XAU/USD Bullish Trade Setup Buy from POI Zone towards 3668TargetXAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Analysis
✅ Trend: The market is in a clear bullish trend with higher highs & higher lows. Price is trading above both EMA 70 (3,547) and EMA 200 (3,486), confirming strong upward momentum.
📌 Key Levels:
POI Buying Zone: 3,554 – 3,576 (strong support area)
Target Point: 3,668 – 3,669
Support Line: Still respected, adding confluence to the bullish setup.
📈 Strategies Applied:
Trend Following: Bullish as long as price stays above EMAs.
Support & Resistance: Buying zone aligns with strong support.
EMA Strategy: Price above EMAs = buy signal.
Price Action: Retest of POI zone before moving up.mm
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry: Around 3,555 – 3,576 (buying zone)
Stop Loss: Below 3,547 (EMA 70 / zone invalidation)
Target: 3,668 – 3,670
⚡ Summary: Market remains bullish, correction into the POI zone is a good buying opportunity aiming for new highs.
Xauusdtrading
XAU/USD Bullish Setup – OB Zone to $3,590 TargetChart Overview (XAU/USD – 30m):
Current price: $3,534
Price is in a strong bullish channel (higher highs & higher lows).
Market forming an ATH (All-Time High) and consolidating.
📌 Strategies Applied:
1. Trendline Strategy:
Price respecting support & rejection lines inside ascending channel.
Trend remains bullish as long as price holds above support.
2. Order Block (OB) Zone:
Identified buying zone at $3,501 – $3,514.
Strong support + liquidity area → possible rebound point.
3. Moving Averages (EMA):
EMA 70 (3,508) and EMA 200 (3,464) both acting as dynamic support.
EMA alignment confirms bullish momentum.
4. Risk–Reward Setup:
Entry near OB Zone: $3,501 – $3,514
Stop-loss: below $3,500
Target: $3,590 (R:R ~ 1:3).
✅ Summary:
Gold is in a strong bullish trend 🚀. The OB Buying Zone aligns with EMA support, offering a low-risk long entry. As long as $3,500 holds, price likely pushes towards the target zone $3,589 – $3,590.
Gold Smashes Records: Trade the Fed Drama & Rate Cut Hype!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Breaking Records! 🌟
New Peaks: Spot gold hit a record $3,527.5/oz on September 2, with analysts predicting a climb to $3,600-$3,900 this year, potentially surpassing $4,000 by 2026 if economic and geopolitical uncertainty persists. Reuters polls show 2025 average price forecasts rising from $2,756/oz (January) to $3,220/oz (July). 📈
Fed Rate Cut Buzz: Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged rising job market risks, boosting bets for a September rate cut. “A weakening USD, fueled by rate cut expectations, investor aversion to US assets, and tariff-related economic uncertainty, supports gold,” says Ricardo Evangelista from ActivTrades. Gold thrives in low-rate environments! 🏦
USD Weakness: The USD has lost nearly 11% since Trump’s return to the White House in January 2025, making gold more attractive to foreign currency holders. 📉
Fed Drama: Trump’s criticism of Powell and attempts to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook have raised fears about Fed independence, driving safe-haven gold demand. “Speculative bullishness stems from potential Fed interference and concerns over the USD’s safe status,” notes Carsten Menke from Julius Baer. ⚖️🇺🇸
Other Drivers: Middle East tensions, Russia-Ukraine conflict, and central bank buying (e.g., China’s PBOC added gold for the 9th consecutive month in July 2025). The World Gold Council (WGC) reports central banks plan to increase gold reserves while reducing USD holdings. “Rising gold prices and central bank accumulation are boosting gold’s share in reserves,” says Michael Hsueh from Deutsche Bank. Gold ETFs like SPDR Gold Trust saw holdings rise 12% YTD to 977.68 tons, the highest since August 2022.
Technical Analysis: Bullish Surge Continues, Prioritize BUY but Watch for Pullbacks! 📉
Gold keeps setting new highs, breaking through the round 3,500 level, dipping briefly to 3,469, then surging to 3,54x—near the Fibonacci extension 0.618. No clear reversal signals yet, so prioritize BUY if gold retraces to 3,52x or 3,51x. Bulls remain in control!
