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EURUSD Pullback Toward 1.17500 Keeps Bullish Structure IntactHey Traders, In today’s trading session, we are monitoring EURUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 1.17500 zone. The pair remains in a well-defined uptrend and is currently undergoing a healthy corrective move. Price is approaching the 1.17500 area, a key zone of confluence where trend support aligns with a former support/resistance level. This area has previously attracted strong participation, making it technically significant. As long as this level holds, the broader bullish structure remains intact, and a positive reaction here could support a continuation toward recent highs. don't forget to support us with boost and leave your opinion on the comment section! Trade safe, Joe
Long
by JoeChampion
16
EURUSD: 1.1750 Support Sets Up a Retest of 1.1800Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup. Market Analysis EURUSD has confirmed a bullish shift after breaking out of the previous downward channel, signaling a clear change in market structure from bearish to bullish. This breakout marked the start of a strong impulsive move higher, with price establishing higher highs and higher lows. Following the breakout, EURUSD respected a rising trend line, which is now acting as dynamic support and reinforcing the bullish bias. Currently, price pushed into the 1.1800 Resistance Zone, where selling pressure emerged, leading to a rejection and short-term pullback. This reaction looks corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting profit-taking instead of a trend reversal. The pullback is currently unfolding toward the Support Zone around 1.1750, which aligns with the previous breakout area and the ascending trend structure. This zone has already shown buyer reaction, indicating active demand. My Scenario & Strategy My primary scenario remains bullish as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1750 Support Zone. I expect buyers to defend this area and attempt another push toward the 1.1800 Resistance Zone. A clean breakout and acceptance above 1.1800 would confirm bullish continuation and open the path toward higher targets. However, a decisive breakdown below the support zone would weaken the bullish structure and signal a deeper corrective move. For now, price action favors buyers while the ascending structure and key support remain intact. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Long
by Ratner
15
Will a Euro buy $1.75 dollars by 2029? - December 2025Today a Euro will buy you 1.178 dollars.. A forecast of 1.75 is 50% above. That's wild. In this report it is proposed a Euro could gain 50% dominance over the dollar during the next 2-3 years. That’s more than a forecast, that’s regime change. The majority of the move could very well be over in the next 18 to 36 months, look left at previous impulsive moves. In Forex, a move like that over 24 months would be unprecedented for major currencies in modern times without some significant economic shift (like high inflation in the US, Eurozone booming, or dollar losing reserve status, or a combination of all). Usually currency forecasts aren’t that extreme unless it’s a very long-term or speculative scenario. The highlights: A significant dollar value collapse Exports from the EU to the US become increasingly expensive. (Before the consideration of tariffs). A fall in US living standards continues (access to health care, affordable accommodation, global technological advancement while the US stands still, debts thwarting social mobility) “Opportunity cost”, Investors want assets denominated in appreciating currencies. Modest Euro based equity returns return far greater value than US listed equities that over-perform. How is this possible? Europe is burning, the end is nigh, haven't you seen the News? Headlines from the last 10 days: “ Trump thrashes European leaders in wide-ranging interview: ‘I think they’re weak ”. Said the man who promised he’d end the Ukraine war within 24 hours after taking office. How’s that going mate? Day 340 and counting. “ The Real Reason Why the Trump Administration is So Mad at Europe ” Spoiler: They’re not buying enough of our stuff, apparently. Which is rich coming from an administration currently in the process of telling everyone else to sod off and stop selling us stuff. “ Donald Trump is pursuing regime change in Europe ” Nothing says “Land of the free” quite like attempting to install puppet governments in allied democracies. Very on-brand. “ Trump administration says Europe faces 'civilisational erasure ” From the people who brought you “Me must take Greenland” and “Injecting bleach”, this is their geopolitical analysis. Brilliant. Europeans must be sat there with their espresso wondering, “Hang on, who’s the bigger threat, Putin with his obsolete tanks or Trump with his tariffs and tantrums?”