Crypto market
SOLUSD at long-term linear-regression supportSOLUSD has had a rough year in 2025 with major drawdowns and new highs as well. Neither bulls nor bears have had a painless path.
Will 2026 be different? A lot depends on the Fed, liquidity, inflation prints, and more.
But SOL found a bottom today at the -2 standard deviation line on a log-scale linear regression going back to the all-time low in December 2022. This is a convenient tool developed by @Forza that is an open-source script that "slightly modifies TradingView's built-in linear regression script" which allows it to be plotted on log-scale charts. I've thought recently that it may be worth taking a shot at SOL long, with risk limited to the -2 standard deviation line on a log scale chart.
The AVWAP from the inception of the chart (shown weekly above and dates back to June 2021 for this particular exchange's chart), lies around $96-$97.
No certainties exist in trading or investing, and a flush in 1Q would bring further pain to bullish SOL traders and long-term SOL investors. But if SOL continues its bullish path since late 2022, it could reach new all-time highs in 2026-2027. Maybe it's an investment worth considering. As always, do your own research!
AAVEUSD — SHORT IDEA (BEARISH ORDER FLOW)Price is trading at premium levels and reacting from a strong supply zone.
Buy-side liquidity has already been taken, which suggests smart money distribution.
Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk
Invalidation if price hits the target before triggering entry, as this is a more conservative entry.
PLUME RWA - Daily Chart Opinions?🧠 Keep it on watch. Momentum shifting.
PLUME RWA - Is it finally time for some GREEN candles? Opinions?
Lets share any opinions
⚠️ Disclosures :
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any securities, cryptocurrencies, or stocks. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Head and shoulders in long term .I have identified this kind of patterns multiple times before its full formation. From a technical perspective, the 110k–113k range represents a critical resistance zone. a clean break and sustained acceptance above this area would likely open the door for an impulsive move toward the 147 k and 170k targets.
Prior to that, price must reclaim and confirm above 105k, followed by a decisive breakout of the 110k–113k region. Failure to do so keeps the current structure vulnerable and leaves this pattern valid as a potential distribution top, which could set the stage for the next bear market.
While my macro bias remains bullish, I will stay cautious until these key levels are conclusively reclaimed.
Buy accumilation I thought it was going to be an intra day trade for yesterday but itwas one of the lowest volume days in a long time.
We have been getting exhausted on the sells and higher lows. My buy signals just keep flashing.
Might be a possibly bullish move to end the weekly green. We need the volume to show up today/just before weekly close.
I will keep buying as long as my signal keeps flashing have price targets at 1:2
TP around 130 area.
I also want to make it clear i getthe buy signals on Sol/Btc and execute on Sol/Usdt.
This poat does not constitute financial advice it is just simply my humble perspective.
BTCUSDT – Bullish Expansion Followed by Major DistributionBitcoin is currently trading above a key demand zone 79/82 after completing a corrective phase.
The overall market structure suggests a bullish continuation in the short to medium term, with buyers actively defending lower levels.
As long as price holds above the recent support area, a move toward 92,000 USD remains highly probable.
If bullish momentum continues and liquidity above is taken, Bitcoin could extend further toward the 100,000 – 110,000 USD region.
However, this zone is expected to act as a major distribution area.
After reaching this range, a strong bearish reaction is likely, potentially leading to a breakdown below the last major low.
Such a breakdown could trigger a deeper correction, with price targeting the 60,000 USD region.
This outlook is based purely on price action, market structure, and liquidity behavior on higher timeframes.
📈 Short-Term Bias: Bullish
🎯 Upside Targets: 92,000 → 100,000 → 110,000
📉 Mid-to-Long-Term Scenario: Strong bearish reversal after distribution
❌ Invalidation: Sustained hold above the distribution zone or failure to break structure on the downside
Potential Inverse Cup and handle forming on BTCWaiting to see how btc reacts at 92k ideall we need to full blast to 94k to avoid this cup and handle pattern, however if we reject at 92k and fill the any cme gap that might get left open from any weekend pump and continue down 76k is my short target.
