GBP/USD: Sell setup shaping upHey everyone, what’s your take on GBP/USD right now?
After breaking below the trendline, GBP/USD tried to retest the area but failed to hold. Price is now hovering around 1.329, and the selling pressure is still clearly present.
This current setup is aiming toward the Fibonacci 1.618 extension zone around 1.287. In the short term, a pullback could play out based on Dow Theory, and the highlighted zone might offer a prime shorting opportunity.
My bias: SELL on the retest — with tight risk management, clear TP and SL in place.
Now it’s your turn — what’s your outlook? Drop your thoughts in the comments below.
Good luck and trade smart! 💼📉
Forex market
Potential bearish drop?USD/CHF has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8112
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8196
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 0.7986
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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EUR/USD - Weekly AMD Cycle! Coming to an end🔁 EUR/USD – Weekly AMD Cycle Repeating? 📉
Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: Weekly
Bias: Bearish (Mid-Cycle Distribution)
🧠 What Is the AMD Cycle?
The AMD Cycle is a 3-phase smart money model used to describe how price moves through:
Accumulation – Smart money loads up on positions in discount zones.
Manipulation – Stop hunts / false breakouts to mislead retail.
Distribution – Price delivers to target efficiently, often with trend continuation.
This cycle repeats over and over across all timeframes – and right now, EUR/USD is showing a textbook repeat of this pattern on the weekly chart.
📊 EUR/USD Weekly – AMD Breakdown
✅ Phase 1: Accumulation (Late 2022 – Mid 2023)
Price bottomed out in the 0.95 - 1.00 zone, creating multiple equal lows, acting as liquidity.
Smart money accumulated orders here, absorbing sell pressure.
✅ Phase 2: Manipulation (Q3 2023 – Early 2024)
Price created a massive bullish rally, sweeping highs around 1.10 – 1.12, triggering breakout buyers.
This was liquidity engineering, not genuine bullish continuation.
We saw divergent volume, overextended price, and imbalance being left behind.
✅ Phase 3: Distribution (Mid 2024 – Now)
After sweeping the highs, price has shifted structure.
Multiple weekly BOS (Breaks of Structure) confirm a bearish reversal.
Price is now returning to retest premium zones near 1.09 – 1.10, likely to distribute further before sell-off.
GBPJPY: Strong Bullish Reversal from Demand ZoneGBPJPY has bounced sharply from a key demand zone, indicating renewed bullish momentum. The pair continues to follow the broader bullish bias in GBP crosses, with JPY weakness driven by the Bank of Japan's dovish policy stance.
Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
Pattern: Bullish rejection from the 195.30–195.50 demand zone.
Current Level: 195.58, rebounding from strong support, setting up for a potential upward leg.
Key Support Levels:
195.34 – immediate demand zone and critical support.
194.90 – deeper backup support if a pullback occurs.
Resistance Levels:
197.31 – near-term resistance and first upside target.
199.72 – extended target if bullish continuation strengthens.
Projection: As long as 195.34 holds, GBP/JPY could push toward 197.31, with potential for 199.72 if GBP strength persists.
Fundamental Analysis
Bias: Bullish.
Key Fundamentals:
GBP: Supported by the BOE’s cautious but tight stance due to persistent inflation pressures.
JPY: Remains fundamentally weak, with the BoJ avoiding major policy tightening while intervention threats only provide short-term support.
Risk Sentiment: Mild risk-on conditions favor GBP over safe-haven JPY.
Risks:
BoJ FX intervention could temporarily strengthen JPY.
A dovish BOE shift could slow GBP momentum.
Key Events:
BOE policy updates and UK CPI.
BoJ commentary and risk sentiment indicators.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
GBP/JPY is a leader among JPY pairs due to GBP’s volatility and strength. It often outpaces EUR/JPY and CHF/JPY, making it a key pair for JPY sentiment shifts.
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
GBP/JPY is bullish, with price rebounding from the 195.34 demand zone. Upside targets are 197.31 and 199.72. Watch for BOE communication, BoJ intervention signals, and global risk sentiment for confirmation of the move.
DeGRAM | USDJPY will retest the support level📊 Technical Analysis
● USDJPY is riding an ascending channel after a bullish breakout above the long-term descending trendline and successful retests of the 144.9–146.6 zone as support.
● Price is carving higher highs and higher lows, with the current bullish pennant pointing to a measured move toward the 150.8 resistance if 147.2 is breached on strong momentum.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● The yen remains under pressure as US labor data stays firm and Fed officials hint at fewer cuts, reinforcing US-Japan rate divergence.
● BOJ’s dovish tone in recent speeches and widening trade deficit further weigh on JPY.
✨ Summary
Buy 145.2–146.2; confirmation >147.2 targets 150.8. Invalidation below 142.8 support zone.
-------------------
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Bearish reversal?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3373
1st Support: 1.3267
1st Resistance: 1.3459
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GBP/JPY Long Attack After MA Breakout – Loot the Beast!🔓 GBP/JPY Bullish Break-In Heist! 💷💣 Price Cracked the MA Vault 🎯
🏴☠️ Welcome to the GBP/JPY Treasure Run!