. The rhetoric toward the European continent has been genuinely remarkable. Certainly in my lifetime and moreover, from an ally. But here’s the thing, and pay attention because this where it becomes interesting, every narrative eventually gets a chart and charts don’t lie. You don’t fling this amount of mud, whip up distraction, unless you want the gaze of media to focus elsewhere. The headlines aren’t coincidence, they are symptoms. Consider this absolute masterclass in economic self-sabotage the USA has arrived at today, which the media are blissfully ignoring: Relies heavily on Chinese imports (because making stuff is hard and China’s really good at it). Has erected trade barriers with most of their suppliers (Think Brexit but on steroids. And by the way, how is Brexit working out? Someone from the UK care to comment? Anyone?) Embraced a path of political uncertainty (Every day is like a lucky dip, except the prizes are all terrible.) Citizens randomly stripped of agency (Rights? What are those?) Tourists actively avoiding travel to America (Nothing says “Welcome” like the threat of detention and a complimentary cavity search). (Almost 6% of GDP comes from tourism, yeah $2.1 trillion and 15 million jobs). Argentina, could you have picked a worse moment to consider dollar adoption?! If there’s one thing investors absolutely despise, it’s political uncertainty. Does not matter if government is left, right, up, down, on day release from the lunatic asylum. Markets need confidence in what next year might look like, not anxiety about tomorrow’s 3am Truth Social post. They want year by year predictability, not day by day chaos. And here’s the kicker: When you throw up import barriers, tell your allies their civilisation is doomed, threaten tourists with detention… . then you're not just alienating people you are inadvertently telling the entire world that the US is closed for business. Investors will now ask themselves “Why should I hold onto dollars?”. De-dollarisation / US dollar hegemony The majority of dollars in circulation exist outside America. If you’re an international investor looking to de-risk US market exposure, then you’re more likely to sell dollars in favour for a more attractive investment at home. International investors do not hold dollars for the sake of it other than to purchase US assets. Turn that around, those same investors could spark a mass dollar sell off, collectively sending those dollars back to the US. The FED won’t need to print to free up liquidity in this event. Meanwhile, Europe remains open for business. As is Canada, Asia and South America. (UK not so much as they figure out who to tax next. They love taxes over there). You don’t need a PhD in economics to figure out the future, a history book will do that. Money like water flows to where it’s welcome. And right now America is basically extending the middle finger to international investors. The gloves are off, unless you’re delayed at passport control…. then the middle finger is.. moving on… The world, it seems, has had enough of dollar hegemony. US dollar dominance is declining gradually as nations diversify away from dollar dependence. It is well known multi decade trend, not an imminent crisis. This is not necessarily a bad thing for the US given the debt, a dollar value collapse would help melt the debt away. However the price is steep, a collapse in global influence and living standards. The fall in living standards is already notable in the US for outside observers, which is a rather grim set of circumstances to begin with if you're a worker resident in the US who gets by month to month. What’s happening exactly? The US dollar’s share of global foreign exchange reserves has dropped from 71% (2000) to approximately 58% (2024). Central banks are accelerating this shift with: 1. Gold purchases: Central banks bought record amounts in 2022-2023, with China, India, and other leading accumulation. 2. Bilateral trade: China-Saudi oil deals, India-Russia rupee-ruble trades, ASEAN local currency settlements 3. BRICS expansion: 9 members now representing 45% of global population, exploring alternative payment systems. Why it matters Sanctions accelerated the trend. After Russia’s SWIFT exclusion in 2022, countries with geopolitical concerns fast-tracked dollar alternatives. Even allies are hedging. But the dollar isn’t going anywhere soon. No currency rivals its liquidity, legal infrastructure, or depth of US capital markets. The Euro, Yuan, and others have structural limitations. But that does not mean dollar can operate with impunity as directed by US policy, far from it. What currency will benefit the most from a dollar collapse? The Euro. And the charts know’s it. Studied multiple currency pairs, with a natural bias leaning towards CNY. Imagine my surprise to see the Euro in a breakout with positive macro uptrend against CNY, the US dollar, and competing currencies. The Euro currency is