Key Resistance: 3,554 - 3,564 - 3,574
Key Support: 3,521 - 3,508 - 3,450 - 3,475
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp : 3,543 - 3,545
SL: 3,549
TP: 3,540 - 3,535 - 3,530
Sell Zone : 3,571 - 3,573
SL: 3,581
TP: 3,563 - 3,553 - 3,543 - 3,523
Buy Scalp: 3,510 - 3,508
SL: 3,504
TP: 3,513 - 3,518 - 3,528
Buy Zone: 3,475 - 3,473
SL: 3,465
TP: 3,483 - 3,493 - 3,503 - 3,513 - Open
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9/4: Short Squeeze Nearing End, Watch Key Support at 3500Good morning everyone!
🔹 Key Support Levels
30M Chart: 3547 / 3532–3528
1H Chart: 3521 / 3516–3509
2H Chart: 3541 / 3523–3480
1D Chart: 3514 / 3450
🔹 Key Resistance Levels
3563–3568 / 3578–3588
🔹 Intraday Trading Strategy
Focus on selling at higher levels; avoid chasing the rally.
Watch 3516–3509 / around 3500 as the main support zone. A short-term buy may be considered if tested, but positions should be taken with caution and closed quickly.
Yesterday, gold’s rally exceeded expectations. Although it encountered resistance near 3562 and briefly pulled back, the bulls managed to push prices further, reaching around 3578. This marks the late stage of the short squeeze, and a counterattack from the bears is almost inevitable. Meanwhile, external buying interest will likely turn more cautious at these elevated levels.
That said, the 3500 psychological level remains a critical battleground. Bulls are unlikely to give it up easily, and a rebound is very possible if prices revisit this area. However, bears will also defend aggressively, leading to a tug-of-war in the sessions ahead.
Therefore, it is crucial not to chase the rally. Secure profits in time — better to miss an opportunity than to hold onto losing positions. After a rally of over $200, the market needs to consolidate, even if a fake downside move occurs. Based on this outlook, today’s core strategy remains: sell on rallies.
9/3: Chasing Highs Risks Traps, Selling Is SaferGood morning, everyone!
🔹 Key Support Levels:
30M chart: 3510 / 3498
1H chart: 3507 / 3480
1D chart: 3458
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
3540–3550 / 3558–3562
🔹 Trading Outlook:
Focus primarily on short positions; avoid chasing the rally.
Light long entries may be considered near support, but profits should be taken quickly.
Yesterday, gold tested the 3500 level for the second time. After a brief pullback, bulls regained strength, pushing prices up to around 3540. Over the past week, gold has surged by nearly $200, with only minor retracements and no meaningful corrections.
At current levels, there are essentially no trapped long positions. Instead, the market is dominated by shorts under pressure and profit-taking from longs.
While prices might extend further toward 3550, I personally will not engage in such high-risk long trades. My overall strategy remains decisively bearish, with downside targets at 3460–3430.
SILVER (XAGUSD): The Next Resistance
Here is my latest structure analysis for Silver.
With a current bull, run the price successfully violated
39.0 - 39.5 supply area that turned into a demand zone now.
The closest strong supply zone that I see is based on a major
rising trend line and 41.0 psychological level.
It looks like the price may easily reach that soon.
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XAU/USD Bullish Setup – Buy from POI Zone Towards 3545 TargetXAU/USD (15M Chart) Analysis
Trend Analysis:
Price is in a clear uptrend, supported by higher highs and higher lows above the EMA 70 & EMA 200. Both EMAs are pointing upward, confirming bullish momentum.
POI & FVG Zone:
A POI/FVG buying zone (highlighted in pink) is marked between 3481 – 3491, acting as a strong demand area for re-entry if price retraces.
Chart Pattern:
Price has broken out of a rising wedge formation and is retesting the breakout zone, showing potential continuation to the upside.
Support & Resistance:
Support: 3481 – 3491 zone (FVG & EMA confluence).
Resistance/Target: 3545.608 (major target point).
Entry & Risk Management:
Entry: Buy near 3491 or 3481 (within POI/FVG zone).
Stop Loss: Below 3480 (to protect against false break).
Target: 3545 (approx. +55 points).
Strategy Confirmation:
Trend-following: Bullish continuation above EMAs.
FVG/POI: Perfect re-entry buying zone.
Breakout strategy: Price broke wedge → retest → continuation expected.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Around 1:4, favorable trade setup.
✅ Summary:
XAU/USD remains bullish above EMAs. Ideal trade is to buy the dip at 3481–3491 zone with a target at 3545 and stop loss below 3480. Multiple strategies align for upside continuation.