We could also make a higher low potentially and range but imo we are going to see an explosive move in one direction or another. Id rather the bullish scenario to play out but lets see
BTC OpEx Weekly OutlookI expect a volatile week for Bitcoin due to the massive OpEx on 12/26. The notional value expiring is roughly 8x the previous week.
Max pain is 96k on Deribit. Other exchanges are slightly higher.
Dealer gamma exposure is negative on Monday which should add volatility, so I expect another trip to recent support around 85k. As the week continues, gamma sharply turns positive which should have a dampening effect on price swings. As OpEx approaches, I expect price to move up at an increasing rate due to dealers unwinding hedges into Friday.
Max pain is around 96k, so it should be a magnet for price throughout the week. Hedges unwinding will apply pressure to short liquidations which could cascade with a peak in the 94-96k range.
After options expiration, price should fall sharply IF whales write more covered calls forcing MMs to hedge.
I am short into Monday. Plan to long if it dips, then open a short in the 94-96k range or whatever the top is near EOD Friday with a final target of 72k in the coming weeks/months.
BTCUSD may bounce from Ichimoku supportBITSTAMP:BTCUSD has been in correction mode for the past two months since its new ATH on October 6, 2025. It fell through various technical supports, including shorter term simple and exponential moving averages. The move has been quick / unforgiving. But it appears to be finding support right where it should when zooming out on the weekly timeframe.
On the Ichimoku charting system (an equilibrium-based system developed in Japan), cloud support is particularly important especially on higher timeframes like weekly and monthly charts. Further, a wide green-colored upward-sloping cloud indicates bullish trend and stronger support. Of course, the Kijun line is overhead on the weekly. That must be overcome in the next few weeks for further upside.
The monthly chart with Bollinger Bands applied at standard settings reveals that BTC has simply retraced to the mean (20-month SMA) during this volatile period of consolidation and correction. This supports the case for consolidation and mean reversion w/in a bull market for BTC. Here is a snapshot:
Always do your own research and manage your risk appropriately for your position size!
And enjoy your holiday season. Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to all!
ETH to ATH ! Prediction for 2026!Ethereum appears to have completed its wave 4 correction upon test of Support in the 2600s!
Ethereum reclaimed a diagonal support (red line) after deviating below it. This is where I have annotated "Bear Trap" on the chart. This bear trap completed wave 2 correction (ABC type) which is part of a massive 5 wave move to the Upside!
I have mapped out the Elliott Wave count along with time-based cyclic vertical markers to help anchor my predictions to a defined time scale.
This prediction is in line with my latest Bitcoin price prediction for 2026!
ETH to ATH !
BTC Playbook: Sell the Rip, Buy the Confirmed Dip__________________________________________________________________________________
Market Overview
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Bitcoin remains range-bound with a downside tilt as sellers cap every push into the 89.5–90.0k band while buyers defend the 85.9k shelf. Momentum is cautious, microstructure and levels are driving outcomes as macro catalysts stay light.
Momentum: Bearish bias within a range, rallies are being faded below 90k and demand only sticks on clean reversals at 85.9k.
Key levels:
- Resistances (12H–1D): 89,500–90,000, then 94,600 (Weekly pivot high).
- Supports (4H–1D): 85,900, then 84,400.
Volumes: Normal across intraday and HTF, no extreme prints to force a regime shift.
Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H/6H trend down with repeated lower highs into 89.5–90.0k. LTFs compress under 90k with demand wicks near 85.9k, daily ISPD only offers tactical buy context at supports if a proper reversal prints.
Harvest zones: 85,900 (Cluster A) / 80,700–82,500 (Cluster B). Ideal dip-buy areas for inverse pyramiding, only on confirmed ≥2H reversals.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator context: Neutral Sell, which aligns with the sell-the-rip tone under 90k and advises patience on longs until HTF conditions improve.
