Get started

Crypto market

TRU Retesting Broken Falling Wedge SupportTRU previously formed a falling wedge during a prolonged bearish phase. That structure has now resolved to the downside, with price breaking below the wedge support and accepting lower levels. After the breakdown, price is currently retesting the former wedge support, which has now flipped into resistance. This retest is a critical decision zone, as failed reclaim attempts often confirm bearish continuation. If TrueFi fails to reclaim and hold above the broken wedge trendline, downside continuation remains the dominant scenario. In that case, price may rotate lower toward the next demand zone below current levels. For any bullish recovery, price must reclaim the broken wedge support and show acceptance above it. Without that reclaim, the broader structure remains bearish and any bounce should be treated as corrective. This setup is driven by falling wedge breakdown dynamics, resistance flip behavior, and post-structure retest mechanics. Confirmation at this level will define the next directional move.
by CryptoCoinsCoach
1
ALPH / USDT – Price Still Respecting a Clear Descending Channel On the ALPH/USDT daily chart the Trading currency pair for Alephium, the price is clearly moving within a well-defined descending channel as illustrated by the Chart above, confidently confirming a strong medium- to long-term bearish trend. In the market, each rally has been rejected at the upper trendline, while lower highs and lower lows remain intact as the channel desends. Currently, ALPH is trading near the lower boundary of the channel as shown, this suggests a weak momentum but also a possible short-term stabilisation zone. At this point a breakout above the resistance would change the channel's trajectory upward but a breakout from the support zone would spur a further decline of the channel. The Volume appears muted as seen, indicating reduced buying interest from traders and a lack of strong accumulation. Again, a clean break below the channel support would likely open room for further downside, while any bullish recovery would first need to reclaim the mid-channel and break above the upper trendline to signal a trend shift as ealier explained. For now, the structure favors bearish continuation as clearly seen, with range-bound consolidation likely before the next decisive move, especially if broader market sentiment remains risk-off and Bitcoin fails to provide directional strength. Everyone is clearly waiting to see.
CRYPTO:ALPHUSD
by daveokocha739
Decoding CPI Numbers (Consumer Price Index)1. Introduction to CPI The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is one of the most important economic indicators used worldwide to measure inflation. It tracks the average change over time in prices paid by consumers for a fixed basket of goods and services. Governments, central banks, investors, traders, and businesses closely monitor CPI data because it directly affects interest rates, currency value, purchasing power, and economic policy decisions. In India, CPI is the primary inflation gauge used by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) for monetary policy decisions, particularly under the inflation targeting framework. 2. What Does CPI Actually Measure? CPI measures retail-level inflation, reflecting the cost of living for households. It captures price changes in essential consumption items such as: Food and beverages Housing and utilities Clothing and footwear Fuel and light Healthcare Education Transportation and communication Unlike wholesale inflation, CPI reflects what consumers actually pay, making it more relevant for daily life and policy formulation. 3. Composition and Weightage of CPI Basket Each item in the CPI basket is assigned a weight, based on its importance in household spending. In India, the approximate weight distribution is: Food & Beverages – ~46% Housing – ~10% Fuel & Light – ~7% Clothing & Footwear – ~6% Miscellaneous (health, transport, education, etc.) – ~28% Because food has the highest weight, even small changes in food prices can significantly impact the headline CPI number. 4. Headline CPI vs Core CPI Headline CPI Headline CPI includes all components, especially food and fuel. It is the number usually reported in headlines and media. Core CPI Core CPI excludes food and fuel prices because they are volatile and affected by seasonal or global factors. Core inflation reflects underlying demand-driven inflation and is closely watched by central banks. Rising core CPI → demand-side inflation Falling core CPI → slowing economic activity 5. Reading CPI Numbers: MoM and YoY CPI data is usually presented in two formats: Month-on-Month (MoM) Measures price change compared to the previous month Useful for detecting short-term inflation trends Year-on-Year (YoY) Measures price change compared to the same month last year Most commonly quoted inflation figure Used by RBI for policy decisions A high YoY CPI with declining MoM may indicate inflation is peaking. 6. CPI and Monetary Policy CPI is central to interest rate decisions. In India: RBI’s inflation target: 4% ± 2% CPI above 6% → RBI turns hawkish CPI below 4% → RBI may turn dovish High CPI → ✔ Higher interest rates ✔ Costlier loans ✔ Slower consumption Low CPI → ✔ Lower interest rates ✔ Increased borrowing ✔ Economic stimulus 7. CPI Impact on Financial Markets Equity Markets High inflation hurts interest-sensitive sectors (banking, real estate) FMCG and defensive stocks may outperform Bond Markets Rising CPI → bond prices fall, yields rise Falling CPI → bond prices rise, yields fall Currency Markets High CPI without rate hikes weakens currency Controlled CPI with growth stability strengthens currency Commodity Markets Inflation often boosts gold prices Energy and food inflation impact global commodities 8. CPI vs WPI (Wholesale Price Index) Aspect CPI WPI Level Retail Wholesale Coverage Consumers Producers Policy relevance High Lower Includes services Yes No India uses CPI, not WPI, for inflation targeting because CPI better reflects consumer experience. 