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Bullish Momentum Stalls: Is a Correction Looming Below $21.15Analysis: At $21.5, GateToken (GT) is showing signs of a potential short-term correction after a strong rally from $17.72. The weekly chart indicates GT is trading above its 50-day SMA ($21.37) and 200-day SMA ($14.31), confirming a long-term bullish trend. However, the 14-day RSI at 78 on the weekly timeframe signals overbought conditions, and a bearish divergence is forming as the price makes higher highs while RSI trends lower. This suggests weakening momentum, increasing the likelihood of a pullback. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a bullish crossover, but the histogram is narrowing, indicating slowing upward momentum. Support levels based on the classical pivot points are at $19.95 and $18.74, with the latter aligning with the 50-day SMA. Resistance remains at $22.67, with a break above potentially targeting $24.19. The Average True Range (ATR) at 0.645 suggests high volatility, which could lead Important Disclaimer: Past performance is not an indicator of future results. Outlook: GT’s overbought RSI and bearish divergence suggest a correction toward $19.95 or $18.74 is possible in the near term. Long-term bulls may view dips as buying opportunities, given GT’s strong fundamentals and Gate.io’s ecosystem growth. Short-term traders should monitor the RSI and MACD for reversal signals. A break below $18.74 could see GT test $17.23, while a close above $22.67 may reignite bullish momentum toward $25.39. Always conduct your own research before trading.
Long
by S2A9
Faces Resistance at $22.15: Will Bulls Break Through or Retrace?Analysis: GateToken (GT) is currently trading at $21.5, hovering near a critical resistance zone at $21.66–$22.15, as identified by recent price action and the 14-day exponential moving average (EMA). The daily chart shows GT forming higher highs and higher lows since its recent low of $17.72, indicating a short-term uptrend. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 65 is approaching overbought territory, suggesting potential exhaustion among buyers. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) remains flat, indicating a lack of strong buying pressure to sustain a breakout above $22.15. The 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $18.19 provides strong support, with additional support at $19.55 if a pullback occurs. The Bollinger Bands show GT trading in the upper half, testing the upper band repeatedly, which could signal overbought conditions. A Fibonacci retracement from the all-time high of $25.94 to the cycle low of $17.72 places the 61.8% level at $22.71, aligning with the next resistance if $22.15 is breached. Outlook: If GT breaks above $22.15 with increased volume, it could target $24.19 or higher. Conversely, failure to hold $21.15 may lead to a retracement toward $19.55 or the 50-day SMA. Traders should watch for volume spikes and RSI divergence for confirmation of the next move. Risk-averse investors may wait for a dip to $19.55 before entering long positions.
Long
by S2A9
ETH is moving within the 2,300.00 - 2,695.00 range👀 Possible scenario: Ethereum (ETH) slipped 2.1% to just over $2,500 but remains up 30% for the week. Most holders are in profit, with key wallet cohorts having lower realized prices. Whale activity is being closely watched, as large sell-offs in the past triggered major drops. Meanwhile, Starknet, an Ethereum layer-2, reached "Stage 1" decentralization — a key milestone toward full autonomy. It now leads ZK-rollups with $629M TVL, though it still trails far behind Base’s $14.7B and 33% market share. ✅ Support and Resistance Levels Support level is now located at 2,300.00. Now, the resistance level is located at 2,695.00.
CAPITALCOM:ETHUSD
by MaxOnMarkets
BTC is moving within the 101,300.00 - 105,000.00 range👀 Possible scenario: Bitcoin (BTC) edged up 0.23% on Thursday, nearing $104,000 amid anticipation around U.S. interest rate and tariff policy decisions. Weaker data on inflation and consumer spending fueled expectations of a more dovish Fed stance, as concerns grow over slowing economic momentum. On May 16, traders will watch the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment report at 2:00 p.m. UTC, which could trigger volatility by offering clues on the Fed’s next move. ✅Support and Resistance Levels Support level is now located at 101,300.00 Now, the resistance level is located at 105,000.00.