set to outperform significant players. That is not necessarily a good thing for European countries, especially those with high debt to GDP ratios. If EUR rallies aggressively, it can: 1. Tighten financial conditions in Europe, 2. Drag inflation down, 3. and push the ECB toward easier policy relative to the FED However the trend is clear, the market has spoken, for the next few years it is clear where the game is. Euro vs Chinese Yuan Euro vs Japanese Yen Euro vs British pound The technical analysis The technical analysis suggests euro is about to enter a strong macro uptrend. Not just a continuation of the 14% move in a single year thus far, that was just a mere Amuse-bouche. No, the main course is yet to come. On the above 2 month chart: A clear uptrend, higher highs higher lows. Price action and RSI resistance breakouts. That blue line, that’s the 100 RMA (Rolling Moving Average), don’t ignore that line on any asset once support or resistance is confirmed. 3 month Hammer candle (see below) A typical 8 year run to the swing high. However that period is reduced to 2-3 years after the resistance breakout. The bull flag forecasts circa 50% rise until the flag target is met. The forecast should be met on or before 2030. 3 month chart - Hammer candle Conclusions This is a long-cycle thesis, not a short term prediction. The core view is that EURO Vs USD is entering a multi-year uptrend as global investors incrementally diversify currency exposure as relative policy / fiscal backdrop becomes less supportive for the US dollar. The €1 = $1.75 outcome is a tail scenario, not the base case. A move of that magnitude would require a combination of material USD weakness, a persistent shift in global capital allocation, and sustained rate / growth dynamics that remain favourable to the Euro. It is not “normal” for such a macro move to occur over an 18-36 month period. But that’s exactly what happened during the period from 1985 to 1987, and 2002 to 2005. The technical structure supports an upward bias, but the macro will decide the ceiling. The chart setup (trend structure, breakout behaviour, and continuation patterns) argues for euro strength, yet the durability of any upside is ultimately constrained by fundamentals, rate differentials, growth, inflation credibility, and Europe’s sensitivity to a strong currency. What validates the thesis? Continued evidence of USD risk rising (fiscal and credibility), sustained euro resilience versus other currencies with price holding above key breakout levels on higher timeframes. What would invalidate the thesis? A clear re-acceleration in U.S. growth relative to Europe, a materially more hawkish FED path versus the ECB, or a breakdown back below the breakout structure on monthly closes. Should add, it would be perfectly normal to see a dollar spike during corrections in the stock market. That is normal, but not an invalidation to the macro outlook presented here. Perhaps a renewed USD safe haven bid is seen, in the event of a stock market crash, for example. But I see no evidence of that occurring. The recent idea “ S&P 500 to 10,000 inside the next 4 years - December 2025 ” seems like a positive move for the stock market, no? But if the index rallies 40% and the underlying dollar drops the same if not more against other currencies, then no real value has been gained, just a re-pricing, a 4 year nothing burger. This brings us to the subject of “ opportunity cost ” Shrewd investors would be wise to find exposure of oversold European based businesses traded against the Euro before a dollar collapse. Many European listed stocks saw remarkable gains during the previous impulsive move whilst their US counterparts nosedived. Consider the missed opportunity here if you're a US investor during the 2000 to 2008 period: Volkswagen Group 1000% Ford motor company -90% We’re not saying or advocating an exit from US equities, but rather, US listed businesses are going to have a far harder hill to climb if you truly care about extracting value from the markets, not price. Ultimately this idea is about maximising your “Opportunity cost of capital” during uncertain times as one of the greatest wealth transfers in history is about to get underway. That opportunity will be life changing for those of you that understand the message written above. Ww ============================================================== Disclaimer This thesis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, tax, or trading advice. All views expressed are opinions as of the date of writing and may change without notice. Past performance, backtests, and technical patterns are **not** reliable indicators of future results. You should conduct your own research, consider your financial situation and risk tolerance, and consult a qualified professional before making investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any losses arising from the use of this material.
