EURUSD H1 | Bearish Drop OffBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price is rising towards our sell entry level at 1.1769, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.1726, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is set at 1.1788, which is an overlap resistance.
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Forex market
GBPJPY - Bullish ContinuationHTF (4H) structure remains bullish, printing higher highs and higher lows with strong volume supporting key pivot points.
On the 30M, I’m waiting for a deeper pullback — looking for price to sweep SSL and tap into the underlying OB. Once full candle mitigation is confirmed, I’ll shift into execution mode.
LTF (5M): after mitigation, I’m waiting for a clean LH break followed by a pullback into fresh demand to take buy entries targeting mid and major highs.
Patience is key.
Tracking is the edge.
Let the market do the work. Let’s go. 🔥
EUR/USD Is Resting — The Break Comes After the TrapEUR/USD – 1H |
Structure: Price is in a sideway consolidation after a bullish leg → trend is still up, not reversed.
Range:
Resistance: ~1.1805–1.1810
Support: ~1.1760–1.1770 (EMA + demand)
Behavior: Rejections at the top suggest liquidity sweep risk before continuation.
Scenarios:
Preferred: Dip toward support → bounce → breakout toward 1.1820+.
Invalidation: Clean breakdown below 1.1755 → range expansion lower.
Bias: Bullish continuation after consolidation. Patience before the move.
Is this the breakout trade to confirm a massive risk-on rally?It seems timely as the world transitions to the commencement of the century's 2nd quarter.
EURUSD is 85% of the index and it's another to watch the next few days.
Today so far in the Asia session, Gold and Silver have made the move lower.
The psychology with gold and silver is to create a strong rally before selling off, this creates a type of fear or a lack of conviction to go short by retail investors.
But of course institutions will be buying down lower as Stops trigger.
This of course leaves the 90K and greater 'window" open for bitcoin.
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GBPJPY📌 GBPJPY – Institutional Structure & Liquidity Context (4H)
The analysis shared here is purely educational and reflects a technical perspective based on market structure, supply & demand dynamics, and liquidity behavior. It is not financial advice, nor a signal service.
From an institutional standpoint, GBPJPY has demonstrated a clear bullish market structure on the higher timeframe. Following a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS), price expanded aggressively away from the origin, signaling strong participation from higher-timeframe buyers rather than retail-driven volatility.
The highlighted demand zone represents the price area where imbalance was created and institutional orders were likely accumulated. This zone is not marked as an entry point, but rather as a contextual reference — an area where future reactions may occur if price revisits with confirmation.
What stands out is the clean displacement from demand and the efficient continuation toward liquidity highs, suggesting that the market is currently respecting bullish intent while targeting resting liquidity above prior highs. As long as price holds above key structural lows, bullish bias remains intact from a structural perspective only.
No predictions are being made here — only probabilities, context, and narrative alignment.
Risk management, confirmation, and personal execution rules are always the responsibility of the individual trader.
EUR/USD – 30-Minute Chart AnalysisThe current market structure shows a bullish bias following a liquidity sweep below previous lows and a subsequent Change of Character (ChoC) to the upside. Price has broken above a key short-term structure, signaling potential continuation toward the buy-side liquidity zone near 1.18080.
Key Observations:
Liquidity sweep at lower levels indicates accumulation and possible reversal.
ChoC confirms a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
Price is currently retesting the marked demand zone (blue area), which could act as support for further upside movement.
Trading Implication:
If the demand zone holds, the next probable target is the buy-side liquidity at 1.18080. A clean break and hold above 1.17800 would strengthen bullish momentum. However, failure to maintain support could invalidate this scenario.
Bias: Bullish
Next Target: 1.18080 (Buy-side liquidity)
Risk: Watch for rejection below 1.17700, as this could signal weakness.
EURUSDIn this analysis, price action is evaluated through an institutional market structure lens, focusing on orderflow, displacement, and supply-demand interaction rather than prediction.
On the lower timeframe, EURUSD displayed a clear break in structure (BOS) to the downside, indicating a short-term shift in market intent. This structural failure was followed by strong bearish displacement, suggesting the presence of active sell-side participation rather than random volatility.
