$BTC 88k reclaim ultimatum: point of no return for the bullrunCRYPTOCAP:BTC has 4 attempts to perform in order to reclaim the 88.2k cyclical support before the Dec. 21st important day, a date identical in nature to Oct 10 that will either trigger the selloff to the yearly lows, or see those scored right on the day.
The days to do so are today at 17:00 UTC, tomorrow 19:00 UTC, Dec. 18 15:00 UTC, Dec. 19 9:00 UTC.
From the outcome of the price action post Dec.19, the fate of #Bitcoin until Dec. 28 will be decided: 94.6k or 78k.
Crypto market
BTC/USD – Potential Downtrend Continuation Toward Key Support"1. Descending Channel (Blue)
Price has been moving inside a downward sloping channel — lower highs and lower lows. This is a bearish pattern until broken convincingly.
Traders watch for price to stay inside or break out — a breakout above suggests potential trend reversal; a break below suggests continuation.
👉 The price recently bounced off the lower boundary, showing support at that channel floor.
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🔴 2. Moving Average (Red Curve)
A moving average (likely something like a 200-period) is plotted. When price is below the moving average, it typically indicates bearish momentum; price above suggests bullish momentum.
Here we see price approaching that red line from below → this often acts as dynamic resistance for bulls.
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🔵 3. Key Horizontal Support (Blue Line at ~85,170)
A strong horizontal “target point” / support level is marked.
This line represents a zone where buyers previously stepped in and could again if price falls.
The chart clearly marks this as target on downside if the current setup fails.
Support & resistance levels like this are some of the most watched areas on price charts — they act as floors and ceilings for price action.
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🎯 The Trade Setup Illustrated
On the right side you see a green/red box which visually represents a trade idea:
🟢 Entry Area
The current price (~88,100–88,800) looks like the potential entry.
The green zone down below is the profit target zone.
🔴 Red Zone
This is the stop-loss area — meaning if price rises above ~90,000–90,400, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
📉 Directional Arrow Down
The big arrow pointing down suggests the analyst expects a move lower, from current levels toward the support around ~85,000+.
So the idea is:
If price fails at the descending resistance and moving average → enter short.
Stop above resistance / above high of red.
Target the lower support area.
This is classic channel-based trading logic: resistance to support → short trade.
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🔎 Bull vs Bear Scenarios
🔻 Bearish Scenario (favored by this chart)
✔ Price confirms resistance at moving average / upper channel
✔ Breaks back down
✔ Moves toward target zone (~85,000)
This would follow the pattern of lower highs and lower lows.
📈 Bullish Break Scenario
If price breaks above the red moving average and upper trendline convincingly with volume, that would: ✔ Break the downtrend ✔ Signal potential for upside ✔ Invalidate the short setup
Volume confirmation for breakouts is crucial — without it, breakouts often fail.
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🧠 Summary in Plain Terms
Trend: Currently still bearish inside a descending pattern.
Resistance: Moving average + upper channel line blocking upside.
Support: Strong horizontal area around mid-$80k’s.
Trade idea on chart: Short toward support, stop above recent highs.
Key levels drawn:
🚫 Stop zone: ~90,000+
🎯 Target zone: ~85,000ish
$FIO/USDT ANALYSISOn the daily chart, FIO/USDT remains in a broader bearish structure following a strong sell-off from the September highs, but price action has stabilized after forming a base. Since the October low, price is printing higher lows along a rising trendline, indicating gradual accumulation and a slow shift toward recovery. However, upside progress is capped by a clear supply zone around the recent highs, where multiple rejections show sellers remain active. As long as price holds above the rising support, the structure favors consolidation with a mild bullish bias, while failure to maintain this trendline would signal renewed downside pressure within the prevailing range.
SOL Update: Downtrend confirmed, hold on to your horses SOL Update: Solana remains in a clear downtrend, with price continuing to respect the descending channel that’s been in place since the breakdown from the highs. The broader structure is defined by lower highs and lower lows, and each bounce so far has been corrective rather than impulsive. The recent move back toward the ~$125 area looks more like a relief reaction than a genuine attempt at trend reversal.
The ~$125 zone is a key inflection point, but at this stage it’s acting more like resistance than support. Price has struggled to reclaim and hold above that level, and without a strong impulsive push and follow-through, it’s hard to make a case for acceptance back above it. As long as SOL remains below this level and inside the descending channel, the path of least resistance remains lower.
Zooming out, this aligns with the broader crypto market working through a corrective and risk-off phase, where strength tends to fade and rallies get sold. In that environment, higher timeframe downtrends typically persist until a clear base forms or a major level is reclaimed. For SOL, that means continued downside risk and consolidation until structure improves.
For now, I’m treating any moves into resistance as corrective and staying cautious. Until SOL can break the downtrend and reclaim key levels with conviction, this remains a downtrend-first market rather than a buy-the-dip environment.
Looking for more down, and then eventually hopefully some relief.