Long
by without_worries
4
EURUSD in Uptrend – Retest of Support Before Next PushHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD is trading within a clear bullish environment after transitioning from a prolonged consolidation phase into an impulsive upward move. Earlier on the chart, price was moving inside a range, indicating balance between buyers and sellers. This range was eventually resolved to the upside, confirming a shift in market control. Currently, price is trading above the Support Level around the 1.1750 area, which also aligns with the Buyer Zone and the former range high. This zone is acting as a key demand area after the breakout. The recent pullback appears corrective, with price retesting support rather than showing impulsive selling pressure. As long as EURUSD holds above this support zone, the bullish structure remains intact. My scenario: if buyers continue to defend the 1.1750 Buyer Zone, EURUSD could resume its upward move toward the 1.1800 Resistance Level and potentially extend toward the 1.1820 TP1. A clean continuation above resistance would confirm further upside momentum. However, a breakdown below the support zone would signal a deeper correction and weaken the bullish setup. For now, the structure favors buyers while price respects support. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
16
GBPUSD Pullback Toward 1.34500 Keeps Bullish Trend in Play!Hey Traders, In the coming week, we are monitoring GBPUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 1.34500 zone. The pair remains in a well-established uptrend and is currently undergoing a controlled correction. Price is approaching the 1.34500 area, a key zone where trendline support converges with a former support/resistance level, making it a technically important area to watch. As long as this level holds, the broader bullish structure remains intact, and a constructive reaction here could open the door for a continuation toward higher levels. don't forget to boost and leave your opinion in the comment section! Trade safe, Joe
Long
by JoeChampion
4
Holding Firm at Higher Levels, H4 Structure Remains IntactHello everyone, On the H4 chart, EURUSD has delivered a clear expansion from the 1.155 area up toward 1.180. After this advance, price did not reverse sharply lower but instead shifted into a sideways consolidation, holding above the key EMA levels. This behavior suggests that current selling pressure is not strong enough to disrupt the short-term bullish structure. During this consolidation phase, there are no signs of a structural breakdown or meaningful distribution. Pullbacks have been orderly, with narrow ranges and quick absorption, indicating that buyers are still holding positions rather than actively exiting the market. Overall, the current price action looks more like post-rally consolidation than a weak rebound within a downtrend. As long as price remains above the EMAs, the H4 uptrend is preserved, while the market likely needs more time to rebalance supply and demand before defining its next directional move. Wishing you all effective and successful trading!
by DomicChaina
22
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to support area 1.16780 (Wave 2).Colleagues, I believe that the price is completing an upward movement in wave “1” of the middle order, and we will soon see a correction in wave “2.” First of all, I think we should expect the completion of the small wave “5” in the 1.18300 area and then expect the price to fall to the support area of 1.16780. There are two possible ways to reach the target: 1) the price will immediately start moving towards the target, and then we will need to slightly revise the wave marking. 2) from the resistance area. In any case, the target is the same. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Short
by Hellena_Trade
14
When Momentum Slows: Rising Wedge in an UptrendEducational Price Action Observation This chart illustrates a rising wedge forming after a sustained uptrend . The purpose of this example is to highlight how price can: • Transition from strong directional movement • Into a more compressed and slowing structure • While still respecting the overall trend boundaries Key observations: • Higher highs and higher lows continue • Trendlines gradually converge • Momentum appears to slow as price advances Important: This post is shared strictly for educational and analytical purposes , focusing on the language of price and chart structure based on historical data. It does not represent: • Trading signals • Entry or exit instructions • Financial or investment advice ETHICAL & EDUCATIONAL NOTICE This content is presented solely for educational and analytical purposes , based on historical price data. It does not promote or encourage any specific trading method, financial instrument, gambling, leverage, margin usage, short selling, or interest-based activity . Readers are encouraged to align any financial activity with their own ethical, legal, and religious principles . ⚠️ DISCLAIMER This material is strictly educational and informational . It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading instructions. The author does not provide personalized guidance. Any decisions made based on this content are the sole responsibility of the individual.
by ARMA_Market_Analysis
2
EURUSD consolidation into a strong bullish impulseEUR/USD transitioning from a broad consolidation into a strong bullish impulse, followed by a controlled pullback. EURUSD Price spent the earlier sessions ranging with choppy, overlapping candles, indicating balance and liquidity building. This was followed by a clear bullish breakout around the 1.1720–1.1740 area, where strong momentum candles signalled aggressive buying and a shift in market structure. After the breakout, price formed a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming a short-term bullish trend. The rally stalled near the 1.1800 psychological level, where sellers stepped in, leading to a shallow retracement. Importantly, the pullback remains corrective rather than impulsive, holding above prior support around the 1.1770–1.1780 zone. Technically price is currently compressing above support, which often precedes continuation then potential push back toward 1.1800, with an extension target near 1.1820 if bullish momentum resumes. A clean hold above the current range favours upside continuation, while a breakdown below the box would delay the bullish scenario. You may find more details in the chart, Trade wisely best of luck buddies. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for supporting.