Price has since reacted from a well-defined supply zone, aligned with the prior distribution area where inefficiencies were left behind. Such zones are not treated as “sell signals,” but rather as areas of interest where liquidity, risk, and reaction can be objectively observed.
The key focus here is not direction, but process:
•How price delivers away from structure
•How inefficiencies are created and respected
•How institutions manage risk around premium zones
•This framework emphasizes patience, discipline, and execution over emotion, allowing traders to align with market mechanics instead of chasing outcomes.
⚠️ Disclaimer (TradingView-compliant)
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trade signals.
All trading involves risk, and each participant is responsible for their own decisions.
🧠 Final Note
This channel is built for traders who value clarity over hype, structure over noise, and consistency over impulse.
If you’re focused on understanding why price moves — not just where — you’re in the right place.
📈 APEX TRADING FX
Patience | Discipline | Fearless
EURUSD: steady toward the year-endDuring the Christmas week and non-working day, there has been a limited number of posted currently important macro data for the US economy, while EU officials already stepped into the Holiday season. Durable Goods Orders in October dropped by -2,2% compared to the previous month. The quarterly GDP Growth Rate for Q3 surprised markets with 4,3% q/q, considering forecasted 3,3%. The Industrial production in November was higher by 0,2% m/m, better from anticipated 0%. The IP is higher by 2,5% on a yearly basis in November. Considering the forthcoming New Year holiday and also non-working days, the week ahead is also going to be quiet with respect to macro data.
The eurusd currency pair was oriented toward the upside during the previous week. The starting point was at the 1,17 support line, while the highest weekly level reached was at 1,1804. The pair closed the week at 1,1772. The RSI touched the overbought market side while the index is closing the week at the level of 64. It implies a possible short term reversal in the coming period. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, indicating that the potential cross is still not in the plan.
The New-year holiday is coming in the week ahead. Markets will be closed on Thursday, while Friday might also bring some slow-motion moves, considering that the majority of market participants will use this period of time for some proper rest. Taking into consideration that this period in the year also means lower liquidity, it should not be expected some stronger moves of the eurusd currency pair. Both 1,17 support and 1,18 resistance were tested during the previous week. In the week ahead, it could be expected some modest moves, somewhere between 1,1750 and 1,18.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final for December.
USD: FOMC meeting Minutes.
NZD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF is making a bullish rebound on the 1H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 0.459 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for December 29, 2025 USDJPYUSD/JPY is trading around 156.350, but the yen looks more confident after the Bank of Japan’s December rate hike and discussions within the regulator about the need to continue gradual tightening. An additional cap on the pair’s upside comes from statements by Japan’s Ministry of Finance about its readiness to respond to excessive exchange-rate swings, which makes market participants more cautious.
On the US side, the key driver remains expectations for the Fed rate: after the December decision, investors are trying to assess how quickly the regulator is ready to ease conditions in 2026. Against this backdrop, the minutes from the Fed’s December meeting become the main event over the next 24 hours, as they can clarify the balance of arguments on inflation and the labor market and, accordingly, the outlook for yields.
At year-end, thin markets increase the risk of sharp spikes, especially in yen pairs, where the possibility of official intervention is taken seriously. If interest in the yen as a safe-haven currency persists and expectations of further normalization by the Bank of Japan remain, the fundamental bias shifts toward a lower USD/JPY. It is important to account for news-driven volatility and set position protection levels in advance.
Trading recommendation: SELL 156.350, SL 156.550, TP 155.550
GBPUSDGBPUSD – Daily Structure Shift & Bullish Continuation Scenario
GBPUSD has shown a strong bullish reaction from a well-defined daily support zone, suggesting buyers are stepping back in after an extended corrective phase.
Price impulsively moved higher from support, indicating demand strength, but is now approaching a key daily resistance area, where a short-term pause or pullback is expected.
Key Levels
Daily Support: 1.3430–1.3450
This zone acted as a clear demand base and remains the bullish invalidation level.
Daily Resistance: 1.3520–1.3540
First major decision zone. Acceptance above this level is needed for continuation.
Traffic / Supply Area: 1.3570–1.3590
Expect choppy price action and potential consolidation.
