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EURUSD Pullback Toward 1.17500 Keeps Bullish Structure IntactHey Traders, In today’s trading session, we are monitoring EURUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 1.17500 zone. The pair remains in a well-defined uptrend and is currently undergoing a healthy corrective move. Price is approaching the 1.17500 area, a key zone of confluence where trend support aligns with a former support/resistance level. This area has previously attracted strong participation, making it technically significant. As long as this level holds, the broader bullish structure remains intact, and a positive reaction here could support a continuation toward recent highs. don't forget to support us with boost and leave your opinion on the comment section! Trade safe, Joe
Long
by JoeChampion
19
GBPNZD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Long
by ShahedZare
GBPAUD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Long
by ShahedZare
bank of England and the Federal Reserve remain key risk drivers.* Forward market pricing sees GBP/USD finishing December around current levels, which suggests limited volatility but still a bullish tone. GBP/USD buy bias remains intact as long as price respects the 1.3300–1.3400 support and the broader uptrend continues above key moving averages. (NB:) Monetary policy differences between the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve remain key risk drivers. Market expectations of slower BoE easing vs. Fed cuts could shift quickly with inflation and growth data changes.
Long
by SaifulBiswas
EURNZD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Long
by ShahedZare
EURAUD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Long
by ShahedZare
1
USDJPY Bullish ConsolidationUSDJPY remains in a clear bullish structure, characterized by higher highs and higher lows on the daily timeframe. After a strong bullish impulse, price is now moving in upper-range consolidation, which signals continuation and accumulation rather than reversal. As long as range support and the rising trendline hold, any downside movement is likely a healthy pullback, with the potential for a breakout to the upside to resume the broader uptrend. From a fundamental perspective, the bullish bias is supported by monetary policy divergence. The US dollar stays relatively strong even as markets price in gradual rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, while the Japanese Yen remains weak due to the accommodative stance and cautious normalization approach of the Bank of Japan. Unless there is a major shift in policy expectations or a sharp risk-off move, the outlook favors continued USDJPY strength following this consolidation phase.
Long
by LALAPO4646
Build a PF 10+ "God" Strategy in 1 Min(Live: Total Ruin Awaits) Traders, you've seen them all over TradingView: strategies with Profit Factors (PF) of 10+, 15+, and even 20+. Backtests look god-tier—gross profit 10-20x gross loss, equity curve smooth as silk, annualized returns in the thousands. You think, "This is the Holy Grail!" and go live in full size. Then reality hits: the market shifts a little, the strategy goes silent or starts bleeding, a string of losses, a massive drawdown... or total account wipeout. Why? Because a PF of 10+ is dangerously easy to fake through aggressive curve-fitting/over-optimization. You're forcing the strategy to match past data, not discovering a real edge perfectly. In 1 minute, the three classic tricks to "build" insane PF... then expose why they almost always blow up live. Trick 1: Parameter Hunting Until You Find the "Magic Numbers" How: Fire up the strategy optimizer (or manually tweak in Pine Script). Test hundreds/thousands of combinations of periods, thresholds, and filters. Example: You discover a 47-period EMA + RSI at exactly 62.7 threshold + a specific session filter "magically" catches every single turn in the last 5 years. Result: Almost every historical move is "predicted" perfectly, big winners, tiny losers → PF shoots to 10-20+ instantly. Backtest looks flawless. Trick 2: Over-Segmentation + In-Sample Fitting How: Split data into bull/bear/range regimes and optimize separate "best" parameters for each, or use rolling/walk-forward that still stays mostly in-sample. Go nuclear: Stack 10+ filters (volume spikes, specific hours, news-day exclusion) until only the "perfect" trades remain. Result: The strategy only trades when history was "kind"—PF explodes because ugly periods are filtered out. Trick 3: Brutal Fitting on Small or Cherry-Picked Samples How: Use just 1-2 years of data (especially a strong trending bull run) and optimize aggressively until it hugs every candle. Or throw in a kitchen-sink of indicators (10 MAs + 5 oscillators + dozens of combos)—run the optimizer overnight, and it will always find a unicorn parameter set with insane PF. Why 99% Blow Up Live (This Is the Sneakiest Killer): All these tricks teach a strategy for predicting the past, not the future. As soon as market regime changes (volatility shift, macro environment, black swan), your "magic 47-period" stops working. Fake breakouts everywhere. What was PF 15 in backtest drops to 0.6 or worse, live—string of losses eats the account. Overfit strategies are fragile glass: the more perfect the backtest, the more spectacular the future failure. Pros call it data-mining bias. Institutions laugh at PF 10+ screenshots. They check: Out-of-sample performance consistent? Parameter robustness (small change → PF still stable)? Works across different regimes? Overfit strategies fail these tests instantly. Final Warning: Stop Worshipping Perfect Backtest Curves Anyone can create a PF 10+ monster in minutes. Saving the account afterward? That's the hard part that takes years. Stop fitting history. Stop hunting "perfect" parameters. Real edge is simple, robust, explainable—and survives the future. Survive first. Only then conquer.