Long
by MrMartin_11
7
EUR/USD)Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of EURUSD – 1H chart using SMC + Fibonacci OTE + EMA confluence. ⸻ Market Context • Bias: Bullish continuation • Overall structure remains higher highs & higher lows • Price is still above the EMA 200, keeping the higher-timeframe bullish bias intact • The recent downside move is a corrective pullback, not a reversal ⸻ Why Price Is Pulling Back • After the impulsive rally, price tapped short-term resistance (0 level) • Profit-taking caused a retracement into discount • Pullback is orderly and aligned with trend structure ⸻ Key Buy Zone (Blue Area) ~1.1728 – 1.1742 This zone is high-probability due to strong confluence: • SMC demand / order block • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • EMA 200 support • Rising internal trendline • Marked buyer reaction (green arrow) This area is where institutions typically rebalance long positions. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from the latest impulse low → high: • 0.5 / 0.62 = shallow retracement • 0.705 – 0.79 = optimal trade entry (OTE) Ideal location for trend continuation longs ⸻ Trade Idea (Continuation Long) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 1.1730 – 1.1740 • Stop Loss: Below demand (~1.1705) • Targets: • TP1: 1.1779 (EMA 50 / mid-range) • TP2: 1.1800 • Final TP: 1.1820 (marked target point / liquidity above highs) Risk–Reward: ~1:3+ ⸻ Confirmation Triggers (Very Important) Only take the trade if you see: • Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick • Lower-timeframe CHoCH • Failure to accept below the OTE zone • Momentum expansion after tapping demand ⸻ Invalidation • 1H close below ~1.1705 • Acceptance below EMA 200 + demand If this happens → bullish idea is invalid, and price may seek deeper support. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup is a textbook bullish pullback: • Trend intact • OTE + demand confluence • Clear upside liquidity target Please support boost this analysis
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
3
EURUSD – H2 Analysis .......EURUSD – H2 Analysis (based on My chart) Market Structure Overall bullish trend. Price is at upper resistance / supply zone (yellow area). Rejection + long upper wicks → pullback / correction likely. Trendline + Ichimoku cloud below → correction, not full reversal. 📉 Sell (Correction) Setup Sell Zone: 1.1755 – 1.1785 🎯 Target Points Target 1: 1.1680 Target 2: 1.1560 (strong demand & trendline support) ❌ Invalidation H2 close above 1.1800 → sell setup invalid. 📌 Clean Signal Summary Pair: EURUSD Timeframe: H2 Bias: Sell (pullback) Targets: 1.1680 → 1.1560 After these targets, we can look for a fresh BUY continuation from demand
Short
by RSI_Trading_point
2
TheGrove | USDJPY buy | Idea Trading Analysis USD/JPY is trading within a rising channel, with price holding above the ascending support line after a clear bullish and is moving on support line. The chart is above the support level, which has already become a reversal point twice. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
Long
by TheGrove
13
GBPUSD H1 Intraday OutlookGBPUSD H1 Intraday Outlook: Weak High In Play, Expect a Pullback Before Continuation GBPUSD is still trading in a bullish market structure on the 1H chart after a clear CHoCH → BOS sequence and a strong impulsive leg to the recent top. Price is now compressing below a weak high (liquidity sitting above), while the most recent candles show distribution/rotation back into the mid-range. This is the type of environment where the market often sweeps liquidity first, then chooses direction with momentum. If you trade intraday, today is about two things: Respecting the higher-timeframe bullish structure Not buying the top—waiting for Fibonacci + support confluence 1H Structure Read (Price Action + Trendline) The green rising trendline (impulse leg) confirms bullish control as long as pullbacks remain corrective. The current consolidation under the top suggests buyers are pausing, not necessarily reversing. The weak high zone is a magnet. If it gets swept with strong bullish candles, continuation becomes the higher-probability path. Key Support & Resistance Levels (From the Chart) Resistance (sell-side liquidity target above) 1.3528 – 1.3540: current weak high / supply cap 1.3560 – 1.3580: next expansion area if breakout runs Support (where dip