Gold Climbs as Israel-Iran Conflict DeepensGold rose toward $3,380 on Thursday, recovering earlier losses as safe-haven demand grew amid the escalating Israel-Iran conflict, now in its seventh day. Reports say Israel hit over 20 sites near Tehran, including nuclear and missile facilities, while the U.S. may join the strikes, raising fears of a broader war.
Meanwhile, the Fed held rates steady Wednesday but signaled two possible cuts this year, despite high inflation and slowing growth. The move followed renewed pressure from President Trump for deeper cuts.
Resistance is seen at $3,370, while support holds at $3,316
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BoE in Focus as GBP/USD Nears 1.3410GBP/USD remains under pressure for a third day, trading near 1.3410 in Thursday’s Asian session, as safe-haven demand strengthens the US Dollar amid Israel-Iran tensions. The BoE is expected to hold rates at 4.25% today. UK inflation eased to 3.4% in May from 3.5%, in line with forecasts but still above the 2% target. Markets still price in about 48 basis points of BoE cuts by year-end.
Resistance is seen at 1.3440, while support holds at 1.3260.
Rate Cut Bets Keep Silver in FocusSilver slipped toward $36 per ounce as investors locked in gains after hitting a 13-year high. The metal remains supported by strong industrial demand, supply deficits, and safe-haven interest during global uncertainty. Industrial uses, especially in solar and electronics, account for over half of the demand. A fifth consecutive annual supply deficit is expected, though the Silver Institute sees the gap narrowing by 21% in 2025. Softer U.S. inflation data for May also increased expectations of Fed rate cuts beginning in September, helping sustain interest in precious metals.
Resistance is set at 36.90, while support stands at 35.40.
Yen Strengthens Beyond 144 on InflationThe Japanese yen rose past 144 per dollar, extending gains after Tokyo’s core inflation beat expectations, increasing the likelihood of a 25 bps BOJ rate hike in July.
BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said recent forecast adjustments were due to global risks and lower oil prices but reaffirmed the short-term policy stance remains focused on the 2% inflation goal. The yen also gained from safe-haven flows after a U.S. court reinstated Trump’s reciprocal tariffs.
Resistance is at 144.50, with further resistance at 145.40 and 146.10. Support levels stand at 143.50, 143.00, and 142.10.
Gold Holds Near $3,340 on Trade HopesGold remained steady at nearly $3,340 per ounce on Tuesday, with demand easing slightly due to renewed trade optimism after Trump pushed back EU tariffs to July 9. The EU pledged to speed up negotiations, lifting risk sentiment. However, worries over U.S. fiscal health, global trade dynamics, and geopolitical tensions kept markets cautious. Investors now await the FOMC minutes and PCE inflation data for policy cues.
Support is seen at $3,270, while resistance is located at $3,370. Further levels include $3,150 and $3,025 below, and $3,440 and $3,500 above.
Euro Nears $1.14 as Dollar is PressuredEUR/USD climbed to $1.1395, approaching a one-month high as the dollar softened amid mounting U.S. fiscal concerns and uncertainty over Trump’s tax-and-spending bill. Risk sentiment improved after Trump delayed a planned 50% tariff on EU goods, easing fears of a transatlantic trade clash. The euro also gained from ECB President Lagarde’s remarks that it could strengthen as a global currency if EU institutions were reinforced.
Resistance is at 1.1425, with additional levels at 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support begins at 1.1260, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.
Yen Climbs on Trade Talks, Record SurplusThe Japanese yen climbed toward 147 per dollar on Tuesday, reversing losses as trade uncertainty lifted safe-haven demand. Trump agreed to begin trade talks with Japan after speaking with PM Shigeru Ishiba and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to lead talks covering tariffs, currency, and subsidies. Trump denied delaying tariffs, saying they may stay indefinitely. Domestically, Japan’s current account surplus hit a record high in February, backed by strong exports and lower imports, further supporting the yen.
Key resistance is at 148.70, with further levels at 152.70 and 157.70. Support stands at 145.60, followed by 143.00 and 141.80.
Pound Slips to $1.29 on Soft InflationThe British pound dipped to around $1.29 as traders reacted to softer inflation data and looked ahead to the Spring Statement. UK annual inflation eased to 2.8% in February, below the 2.9% forecast but in line with the BoE's outlook. Services inflation remained at 5%.
The BoE expects inflation to rise toward 4% later this year. Markets see a 92% chance of a 25bps rate cut in August and about a 60% chance of another by year-end. Chancellor Rachel Reeves is set to outline the economic outlook and announce major government spending cuts.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3050, the next resistance levels are 1.3100 and 1.3150. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2800 and 1.2715 if selling pressure increases.
Dollar Weakens Post-Fed, Lifting Yen Beyond 148.5The yen strengthened past 148.5 per dollar, rising for a second session as the dollar weakened after the Fed reaffirmed two rate cuts this year. Fed Chair Powell downplayed Trump’s tariffs as short-lived. The BoJ kept rates at 0.5% on Wednesday, adopting a cautious stance amid global risks, especially US tariffs. It also emphasized monitoring forex markets and their impact on the economy.
Key resistance is at 150.30, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.