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSD
by MaxOnMarkets
FUN/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.005300 - 0.005470 HMT v8.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic HMT v8.1 : Date : 18/04/2025 - Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency Update idea Add note Ren_MomentumTrader Also on: Disclaimer The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
3
Understanding Williams %R In TradingThe Williams %R is a fast, sensitive momentum oscillator ideal for short-term trading strategies. It provides early signals of overbought and oversold conditions by comparing the current close to the high-low range over a defined lookback period (typically 14 bars). By understanding where Williams %R fits among other oscillators, traders can better utilize it within a well-rounded, context-aware strategy. ✅ 1. What Are Momentum Indicators? Momentum indicators are technical analysis tools used to measure the speed and strength of a price movement over time. Rather than focusing on absolute price direction, momentum indicators assess how quickly prices are changing and help traders identify potential turning points, continuation patterns, or overbought/oversold conditions. They are particularly useful in sideways or ranging markets, where momentum shifts often precede breakouts or reversals. Key characteristics of momentum indicators: Often bounded within fixed ranges (e.g., 0–100 or -100 to 0) Typically leading indicators, aiming to provide early entry/exit signals Help spot divergence between price and momentum — a common sign of weakening trends ✅ 2. Understanding the Williams %R Indicator ≫ The Origin: Developed by Larry Williams The Williams %R indicator was developed by Larry Williams, a renowned trader and author, in the late 1970s. Williams introduced this tool to identify potential market turning points by measuring a security’s momentum relative to its recent high-low range. Originally intended for short-term futures trading, the indicator has since become a staple for both day traders and swing traders across various markets, including stocks, forex, and crypto. Larry Williams famously used this indicator in his trading system when he won the 1987 World Cup Trading Championship, turning $10,000 into over $1 million in a single year—demonstrating its real-world impact when used effectively. ≫ Formula Breakdown The Williams %R formula is as follows: Williams %R= = (HighestHigh − Close) / (HighestHigh - LowerLow) × −100 Highest High = The highest price over the lookback period (typically 14 periods) Lowest Low = The lowest price over the same lookback period Close = The current closing price This formula normalizes the current price within its recent trading range and expresses it as a negative percentage between 0 and -100. Example: If price is at the highest point in the range → %R = 0 (overbought) If price is at the lowest point in the range → %R = -100 (oversold) This inverted scale (compared to RSI) helps traders see how close the current price is to the top or bottom of the recent range, providing clues about potential reversal zones. Williams %R in Pinescript: //@version=5 indicator("Custom Williams %R", overlay=false) length = input.int(14, title="Period") highestHigh = ta.highest(high, length) lowestLow = ta.lowest(low, length) williamsR = (highestHigh - close) / (highestHigh - lowestLow) \* -100 plot(williamsR, title="%R", color=color.purple) hline(-20, "Overbought", color=color.red) hline(-80, "Oversold", color=color.green) ≫ Key Settings: 14-Period Default and Customizations The default setting for Williams %R is 14 periods, which Larry Williams originally recommended. However, this lookback period can be customized based on your trading style and timeframe. Here’s how different settings can be applied: ❖ Intraday Trading (5-minute to 15-minute charts): Use a 9 to 14-period setting for faster, more responsive signals. Ideal for scalpers or short-term traders seeking quick entries and exits. ❖ Swing Trading (1-hour to Daily charts): Stick with the standard 14 to 21-period range. Balances sensitivity and reliability; helps capture short- to mid-term reversals. ❖ Position/Long-Term Trading (Weekly charts or higher): Use 21-period or longer to smooth out signals and reduce noise. Best for spotting high-conviction turning points with less frequent trades. 