Forex market
AUDCAD: Bearish Drop to 0.907?FX:AUDCAD is eyeing a bearish pullback on the 4-hour chart , with price testing resistance after rebounding from major support, converging with a potential entry zone that could trigger downside momentum if sellers defend amid recent volatility. This setup suggests a correction opportunity in the uptrend, targeting lower levels with risk-reward exceeding 1:3.🔥
Entry between 0.91890–0.92050 for a short position (entry at these levels with proper risk and capital management is recommended). Target at 0.90745 . Set a stop loss at a close above 0.9226 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3 . Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair's dynamics near resistance.🌟
Fundamentally , AUDCAD is trading around 0.914 in mid-December 2025, with key Canadian events this week potentially impacting CAD strength. On December 16 at 12:30 PM UTC, BoC Governor Macklem speaks in Montreal, which could provide policy insights. December 18 features the Bank of Canada Rate Decision at 09:45 AM UTC, where a potential hold or cut amid economic data could weaken CAD if dovish. Followed by Macklem's Speech at 12:45 PM UTC for further guidance. December 19 brings CPI (Nov) at 08:30 AM UTC, with hotter inflation possibly supporting CAD, while softer readings could pressure it. December 22 includes GDP (Oct) at 08:30 AM UTC, where strong growth might bolster CAD. No major high-impact releases for AUD this week, leaving the pair sensitive to CAD catalysts and broader USD sentiment. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Short):
0.91890 – 0.92050
(Entries in this zone are valid with proper risk & capital management.)
🎯 Target:
• 0.90745
❌ Stop Loss:
• 4H / Daily close above 0.9226
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• > 1:3
💡 Your view?
Will AUDCAD reject this resistance for a clean pullback toward 0.90745 — or will CAD weakness invalidate the setup and push price higher? 👇
EURUSD – Structural Accumulation Favors Upside ResolutionEURUSD is holding above a multi-year accumulation base following an extended macro downtrend. Repeated downside probes into the 0.90–1.00 region have failed to gain acceptance, signaling supply absorption rather than continuation lower.
Price is currently compressing beneath long-term descending resistance while maintaining higher structural lows. This compression reflects positioning, not weakness, and typically precedes directional expansion.
As long as price remains above the accumulation low, pullbacks into prior demand and equilibrium should be viewed as buying opportunities. A confirmed monthly break and acceptance above descending resistance would open the path toward prior range highs and higher macro objectives.
Invalidation occurs only with sustained monthly acceptance below the accumulation base.
EUR/USD 4H Technical OutlookEUR/USD is currently trading in a clear bullish structure, supported by a rising trendline that has held price since the early December lows. The market has been printing higher highs and higher lows, confirming buyers remain in control.
Price recently broke above a prior resistance zone (marked with XXX), turning it into a key support area. The current consolidation above this level suggests healthy bullish continuation, rather than weakness.
The projected path shows a potential pullback toward the ascending trendline, which would offer a higher-low entry opportunity if buyers step in. From there, price is expected to resume its upward move, targeting the next resistance zone and ultimately the major high / highest target around 1.1918, which aligns with previous market structure resistance.
As long as price respects the rising trendline and holds above the broken resistance, the bullish bias remains intact. A clean break below the trendline would be the first warning sign of momentum loss.
An ascending AUDUSD signals China recovering About 1pm today Monday 29 December, 2025, AUDUSD made a higher high.
It's a bullish chart on the monthly as well.
There is serious talk of the RBA increasing the official cash rate in 2027, perhaps early in the 2nd quarter.
But many mining experts in Australia, for example, a very experienced Geologist, James Cooper see mining bouncing back and happening now in Lithium's cycle finally swinging back in vogue and copper, rare earths. Thats just for starters.
The video is short about 7 minutes and the key takeaway is that 0.71 is the likely target for buying AUDUSD but patterns create pattern's creating further momentum in currency's and take a look at how a bigger picture in this chart is at it vey early stages of printing which would trigger further Chinese world dominance.
* Hypothetical infomercial in nature. This is not investment advice.
^ My publications are released at the same time as my trades, so I do not cherry pick.
# Trading is risky. Before following anyone, always backtest their previous publications.
Sell CHF/JPY once again at highs.I have sold this pair 3/4 times I believe in the last 2 weeks for around 40/50 pips profit each time. I am still expecting a sweep of the highs to take out all stops before the drop to broken support around 196.20. Happy New Year everyone!