buys become attractive) 1.3490 – 1.3485: intraday pivot (current area) 1.3468 – 1.3447: main pullback support (best “decision zone”) 1.3427 – 1.3397: deeper retracement support (if momentum flips) 1.3360 – 1.3340: major demand base (last defense of bullish leg) Fibonacci Map (Swing Low → Swing High) Using the latest impulsive swing, the retracement levels line up cleanly with your marked zones: 0.236: 1.34937 (current price area = shallow pullback) 0.382: 1.34682 (first high-probability dip-buy level) 0.50: 1.34475 (mid retrace, often the “true support” in trends) 0.618: 1.34269 (last bullish pullback before structure weakens) 0.786: 1.33975 (deep retrace, caution zone) This is why buying randomly here is risky: the best R:R usually appears at 0.382–0.50, not at 0.236. EMA + RSI Filters (Simple, Effective) Even if you don’t plot them, use these rules for confirmation: Bullish filter: price holds above EMA50 (H1) and RSI stays above 50 during pullbacks → trend continuation bias. Bearish warning: sustained closes below EMA50 and RSI slipping below 45 → higher chance of deeper retracement to 1.3427 and 1.3397. Intraday Trading Strategies (Clean Plans) Strategy A: Pullback Buy (Highest Probability If Structure Holds) Entry zone: 1.3468 – 1.3447 (Fib 0.382–0.50 + support) Confirmation: bullish rejection candle / strong wick + close back above the zone Stop-loss: below 1.3426 (or below the last H1 swing low inside the zone) Targets: TP1: 1.3495 – 1.3505 TP2: 1.3528 – 1.3540 TP3: 1.3560 – 1.3580 (only if breakout candles expand) Best use: when price pulls back gently (corrective), not when it is dumping impulsively. Strategy B: Breakout Continuation (Only With Strong Candles) Trigger: clean break and hold above 1.3540 with strong bodies (no long upper wicks) Entry: retest of 1.3530–1.3540 as support Stop-loss: back below 1.3520 Targets: 1.3560 → 1.3580 Avoid chasing if breakout is thin or RSI is diverging. Strategy C: Breakdown Short (If Support Fails) If price closes below 1.3447 and retests it as resistance: Entry: sell on retest failure Stop-loss: above 1.3468 Targets: TP1: 1.3427 TP2: 1.3397 TP3: 1.3360 – 1.3340 (major demand) This is the plan if the market decides to rebalance deeper before any new high. What To Watch Today Reactions at 1.3468–1.3447 decide whether this is a healthy pullback or a deeper reset. A sweep of the weak high with rejection can still snap back to support before the real move. Strong bullish continuation requires clean holds, not just a wick above resistance. Risk Note This is technical analysis for educational purposes, not financial advice. Intraday volatility can spike unexpectedly, so keep risk fixed per trade, wait for confirmation at key levels, and avoid overtrading in the middle of the range.
by Henrybillion
3
JPYUSD (ICE) H1 OutlookJPYUSD (ICE) H1 Outlook: Rising Trendline Pressing Into Multi-Layer Supply at 0.00643–0.00644 JPYUSD is recovering from the sharp selloff into the 0.00634 area and has built a clean higher-low sequence on H1. Price is now trading around 0.006392, climbing along a rising trendline toward a stacked supply cluster at 0.00643–0.00644, with a higher supply band waiting near 0.00647–0.00648. This is a classic “trendline squeeze into resistance” setup: either price breaks and holds above the supply to expand higher, or it rejects and rotates back to retest the trendline support first. Market Structure and Price Behavior (H1) Post-dump recovery formed a base, then shifted into higher highs / higher lows. Current leg is grinding rather than impulsing, which often means the market may: tap resistance, then pull back to the trendline (healthy reset), or spike through resistance to clear liquidity, then decide continuation vs fade. Key Levels (Support and Resistance) Resistance (Supply) 0.006430–0.006440: first major supply / breakout decision zone 0.006450–0.006460: secondary ceiling if price accepts above 0.00644 0.006470–0.006480: higher supply band (next expansion target) Support (Demand / Structure) 0.006390–0.006385: trendline area + near-term pivot 0.006370: first downside target if trendline breaks 0.006355–0.006340: deeper demand base (origin of the reversal) Fibonacci Map (Practical Confluence) Measure the recovery swing from the 0.00634 low → 0.00644 supply: The 0.50–0.618 retracement typically lands around 0.00639–0.00638, aligning with the current trendline/pivot