Uranium The Epic Explosion!Global uranium demand is up to rise about 28% by 2030, driven by clean-energy pushes, nuclear restarts (e.g., Japan), and advanced modular reactors
Kazakhstan’s largest producer, Kazatomprom, cut its 2025 production forecast by ~17% due to logistical hurdles and resource constraints
Iran signaled openness to discussions with European counterparts aimed at curbing its uranium enrichment levels. However, seasoned diplomacy and regional conflict issues complicate prospects for an agreement
Bottom line: Uranium markets are tightening due to production cuts and geopolitical risk, while long-range demand is gaining momentum thanks to nuclear expansion and emerging energy technologies.
ETF market
SPY: Expecting Bullish Continuation! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the SPY pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-20 : Pause Bar PatternToday's Pause Bar pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will slide into a sideways type of PAUSE in price action today. I'm not expecting much to happen and if we do see any breakaway or breakdown trending it will likely be related to news.
While we have options expiration today and a host of other things that could drive the markets, I believe the markets are struggling to find direction right now. Thus, a pause in trading would be somewhat normal after a holiday-shortened trading week.
Gold and Silver are struggling after a brief rally last week. I believe this is fear related to the Israel/Iran conflict. Metals should continue to move higher.
BTCUSD is slightly higher (forgot to cover BTCUSD in the video), but not moving into a breakaway phase.
Overall, everything is very flat in early trading today. It may stay that way with my PAUSE BAR pattern.
Get some.
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Opening (IRA): SMH August 15th 215 Short Put... for a 2.50 credit.
Comments: A starter position in the semiconductor ETF on a smidge of weakness here, targeting the strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit.
Will generally look to add at intervals if I can get it at a strike better than what I currently have on.
Low frequency trading (LFT) vs HFTHey fellow tarders and financial mojol,
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Safe Entry Zoneafter Rejection from the Resistance 4h Red Zone.
we have 4h and 1h Green Zone as Strong Support levels.
Note: Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
Divergence FormingThe descending channel pattern is always my favorite. Mixed with RSI, channels aligning with gaps and volatility being at $20, its a good chemical mix.
AMEX:SOXS to $10 can happen quickly but I think the move will be sharp and quick. Long term bearish signals forming to.
Lets see where it goes!
The Big Banks are in BIG TROUBLEAs you can see on this weekly chart, the XLF has been in this steady up trend since October 2023. It bounced off this upward slopping trendline 3 different times and then finally broke through it on the 4th hit, then came back up to test the underside of the trendline as resistance. It did get back above the trendline briefly last month, but it ended up being a bull trap as it fell back below the trendline and is now testing it as resistance once again and is currently being rejected. A Fibonacci retrace shows the 0.786 fib level also lines up with this area giving added confluence, as well as RSI divergence that I have highlighted. Massive Massive resistance in this area and so much room for potential downside. I see this trade as an extremely high probability of playing out. The options market agrees with me as well.
$QQQ Weekly Technical Breakdown – Week of June 22, 2025NASDAQ:QQQ Weekly Technical Breakdown – Week of June 22, 2025
After a strong rally earlier in June, NASDAQ:QQQ printed a wide daily broadening formation on Friday with an outside day that expanded Thursday’s range. This pattern signals indecision and possible structural recalibration. The final minutes of trading saw significant volatility due to quad witching flows, as institutions unwound or rolled large options positions. Monday’s open will be critical to confirm whether bulls hold or if a breakdown unfolds. The short-term range is wide, with support at 525.89 and resistance near 533.66. A breakout above 533.66 opens the door to all-time highs around 536.78. On the downside, an unfilled fair value gap spans 522.70 to 520.69, which could attract price if weakness develops. Intraday traders should watch pivots at 525.89, 527.27, 528.61, and 530.45 for scalps and key reactions.