Sell Limit : 198.47 top of ascending channel
Stop : 199.38 above ascending channel
Profit : 196.20 previous broken support
Risk 1 : 2.5 stop is 91 pips.
USDJPY: bullish momentum eyes 158 breakout🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour (H4) timeframe, USDJPY continues to trade within a dominant Ascending Channel, maintaining a clear bullish structure. The price has recently successfully retested the "Broken resistance line" (the previous diagonal downtrend) and is now pushing higher, supported by a healthy alignment of moving averages.
The pair is currently positioned above the SMA 50, 100 and 200, which act as a dynamic support cluster. The primary focus is now on the major horizontal Resistance zone at 158. As noted on the chart, the bias remains strongly bullish, and a confirmed breakout above this 158 handle is expected to trigger a significant impulse move toward the upper boundary of the main channel.
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❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY)
———————————————
➡️ Entry Point: Buy on a confirmed breakout and H4 candle close above 158 (approx. 158.096).
🎯 Take Profit: 161.936 (Upper boundary of the Ascending Channel).
🔴 Stop Loss: 156.175
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
USDJPY H4 Pullback and Bullish Continuation Toward 157.7📝 Description
USDJPY on H4 is trading inside a bullish corrective leg after a strong impulse. Price has reacted cleanly from H4 BPR + FVG, holding above discount and showing signs of continuation rather than reversal. Structure remains bullish as long as price stays supported above the recent mitigation zone.
________________________________________
📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish continuation while above 156.00–156.10
Long Setup (Preferred):
• Entry (Buy): 156.3
• Stop Loss: Below 156
• TP1: 156.85
• TP2: 157.25
• TP3: 157.68 (HTF liquidity)
________________________________________
🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Strong bullish impulse followed by healthy pullback
• Price respecting H4 BPR + FVG confluence
• BSL resting above recent highs
• No bearish CHOCH on HTF
________________________________________
🧩 Summary
This looks like a classic pullback-for-continuation setup. As long as price holds above the mitigation zone, odds favor a push toward 157.2 and 157.7 liquidity. Shorts only make sense if structure breaks.
________________________________________
🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
USDJPY remains sensitive to US yields and BOJ expectations. Any delay in BOJ tightening or strength in US data can fuel further upside, keeping the bullish continuation scenario intact.
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
GBPUSD: bullish breakout🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour (H4) timeframe, GBPUSD continues to exhibit a strong bullish structure, following the "Global bullish signal" established earlier in December. The pair has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows, supported by the upward-sloping SMA 50, 100, and 200.
A breakout above the 1.35000 resistance zone is likely to be expected. This is supported by the current accumulation and price consolidation at this resistance.
———————————————
❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY)
———————————————
➡️ Entry Point: After a confirmed breakout (approx. 1.35109).
🎯 Take Profit: 1.35897 (Resistance line).
🔴 Stop Loss: 1.34583.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
EURUSDIn this analysis, price action is evaluated through an institutional market structure lens, focusing on orderflow, displacement, and supply-demand interaction rather than prediction.
On the lower timeframe, EURUSD displayed a clear break in structure (BOS) to the downside, indicating a short-term shift in market intent. This structural failure was followed by strong bearish displacement, suggesting the presence of active sell-side participation rather than random volatility.
Price has since reacted from a well-defined supply zone, aligned with the prior distribution area where inefficiencies were left behind. Such zones are not treated as “sell signals,” but rather as areas of interest where liquidity, risk, and reaction can be objectively observed.
The key focus here is not direction, but process:
•How price delivers away from structure
•How inefficiencies are created and respected
•How institutions manage risk around premium zones
•This framework emphasizes patience, discipline, and execution over emotion, allowing traders to align with market mechanics instead of chasing outcomes.
⚠️ Disclaimer (TradingView-compliant)
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trade signals.
All trading involves risk, and each participant is responsible for their own decisions.
🧠 Final Note
This channel is built for traders who value clarity over hype, structure over noise, and consistency over impulse.
If you’re focused on understanding why price moves — not just where — you’re in the right place.
📈 APEX TRADING FX
Patience | Discipline | Fearless
EURGBP capped by resistance at 0.8760The EURGBP pair is currently trading with a bearish bias. Recent price action shows a further pullback and the loss of support within the uptrend.