area. That makes 0.00639 the key “hold zone” if the move is genuinely bullish. Interpretation: Hold above 0.00639 after a pullback = continuation bias remains valid. Acceptance below 0.00639 = deeper correction risk toward 0.00637 and 0.006355–0.00634. EMA + RSI Filters (Cleaner Entries) Use these filters to avoid taking low-quality signals inside the middle: Bullish continuation is higher probability when price holds above EMA50 (H1) and RSI stays above 50 on pullbacks. Rejection/rotation setups become higher probability when price is stuck under 0.00644 and RSI fails to reclaim 50 (or prints divergence into supply). Trade Plans (High-Probability Execution) Plan A: Trendline Pullback Long (Best Risk Control) Trigger Price taps 0.006390–0.006385 (trendline zone) and prints a clear bullish reaction (rejection wick + bullish close / higher low) Targets TP1: 0.006430–0.006440 TP2: 0.006450–0.006460 TP3: 0.006470–0.006480 Invalidation H1 close below 0.006385 with failed reclaim (acceptance under the trendline) Plan B: Breakout Long (Only With Acceptance Above Supply) Trigger H1 closes above 0.006440, then retests 0.006430–0.006440 and holds as support Targets TP1: 0.006460 TP2: 0.006470–0.006480 Invalidation Breakout that falls back under 0.006430 and cannot reclaim Plan C: Rejection Short at Supply (Rotation Back to Trendline) Trigger Price tests 0.006430–0.006440 and rejects (upper wick / bearish engulfing / lower high) Targets TP1: 0.006400 TP2: 0.006390–0.006385 TP3: 0.006370 if trendline breaks Invalidation Acceptance above 0.006440 (close + hold) Plan D: Breakdown Short (If Trendline Fails) Trigger H1 closes below 0.006385–0.006390, then retests from underneath and rejects Targets TP1: 0.006370 TP2: 0.006355–0.006340 Invalidation Strong reclaim back above 0.006390 with follow-through What to Watch Next If price reaches 0.00643–0.00644, the candle quality matters: strong closes = breakout potential; long wicks = rejection risk. If price pulls back first, 0.00639 is the level that decides “healthy continuation” vs “deeper retracement.” Risk Note This is a technical analysis perspective for trading and education, not financial advice. Intraday moves can spike unexpectedly, so keep risk fixed per trade and avoid forcing entries inside the middle of the range. If you find this roadmap useful, follow and save it to compare how price reacts at 0.00639 and the 0.00644 supply zone.
by Henrybillion
1
EURAUD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Long
by ShahedZare
1
AUD/USD Rises to a Yearly HighAUD/USD Rises to a Yearly High As the AUD/USD chart indicates, the pair updated its yearly highs today, reaching levels above 0.6710. Since the beginning of December, it has risen by approximately 2.45%. Key bullish drivers include: → Central bank policy divergence. While the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates, the Reserve Bank of Australia is seriously discussing the possibility of rate hikes in 2026 (as reflected in the minutes of the latest RBA meeting). → Record-high gold prices. As the Australian dollar is a commodity currency, it shows a strong correlation with prices of key export commodities. Technical analysis of the AUD/USD chart In December, price action continued to form an ascending channel. In this context: → the price found support near the lower boundary between 18 and 22 December; → the median line regained its role as support (as indicated by the arrow). However, bulls have a serious reason for concern. After breaking above the September high near the 0.6707 level, a Double Top pattern appears to be forming. From a Smart Money Concept perspective, this setup may be interpreted as a bearish liquidity sweep. Given the above, we can assume that the median line may still act as support. Nevertheless, if bears manage to seize control, the AUD/USD exchange rate could decline towards the lower boundary of the channel and attempt a downside breakout. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
CADJPY→ Trade Analysis | BUY SetupCADJPY is moving in an UP trend channel. The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance line, which now acts as support. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity CADJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Long
by TheGrove
8