9/1: Be Cautious Chasing Highs, Focus on SellingGood evening, everyone!
Driven by rate-cut expectations and geopolitical tensions, gold opened today with a slight pullback but held above key support, then rallied strongly to around 3490. If the 3368–3363 support remains intact during the U.S. session, a test of the 3500 level cannot be ruled out.
However, given the sharp rally and entry into historical highs, chasing the upside is not recommended. My trading bias continues to favor selling into strength.
During a correction, the 3452–3447 support zone will be crucial; holding above it keeps the bullish trend intact.
If broken, focus shifts to the 3437–3423 support area.
At the 3500 mark, strong resistance is highly likely. A pullback from this level is almost certain — the only uncertainty lies in the extent of the retracement. This presents a relatively high-probability shorting opportunity.
Trading Strategy:
Conservative traders → Focus on short positions at higher levels.
Aggressive traders → May attempt tactical longs, but above 3488, selling remains the preferred approach.
Given the heightened volatility, risk management is critical. If you need more specific guidance, feel free to leave me a message.
Gold Jumps 1%: Trade the Fed Drama & Rate Cut Buzz!Fundamental Analysis: What’s Driving Gold’s Rally? 🌟
Gold’s Big Win: Spot gold jumped 0.9% to $3,447.09/oz on August 29, with a stellar 4.8% gain for the month. Gold futures also rose 1.2% to $3,515.70/oz, signaling strong bullish momentum. 📈
USD Stays Steady but Weakens: The USD held stable but lost 2.2% in August, making gold more affordable for foreign buyers and boosting its appeal. 📉
PCE Data Supports Rate Cuts: US PCE inflation rose 0.2% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year in July 2025, aligning with forecasts. Strong consumer spending and tariff-driven price hikes signal persistent inflation, but analysts expect the Fed to cut rates—potentially twice this year—lifting commodities like gold. The market now sees an 89% chance of a 0.25% rate cut in September 2025, up from 85%, per CME FedWatch. 🏦
Fed Drama Intensifies: A federal judge is reviewing whether to block President Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook, who’s suing to protect her position, arguing Trump lacks valid grounds. This uncertainty around the Fed’s independence is a major tailwind for gold’s safe-haven status. 🇺🇸⚖️
Why Gold Shines: As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-interest-rate environments and during economic uncertainty—perfect conditions for its current rally!
Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Continues, But Watch Key Levels! 📉
Gold kicked off the Asian session with a bang, breaking through the 3353 resistance and creating a significant FVG (Fair Value Gap) due to its strong upward push. As long as gold stays above the 343x zone, the bulls remain in control. However, with prices nearing multi-month highs, a pullback could be looming. Here’s the game plan:
Key Resistance: 3500 - 3510 - 3520
Key Support: 3472 - 3453 - 3437 - 3423 - 3404
Scalping Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3499 - 3501
SL: 3504
TP: 3496 - 3491 - 3486
Buy Scalp: 3453 - 3451
SL: 3448
TP: 3456 - 3461 - 3466
Swing Trading Opportunities:
Sell Zone: 3510 - 3512
SL: 3516
TP: 3506 - 3500 - 3490 - 3480
Buy Zone: 3436 - 3434
SL: 3430
TP: 3440 - 3450 - 3460
8/29: Sell in the 3446–3458 ZoneGood evening, everyone!
After testing the 3419–3427 resistance zone, gold pulled back briefly, then found support and broke higher, keeping the 1D uptrend intact. However, after such a sharp short-term rally, a pullback is likely.
📌 Key Supports: 3433–3428–3423
📌 Trading Plan: Short first, then buy
Main sell zone: 3446–3463
Look for short-term buys near support retests
Watch resistance reaction at 3438–3448
Heading into the weekend, news-driven uncertainty may increase — risk management is essential.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Confirmation After News
Gold finally turned bullish after US news.
I see a strong intraday bullish confirmation:
a breakout of a resistance line of a horizontal range on an hourly
time frame with a high momentum candle, provide a valid Change of Character.
We can expect growth now.
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Gold Price Update: Trading Opportunities Amid Fed Drama and PCE!Fundamental Analysis: What’s Driving Gold’s Surge? 🌟
Gold Prices Surge: Spot gold closed the August 28 session up 0.6% at $3,416.14/oz, the highest since July 23. Gold futures settled at $3,466.10/oz, showcasing strong bullish momentum.