Key resistance is located at 0.8760, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 0.8760 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.8720, followed by 0.8700 and 0.8680 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.8760 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.8775, then 0.8790.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.8760. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPAUD Oversold bounce capped at 2.0323 resistance The GBPAUD pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a further pullback and the loss of support within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 2.0323, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 2.0323 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 2.0124, followed by 2.0009 and 1.9927 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 2.0323 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 2.0400, then 2.0470.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 2.0323. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Who is smart money and benefit from knowing it.When I first started trading, I thought the market moved because there were more buyers or sellers. Charts looked random, price moved fast, and it felt like some invisible hand was playing games.
Later I discovered something that changed the way I see the entire Forex market: the real liquidity isn’t controlled by retail or big players. I mean, yeah big players definitely can influence the price, and they have been manipulating markets many times and have been fined for it 100 times. But then why would they trade against each other? If they can trade through one powerful entity against us? Sounds weird, and you might be thinking, how would they do it? Here is the answer - it’s all coordinated through CLS, the Continuous Linked Settlement system. This company executes more than 80% of global FX volume.
📌 Latest total (global): ~$9.6 trillion per day (average daily turnover, April 2025)
CLS trades 70% of this With such a volume, it’s worth for every FX trader to understand who this operator is and how they behave. Here are just a few banks and central banks they trade for. These are the participants who actually move price. When they transact, candles are born.
And it’s actually great that it works this way, because it gives the markets structure. Imagine if all these institutions were trading against each other at different times.
📌 CLS is basically the settlement backbone for the biggest players on the planet. It handles huge volumes of currency transactions every single day. And when I say huge, I mean numbers that make our trading accounts look like pocket money.
📌 CLS Time schedule
CLS doesn’t follow our usual “market hours.” It runs a continuous settlement cycle from late evening to early morning based on UTC. Some of the most important liquidity transfers, netting, and rebalancing flows happen during these windows. Once I understood that, a lot of the strange behavior I used to see around midnight and early London sessions finally made sense. Price wasn’t random. It was clearing, balancing, settling positions between giants during the instruction and payment matching - Asia session.
📌 Let CLS give you signal for 2 Day Traders: Continuation or Reversal
🧪 London Continuation Bearish setup
• Narrative: Asia did the manipulation → London does the continuation.
• Asia session already made a manipulation into a key level
• Price displaced away from that level
• CIOD / OB on M15 or H1 before London open • H1: Asia runs above the stops above H1 high into a key level
• It gets rejected and followed by an order block and displacement
• At London open, price retraces into M15 premium key level and continues in the same direction
❌ Invalidation: the manipulation high/low from Asia session
🧪 London Continuation Bullish setup
• Narrative: Asia did the manipulation → London does the continuation.
• Asia session already made a manipulation into a key level
• Price displaced away from that level
• CIOD / OB on M15 or H1 before London open • H1: Asia runs below the stops above H1 high into a key level
• It gets rejected and followed by an order block and displacement
• At London open, price retraces into M15 discount key level and continues in the same direction
❌ Invalidation: the manipulation high/low from Asia session
🧪 London Reversal Bearish setup
• Narrative: London performs the manipulation → price reverses.
• Asia session consolidates near a higher timeframe key level
• London open initiates the manipulation into the key level
• Price rejects at the key level and creates an M15 order block • H1: Asia consolidates below key level
• London opens, price runs Asia high into that key level
• M15 breaks down → Change in order flow → clean short setup
• Target: higher timeframe draw on liquidity (e.g., previous day low)
❌ Invalidation: the London session high (manipulation point)
🧪 London Reversal Bullish setup
• Narrative: London performs the manipulation → price reverses.
• Asia session consolidates near a higher timeframe key level
• London open initiates the manipulation into the key level
• Price rejects at the key level and creates an M15 order block • H1: Asia consolidates above the key level
• London opens, price runs Asia high into that key level
• M15 breaks up → Change in order flow → clean short setup
• Target: higher timeframe draw on liquidity (e.g., previous day low)
❌ Invalidation: the London session low (manipulation point)
📌 How Manipulation Appears on the Chart
After years of watching these flows, I started to notice a repeating pattern. When institutions push the market to rebalance their exposure, they often leave behind a signature on the chart. I call these CLS candles / ranges because if such a move happened, we can be sure the CLS operation, which controls a significant part of the volume, is involved.