Education
by xwisetrade
USDCHF at Key SupportUSDCHF is currently trading at the lower boundary of a long-term descending range, where price has repeatedly found support in the past. Technically, this area opens the possibility of a short-term rebound, as selling pressure may temporarily weaken and buyers attempt to defend the range low. A corrective move toward the mid or upper range is possible if support holds. However, the broader structure still shows lower highs within a descending channel, meaning any bounce is likely corrective rather than a full trend reversal. A clean break below the range support would signal a bearish continuation, opening downside potential toward lower levels. From a fundamental perspective, USDCHF is driven by policy divergence and risk sentiment. The US dollar is facing pressure from expectations of gradual rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which reduces yield support for USD. Meanwhile, the Swiss Franc remains relatively resilient due to its safe-haven status and the steady policy stance of the Swiss National Bank. As long as global uncertainty persists, CHF strength may cap USDCHF upside, making the current support zone a key decision area between a temporary bounce and a broader bearish breakdown.
by LALAPO4646
CHFJPY in Consolidation: Awaiting the Next DirectionCHFJPY is currently moving sideways within a consolidation range after a prior bullish impulse, indicating that the market is absorbing liquidity and has not yet committed to the next directional move. The price structure remains constructive, with higher lows still being respected, meaning that as long as range support holds, the bias favors a bullish continuation. A reasonable scenario is a shallow pullback toward range support, followed by a potential push higher toward the upper boundary. From a fundamental perspective, this pair is influenced by the safe-haven nature of both currencies. The Japanese Yen remains structurally weak due to accommodative policy and cautious normalization by the Bank of Japan, while the Swiss Franc is relatively stable but may lose some appeal if global risk sentiment improves, given the measured policy stance of the Swiss National Bank. This combination keeps the short-term bias mildly bullish for CHFJPY, unless a strong risk-off shock triggers broad Yen strengthening.
Long
by LALAPO4646
AUDUSD A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below: The market is trading on 0.6715 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 0.6613 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD Will Go Down! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.177. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.168 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD - Bears can't keep the pace with bullsOn the EURUSD chart, we can see clearlly that bulls have more power on the long run. Daily chart present to us more liquidity zones higher, arround 1.18199 (and the last high) wich both form EQ highs. Fractal point of view, daily chart is bullish, with the fractal low at 1.17022. From the fractal low to fractal high we do have daily FVG wich can act as a magnet for the price. Also daily fractal can change, making it bearish because the last fractal is actually a liquidity point itself as bellow it is resting a fresh demand zone protected by another FVG. Moving on to the 4h chart, fractal wise we still have bullish momentum, fractals are bullish but last low fractal is looking very much likelly that it will be liquidated so that also the 4h chart can link-up with the 4h FVG (inside the daily FVG). So a quick 1:1 trade for eu is very much likely to happen in my point of view, as a countertrend short for a market that is looking for a strong 2026 bullish movement. As a confluence, the 1h chart is already changing to bearish for today, as price already reacted from the BB from the zone 1.17873 with another confluence that fractal is bearish on 1h chart. Right now we do have another BB close to our price right now, wich i am considering to resist and give the price more power to move to downside respecting the 1h fractal high. It is a quick trade, looking to make a connection with internal liquidity for a future long plays.