EURCAD My Opinion! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURCAD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.6085 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.6156 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
EURUSD H1 Analysis: 1.176 Is the PivotEURUSD H1 Analysis: 1.176 Is the Pivot, Weak High Liquidity Above 1.1800 Still in Play EURUSD on the H1 chart remains structurally bullish after the strong expansion from the 1.170 base. Price is now stabilizing around 1.1776, sitting directly above a key reaction level at 1.1760. This is a classic “pullback-then-continue” environment, where the best entries usually come from confirmation at support, or from a clean breakout and retest of the range high. The chart also highlights a weak high resting near 1.1800–1.1810, which often attracts liquidity before the market decides whether to expand or fade. Market Structure and Price Action (H1) The uptrend is intact: multiple BOS prints during the run-up from 1.170. Recent pullback tagged the 1.176 area and started to base, suggesting buyers are attempting to defend the higher low. The upper band around 1.1800–1.1810 is still the major decision zone. Expect either: a sweep above the weak high and expansion, or a failed breakout that rotates price back to 1.176. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance 1.1790–1.1800: first supply / pre-breakout ceiling 1.1800–1.1810: weak high liquidity zone (main target for continuation) 1.1820–1.1840: expansion area if breakout holds Support 1.1760–1.1755: primary pivot support (most important for today) 1.1740–1.1735: deeper pullback support if 1.176 fails 1.1700–1.1695: major demand / strong low reference (larger swing support) Fibonacci Confluence (High-Probability Zone) Using Fibonacci on the most recent bullish leg (roughly 1.1700 → 1.1810): The 0.50–0.618 retracement typically aligns with 1.1760–1.1750, matching the chart’s defended base. That makes 1.1760 the “make-or-break” level: Hold above it: pullback stays corrective and continuation remains favored. Lose it with acceptance: correction likely deepens toward 1.174 and possibly 1.170. Trendline, EMA, RSI Filters (Cleaner Entries) Trendline A rising structure from the 1.170 base supports the bullish bias as long as price respects higher lows. EMA filter Continuation setups are higher quality if price holds above the rising EMA50 (H1) or quickly reclaims it after dips. If price falls below EMA50 and fails to reclaim, expect a larger pullback rotation. RSI filter Bullish continuation is favored when RSI holds above 50 during pullbacks. Breakdown risk increases if RSI stays below 45 while price closes under 1.176. Intraday Trade Plans (Clear Triggers, Not Guessing) Plan A: Buy the Dip at 1.176 (Primary Continuation Setup) Entry trigger Price taps 1.1760–1.1755 and prints a clear rejection (long lower wick + bullish close), or A lower-timeframe shift back bullish after the tap (micro BOS up) Targets TP1: 1.1790 TP2: 1.1800–1.1810 TP3: 1.1820–1.1840 if breakout holds Invalidation H1 close below 1.1755 followed by a failed reclaim (acceptance below support) Plan B: Breakout Buy Above 1.1810 (Momentum Expansion) Entry trigger H1 closes above 1.1810, then retests 1.1800–1.1810 and holds as support Targets TP1: 1.1820 TP2: 1.1840 Invalidation Breakout that drops back below 1.1800 and cannot reclaim Plan C: Sell the Failed Breakout at 1.1800–1.1810 (Liquidity Sweep Reversal) Entry trigger Price sweeps above 1.1810 but closes back below the zone (rejection), ideally with momentum fading (RSI divergence helps) Targets TP1: 1.1775 TP2: 1.1760 TP3: 1.1740–1.1735 Invalidation Acceptance above 1.1810 (close and hold) Plan D: Breakdown Sell If 1.176 Fails (Correction Leg) Entry trigger H1 closes below 1.1760, then retests from underneath and rejects Targets TP1: 1.1740–1.1735 TP2: 1.1700–1.1695 Invalidation Strong reclaim back above 1.1760 with follow-through What to Watch During the Session 1.1760 reaction decides whether this is a healthy pullback or the start of a deeper correction. 1.1800–1.1810 is the magnet: sweep and reject vs break and hold will determine the next leg. Avoid chasing entries in the middle of the range; let the market come to the levels. Risk Note This analysis is for education and technical trading perspective, not financial advice. Intraday volatility can spike quickly, so keep risk fixed per trade and avoid overtrading while price is compressing between 1.176 and 1.181.
by Henrybillion
4