• Large real body with minimal wicks
• Sudden expansion in range compared to recent candles
• Strong directional close with no hesitation
• Appears during key liquidity or session transitions
• Breaks structure without gradual buildup
• Leaves an obvious imbalance or inefficiency behind
• Often follows a liquidity sweep of highs or lows
• Price rarely pauses inside the candle itself
• Indicates institutional execution, not retail participation
📌When I started to see this, I knew there was a new opportunity I didn’t see before, but I didn’t know how to trade it yet. It took me almost 2 years to rebuild myself around this.
📌When I stopped treating these candles as “random volatility” and instead viewed them as institutional footprints, everything shifted.
These candles often form right after liquidity is taken above old highs or below old lows. It’s almost like the market sweeps the table clean before the real move starts. And when the big body candle finishes, price tends to return later to fill the gaps left behind, or 50% of such a huge candle. Same like we have Asia and London outcome based on the CLS instructions and input matching time. Same we can use on HTF. So when I get such a candle, I drop to the lower timeframe and look for the entry after the manipulation of this candle. And it all makes sense also with the market mentality of less informed traders. Why? FOMO. And that is the whole logic of the strategy. I trade that large CLS candle creation in the trend, which gives me the ability to buy lows in the uptrend and sell highs in the downtrend.
📍 Downtrend - Trade stop hunts above the CLS range 📍 Uptrend - Trade stop hunts below the CLS range If such a CLS candle occurs, people often want to enter the next candle and hope for continuation of the big move, but price mostly reverses to rebalance that huge imbalance which CLS created, and that is model 1, and model 2 is a piece of cake.
📍 Bullish CLS continuation setups
Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target
Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% 📍 Bearish CLS Continuation setups
Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target
Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback. If you’ve ever felt like the market suddenly explodes, only to calmly drift back to the same zone hours later, you’re probably looking at the same thing I saw years ago.
Once you start connecting these moments with global settlement flows, the chart begins to make sense in a way it didn’t before, and hence it doesn’t make sense to draw something like below to the charts. I mean, yes, sometimes these patterns can work. But it’s not the real reason why the market moved.
No, it didn’t move because CLS saw cup and handle or triple top. Open your eyes and look for the big candles — that is where CLS big smart money was trading.
I promised myself I’d become the person I once needed the most as a beginner. Below are links to a powerful lessons I shared on Tradingview. Hope it can help you avoid years of trial and error I went thru.
📊 Sharpen your trading Strategy
⚙️ 100% Mechanical System - Complete Strategy
🔁 Daily Bias – Continuation
🔄 Daily Bias – Reversal
🧱 Key Level – Order Block
📉 How to Buy Lows and Sell Highs
🎯 Dealing Range – Enter on pullbacks
💧 Liquidity – Basics to understand
🕒 Timeframe Alignments
🚫 Market Narratives – Avoid traps
🐢 Turtle Soup Master – High reward method
🧘 How to stop overcomplicating trading
🕰️ Day Trading Cheat Code – Sessions
🇬🇧 London Session Trading
🔍 SMT Divergence – Secret Smart Money signal
📐 Standard Deviations – Predict future targets
🎣 Stop Hunt Trading
💧 Liquidity Sweep Mastery
🔪 Asia Session Setups
🧠 Level Up your Mindset
🛕 Monk Mode – Transition from 9–5 to full-time trading
⚠️ Trading Enemies – Habits that destroy success
🔄 Trader’s Routine – Build discipline daily
💪 Get Funded - $20 000 Monthly Plan
🧪 Winning Trading Plan
🛡️ Risk Management
🏦 Risk Management for Prop Trading
📏 Risk in % or Fixed Position Size
🔐 Risk Per Trade – Keep consistency
Adapt useful, Reject useless and add what is specifically yours.
David Perk
Have a great start in to 2026
GBPUSD Pullback Toward 1.34500 Keeps Bullish Trend in Play!Hey Traders,
In tomorrow's trading session, we are monitoring GBPUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 1.34500 zone.
The pair remains in a well-established uptrend and is currently undergoing a controlled correction. Price is approaching the 1.34500 area, a key zone where trendline support converges with a former support/resistance level, making it a technically important area to watch.
As long as this level holds, the broader bullish structure remains intact, and a constructive reaction here could open the door for a continuation toward higher levels.
Trade safe,
Joe
GBPAUDWelcome to my TradingView journal.