9. Limitations of CPI Despite its importance, CPI has certain limitations: Does not fully capture rural or informal economy variations Fixed basket ignores changing consumer behavior Quality improvements may distort true inflation Regional inflation differences are averaged Therefore, CPI should be analyzed alongside growth, employment, and credit data. 10. CPI in Trading and Investment Decisions For traders and investors, CPI is a high-impact data event. Higher-than-expected CPI → market volatility Lower-than-expected CPI → relief rally possible Professional traders position themselves before CPI releases, especially in: Index futures Currency pairs Gold and bonds CPI surprises often lead to sharp intraday moves. Conclusion: Why Decoding CPI Matters CPI is more than just a number—it reflects economic health, purchasing power, and future policy direction. Decoding CPI requires understanding its components, trends, and implications across markets. Whether you are a policymaker, investor, trader, or student, CPI analysis helps anticipate interest rate movements, asset price changes, and economic cycles. In a world of rising global uncertainty, CPI remains one of the most powerful tools for interpreting inflation and guiding financial decisions.
Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
Bitcoin Is Not Trending — This Is a Liquidity RangeBTC/USD (H1) — MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS 1. Market State: Range-Bound, Not Trending Bitcoin is currently trading inside a well-defined sideways range, bounded by a clear resistance zone above and a support base below. Price action confirms range rotation, not a directional trend. Repeated rejections from the upper resistance zone Multiple bounces from the same support area No sustained impulsive follow-through beyond the range This behavior signals liquidity accumulation, not trend continuation. 2. Moving Averages & Structure EMA34 and EMA89 are flat and intertwined, confirming a non-trending environment. Price oscillates around the MA cluster → classic consolidation signature. The latest pullback returned price to range support, where buyers are reacting. As long as price remains trapped between these boundaries, mean-reversion dominates. 3. Price Action Behavior High wicks near resistance → aggressive sell-side defense Strong reactions at support → demand absorption Expansion attempts are repeatedly faded This is textbook institutional range control, where liquidity is built on both sides before a decisive move. 4. Scenarios Ahead Primary Scenario (High Probability): Continued oscillation between support and resistance False breaks to collect liquidity Compression builds toward a future expansion Breakout Scenario (Confirmation Required): A clean H1 close above the resistance zone, followed by acceptance Only then does upside continuation toward the next major liquidity zone become valid Bearish Breakdown Scenario: A decisive breakdown below support with strong volume This would open a deeper corrective leg toward lower demand zones 5. Trading Logic Avoid trend-chasing inside the range Favor reaction-based trades at extremes Patience is key until the market reveals direction Conclusion Bitcoin is not weak and not strong either. It is controlled, balanced, and preparing. This range is a decision zone, and the real opportunity will come after price commits outside of it. Until then, discipline and structural awareness outperform prediction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 2741.64 BPC 13© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework Bolzen Market Institute 🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. TradingView Publication Date: 24.12.2025 🏷 2741.64 — price not yet reached at time of publication. 🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks. 🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard. 🏷 Static Tape 1: price published in the order of energy block production. 🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not chronologically, but by block execution priority. Crucially, do not confuse: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution sequence records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic tape is tied to proprietary energy production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it. 🏷 The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 13 EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω² 📎 Screenshot 📎 Architect’s Commentary: I express my gratitude to TradingView moderation for their constructive collaboration and for enabling the demonstration of analytical artifacts during their evolutionary phase. Publishing charts in prefactum mode is not merely a technique—it is a method of future verification through structure. This is quantum analytics under BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant. The permanent ETH and BTC Energy Grid Dashboard remains openly accessible and is intended for international institutional review. 🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations. The Architect BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
Short
by Bolzen_Market_Institute
ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 2799.17 BPC 5© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework Bolzen Market Institute 🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. TradingView Publication Date: 24.12.2025 🏷 2799.17 — price not yet reached at time of publication. 🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks. 🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard. 🏷 Static Tape 1: price published in the order of energy block production. 🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not chronologically, but by block execution priority. Crucially, do not confuse: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution sequence records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic tape is tied to proprietary energy production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it. 🏷 The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 5 EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω² 📎 Screenshot 📎 Architect’s Commentary: I express my gratitude to TradingView moderation for their constructive collaboration and for enabling the demonstration of analytical artifacts during their evolutionary phase. Publishing charts in prefactum mode is not merely a technique—it is a method of future verification through structure. This is quantum analytics under BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant. The permanent ETH and BTC Energy Grid Dashboard remains openly accessible and is intended for international institutional review. 🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations. The Architect BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
Short
by Bolzen_Market_Institute
Inverse Cup and Handle?Looking at the recent BTCUSDT daily structure, there’s a reasonable argument that price may be carving out an inverted cup and handle rather than a simple consolidation. The first rounded top shows a loss of upside momentum after the sharp selloff, with progressively lower highs forming a smooth arc. That’s followed by a smaller, tighter retracement that slopes slightly upward and then rolls over—behavior that fits the “handle” portion of the pattern. Importantly, both structures occur below prior breakdown levels, which keeps the broader context bearish and supports the idea that this is distribution rather than accumulation. That said, this pattern is still developing, not confirmed. An inverted cup and handle typically wants to see a decisive breakdown below the handle’s low, ideally on expanding volume, to validate continuation to the downside. Until that happens, this could just as easily resolve into a range or a failed pattern if buyers reclaim the handle highs. For now, I’m treating this as a bearish setup with conditional confirmation, watching for acceptance below support rather than front-running the move.
Short
by b6d1016fdeb149be865b678a8ac935
ETH Weekly Apex Nears: Breakout to $3.7K or Drop to $2.5K? – EOYEthereum is looking pretty decent right now. Price is currently sitting inside a key weekly support zone. Within this broader weekly range, there are several important daily levels acting as sub-structures. A clean breakout above these daily resistances would likely trigger a larger breakout on the weekly timeframe. ETH is now approaching the apex of this weekly structure, which seems to converge around the end of the year / first week of January. **Bullish scenario:** A local breakout here could send price back to retest the weekly level at ~$3,000. If momentum is strong enough to break and hold above it, we could see an extension toward the monthly resistance at ~$3,700. To get there, ETH will need to clear the daily resistances marked on the chart — these can be used as progressive targets or entry zones for longs. **Bearish scenario:** If the current daily uptrend fails and we lose underlying support, price would likely fall back to the weekly support around $2,800. A hold there keeps the structure intact. A break below would open $2,600 next, with the final monthly support at $2,500. Trade accordingly and manage risk. I'll update if the setup changes significantly. Note: this analysis remains valid only until the apex resolves with a breakout. Not financial advice — DYOR.
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
by MrWhale
Zcash Analysis: $615 next? In my view, the recent high around $750 marks the local top for Zcash in this cycle. I don't expect it to retest or surpass its all-time highs (far above current levels) unless Bitcoin turns strongly bullish and kicks off a rapid altcoin season.The major gains from this run seem largely realized, and what we're seeing now resembles a classic "dead cat bounce" after the sharp pullback from the November peak (~$744).That said, locally, Zcash still looks constructive. Price is approaching a potential apex in its current structure and could be setting up for a short-term upside breakout — provided overall market sentiment stays positive (i.e., Bitcoin breaks higher to provide the necessary momentum).As shown on the chart:Multiple daily resistance levels are marked — these make ideal potential sell zones for taking profits. Ultimately, how far you let it run depends on your greed tolerance. In the most bullish local scenario, I could see ZEC pushing to the weekly resistance around $615. All the daily levels en route would need to be cleared for that to play out, acting as intermediate hurdles. Trade safe, and manage risk!
by MrWhale
QNT = stable before a big move. Quant is sitting at a major point of interest after a long compression. Price is pressing into a well-defined demand zone that’s been defended multiple times. Downside momentum is fading, with each push lower showing less follow-through. That often signals seller exhaustion, not expansion. Above price sits a clear volume and resistance stack. A reclaim of the mid-range could open a cleaner path higher, while a loss of this floor is the line in the sand. This is a decision zone. Patience and confirmation matter here. What’s your bias on QNT?
Long
by Mike-BTD