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1217 USDJPY 4H TRADING PLANHello traders, Current Price: 155.547 1. Key Technical Levels (Based on the Chart) Support: 154.666 (Point A), 155.00 (shortterm EMA support) Resistance: 156.164 (tp1), 156.945 (tp2/Point X) 2. Fundamental Context (Today’s Core Drivers) BoJ Meeting Preview: The Bank of Japan is widely expected to hike rates by 25bps on Dec 1819, so JPY strength is priced in premeeting, weighing on USD/JPY. Fed Policy: U.S. Dec PMI weakness + inflation rebound have cooled Fed ratecut bets, but the USD lacks sustained upside momentum. Market Sentiment: Carry trade unwinding and mild risk aversion add downward pressure to USD/JPY. 3. Long Strategy (Focused Today) Entry Condition: Price pulls back to 155.00 (EMA support) + RSI bounces from 40 level, confirmed by a bullish candlestick. Entry Price: 155.00155.10 Stop Loss: 154.60 (below Point A support) Take Profits: 1. First target: 156.16 (tp1 resistance) 2. Second target: 156.95 (tp2/Point X resistance) 4. Today’s Action Plan Prioritize the long setup: Wait for price to stabilize around 155.00 with a bullish signal before entering. Avoid forced entries if no clear confirmation. GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
Long
by FUNTRADER-Vera
EURGBP SHORTTrade Setup: EUR/GBP Short (Bearish) ​I am taking a bearish stance on EUR/GBP based on the following technical alignment: ​Higher Timeframe Bias: The overall trend remains clearly bearish, providing a strong fundamental backbone for the trade. ​H4 Market Structure: We have confirmed a Break of Structure (BOS) on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating that the momentum has shifted back to the downside. ​H1 Confirmation: On the 1-hour timeframe, we have a fresh 13/21 EMA crossover, signaling a bearish trend resumption and providing a clean entry trigger. ​Current Price: ~0.8753 Target: Looking for a move toward the recent lows around the 0.8721 level. ENTRY PRICE: 0.8775 SL: 0.8802 TP: 0.8721 FUNDAMENTALS:Central Bank Divergence (The Main Driver) ​The BoE is Cutting: On December 18, 2025, the Bank of England cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%. While the vote was a close 5-4 split, the signal is clear: the UK is in a gradual easing cycle to support a sluggish economy. ​The ECB is Holding: On the same day, the ECB kept its deposit rate steady at 2.00%. More importantly, they upgraded their growth forecasts for 2025 (to 1.4%) and 2026. Because the Eurozone economy is showing more resilience than expected, the ECB is in no rush to cut further.
Short
by Naseerabbah
3
USDJPY Weekly Outlook Week 52 Day 22This is the last trading week in the year of 2025. The first line is 162, while the second line of price is 158. Together 158-162 gives us a resistance area that the price has been struggling to break this high, and we saw in the last of the month of November that the price tapped the 157 area. The third line 151.378 is the 62 fib, and the fourth line is 149.336, the 50 fib, if we assume that price will be supplied at 158 to the fifth line, which is 140.485. Week 52 analysis Resistance 158-162 Support 142.75 - 140 50 fib between 158 and 140.485 62 fib I keep my bullish sentiment on the pair, knowing that the market can swing high or low or even hold the current price for a long time. With that in mind, we keep our capital exposure very low and trade only small amounts at a time. This means that I am looking for bullish opportunities in this market Where is my next buying opportunity? I will wait for the market to pull back to 156.75 before buying again. It is currently at the time of writing 157.75. That’s 100 pips pull back. The next buying opportunity could be a break above 162 and a pullback to that level. Where can I look to sell? Price has to stay below 156 for a long time - 2 weeks is a long time, before I can be tempted to sell. A better selling opportunity is when the price stays below 149.336 for a long time. If you like my post, please give it a boost and let me know if there is an asset you want me to analyse. Share your own views with me in the comments section below Disclaimer: This is not financial or trading advice; it is only for educational purposes.