Short
by AlessioRO
AUDCHF Will Move Lower! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for AUDCHF. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.529. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.528 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
AUD/NZD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE Hello, Friends! It makes sense for us to go short on AUD/NZD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 1.148 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
The 90%+ WR Strategy: A 99% Chance to Blow Up Your AccountTraders, whether newbie or veteran, we've all seen them on TradingView: strategies boasting 90%+, 95%, or even 99% win rates. The backtest equity curve is a beautiful sea of green, climbing steadily with tiny steps, explosive annualized returns, looking rock-solid and like pure passive income. Many jump in and go live with full confidence, thinking they've found the Holy Grail. Then what? A few months in real trading, the account takes a massive drawdown—or blows up in one brutal wave. The post gets deleted, the trader vanishes, leaving only wreckage behind. Why? Because these ultra-high win rate strategies are all camouflaged killers. Today, this Idea exposes them completely: how they're "built," why backtests look so tempting, and why they inevitably destroy accounts in live trading. We'll break it down in plain English, step by step, so everyone—from beginners to intermediates—can fully understand. The Core Truth: High Win Rates Don't Come from Being "Accurate"—They Come from Hiding Massive Losses and Only Showing Small Wins Trading math is straightforward: Profit = (Win Rate × Average Win) - (Loss Rate × Average Loss) - Costs. To get a win rate over 90%, you have to make losing trades extremely rare. But markets don't always cooperate—there's always times when price goes against you. The secret of high win rate strategies? They delay, hide, or shift those losing risks until they explode all at once later. 99% of 90%+ win rate strategies on the market fall into one of these three categories (we'll dissect each in detail): 1. No Stop Loss / Holding Losers Forever, Waiting for Rebound (The most common trap, easiest for newbies to fall into) How it's built step by step (super simple): Normal trading: Price goes wrong → hit stop loss → count as a loss → win rate drops. High win rate trick: Price goes wrong? Refuse to accept it! No stop loss (or a very wide one), just hold forever until the market oscillates back to your entry price or even a small profit, then close manually. Result: That trade turns from a "big loss" into a "small win" or "breakeven" (doesn't count as a loss). Markets spend 70-80% of time ranging/oscillating, so holding often works. Do this a few times, losing trades become rare, win rate easily hits 95%+! Backtest looks like almost all small green bars, barely any red. Why it blows up in live trading (tail risk kills): Markets aren't always ranging—there are always trending moves, news events, or black swans. Price runs far away, you can't hold anymore (margin call or forced liquidation), and one single trade wipes out all previous small wins + principal. Classic analogy: Picking up pennies in front of a steamroller—you grab small coins most days (high win rate small profits), but when the roller comes, it crushes you flat. Countless grid traders or "average down forever" players make steady money for years in calm markets, then lose everything in one trend. 2. Martingale (Doubling Down on Losers—super popular in crypto/futures) How it's built step by step: Lose trade 1? Don't close—open trade 2 with double size (to average down cost). Still lose? Double again for trade 3... As soon as one trade wins, it covers all previous losses + a small profit. Result: The whole sequence of losses doesn't count as separate "losses"—it becomes one "big win." Consecutive loss streaks are rare (e.g., 5-7 in a row is low probability), so most days win rate is 98%+! Backtest: almost pure wins, occasional breakevens. Why it blows up in live trading: Low-probability streaks happen eventually. When they do, position size has exploded exponentially (2x, 4x, 8x...), and the final losing trade wipes the entire account. 