This analysis is shared strictly for educational and informational purposes, with the objective of documenting market structure, liquidity behavior, and price efficiency from an institutional perspective. Nothing shared here should be interpreted as financial advice or a trading recommendation.
🔍 Structural Overview
Price previously delivered a bullish break of structure (BOS), confirming higher-timeframe intent and signaling strong participation during the expansion phase. However, following this impulsive move, the market transitioned into a corrective delivery, retracing back toward the origin of the displacement.
Such behavior is consistent with institutional rebalancing, where price revisits discounted areas to test unmitigated orders before determining continuation or failure.
🧠 Demand Zone Context
The highlighted demand zone represents a key area where bullish momentum was initiated. This zone is not marked as an entry or signal, but as a reference area where reaction, absorption, or rejection may offer valuable information regarding order-flow strength.
How price behaves within and around this zone is far more important than the zone itself. Acceptance below would suggest weakness, while sustained defense may indicate higher-timeframe continuation remains possible.
⚖️ Expectation Management
Markets operate on probabilities, not certainties.
At this stage, multiple outcomes remain valid:
Price may rebalance and resume higher-timeframe structure
Price may continue lower if demand fails to hold
Price may consolidate as liquidity is redistributed
All conclusions are conditional and remain subject to invalidation by price.
📌 Purpose of This Channel
This space is dedicated to:
Objective structure-based analysis
Liquidity and displacement logic
Patience, discipline, and process
Education over prediction
There will be no signals, no hype, and no promises.
Only clean charts, structured reasoning, and transparent commentary.
If you value professional market insight, rule-based frameworks, and institutional logic, feel free to follow and engage.
Let price reveal the narrative.
USDJPY H1 – Range Re-Acceptance, Structure & Near-Term OutlookUSDJPY on the H1 timeframe is showing a clear range-based structure with signs of re-acceptance back into the prior value area. After a sharp selloff earlier, price has carved a rounded base and is now rotating higher, suggesting short-term bullish potential within the range rather than trend continuation lower.
Market Structure
Price previously broke down but failed to sustain below value, indicating rejection of lower prices.
The recent rounded bottom reflects absorption of sell pressure and a shift toward balance.
Current price action is building higher lows, signaling improving momentum.
Key Levels
Range High / Resistance: 0.00642–0.00645
→ Upper boundary of the range and key liquidity target.
Mid-Range / Pivot: ~0.00640
→ Acceptance above this level favors continuation higher.
Range Low / Support: 0.00635–0.00636
→ Failure below here would weaken the bullish case.
Scenarios
Bullish continuation (preferred):
Holding above the mid-range opens the door for a grind higher toward the range high at 0.00642–0.00645, with a potential liquidity sweep if momentum expands.
Range rotation:
Rejection near the highs would keep price rotating inside the range.
Bearish invalidation:
A clean breakdown below 0.00635 would shift focus back to the downside.
Overall bias is neutral-to-bullish while price remains accepted within the range. Patience around range extremes and confirmation on session momentum remain key.
Follow for more structure-based insights, and save this if it fits your trading plan.
EURUSD H1 – Intraday Structure, Key Levels & Price OutlookEURUSD continues to trade within a well-defined bullish range on the H1 timeframe. After defending the 1.175 support, price has reclaimed the mid-range and is now consolidating, suggesting acceptance rather than distribution at current levels.
Market Structure
Higher lows remain intact above 1.175.
Recent pullback was corrective, followed by a clean reaction from support.
Price is building a base below resistance, signaling potential continuation.
Key Levels
Support: 1.175 (intraday demand / structure low)
Intermediate: 1.177–1.178 (current balance zone)
Resistance: 1.180–1.181 (range high / liquidity zone)
Deeper support: 1.170 (major demand, only in case of breakdown)
Scenarios
Bullish continuation: Holding above 1.175 opens the door for a grind higher and a liquidity run toward 1.180–1.181, with potential extension if acceptance occurs.
Range continuation: Failure to break 1.181 keeps price rotating between 1.175–1.181.
Bearish invalidation: A sustained break below 1.175 would shift focus toward 1.170.
Overall bias remains neutral-to-bullish while price holds above key support. Patience and confirmation near range extremes remain the higher-probability approach.
Follow for more structure-based insights, and save this if it fits your trading plan.






