Thief Trader’s back in the FX vault—this time we’re after the Beast Pair. A clean moving average breakout just unlocked the vault at 196.900, and we’re going in heavy with layered long entries!
📈 Heist Blueprint:
Asset: GBP/JPY
🧭 Plan: Bullish (Price has broken key MA level)
🎯 Entry: ANY price above 196.900 (after MA breakout confirmation)
📉 Stop Loss: 195.000 (secure the backdoor)
💰 Target: 199.500 (clean getaway zone)
🔫 Entry Method: Limit orders stacked like trapdoors — Thief’s layering strategy in motion!
💼 Strategy Breakdown:
⚔️ Scalp Raiders: Snipe quick profits on the M15-M30 pullbacks.
🛡 Swing Bandits: Ride this bullish wagon up to 199.500. Use trailing SL to stay alive.
📡 Chart Radar: Eyes on volume spikes + MA alignment = green signal for aggressive buys.
🧠 Market Logic Behind the Heist:
🔥 MA breakout confirms buyer strength
🔍 Intermarket flow supports GBP dominance
📊 Sentiment & positioning flip to bullish
💼 Risk events priced in – no traps detected (yet)
🚨 Caution for Rookie Thieves:
News bombs ahead? Lock down with tighter SLs or pause the raid until the dust settles.
💎 Join the Crew of Chart Bandits!
👍 Like this plan? 🔁 Share it.
💬 Drop your view. 💣 Boost it with a 🚀
We're not just trading—we’re robbing the market with style.
🔐 Stay dangerous, stay profitable…
THIEF TRADER OUT. 🏴☠️📉📈
EURUSD possible bearish for 1.1200#eurusd forming lower high and lower low in daily time frame. Price broke 1.1557 & 1.1447 support level. 1.1738-1788 daily supply zone for sell. there are many different support levels before 1.1200 level i.e. 1.1550, 1.1420, 1.1255 & 1.1200. 1.1430-20 is secure level to book profit in sell trade.
EURUSDPrice recently plunged into the deep and has now returned for fair value. We are already in a significant area, on a higher time-frame(1D), so any moment from now they can collapse it, much like last week! Be on the look-out like a meerkat!
1.1680 and 1.1720 are institutional price levels and price tends to have strong reactions in these areas. I expect to see that play out tomorrow.
The following reports will be used to trigger this move:
BoE Monetary Policy Report.
Continuing Jobless Claims 4-Week Average.
Initial Jobless Claims.
Unit Labour Costs.
Nonfarm Productivity.
Stay safe!
GBPJPY : Short-Term Bullish SetupGBPJPY – Short-Term Bullish Setup
GBPJPY has just broken above a minor resistance zone, signaling a shift in short-term momentum.
The previous 1-hour candle closed strong and bullish, suggesting that the pair could continue gaining strength in the next few hours.
This move appears to be driven mainly by market speculation and ongoing tariff discussions, adding fuel to the bullish outlook.
Key levels to watch:
196.05
196.45
197.00
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Fiber Battle Plan: Bulls Prepare for EUR/USD Uprising🏴☠️💸 EUR/USD "Fiber Heist Plan" – Thief Trader's Bullish Raid! 💸🏴☠️
🔓 The Vault is CRACKED – Time to LOAD UP! 🚀📈💰
🎯 MASTER PLAN:
Asset: EUR/USD ("Fiber")
Direction: BULLISH HEIST 🐂💪
Entry Strategy: Layered Limit Orders (Sneaky thief-style accumulation)
Trigger: Hull MA CROSS confirmed + Price > 1.16300 🎯
Stop Loss: 1.15100 (Guarding the loot!) 🛡️
Target: 1.18000 (Bank it & bounce!) 💰🔥
🕵️ THIEF TRADER’S BREAKDOWN:
💡 "Weak hands shake, WE TAKE!" – This is a high-probability bullish raid with layered entries for MAXIMUM stealth.
✅ ENTRY TACTICS:
Buy Limit Orders stacked near swing lows (1.16300 zone)
Only trigger AFTER Hull MA confirms bullish flip (No early fomo!)
Scale in like a pro thief – don’t dump all bullets at once.
⚔️ RISK CONTROL (MANDATORY!):
SL at 1.15100 (Break this? ABORT MISSION.)
No revenge trading! Stick to the plan or get caught slippin’.
🎯 PROFIT SECURING:
First TP: 1.18000 (Lock in gains!)
Trailing SL option (If momentum stays strong, let it RUN!)
🚨 THIEF’S WARNING:
⚠️ News = Trap Zone! (Avoid fresh entries during high-impact news)
⚠️ No greed! Secure profits before the market reverses on you.
⚠️ Follow the Hull MA like a shadow – if it flips bearish, RE-EVALUATE!
🔥 SUPPORT THE HEIST!
