Forex market
CHFJPY Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for CHFJPY.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 198.026.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 196.023 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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NZD/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
NZD/JPY pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is evidently rising on the 8H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 90.059 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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GBP/USD Bullish Structure with Higher Highs and Support ValidatiThis 1-hour GBP/USD chart illustrates a clear bullish market structure. Price previously formed a swing high followed by a corrective move into a swing low, respecting key Fibonacci retracement levels. The market then held above the last low support zone, confirming strong buyer interest.
After consolidation, price impulsively moved upward, breaking structure and forming higher highs, which signals continuation strength. The marked resistance zone near the recent high is acting as a short-term reaction area, where a brief pullback or consolidation is expected.
The projected price path suggests a bullish continuation, with potential shallow retracements before the next impulsive move higher. As long as price remains above the highlighted last low demand zone, the bullish bias remains valid.
Overall, this chart represents a healthy uptrend, supported by strong structure, validated demand, and bullish momentum
USD/CHF Falls to a Three-Month LowUSD/CHF Falls to a Three-Month Low
As shown on today’s USD/CHF chart, the US dollar has dropped against the Swiss franc to its lowest level in three months.
In December, the pair has declined by around 1.9%. This move reflects not only US dollar weakness—driven by expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026—but also the strength of the franc, whose appeal has been reinforced by recent news:
→ In December, the Swiss National Bank left its key interest rate unchanged at zero and commented that the reduction in US tariffs on Swiss goods has improved Switzerland’s economic outlook.
→ Rising geopolitical tensions, including developments near the Venezuelan coast.
Technical Analysis of USD/CHF
During November and December, price fluctuations formed a descending channel, with central bank decisions acting as the main catalyst for the decline.
Today’s setup is notable in that:
→ the price is trading close to the lower boundary of the channel;
→ the RSI indicator is showing a bullish divergence.
It is worth noting that the 0.7880 level acted as support in October and November. The current dip may therefore turn out to be a bear trap, referred to in Smart Money Concepts terminology as a liquidity grab.
From this perspective, USD/CHF could stage a corrective rebound towards the channel’s median, in which case a retest of former support around 0.7925 cannot be ruled out.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Slips Further Under PressureMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Slips Further Under Pressure
USD/CHF declined further and is now struggling below 0.7900.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF declined below the 0.7920 and 0.7900 support levels.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7905 on the hourly chart.
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CHF, the pair started a fresh decline from well above 0.7950. The US Dollar dropped below 0.7900 to move into a negative zone against the Swiss Franc.
The bears pushed the pair below the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.7880. Finally, the bulls appeared near 0.7860. A low was formed near 0.7861, and the pair is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.7987 swing high to the 0.7861 low.
On the upside, the pair could face bears near 0.7890. The first major resistance sits near the 50-hour simple moving average at 0.7905. The main barrier for an upside break could be near a bearish trend line at 0.7925 and the 50% Fib retracement.
A daily close above 0.7925 could start a fresh increase. In the stated case, the pair could rise toward 0.7955. The next stop for the bulls might be 0.7985.
On the downside, immediate support on the USD/CHF chart is 0.7860. The first major breakdown zone could be 0.7840. A close below 0.7840 might send the pair to 0.7800. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward 0.7760 in the coming days.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
DeGRAM | USDJPY is under the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● USD/JPY failed to закрепиться above the descending resistance line near 156.3–156.5, where price formed a fixation zone followed by bearish candles, signaling rejection from trendline resistance.
● The structure shows lower highs within a broad corrective channel, while the recent impulse stalled under resistance. A downside continuation toward the horizontal supports at 155.3 and 154.7 is favored while price remains below the trendline.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Growing speculation around tighter Bank of Japan policy and fading USD momentum increase downside pressure on USD/JPY in the medium term.
✨ Summary
● Bearish rejection at 156.3–156.5. Targets: 155.3 and 154.7. Invalidation above descending resistance.
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EUR/AUD 1D - AnalysisOn the daily timeframe, the EUR/AUD pair has been trading recently in a sideways trend. It is currently moving within a descending wedge pattern and has recently rebounded from its lower boundary, in confluence with a bounce from the key support level at 1.7444.
Accordingly, an upward move is expected, targeting 1.7830 followed by 1.8174.
The bullish outlook remains valid as long as prices stay above 1.7321.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Pushes UpMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Pushes Up
EUR/USD started a fresh increase above 1.1750 and 1.1780.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a decent increase from 1.1700 against the US Dollar.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1780 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.1700 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.1750 barrier to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar.
The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1780. Finally, the pair tested 1.1800. A high was formed near 1.1808 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1703 swing low to the 1.1808 high.
An Immediate bid zone on the downside is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.1780. The next area of interest could be near the 50-hour simple moving average at 1.1765.
A downside break below 1.1765 might send the pair toward the 76.4% Fib retracement at 1.1730. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.1700.
If there is a fresh increase, an immediate hurdle on the EUR/USD chart is 1.1810. The first major pivot level for the bulls could be 1.1850. An upside break above 1.1850 might send the pair to 1.1920. The next selling zone could be 1.1950. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward 1.2000.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBPNZD: Structure Intact, Buyers Defending Key SupportGBPNZD: Structure Intact, Buyers Defending Key Support
GBPNZD remains in a well-defined bullish pattern, and the recent pullback appears to be a correction rather than a trend reversal. However we have to be careful given that NZD was strong for no clear reason during this week.