SOL: Range trading. This is not a trading setup!NOT A TRADING SETUP! Trading plan: If a model similar to the one shown on the chart forms, then we are more likely to reach the upper limit of the range.
We are closely monitoring the development of this model on the four-hour timeframe.
BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P
XRPUSD Update3h Candle hasn't retested my level for the entry and run up so i'll delete the limit and i'll wait for new confirmations. Price is still showing bullish signs so it can also go up without retesting and in that case i'll look for confirmation on the Lower Timeframe.
For now i'm monitoring and waiting
$BTC Still in the Chop ZoneBitcoin dipped again after failing to break above 90k. Price pushed up to test the 89,500 resistance, but got rejected, triggering a sharp drop down to the 84,400 area.
On the 4-hour chart, that selloff briefly dipped below 85k before buyers stepped in around 84,400. Bitcoin is now trading around 88,200.
There’s a visible triple-tap setup here. We could see another attempt at the 89–90k resistance. And a clean retest of the 87–86k zone would make a bounce more convincing. If that holds, a move toward 90–92k is on the table. Near-term resistance sits around 92k, with a heavier zone up at 94–96k.
BTCUSD-Bearish Structure Forming on Bitcoin – Patience RequiredMy analysis on Bitcoin today might get some negative comments from those who are holding BTC or are in long positions. However, from my perspective, I see a bearish pattern forming in line with the main trend. If this pattern gets activated, it could push the price down toward the $75,000 area — although it’s still too early for that level to be reached.
For now, my expectation is a period of consolidation (compression) first, followed by a potential downside move.
BTCUSDT Short: Range Rejection Signals Move Toward $85,800Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSDT based on the current chart structure. BTCUSDT is currently showing signs of increasing bearish pressure after failing to hold above the key 88,000 Supply level. Earlier, price repeatedly tested this resistance zone and produced multiple breakouts that failed, clearly indicating seller dominance at this level. Each attempt above supply was followed by rejection, confirming that this area remains a strong selling zone. After these rejections, BTC entered several Range phases, reflecting distribution rather than accumulation. The most recent range near the upper structure resolved to the downside, with price breaking below the range low and accelerating lower. This breakdown signals a shift in short-term market control from buyers to sellers.
Currently, price is trading below the former range and moving toward the rising Demand Line, which aligns with the 85,800–85,600 Demand Zone. Although this zone previously acted as support, the current price action suggests weakening demand, as rebounds are becoming smaller and less impulsive.
My scenario is bearish as long as BTCUSDT remains below the 88,000 Supply / Resistance level and continues to reject attempts to reclaim it. I expect price to continue pushing lower toward the 85,800 Demand Zone, which is the next key downside objective. A clean breakdown below the 85,800–85,600 Demand Zone would confirm stronger seller control and open the path for a deeper bearish continuation toward lower levels. However, if price reaches demand and shows a strong bullish reaction, a short-term bounce toward previous structure may occur — but this would still be considered corrective unless BTC reclaims 88,000 with strength. For now, the market favors sellers, with 85,800 as the primary downside target while price remains capped below resistance. Manage your risk!
ZEC Update: Relief pump taking place, weary of further breakdownZEC is seeing a relief pump exactly as anticipated by the projected path (yellow), following the prior breakdown from the rising channel. This bounce so far looks reactive rather than impulsive, driven more by short-term positioning and broader market relief than any meaningful shift in structure. The key question now is whether price can reclaim and hold back inside the former channel.
At this stage, I remain skeptical. While price has pushed back toward the lower channel boundary, this area is still acting as resistance rather than support. Failed breakdowns typically require a strong, decisive reclaim with follow-through, and so far this move lacks the momentum and volume profile I’d want to see to confirm acceptance back inside the channel. As long as ZEC remains below that structure, this bounce should be treated as corrective.
Structurally, the broader picture still favors downside continuation. The rising channel itself formed after a sharp selloff, making it a counter-trend consolidation rather than a base. Breaking down from that pattern, even with a relief rally afterward, usually resolves with further downside once the bounce exhausts. In that context, this move looks more like a reset of short-term oversold conditions than the start of a sustained reversal.
Zooming out, this continues to align with the broader crypto environment, where markets are chopping and attempting relief rallies while higher timeframe trends work through distribution and leverage cleanup. In these phases, failed reclaims and lower highs are common, especially for higher beta assets like ZEC.
Unless price can cleanly reclaim the channel and hold above it, I expect this relief rally to fade and lead to another leg lower, with the ~300 area remaining the primary level of interest on the downside. That zone would represent a deeper structural test and likely determine whether ZEC can establish a more durable base or needs additional time to consolidate. For now, the bias remains cautious, treating strength as corrective until proven otherwise.
IOTXUSDT Sell/Short Signal (15M)Considering that the sell orders of the 4-hour order block have been absorbed, we can expect an internal pullback on lower timeframes.
The entry zone and targets are marked on the chart.
After the first target is reached, secure partial profits and then move the stop loss to breakeven
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you















