3,340 / $3,332
🏆 The Golden Setup
Setup A – Smart Money Long offers the highest statistical edge:
Entry: $3,334 (at demand OB / FVG)
Stop Loss: $3,329 (below structure)
Take Profits:
TP1: $3,348 (pivot)
TP2: $3,355 (supply zone)
R:R Ratio: ~2.8:1
This setup benefits from multi-timeframe confluences: demand zone, fair value gap, bullish CHOCH, and proximity to BOS, making it a high‑conviction trade.
🔷 External Consensus Check
An alignment scan of professional analyst views shows strong consensus:
Buy interest remains concentrated around $3,332–$3,335.
Profit-taking and caution advised as price approaches $3,355–$3,377.
No notable divergence in professional outlook — most remain cautiously bullish above $3,332.
📜 Summary Report
✅ Bias: Neutral-to-bullish above $3,332; downside risk below.
✅ Key Levels: $3,332–$3,334 (buy zone), $3,355–$3,359 (sell zone), $3,375–$3,377 (range ceiling).
✅ Top Trade: Long from $3,334 with stops under $3,329 and targets at $3,348/$3,355.
✅ Alternate Trades: Breakout long above $3,344 or short from supply near $3,355.
✅ Confidence Zones: Buyers dominate above $3,332; sellers reappear above $3,355.
Conclusion
Gold remains in a well‑defined range, with smart money likely accumulating near the lower boundary at $3,332. With structural supports intact and demand zones respected, the path of least resistance favors cautious upside toward $3,355 and possibly $3,375. Intraday traders are advised to focus on precise execution within the outlined confidence zones, maintaining discipline around stops and targets.
The current market structure rewards patience and alignment with institutional footprints — positioning ahead of breakout confirmation, while respecting range extremes.
XAUUSD Structural Analysis & Confluence - 16 July 2025 4-Hour Bias & Structural Context
Gold has recently broken above a key structure level at $3,320, confirming a bullish market environment on the 4‑hour timeframe. This follows a Change of Character (CHOCH) around $3,300, signifying a shift from consolidation to an upward trend. The swing from the late-June low ($3,244) to mid-July’s high ($3,374) sets our Fibonacci context:
38.2% retrace ≈ $3,318
50% retrace ≈ $3,309
61.8% retrace ≈ $3,300
These fib levels also align with prior structure and key ICT/SMC zones, signaling strong areas of interest.
🧭 Key 4-Hour Confluence Zones
Demand / Order Block → $3,300 – 3,305
Multi-method support: BOS, CHOCH, 50–61.8% fib convergence.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) → $3,320 – 3,325
Volume deficient zone post-BOS, primed for a retest.
Supply / Resistance Area → $3,360 – 3,370
High-timeframe supply, likely to cap further upside.
🧠 Smart Money Concepts
BOS above $3,320 confirms bullish structure.
CHOCH at ~$3,300 marks structure flip.
Liquidity grab zones found between $3,335–3,340, validating the presence of institutional activity.
Order Block at $3,300–3,305 supports buy-side interest.
📊 1-Hour Intraday Trade Setups
🔸 Setup #1 – FVG Re-Test
Entry: At ~$3,325 on pullback into $3,320–3,325 zone
SL: Below $3,320
TP1: $3,345, TP2: $3,360
🔸 Setup #2 – Demand OB Bounce (“Golden Setup”)
Entry: In the $3,300–3,305 range
SL: Below $3,298
TP1: $3,325, TP2: $3,345, TP3: $3,360
Edge: Tight risk, high confluence (SMC + fib + structure)
🌟 The Golden Setup
Zone to Watch: $3,300–3,305
Why It Rates Highest:
BOS, CHOCH, fib, and OB all align
Offers tight stop placement and strong upside
Risk-to-reward ~1:3
📌 Daily Watchlist Summary
Directional Bias: Bullish (BOS above $3,320 intact)
Primary Entry Zones:
$3,300–3,305 (Demand OB + structure)
$3,320–3,325 (FVG retest for continuation)
Key Target Zones:
$3,345–3,350 – realistic intraday exit
$3,360–3,370 – major supply cap
Invalidation Level: 4‑hour candle close below $3,298 negates bullish outlook
Final Commentary
Stay disciplined—only trade reactive signals at these levels: clean bounces, pinbars, or bullish engulfing patterns. The $3,300–3,305 zone stands out as the prime ‘Golden Setup’ entry.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H: Bullish Continuation Play- 15 July 20244‑Hour Technical Outlook — Bullish Bias Above Key BOS Zone
Gold remains in a strong structural uptrend on the 4‑hour chart, carving out a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Price is consolidating just below recent swing highs around $3,360, suggesting accumulation after last week’s impulsive rally.