USD Index Drops 0.5%: A weaker dollar makes gold more appealing to foreign buyers, fueling the rally. 📉
Fed Uncertainty Grows: Tai Wong, an independent metals trader, notes, “Gold has been steadily climbing for over a week, partly due to concerns about the Fed’s independence. Pressure from Trump is raising fears that the FOMC may cut rates faster and keep them low longer—a bullish setup for gold.” The market now estimates an over 87% probability of a 0.25% rate cut at the Fed’s September 2025 meeting, per CME FedWatch. 🔥
Lisa Cook’s Legal Battle: Fed Governor Lisa Cook has filed a lawsuit, asserting that Trump lacks the authority to fire her. This unprecedented legal fight could reshape norms around the Fed’s independence, boosting gold’s safe-haven appeal. 🇺🇸⚖️
PCE Data in Focus: Investors are eagerly awaiting the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data today (29/08), the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. A softer-than-expected report could signal deeper rate cuts, propelling gold higher. Gold thrives in low-interest-rate environments and during economic uncertainty! 📊
Technical Analysis: Bullish Trend Persists, But Watch for a Reversal! 📉
Gold’s uptrend remains strong with no clear signs of reversal. Following yesterday’s data, gold saw a slight pullback to the 339x zone before resuming its rally, swiftly breaking through order blocks (OB) and approaching last month’s highs. However, with prices lingering near these peaks, a potential pullback looms. Here are the key levels and trading strategies:
Key Resistance: 3415 - 3428
Key Support: 3406 - 3397 - 3388 - 3374
Scalping Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3415 - 3417
SL: 3420
TP: 3411 - 3406 - 3398
Buy Scalp: 3398 - 3396
SL: 3393
TP: 3401 - 3406 - 3416
Swing Trading Opportunities:
Sell Zone: 3427 - 3429
SL: 3437
TP: 3421 - 3415 - 3406 - 3398
Buy Zone: 3389 - 3387
SL: 3379
TP: 3398 - 3406 - 3415
Gold is red-hot, but the 3415-3428 resistance zone could trigger a reversal if momentum fades. Scalpers can capitalize on quick trades at these levels for attractive risk-reward ratios. Swing traders should wait for confirmation at the buy or sell zones to maximize profits. Always manage risk tightly and stay alert for PCE-driven volatility today! 📉💡
8/28 Focus on Selling Above 3412Good evening, everyone!
Gold pulled back near 3398 earlier today but held above the 3386–3378 support before rallying again and breaking through the 3400 level. Price is now above 3410, with the next major resistance zones at 3412–3419–3427 (and previous highs at 3433–3438). These levels are likely to be tested multiple times, but the closer price gets to 3419–3427, the heavier the selling pressure will be.
📌 Key Supports: 3404–3398–3386
📌 Trading Plan: Above 3412, focus on sell setups first; then look for potential buy opportunities after pullbacks confirm support.
Stay calm, trade with the trend, and capture profits wisely.
Watch Resistance at 3391–3398, Avoid Chasing HighsGold rebounded strongly from 3352 support today, breaking through the 3358–3366 resistance and rallying to 3386 before consolidating. During this phase, multiple tests of the 3368 support held firm, and price has now returned above 3380, keeping the overall bias bullish.
⚠️ However, caution is warranted: resistance is not only near 3386 but also at the 3391–3398 zone, where fresh selling pressure is likely. The upside looks limited, making blind chasing risky.
📌 Suggestion: Focus on sell opportunities around resistance. For larger accounts with proper position sizing, chasing a short-term rally may be manageable; but for smaller accounts, chasing highs carries significant risk and is not recommended.
These are my personal views for reference only. Please evaluate carefully based on your own situation. If you’d like more tailored guidance, feel free to reach out.
8/26: Double Top Pattern, Focus on ShortsGood morning, everyone!
Gold rebounded from around 3359 yesterday, but the current pattern shows signs of a double top — suggesting the risk of a larger pullback today.
📌 Support: First watch 3352–3348, then 3343–3337.
📌 Resistance: 3358–3366. If price fails to break above this zone, a second leg lower is likely, with potential tests of the secondary support.
When trading, avoid greed — especially near key support and resistance levels. If your account is under pressure, it’s safer to stay patient and wait for clearer signals before entering, reducing risk and improving success rates.
If you need guidance, feel free to reach out.