Price is currently reacting near the lower boundary of the pattern, a key dynamic support area where buyers have previously stepped in. As long as this structure holds, the bullish bias remains valid.
A rebound from this zone could open the way for a continuation toward the upside, with the following upside targets:
2.3180
2.3225
2.3280
You may find more details in the chart!
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EURUSD-Watchlist Update – Pullback Test in ProgressThe price that had been trapped within the range has finally broken above it, confirmed the breakout, and pulled back twice to the level that was previously resistance and is now support.
We had placed a buy stop to join the trend if the pullback held and the price continued higher. The position is now active, and the price is testing the support once again. Currently, the trade is in a minor loss, and we need to wait to see if buyers step in at the support and take control.
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Pouyanfa 🔥 | Risk-aware | Scenario-based.
Elite | USDJPY | 1H – Liquidity Grab & Range Rejection SetupFX:USDJPY
After consolidating near the lower range, price aggressively expanded upward, taking out sell-side liquidity and tapping into a premium resistance zone. Such moves often attract profit-taking and corrective pullbacks, especially when the impulsive leg reaches prior distribution levels.
Key Scenarios
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Rejection from the current resistance zone could trigger a corrective move back toward the prior demand base.
🎯 Target 1: 155.80
🎯 Target 2: 155.40
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
A clean acceptance and strong close above 157.80 invalidates the bearish pullback and opens continuation toward higher highs.
🎯 Upside Target: 158.40+
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 157.70 – 158.40
Support 🟢: 155.80 – 155.40
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
EUR/USD Pulls Back — This Is Support, Not a ReversalEUR/USD – 1H QUICK ANALYSIS
Technical
Price rejected from the upper resistance zone (~1.1800–1.1810).
Current move is a healthy pullback toward the support zone (~1.1760–1.1770).
Structure remains higher highs & higher lows → bullish continuation favored.
Expected path: support hold → higher low → retest resistance.
Key Levels
Support: 1.1760–1.1770
Resistance / Target: 1.1800 → 1.1850
Macro Drivers
USD softness as markets price in 2025 Fed rate cuts.
ECB remains relatively hawkish vs Fed, supporting EUR.
Risk sentiment stabilizing → favors EUR over USD.
Bias
Buy on pullbacks at support.
Bullish invalidation only if price breaks below 1.1760.
EURUSD Pullback Is a TrapCURRENT MARKET ANALYSIS – EUR/USD (H1)
Market Structure
EURUSD is maintaining a clear bullish intraday structure. The recent pullback is corrective in nature, forming a higher-low sequence above the key demand area, not a trend reversal.
Price is currently retracing from the short-term high and rebalancing liquidity before the next directional move.
Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: 1.1760 – 1.1770
Immediate Resistance / Target: 1.1800 – 1.1805
Extended Level (Open / Expansion): 1.1818 – 1.1820
The highlighted support zone aligns with:
Previous breakout base
Prior demand reaction
Structure support (HL confirmation)
Price Behavior Insight
Selling pressure is weak and overlapping, not impulsive
Buyers defended the previous pullback aggressively
Current move resembles a bullish flag / continuation pullback
This is typical trend continuation behavior, not distribution.
Probable Scenarios
Primary Scenario (High Probability):
Price holds above 1.1760–1.1770
Shallow pullback completes
Continuation toward 1.1800 → 1.1820
Invalidation Scenario:
Clean break and acceptance below 1.1760
Would signal a deeper correction toward lower demand
Trading Bias
Main Trend: UP
Intraday Bias: Buy pullbacks, avoid chasing highs
Strategy: Wait for confirmation at support before continuation entry
Conclusion
EURUSD is not reversing it is reloading.
As long as the support zone holds, the path of least resistance remains to the upside.
GBP/JPY | Potential for Medium-Term CorrectionGBP/JPY experienced selling pressure for the second consecutive day, trading around 210.50. Despite the correction, the price remains near the 17-year high (211.00) reached last Monday. The market is currently caught in a tug-of-war between the yen, supported by the Bank of Japan's policy stance, and the pound, supported by the Bank of England's cautious stance.
✅ Factors Supporting the Japanese Yen (JPY)
- October BoJ Minutes: The newly released document showed broad agreement among officials to continue raising interest rates if economic forecasts are met.
- 30-Year High: Given that the BoJ just raised interest rates to 0.75% in December and is open to further tightening, the JPY has improved yield appeal.
- Geopolitics: Global uncertainty (Venezuela, Ukraine, the Middle East) continues to fuel safe-haven flows into the yen.
✅ Factors Supporting the British Pound (GBP)
- Hawkish Interest Rate Cut: Although the Bank of England (BoE) cut interest rates to 3.75%, the very tight vote (5-4) suggests the committee is in no rush to ease further.
- Expectation Revision: Investors are now scaling back speculation of aggressive interest rate cuts next year, providing a strong foundation for the GBP.
✅ Technical & Strategy Guide
- Consolidated Sentiment: The current decline is still considered a healthy correction. Strong follow-through selling is needed to confirm that the price has truly peaked in the 211.00 area.
- Thin Volume: Light year-end trading could lead to unexpected volatility or subdued (choppy) price movements.






