Technical Summary
• Structure: Outside day forming a wide daily broadening formation
• Friday Note: Quad witching flows in the final minutes caused order flow imbalances and aggressive re-hedging
• Daytrade Pivots: 525.89, 527.27, 528.61, and 530.45 remain active intraday reaction points
• Macro View: Clean daily close above 533.66 supports upside momentum and breakout potential
• Downside Risk: Unfilled fair value gap from 522.70 to 520.69; holding above 525.89 early week is critical
• Momentum Bias: Friday’s candle signals indecision; Monday likely to define near-term direction
Key Levels to Watch
🟢 Upside Resistance: 527.27 (reclaim level), 528.61 (mid-range pivot), 530.45 (resistance zone), 531.87 (continuation trigger), 533.66 (breakout confirmation), 536.78 (all-time high territory)
🔴 Downside Support: 525.89 (must hold early week), 524.02 (range low / breakdown trigger), 522.70 (FVG gap top), 520.69 (FVG gap bottom), 519.86 (trend support)
Trade Plan
• Hold above 525.89 to target 533+ early in the week
• Daily close above 533.66 signals potential breakout run
• Break below 524.02 shifts focus to gap fill 522.70–520.69
• Intraday scalps effective between 525.89 and 530.45
Decision Map
🟩 IF QQQ HOLDS ABOVE 525.89 → reclaim 527.27 / 528.61 → target 530.45 → 533.66 → breakout toward 536.78 (ATH)
🟥 IF QQQ BREAKS BELOW 525.89 → watch 524.02 (structure break) → target 522.70 → 520.69 (gap fill) → trend pivot 519.86
Primary Trade Zone: 525.89–530.45
Alert List for Key Levels
Set alerts above price: 527.27, 530.45, 533.66
Set alerts below price: 525.89, 524.02, 522.70, 520.69
This Week’s Key Catalysts for NASDAQ:QQQ
NASDAQ:QQQ ’s price action this week will be influenced by a combination of major economic releases and Fed commentary, alongside ongoing macro and geopolitical factors impacting the tech sector.
• The most important catalyst is Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony to the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday, June 24. Powell’s remarks on the economic outlook and future rate policy could drive volatility and directional bias in NASDAQ:QQQ , especially given market anticipation around possible rate cuts later this year.
• Additional Fed insights will come from Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack’s speeches on Tuesday and Thursday, which could reinforce or add nuance to Powell’s tone.
• Inflation and economic data releases throughout the week—including durable goods orders, GDP revisions, consumer sentiment, and personal income/spending reports—will help shape market expectations for Fed policy, a major driver for growth stocks like those in $QQQ.
• The quad witching event last Friday increased short-term volatility and order flow imbalances, impacting the current technical setup.
• Longer-term geopolitical issues, including export restrictions on semiconductor technology and institutional buying trends, remain background factors but are less likely to move NASDAQ:QQQ sharply this week absent new headlines.
Traders should monitor these catalysts closely and combine them with technical levels and price action to navigate the week effectively.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 20, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 20, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🏦 Fed Holds Rates, Warns on Tariffs
Fed kept interest rates steady on June 19, cautioning that tariffs could stoke inflation and slow growth. Inflation projections were raised from 2.7% to 3.0%, while growth estimates were revised lower to 1.4%
🌍 Middle East Risk Drags Markets
Global stocks fell and safe-haven assets surged after U.S. futures weakened amid heightened tensions in the Israel–Iran conflict. Yields were mixed: gold weakened and bonds gained, while oil held steady near seven-week highs
📈 Treasury Yields Edge Higher
Despite safe-haven demand, U.S. 10‑year yields ticked up as markets absorbed the Fed’s updated rate outlook. The yield curve remains elevated ahead of next week’s $38 bn auction of long-dated notes
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, June 20:
(No major U.S. economic reports)
Markets will be driven by Fed commentary follow-ups and geopolitical headlines over the weekend.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #fixedincome #inflation #charting #technicalanalysis
XLK ETF. TO WAR, OR NOT TO WAR — THAT IS THE QUESTION..US stock futures edged lower Wednesday evening ahead of Thursday’s market closure for Juneteenth.
The moves came after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady, with Chair Jerome Powell striking a cautious tone amid rising geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
Powell reaffirmed a data-dependent approach, pointing to unclear inflation impacts from President Trump’s tariffs and the risk of stagflation.
Fed projections now include two rate cuts in 2025, alongside downgraded growth expectations and higher inflation forecasts.
Investor sentiment was further dampened by escalating tensions in the Middle East, as the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict stoked fears of deeper US involvement, while North Korea has recently launched 10 rockets from near capital Pyongyang.
Futures for 7 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors ended the Prime Day holiday in the red, led by declines in energy, while technology outperformed.
What is more important Technology sector is the one and only over 11 S&P 500 sectors that has printed recently new all the history high, just one - two days before Prime Day.
What is XLK The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF
AMEX:XLK ETF is respectively The Technology Select Sector ETF, that seeks to provide investment results correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500 Technology Sector Index.
The largest 5 holdings of this ETF are Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , Apple NASDAQ:AAPL , Broadcom NASDAQ:AVGO and Oracle NYSE:ORCL , while all together they weight nearly 50 percent of the fund by market cap.
Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT shares have experienced a significant upward trend in 2025, reaching new all-time highs and reflecting the company’s robust financial performance and strategic positioning in the technology sector.