3. High-Frequency Scalping / Ultra-Tight Stops + Small Targets (The sneakiest disguise—looks the most "professional") How it's built step by step (many think "random noise can't hit 90%," but pros do it easily): Real scalpers don't trade randomly—they use three tricks to force the win rate sky-high: Strong filtering—only enter ultra-high-probability micro setups: Wait for oversold bounces, support micro-breaks, short-term momentum continuation, RSI/MACD signals, etc. These have 70-85% short-term favorability (not a 50/50 coin flip). Dynamic stop management (the killer move): Once price moves slightly in your favor (5-10 ticks), immediately move stop to breakeven (BE) or small profit lock. If it reverses, at worst breakeven or tiny loss—not a full "loss." Tiny targets, quick exits: Take 8-15 ticks profit and run, never greedy for big moves. Trade 50-200 times a day. Markets range/micro-oscillate 70-80% of the time, so with the above: out of 100 trades, 90-95 are small wins/breakevens, only 5-10 are really small losses. Result: Win rate easily 90%+! Backtest curve: steady small upward steps, looks ultra-stable and pro—newbies go crazy: "Tight risk control + RR >1, perfect!" Why it blows up in live trading (the most deceptive one): It looks healthy, but it's actually tiny profits + hidden massive effective stops death trap! Commissions + slippage = death by a thousand cuts → Every trade costs 2-5 ticks in fees/spreads. Surface RR 1.5:1 becomes 0.6:1 or negative after costs. High frequency slowly bleeds the account dry. Normal volatility waves expose it → Filtering is good, but markets always have news days or mini-trends—price runs 30-100 ticks one way. Tight stops can't hold → 10-30 consecutive stops/BE reversals, cumulative loss dwarfs all prior small wins. One wave: 40-80% drawdown, mental collapse, or blowup. Why Pros and Institutions Never Chase 90%+ Win Rates They know trading success is about risk-adjusted returns (Sharpe ratio, recovery factor), not raw win rate. High win rates just bury tail risk—it always surfaces eventually. Real long-term survivors: 40-60% win rate, but 2:1+ reward: risk, letting winners run while cutting losers fast. Equity curve: steady uphill, no terrifying valleys. thechartist.com.auHow To Create A High Winning Percentage Strategy - The Chartist Final Warning: Stop Falling for 90% Win Rate Hype—Learn to Survive First Backtests look amazing only because history didn't hit "that one killer drawdown." Live markets always deliver it eventually. Want to last and profit long-term? Ditch the high win rate fantasy. Embrace positive expectancy, strict risk control, and manageable drawdowns. Survive first—no blowups. Only then talk about consistent gains.
Education
by xwisetrade
EURUSD - Bulls in Control… But For How Long?OANDA:EURUSD Daily Timeframe Swing Structure: Bullish Fractal Structure: Bullish Price continues to respect the daily bullish swing structure, with two upside liquidity pools (previous highs) acting as longer-term objectives. Our primary Point of Interest (POI) sits within the daily fractal structure, aligned with a Daily FVG, where an immediate bullish response is expected — contingent on LTF confirmation. Below the daily fractal low, price intersects a confluence of Daily FVG + BB + OB, which could provide another bullish reaction point. However, if price reaches this zone, the daily fractal structure shifts into a potential bearish transition, and therefore stronger confirmation is required before considering long positions. Invalidation: A clean break below the Daily OB would weaken the current bullish narrative, suggesting the need to reassess the structure as bearish on the higher timeframe. 4H Timeframe Swing Structure: Bullish Fractal Structure: Bearish On the 4H chart, early short positions taken on the bearish daily fractal structure have been liquidated, followed by price entering a small consolidation phase. From there, we observed a fractal shift from bullish to bearish, aligning the 4H direction with the potential HTF pullback. The immediate reaction zone is the Daily bullish FVG, where price may deliver a short-term move higher. The ideal setup would involve a touch of both the Daily FVG + 4H FVG, allowing for structural alignment. Execution Plan: Conservative: Wait for 4H bullish fractal confirmation before entering longs. Aggressive: Look for a dual fractal break to the upside on the 1H as early confirmation. If the Daily FVG fails, the next POI becomes the next 4H FVG in confluence with a nearby OB. Again, long positions require 4H bullish fractal change or the same 1H double-break confirmation. Deeper retracement scenario: A move below the Daily fractal low places focus on the next Daily FVG + BB + OB confluence, ideally aligned with 4H BB + 4H OB. In this case, LTF confirmation becomes insufficient — I would require either: Double 4H fractal break → bullish, or 1D fractal break to the upside to signal a shift in orderflow.
Long
by AlessioRO
Compression Before Expansion? | Falling Wedge StructureEducational Market Structure Observation This chart highlights a falling wedge forming through a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, reflecting structural compression rather than directional certainty. The focus of this analysis is on: • Price structure and swing behavior • Compression within a declining range • How market participants respond to repeated tests of structure No outcome is assumed or predicted. This study is shared purely to improve market reading and structural awareness based on historical price data. DISCLAIMER This content is shared strictly for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice or trade recommendations.
by ARMA_Market_Analysis