💥 SMASH THAT LIKE & BOOST BUTTON if you're riding with the Thief Trading Crew!
💬 Comment "🚀 LOADED!" if you're in!
We steal smart, trade sharp, and stack profits like bandits. Stay lethal, traders! 🐱👤💸🔥
EURJPY Double Bottom + Triangle Breakout | Expecting 172.900 In this time I am going to look a long in this pair because I can see a strong double bottom formation with strong demand area. After touching this demand zone, price bounced back and now making a triangle breakout.
The breakout from the triangle gives more power to the upside move, and I am expecting price to continue bullish till 172.900 level. After reaching this zone, I will wait to see how price reacts for next move.
This is just my view based on pattern and breakout.
EUR/USD - Potential Targets Dear Friends in Trading,
How I see it: (A different perspective)
** POC = Institutional Point of Control
KEYNOTE:
Via the grape vine: 95% chance of FED $ rate cut in September.
We are already seeing the institutional adjustments in this regard.
I will wait for price to correct/retrace back to break-out support area.
Only then will I go through my process of confirmations to look for a "LONG" entry.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
CHFJPY: Pullback From Resistance Confirmed?! 🇨🇭🇯🇵
CHFJPY may retrace from a key daily horizontal resistance.
A breakout of a support line of a consolidation range
on that on an hourly time frame provides a strong intraday confirmation.
Goal - 182.42
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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EUR/USD Bullish Breakout 4H 5Aug2025 | Targeting 1.18084EUR/USD has shown clear bullish momentum after bouncing off the support level at 1.14027, marking a higher low within a confirmed demand zone.
Key confirmations:
✅ CHoCH (Change of Character) confirms reversal.
✅ MACD crossover indicating bullish pressure.
✅ Breakout expected towards the target area (1.18084).
✅ Support from wedge breakout & upward channel.
📈 Eyeing a push to retest strong resistance near the previous high.
Plan:
Watch for consolidation or retest near 1.1580–1.1600 before entry. Bullish continuation likely if price holds above the demand zone.
📌 Target: 1.18084
🛑 Invalidation below: 1.14027
🕵️♂️ Monitor price action near demand zone and wait for bullish confirmation candle for optimal entry
GBP JPY SELL SETUPSee the chart for GBP JPY. came at the zone and expecting a sell continuation ..see the targets (tp-1 & tp2) trade this as swing.. do comment Ur feedback if u like my charting and analysis.
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EUR/USD short: Can King USD survive King DJT?Hello traders.
The market has been to kind to me since Friday's NFP print.
I closed my long EUR/USD, EUR/CAD and GBP/USD positions this morning.
The charts tell the story.
The reaction to the NFP print was dramatic but despite all the negative factors(tariffs, inflation, uncertainty, NATIONAL DEBT!) influencing the USD, I still believe that the greenback is the cleanest shirt in the laundry hamper.
For now, the technical picture point to a correction after the Euro Zone tariff announcement 10 days ago. If it really comes down to a contest, the USA will prevail in the tariff war.
Which brings me to my caption. I was watching President Trump announcing Apple's increased investment in the USA(another $100B in addition to the existing $500B commitment) and the best part of the announcement was that he did not call Mr. Cook, Tim Apple again.
While I am certainly supportive of Apple increasing production in certain sectors like their own M chips, recycling rare earths and so on, it still does not solve the problem of a us living on a planet with economic and trade practices that benefit everyone, especially the most needy on our planet of abundance.
And there lies the conundrum in my mind. President Trump wants to be the kid in the playpen that grabs all the toys and do not share. "Mine, mine, mine". Well, if all the toys are yours, it will lead to a stronger USD, increased inflation and therefore no rate cuts from the FOMC other than the projected 25bps in September. So, increased yields on USD 10Y treasuries and a deeper debt hole for future American generations but for now, I think the USD will prevail. Cleanest shirt, folks because as long as we have Don Donald in the Oval Office strong arming and black mailing everyone, King USD will reign. But woe the day that is is no longer true.
I am certain King USD will outfox King DJT. Why? As I have indicated in my profile, I live by the mantra that markets are sometimes irrational, but mostly right.
DXY is still holding above an uptrend line dating back to May 2011.
As for GBP/USD, rate decision later tonight.
Please share your thoughts.
Sell GBP/USD into trend line to resume recent trend.Sell GBP/USD into recent trend line to resume the trend into 200 Daily MA.
Please note : Adjust profit target as 200 Daily MA will change everyday.
Sell : 1.3460 Trend line
Stop : 1.3552 Above 50 Daily MA
Profit : 1.3000 ( 200 Daily MA ) changes everyday
Risk 1:5
USDJPY
The market is currently in a "decision zone", meaning price action around current levels will determine the next major move.
Direction Probability Confirmation Condition
📈 Bullish move to 155.733 ✅ 60–65% Hold above 147 support and break above 151 resistance
📉 Bearish move to 144/140 ❌ 35–40% Confirmed daily candle break below 147 level