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Trading Playbook
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The dominant structure is a corrective range with bearish HTF filters, so favor patience and fade strength into resistance until acceptance above 90k changes the tone.
Global bias: Neutral Sell while price holds below 90,000, invalidation of the short fade bias on a daily close above 90,000.
Opportunities:
- Tactical sell: Fade 89,500–90,000 rejections with stops above the band, first targets 88,000 then 86,000.
- Tactical buy: Only on strong 2H–12H reversal at 85,900, partials toward 87,900 then 89,300–90,000.
- Breakout buy: Daily acceptance above 90,000 opens 94,600, enter on retest if confirmed.
Risk zones / invalidations: A daily close below 85,900 unlocks 84,400 and risks deeper distribution. A daily close above 90,000 invalidates near-term short fades and shifts focus to 94,600.
Macro catalysts: Japan 10Y above 2 percent raises cross-asset vol risk and carry stress. Gold’s surge underscores a cautionary risk tone. US spot ETF 7-day net outflows are a mild headwind that can cap upside.
Harvest Plan (Inverse Pyramid):
- Palier 1 (12.5%): 85,900 (Cluster A) + reversal ≥2H → entry
- Palier 2 (+12.5%): 80,700–82,500 (-4/-6% below Palier 1) → reinforcement
- TP: 50% at +12–18% from PMP → recycle cash
- Runner: hold if break & hold first R HTF
- Invalidation: < HTF Pivot Low or 96h no momentum
- Hedge (1x): Short first R HTF on rejection + bearish trend → neutralize below R
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Multi-Timeframe Insights
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Across HTFs the path of least resistance is down, while LTFs compress just below 90k and try to defend 85.9k.
1D/12H/6H: Downtrend filter persists with lower highs into 89.5–90.0k and a cap extension at 94,600. Acceptance back above 90,000 is needed to ease pressure toward the weekly pivot.
4H/2H: Compression under 90k with demand wicks at 85.9k, long attempts require a clear bullish reversal structure, otherwise sell rejections at 89.5–90.0k.
1H/30m/15m: Intraday squeezes stall below 89.5–90.0k and liquidity sits below 88k and near 86k, which favors tactical shorts until HTF flips or 90k is reclaimed.
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Macro & On-Chain Drivers
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Macro crosscurrents lean cautious, which can limit impulsive upside until flows improve and risk appetite broadens.
Macro events: Japan 10Y above 2 percent signals potential carry pressure and volatility. Gold’s strong run reflects a hedge bid. US spot ETF flows have a negative 7-day average and a down day, a mild headwind for spot.
External Macro Analysis: The Risk On / Risk Off Indicator sits in a bearish regime with credit stress confirmed, while small-caps and semis are conflicted, a late-cycle mix that supports the Neutral Sell technical bias.
Bitcoin analysis: Spot activity clusters in the mid-high 80ks, OI is elevated, and overhead supply around 90k–95k keeps a sell cloud. Acceptance above 90k would be the first step toward 94.6k.
On-chain data: Mixed risk tone with selective demand and an options skew that favors downside protection near term, reinforcing respect for supports and the need for confirmation on longs.
Expected impact: The macro and flow backdrop supports fading bounces under 90k and waiting for acceptance above resistance to re-risk long with better odds.
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Key Takeaways
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BTC is coiling in a corrective range with a bearish tilt under 90k and buyers defending 85.9k.
The trend is neutral-to-bearish until 90k is reclaimed. The most relevant setup is fading 89.5–90.0k with targets at 88.0k and 86.0k, while only buying 85.9k on confirmed reversals. Macro tone is cautious with ETF outflows and Japan yields above 2 percent adding risk. Stay tactical, respect invalidations, and let 86–90k resolve before sizing up.






