Higher-Timeframe Target: 1.3650–1.3660
Major resistance and logical upside objective if momentum continues.
If price can break and hold above daily resistance, a pullback into structure would offer a healthier continuation setup. A sustained move through the traffic zone would open the path toward the upper resistance area.
Failure to hold above daily support would invalidate the bullish scenario and suggest the move was corrective.
Sell CHF/JPY at top of channel again.I didn't know markets would be open on Boxing day (26th) and this trade was ready for next week. Trading view isn't showing that a new high has already been made and this was what i was expecting to take out all stops before reversal. The RSI has corrected itself already so I believe a drop is coming soon to retest broken support around the 196.20 area. I hope the high around 198.50 will get tested again soon so my trade will be activated.
Sell Limit : 198.47 top of ascending channel
Stop : 199.38 above ascending channel
Profit : 196.20 previous broken support
Risk 1 : 2.5 stop is 91 pips.
AUDJPY - Bullish Continuation Setup4H HTF showing strong bullish momentum, with volume supporting higher lows and upside intent.
On the 30M, price is approaching the SSL sweep — looking for a pullback into the underlying OB. Once we get a full candle mitigation, I’ll drop to lower timeframes to assess reaction.
LTF (5M): waiting for a clean LH break followed by a controlled pullback to confirm entry.
Until then, patience is key — tracking the process and letting the setup come to me.
Let’s go. 🔥
USD/JPY Update – Bullish Breakout Alert!🚀 USD/JPY Update – Bullish Breakout Alert! 🚀
USD/JPY is showing a strong bullish breakout from the descending channel 📈 and momentum is building for an upward trend!
💹 Technical Support: 156.000
💰 Entry Level: 156.000
🎯 Targets:
156.600
157.000
157.500
⏱️ Time Frame: 30m
⚠️ Reminder: Always use proper risk management when trading!
👍 Like | 🔔 Follow | 💬 Comment | 🔄 Share
EUR/USD | 30M Outlook We are currently making lower lows and lower highs for an internal pullback. I would like to see price trade back up into the 30m supply which would also take out some of Friday's buy-side liquidity, from there I will wait to see how lower time frame reacts from the zone, and if it presents me an entry, I will sell back down to friday's low.
Trade Safe -Remzy
EUR/USD Is Compressing — The Breakout Direction EUR/USD – 1H MARKET ANALYSIS
Market Context
EUR/USD is currently trading inside a clear range structure, bounded by a defined support zone below and a major resistance zone above. The market is transitioning from a corrective phase into a potential re-accumulation leg.
1. Price Structure
Price recently reacted strongly from the support zone, confirming this area as active demand.
The pullback held above EMA 89, while price is attempting to reclaim EMA 34, suggesting selling pressure is weakening.
The overall structure remains higher low–based, meaning the bullish structure is still valid unless support fails.
2. Moving Average Context
EMA 34 (short-term): Acting as dynamic resistance; a clean reclaim would signal momentum shift.
EMA 89 (mid-term): Continues to act as dynamic support, confirming that the market is not bearish.
Compression between price and EMAs indicates energy building for the next expansion.
3. Key Zones
Support Zone: Strong buyer reaction area; loss of this zone would invalidate the bullish setup.
Resistance Zone: Previous supply area where sellers previously stepped in; this is the main upside objective.
4. Scenarios & Outlook
Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation (Preferred)
Price holds above the support zone.
Gradual push higher with higher lows.
Upside targets:
First: reclaim mid-range liquidity
Final: test of the resistance zone
Alternative Scenario – Range Extension
Price consolidates between EMA 34 and support.
Sideways movement before expansion.
Invalidation Scenario
Strong H1 close below the support zone.
This would open the door for deeper downside and trend reassessment.
5. Trading Bias
Bias: Mild bullish
Strategy: Buy pullbacks near support, avoid chasing price mid-range
Risk Note: Confirmation is required near resistance — do not anticipate breakouts blindly
Summary
EUR/USD is stabilizing after a pullback, showing signs of renewed demand. As long as price remains above the support zone, the market favors a push toward the resistance area. Discipline and patience remain key in this range-based environment.






