Long
by topekekere
EURUSD: Price Is Drawn To The +FVG! Bearish For The Short Term!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Dec 22-26th. EURUSD closed bearish last week. I expect there to be some follow through going into this week. At least for the short term. Look for price to move into the +FVG before it signals that this pullback is over. This is a scalpers market for the next couple of days. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
GBPAUD DAILY GBPAUD EXCHANGE RATE =2.02323 LOOK FOR BUY INTO 2.03634 AND SELL FROM THAT ZONE OR WATCH FOR MORE BUY. GBPAUD TECHNICAL DETAILS. the GBPJPY technical analysis and directional bias. GB10Y= 4.535% FRIDAY CLOSE BOE(BANK OF ENGLAND ) RATE=3.75% AND INFLATION AT 3.2% BOE TARGET IS 2% ,the next BOE rate meeting will be 5th February 2026. HEAD OF BANK OF ENGLAND=Andrew Bailey is the Governor of the Bank of England and Chair of the Monetary Policy Committee, Financial Policy Committee and the Prudential Regulation Committee. AUD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK. Reserve Bank of Australia. Australia's central bank, the body corporate successor to the Commonwealth Bank established in 1912; created under its new name by the Reserve Bank Act 1959. RBA (reserve bank of Australia ) cash rate -3.6% inflation =3.8% target =2 % AU10Y=4.798% close of Friday window. technical trading directional bias. Bond yield differential= -0.263 FAVOUR AUD SELL BY CARRY TRADE RULES. interest rate differential=0.15% in favor of GBP but narrow and negligible WHY IS GBPAUD SELLING. the GBPAUD clearly broke a weekly support floor and trading in a downward channel as illustrated on the chart. GBPAUD faces selling pressure despite interest rate differentials due to stronger Australian economic data and weaker UK fundamentals overriding rate expectations. Key Drivers Australia's robust jobs data and GDP growth bolster the AUD, raising bets for sustained or higher RBA rates, while UK slowdowns and softening inflation . Improved global risk appetite and easing trade tensions further support commodity-linked AUD over GBP. the GBPAUD supply roof rejection indicated shows that market structure doesn't lie. #GBPAUD GOODLUCK
Short
by Shavyfxhub
GBPAUD WEEKLY PERSPECTIVE GBPAUD EXCHANGE RATE =2.02323 GBPAUD TECHNICAL DETAILS. the GBPJPY technical analysis and directional bias. GB10Y= 4.535% FRIDAY CLOSE BOE(BANK OF ENGLAND ) RATE=3.75% AND INFLATION AT 3.2% BOE TARGET IS 2% ,the next BOE rate meeting will be 5th February 2026. HEAD OF BANK OF ENGLAND=Andrew Bailey is the Governor of the Bank of England and Chair of the Monetary Policy Committee, Financial Policy Committee and the Prudential Regulation Committee. AUD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK. Reserve Bank of Australia. Australia's central bank, the body corporate successor to the Commonwealth Bank established in 1912; created under its new name by the Reserve Bank Act 1959. RBA (reserve bank of Australia ) cash rate -3.6% inflation =3.8% target =2 % AU10Y=4.798% close of Friday window. technical trading directional bias. Bond yield differential= -0.263 FAVOUR AUD SELL BY CARRY TRADE RULES. interest rate differential=0.15% in favor of GBP but narrow and negligible WHY IS GBPAUD SELLING. the GBPAUD clearly broke a weekly support floor and trading in a downward channel as illustrated on the chart. GBPAUD faces selling pressure despite interest rate differentials due to stronger Australian economic data and weaker UK fundamentals overriding rate expectations. Key Drivers Australia's robust jobs data and GDP growth bolster the AUD, raising bets for sustained or higher RBA rates, while UK slowdowns and softening inflation . Improved global risk appetite and easing trade tensions further support commodity-linked AUD over GBP. the GBPAUD supply roof rejection indicated shows that market structure doesn't lie. #GBPAUD GOODLUCK
Short
by Shavyfxhub
Potential bearish reversal?Cable (GBP/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support. Pivot: 1.3405 1st Support: 1.3199 1st Resistance: 1.3585 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Short
by IC Markets
2
Bullish bounce off key support?Loonie (USD/CAD) is reacting off the pivot which is an overlap support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 1.3744 1st Support: 1.3577 1st Resistance: 1.3914 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Long
by IC Markets
GBPAUD WEEKLY PERSPECTIVE GBPAUD EXCHANGE RATE =2.02323 GBPAUD TECHNICAL DETAILS. the GBPJPY technical analysis and directional bias. GB10Y= 4.535% FRIDAY CLOSE BOE(BANK OF ENGLAND ) RATE=3.75% AND INFLATION AT 3.2% BOE TARGET IS 2% ,the next BOE rate meeting will be 5th February 2026. HEAD OF BANK OF ENGLAND=Andrew Bailey is the Governor of the Bank of England and Chair of the Monetary Policy Committee, Financial Policy Committee and the Prudential Regulation Committee. AUD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK. Reserve Bank of Australia. Australia's central bank, the body corporate successor to the Commonwealth Bank established in 1912; created under its new name by the Reserve Bank Act 1959. RBA (reserve bank of Australia ) cash rate -3.6% inflation =3.8% target =2 % AU10Y=4.798% close of Friday window. technical trading directional bias. Bond yield differential= -0.263 FAVOUR AUD SELL BY CARRY TRADE RULES. interest rate differential=0.15% in favor of GBP but narrow and negligible WHY IS GBPAUD SELLING. the GBPAUD clearly broke a weekly support floor and trading in a downward channel as illustrated on the chart. GBPAUD faces selling pressure despite interest rate differentials due to stronger Australian economic data and weaker UK fundamentals overriding rate expectations. Key Drivers Australia's robust jobs data and GDP growth bolster the AUD, raising bets for sustained or higher RBA rates, while UK slowdowns and softening inflation . Improved global risk appetite and easing trade tensions further support commodity-linked AUD over GBP. the GBPAUD supply roof rejection indicated shows that market structure doesn't lie. #GBPAUD GOODLUCK
Short
by Shavyfxhub
Bullish bounce off pullback support?Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 0.5682 1st Support: 0.5584 1st Resistance: 0.5838 Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could rise to the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 47,063.30 1st Support: 45,135.60 1st Resistance: 50,049.13 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Long
by IC Markets
NZDCAD pressure buildWith the recent bounce of the heavily engrained weekly/monthly trend line, the tide may be changing for the kiwi. Interest rate slightly above that of the EURO but still equal to the CAD makes this even more of a sign that a break out above 0.80 is eminent. The low of the fibonacci painted on the 19th of November to the high on the 4th of December was a staggering 209 pip move that is still yet to be awakened. We're coming back into the territory where the bullish momentum will almost certainly rear it's head. The pair had a stellar bounce off the 78.6 extension of the fib, just waiting for another confluence to solidify what we're already seeing. Best of luck!
Long
by blaseit28
Falling towards pullback support?Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.6538 1st Support: 0.6404 1st Resistance: 0.6681 Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could rise to the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 47,063.30 1st Support: 45,135.60 1st Resistance: 50,049.13 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Long
by IC Markets