We saw a Break of Structure (BOS) above $3,340, confirming bullish control and establishing that area as a critical flip zone. Unless price closes decisively below that BOS, the directional bias remains bullish.
📐 Key Confluences & Zones on 4‑Hour
🔹 Fibonacci Retracement (Swing: $3,280 → $3,360):
38.2%: ~$3,331 — aligns perfectly with BOS & prior resistance turned support.
61.8%: ~$3,313 — deeper, but still within bullish context.
🔹 Supply & Demand Zones:
Supply (Resistance): $3,355–$3,360 — recent highs, likely containing resting sell‑side liquidity.
Demand (Support): $3,331–$3,335 — a bullish order block and fair value gap (imbalance) reside here.
Deeper Demand: $3,313–$3,315 — secondary buy zone if the market hunts liquidity deeper.
🔹 Liquidity Profile:
Buy‑side stops likely rest above $3,360 — breakout target.
Sell‑side liquidity below $3,331 could trigger a shakeout before higher.
🧠 ICT/SMC Concepts Observed:
✅ BOS confirmed at $3,340, favoring longs.
✅ FVG/imbalance between $3,338–$3,342 suggests price may “fill” before next impulse.
✅ Recent wick above $3,355 hints at minor buy‑side liquidity grab — but no confirmed CHoCH (change of character) yet.
✅ Bullish order block formed at $3,331–$3,333, acting as strong support.
📈 1‑Hour Intraday Playbook — Aligned With Bullish Bias
On the 1‑hour chart, momentum remains constructive above $3,331. Intraday traders can look for these setups:
1️⃣ Buy the Retest
Entry: $3,335 (within 4H OB & FVG)
Stop‑loss: $3,327 (below demand)
Targets:
🔸 T1: $3,355
🔸 T2: $3,380 (next resistance)
2️⃣ Breakout Long
Entry: Break and close above $3,360
Stop‑loss: $3,350
Targets:
🔸 T1: $3,380
🔸 T2: $3,406 (1.272 Fib ext.)
3️⃣ Deeper Pullback Buy
Entry: $3,313–$3,315 (61.8% Fib + deeper demand)
Stop‑loss: $3,305
Targets: back toward $3,355–$3,380
🎯 The Golden Setup:
✅ Long from $3,335, stop‑loss $3,327, targeting $3,355–$3,380.
Why? This setup aligns BOS, bullish OB, FVG, 38.2% Fib, and current trend structure — highest confluence and best risk/reward ratio (~1:3).
🔎 Summary Table — Key Levels for Today
📈 Bullish Continuation Above $3,331
🟢 Strong Buy Zone $3,331–$3,335
🟢 Deeper Demand $3,313–$3,315
🔴 Resistance / Supply $3,355–$3,360
🚨 Bullish Invalidation Below $3,331
Bias remains bullish as long as $3,331 holds. Look for reaction in the $3,331–$3,335 zone to join institutional flows.
Market Analysis: Gold Climbs Higher Amid Market OptimismMarket Analysis: Gold Climbs Higher Amid Market Optimism
Gold price started a fresh increase above the $3,350 resistance level.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- The gold price started a fresh surge and traded above $3,330.
- A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,350 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $3,280 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $3,330 and $3,350 resistance levels.
There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,360. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,365 resistance zone. A high was formed near $3,373 and the price is now consolidating.
On the downside, immediate support is near the $3,350 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,282 swing low to the $3,373 high.
Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,350. The next major support sits at $3,330 and the 50% Fib retracement level.
A downside break below the $3,330 support might send the price toward $3,300. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,280 support zone.
Immediate resistance is near the $3,370 level. The next major resistance is near $3,380. An upside break above $3,380 could send Gold price toward $3,400. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,420 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.