Record Highs and Price Momentum
As of June 18, 2025, Microsoft’s stock closed at $480.24, marking its highest closing price ever. This price is just below its 52-week high of $481.00 and represents a 14% gain year-to-date, making Microsoft one of the best-performing stocks among the so-called “Magnificent Seven” tech giants in 2025. The stock’s average price over the past 52 weeks was $422.77, and its 52-week low was $344.79, which is 28.2% below the current level, highlighting the impressive rally over the past year.
Short-Term and Long-Term Performance
In the immediate term, Microsoft’s stock has shown steady gains. Over the past week, the share price rose by 2.03%, and over the past month, it increased by 6.36%. Looking at a broader horizon, the stock is up 6.79% over the last year, underscoring consistent investor confidence and the company’s ability to capitalize on growth opportunities.
Drivers Behind the Rally
Several factors have contributed to Microsoft’s recent share price surge:
Artificial Intelligence Investment. Microsoft continues to invest heavily in AI infrastructure, with plans to spend $80 billion in fiscal 2025. This aggressive investment is seen as crucial to maintaining a competitive edge in cloud computing and AI services, areas that are driving much of the company’s growth.
Cost Management. Despite the heavy spending on AI, Microsoft is also focused on controlling costs. The company is reportedly planning to trim thousands of jobs, particularly in sales, to offset rising expenses and protect profit margins. This follows earlier workforce reductions and reflects a broader trend among major tech firms to optimize operations amid escalating AI-related costs.
Diversified Revenue Streams. Microsoft’s strong position in software, cloud computing, and AI, along with its subscription-based business model and consistent dividend growth, have bolstered investor sentiment. The company’s cloud platform Azure and productivity tools continue to show strong adoption across industries.
Market and Analyst Sentiment
Microsoft’s market capitalization recently reached $3.55 trillion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.94, indicating high investor expectations for future growth. Analysts’ price targets for MSFT range from $432 to $700, suggesting a wide spectrum of views but generally positive long-term sentiment.
Competitive and Operational Challenges
Despite its strong performance, Microsoft faces competitive pressures, particularly from OpenAI, which has been offering discounted ChatGPT subscriptions, impacting Microsoft’s own AI products like Copilot. Additionally, negotiations with OpenAI over continued access to its technology have reportedly stalled, introducing some uncertainty into Microsoft’s AI strategy.
Technical challenge and summary
While Microsoft shares have recently hit record highs, driven by aggressive AI investment, disciplined cost management, and strong core business performance, it robustly helped to all the Technology sector came back to 6-month key resistance after nearly 40 percent recovery rally.
While the market faces different challenges, we keep our strategic focus on next positions and further stock market development.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
WEAT on the move?Wheat futures (ZW) have cleared a zone of resistance with a 4.6% one day move. As tracked by the WEAT ETF, current price seems to be heading for a retest of the 200 Daily SMA (currently at $4.90). The 200 Daily SMA has reversed previous attempts to break out in October 2024 and February 2025. Will third time be different?
Note that this ETF reached a high over $12 in 2022 when the Russian/Ukrainian war started.
Small Caps about to get SlammedThe IWM has been trading inside this upward sloping wedge/bear flag for a few months. It just broke the bear flag this week and then tested the underside of it as resistance before getting rejected. This area also happens to be a golden pocket retracement zone from a Fibonacci I have drawn from the all-time highs made in November of last year to the lows made 2 months ago in April. The next probable move is back down to target 1 at the bottom of the Fibonacci retracement at $171. These golden pocket retracements have a very high probability of moving back down to the bottom of the retracement, sometimes breaking lower. This area at $171 has a lot of support but if it breaks, I expect it to come down to the orange line which is an upward sloping paralell channel that the IWM has been trading in since the financial crisis of 2008. The bottom of said channel connects the 2009 lows through the covid lows of 2020. This area also happens to be the -0.618 Fibonacci retracement area, it would be the 3rd hit of the bottom this major weekly channel and would very likely contain the lows for the current bear market.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-19: GAP Reversal Counter TrendToday's pattern is a GAP Reversal in Counter Trend mode. I believe this could represent a breakdown in the ES/NQ as the US stock market is closed for the Juneteenth holiday.
Obviously, after the Fed comments yesterday (stating "uncertainty") and with the continued Israel/Iran conflict playing out, it makes sense to me that the US markets would move into a pre-weekend consolidation phase.
Even though the US stock market will be closed, the futures market will likely stay open and will carry some general market sentiment and reactions to news.
Watching Gold/Silver and Bitcoin should be very interesting today. I suspect the markets will continue to consolidate downward today - leading to a potential breakdown seeking support day on Friday.
Buckle up. We'll likely have 3-5+ days of news related to the Israel/Iran conflict and other issues over this weekend. It could be very interesting to see how the global markets move through this news.
Get some.
Happy Juneteenth
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