🔁 Customization Tip: You can also use multiple %R settings (e.g., 14 and 50) together to analyze short-term momentum inside longer-term trend cycles, adding depth and context to your strategy. ≫ Interpretation: Overbought and Oversold Conditions The Williams %R scale ranges from 0 to -100 and is interpreted as follows: ❖ Overbought: %R above -20 Indicates that price is near the top of its recent range Suggests potential for a pullback or reversal downward ❖ Oversold: %R below -80 Indicates price is near the bottom of its recent range Suggests potential for a bounce or reversal upward ⚠️ Important: Overbought does not mean “time to sell” and oversold does not mean “time to buy.” These are conditions, not signals. Use them with confirmation tools like support/resistance zones, candlestick patterns, volume analysis, divergences and more. ✅ 3. Using Williams %R Effectively ≫ Entry Signals Williams %R can be used to time entries based on shifts in momentum, especially around key overbought and oversold zones. ❖ Overbought/Oversold Reversals This is the most common use of Williams %R - identifying turning points when price reaches extreme levels in its recent range: Overbought Zone (above -20): Signals potential bearish reversal Look for confluence with resistance levels or bearish candlestick patterns Confirmation often comes as %R drops back below -20 Oversold Zone (below -80): Indicates a possible bullish reversal Stronger when aligned with support or demand zones Confirmation often comes when %R climbs back above -80 ⚠️ Note: These are signals of potential exhaustion, not guaranteed reversals. Always pair with price action context or volume. ❖ Pullback Continuations Williams %R can also support trend-following strategies by identifying momentum retracements within an ongoing trend: In an uptrend, wait for Williams %R to dip below -80 (short-term oversold) and then re-enter above -80 as the trend resumes In a downtrend, look for a rally where %R rises above -20 (short-term overbought), then re-enters below -20 to confirm trend continuation This technique helps you buy the dip or sell the rally with better timing and risk control. ≫ Exit Signals Williams %R can also guide exit timing by showing when momentum is weakening, especially as price moves away from extremes. ❖ Returning to Neutral Zones When Williams %R moves back toward the -50 midpoint, it can signal that the current move is losing steam. In a long position, if %R returns from oversold to above -50 but then flattens or dips again, it may be time to take profit In a short position, if %R rises from overbought back below -50, it suggests selling pressure is decreasing Exiting before full reversals can help you lock in gains while reducing risk exposure. ❖ Crossovers at Extremes Some traders look for quick crossovers back through key thresholds (-80 and -20) as exit or reversal alerts: If %R drops from above -20 back below it, the overbought condition may be ending If %R rises from below -80 back above it, the oversold condition may be ending These sharp shifts often precede momentum flips, making them useful for both exit timing and new trade setups in the opposite direction. ❖ False Signal Filtering Techniques Williams %R can produce false signals, especially in trending or volatile markets. To improve signal quality, consider these filters: Use with Trend Filters: Apply moving averages (e.g., 50- or 200-period MA) to define trend direction and avoid counter-trend trades Only trade overbought signals in a downtrend and oversold signals in an uptrend Add Price Action Confirmation: Look for candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, pin bars) or support/resistance reactions before acting on %R signals Volume Analysis: Confirm signals with volume spikes or divergences to validate strength or weakness in a move Multiple Timeframe Confluence: Use Williams %R on a higher timeframe (e.g., 4H or daily) to establish the broader context, then align trades on a lower timeframe Avoid during High Volatility Events: News releases and earnings reports can create erratic spikes that cause misleading %R readings ❖ Best Market Conditions: Ranging vs Trending Markets Williams %R performs best under specific market conditions. Understanding when to use it—and when to avoid it—is key to success. Ranging Markets: Ideal Conditions Williams %R excels in sideways or consolidating markets In ranges, price frequently oscillates between support and resistance, making overbought/oversold signals highly effective Reversals from the -20 or -80 zones often align with the top and bottom of a trading range Trending Markets: Use With Caution During strong trends, Williams %R can stay in the overbought or oversold zone for extended periods This makes reversal signals less reliable and more prone to false exits In trending conditions, it’s better to: Use Williams %R for pullback entries Combine it with a trend filter to stay on the dominant side of momentum ✅ 4. Optimizing the Period Setting (5, 9, 14, 21, etc.) The length of the lookback period in Williams %R significantly affects signal behavior: Shorter periods (5, 9): Produce faster, more frequent signals Best for scalping and intraday trading More sensitive but can result in higher noise and false signals Default period (14): Balanced responsiveness Suitable for swing trading and multi-hour charting Longer periods (21+): Generate fewer but more stable signals Best for position trading or slower-moving markets Reduced noise but may lag in volatile conditions 🔍 To optimize: Test various period values under consistent rules (e.g., entry/exit and risk management stay the same) Compare outcomes across different market environments (trending, ranging, volatile) ✅ 4. Key Takeaways Williams %R is a momentum oscillator that measures the close relative to the recent high-low range on a scale from 0 to -100. It was developed by Larry Williams to help identify short-term overbought and oversold market conditions. A reading above -20 suggests overbought conditions, while a reading below -80 indicates oversold conditions. The default 14-period setting balances signal responsiveness and stability for most traders. Shorter periods generate faster signals with more noise, while longer periods produce smoother signals with more lag. Williams %R works best in ranging or sideways markets rather than strongly trending environments. Traders can use %R for reversal signals or to confirm pullbacks within a broader trend. Filtering signals with price action, support/resistance, or volume improves accuracy. The indicator is not meant to be used in isolation and requires confirmation before acting on signals. Backtesting across different timeframes and period settings is essential for identifying optimal usage. Performance metrics such as win rate, R:R ratio, and drawdown help evaluate the indicator’s reliability. Williams %R is easy to code and automate in platforms like TradingView using Pine Script. The indicator adds value when used as part of a broader, disciplined trading system. Williams %R is a simple yet deeply insightful momentum oscillator. While often overlooked in favor of more complex indicators, it provides a unique lens into market sentiment and price extremes. Its greatest strength lies in its clarity — helping traders time entries and exits with greater confidence when paired with context.
Education
by CandelaCharts
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-05-15 18:00 UTCBTC/USDT Technical Analysis Timeframe: 15-minute (Binance Spot) Composite Bias: 🟢 Bullish Key Levels Immediate Support: $103,450 (Previous swing low + ATR-based floor) Secondary Support: $103,000 (Psychological level + oversold RSI recovery zone) Resistance: $104,200 (Local high, MACD convergence point) Breakout Target: $104,500 (Measured move from recent consolidation) Technical Rationale MACD Bearish Crossover (Signal line > MACD, histogram negative) suggests short-term pullback risk, but RSI at 59.9 (neutral) leaves room for recovery. ATR at 156.89 reflects elevated volatility; often a precursor to directional moves. Volume & Structure Volume is below average during the latest uptick, raising concerns about rally sustainability (Quant Team flags this as a low-conviction move). Price was rejected at $103,960 after an earlier RSI dip to 7.7, confirming aggressive dip-buying interest. Macro Context Despite the bearish MACD crossover, trend strength score at 0.23 suggests weak downside momentum. Earlier extreme oversold RSI (<10) is often followed by sharp reversals in BTC. Risk Advisory (Compliance Division) False Breakout Risk: Low volume on upticks increases the chance of traps — confirm any breakout with ≥0.5x average volume. Macro Sensitivity: Fed policy uncertainty remains a headwind; monitor correlations with equities. Liquidity Gaps: Thin order books between $103,800–$104,200 may amplify volatility. Actionable Insight Entry: $103,500–$103,600 (retest of support confluence) Stop-Loss: Below $103,300 (1.5x ATR buffer) Take-Profit: Partial at $104,200 if volume confirms. Emphasize asymmetric reward/risk if $103,000 holds, but await volume confirmation before high-conviction entry.
by CryptoSignalsChannel
After $105K Peak, Bitcoin May Revisit 0.382 FOB Level!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is pulling back after hitting a high of $105,800 If you look at the daily chart, we haven’t seen any healthy pullback, the price has gone straight up. In my opinion, a retest of the 0.382 FOB level around $94K would be a healthy correction for Bitcoin. Based on the liquidation heatmap, we’re also seeing liquidity building up at lower levels. This is one of the signs of a pullback, which is important for a sustainable and healthy market. Stay tuned and follow for more updates!
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
46